11/3/2022

speaker
Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Farmer Brothers Fiscal First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session, and instructions will follow at the time. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference call, please press star then zero on your touchtone telephone. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. Joining me today are Deverell Massarang, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Scott Drake, Chief Financial Officer. Earlier today, the company issued its earnings press release, which is available on the Investor Relations section of Farmer Brothers' website at www.farmerbros.com. The press release is also included as an exhibit to the company's Form 8-K and is available on the company's website and on the Securities and Exchange Commission's website at www.sec.gov. A replay of this audio-only webcast will be available approximately two hours after the conclusion of this call. The link to the audio replay will also be available on the company's website. Before we begin the call, please note that all of the financial information presented is unaudited and that various remarks made by management during this call about the company's future expectations, plans, and prospects may constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor provisions under the federal securities laws and regulations. These forward-looking statements represent the company's views only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing the company's views as of any subsequent date. Results could differ materially from those forward-looking statements. Additional information on factors that can cause actual results and other events to differ materially from those forward-looking statements as available in the company's special lease and public filings. On today's call, management will also use certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin. In assessing the company's operating performance, reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measures is also included in the company's press release. I will now turn the call over to Deverell. Deverell, please go ahead.

speaker
Deverell Massarang

Thanks, operator, and hello, everyone. Our fiscal first quarter results showed continued good progress on rebuilding sales momentum post-pandemic, with revenue up 12% against an uncertain macroeconomic environment. And I'm encouraged by the traction we're getting with new customers and some of our catalytic growth initiatives. I'll update you there in a moment. On the downside, our performance reflects significant declines in gross margin and profitability levels in the quarter. There is a complex set of factors at play here that I'll walk you through. But while we're disappointed with the performance, the impacts are largely very short-term in nature and already beginning to reverse. Along with that, we are excited about the opportunities we have in front of us and are optimistic about our potential in fiscal 2023. Let's start with a summary of sales performance and the external factors impacting the quarter. And Scott can fill in some of the details. Our total sales came in at 121 million, up 12% year over year, though down slightly from 123 million in our seasonally stronger fiscal Q4. Both DSD and direct ship sales were up approximately 12% year over year. DSD is executing well on all rollouts of recent new customer wins in the convenience and QSR spaces. We've also had a good quarter in customer renewals and maintain a robust pipeline of new opportunities that our sales teams are pursuing. While we're certainly pleased with the sales growth and customer momentum, Margins did not keep pace due to a combination of pricing, seasonal and inflationary pressures. Our gross margin percentage was down significantly in fiscal Q1 relative to Q4. Both national counts and DSD were impacted roughly in equal measure. There were several key factors at play. First, looking at direction. While we have been seeing the benefits of our price increases in recent months, the contractual increases for several of our large national accounts are continuing to follow behind cost inflation as their hedge costs have been accelerating more rapidly in recent months. We already are starting to see the benefit of higher pricing in our current December quarter. Additionally, a number of these direct ship customers were working off prior inventory bills in the quarter which impacted our volumes. Total pounds produced were down 13% on a year-over-year basis in the quarter, with more than two-thirds of the decline coming on the direct ship national account side. Second, ESD pricing increases are starting to come through but did not keep up with inflation in the quarter. At the same time, we experienced the impacts of rising coffee costs. At the same time, our hedges were beginning to roll off, exacerbating the margin impact. Third, we've also seen higher average production costs due to economic factors. Recessionary impacts on demand and longer, hotter summer added to the normal seasonally weaker consumption patterns in the business. This, along with the inventory drawdowns I mentioned a moment ago, factors led to underutilization in our production facilities. These impacts were most pronounced in July and the first half of August, but began recovering in September and through October. Put these factors together and you have an unusual quarter that we do not believe will repeat. What I would call the copy-related pressures, timing of recognizing price increases, inventory drawdowns, and seasonal impacts are already alleviating in the December quarter. Scott will share more, but we believe we can recover more than a third of the year-over-year margin decline reported today during the December quarter. However, we still face inflationary pressures like many businesses. In our case, those include reduced hours at certain customer locations, labor shortages that are hurting food and other service businesses, and ongoing supply chain issues. As we recorded to you today, coffee prices have softened significantly from the fiscal Q1 levels. Assuming these trends hold, we will be in a much more favorable position as we move through the latter part of our fiscal year from a margin standpoint. Below the gross margin line, we've