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Frontdoor, Inc.
8/1/2024
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Front Door's second quarter 2024 earnings call. Today's call is being recorded and broadcast on the internet. Beginning today's call is Matt Davis, Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer, and he'll introduce the other speakers on the call. At this time, we'll begin today's call. Please go ahead, Mr. Davis.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining Front Door's second quarter 2024 earnings conference call. Joining me today are Front Door's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bill Cobb, and Front Door's Chief Financial Officer, Jessica Ross. The press release and slide presentation that will be used during today's call can be found on the Investor Relations section of Front Door's website, which is located at .frontdoorhome.com. There's also additional detail about our brand at frontdoor.com and in our new mobile app that you can download in the App Store and at Google Play. As stated on slide three of the presentation, I'd like to remind you that this call and webcast may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed here today. These risk factors are explained in detail in the company's filings with the SEC. Please refer to the risk factor section in our filings for a more detailed discussion of our forward-looking statements and the risks and uncertainties related to such statements. All forward-looking statements are made as of today, August 1st, and except as required by law, the company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. We will also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures throughout today's call. We have included definitions of these terms and reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most comparable GAAP financial measures in our press release and the appendix to the presentation in order to better assist you in understanding our financial performance. I will now turn the call over to Bill Cobb for opening comments.
Bill? Thanks, Matt Davis, and good morning, everyone. Front Door Inc continues to operate consistently well, and this was a record quarter for financial performance. As you can see on slide four, in the second quarter, revenue grew 4% to $542 million. Our gross margin expanded 470 basis points to a record 56%. Adjusted EBITDA grew 31% to $158 million. Free cash flow more than doubled to $91 million, and we have used $83 million of cash to repurchase 2.5 million shares -to-date through July. Now moving to slide five and our strategic objectives. To be clear, our number one strategic priority remains growing our customer base through more sales of home warranties. While we strongly believe in the long-term growth opportunity of the home warranty category, which I will return to in a few slides, we must face the near-term reality that macroeconomic headwinds are impacting home warranty sales. As a result, we are taking the prudent step of slightly lowering our outlook for member count, which Jessica will cover in her section. Our number two strategic objective is to continue growing our on-demand business. This has become a very important line of our business that has already proven its worth, and we're just getting started. And finally, our third strategic objective is to close the acquisition of 210 homebuyers warranty. So let's move to slide six and a quick refresh on 210 and where the acquisition stands. As you heard me say in June, this is a great business, and as a leading provider of new home structural warranties, it's a perfect strategic fit for us. We will gain more customers. We will diversify our product portfolio into an adjacent category, and we expect to generate significant synergies, all of which will generate long-term benefits. On the acquisition itself, our integration team continues to work with 210 to prepare for a smooth transition of ownership. In fact, our team has been in Denver this week. The main update for today, and this is really great news, is that the applicable federal Arch Scott-Rodino waiting period to close a transaction has expired. Now we continue to wait for regulatory approval from a handful of states. Bottom line, the acquisition remains on track to close in the fourth quarter. Moving to slide seven, let's now look at operational areas that are doing exceptionally well, starting with our on-demand business. This has proven to be a real success, and we think it presents a great opportunity with plenty of runway. We are realizing our vision of providing a consolidated ecosystem for all things home. We are reaching more homeowners through our virtual experts and network of independent contractors, effectively growing our share of wallet across our member base and leveraging these great partnerships to meet the repair, replacement, and maintenance needs of every homeowner. For example, our new HVAC program has taken off. For all of 2023, this program delivered 50 million dollars of revenue, and we are on track to far surpass that number this year. We are also continuing to build out our technology capabilities to grow alternative revenue streams. Our new partnership with Moen is a great example of this. Front door to our independent plumbing contractors is the exclusive provider for installing Moen water shutoff valves in California homes, insured by farmers insurance. This is a growing opportunity as farmers and other insurers are requiring these valves to prevent water damage, and it's not just in California. In fact, Moen and farmers have asked us to expand into a number of states before the end of the year. We'll have more to say about this during our Q3 earnings call in November. Now moving to slide A, customer retention continues to be another terrific story for us. Our second quarter retention rate grew to an all-time high of 76.6 percent. While this includes a lower mix of real estate customers, our team has also done a great job of engaging members throughout the customer journey, improving