2/24/2022

speaker
Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Fox Factory Holding Corporation's fourth quarter 2021 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. Please note this conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to your host, Vivek Bakuni, Senior Director of Investor Relations and Business Development. Thank you, sir. You may begin.

speaker
Vivek Bakuni

Thank you. Good afternoon and welcome to Fox Factory's fourth quarter 2021 earnings conference call. I'm joined today by Mike Dennison, our Chief Executive Officer, and Scott Humphrey, our Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. First, Mike will provide business updates. Then Scott will review the quarter and full year financial results, and then the outlook, followed by closing remarks from Mike. We will then open the call up for your questions. By now, everyone should have access to the earnings release. which went out today at approximately 4 or 5 Eastern Time. If you have not had a chance to review the release, it's available on the investor relations portion of our website at investor.rightfox.com. Please note that throughout this call, we will refer to Fox Factory as Fox or the company. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that the prepared remarks contain forward-looking statements and management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. Such statements involve a number of known and unknown uncertainties, many of which are outside the company's control and can cause future results, performance, or achievements to differ significantly from the results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Important factors and risks that could cause or contribute to such differences are detailed in the company's latest Form 10-Q and in the Annual Report or Form 10-K. filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except, as required by law, the company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking or other statements herein, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. In addition, where appropriate in today's prepared remarks and within our earnings release, we will refer to non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate our business, as we believe these are useful metrics that better reflect the performance of our business on an ongoing basis. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures with their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are included in today's press release, which has also been posted on our website. And with that, it is my pleasure to turn the call over to our CEO, Mike Dennison.