done a very good job managing our optimized cost structure over the past couple of years. But inflationary pressures raise the bar that much more. We'll continue to take pricing where warranted and be nimble in identifying and acting on cost opportunities as we move forward. Further, as you saw in August, we completed a favorable refinancing that effectively recapitalizes the company. We're now moving full steam ahead on a company-wide initiative with two primary objectives. One, working capital optimization, which will enable us to put more cash to work in the business. And two, executing on our IT roadmap to put in place the tools, systems, and processes we need that will enable us to manage the business with more agility and better navigate industry complexities like those impacting our Q1. While we work toward margin recovery, the good news is we are winning in the marketplace and executing on multiple growth vectors. As I talked about last time, we define our growth opportunities in two categories. recovery-based, as our post-pandemic customer base comes back to life, and as new customers and partners engage with us, and new opportunities that we call catalytic growth. These include high-growth adjacencies that leverage our network, including alternate beverage initiatives, and our Revive business. I want to start with Revive, which is our vehicle for driving our Espresso program and also contributes significantly as a white glove equipment maintenance and service business. Revive is in growth mode. Now driving past mid six-figure revenues per month, demand is strong. We are actively in discussion for various levels of warranty and field support with several large coffee equipment manufacturers. In recent months, there has been a clear formalization of what was previously just indicated demand. And that is validating. Our job now is to implement our plans for ramping the hiring of service technicians. We are ramping up our tech support staff and plan to double our team within the next year. We're getting creative there, including working with technical schools to accelerate the sourcing of quality talent. We have several exciting additional catalytic growth opportunities in various stages to develop. including a few alternate beverage programs that I can talk about today. The first is our partnership with Lotus Plant Energy, which produces a line of plant-based energy drinks with natural flavoring and caffeine. We're introducing four SKUs into our DSD network as we speak. Research shows significant crossover between coffee and tea drinkers into energy drinks, and these products skew toward millennial and Gen Z consumers. We believe they fit very well with what we're selling into channels like coffee houses, QSRs, hospitality, and more. A second partnership with New Zealand SERPs company Schott should be in launch mode by the end of the year. Schott has been a huge hit in Australia and New Zealand. It's a disruptive SERPs product built from juice base and without artificial colors or flavors. The sugars and flavors come from a higher juice concentration than used in typical syrups. However, the real innovation is that they can do this in a shelf-stable product that does not require refrigeration. We're working with Schott in New Zealand on manufacturing and supply chain logistics and should be ready to test launch this product in two U.S. markets before year-end. Finally, in the backup of our fiscal 2023, we expect to launch a third partnership with a cold brew concentrate manufacturer. Think of it as a concentrate that can be used in a multitude of coffee drinks like iced lattes, Americanos, natural dispensing, and coffee milkshakes. One other application that is phenomenal in espresso martinis, which potentially opens the product to be the fine dining and bar categories. These are all beverages where hot espresso does not work as well, and because the product is shelf stable and in concentrate form, it can also be a more effective cold brew option for straight coffee drinkers. We're completing work on manufacturing logistics and should be ready to test launch in the first part of calendar 2023. As I wrap up, growth opportunities like these are a big part of the reason I joined Farmer Runners. We have the scale and the network to deliver disruptive products that can help drive top line performance and ultimately show the operating leverage we've built into farmer national footprint. At the same time, we also know we're operating in a really tough environment and are focused on managing short term pressures. We continue to also prune our portfolio when necessary. In the September quarter, we sold two branches for an attractive gain and we also decided to pause investment in our public demand brand in Oregon. This was primarily an online brand, and until we complete work on our consolidated backend e-commerce fulfillment infrastructure, it did not make sense from a cost perspective to operate the brand on a larger scale than needed. As we look ahead, we're cautiously optimistic. I don't want to sugarcoat the near-term inflationary and recession uncertainties, but we do expect fairly rapid gross margin recovery over the next couple of quarters as we flip the script on the near-term pricing impacts. We will also be very focused on managing our costs prudently, and Scott will have more on what we're also working on to improve our working capital position. Before turning the call over to Scott, I wanted to address the news about our changes at the Board level announced this week. We greatly appreciated the ongoing input and engagement with our large shareholders who have supported us on the journey of restoring Farmer Brothers operations, and setting a foundation for profitable growth. We reached an amicable agreement with two of our largest investors and look forward to welcoming two new members to our board, including Brad Radoff here in the immediate term. As we complete the fiscal year, we are also saying goodbye to two highly valued board members in Charles Marcy and Chris Motter, and we greatly appreciate their service and contributions. No one wants to create value for shareholders more than this management team and the board, so we look forward to working with our new colleagues toward that objective. With that, thanks again to all of you, and here's Scott.