customer service, expanding use of preferred contractors, and moving more members to auto pay, which finished last year at 86 percent. Now let's move to slide nine and a look at some of the cyclical issues that remain a challenge for our business. I believe this is a story of near-term realism and long-term optimism. As we've seen in earnings announcements from several leading companies, consumers are stressed, spending less, and this is impacting our category and many other sectors of the U.S. economy. The good news for us is that American Home Shield, already the leading player in the category, has actually outperformed our top competitors nationally. This is based on our analysis of data from the California Department of Insurance, which maintains nationwide data on home warranty providers based in California. Additionally, real estate continues to be a major near-term headwind for the category. It's been a significant drag in our business for three years now, and it's likely to remain so for the balance of 2024. To that point on slide 10, let's take a closer look at the real estate market today. In short, things are not improving. Last December, existing home sales were projected to be $4.7 million in 2024. However, that is not going to happen. According to the most recent report from the National Association of Realtors, the annual run rate of home sales has decreased to $3.9 million homes. That's a 5% decline year over year, and as this graph shows, this is amongst the lowest real estate activity in 30 years. NAR also said home prices grew 4% year over year to a record median price of $427,000. Mortgage rates also remain elevated and inventory remains low. While the current situation is bad, it will change. The real estate market has been through down cycles before, and it will come out of this one eventually. We will continue to make refinements that will us better positions when the market does turn. Turning to slide 13, to better understand the challenges facing home warranties, we completed a deep dive on the American Home Shield customer base in May. This analysis showed that AHS has wide appeal across key demographics, all ages, income, and ethnic segments. Let me be clear, the customer base for AHS is not aging out. About 60% of our customer base are boomers and Gen X, and about 40% skew younger between millennials, Gen Y, and Gen Z. In fact, AHS overindexes with the primary home buying segment of 35 to -year-olds. Now, let's look at income on slide 14. AHS resonates with various levels of household income, and contrary to some perceptions, AHS is not an offering that's used for lower income households. In fact, our analysis shows that about half of our members have annual household incomes over $100,000, with the other half making less. In aggregate, the data on the AHS customer base also reveals that we have long-term opportunities to drive more targeted acquisition. On slide 15, we can see the race and ethnicity makeup of our member base. As we said, millennials are the sweet spot of future home buyers, and the data indicates they are favorably disposed to home warranties. Within that millennial profile, while AHS currently overindexes on Black homeowners, we believe there is even more opportunity with this segment, as well as with Latinos. We'll have more to say about these opportunities during our Investor Day presentation. Now, let's move to slide 16 and the comprehensive actions we are taking now to improve home warranty sales. In April, we launched the new marketing campaign for AHS, yielding strong results. Brand awareness is now at 50%, double our nearest competitor. Google searches for AHS are up 6%. AHS.com website sessions have increased over 30%. In essence, the brand relaunch is doing exactly what we hoped it would do, drive demand and brand engagement. We are also deploying programs in the short term to grow members, such as our focus discounting strategy. In March of 2023, we ran a 50% off promotion. What we learned is that members renewed 12 months later at a retention rate and stepped up price similar to those who were not initially discounted. With this learning, we ran another 50% off promotion throughout the month of July 2024 that yielded very positive results. With this success, we are confident in using time-bound discounts to acquire and retain new members going forward. Now, looking further out, we are moving to the next phase of the AHS brand relaunch, drilling down on educating consumers about the value of a home warranty and improving our targeting of homeowners at a point when they are most likely to convert, such as following the recent purchase of an expensive appliance. Moving to slide 17, here are the primary reasons we remain bullish about the long-term opportunity for home warranties. First, the market for home warranties is huge, 85 million homeowners. Through our research, we believe there are approximately 5 million homeowners with warranties today. Yet, we believe there is an opportunity to capture at least 10 million more. Second, this situation presents a massive opportunity to educate homeowners about the cost of a home warranty. For millions of consumers being pinched by the cost of living, home warranties remain an excellent way to guard against unplanned expenses. Furthermore, our research shows that peace of mind is the number one reason our members own a home warranty. Third, U.S. demographics are conducive to future member expansion. Millennials are coming to the forefront as the primary group of homeowners, and we know we have significant opportunities with certain subgroups of this population. Finally, as the industry leader, we have a proven track record of innovation. The rapid rise of our on-demand offerings is a clear demonstration of how we are using technology to meet the needs of homeowners and the ways they want to be served. Together, all of these factors give us optimism about the long-term demand for home warranties. And on that high note, I'll now turn it over to Jessica for the financials of the quarter.
