Gambling.com Group Limited

Q1 2023 Earnings Conference Call

5/18/2023

spk01: Hello, everyone, and welcome to Gambling.com Group's first quarter 2023 earnings results call. I am Peter McGough, Vice President of Investor Relations. I am joined by Charles Gillespie, Chief Executive and Co-Founder, and Elias Mark, Chief Financial Officer. The call is being webcast live through the Investor Relations section of our website at gambling.com forward slash corporate forward slash investors. And a downloadable version of the presentation is available there as well. A webcast replay will be available on the website after the conclusion of this call. You may also contact investor relations support by emailing investors at gdcgroup.com. I would like to remind you that the information contained in this conference call, including any financial and related guidance to be provided, consists of forward-looking statements as defined by securities laws. These statements are based on information currently available to us and involve risks and certainties that could cause actual future results, performance, and business prospects, and opportunities to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements. Some important factors that could cause such differences are discussed in the risk factors section of Gambling.com Group's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statements are made. and the company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect actual results. Changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting forward-looking information accept to the extent required by securities laws. During the call, there will also be a discussion of non-IFRS financial measures. A description of these non-IFRS financial measures is included in the press release issued earlier this morning. And reconciliations of these non-IFRS financial measures to their most directly comparable IFRS measures are included in the appendix to the presentation and the press release, both of which are available in the investor tab of our website. I'll now turn the call over to Charles. Thank you, Peter, and welcome, everyone.
spk06: Gambling.com group is off to a tremendous start in 2023, as this morning we reported another quarter of all-time record results. These record results were driven by continued outstanding execution of the key fundamentals of our business, supplemented by the launch of sports betting in Ohio and Massachusetts. With these results, we have again demonstrated that we are leading the way in terms of organic growth among our publicly traded peers. With this great start to the year, we continue to expect that 2023 will be another year of record financial performance, driven by strong organic growth and resulting in attractive levels of free cash flow. That last point, attractive free cash flow, highlights a very significant differentiator for Gatling.com Group, among most of the other publicly traded companies in the U.S. targeting the high growth online Gatling industry. Although we do not currently have clarity on any additional U.S. state launches for sports betting before January 2024, we are today raising our guidance for full year 2023, as Elias will detail later in the call. First quarter revenue rose 36% to $26.7 million, reflecting a more than 30% increase in North American revenue and continued strength in the UK and Ireland, with revenue growth of 36%. We generated $10.7 million of adjusted EBITDA and $6.2 million of free cash flow. Our first quarter results benefited from sports betting launches in Ohio and, to a lesser extent, Massachusetts. as well as strong results for iCasino across both North America and in a number of our European markets. We delivered over 88,000 new depositing customers for our online gambling operator clients, an increase of 31% over Q1 2022. Our Q1 2023 NDC growth is even more impressive when you consider that last year's first quarter strongly benefited from New York's massive sports betting launch. Our growth in NBC's continues to be driven by an expansion of our portfolio of assets as well as our continuously improving ability to leverage our proprietary technology and data science systems to convert and monetize high intent traffic. Our focus on organic growth paid off again, with the first quarter of North American revenues increasing 33% year-over-year to $14.1 million. Revenues from the UK and Ireland increased 36% year-over-year to $8.5 million. This was our fifth consecutive quarter of record revenues in the UK and Ireland, despite having operated in these markets for over 10 years. Last month, we got the long-awaited white paper on the review of the online gambling industry Many of the proposals in the white paper have already been implemented by the industry and we expect no meaningful impact on our business from the proposed measures. Our media partnership with McClatchy performed as expected during the seasonally stronger winter sports calendar. We continue to expect meaningful revenue from our Gannett partnership this autumn as the NFL season gets underway. And we have already launched our new section on USA Today, which is available at usatoday.com slash betting. BonusFinder.com continued to perform well and in line with our expectations for the quarter. Rotowire had healthy growth overall with performance marketing revenues and subscriptions continuing to grow in the first quarter. KPIs from the Rotowire subscription business were at record levels and the business overall continues to deliver on our strategic objectives for the acquisition. Our continued focus on the positioning of our websites and leveraging the business intelligence capabilities of our technology stack has created an execution gap between Gantling.com Group and our publicly traded peers. There is no change to our plan to continue to invest prudently in the business to further improve our own and operated websites as well as to optimize our media partnerships. We've made great progress with the development of casinos.com, which we expect to launch this summer. Development and optimization of both McClatchy and Gannett partnerships will continue throughout the remainder of 2023. It's noteworthy that these two very large news organizations chose Gannett.com Group among all of our peers to monetize the immense opportunity in US school setting available to them. I believe that our partnerships speak to their understanding that among all of the online gambling affiliate companies, we have separated ourselves in terms of how we leverage our digital expertise and proprietary technology to maximize outcomes for our website visitors and gambling operator clients. Further optimizing the footprint of our media partnerships will create yet another competitive gap compared to our competition. The national and local brand footprint of Givet in the U.S. is unmatched by any other daily newspaper publisher, and we look forward to unlocking the full potential of both partnerships over the coming years. Now I'd like to turn the call over to our CFO, Elias Mark, to discuss our first quarter results in detail.