speaker
Scott

Thanks, DeVore. My comments today will focus on the first quarter fiscal 2023 financial performance, our margin, and how we're managing the balance sheet, along with some more color on the key initiatives you mentioned. Overall, net sales in the first quarter of fiscal 2023 were $121.4 million, an increase of $13 million, or 12%, from the prior year period. The growth in net sales primarily reflects increased customer pricing on both our DSD and direct ship networks, both of which generated similar sales increases. These results were partially offset by lower volume in both DSD and national accounts compared to the prior year, and the lag in recognition of price increases in the direct ship business. That said, DSD and national account revenues in the current quarter do reflect some of our historic pricing actions, and that is helping offset decreased volume. Volumes, as Devereaux highlighted, were down 13% year-over-year. More than two-thirds of this decline was on the direct ship side. And of that amount, two-thirds was attributable to continuing customers and the rest to exited customers. With continuing customers, a healthy portion of the decline is attributable to inventory drawdowns within just a few of our key accounts. Additional factors impacting volumes include the seasonally weaker summer months, as well as recessionary pressures on consumption. In the first half of the quarter, a COVID resurgence impacted staffing levels and opening status at a number of customers within the DSD businesses that we support. As DeVerl noted, The DSD business has recovered aggressively over the last two months, and in fact, during October, we experienced our highest sales weeks since the start of the pandemic, in about three years. Week-to-week DSD sales are noticeably improved from our first quarter reported results. Breaking down sales a little further, DSD revenue was up nearly 13% year-over-year as we saw continued sales channel success and benefits from the price increases that we had implemented in the prior quarters. Though these increases were not able to keep up with inflation in the most recent quarter. We began implementing additional price and fee increases in our DSC business and the benefits of those will start to materialize in the current fiscal quarter. Our direct ship channel sales also improved nearly 11% during the first quarter of fiscal 2023 compared to the prior year period. Although our direct ship business operates under a cost-plus model and the pricing pressures flow through to our customers per the terms of our various agreements, the timing of price changes naturally lags, and on our fiscal first quarter, that was felt in our margins. As already noted, those contractual increases are merely timing-based per each customer contract and are now appearing in our fiscal second quarter. Total gross profit was $26.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022, compared to the $31.5 million in the prior year period. Gross margin decreased to 21.9% in Q1 of fiscal 23 from 29% for the comparative 2022 fiscal year period. Profitability levels reflect a near-term gap in gross margin performance due to timing and pull-through of contractual price increases with large national accounts and demand-related factors including customer inventory reductions during a seasonally slow period for coffee production, which combine to impact our roasting volumes. Additionally, in prior quarters, we have been able to offset some pricing changes through our hedging program, but those hedges are naturally maturing at higher cost levels each month. and will not have the same beneficial nature in the falling commodity price markets that we are now experiencing. We expect that Q1 will be the low point of our fiscal year on the margin front, and we are already seeing recovery. For perspective, I'll share that of the Q1 year-over-year gross margin decline, a little more than half was attributable to inflationary pressures on DSD margins and the remainder was attributable to the contractual delay in price increase recognition from national accounts. The pricing and margin actions across the business now coming through are expected to drive at least a 200 to 300 basis point improvement in the December quarter with more to come in the latter half of our fiscal year. Hedging impacts and outcomes, which are not core to our operations, are the only other material wildcard that I see as I look forward at our margin recovery story. Further, softening of coffee prices in recent weeks, should that continue, would provide a further tailwind for margins, as we would finally face deflation to a key component of our cost structure. In the first quarter of fiscal 2023, our operating expenses decreased by $2.3 million, or 7%, to $30.9 million, from $33.2 million in the prior year period. As a percentage of net sales, our operating expenses decreased by over 500 basis points to 26% compared to 31% in the prior year period. This decrease was due to modestly higher selling and G&A expenses offset by net gains from the sale of two branch locations during the quarter. The increase in selling expenses was primarily due to an increase in payroll, facility, and fleet inflationary-related costs. The decrease in general and administrative expenses was primarily due to a gain on purchase of assets as a result of the settlement related to the Boyd's acquisition, which included the cancellation of preferred shares and settlement of liabilities. This was partially offset by an increase in contract services. Even when excluding all gains on the sale of assets and preferred shares from this quarter and prior year, the result still leads to meaningful improvement in the operating expense to sales ratio year over year. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $4.9 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2023 compared to income of $3.5 million in the prior year period. And the adjusted EBITDA margin was negative 4% in the first quarter of fiscal 2023 as compared to 3.2% in the prior year period. Our capital expenditures for the three months ended September 30th, 2022 were $3 million, an increase of $400,000 compared to the prior year period. This was primarily due to higher CBE or coffee brewing equipment related capital spend compared to the prior year period as we position our revived business to capitalize on its growth momentum. As of September 30, 2022, the outstanding principal on our revolver and term loan credit facilities was $114 million, an increase of $5.4 million from June 30, 2022. Our cash balance was $7.6 million as of September 30, 2022, a decline of a little over $2 million. Our net reduction in liquidity during the quarter was due to the continued impact of higher product and operating costs. These uses of cash were partially offset by cash proceeds from the sale of branch properties during the quarter. I would also note that despite inventory purchases and inflationary impacts, our overall inventory balance was down in September compared to our June fiscal year-end level. We noted our attention would turn to working capital efficiencies once we completed our work on the debt structure, so it is nice to see improvement, and I will comment more on this in a moment. But first, as announced in late August, we completed a successful refinancing of our ABL credit facility consisting of a new five-year $47 million first lien secured credit facility with increased covenant flexibility. This refinancing was structured as a low-cost transactional amendment for a previously amended facility and is expected to provide the company with approximately $2 million in cash savings per year compared to the cost of our previous debt structure. In addition to lowering the interest rate and extending the maturity, the refinancing eliminates the minimum adjusted EBITDA covenant and allows for 15-year amortization on principal payments. The structure gives us enhanced flexibility as we prepare for a number of the growth initiatives that DeVirl has highlighted today. It has also set the stage for the comprehensive company-wide working capital and systems improvement initiative that DeVirl headlined earlier. Just to add a little more color, when we complete this work, we'll be able to substantially improve our working capital management. with access to critical tools, data, and new processes needed to manage the natural swings in pricing and costs that are inherent in the coffee business. This project affects operating procedures, metrics, reporting practices, contracts, and agreements with customers and vendors, and closely ties into our IT roadmap work, which includes defining the requirements for the systems we use and will be using to operate the business well into the future. We also expect some efficiency benefits as all of this is fully implemented over the coming quarters. As an initial step to these efforts, in the coming days, we're bringing online a new operations planning and ordering tool, which will allow for simultaneous users and collaborative workspaces that will provide improved data, documentation, visibility, and clarify all responsibilities in a low-cost, stable environment. We think the timing of this project works in our favor as margins recover from Q1 levels, providing the opportunity to focus more on reducing our leverage. We will gain valuable information that will help to accelerate our previously noted and ongoing optimization efforts. Wrapping up. On paper, this was clearly a tough quarter, but we view the impacts on margin and profitability as largely short-term in nature, and that view is supported by positive trends we're seeing here in the first part of our fiscal Q2. We do not think that our progress towards higher sales, higher margins, and higher profitability has been derailed, only delayed by the factors noted. We continue to execute on profitable growth initiatives from customer growth to new products and achievement of internal operating efficiencies and working capital improvement. Of course, the additional headwinds for macro uncertainties will play a role in our performance looking forward. But we are confident that we're in a good position to again build positive momentum into the business as we move through fiscal 2023.