Thanks, Bill, and good morning, everyone. Let's turn to slide 18, where you will see that Front Door delivered another quarter of strong financial performance. Revenue increased 4% versus the prior year period to $542 million. Net income increased 32% to $92 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased 31% to $158 million. On slide 19, you will see gross profit increased 13% versus the prior year period to $306 million, and gross profit margin improved 470 basis points to a record 56%. Let's now move to the bridge on slide 20, where I'll provide more context for the -over-year improvement in second quarter adjusted EBITDA. Starting at the top, we had $17 million of favorable revenue conversion, driven by a 7% increase in price over the prior year period. This was partially offset by a 3% decline in volume. As a reminder, this includes the impact of a lower home warranty volume, which was partially offset by an $11 million increase in new HVAC sales. Now turning to contract claims cost, which decreased $17 million, driven by a transition to higher trade service fees and continued process improvement initiative. As a reminder, we increased our trade service fees in 2022 in response to inflationary cost pressures, including higher contractor-related expenses and greater parts and equipment costs. The transition to higher trade service fees has two impacts on our business. First, higher trade service fees result in a lower net cost per service request, as these fees are a contricost to claims expense on our income statement. When combined with a normalized inflationary environment, Front Door's second quarter inflation rate on a net cost per service request basis was slightly favorable, as the increase in trade service fee dollars more than offset external inflation. Second, higher service fees result in a temporary decline in the number of service requests per customer, as we typically see a short-term change in customer behavior until they become accustomed to the new amounts. Additionally, our team continues to be laser-focused on cost management, and we continue to benefit from the process improvement initiatives implemented over the past few years. These include our high-cost claims review program, leveraging our bulk purchasing power with our suppliers, and moving more of our service requests to preferred contractors, which reached a record high 85% in the second quarter. This is an outstanding result, especially given that this is the beginning of our peak season and directly attributable to the great work our contractor relations team is doing to strengthen relationships across our contractor network. Contract claims costs were also negatively impacted by weather by approximately four million dollars. Now moving to sales and marketing costs, which decreased three million dollars over the prior year period, primarily due to sales optimization efforts. And finally, general and administrative costs increased two million dollars, primarily due to increased personnel costs partially offset by a decrease in professional fees. In summary, adjusted EBITDA increased to 158 million dollars, which exceeded the midpoint of our outlook by 23 million dollars. I want to take a moment to provide some context here. Approximately 10 million dollars of the beef was due to a lower number of service requests compared to our expectations, primarily in the HVAC trade. We anticipated a higher number of service requests in HVAC, given the large favorability we saw in the second quarter of 2023, driven by mild weather, and that is what happened as cooling degree rates increased 20%. However, we only saw a moderate increase in the HVAC incidence rate, which was driven by other factors, such as the change in trade service fees and geographic concentration of our customer base. Our earnings also reflects an eight million dollar benefit from process improvement initiatives, such as preferred contractor utilization increasing to 85%. Finally, we had five million dollars from favorable claims cost adjustments related to prior periods. Let's now turn to slide 21 for a review of our statement of cash flows. Net cash provided from operating activities was 187 million dollars for the six months ended June 30th as a result of our exceptionally strong earnings, and was comprised of 158 million dollars earnings adjusted for non-cash charges and 28 million dollars in cash provided from working capital that was primarily driven by seasonality. Net cash used for investing activities was 22 million dollars and was primarily comprised of capital expenditures related to investments in technology. Net cash used for financing activities was 71 million dollars and was comprised of 58 million of share repurchases as well as eight million dollars of scheduled debt payments. We ended the quarter with 419 million dollars in cash. This was comprised of 167 million dollars of restricted cash and 252 million dollars of unrestricted cash. I would like to point out that we ended the second quarter with a high amount of unrestricted cash. This is due to timing and seasonality of our claims costs and is expected to reverse in the third quarter. We are also extremely pleased to highlight Front Door's strong free cash flow conversion of 164 million dollars or 72 percent of EBITDA for the six months ended June 30th. Now turning to slide 22 where I'll provide an update on our capital structure. We are in the strongest financial position this company has ever been in and with this strength we are able to deliver on each aspect of our capital allocation strategy. Let me give you an update on each of our priorities. Our number one priority is growth and we continue to target closing the 210 acquisition in the fourth quarter which will add more customers, more revenue, and more earnings. Our second objective is to ensure we have a solid financial profile. Our net leverage ratio was less than one times at the end of the second quarter. This is well below our targeted range of two to two and a half times which we anticipate getting back to after the 