Gaia, Inc.

Q4 2021 Earnings Conference Call

2/28/2022

spk02: Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for participating in today's conference call to discuss Gaia Incorporated's financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31st, 2021. Joining us today are Gaia's CEO, Yurka Rissavi, and CFO, Paul Terrell. Following some prepared remarks, we will open the call for your questions. Before we get started, however, I would like to take a minute to read the Safe Harbor language. Following some prepared remarks, we will open the call for your questions. Before we get started, however, I'd like to take a minute to cover the Safe Harbor language. The following constitutes the Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The matters discussed today include forward-looking statements that involve numerous assumptions, risks, and uncertainties. These include but are not limited to general business conditions, future losses, competition, loss of key personnel, price changes, membership growth, brand reputation, changing consumer preferences, customer acquisition costs, member retention rates, acquisitions, and other risks and uncertainties detailed from time to time in our followings with the Securities Exchange Commission, including our reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q. Gaia assumes no obligation to publicly update or provide any forward-looking statements. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Gaia's CEO, Yerka Arisavi. Please go ahead.
spk00: Thank you and good afternoon, everyone. So 2021 results represent a key milestone for GAIA as we have achieved our first year with a positive operating income and free cash flows. Since the sale of our yoga product business in 2016, we have grown revenues at 40% and compounded annual growth rate. and we approved EBITDA margins from negative 90% to positive 19%. During 2021, we grew our member count to 821,000, increasing revenue 19% to 79.6 million. We expect to exit 2022 with revenue run rate over 100 million. EBITDA for 2021 improved to 15.9 million, which represent a 60% of flow-through through the incremental revenues. Income from operation improved to two million from a loss of 4.6 million in 2020. Net income for the year increased to 3.7 million or 19 cents per share from half a million and three cents per share last year, which included a six million gain on a sale of portion of our campus. Net income for the quarter was $2.1 million, or $0.10 per share, compared to $0.3 million, or $0.02 per share, in the EuroGoGo quarter. Cash flow from operation for the year improved 79% to $20.9 million. Our cash and balance sheet on December 31 was $10.3 million, This is after the use of 6.5 million for acquisition of Yoga International and a French content library. To compare our cash balance in the beginning of the year was 12.6 million. We improved our gross profit per employee for another 40,000 to 565,000. Gross profit per employee at Yoga International was below 200,000. but the annual price of offering to members is doubling our annual at $199 to compare $99 at Gaia. Now, this will, for next few quarter, decrease our overall gross profit of employee, but it will help to drive our ARPU without actually increasing Gaia pricing. Our lifetime value of average member GAIA improved last year to over $350 from $320 the year before. Because of achieving our goal of annual operating income and free cash flow, we are now in good position to expand more aggressively internationally. And we can utilize our worldwide rights, which we have assembled to virtually all of our content. so we can further leverage our existing operating infrastructure. And Paul will talk to you about the results now.