speaker
DeVore

With that, I'll now turn the call back over to DeVerlo. We will now begin the question and answer session.

speaker
Operator

To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your hands up before pressing the keys. If you have a dry question, please press star then 2.

speaker
DeVore

At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question will come from Jerry Sweeney with Roth Capital.

speaker
Operator

You may now go ahead.

speaker
Jerry

Good afternoon, Deval. Scott, thanks for taking my call.

speaker
Deverell Massarang

Thank you, Jerry.

speaker
Jerry

I wanted to start on the margins. Obviously, a little bit of a disappointment there, and I know you spent a little bit of time on the call on it, and I think you said half DSP, half direct ship, and Just wanted to understand it a little bit more clearly. It sounds as though, and correct me if I'm wrong, that there were hedges. I'm not sure if the hedges began to roll off, but even at that point, the hedges reduced your cost of goods sold. So when they did roll off, cost of your coffee went up. And this was not, I guess... And that increase in cost was not accounted for in higher pricing with your customers at that given point. Did I summarize that correctly?

speaker
Scott

Yeah. Yeah, Jerry, you did. You got that right. And just the easier side, like the national account side, you know, where it's just a contractual delay. You're exactly right. The hedges were basically maturing. People were using their hedges over the last year. And so if you imagine that, because coffee prices have been in that 220 to 240 range for quite a while, many months. And if you had hedged like most people do in a six-month, nine-month, 12-month window, then what was happening is really until very, very recently, Q4 and Q1, you were effectively, because of your hedges, having much lower price cost of coffee. The hedging program worked. And really what we're trying to portray there is that the acceleration of that cost has been much more dramatic. So that's the impact before we can pass that through to those accounts.

speaker
Jerry

So the key question here is, and I think people will probably want to understand this, you know, why did it stop working? Because the hedges rolled off? And was that you? Was that the customer? Or was this some kind of mechanics in the contract that the contract rolled over because it was a new year and there was a gap? This is, you know, I'm trying to figure this out. all out.

speaker
Deverell Massarang

Yeah, let me answer it this way, Jerry. Let's just get right to the cut to the chase. What was the surprise for us? And it really was, for the surprise on margin to the question you're asking, it really comes back to one was on the volume side. Large national account businesses were working off inventory in the queue. And if you remember during that queue, we had a lot of national customers and companies had taken on additional inventory, bought product, and then they got long, and the demand was not yet there in early July and August. It didn't start to come back until the back half of the key. So the recession was impacting them. The reduction in orders was a surprise for us, and the volume we projected didn't come through. And we'll need to replatform that current reality if that continues, and we're watching that incredibly closely. Point two, pricing. And the pricing, as Scott just alluded to, was reflective of the hedging rolling off. And then we're now, in one case, our largest impacted customer that we serve impacted us and didn't get the price change per the contractual arrangement until October 15th. And so now we're seeing that and we'll make that up in the coming queue as reflective of what occurred in the last queue. So those were the two things that We didn't think what happened to the level they did. They have or have, and we're now reacting and doing many of the things that Scott pointed out in his comments in the prepared remarks.

speaker
Scott

Yeah, and just plain and simple on the DSD side, Jerry, hedging is a part of it, but we simply didn't keep pricing ahead of all the inflationary pressures, you know, in coffee and all the other things we're facing like everyone else is as well. It was just a simple fact.

speaker
Jerry

No, and I get that.

speaker
Scott

We have new pricing going in in November and, you know, effective kind of December 4th.

speaker
Deverell Massarang

So let me just say another thing, Jerry, because you're going to probably ask this question. I think it's imprudent that we just get out there and answer it directly. And that's, you know, how are these margins going to trend throughout the rest of the fiscal 23, which obviously is a tag-on to the question you're asking. And we believe recovery is underway based on the data and the information we're looking at in the current queue. And volumes, as we said in the prepared remarks, We had our best week in DSD, literally, pre-pandemic. We expect to be back on our targeted trajectory, exiting this fiscal year into Q3 and Q4. And we'll caveat that by, you know, the macro uncertainty, but we're going to have to take, you know, pricing. And we've got a pricing move that's coming up in this current month. And we have other levers in place that we are working through. If the economic picture darkens further, but the overall impacts of the economy are still somewhat unclear, and we realize that we're going to have to play knowing that that's the case until it reverses and we see more pickup on the inflationary side, meaning that inflationary reduces.

speaker
Jerry

Got it. Are you seeing any let up on the inflationary side? Obviously, green coffee beans. Any let up on inflationary side?