210 acquisition closes. And finally our third objective is to return cash to shareholders. Year to date through the end of July we used 83 million dollars to repurchase 2.5 million shares. This brings our total to 364 million dollars since we initiated our 400 million dollar share repurchase program in 2021. Additionally as Bill said earlier our board just approved a new three-year 650 million dollar share repurchase authorization that starts on September 4th 2024. This amount is 63 percent higher than our current three-year authorization. In summary we are fortunate to be in a position where we can dramatically increase our ability to repurchase shares at the same time we are completing the largest acquisition in the company's history and I believe both of these actions will deliver substantial shareholder value over time. Now turning to slide 23 where I will walk through our third quarter and full year 2024 outlook. We expect our third quarter revenue to be between 530 and 545 million dollars which reflects a mid single digit increase in our renewal channel, a decline in both our real estate and D2C channels of slightly over 10 percent and an approximately 10 million dollar increase in other revenue. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between 130 and 140 million dollars up about 7 million over the prior year period at the midpoint. Now turning to our full year 2024 outlook starting with revenue where we are maintaining our range at 1.81 to 1.84 billion dollars which includes a mid single digit increase in realized price partially offset by a mid single digit decline and realized volume. This assumes a mid single digit increase in the renewal channel and a roughly 15 percent decline in both the real estate and D2C channels. It also assumes other revenue will now increase approximately 40 percent to approximately 110 million. This is almost entirely driven by higher new HVAC sales. We are now expecting the number of home warranties to decline three to five percent in 2024. Now turning to our gross profit margin outlook. I want to call out that our first half gross margin was 54 percent. However, gross profit margin is expected to be lower in the second half of the year for the following reasons. Lower contributions from realized price and trade service fees. An increase in the number of service requests per customer for the balance of the year. And finally we expect to see normal low single digit inflation for the duration of 2024. The net effect is that we are raising our full year gross profit margin outlook to be slightly above 51 percent. We are increasing our full year SG&A range to be between 605 and 615 million dollars to account for an additional 10 million investment to drive organic growth and customer retention initiatives. This also includes an estimated 15 million of transaction costs related to closing the 210 acquisition which is excluded from adjusted EBITDA. Based on these updated inputs we are increasing our full year adjusted EBITDA range to be between 385 and 395 million dollars. Our full year outlook also includes 16 million dollars of interest income and reflects stock compensation expense of approximately 28 million dollars. And finally we expect our full year capital expenditures to range between 35 and 45 million dollars to account and the annual effective tax rate to be approximately 25 percent. In conclusion we continue to deliver exceptionally strong financial results and our business is operating consistently well. Before I turn the call over to Bill I would like to tell you about a change in our investor day date which we are moving to February 27th 2025. After we announced the acquisition of Q10 we felt it was more important to focus the team on delivering on integration and synergy planning for the balance of 2024. And we can then come back to you at investor day to share more details on the combined business. With that I will now turn the call back over to Bill.
Thanks Jessica. I want to reemphasize what I said earlier about near-term realism and long-term optimism. While we face the of near-term challenges on the real estate and DTC fronts our long-term optimism about home warranties is strong and over the past two years we have done what we said we would do. We've taken several decisive actions to position the company for the long haul. We've explored strategic M&A to accelerate our growth and the acquisition of Q10 is proceeding. We're seeing positive momentum the relaunch of our American home shield brand. We positioned our sales team for the eventual turnaround in the real estate channel. We continue to drive higher customer retention rates. Our HVAC on-demand business is doing exceptionally well and our partnership with Mowen is showing tremendous potential. Over the past 18 months we have stabilized our margins and we remain confident in our long-term margin profile. Finally we continue to return excess cash to shareholders through share buybacks as demonstrated by our new 650 million dollar share repurchase authorization which is a 63 percent increase over our previous authorization. As you can see we have a lot of great news and that's why I continue to be so optimistic about the future of our business. But our valuation doesn't reflect these facts and that leads into my final point. We showed this slide in February. The data on the slide has been updated through the end of July. However taking into account the guidance we just provided our multiple has actually declined to eight times as of today. The message here is simple. Our stock remains significantly undervalued. With that Jessica and I are now ready to take your questions. Operator.
Thank you. Please press star followed by the number one if you'd like to ask a question and ensure your device is unmuted locally when it's your turn to speak. If you change your mind or your question has already been answered you can withdraw your question by pressing star followed by the number two. Our first question today comes from Jeff Schmidt with William Blair. Please go ahead your line is open.