speaker
Mike Dennison

Thank you, V, and good afternoon. We appreciate everyone taking the time to join us for today's call. We all thought 2020 was a remarkable year, but 2021 was equally challenging, if not more. And Q4 presented one of the most intense operating environments of the year. We experienced pronounced supply chain challenges and lost production hours, along with being required to shut down one factory in North America due to COVID cases. These challenges kept us from achieving our sixth consecutive record revenue quarter and consequently carried an increased level of backlog into Q1. That said, I'm pleased to report fourth quarter sales of $342.3 million, an increase of 30.5% compared to the fourth quarter sales of last year. The Fox team worked tirelessly and creatively to deliver phenomenal revenue growth. In the fourth quarter, we reported earnings per diluted share of $0.89 versus $0.75 in the same period last year, an increase of 18.7% quarter on quarter. We also reported non-gap adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.06 versus $0.90, an increase of 17.8% over the fourth quarter in 2020. We continue to prove that our collective resiliency and strength carry us through during these unique times. I am really proud of how the Fox team has demonstrated perseverance, dedication, and adaptability in this dynamic operating environment, delivering near 46% annual year-on-year revenue growth rate. the highest ever since we went public in 2013. We finished the year with annual revenue just shy of $1.3 billion, making it our first calendar year where we eclipsed $1 billion in annual revenue. As these macro obstacles worsened in the fourth quarter, our team continued to out-innovate, outpace, and out-think our peers to deliver performance-defining results, just like our products. I am happy to report that we also completed the acquisition of Shock Therapy at the tail end of the fourth quarter. Shock Therapy is a provider of high-performance suspension tuning services to the off-road industry. Their services are unique due to their extensive research and testing, which results in the best possible system for each application, whether it's in racing or off-road recreation. In addition, we anticipate Shock Therapy will extend Fox's competitive edge by bringing a strong direct-to-consumer channel for parts and ride improvement systems. We expect this acquisition will help us increase our services business by creating a meaningful and personalized ecosystem around our enthusiast and consumer. Let us take a closer look at the business, starting with Specialty Sports Group. This was our seventh consecutive record revenue quarter as it delivered 46.7% revenue growth on a quarter-over-quarter basis. The primary reason we have been able to deliver such staggering numbers, quarter over quarter, is due to the team's ability to not only anticipate industry demand fluctuations, but also to scale and accelerate production while managing supply chain inflation and labor challenges. We continue to optimize our capacity and labor expansion plans in Taiwan as we keep a finger on the pulse of demand, which continues to stay very robust. As I've mentioned in the prior calls, we have a good view of demand through 2022, for both OEM and aftermarket channels, which provides a reasonable confidence in our current outlook. We are starting to see a slight improvement in the inventory levels and increased replenishment in certain geographies and at certain price points. In our current view, we believe it will take five to eight months to meet the existing customer demand level and another nine to 12 months to fully replenish depleted inventory levels. We continue to invest in our development process to improve upon our innovation in speed-to-market capabilities as Fox, Marzocchi, and our race-based products continue to lead the industry. A couple of highlights of innovation. The newly launched Fox 34 won the Suspension Product of the Year by Outside Magazine. Fox was also the number one brand for purchase intent for both front suspension and rear shocks, as rated in the two largest North American media sites as well as two of Europe's premier media outlets, EMTB and Enduro MTB. Shifting to our powered vehicles group, Q4 marked another remarkable revenue quarter led by an 18.6% quarter-over-quarter growth in sales, driven by our uplifting business and the aftermarket channels. Our order book continues to grow. However, the ongoing supply chain challenges continue to affect our ability to meet the increased demand for our products by our end users. We are optimizing and unlocking new ways to mitigate the macroeconomic pressures we face while leveraging the power of our brand to expand our relationships in both the aftermarket and the OEM side of the business. We remain confident in our ability to continue this growth trajectory and expect to leverage the efficiencies created by our Gainesville facility as previously discussed. I am also pleased to report that the facility transition from California to Georgia is complete. and the final closure actions of our Watsonville, California operation are underway now. Turning to OEM partnerships in the last couple of months, we have released several innovative solutions for our OEM partners, which reinforce the exclusivity of our brand. In the world of power sports, Polaris launched RZR Pro R and Turbo R Ultimate, which feature our live valve X2 shocks. These are the most capable dampers in the off-road industry. In addition, We had some exciting new launches in automotive. Starting with the much anticipated Bronco Raptor, we are thrilled to expand our relationship with Ford. Bronco Raptor features our live valve shocks derived from Fox's Desert Racing winning heritage. In addition, Ford also introduced our live valve internal bypass for the new Ranger Raptor, which is slated to launch around the world in 2022 and make its U.S. debut in 2023. In addition, We expanded our relationship with Toyota, where our Fox 2.5 inch internal bypass features in all the new TRD Pro Tundra and Sequoia platforms. And lastly, in the motorcycle space, we recently expanded our relationship with Indian motorcycles. In the upcoming 2022 Indian Challenger and Indian Pursuit, we are introducing Fox electronic preload shock technology, which delivers dynamic control over shock adjustments, delivering both comfort and performance to the rider. Moving on to our accomplishments in the world of motorsports. Our live valve technology earned another overall win with Justin Lofton at the Best in the Desert race in October. At the Baja 1000, Cameron Steele put live valve on the podium with a third-place finish overall. And Rob McCackren and Luke McMillan teamed up to claim the overall win, making a clean sweep of all four major Baja races in 2021 for Fox and the second consecutive Baja 1000 win for McMillan. The duo's win was also enough to clinch the SCORE Trophy Truck Points Championship. In addition, Phil Blurton claimed the Pro-UTV Turbo and Overall Series Points Championship. An extra special congratulations to our very own Director of Motorsports, Bobby Smith, and his navigator, Motorsports Mechatronics Engineer, Isaac Chapluck, on winning the Pro-UTV Naturally Aspirated Class with Team Honda. To be successful in our vision, we aren't just making investments to meet the historic level of demand. We have always said product innovation is the cornerstone of our growth strategy. Even in this inflationary environment, we have not taken our foot off the pedal, increasing R&D spending by nearly $4 million in the fourth quarter versus the prior year. Once again, the story on the continued challenges from labor to input costs, freight, and supply chain have increased in strength from prior quarter. Material costs continued to increase throughout the fourth quarter, and we did our best to keep up with inflation through pricing changes, and we'll continue to evaluate our pricing strategy to minimize margin compression. Looking forward, we hope to see easing in the supply chain during the second half of the year, but inflationary challenges could persist longer. Finally, we are constantly looking for ways to improve. The fact that we delivered 46% year-on-year revenue growth in such a volatile operating environment deserves to be celebrated. I thank each and every single member of our Fox family to help us challenge the impossible every day. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Scott.

