11/4/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Diamondback Energy third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during this session, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Adam Lawless, VP of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Hey, Brianna. Good morning, and welcome to Diamondback Energy's third quarter 2025 conference call. During our call today, we will reference an updated investor presentation and letter to stockholders, which can be found on Diamondback's website. Representing Diamondback today are Kate Fantos, CEO of Danny Wesson, COO, and Jerry Thompson, CFO. During this conference call, the participants may make certain forward-looking statements relating to the company's financial condition, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance, and businesses. We caution you that actual results could differ materially from those that are indicated in these forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors. Information concerning these factors can be found on the company's filings with SEC. In addition, we will make reference to certain non-GAAP measures. Reconciliations with the appropriate GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release issue yesterday afternoon. I'll now turn the call over to Kate. Thanks, Adam, and I hope everybody read the letter last night. As we've done in the past, we're just going to move straight into Q&A. So, operator, let's open the line for questions, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will conduct the question and answer session. Please stand by. Our first question comes from Neil Dingman of William Blair. Your line is now open.

speaker
Neil Dingman
Analyst, William Blair

Morning, Kate. Nice to meet you back on. My first question is on activity. Specifically, while I know you guys continue to talk about the stop sign scenario depending on the macro condition, it seems like some other Permian operators here recently continue to accelerate even at these prices. So I'm just wondering, does sort of others, I guess, lack of capital discipline you to think about changing your plans, you know, given you all are a lower operator and, you know, I guess I'd say cash flow is cash flow.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, Neil, I mean, I think, you know, we obviously track what everybody else is doing in the Permian. We have a lot of visibility into what's going on, but we also have a lot of conviction in where we stand and, you know, what our plan is. I think We can get into a game of who has the lowest cost structure reinvestment ratio, which we do. On a year-to-date basis, we have a 36% reinvestment rate at mid-60s oil. I think that's something that would have been unheard of six or seven years ago as investors pushed us to generate more free cash over cash flow. I think that's the key point. We are focused on generating free cash flow per share, growing free cash flow per share, overgrowing cash flow into a tenuous macro environment. Now, when the assumptions change and the macro changes, we have the flexibility to change that. We're just going to do it with a much lower share count, lower net debt, and off of a lower cost structure.

speaker
Neil Dingman
Analyst, William Blair

I'm glad to see that. I'm glad you're not changing the stripes there. Second question, I think it's more just generic, maybe, Kate, for you or Danny around slide eight, specifically, continue to look at, I guess I'd call it your development style versus others, and you continue to be lower on just one specifically. What differentiates your development style versus others? Is it the larger projects? I mean, does that factor in, or what is the driver when I'm looking at this slide?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I mean, listen, I think slide eight is the most important slide in the deck. It explains a lot about what we've done to study development in the basin and improve our development over time. I think in our company history, Diamondback has been very well known to have the lowest cost structure and the best execution. What I think has been lost, not lost, but it hasn't been highlighted, which we're trying to highlight here, is that not only are we drilling more wells per section, but the performance we have per well in that section, meaning the full section is developed in a more capital-efficient manner is resulting in a lot higher overall returns per section. We famously moved to co-development in 2019. Now we're co-developing all zones in the Midland Basin. Instead of focusing on single-wall returns, we're really focused on what the return is per section and per DSU. I'm really proud of what You know, the two teams at Endeavor and Diamondback have merged together and created the best of both worlds, right? You have the combination of the best inventory and the best cost structure resulting in the lowest reinvestment rate and the outputs you see on slide eight. So I think it's a very important slide that I'd like investors to pay a lot of attention to.

speaker
Neil Dingman
Analyst, William Blair

Very good. Thank you, buddy.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Thanks, Neal.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from David Deckelbaum of TD Cohen. Your line is now open.