Hi thank you. Could you give us an update on your pricing strategy over the next year? I know you said you're going to focus more on discounting than kind of broad price cuts. You'd mentioned that in the past but maybe if you could refresh us on why you're taking that route and you know how does the competitive environment look? Are they discounting you know as well?
Yeah hi Jeff. So let me let me split this into you know DTC1 and then renewal pricing. So with the renewal pricing we're going to be consistent. We will have an increase but not to the level that we've done in the you know in the past couple of years. So but there will be a pricing action on renewal. On new you know DTC1 we will be at a competitive price and as we said use targeted discounts on a time-bounded basis as a tool to not only grow new members but we're very pleased by the work we've done in terms of being able to renew people even when they are faced with an aggressive discount. So I think it's going to be more of what we're doing right now with the added piece. I think we've talked about this that we're going to have a more almost historic way of looking at our pricing for renewals and I think that reflects you know the the new user is more elastic and the renewal user is a more inelastic customer.
Okay yeah that makes sense and then you lowered your full year outlook for direct growth to a decline of 15 percent. Could you maybe discuss what drove that? Is it just too tough of an environment I guess for that for the pricing strategy to move the needle a ton there or just just tough broad industry trends?
Yeah I think Bill hit it in his script I mean at the end of the day consumers are stressed they're spending less. We entered this year expecting interest cuts and the real estate markets are rebound and it just simply hasn't so we are adjusting to reflect the current macro.
Yeah I think Jeff we we grinded over this one a lot. I think we you know I said near-term realism. The category is down you know we showed you the data where we talked about the data from the California Department of Insurance which looks at all national providers who are based in California and while we're performing better than they are you know there's nothing to brag about because we're all we've all declined. So we it's a tough as Jessica said macro but the specific home warranty category continues to you know be slow and you know I think the overhang of real estate is really affecting that.
Great thank you very helpful.
Thanks Jeff.
Thanks Jeff. Our next question comes from Sergio Segura with KeyBank. Please go ahead.
Great thanks for taking the questions. I'm hoping you could dive into the the Moen partnership a little bit more just you know how big of an opportunity is this for the business and I guess you know taking a step back and taking a bigger picture view. Do you envision partnerships like this being more of a strategic priority in the future? Any thoughts on that would be helpful. Thank you.
Yeah we're not ready to share the numbers on Moen. We are off to a very start and logically it's a terrific opportunity for us even if it's just with farmers insurance as they look to expand into other states. Moen has also proven to be a terrific partner and our plumbing contractors are thrilled to be doing this you know at this point in California but looking to expand that. But I think it is an indication of the type of approaches we want to take where I think our on-demand business or non-warranty business really is trying to do two things. We've got this user base of American Home Shield members 1.9 million, 2 million strong that we can grow share of wallet with as a lot of their systems reach end of life and then we have this ability to go directly to the consumer and I think that you know with the leveraging the contractor network we have which is really one of the one of the core capabilities of this company. We have a lot of opportunity in a lot of different ways and that's why we're so excited about the on-demand side.
Got it and maybe a second question thanks to the demographic breakdown in the presentation thought that was really helpful and interesting to see. I'm curious you know since you relaunched the American Home Shield brand have you seen any differences in the types of customers coming into the sales funnel compared to your existing customer base anything to call out there would be very helpful thank you.
Yeah I don't want to go into the specifics but you know as we indicated in the demographic data we are resonating more you know that's what I wanted to say this is not just an old person's brand or a lower income brand we are seeing a broad-based group of folks come through and I think the stuff we did with the relaunch you know the new tagline, the new logo, the new look, the advertising and the website which we're really pleased with the increase in visits to the website. So it's been a broad-based group there but we're pleased with how the relaunch has started and relaunches take time you know they're a long-term play and what you're looking to do is make sure your consumer indicators are going in the right direction and they certainly are in this case.
Okay thanks Bill thanks for your thoughts.
Thank you Sergio. Anyone else have a question?
Absolutely our next question comes from Maxwell Fritcher with Truist. Okay go ahead.
Hi good morning I'm one from Marquees. I was wondering what the contribution to the margin was from the HVAC on demand or more broadly the other channel this quarter?
So we said there's about 11 million dollar increase over prior year coming from HVAC so again you know just continues to be a bright spot for us and really outperforming as we continue to expand the program.