speaker
Q4

Thanks, Mike. Good afternoon, everyone. I'll begin by going over our fourth quarter and full year financial results and then review our guidance. Sales in the fourth quarter of 2021 were $342.3 million, an increase of 30.5%. versus sales of $262.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Our powered vehicles group delivered an 18.6% increase in sales compared to the fourth quarter of 2020, primarily due to increased demand in their aftermarket channels, including strong performance in our upfitting product lines. Moving to the specialty sports group, SSG delivered a 46.7% increase in sales in the fourth quarter compared to the same quarter last year, due primarily to increased demand across all channels, as well as capacity expansion. On a full-year basis, sales were $1,299.1 million versus $890.6 million in the same period last year, an increase of 45.9%. This jump in full-year sales is driven by increased demand across all of our product lines. PVG's growth is primarily driven by strong performance from our upfitting product lines, the inclusion of a full year of revenue from our SCA subsidiary, and increased demand in our aftermarket channels. Additionally, our prior year results were negatively impacted by production shutdowns at a majority of our PVG OEM partners due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Fox Factories' gross margin was 31.3% in the fourth quarter of 2021, a 50 basis point decrease from 31.8% in the same period in the prior year. For the fourth quarter of 2021, non-GAAP adjusted gross margin decreased by 40 basis points to 31.6% versus Q4 of 2020. The decrease in gross margin was primarily driven by higher inflationary pressures on all fronts including labor, material, and freight costs. This was marginally offset by favorable product and channel mix compared to Q4 2020, led by higher volume sales in our specialty sports group and strong performance in our power sports and upsetting product lines. On an annual basis, both our gross margin and our non-GAAP adjusted gross margin increased 80 basis points to 33.3% and 33.5% respectively. The increase in full-year 2021 gross margin was primarily due to higher volume sales in our specialty sports group, strong performance from our upfitting product lines, the inclusion of a full year of SCA's results in our powered vehicles group, as well as favorable product and channel mix. Total operating expenses were $64.2 million or 18.8% of sales in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to $45.8 million or 17.5% of sales in the fourth quarter of last year. The increase in operating expenses in Q4 2021 was primarily due to higher employee-related costs, increased commission costs, and investments to right-size our back office infrastructure. Looking at non-GAAP operating expenses as a percentage of sales, our non-GAAP operating expenses increased by 170 basis points to 16.7% in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to 15% in the same period in the prior year. Focusing on operating expenses in more detail, sales and marketing expenses increased approximately 4.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to the fourth quarter of 2020 primarily due to higher commissions of $3 million. Research and development costs increased approximately $3.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to the fourth quarter of 2020, primarily due to personnel investments to support future growth and product innovation. General and administrative expenses increased by approximately $9.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2021 due to higher employee-related costs of $2.5 million as well as increases in various other costs as we continue to right-size our administrative support functions. On a full year basis, operating expenses were $235.4 million, or 18.1% of sales, compared to $175.4 million, or 19.7% of sales in the same period in the prior year, a decrease of 160 basis points. Our non-GAAP operating expenses as a percent of sales increased by 30 basis points going from 139.4 million and 15.7% of sales in 2020 to 207.8 million and 16% of sales in 2021. On a full year basis, sales and marketing spend increased by approximately 18.7 million compared to the same period in the prior year, primarily due to commissions of 11.8 million. But as a percentage of revenue, the spend decreased by 40 basis points in the full year of 2021 versus the prior year. Research and development dollar spend increased by approximately $12.3 million for the full year 2021 as compared to the same period in the prior year due to personnel investments to support future growth and product innovation. As a percentage of revenue, however, research and development spend decreased by 30 basis points in 2021 versus the prior year. Lastly, general and administrative dollar spend increased by $25.9 million in full year 2021 as compared to the prior year, but was lower as a percentage of revenue by 50 basis points. The increase in dollar spend in fiscal year 2021 is due to higher employee-related costs of $18 million, as well as various other investments of $5.1 million. These increases were partially offset by lower acquisition-related costs of $9.3 million, and lower litigation expenses of $1.1 million. For the fourth quarter of 2021, our effective tax rate was 9.6%. This rate was lower than our estimated full year 2021 range in guidance of 15 to 19%. The decrease in the rate versus our earlier expectation was primarily due to the benefit from a lower tax rate on our U.S. foreign derived earnings. On a GAAP basis, net income attributable to Fox in the fourth quarter of 2021 was $37.7 million, or $0.89 per diluted share, compared to $31.8 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, in the same period in the prior year. For the full year 2021, net income attributable to Fox was $163.8 million, or $3.87 per diluted share, compared to $90.7 million, or $2.22 per diluted share in the prior year period. Non-GAAP adjusted net income was 44.