spk03: Thank you, Charles, and welcome everyone. As Charles mentioned, we saw another record quarter of financial results during the first quarter. Revenues increased 36% to 26.7 million compared to the prior year, or 40% in constant currency. The increase in revenue was driven by a strong growth in NDCs in both North America, the UK and Ireland, and the rest of the world. New depositing customers in the course increased 31% to more than 88,000. Also, sales during the first quarter from our media partnerships and the subscription business of rotowire.com amounted to $1 million. Social operating expenses were $17.5 million, an increase of $3.5 million. Social operating expenses included $0.9 million of fair value movements in contingent consideration related to the bonus finder acquisition. Adjusted for this fair value movement, adjusted operating expenses were $16.6 million. an increase of 22% in constant currency. The increase was driven primarily by additional headcounts across marketing, product, sales, and technology functions for public company expenses. Amortization expenses decreased to 1.4 million as short-bid assets from the road to wire and bonus binder acquisitions were now fully amortized. For the full year 2023, we expect to incur a motivation of approximately 1.6 billion. Hiring in the first quarter continued at a more moderate pace and was well below our pace in 2022. Current staffing levels are close to being able to support our near and long-term growth objectives. While we expect to continue to hire selectively, we expect operating leverage from revenue outflow and operating expenses for the full year. We expect to continue to deliver substantial daily cash flow. Net income totaled $6.6 million or $0.17 per annuity chart compared to net income of $4.5 million or $0.12 per annuity chart in the same period in the prior year. Adjusted the per-value movement in contingent and at the first consideration, adjusted net income in the quarter was 7.6 million and adjusted earnings per share of 20 cents per value to share. We will continue to adjust net income in this manner until the end of the honour period, the bonus standard, at the end of 2023. We generated first quarter adjusted EBITDA of 10.7 million compared to 7.2 million in the same quarter in the third year. Its 49% growth represents the leverage we gained as our top-line growth outpaced its spending growth. The adjusted EBITDA margin was 40% compared to 37% in the first quarter of 2022. Total cash generated from operations of 7.1 million increased from 3.6 million in Q1 2022, driven by the strong year-over-year revenue growth. We generated first-order free cash flow of 6.2 million as CapEx normalized following the expansion of our domain name portfolio in 2021 and 2022 to include such new marquee names as Cousinos.com. We remain able to entirely fund our organic growth initiatives from operating cash flow while continuing to generate positive free cash flow. as of March 31st, 2023, totaled 33.6 million, a 3.9 million sequential increase. In respect of the grade performance in 2022, we were pleased to pay the Donor Finder team the maximum amount possible under the terms of their own agreement at the beginning of Q2 2020 grade. In consideration was 20 million, of which 50% was paid with unregistered GAM charts. Turning to Outlook. We are now through the season internal period of the fall and winter sports calendar. We expect a normal seasonal pattern in the second and third quarters as a result of fewer sporting events in comparison to the fourth quarter of last year and the first quarter of 2020. In our view, the long performance marketing services for the online gambling industry remain strong and it's even more valuable for operators as they continue to make progress towards delivering profitable As we continue to gain additional scale, particularly through increased delivery of NFTs to our customers, that scale gives us additional pricing power. We will continue to monitor consumer behavior closely in both Europe and North America, but reflecting our Q1 and the Trump stock C2, we're not being amicable back from consumers today. Given these factors, and on the back of our Trump Q1 performance, this morning we raised our 2023 full year revenue and adjusted EBITDA items. The new ranges are for revenue in the range of 95 to 99 million compared to the prior range of 93 to 97 million. The new range represents year-on-year growth of 24 to 29%. We now expect adjusted EBITDA to be between 33 and 37 million as compared to our earlier expectations of 32 to 56 million. The new range represents year-on-year growth of 37% to 54%, and a