Yeah I think to your question the margin contribution we're not going to go into specifically. We have indicated that it's a lower margin than certainly the home warranty piece but we're not going to indicate exactly how much and you know to us right now it's all a matter of how it all comes together as a total P&L.
Got it understood and then you had mentioned that the HVAC service requests were down in the quarter due to geography of your customers. Is that a similar trend you're seeing thus far in 3Q as it seems the warmer weather has continued?
Well I think there's a couple of reasons so I think lower incidence as I said there was an impact just with the change to trade service fees that drives just a change in customer behavior in the near term where they may be a little bit more thoughtful about filing for a service request. I think the other thing we're really diving into is the impact of the new HVAC program is also having. I think that it's transitioning a service request into a new HVAC sale which this is a new program for us we're still digging into that but I think the combination of the incidence as well as you know the impact that new HVAC is having had really probably the largest drivers as we think about the impact on overall incidence for the quarter. It definitely was a little bit head scratching right because looked at the overall increase in cooling degree days year over year but yet our HVAC incidents were down so some good benefits for us in the quarter but definitely something we continue to dig into.
Yeah we're not going to go into Q3 specifically but it's suffice to say it's all in the guidance that we gave for the full year.
Got it very helpful thank you.
Our next question comes from Daniel Pfeiffer with JP Morgan please go ahead.
Hey thanks for the questions. For the first obviously HVAC upgrades have been a huge success but I'm wondering if you could give any color on expectations for which category you might want to lead into more within on demand outside of you know partnerships and then I'd follow up.
Yeah obviously our second area is the Moen partnership. We're not ready to talk through other alternatives but suffice to say that our corporate partnerships team is hard at work and I think with the HVAC success and then same with Moen we are getting a lot of interest from folks so really what we want to do is not only work with the partner but work with our contractor network to decide you know can we deploy our contractors can we execute it and that's been part of the early success for Moen because our plumbing group has really jumped on this and is executing beautifully.
Gotcha and then for the second can you maybe talk about your expectations for marketing spend for the remainder of the year and maybe whether it makes you know sense to pull back a little given the macro headwinds and consumer weakness.
Thanks. Yeah I actually want to go the other way. I want to spend into it because I think we have our brand strength. We just relaunched the brand. I mean we indicated in Jessica's talk you know we're looking at an incremental 10 million dollars to try to drive demand and retention initiatives. We're figuring out what the best way to deploy that is but we yeah we want to we're thinking more the opposite direction which is we still think there are great opportunities. We think we have momentum here and so we're going to try to try to drive into it. It's not all the money in the world. I think we're going to make I'll use the prudent word again prudent investments but we're looking to continue to grow. We want to keep the hammer down.
Thanks. And our next question is from Isaac with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.
Hey good morning. This is Isaac on for Ian. Thanks for taking the question. Congrats on Sean Porter. My first is on the gross profit margin target. Now that you're sort of exceeding the pre-COVID margins is there anything structural that has changed the business that would you know make these margins sustainable over the longer term? You know I know you mentioned margins will moderate in the second half of the year for a few reasons but you know as you monetize new initiatives like the Front Door app could you know margins go higher over the long term?
No I think I want to continue to just talk about kind of our long-term focus which we've guided to upper 40%. You know as Bill alluded to we're not ready to talk about really on-demand margins specifically but they are lower than the traditional home warranty business. So I think that as we think about what the long-term margin profile is again it's that upper 40s which really incorporates the balance we anticipate as we continue to grow on demand.
Okay understood and then just a quick one on the two to ten. Acquisition how large is the traditional home mortise business within that and maybe how does it compare to others in the space and AHS?
Yeah stay tuned on that Isaac. We are you know we gave the broad numbers for two ten in terms of the number of customers they have -to-day around 300,000. Their revenue is around 200 million their EBITDA is around 40 million. We have not yet disclosed you know the way we're going to combine the companies. That's why one of the reasons why we push back investor day we want to come to you with a full look at it. You know right now we have to operate as independent companies while we're meeting with two ten on organization and structure and things like that. We really can't get into business plans or anything like that so more to come but obviously in the model that we put together that made us decide to go after and to make this investment we saw enough indicators there that said I think this is going to be a great value-added acquisition for our shareholders.
Okay great thank you very much.
Thanks Isaac.
Thanks Isaac. Thank you we have no further questions so this concludes today's call. Thank you for joining you may now disconnect your line.
Thank you all. Thank you.