speaker
David Deckelbaum
Analyst, TD Cowen

Thanks, guys, for taking my questions this morning. Case, maybe you can talk about, you know, you guys talked about fourth quarter guidance and that sort of $925 million CapEx for 4Q as you kind of get back into more of a maintenance mode. Generally, I guess, is that a decent kind of run rate for goalposts for 26 to sort of hold that 505,000 barrels a day of crude flat kind of pro forma for the Viper deal?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, David, you know, that's kind of the new baseline is 510 oil. We're going to sell some. We announced a sale of some production of Vipers, so we'll go down to 505,000 barrels a day kind of run rate in Q1. I think we decided to hold that production level flat, somewhere in the range of our Q4 CapEx is a good bogey to look at. I'll take you back to where we were in Q2. If you recall, our original budget this year for 2025 was $4 billion of CapEx that we cut by 10% immediately and then another $100 million after that, so CapEx was down you know, 500 million from, you know, post-liberation day moves that we made. And we made those moves, you know, defensively thinking oil was going to get weaker a lot sooner. And as a result, you know, production declined slightly. So, you know, this year's number is a very good number. Anytime we slow down activity, you know, CapEx is going to outperform the change in production. And now we're just kind of leveling off in this kind of call 875 to 975 range to hold that new baseline of 510,000 barrels a day going down to 505 in Q1 of next year flat. So a lot of moving parts this year, but we felt like it was a year where we had to pivot mid-year given the concerns on both oversupply and the potential demand weakness. But overall demand was strong and supply is the hot debate now.

speaker
David Deckelbaum
Analyst, TD Cowen

I appreciate that color. Considering it's the best slide in the deck, slide eight, or most important slide, I feel compelled to ask a question on it. But, you know, when you look at those three graphs, as you move into more of the Endeavor acquired acreage in 26, should we anticipate, you know, any significant changes to those three graphs? You know, is it fair to assume that, or can you talk to your confidence levels around well productivity as you kind of start harvesting and putting together these plans around some of the acquired pieces?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I'll talk about the specifics, but I'll go back to the announcement when we merged with Endeavor. And then we told our investors that basically if you took our pro forma average PB10 per well and looked at it at the time of the deal, our next five years at the time of the deal was going to improve by almost 20%. And I think what you're seeing in slide eight is that synergy coming through, because not only did we get bigger, but we got better when we did that deal. Al, you want to talk about 26?

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

Yeah, David. I think if you look at the 25 well performance and compare that back to 23 and 24, it's very consistent.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

As we look forward to 26, We expect that to be very consistent with the 24 and 25 program.

speaker
David Deckelbaum
Analyst, TD Cowen

Appreciate it, guys. Good luck.

speaker
Jerry Thompson
CFO

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Arun Jayaram of JPMorgan Securities, LLC. Your line is now open.

speaker
Arun Jayaram
Analyst, JPMorgan Securities, LLC

Good morning, gentlemen. Case, I was wondering if you could start a little bit on the efficiency gains front, and maybe elaborate a little bit on your further improvements on the drilling side, and I'd love to get a little bit more insights on this continuous pumping design that you're now implementing on your Howe Zeus fleets, and what could that do for your dollar per foot, which I think has been in that $5.50 to $5.80 range in the Midland Basin.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, let me give you some high level and then pass it to Danny. But from a high level perspective, this year, low costs have come down even in the face of steel tariffs hitting our business to the tune of about 20% on our steel costs. So it's a credit to the team that with the headwinds of something we can't control, steel tariffs, hurting us, you know, we've been able to, you know, find ways to increase efficiencies, you know, even without service costs kind of plummeting throughout the year. So, Danny, I don't know if you want to give some detail on continuous pumping and the drilling side. Yeah, on the drilling side, you know, it's really been a story of getting more consistent with those kind of, you know, top 10% performance wells. And, you know, this quarter, you know, we did about, you know, one out of every 10 wells was under five days. And, You know, we were talking about one or two wells in previous quarters that were under five days. So it's just getting more consistent, delivering those really, really impressive drilling results, and continuing to drive down the average spud to TD days. And on the completions front, you know, the continuous pumping, we're really excited about. While we're not modeling any material cost savings today, we do believe that, you know, Getting 20% more lateral footage completed in a day on a pad level, we should see some savings flow through to that. It's just hard to model that today with the additional equipment and everything that we have to set up to get the crews all running on continuous pumping. I do think the one thing that continuous pumping and more lateral footage per day does for us is it improves the cycle times and gets, you know, any production that we've watered out when we go in and frack in a, you know, contiguous field, that production comes back online faster. And that's kind of, you know, one of the key benefits that, you know, will accrue to our shareholders over the long haul.