full-year margin of 36% at the midpoint of the respective revenues and adjusted EBITDA ranges. As we highlighted when we provided our initial outlook for the year, our 2023 guidance contains no new market launches or impacts of any future decisions. Our guidance for 2023 now seems to yield us a change rate of 1.08%. Under the company's authorized share buyback program, we have purchased a total of 107,836 shares at an average price of $9.48 today, representing about 10% of the total turnover in offline. We will continue to opportunistically repurchase shares when we see value and are able to meet demand. In September, we filed an S3 registration statement to enable the company to issue up to 100 million in securities. As a result, the company is able to raise additional capital to finance certain strategic transactions that support our goal of increasing shareholder value. Earlier this morning, we filed an additional S3 registration statement to enable some of our long-term pre-IPO shareholders to sell a portion of their shares in the future. This would increase supply for our free flow, but not dilute our existing shareholders. With that, I'll turn it over to John.
spk06: Thank you, Elias. Regarding the F3, I'd just like to quickly note that the Board and the major pre-IPO shareholders are all in alignment regarding the benefits of a potential structured trade to responsibly increase the company's free float, which should help improve liquidity for the benefit of all shareholders. We expect that the outcome of such a transaction would make investing in Gamma.com easier for larger institutional investors. Before we wrap up for questions, I'd like to zoom out, stop talking about a single quarter and get some big picture perspective. We continue to be in a great position to deliver strong organic growth and gain market share in many of our markets as we move through the balance of spring and into summer. The strong momentum from Q1 has carried over into the start of Q2. The 2023 legislative season has kicked off and the first success is in Kentucky where they have successfully regulated sports betting. Vermont is more or less a done deal with sports betting legislation only waiving the governor's signature. We believe that North Carolina is also likely to succeed with sports betting legislation in the coming months. In Minnesota and Texas, the legislators continue to debate and there is a chance of a positive outcome. Texas would of course be an immense market, but despite early signs of progress, it is still long odds for success this year. As Elliot highlighted, we are not yet projecting any revenue from additional state launches this year. Once we have full clarity on the launch timelines for any new states, we will adjust our guidance. While the unending expansion of regulated online gambling in the U.S. captures most people's attention these days, the combined opportunity of newly regulated markets outside of North America and Europe is equally compelling and thoroughly underappreciated. Likewise, the ability for the world's largest regulated online gambling markets to continue to be drivers of growth for GAM is remarkable. I was delighted to see exceptional growth in the UK and Ireland continue and actually surpass North America during the quarter, highlighting our ability to still deliver impressive growth in established markets, as well as how truly early it remains in North American online gambling. We're looking forward to the launch of casinos.com in the next few months and expect the site to be a tremendous vehicle to drive revenue growth over the coming years. We believe the domain is as good as it gets and fully expect it to become a dominant brand in the online gambling affiliate world in due course. I will end by once again thanking the brilliant team at gambling.com for their exemplary efforts in delivering yet another record quarter. With that, we'd be happy to open up the line for questions. Operator?
spk07: Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. The confirmation total indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for your questions. Our first questions come from the line of Ryan Sigdahl with Craig Hallam. Please proceed with your questions.
spk05: Hey, Charles, Elias. Nice job, guys. Good quarter. Curious, want to start with the new states that launched, Massachusetts, Ohio. Obviously, a lot of spending. We've heard some pull forward of spend from some of the big operators into those states into Q1. But curious kind of how the quarter was in those states and then how trends and results have been kind of subsequent to quarter end in April and May so far?