spk01: Revenues were up 19 percent for the year with fourth quarter revenues up to 20.8 million. Gross margins declined slightly to 85.8 percent for the fourth quarter and 86.8 percent for the year due primarily to the impact of incremental content amortization added during the quarter. With the acquisition of Yoga International completed on December 22, 2021, adding approximately $1 million per year to our content amortization going forward, we anticipate gross margins for next year to be in line with the full-year 2021 levels. Total member acquisition costs during the quarter were $8.2 million, or 39% of revenues, compared to $8 million, or 43% of revenues, in the year-ago quarter. The ongoing impact of the iOS privacy changes and a crowded holiday season paid media market combined to create a headwind on our customer acquisition efforts during the quarter. We have continued to evolve our digital marketing strategies to adapt to the current environment and have seen some relief in early 22 from the per customer acquisition costs we experienced in the fourth quarter. With the addition of Yoga International, we now have an opportunity to expand our marketing efforts to reach consumers interested in the yoga lifestyle with a higher expected ARPU. Their basic offering is priced at $19.99 a month or $1.99 a year, which compares to our $99 a year. They also have a premium tier at $499 a year that includes access to a wide variety of courses that were historically marketed and sold on an a la carte basis. A combination of the premium plan and the 2x differential on the annual plan pricing should allow us to continue to expand overall ARPU going forward. Selling and operating expenses excluding marketing and member acquisition costs in the fourth quarter were $7.6 million or 36% of revenues. Corporate and G&A expenses in the fourth quarter were $1.6 million or 8% of revenues. For the full year, we improved total operating expenses to 84% of revenues compared to 94% of revenues in the prior year. We also incurred $360,000 in non-recurring acquisition costs related to the YI transaction. While YI did not have a material impact on our revenues or results of operations for 2021 due to the acquisition being completed on December 22nd, the impact on 22 operating expenses will include approximately $0.8 million of incremental amortization related to acquired intangible assets, which is in addition to the $1 million of additional content amortization previously noted. In addition to the incremental amortization, we also expect a slightly higher operating expense level during the first half of 22 from a historical trend due to the acquisition. We are in the process of completing our integration activities and identifying operating expense synergies across the combined company, but do not expect the benefits to show up on our operating results until the third quarter of 22. EBITDA was 3.6 million, or 17% of revenues in the quarter, which included the impact of the acquisition costs. We expect EBITDA margins for the first half of the year to be in line with the fourth quarter until we realize the operating expense synergies noted previously. Adjusted EBITDA, which excludes the acquisition costs and share-based compensation, increased to 4.5 million, or 22% of revenues, from 4 million in the year-ago quarter. We generated net income of $2.1 million or $0.10 per share during the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to $0.3 million or $0.02 per share in the year-ago period. Year-to-date, we have generated $3.7 million of net income or $0.19 per share. The 2021 results reflect an income tax benefit of $2 million as a result of a partial valuation allowance release during the fourth quarter triggered by the YIA acquisition. Our ability to generate cash flows from operations has continued to grow as we have scaled. This has allowed us to expand our strategic thinking as it relates to growth opportunities, as evidenced by our acquisition of Yoga International. As we look into 2022, we are focused on driving an annual revenue growth rate similar to 21. We're excited about the opportunities for GAIA to benefit from our global scale and the financial discipline we have continued to demonstrate while growing revenues and maintaining profitability. With that, I would like to open up the call for questions. Operator?
spk02: Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask a question, you may do so by pressing star 1 on your telephone keypad. Please make sure the mute function on your phone is turned off so the signal can be read by our equipment. Star 1 for questions. We'll pause a moment to assemble the phone queue. And our first question will come from Mark Argento with Lake Street. Please proceed.
spk05: Hey, Yurka. Hey, Paul. Just a couple quick questions. First on Yoga International, just wanted to better understand, are you guys going to maintain the brand, or how do you think about the subscription base, the legacy Gaia subscription base in yoga relative to the Yoga International? Are you going to put them together or just leave them as kind of separate products?
spk00: Hi, Mark. Strategically, we want to don't look at it as a separate company, as a separate offering and a brand. Yeah, we want to continue with the brand and a separate offering, which is like a premium yoga offering. And Paul can give some more.
spk01: Yeah, so I think one of the first components to acknowledge is the price differential between their monthly and annual prices and ours. So it strategically makes sense to leave them as separate offerings. and really focus the delineation on the yoga consumer into aggregating more value to the Yoga International offering by supplementing it with some of Gaia's longer form content so that we can try to drive yoga consumers to the Yoga International offering. As you recall, we haven't historically for the past two or three years really been focused on yoga at the Gaia level because our price point was $12 a month compared to the majority of yoga-only offerings that are $15 to $20 a month. So we didn't really go after it historically, and this gives us an opportunity to be able to do that. But as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we're really trying to integrate the back office and technology as much as possible to allow for cost savings, even if the customer experience is differentiated.
spk05: Great. And you guys, could you size how many legacy subscribers and maybe how big your customer file is at Yoga International? And is there any opportunity to cross sell some of the other content to that customer file?