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2021, an increase of approximately 6.6 million, or 17.2%, compared to 38.2 million in the fourth quarter of last year. We delivered $1.06 of non-GAAP adjusted earnings per diluted share in the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to $0.90 in the fourth quarter of 2020. On a full year basis, non-GAAP adjusted net income was $190.8 million, an increase of approximately $67 million, or 54.1%, compared to $123.8 million in the same period in the prior year. On a full year basis, we delivered $4.50 non-GAAP adjusted earnings per diluted share, compared to $3.03 in the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 19.1% to $61.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to $51.2 million in the same quarter last year. However, adjusted EBITDA margin decreased by 170 basis points to 17.8% in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to 19.5% in the fourth quarter of 2020. The decrease in EBITDA margin in the fourth quarter of 2021 is primarily due to higher inflationary pressures as discussed earlier, partially offset by the impact of higher sales. On a full year basis, adjusted EBITDA increased by 49.7% to $263.9 million as compared to the same period in the prior year, and the adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 50 basis points to 20.3% versus last year. Now focusing on our balance sheet. For the fourth quarter, which ended on December 31st, 2021, compared to our 2020 year end on January 1st, 2021, we ended with cash on hand of $179.7 million compared to $245.8 million. Accounts receivable was $142 million compared to $121.2 million. Inventory was $279.8 million compared to $127.1 million. Prepaid and other current assets was $123.1 million compared to $87.9 million. And accounts payable was $100 million compared to $92.4 million. The increase in inventory as of year-end is primarily due to additional raw material purchases to mitigate risks associated with supply chain uncertainty and higher input costs. As we see the supply chain pressures beginning to ease, we will work on reversing this trend to facilitate better free cash flow generation. The increase in prepaid and other current assets as of year end is primarily driven by deposits for securing chassis for our upfitting business, which has been experiencing significant growth. The changes in accounts receivable and accounts payable reflect business growth as well as the timing of vendor payments. Our net property, plant, and equipment increased to $192 million as of December 31, 2021, compared to $163.3 million at the end of fiscal year 2020, reflecting capital expenditures of $54.8 million for the year. The increase primarily reflects investments in our manufacturing facility in Gainesville, Georgia. Goodwill increased to $323.3 million as of December 31, 2021, compared to $289.3 million as of January 1, 2021, primarily due to our acquisition of Outside Van in the second quarter and Shock Therapy in the fourth quarter. Now turning to guidance. For the first quarter of 2022, we expect sales in the range of $325 million to $340 million. and non-GAAP adjusted earnings per diluted share in the range of $1 to $1.20 per share. For the fiscal year 2022, the company expects sales in the range of $1,435,000,000 to $1,465,000,000, adjusted EBITDA margin in the range of 20% to 22%. and non-GAAP adjusted earnings per diluted share in the range of $4.90 to $5.20. For our 2022 full-year tax guidance, we expect our tax rate to be in the range of 11% to 15%. The low end of the tax guidance is due to changes in international tax law, which went into effect in the month of January. We are currently evaluating this potential benefit, which would result in a lower tax rate in Q1 related to our foreign tax credits. In addition, we continue to expect some quarterly fluctuations in tax rate to occur during the year. We expect CapEx for 2022 to be in line with our long-term range of 4% to 5% of sales. I'd also like to note that we're not providing guidance on GAAP EPS as it cannot be provided without unreasonable efforts due to the difficulty of actually predicting the elements necessary to provide such guidance and reconciliations. Finally, as we all know, the business world is adapting to the new normal. We continue to work closely with our suppliers and our customers to overcome the evolving challenges presented by the inflationary macroeconomic environment. As positive as we may feel about our prospects in 2022, we remain cautious in our outlook as we see lingering signs of some cost pressures in the first half of the year, along with revenue mix normalization. As our understanding of the global business environment evolves, we plan to provide incremental updates each quarter regarding our expectations for 2022. With that, I would like to turn the call back over to Mike.