speaker
Arun Jayaram
Analyst, JPMorgan Securities, LLC

Super interesting. My follow-up is, Case, you brought back slide 25, which is on PowerGen and you know, some of the opportunities, you know, perhaps for Diamondback, just given your surface acreage, your natural gas output in West Texas, as well as the fact that you do consume power for your own internal operations. I'm wondering thoughts on bringing back that slide and maybe just an update on, you know, your corporate development activities around this important topic, at least for investors.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, Jerry's going to give you all the details, Arun. I would just say generally we did that for a reason, and we're starting to get a lot more confidence in what could be an interesting story for Diamondbacks development and gas pricing over the coming years. Yeah, good observation, Arun. Last week you may have seen that we committed up to $50 million a day. of our NAC gas to Competitive Power Ventures for their new 1.3 gigawatt basin ranch power plant in Ward County. We expect this to be operational in 2029. This was done under a long-term supply agreement with pricing indexed to ERCOT, and we view it as a creative in-basin egress solution for our natural gas supply. And although in this particular scenario, it is low volumes, we feel it's a small piece and a much larger story for us, which is consciously moving away from Waha. And for reference there, by year end 2026, we expect Waha exposure to be down to just over 40% of gas sales as compared to a little over 70% today. You know, and additionally, we continue to work on other power projects that could potentially use cheap Diamondback gas and surface, deep blue water, and near-term generation solutions to bring data centers to the Midland Basin. And as I mentioned last quarter, it's a long process, but we look forward to updating the market when we have a firm project to discuss.

speaker
Arun Jayaram
Analyst, JPMorgan Securities, LLC

Great. Thanks, Ledger.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Neil Mehta of Goldman Sachs & Co. Your line is now open.

speaker
Neil Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co

Yeah, thank you so much. And in case maybe I get you to share your perspective on where we are with the macro, I think you indicated in the letter you think we are at the yellow light right now. So maybe spend some time thinking about how you're thinking about the moving pieces as we move into 2026.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, Neil, I mean, you know, we spent a lot of time I think more time than ever this year on the macro. You know, unfortunately, we did have to put the yellow light in the release for the third time in a row. You know, I would just say generally the outlook kind of remains murky. I think, you know, fortunately it's a debate on the supply side, and it seems that that debate will be resolved sometime in the next couple quarters. But a couple things, right? I would say our attitude is, you know, we don't control the price of the product we produce, and You know, as an organization, we have 1,700 people focused on producing more oil with less cost every day, and that's what they've done, right? We've been able to generate more free cash this year, 15% more per share, despite oil prices being down 14%. So I've kind of turned the tone from, hey, this isn't great, to, you know, we're going to figure it out and find a way, because, you know, I think the longer this kind of murky macro thing you know, the better things will be on the other end. And, you know, Diamondback, in my mind, is going to be one of the long-term winners of whatever the macro presents to us.

speaker
Neil Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co

Thanks, Case. And the follow-up is just on M&A, and there's, I guess, two components to it. One, you guys have done a great job selling non-core assets. So just your perspective of Are there other opportunities within the portfolio? And I think last quarter, there was a lot of tension on some of the comments about not being a seller, but I think it clarified your perspective on that. So just on those two points, comments would be great.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I think on the non-core sales, first off, credit to Jerry and the team. We sold... a billion and a half of primarily 90% non-EMP producing assets at higher multiples than we trade. That, in my mind, cruises straight to the balance sheet, puts our debt load in a good position for whatever the next couple quarters may hold. I think we've exhausted the majority of it. Viper, as you might know, also executed a non-core or non-permeant asset sale at a good number that we'll talk about in a couple hours. But all in all, I feel really good about being able to execute on these in a challenging macro at good valuations. And then on the other side of the question, we get that question a lot on our position in the industry. And I think generally, Diamondback has the most coveted asset base in North America. And that's a very privileged position to be in. But we didn't... We didn't just fall into it, right? We had to earn it acre by acre, and so we take a lot of pride in our execution and our execution machine and what that means for long-term shareholder value.

speaker
Paul Cheng
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thanks, Case. Appreciate the talk.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Philip Jungwirth of BMO. Your line is now open.

speaker
Phillip Jungwirth
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thanks. Good morning. Good morning. Circling back on the macro, I mean, everyone's gotten more capital efficient this downturn. Maybe it takes until 27, but curious how you see a green light scenario playing out for the Permian broadly. Can you just talk about how less capital efficient it is to grow versus stay in maintenance, as we saw in 2022? And do you think the industry has the capacity to really accelerate if called upon?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Good question. We're pontificating here, but I certainly believe the industry has the capability to do it. It's just a matter of how capital efficient it is. My thesis is when it is time for the green light, which feels like going back to more of that 70 to 80 range on crude, the capital that you're spending is going to have a much higher rate of return than it does at $60 oil. You know, it's going to be spent on a balance sheet that's shrunk as well as a share count that's shrunk. So that's kind of our thesis there. I mean, we're certainly generating good returns at 60, but I think today we're conscious of the fact that, you know, adding crude to a market that is clearly oversupplied, the debate is how oversupplied, is not a prudent decision today.