spk01: Yeah, there's definitely an opportunity as we add some of our original content. One of the shows that Yoga International is very interested in is Yogic Paths. and the other lifestyle-based yoga content that's not just on-the-mat content. So there's definitely an opportunity to add that to their offering and use that to go to their former members and try and win them back. One of the things that Yoga International has experienced over the past year and a half is the unwinding of the COVID growth bump. And so their member base, based on when we acquired them, is roughly in the mid-30,000 range. We're still finalizing... the review of overlap between their customers and our customers and making sure that we apply the same logic to counting their member base as ours, but that's the estimate that we've used for our year-end number and what we feel pretty comfortable with now after two months of looking at the transaction level data with them.
spk00: And, you know, they, for the basic price, they basically offer some life classes. They used to do it for the premium price, the 490, but soon it will basically start to the average, the regular price, the $200 a year, will include the life lessons, which will not be a Gaia.
spk05: Great. Very helpful. Thanks, guys. You bet, Mark.
spk02: We'll take our next question from Eric Wold with B. Reilly Securities. Please go ahead.
spk04: Thanks, guys. Just a couple questions. I guess one is, Paul, you talked about the challenging advertising market out there. How did you adapt your advertising, your customer acquisition efforts around those higher costs per quarter? Were you able to spend everything you wanted to spend in the quarter, or did you hold back somewhat into this year?
spk01: I'd say the timing of the spend, particularly with kind of the end of November into early December period, we backed off of our spend and then redeployed it once the shipping deadline, which we've historically seen being the trigger for dissipation in the demand for paid media. The result of that, though, is that we incurred the expenses during the December month, but because of the seven-day free trial, not all of the members had the opportunity to convert. So a little bit of that spending was pushed into member conversions that happened later. in January. Normally, that wouldn't be that big of an issue from a timing perspective, but the way that we effectively held back in the first two weeks of December and then redeployed it in the last 10 days kind of messed with the timing a little bit from the customer ads compared to the spend, but it allowed us to get opportunistic, if you will, in terms of how we deployed the capital for marketing.
spk04: estimate of how many subscribers I could possibly relate to as you think about the 821 minus a mid-30 contribution from yoga plus kind of what might have been delayed into January?
spk01: No, we don't have that quantified, and we don't speak to that level of specifics at this level. Really, the key point, though, is that as evidenced in the macro external environment, everyone's been talking about the cost of media increasing and the cost of customer acquisition increasing. So I'd say Q4 was the high watermark that we've seen in the past few years. In January and February have already dissipated significantly from what we saw in Q4.
spk00: Yeah, you have basically a couple of things. First, you know, we still don't know exact, you know, the things how we have to adjust for the overlap of the members, because historically there's always some, right? And While people pay double, you cannot do it for a long time if you own it. So we would have to deal with that. So we try to estimate that. But overall, as right now in fourth quarter, obviously I did over 300 acquisitions in my life. And it's kind of getting into a situation that buying the customer base might be cheaper than buying the individual customer on the market. because of what just happened in overall marketing. And we saw it in several companies. We have a lot of inbound calls from other companies. Would it be interesting to acquiring them? And because for the smaller companies, the environment is difficult. And you saw Yuga International having a negative growth for the last six months, and we see it in other companies. So The price is also, it's very difficult, virtually impossible to raise money for a small company like that. So the acquisitions might be actually something what we look at this year. It's not what we want to make it as part of our model, but this time it might be better to do than chase the market with the higher dollars. You saw that percentage of our marketing growth keep declining every year. And so it's kind of, I would assume this situation will solve during the year, but might allow us this year to make some other acquisitions like that.
spk04: Got it. And then final question, you know, Paul, you talked about the, or you're concerned about ending 2022 on a more than $100 million revenue run rate. You know, I guess, What would you point to as the biggest driver as to getting to that from where you are now?