spk06: So Ohio was a very important state launch, lots of operators, meaningful population, good competition, all in all came in a very successful state launch. I think the most kind of surprising thing about Q1 for us was Massachusetts and how You know, our expectations for Massachusetts were certainly not as high as Ohio, but kind of uniquely among all the U.S. state launches so far. Month two in Massachusetts was actually better than month one, and that had something to do with kind of the sporting calendar and some of the kind of momentum around the initial launch day. But, you know, those were two great states, and they will continue to be very good markets for us going forward.
spk05: Just to clarify Charles April was better than March for Massachusetts. Yeah. Gotcha. I'm curious then kind of, as you look to the second half of this year, what you're hearing from your customers, ad partners, operators, et cetera, but on user acquisition, spend and budgets and kind of plans for the rest of this year, how much visibility and if any of that dialogue has changed.
spk06: It doesn't tend to meaningfully change quarter to quarter, year to year, or even if you zoom out even further, the demand for affiliate services remains rather constant. The CPA rates may ebb and flow slightly, but the perspective from our clients and the operators in general is they want to buy as much traffic as they possibly can from the affiliates. those discussions really center around market share within the affiliates. How can they get more exposure? How can they get more NGCs? If they're ranked two or three on our operator list, how can they be ranked number one? And that's partially a commercial discussion. It really is no kind of meaningful discussion trend, you know, either positive or negative in terms of demand for the services. We see it as kind of this very reliable concept.
spk05: Great. I'll turn it over to the others. Nice job, guys. The all performance. Thank you.
spk07: Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Jeff Stanchel with Stifel. Please proceed with your questions.
spk08: Okay, thanks. Good morning, Charles. Thanks for taking our questions. Starting off, Charles, I was hoping you could give us an update on what you're seeing in some of the core markets within other Europe and just some of the initiatives in play that are kind of helping you take share in some of the more mature markets. And then for some of the more regulatory challenge markets, you know, talking about Germany, Netherlands, things of those natures, just what are you seeing there in terms of progress towards normalcy? Thanks.
spk06: We've seen some strength. obviously in the UK and Ireland, but in the other markets in Europe, Italy's been good. Netherlands has been good. We're still optimistic that Germany will come out with some regulations which are more consumer friendly and we'll see more growth in that market. But what's been driving the business is really just the execution. It's not really kind of market level factors so much as it is us just delivering on website plans, server rankings, yield enhancement, the kind of bread and butter of running the business.
spk08: Great. That's helpful. Elliot, can you just talk about how you see margins sort of progressing sequentially through 2023, you know, thinking in the mind from the puts and takes here, operating leverage on the investments called out in the press release, things of that nature? Thanks.
spk03: Yeah, if you look at our guidance, we're guiding towards margin expansion for the full year, but as the vast majority of our costs are fixed, the margin will vary between quarters as a function of the sport seasonality. Okay, great. Lower. Okay.
spk08: Okay, so it's fair to assume you know, seasonality for margins should basically mirror the seasonality you called out in your prepared remarks on guidance, or should we think about other, you know, some of the investments into the growth initiative, some other dynamics apply?
spk06: I think that's it, Jeff. You know, it's really driven by the sports calendar and to a lesser extent somewhat by weather in the northern hemisphere. You know, people in the height of summer, people spend less time on their computers. So whether that's betting on sports or on, you know, that has more of a kind of effect on online casino than it does on sports betting. But that's the other kind of seasonal factor, but it's far less pronounced than the sports calendar dimension.
spk08: Great. That's helpful. Thank you both and a nice quarter.
spk07: Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Barry Jonas with Truist Securities. Please proceed with your questions.
spk04: Hey, guys. Wanted to ask a bit about media partnerships. It seems like many US operators are maybe trying to get out of some of their deals. And on the affiliate side, you're seeing some partner swaps and even litigation. So can you maybe talk about your media strategy, how you structure deals, and how good you feel about them being successful? Thanks.