speaker
Phillip Jungwirth
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay, great. And then coming back to slide eight here in the deck, I mean, we did note that your relative ranking on well productivity improved versus the peers. The question is more, when you look at benchmarking on average wells per section, how much of FANG's leadership do you think can be attributed to, do you guys just have more core acreage, maybe less power and less southern midland exposure where you have fewer zones? Or do you think peers are still leaving behind quite a bit of child wells targeting best zones, which you also have unique perspective in, given the Piper?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, listen, I think high-level geology matters a lot, right? And it's a huge driver. You know, as we develop our acreage, we have different patterns in different areas. And even, you know, across... you know, a couple miles, things change very, very quickly. But I think that the high-level takeaway, and I can let Al give some more details, though, the high-level takeaway is if you multiply wells per section times well productivity per well, you're getting more oil per section or per DSU at a lower cost structure. And I think that means more PV per acre, and we've got a lot of acres to do that on. Anything you want to add there, Al?

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

Yeah, Phillip, I think, you know, generally, definitely agree with you there, Kate. You know, you look at geology obviously matters and, you know, DynaVac's position within the basin is very favorable. But I think if you dig into the details there, you'll find differences in development styles between operators just within similar geology.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

And, you know, I think we feel like the Diamondback development style is differential and really optimizes the return for every DSU and every dollar that we're investing there.

speaker
Jerry Thompson
CFO

Great. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Bob Brackett of Bernstein Research. Your line is now open.

speaker
Bob Brackett
Analyst, Bernstein Research

Good morning. I'm going to return to the theme around traffic lights. If I contrast the weeks where you wrote the 1Q shareholder letter around the weeks after Liberation Day versus you writing the shareholder letter now, the difference is Liberation Day was new. It was very unusual, strange environment. And right now we're just kind of in a normal, typical oil down cycle. and therefore you have more confidence in taking that CapEx right. Is that a fair assessment?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, Bob, I think that's fair. I think, you know, naturally we're not, we don't like change, right? We don't like sudden changes that are unexpected. And I think I wouldn't call Liberation Day a black swan event for our industry, but it was certainly a change versus expectations going into the year. And I think high level, we were also pretty concerned with the potential demand shock that the numbers on the page of Liberation Day implied. I don't think that ended up happening in terms of trade and global trade, but the jury's still out. But overall, I think we ended up getting more comfortable with demand and not as much of a supply shock. And again, that's kind of why I kind of say the attitude said this is what it is and we're going to find a way to make more money despite macro headwinds. And I think one other thing, Bob, sorry to cut you off, but one other thing that I hope whenever we come out of this, whatever this is, is that our long-term shareholders and long-only shareholders say, what did Diamondback do through this down cycle, however bad it gets? And if they look back and say, they didn't compromise the balance sheet, they bought back shares, they paid a dividend, and production held in there. I think that's a case study for this new business model of the low reinvestment rate, high free cash flow, that our business will never be not volatile, but did we reduce some volatility by our actions through the cycle?

speaker
Bob Brackett
Analyst, Bernstein Research

Very clear. On the follow-ups, You guys are hitting a shade over four zones per well, and the workhorses are the middle sprayberry, lower sprayberry, and the wolf camp A and B. Year to date, you've got 6% of your wells hitting other zones. Is that a development strategy or an exploration strategy, if I can sort of crudely contrast? Like are you learning stuff or are you just folding in that sort of fifth zone in workhorse mode?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I mean, Al can give some details. At a high level, most of that is moving into development. There are zones we've tested, but, you know, zones like the Upper Sprayberry and the Wolf Camp D starting to get more capital while, you know, seeing less impact on overall productivity I think is a good thing for inventory duration. Yeah, Bob, you know, it's really a combination of both of those strategies. Like Case mentioned, the Upper Sprayberry, Wolf Camp D, you know, where those zones are perspective, we're really allocating capital to those and co-developing them with the more traditional sort of co-development zones within the Mism Basin.