spk01: I'd say the number one driver is going to be successful integration of YI into our broader marketing mix so that we can use the higher price point to try to grow revenues more meaningfully and decouple the subscriber growth rate from the revenue growth rate. That would be number one. And then number two, as Jerka mentioned, was the international play. Now that we have the French library that he mentioned in his prepared remarks, we're ready to start marketing French more meaningfully and have already started that, which adds to what we started doing in the second half of last year on Spanish. And we expect German to come online sometime this year as well. So that gives us three new meaningful languages to market around, which will be incremental to this year. And then I think the third component is now as we feel in the U.S. as if we're on the other side of some of the more strict restrictions on travel and in-person attendance, getting the GaiaSphere events going again and using that to build on the $2.99 Gaia events plus premium offering will allow us to expand ARPU again and potentially decouple that from subscriber growth rate. So I'd say those are Probably the three biggest drivers that I look at right now as we look at the back half of the year and exiting it. We're going to have a little bit of headwind in the first half of the year just because of tougher comps from last year with the way the growth rate played out over 21. So I'd expect it to be accelerating as we go into Q4 from the trend that we see in Q1 and Q2. Sounds good.
spk04: Thank you both.
spk02: Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question or pose a comment, you may do so by pressing star 1 on your telephone keypad. Star 1 for questions. We'll take our next question from Stephen Frankel with Colears. Please go ahead.
spk03: Good afternoon. With all this focus on international, could you remind us where international subscribers of the Gaia business stood as you entered Q4 or exited the year, whichever number you're more comfortable with?
spk00: So if you take total subscribers who are outside of the United States for Gaia, what we call Gaia Direct, not counting people like Amazon and Comcast, because those will be by definition U.S., and those what we call third-party revenues, we always want to keep below 20%. So they operate in high single digit as a percentage. But excluding those, we probably about like mid 40s of outside of the customers, outside of the U.S. Yoga internationally was at 60%. At least, you know, kind of the first look. I wouldn't say that numbers that absolutely we know yet. that's kind of the number of people who pay from the outside. However, historically, a lot of those people would still watch our English offering. So when we talk right now, international, we talk actually offering in languages. And so that's something what we just start to do. And it's those numbers are still very low, except if Spanish were you know, we're doing for a while, but still overall, it's going to be probably all within 100,000 members as an international language offering.
spk01: Yeah, and if you look at it on a revenue basis for outside the U.S. compared to inside the U.S. based on billing location, it's about 56% U.S., 44% outside the U.S., and as Jerica mentioned, that's been historically dominated by English-speaking countries where we've done historical acquisitions. So Canada, Australia, New Zealand are in the top there, as well as the Western European in aggregate. So that's been a focus for where we've spent our money historically on English non-U.S. But now we, as Jerka alluded to, have started on the Spanish side of things. And as I mentioned, French and German will be coming online this year.
spk00: Yeah, we basically, in all countries, what you can name. So it's not the geographical. It's going to be more as we kind of deal with languages. And, you know, obviously in the future, we want to expand our language offerings as well.
spk03: Could you give us some insight in renewal rates of annual subscribers in Q4 and any of the new subscriber activity in the fourth quarter? How much of that was toward annual subscriptions?
spk01: Yeah, so I'll answer the second question first just because it's easier. The new customer sign-up rate has been generally between 20% and 25% annual as we've gone through this year. And that was a mindful shift from the 30% that we experienced historically because we wanted to start to bring some of the revenue higher because of the $99. When you do the monthly ARPU on that, it's significantly below the $12 a month that we get from monthly members. So we've been able to, through plan selection and the way that we do the positioning of the plans, we're able to influence that number between 20% and 30% depending on what we want to do. As it relates to renewals, we've started to see the higher volume, if you recall, in October 2019 is when we really shifted the mix significantly to the annual plan. So now we're in year two renewals for the higher levels, and we're seeing continued positive renewal trends on the annuals. I don't have a specific number that I'm willing to comment to, but the trends have continued to be beneficial and indicative that the right percentage of annual plans is healthy for overall cash flow dynamics and retention dynamics as well.
spk03: Okay, great. Thank you.
spk02: Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, this concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the call back over to Mr. Rishavi for closing remarks.
spk00: Thank you, and thanks, everyone, for joining, and we look forward to speaking with you And we will report our first quarter results, which will be early May. Thank you very much. Operator?
spk02: And thank you, everyone, for joining today's call. We look forward to speaking with our investor and analysts when we report our first quarter 2022 results. You may now disconnect. Thank you for your participation.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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