speaker
Mike Dennison

Thank you, Scott. We are incredibly proud of the way our team has delivered stellar results in 2021 through their sheer perseverance, commitment, and impeccable execution. As we celebrate our success, we completely acknowledge the multidimensional challenges ahead of us, be it from pandemic or macroeconomic factors. Hence, we will continue to make significant investments in products, people, and technology, all while maintaining a fortress balance sheet. We believe our world-class team, financial discipline, and our relentless focus on delivering best-in-class products to our ever-growing base of performance-driven enthusiasts will enable us to continue delivering against our consumers' and shareholders' expectations. I would now like to open the call for questions, operator.

speaker
Operator

And at this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press star and 1 on your touch-tone phone. Again, that is star and 1 if you would like to ask a question. You can remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing the pound key. We'll take our first question from Larry Solo with CJS Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Larry Solo

Yes, hi, it's Pete Lucas for Larry. You discussed price increases in the latter portion of 2021 to keep up with inflation. How have these been received by customers, and do you think it was enough considering the acceleration that you have seen in inflation?

speaker
Pete Lucas

Yeah, Pete, good question. This is Mike. You know, I My perspective is throughout kind of the Q3 period, Q2 and Q3 period, we started to implement price increases that took effect in Q3 and Q4 across the board, basically on every product line that we have. At the time, we felt those would offset the inflation we were seeing in costs and all functions of our businesses. I think we did a pretty good job. It's always a spectrum of how much our customers will accept price increases. In the end, we got all the price increases accomplished that we were looking for at the time, so the answer is yes, we were successful in doing it. I would say it covered the inflation that we saw at the time, but inflation continues, and so whether or not we have to do more price increases in Q1 is really the question. And that answer is yet to be determined. Parts of our business have more price elasticity than others, and so we'll have to be very thoughtful about where we deploy those price increases in the first part of this year. But clearly, and I've said this in prior earnings calls, the dynamics of our world today mean that instead of doing annual price increases, you might have to do quarterly price increases, and we're well equipped to go do that if that's necessary. So there's always a little bit of a lag between inflation costs that occur in our factories and getting the pricing to our customers to cover those costs, I think that's going to continue to persist as we understand inflation and how it goes forward.

speaker
Larry Solo

Great. Helpful. Thanks. And next, can you speak on the ongoing capacity expansion in Taiwan for specialty sports? And can you update us on the transition to manufacturing power vehicles? Is most of that heavy lifting complete? And do you think that this becomes a tailwind for you going into 22?

speaker
Pete Lucas

I think in both cases, Taiwan and in Gainesville, it's a tailwind going into 22. In Taiwan specifically, a lot of that capacity expansion was done in the back half of last year and is coming online now. So there's still productivity objectives. The team is out working. But as you can see in the growth rates of SSG, that capacity has been not only delivered on time and where necessary but and it's therefore allowed us to grow probably faster than most of the people in that industry most of the companies in that industry but i think we're well positioned for 22 based on the capacity that we've added so we're in really good shape in in taiwan for 2022. in gainesville as i mentioned in the prepared remarks we did get the rest of the watsonville transfer to georgia complete in the quarter which obviously causes lots of challenges in the quarter because it's just not easy to do when you have so much robust demand. And created some of the incremental backlog that we saw in the end of the quarter going into Q1. So, you know, that transfer, the last lines have been moved. We're just doing cleanup in Watsonville now, which really sets the table for 2022 and what we have to go do in Gainesville, which, as Scott and I have talked about in the past, you know, we'll deliver 250 to 350 basis points of margin expansion in in our legacy business. So, yeah, we're really excited to get that done. It wasn't fun. It was pretty painful. But, you know, we've got that achieved, accomplished, and we're kind of ready to go.

speaker
Larry Solo

Great. And last one for me, given the rapid growth in sales and employees you've seen over the last 18 months in a challenging labor market, can you update us on where we are today? Is the bulk of the hiring done? And how have you seen – What have you seen in terms of increase in attrition and turnover, if any?

speaker
Pete Lucas

Yeah, both of those answers are a bit geographical. So in Taiwan, we've had significant increases in workforce to deliver the results that we've delivered. It's pretty sustainable. It's pretty predictable in Taiwan. The team has done a great job in a very low unemployment country, by the way. Their unemployment rates are near zero. So some of our capacity expansion means diversifying our footprint in Taiwan so we can get to fresh labor pools, if you will. And I think the team's done a great job of doing that. So I think when I think about labor in Taiwan, I'm pretty comfortable with where we're at. I do think the risk in Taiwan is a function of Omicron or COVID in some variant. Taiwan has been spared a lot of that pain that the rest of the world has undergone. And we always have to be aware that that could be a significant headwind if something materialized in Taiwan. Don't know that it will, but we should just keep that in mind. In terms of Gainesville, employing people in North America has been more challenging throughout the last year. It hasn't gotten worse. It's just been an ongoing challenge of people returning to work, wanting to return to work. And, of course, as you know, at the very end of Q4 and early Q1, you know, the Omicron variant made it very difficult to run large population factories. So, you know, more so than kind of the turnover of employment from just normal turnover or your normal labor turnover, I'd say COVID's had an oversized impact on trying to keep a workforce predictable in North America.

speaker
Pete

Very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Anna

The next question comes from Anna Glaskin with Jefferies. Your line is open.

speaker
Anna Glaskin

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking our questions. I believe in the prepared comments you said, you know, looking forward to easing in the back half and supply chain headwinds. I guess, could you put a finer point on what's embedded in the 2022 guidance around this? Are you embedding meaningful improvement or maybe more moderate? Any perspective would be helpful.