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

I think the other piece of that is a resource expansion story and, you know, looking at some of the deeper zones like the Barnett and the Woodford and delineating those around the basin.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I think we're really excited about the results of those two zones and have some really promising wealth performance that will be public, you know, coming pretty soon.

speaker
spk02

That's super interesting. Thanks for that. Thanks, Bob.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Scott Hanold of RBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

thanks um you know case you obviously mentioned you you hit your target asset sales um at this point how do you view the equity ownership of those various interests you have um and maybe specifically on deep blue where you know there are future capital calls like strategically does it make sense to own them is there a monetization opportunity there yeah listen i think i think the strategy of deep blue is playing out very nicely i think they've um

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

They've done an incredible job building the third party business. That was not something that we were probably built to do if it was 100% owned by Diamondbacks. So I think high level, we're very happy with our 30% ownership. It seems that market attention has increased on water and water management throughout the basin. And I think that's good for valuations. And then I think, lastly, I think there's some tangential opportunities for Deep Blue when it comes to water for power needs and some of the surface use management that we can do at Diamondback in conjunction with our partners. So I think high level, we're happy with the 30% at some point that business will monetize or look different than a large private investment. But right now, they're creating a lot of value in the shadows.

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

Got it. And the capital range you generally get for maintenance, any kind of equity interest capital call would be sort of included that, or would that be outside of that?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

That'd be outside of that, but we haven't seen one of those in a long time.

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

Got it. Okay. And my follow-up question is just, you know, you talked a little bit about like targeting zones and what you're all doing, but like, can you, with 2026, is there any kind of a shift in activity allocation across both like acreage, you know, regionally within the Midland or even, you know, does the Delaware get attention and, you know, do zones such as like the Woodford and Barnett get, you know, a little bit more attention as well?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I think the high level of the Delaware is going to get less attention even than this year. We're pretty well held over there. And, you know, most of the development sits further down in our development stack. But I do think, you know, you'll continue to see Like you can see on slide 15, the average percentage by zone in the Midland Basin continued to evolve with new zones being added in. And the challenge for the team is continuing to improve well productivity despite adding what people perceive as lower quality zones. But I do think we also have some more Barnett-Whitford tests, and we look forward to a full asset update on that zone at some point next year. Al, do you have anything on testing those zones? I think that's right. I mean, I think you'll see us continue to delineate those zones around the Midland Basin. And, you know, for 26, I would expect that percentage to tick off, kind of like you've seen over the past couple years, as we figure out where the best well performance is throughout the basin and allocate capital appropriately.

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

Look forward to that. Thank you. Thanks, Scott.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Callie Ackermine of Bank of America. Your line is now open.

speaker
Callie Ackermine
Analyst, Bank of America

Hey, good morning, guys. I want to follow up on the topic of maintenance capital at $925 million per quarter. Wondering if you can put some definition around that, because headline production has moved around quite a bit in the last 18 months. So what is the associated maintenance oil production level maybe on an operated basis associated with that? And then is this spend level inclusive of all the rateable non-DNC spend?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, Kelly, I mean, high level, right? It's some range of Q4. You know, we recognize that if a company stays flat for the following year, which is, you know, maybe the base case today, we'll see what happens in the next couple months. You know, we recognize that the street likes to take Q4 numbers and multiply them by four. And that's kind of why we put capital out there where it is. You know, I still think there's a lot of things that could go our way. You know, efficiencies, deal prices, et cetera, that we have no visibility into today. But, you know, high-level, you know, total DC&E plus non-DC&E CapEx is going to be somewhere in that, you know, range of outcomes we put out for Q4 multiplied by four. And I think if you normalize to where we were going into the year, right, last year we were going to spend $4 billion for nearly 500,000 barrels of oil a day. And now we're going to spend somewhere in the range of less than that, uh, for, you know, about five, 510,000 barrels of oil a day. And, um, I think I put that capital efficiency up with, uh, with anyone as well as any, any year outside of this year in Diamondbacks history.

speaker
Callie Ackermine
Analyst, Bank of America

We definitely do like modeling by multiplying by four for my second question. I appreciate that there's a lot of uncertainty around the 26 oil macro, but you guys do have a very large stuff backlog that gives you a lot of flexibility to shape a range of production outcomes for next year. So can you give us an update on where you expect to be with that backlog at year end? And then talk about activating that. Do you intend to reach into that bucket as you kind of reset the efficiency in your frack operations through what you guys are calling continuous drilling, or do you actually need to add another frack to tap all those opportunities?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Well, I think on the continuous pumping thing, the exciting thing is that you use one less crew, most likely half to one less crew on an annual basis. But on the duct backlog, I think with oil prices hanging in there all year and with the efficiencies where they are, we've actually drilled probably more wells than we originally expected in the year, and so we're still well-positioned. to pull that duck lever if we need to. I think, you know, a lot goes on behind the scenes here to make sure we continue to execute flawlessly and hit numbers and make what looks easy on the outside is actually a lot harder on the inside. So I think maintaining that duck backlog is a structural advantage for us, particularly with our size and scale. And we're putting pipe in the ground almost as cheap as, you know, the COVID era you know, I think that's good capital to spend.

speaker
Callie Ackermine
Analyst, Bank of America

Thanks for the color. Thanks, Gates.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Kevin McCurdy of Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is now open.