speaker
Deverell Massarang

Yeah, we had seen some trucking rates, fuel to a degree. But I know you watch the news closely as we do. And, you know, we're watching this diesel impact, given that we're the lowest levels of diesel in the U.S. in who knows how long. That impact is obviously concerning. So we're looking at options to, you know, from, you know, rail. But then, you know, post the midterms, we, you know, let's see what we see in the rail situation in the country. We're hopeful that That, you know, doesn't go in a negative way, or trucking, you know, surcharges increase because diesel are deciding to take a further run up, which would impact. And also, the other thing that we're really positive on that will help mitigate some of those, let's say, U.S. inflationary impacts is the fact that for the first time, just as we've seen coffee break, you know, and come down, we saw 169% Literally in the last two weeks, it came back up over the last couple of days. We're expecting that to continue to trend in that until the harvest comes in. But here's the other big impact is we know that differentials had been historically at the all-time high, and we saw massive breaks in differentials in the recent weeks toward the downside, which is also going to be helpful to a large portion of our cost basis. So those are a couple.

speaker
Jerry

Got it. How long does it take for lower coffee prices, green coffee prices to work into the system?

speaker
Scott

Yeah, so that's an interesting one. Again, I'll break it into two parts because on the national account or the direct ship side, we work with those customers and it's really their book. Each of them, we help them with the trading and with the industry insights and the market insights, but they all kind of build the book to their own specifications. So It's a variable answer on that side of the business. But again, even as prices fall, we'll follow the contractual norms. So we will always be on kind of the historical cost structure of the prior 90 days as we go forward and keep rolling that forward. So there'll be a, just like there was a lag in the pricing going up, there'll be a lag in the pricing coming down. Some of those customers will start to see the benefit of lower pricing within You know, I'd say just one or two quarters. Some of them, it's much further. Some of them have hedged out, you know, nine months, even 12 months. So it'll be a longer tail on those customers. For us personally on our DSD account, we have been kind of trending the market closely.

speaker
Operator

Please wait one moment as I reconnect the speaker line. Okay, I've joined the speaker line back in. Jerry, your line is still open.

speaker
Jerry

Hey, Scott, I lost you at DSD. You went through direct ship. Yeah.

speaker
Scott

Apologies. Apologies. System. I don't know what happened to maybe a power issue in the building or something, but we got dropped. What we will do. Yeah. So DSD, you can tell if you, if you look closely at the materials in our, in our queues, that the amount of hedges we have out there, but effectively what I can say is that based on market conditions of what we've been seeing recently is that we've been shortening up our hedge book quite a bit. So we will have benefit from these lower costs. If the lower costs continue in the back half of the fiscal year. We won't have to wait for six, nine, 12 months. In the back half of this fiscal year, you said? Sorry.

speaker
spk00

Yes.

speaker
Scott

The March quarter and the June quarter will start to have some good benefit from the lower cost if they continue. Got it. Okay.

speaker
Jerry

Switching gears to maybe the growth side, Revive. You made a comment about doubling workforce, I think, over the course of the year. Now, Revive is a new business. per se, right? You white-labeled it. Maybe not necessarily a new business, but how many techs do you have in that business? Because you did have techs before you white-labeled it. So I'm just curious as to what really that baseline is on the doubling of the tech.

speaker
Deverell Massarang

You're right, and it's not a new business, but it's new in the context that we're expanding the third-party areas that previously were offered out to third-parties It's new in the context that we're adding new manufacturers across the board that we did not provide service and support for. And it's also new in the context that we're adding accounts that are copy type customers that have equipment that can be serviced and that we're servicing that. Our current baseline is 120 at the present, roughly, and growing weekly. And We have excess demand that we are covering as we add new techs in key markets where the demand is incredibly strong and unmet. And that's what gives us excitement that these avenues of increasing the current amount that we have been handling, we know is real and it's profitable and it's created to the business. And it will make our overall network, both on the DSD side and the customers we've served there today that we're serving heavily through third party, we'll be able to add those with the Revive Tech and then add non-DSD Farmer Brothers accounts, be it manufacturers or other clients that want this service. So it's very exciting and we'll start continuing to report more and more as this is becoming a substantial impact on our overall network.

speaker
Jerry

I think you said in the prepared remarks, mid six-digit type revenue on a monthly basis for Revive, correct? Yes. But you have 120 techs. A lot of those techs, a portion of them, are servicing your DSD or existing clients, and that revenue is baked into coffee prices that those clients pay for. So that does not that six-digit revenue doesn't necessarily reflect that. So if you double your base of tax, that's projecting, I'm assuming that's going to be a substantial type of revenue opportunity. Do you understand what I'm saying?