speaker
Pete Lucas

Yeah, Anna, We're embedding pretty moderate improvement. I don't think we're going to assume that the improvement happens until we actually see it. I think Scott and I both believe and the team believes that we'll see that easing in Q2, but that's not really forecasted into our numbers at this point. So if we saw more easing, if we saw an increased pace of easing, I think that would just help us. But, you know, we tend to run fairly conservative in our estimates, and our estimates are a reflection of kind of what we see today versus what we hope to see sometime in Q2.

speaker
Anna Glaskin

Great, thanks. And then turning to the inventory growth, you know, pretty significant in the quarter. Could you maybe unpack this growth, maybe how much is related to cost inflation versus, you know, higher units compared to last year?

speaker
Q4

Yes, sure, Anna. This is Scott. I think it's a combination of things, and I don't have percentages for you, but if you looked in our K, our backlog was up almost 100 million compared to the end of last year. So the demand is there, and we've been bringing in more inventory, obviously, to get over some of the supply chain challenges that we've had over the last six months or so, just getting product in the door. And So yes, we're experiencing some material inflation. That's part of that big increase part of it is still to do with moving Basically moving the power sports inventory that was out in Watsonville over so getting lines up and running and ready to go with material in Gainesville It's almost having inventory in two places to service that customer so There's a number of factors playing into that big increase in inventory, but you are correct that we have seen some material cost increases.

speaker
Pete Lucas

And I would only add, Anna, to that that the port congestion that everybody experienced in late Q3 and very much so in Q4 doesn't make it easier to try to drive continuity of supply. So it causes you to be more protective in your supply chain and probably take on more inventory just as a function of you know, trying to push it through a gate that is not very wide, meaning lots of boats in the ocean, not a lot of spots in the ports. So I think that nuance is one that had to play out in Q3 and Q4, and I think that's starting to abate already. So I think you see that start to improve, you know, kind of back half of this quarter and into Q2.

speaker
Anna

Great. Thanks. The next question comes from Rudy Yang with Barenburg. Your line is open.

speaker
Rudy Yang

Hey, guys, thanks for taking my questions. I think in your prepared remarks, you mentioned it will now take about 5 to 8 months to fully meet demand. Whereas in previous quarters, I think that number was 8 to 10 months. Is that a factor of demand strength decelerating at all? Or is it just kind of due to higher capacity on your end or just kind of being able to move more of your backlog?

speaker
Pete Lucas

You know, that's also, Rudy, it's a good question. That's really a function of an industry dynamic as well. So keep in mind that's not just us because we're one part of an industry. Other people have to deliver on their components as well to actually fulfill that demand. And when I say five to eight months, it's a function of, you know, a quarter ago it would have been eight to 12 months, but, you know, we've got a quarter further down the road, and so we are seeing that improvement. I think you should continue to see improvement in the reduction of that number throughout the course of 2022. That would mean we're tracking to a healthy recovery in the industry. And again, I think that's a function of not just us, but other people. Clearly, we've been able to do really well in SSG because of the capacity we've added and our ability to manage that continuity of supply to produce goods. So I think we're doing better than most. And as a function of that, we're able to make sure that we are not the long pole. a long pole in the shed relative to our customers to be able to get their bikes put together. So that's what I think is going on there.

speaker
Rudy Yang

Got it. That's really helpful. And then I know it's kind of an unfortunate and kind of a recent situation, but could you maybe just talk to your thoughts on how the whole Ukraine situation could possibly impact your business? I think from my understanding – Ukraine is a large exporter of neon gas, while Russia sources a large amount of palladium, which are both used in the creation of chips. So just curious to any thoughts you could share and discussions around the potential impact.

speaker
Pete Lucas

I think the implications of that, and I agree with you, it's a pretty dire and sad situation. I think the implications are more indirect for us. We really don't have relationships in either of those countries. at this point, and the indirect impact into commodities is yet to be determined, but I don't think it's going to be that significant relative to aluminum and steel, which is really the basis of our business. So I think what we're cautious of is potentially cyber attacks and other things that could happen that would have some sort of implication in our world. But from a standpoint of demand or our ability to fulfill that demand, I don't really foresee any major issues.

speaker
Pete

Great. Thanks, Seth. Thanks, Rudy.

speaker
Anna

We'll go now to Ryan Sundby with William Blair. Your line is open.

speaker
Ryan Sundby

Yeah, hey, thanks for taking the question. Mike, it sounds like with the plant changeover and then the COVID shutdown, you had some backlog that carried over into Q1. Any way to help us kind of understand how big that was, and did that all just get worked out in Q1?