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

Hey, good morning. Case, in your shareholder letter, you mentioned the benefits of the CDO acquisition for Viper and the potential M&A market for minerals and royalties. I wonder if you could just kind of expand on the benefits you see to FANG, you know, beyond just the cash flow contributions for the minerals.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I think, I won't say for the first time, but I do think there's a huge asset at Viper that pays dividends at FANG that's not just royalty interest, and that's this private data, right? We have private well-level data on half of the wells in the Permian, when probably every major development or every major change in development is something we can see on a private level. And I think for the engineers, that allows us to study others faster than anybody else. It also allows us to change how we do things faster than everybody else. And I think as the basin evolves, companies are going to be testing different things, some riskier than others, and some things are going to work and some things aren't, and we can replicate that very quickly at scale at Dynamat. Al, you want to add anything to that? I think it's a huge advantage, like Case is saying, to have the private data and be able to understand not only what other operators are doing from a development standpoint, but also the actual well-level performance and returns. And that's really differential to any other data source out there.

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

I appreciate the details there. And then for my follow-up, you mentioned earlier that you had 70% of your current gas volumes going to Waha, and you expect by the year end, 2026, down to be that would be down to 40%. And I wonder if you could just walk through the pieces of, you know, what you've disclosed of where that gas will go if not going to Waha.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, yeah, we're going to be on two of the pipelines coming on next year. Right now we have a good amount of space on Whistler and Blackcomb and then whatever, what's the Whitewater one coming on next year? Blackcomb. Blackcomb, sorry. We're on Matterhorn. Sorry, we're on Whistler and Matterhorn today. Blackcomb comes on next year. That's another probably $200, $250 a day. And then post-energy transfer buying WTG, which we were an investor in, we've decided to work with them and commit some gas to that Hugh Brinson pipeline going east. And I think we've also then saved some some gas to potentially go west should one of those pipelines get built and we have an opportunity to put gas on it or contribute a good amount of gas to a power project. I think our investors demand us to do better on our gas realizations and we've listened to them and I think it's coming.

speaker
Jerry Thompson
CFO

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Doug Legate of Wolf Research. Your line is now open.

speaker
Doug Legate
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Thanks, Chase, for having me on. I wanted to go back to the question about the core inventory and the co-development. Obviously, when you talk about core, I think we've touched on this a couple of years ago, and I just wanted to get an update. You talk about core, you're generally talking about your best inventory, but in the co-development, you're obviously bringing in lower than tier one locations, I guess. So when we think about the 10 years of code inventory, what does that look like on a development cadence? In other words, is it 14, 15, or, you know, how do you think about it?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I mean, I'll let Al talk about, you know, what we put in a section to deem it core. But, you know, high level, we're completing about 500 wells a year and have about, you core locations, which in my mind is sub 40 type inventory. There's a lot of other inventory that opens up at higher world prices, but that's the inventory we would model in an acquisition, and that's the inventory that we're developing today.

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

Yeah, Doug. I think when we are thinking about how we design at DSU for development, We're looking at the zones that are the highest rate of return zones first, and then looking at the zones that we can co-develop and would interfere with those other zones. And so, really holistically looking at the DSU, thinking about optimizing the landing points and the zones that are being developed within that DSU.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

so that we don't degrade the well performance of those, maybe not secondary, but lower tier horizons when we develop the core zones.

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

We're really trying to optimize so that we don't leave children wells, we don't leave stranded wells that we would then have to come back to that would be severely degraded from an economic standpoint.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, it's a use it or lose it situation given the tank nature of the Midland Basin. And I think as Danny would say, you know, we drill every fourth well for free relative to piers and that allows us to add those zones and developments where others are not.

speaker
Doug Legate
Analyst, Wolfe Research

So would that uplift the 10 years to a bigger number then or is that included in the 500 per week per year?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

It's a dynamic number, right? I mean, there's going to be more wells added to it next year. I think the Barnett and Woodford, you know, will probably, given recent results, be, in my mind, a Tier 1 development zone. There needs to be more well control and proof, but that's what we're working on every day.

