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10/29/2025
Good day and welcome to the Expand Energy 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Teleconference. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question, you'll need to press star 11 on your telephone. If your question has been answered and you wish to remove yourself from the queue, simply press star 11 again. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Colby Arnold. manager, investor relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Jonathan. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our call today to discuss Expand Energy's 2025 third quarter financial and operating results. Hopefully, you've had a chance to review our press release and the updated investor presentation that we posted to our website yesterday. During this morning's call, we will be making forward-looking statements, which consist of statements that cannot be confirmed by reference to existing information, including statements regarding our beliefs, goals, expectations, forecasts, projections, and future performance, and the assumptions underlying such statements. Please note that there are a number of factors that will cause actual results to differ materially from our forward-looking statements, including factors identified and discussed in our press release yesterday and in other SEC filings. Please recognize that, except as required by applicable law, we undertake no duty to update any forward-looking statements, and you should not place undue reliance on such statements. We may also refer to some non-GAAP financial measures, which help facilitate comparisons across periods with peers. For any non-GAAP measure, we use a reconciliation to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure, and it can be found on our website. With me on the call today are Nick DiLasso, Josh Feets, Dan Turco, and Brittany Rayford. Nick will give a brief overview of our results, and then we will open up the teleconference to Q&A. So with that, thank you again, and I will now turn the teleconference over to Nick.
Good morning, and thank you for joining our call. The third quarter marked the first year of Expand Energy. I'm extremely proud of the way our team has come together to collectively drive long-term value through safely reducing costs and efficiently developing our advantaged geographically diverse portfolio. As we demonstrated this quarter, our business continues to deliver and outperform every expectation pegged at merger onset. While there are many ways to measure synergies and their impact, we are clearly spending less for more production, which is the ultimate definition of efficiency. Nowhere is this more evident than in our Hainesville position, which has seen a meaningful step change in both efficiency and performance, enhancing the value of our 20-year-plus years of inventory. Today, we can deliver with seven rigs the same production it took 13 rigs to deliver in 2023. Since then, we have reduced well costs by greater than 25%, and year to date, our costs are 30% lower than peers based on third-party well proposals. Importantly, our optimized development and completion design continues to lead to improved productivity. Since 2022, our average well productivity was approximately 40% greater than the basin average, a trend we expect to continue. These efficiency gains are sustainable and deliver significant improvement to our break-evens, which today average less than $2.75 across the basin. We have also used our low cost advantage to attractively to add attractively priced acreage to our portfolio, giving us an option to develop volumes in East Texas and reach additional markets. Through the innovative efforts of our team, we are seeing success stories like this across our business, resulting in us delivering 50% more synergies than our original target. These meaningful efficiency gains and savings have greatly strengthened our underlying business and resulting cash flows. Since close, we've eliminated $1.2 billion in gross debt and returned nearly $850 million to shareholders. We now expect to spend $150 million less to deliver 50 million cubic feet per day more of production in 2025 compared to our beginning of the year guidance. These efficiencies will carry forward to 2026 where, should market conditions warrant, we are prepared to deliver 7.5 BCF per day of production for approximately the same capex spent in 2025. Looking ahead, we see significant opportunity to expand the value of natural gas by connecting our global scale to growing markets. Consumers need affordable, reliable, lower carbon energy, and natural gas will play the largest and most crucial role in answering that call. By the end of the decade, natural gas demand is expected to grow 20%, driven by LNG power and industrial growth. Expand sits in an advantage position today. Our diverse asset portfolio across two premier gas basins with 20 years of inventory, proven operational performance, unique market connectivity, and investment-grade balance sheet are clear differentiators as we look to serve customers eager to secure reliable and flexible supply. This is especially true along the Gulf Coast, where there is increasing competition for supply and lower carbon molecules. With NG3 now online, we can track our production from the wellhead to the end user and offer a responsibly sourced, differentiated, lower carbon gas, something our counterparties value greatly, as was the case with Lake Charles Methanol's supply agreement we announced yesterday at a premium to NYMEX. Xpand will serve as the sole supplier to this new-build industrial facility, which is expected to commence operations in 2030 with global investment-grade offtake already secured. Importantly, we believe this agreement demonstrates our differentiated path to strategically connect our molecules to the highest growth markets at a premium price. This announcement is also a great example of the evolution of our marketing strategy, from value protection to value creation. We are intentionally enhancing our marketing and commercial organization to capitalize on our unique position as North America's largest natural gas producer. We see this organization as more than a few commercial transactions, but an opportunity to drive long-term value from our integrated, well-connected portfolio. As consumer demand grows, we will be positioned to provide reliable and flexible supply to meet that demand. We have the asset scale and capital structure to be patient. Our experienced team will continue to ensure we are achieving the best long-term, risk-adjusted returns possible in any agreement we enter. We are ready to answer the call of growing demand we see ahead, and we look forward to updating you on our progress. We'll now turn the call over to Q&A.
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