speaker
Pete Lucas

Yeah, I mean, we've carried over 220 million of backlog from Q4 into Q1. That's probably a record backlog for us, which means it kind of reinforces the statement that demand is incredibly strong. I think your question is, you know, do you relieve that backlog in Q1? I don't think there's any way we can relieve all that backlog in Q1. So we're going to do our best to try to mitigate that over the next couple of quarters in very solid, strong communication with our customers. But that's a big number. So on one hand, it's great to have backlog because it's hard purchase orders that we see relative to our customers. It's hard because it puts just more pressure on that Gainesville productivity implementation that we're driving for this year. That's helpful.

speaker
Ryan Sundby

And then just on shock therapy, any color there in terms of size and growth for the overall business and how it maybe fits with Fox? And then just maybe a bigger question on acquisitions. This is, you know, now a couple smaller ones. It's sold on an outdoor van, outside van. You know, what's the... What's the strategy there in terms of targets you're looking at and size? Are these smaller deals the ones that make the most sense right now?

speaker
Pete Lucas

I'll take the last question first, Ryan. I think when we target, when we go out and look for acquisitions, we're looking for larger acquisitions typically. What happens, though, in our business is a lot of inbound occurs and some of these smaller companies approach us via various means to say, hey, we think we'd be a good part of the Fox family, and we think we can be creative to your business. And in Shock Therapy's case, you know, both their innovation and tuning and products on PowerSports, as well as the way that they've gone after service in that business, you know, they actually drive a bigger aftermarket business in that product line than we did in that space. So we're learning a lot from them. It's been a fantastic acquisition, albeit very early days. In terms of sizing, you know, it isn't a large acquisition. You know, think about it as kind of a $20 million a year business today, growing at or probably above the current PVG growth rates. So it's going to grow nicely with us. It's not large. It's really the technology and some of the thinking that we're getting from shock therapy that we can use in the rest of our business that is so meaningful. And from a margin perspective, it's not dilutive. So it's a good – it's not – it doesn't harm us from a margin perspective. So, you know, we think it's all good, but in general, you know, as we go look for potential acquisitions, we're looking at larger ones. You've heard me say before, I'd rather do a big acquisition than a small one. It's just that sometimes these present themselves and, and they're really, really, uh, um, conducive to where we're going as a business.

speaker
Ryan Sundby

I make sense. Um, Last one for me, just to follow up on Pete's question, Mike, I think in the script you indicated that you were open to maybe evaluating your pricing strategy. I just wanted to make sure I fully understood that. Was that just in terms of being more nimble, pricing more often, or is there something bigger picture there that you're referring to?

speaker
Pete Lucas

It's really around being more dynamic so that we can actually adjust our pricing to reflect market events, macroeconomic events, things that occur in that require us to be as fast and responsive in that area as we can. Historically, this business hasn't had to be that nimble or that dynamic, and I just think we're kind of in a new world. So building the skills, processes, and systems to be able to do that is part of the stuff the team is working on every day. So that was what I was getting at with Pete.

speaker
Pete

Yeah, perfect. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

And as a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star and 1 on your touchtone phone. We'll go now to Scott Stemberg with CL King. Your line is open.

speaker
Scott Stemberg

Good evening, and thanks for taking my questions.

speaker
Pete Lucas

Hey, Scott.

speaker
Scott Stemberg

Hey, Scott. It sounds as if on the power vehicle side that, I guess, the upfitting and the aftermarket businesses did really, really well. it sounds like the OEM side, whether it was with the on-road slash off-road stuff, that that was probably a little bit less than you wanted to, supply chain. Can you just maybe talk about how that performed and how that dynamic or narrative should change as we get into 22 and we move throughout the year?

speaker
Pete Lucas

Yeah, good question, Scott. So, you know, when we think about the issues around our automotive OEM business, Don't think about it relative to necessarily our continuity of supply or our ability to produce. It's really around the rest of the components they need to put on a truck to get a truck sold. So as you probably heard from other press reports and insights, you know, those companies are still struggling to get their supply chains to effectively respond to the demand, and we felt that in Q4. So it really wasn't a function of us. It was just a function of kind of continuing an ongoing process chronic challenges they were facing, which caused their demand signals to us to change. I think the upside is, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we're launching new vehicles, new platforms. Folks, partners of ours, are expanding their product portfolios to more global sales channels, which is great for us, so that expands volumes. And I think, you know, eventually these guys will figure out how to get their supply chains working more effectively, and that'll help us. So, you know, do I expect that to happen in Q1? To some extent, but I think that's going to be an ongoing battle they'll face for the first half of the year. And hopefully they see the same easing of the supply chain that we expect to see, you know, somewhere mid-year.