speaker
Doug Legate
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Thank you for that. Case, my follow-up is on gas. I mean, obviously, you touched on some of the pipes that are coming online. You guys do, I guess, about 500 bees a year. I'm trying to understand if you have your own solution outside of just waiting on someone else adding infrastructure, whether it be a power deal or something else. But I mean, at the end of the day, a dollar, $500 million a year is pretty meaningful for you for every buck change in gas price. And you're kind of giving it away right now. So I'm just curious, what's going on in the background in terms of how you improve your gas realizations?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I mean, we kind of laid out the new pipes that we're going to be on when they come on at the end of 26. You know, I'll kind of take you back to the history of our company is, you know, unfortunately, whether we like it or not, we grew through acquisition. As we grew through acquisition, most of the acreage that we bought was already dedicated sometimes to the sister midstream company of the upstream company. We've been working through that. I think with Endeavor, we actually had a lot of molecules free to make decisions on to move further downstream, which has been helpful. We now have the size and the scale to be able to contribute to these various pipes to get to different markets. I think it's going to move to, you know, making sure we have the right diversity of markets downstream versus here, you know, with the power kicker being something that's exciting as well. So I think it's, over the long term, we're doing the right things. It's not great over the next 12 months. We've protected that with hedges, knowing that we couldn't control the molecules further downstream, but that time is coming.

speaker
Doug Legate
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Great stuff. Thanks, Alistair.

speaker
Jerry Thompson
CFO

Thanks, Doug.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Geoff J. of Daniel Energy Partners. Your line is now open.

speaker
Geoff J.
Analyst, Daniel Energy Partners

Hey, guys. I just had a quick follow-up on the continuous pumping. Just wondering how many fleets it's deployed on today. And, you know, I think you're running five memory serves. And sort of, you know, how many will be rolled out, you know, in the next couple of quarters as you get to full deployment?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Hey, Jeff. Yeah, we're running two today and, you know, planning on converting the additional fleets, you know, as soon as possible, as soon as we can, you know, get all the equipment lined out, so hopefully in the next quarter. And, you know, anticipate that we'll probably kind of run four, you know, full-time fleets with the fifth fleet, you know, bouncing in and out as needed in a maintenance type scenario.

speaker
Geoff J.
Analyst, Daniel Energy Partners

Excellent. And then one quick follow-up on sort of base production work that you guys talked about last quarter. Are there any updates there? Are you, you know, any changes to kind of what you're seeing? Any improvements?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, we've continued to, you know, allocate capital into, you know, working over wells, older wells, and optimizing the, you know, the PDP tail. And I've been real excited about, you know, some of the stuff we've seen, some of the results we've seen out of our acidization, oxidation, stimulation work. We're also trialing some other chemistries that we're doing some stimulation work down hole with and seeing some encouraging results early on. We don't have enough data yet to really talk about anything, but we continue to focus on optimizing the tail and deploying capital there. You feel like it's some of the highest return capital we can spend. albeit not large numbers, but if we can do the work to delineate what's working, we can scale it and hopefully become a significant part of our capital deployment in forward years. Yeah, and I think that's also a huge potential upside is as some of this work gets done and developed, can you lower your reinvestment rate? Can you move more dollars from the DMC side to, you know, post-completion work or production work? And, you know, lower that capital need to replace your production every year. And, you know, it kind of says something in the letter, never underestimate the American engineer. And, you know, we got a lot of engineers here working on the tail end of our production as that becomes a much more important part of our plan here.

speaker
Jerry Thompson
CFO

Excellent. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Leo Mariani of Roth. Your line is now open.

speaker
Leo Mariani
Analyst, Roth

Yeah, you guys laid out certainly the case for yellow light and certainly talked about a bit how you might get back to the green light. I was hoping you could provide maybe a little bit more commentary on what you would kind of view a red light scenario as you roll into 2026 at this point, you know, in terms of kind of costs and you know, oil prices, any kind of high-level, you know, sort of indications you can help would be great.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, Leo, it's really this oil price, right? And I think if, you know, we start to print months consecutively in the 50s and print, you know, a month near $50 oil, I think everybody should be looking at their plan and say, should I defer capital here at these prices? You know, I think fortunately... Given where Diamondback's positioned today, we don't need to be the first person to look at that. I think we can look at it behind the scenes. But we're executing year-to-date at $63 oil with a 36%, 37% reinvestment ratio. That's a very, very solid place to be in. Our dividend's not in danger. In fact, it probably has room to grow. Balance sheet's strong. Maturities are getting handled. And costs are at COVID lows. So I think we're doing all the things we need to do to be prepared for worse, but also, you know, shine when things get better.