spk06: Yeah. So, you know, I think the first thing to point out is when an operator does a media partnership and when an affiliate does a media partnership, those are two very different beasts. And, you know, the affiliate model has been the model which you've seen succeed and grow. And, yeah, there's lots of, you know, new deals are still being done on that basis, whereas the kind of operator tie-up with a big media brand, Those deals are, by and large, just not being renewed or canceled and you're not really seeing any new ones. And that is a perfect example of the superiority of the affiliate model in a media context. If you are a large media owner, you can make more money by partnering with an affiliate that can help you monetize with all of the operators versus trying to monetize with one single operator. obvious in retrospect, but this affiliate media partnership model is simply, fundamentally superior, certainly from our perspective. I wouldn't really compare it to, but the way we have gone about this is the same way we've gone about M&A. We want to do fewer, bigger deals, and we're going to be really picky. It's just easier to concentrate our finite resources on two big media partnerships than it would be to focus those same resources on 10 smaller medium-sized partnerships. So we put really a lot of effort into both our Kalachi and Gannett partnerships, and we've got great relationships there. And I think it's just easier to manage when you develop a deeper relationship with your partners.
spk04: Got it. And then just for my follow-up, apologies if I missed this in the remarks, but how much of the guidance raised is attributable to FX versus just underlying strength? And can you also remind us what the difference is at this point between the high end and the low end?
spk03: The majority of the changing guidance is on the back of strong trading. We have the FX assumption from 1.075 to 1.085. If you look at the ranges, the difference between the low and the high range will be in our ability to continue to outperforming the UK and other markets where we've seen tremendous growth and the quantum of success or the speed rather than speed of success of the ramp up of the Gannett partnership.
spk05: Understood. Thank you so much, guys.
spk07: Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of David Katz with Jefferies. Please proceed with your questions.
spk02: Hi, good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to just talk about, pardon me, the M&A landscape. We've seen a couple of deals just within the past week that aren't necessarily directly related to gambling.com, but it does imply some changes in the landscape and our imaginations can carry us toward further consolidation of things. How do we think about the degree to which that's either positive, negative, or neutral for you as we move forward?
spk06: I think any time a company that's in your exact sector that's also a significant B2B supplier is acquired at a premium in excess of 100%, that can only reflect positively on the companies and the peers. We take our hats off to Neo Games on a fantastic transaction. And yeah, it will hopefully also just bring some more attention back into the online gambling side of the equity market. This industry was obviously very in favor a couple of years ago. people then realize, okay, they're not going to, you know, the whole world shifted to, you know, focus on companies which were profitable and, you know, out of favor, right? You know, it does feel like maybe that's going to kind of swing back the other way again. You know, these companies are now either profitable or on the brink of achieving profitability, at least from the operator's side. You know, obviously the B2B suppliers have been there for some time. Um, and, and yeah, hopefully deals like the one that was announced earlier this week will further catalyze the investor, um, perception of the industry. I think at the end of the day, the cashflow is hard to ignore. Uh, you know, it's, these are going to be, uh, some very, some very great businesses in the U S market, not only in the next couple of years, but in the next 20 to 30 years.
spk02: Right. And just if I can carry that one step further, right, the degree to which, you know, does it affect, I assume it would, you know, efforts you might make to acquire more things, does that rising tide lift all boats, or do you still see opportunities for you to acquire, you know, here and there to bolster what you have?
spk06: Well, we haven't had anyone double the price they were talking about since Monday, thankfully. But look, we were very focused on M&A. We're having a lot of conversations. We're having a lot of good conversations. There's no shortage of things out there to consider. And I'm hopeful that we'll be able to announce something at some point, but we also remain as picky as ever. We feel like we're under absolutely no pressure to do M&A, so we are only going to do the big deals, back to fewer, better, bigger transactions. We're going to do the deals which we think really just make so much sense that we can We have kind of very, very high conviction to move forward. And we look forward to updating everybody when one of those comes into focus.
spk02: Got it. 100% premium is good for everyone.
spk00: Indeed. Thank you.
spk07: There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the floor back over to Charles Gillespie for any closing comments.
spk06: Thank you again to everyone for joining us today. We appreciate your support and interest in GAMLU.com Group. We've had a strong start to the year and expect more of the same solid performance for 2023. We look forward to updating everyone again when we report our Q2 results in August.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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