speaker
Scott Stemberg

Got it. And as far as the timing of the launches of some of these products, The Bronco Raptor, can you just give us an idea when you should start shipping product? Is that the typical, you know, third into the fourth quarter of 22 and maybe on the Toyota products as well?

speaker
Pete Lucas

Yeah, the best way to probably couch that is when you hear about when they believe they're going to have vehicles produced and in dealers, you know, you back that up six months or so, and that's when we start producing product to supply that demand signal. Maybe a little bit less than that, but... You know, you can always back those up. If it's a 23 Bronco Raptor, that means we're going to be shipping product this year for sure.

speaker
Scott Stemberg

All right, and then just last question related to guidance. You gave a lot of puts and takes, but how should we think of the gross margin within the context of your guidance, just trying to, you know, effectively model to get down to the number?

speaker
Q4

Yeah, I mean, remember, now that we're fully moved from Watsonville, We should start to see PVG margins improving the legacy side of the business as we get everything under waterproof, and that will be really helpful. I think, you know, again, as Mike alluded to earlier, I think our guidance tends to be more conservative the earlier in the year that we are, and as he also mentioned, we built in some by chain stationary cost pressures into those numbers. And so when you're trying to back into it from a guidance perspective, I think it would be probably fairly similar to 2021. And we also gave you EBITDA guidance for the full year of 20% to 22%. And we ended this year just above 20%. So it's going to be similar. probably from a guidance perspective to what you saw a full year this year.

speaker
Pete

Got it. That's all I have. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Alex Perry with Bank of America. Your line is open.

speaker
Alex Perry

Hi. Thanks for taking my question, and congrats on a strong quarter. I guess just first, can you give us a bit more color on the revenue guidance and, you know, how you're sort of thinking of growth between PBG and SSG? You know, what are you seeing in the end markets? And do you think that, you know, there will be a divergence between sort of end market growth and sort of selling in 2022? Thanks.

speaker
Pete Lucas

I'll start the answer to that, Alex, and then I'll let Scott jump in, too. You know, when we think about historical growth rates, we always talked about mid to high single digits in SSG as kind of the expectation. You know, right now we're kind of living in a world where it's low double-digit growth rate in how we look forward. That will probably eventually return to mid to high single digits, but for now you should be thinking kind of low double-digit. And in PVG's case, we used to always say low to mid double-digit, growth, and we've been higher than that. So they will continue to probably be higher than that for the foreseeable future, and at some point probably return to a more normalized growth rate. But based on all the product launches and based on the efficiencies in Gainesville and the backlog, which we mentioned earlier, at 220-plus million, that growth rate is going to be pretty substantial.

speaker
Q4

Yeah, and I think the one other thing that I mentioned in prepared remarks was you saw a big increase for chassis that we brought into our upfitting businesses. And last year at this time, we were scrambling for chassis. So, you know, feeling really good about their potential growth in 2022 as they continue to grow really rapidly.

speaker
Alex Perry

Perfect. That's really helpful. And then just to follow up on sort of the gross margin, Maybe is there is the assumption there that sort of the freight and raw material and labor inflation that you're seeing and you sort of saw throughout 4Q21 continues with you for the rest of the year? Are you sort of using the exit run rate as your assumption on a go forward? And then maybe I think in the past you've quantified the benefits from the transition to the new facility in Georgia. You know, maybe just give us an update there if that's changed at all. Thank you.

speaker
Q4

Yeah, and Mike mentioned this earlier. That hasn't changed. Our thinking hasn't changed. Obviously, now from Q1, we're finally going to get to see that factory running at capacity. And so... potentially we'll have updates for you in the next couple of quarters as we get in and see how the metrics look once everything is in place, which it is now. But I think, remind me, the first part of your question was just on gross margin overall throughout the year. I think, you know, Mike mentioned we were fairly conservative, but I think, you know, for sure, because we just experienced some cost inflation in before, we are still dealing with it in Q1. And so I think we feel like there will be improvement in the back half of the year and maybe even earlier than that. But, you know, we would like to see that start to happen before we are committing to that.

speaker
Pete

Perfect. That's really helpful. Best of luck going forward. Thanks. Thanks.

speaker
Anna

We have no further questions in queue at this time.

speaker
Operator

I would like to turn the program back over to Mike Dennison for any additional or closing remarks.

speaker
Pete Lucas

Thank you, and thanks, everyone, for taking the time and having the interest in Fox Factory. We look forward to another quarter, and we'll report to you in the next 90 days, give or take. And with that, have a good evening.

speaker
Operator

This does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time.

Disclaimer

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