speaker
Deverell Massarang

Absolutely. We agree with you on that point. And I would also tell you that with the new general manager we brought in to lead this business to really take it to the next level, he would tell you that even on existing DSD customers that we're starting to change the way we evaluate the service of those with a kind of a platinum, gold, silver approach, some cases selling them equipment, some cases then selling them a service contract to that equipment, some cases having a service contract only, or in large accounts that purchase volume in the traditional way, we're providing that service, but we're also changing the frequency by which we service on a periodic basis for maintenance. And then if it's something that comes in and it's a one-off that they're asking for a frequent service and their machine is in good order, but somehow it continues to break, we're looking at ways to charge for those services where it becomes well above the cost basis of what we had projected. Lots of different work we're doing to model this out. But to your point, it's going to be higher per tech that we add and total revenue per technician as we go forward and get to this potential of doubling here in the next 12 months. So it should become, as we're seeing it now and as we've not reported in the past, how big we think Revive can be. We're much more pro in terms of the size and the overall margin impact it could have to the business. So we're not yet prepared to give you a range of just how big it can be, but we're trying to start to tee that up as we've done the last two quarters and give you a better sense. And we'll get deeper and deeper into that to give you more information as we continue to grow it. And right now we just land one of our first largest manufacturing contracts that we're executing. And that's really exciting. And we expect that, you know, more of those are here to come. And if we have the techs to service it, the demand is already there.

speaker
Jerry

Got it. How about I know you don't want to project on how big it can get, but profitability.

speaker
Scott

Yeah, the beauty of that model, as we've talked about a little bit, is the core cost of that business is already in our financial numbers. It's been a part of the business because of DSD for many years. So all of the incremental dollars that we add, primarily in tax, we're adding because they're accretive to the business. So I like to think of it as a highly leverageable model. And yes, we will have some cost increases, but they're more than justified by the revenue increases. And again, as DeVerell said, we're in this kind of unique spot that we're very fortunate of is we are fulfilling demand. We're not having to identify and chase demand. We're literally at this point fulfilling demand as quickly as we can with tech. So we'll kind of keep you abreast on when that changes, but we think that's quite a runway, you know, for the next several quarters at least of just being in that mode.

speaker
Deverell Massarang

The obvious question that most people ask is, well, you know, with labor the way it is today, how do you think you're even going to get one additional tech, much less doubling of your current, over the next 12 months. And the reality is we're going to, we changed our recruiting model, which is effectively working right now. It's point one. Point two, we are working with a large tech service school here where we'll be actually training and minting new techs through a technical school with our curriculum and their curriculum combined, and then giving these folks a job as soon as they come out of the of the tech school and then into the workforce with a training program that our new head of learning and development training is helping develop. And that's why we have some assurance that we're very bullish on Revive in the present structure because we've cracked the code. And I think even in this environment, we know we can win and we're going to do everything in our power because nothing better than having a piece of your business that you're not chasing demand. The demand is there if you can learn to fill it and execute against it with good margins and higher margins because of the cost base that Scott just alluded to. We'll be leveraging that fixed asset that's there today.

speaker
Jerry

Got it. I'll jump back in line. I appreciate it, guys.

speaker
DeVore

All right, Jerry. Thank you. You bet, Jerry. Thanks. It appears there are no further questions.

speaker
Jerry

Jerry, if you have any follow-ups, you may present them now.

speaker
Jerry

I'm in good shape. Thank you.

speaker
Jerry

Okay. This concludes our conference. I'd like to turn it back over to Deval for any closing remarks.

speaker
Deverell Massarang

Thanks for the questions. I'll close by saying that while we're disappointed with the outcome of the quarter, that disappointment should prove short-lived. Near term, we are recapturing momentum as we get through the lag impact of our price increases, and we believe that we are positioned well heading into the lower coffee price environment with a shorter hedge position in our book. Most important for the long term, we have not been distracted from foundational initiatives underway to achieve farmers' potential. Those initiatives include the optimization we've made to our business operations, winning new customers, broadening and modernizing the product portfolio we push through our national distribution footprint and investing in the systems that will make us more nimble. All these initiatives, along with better data and insights, should drive higher levels of performance. We appreciate our investors' interest and support and look forward to keeping you posted on our progress.

speaker
DeVore

Have a great evening. Thank you. The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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