speaker
Leo Mariani
Analyst, Roth

Okay. And then obviously, you know, the yellow light scenario, you guys have detailed kind of a number of strategies. Wanted to kind of get a sense, just given the low reinvestment rate, obviously kind of how other uses of capital may come into play here. The buybacks were very healthy this quarter, which is certainly nice to see, but also wanted to see if you think in the yellow light scenario, perhaps other type of acquisitions, bolt-ons or whatever, may emerge and also could benefit the company. So let me just talk a little bit about M&A, use of kind of free cash flow there, and it certainly seems like the buyback can continue to stay pretty healthy. Just wanted to confirm that.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I think the primary use of free cash is still the base dividend. Second is buying back, in our minds, at least 1% of our public float per quarter, and that still leaves free cash to do other things. I think the primary use after that would be continuing to pay down debt, but we're still doing little bolt-on deals here and there. I think there's a lot of big trades that we've been working on that are not They're cashless, but they're very value accretive. So, yeah, we're not sitting still here. There's a lot of things for us left to do. We're fortunate to have a very high working interest in everything that we develop. You know, Viper continues to grow its business. But in terms of big M&A, I think Diamondback is going to be more selective. You know, you've seen a few deals happen without our name on it. And, you know, I think we're in a good position.

speaker
Jerry Thompson
CFO

Okay, thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our final question is from Cheng Paul of Scotiabank. Your line is now open.

speaker
Paul Cheng
Analyst, Scotiabank

Hi, thank you. Hi, team. Just curious that if we're looking at your program today, what percentage of the well that you are in the three miles or longer? And if we're looking at over the next several years based on your existing land position, how that program may shift? Second, that one of your much larger persons is talking about their proprietary technology using a lightweight proponent, and that will help them to improve their recovery rate maybe by, say, up to 30%. I want to see if you guys have looked at that out there. Is there anything similar in America you can deploy or test it? or that this is truly proprietary, that there's really nothing out there that you guys will be able to deport. Thank you.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I was going to take the longer laterals and talk about what we've been working on. I'll take the second one.

speaker
Danny Wesson
COO

Hey, Paul. Yeah, so looking at the 25 plan, three-mile laterals and longer, it makes up about 20%, 25% of the total program. And really, you know, I think the exciting part is kind of pushing to those extended laterals, right? So, about 6% of the total is actually 17.5 or 20,000.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, I think we've done some things on the longer laterals with different casing designs and pumping plans to improve results on the longer laterals over time. And then, you know, on your second question, listen, I think it's great that There's a lot of technology being tested out in the basin. I wouldn't sleep on our ability to continue to test different technologies to not only improve recoveries on the front end, but also as wells deplete, increasing those recoveries longer, that Danny talked about later in the tail, and maybe some other things that we're working on as a group that we look forward to updating the market on. But I just say, Paul, in slide eight, the results speak for themselves, and we're very proud of what we do at the cost structure we execute at. And those are the decisions we make to maximize returns and NPV per section.

speaker
Paul Cheng
Analyst, Scotiabank

Great. And my first question, when you're saying there is 20%, 25% of three-mile paths for 2025, over the next several years, how that progress is going to look like?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Paul, it continues to grow and we can continue to push lateral length. I think one thing we continue to watch is how some piers in the basin are getting creative with pushing lateral length in DSUs with U-turn wells and J-hook wells. Think about how we can leverage that in longer DSUs to push lateral length even further beyond three miles. And, you know, they're doing it today to take a 5,000-foot DSU and make it a 10,000-foot DSU, but we're really contemplating can we take that and take a 10,000-foot DSU and make it a 20,000-foot DSU. And I think, you know, as operators continue to push the limits on this stuff, we're going to watch it and, you know, deploy that technology, you know, rapidly if we can do it successfully and continue to lower break-evens.

speaker
Paul Cheng
Analyst, Scotiabank

Do you think that you can get to, say, 50% over the next five years?

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Never doubt us, but I think today it's hard to see.

speaker
Paul Cheng
Analyst, Scotiabank

You have a lot of smart engineers.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Yeah, but today, you know, I think next year we expect a lot of links to be up. We're going to keep working on trades and other things to keep them, you know, as long as possible.

speaker
Paul Cheng
Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay, perfect. Thank you.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Thanks, Paul.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. I am showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn it back to Case Montoff for closing remark.

speaker
Kate Fantos
CEO

Thanks, everybody, for taking the time today. You know, we're always available to answer any questions you might have, and we'll talk to you in a few quarters, or in a quarter.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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