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spk06: Good day and welcome to the GCM-Grovenor Third Quarter 2024 Results Webcast. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. And if you are interested in asking a question, please ensure you dial in using the numbers you have been provided for this call and press star 1 on your keypad to join the queue. If anyone should require operator assistance, please press star and then the key 0 on your telephone. As a reminder, this call will be recorded. I would now like to hand the call over to Stacey Selinger, Head of Investor Relations. You may begin.
spk01: Thank you. Good morning and welcome to GCM-Grovenor's Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. Today, I am joined by GCM-Grovenor's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Michael Fax, President John Levin, and Chief Financial Officer Pam Bentley. Before we discuss this quarter's results, a reminder that all statements made on this call that do not relate to matters of historical fact should be considered forward-looking statements. This includes statements regarding our current expectations for the business, our financial performance, and projections. These statements are neither promises nor guarantees. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other important factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements on this call. Please refer to the factors in the risk factors section of our 10-K, our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and our earnings release, all of which are available on the public shareholders section of our website. We'll also refer to non-GET measures that we view as important in assessing the performance of our business. A reconciliation of non-GET metrics to the nearest GAP metric can be found in our earnings presentation and earnings supplement, both of which are available on our website. Our goal is to continually improve how we communicate with and engage with our shareholders, and in that spirit, we look forward to your feedback. Thank you again for joining us, and with that, I'll turn the call over to Michael.
spk07: Michael Thanks, Stacey, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased to report another strong quarter on our way to a strong full year of growth in 2024. On a -to-date basis, our fee-related earnings increased 18 percent, and adjusted net income increased 24 percent over the same period in 2023. Our fee-related earnings margin was 41 percent for the quarter, compared to 31 percent at the end of 2020, and we continue to believe that we have margin expansion opportunity. We believe that we succeed when our clients succeed, and this quarter we again delivered value to our clients. Performance across our business was solid in all investment verticals. Absolute Returns Strategies performance has been particularly strong, with our Multi-Strategy Composite generating its 12.5 percent gross rate of return over the last 12 months. We've similarly enjoyed portfolio appreciation year over year across private equity and infrastructure strategies. Real estate valuations have largely stabilized, and the environment there is good with regard to investment opportunities. Capital formation activity continues to improve across the business, and we are seeing signs of improvement in realization activity. We raised $1.4 billion of capital in the quarter, bringing our -to-date fundraising total to $4.8 billion, a 34 percent increase year over year. We've seen tremendous growth in late-stage pipeline opportunities, which are up over 70 percent today from a year ago, with every investment strategy showing real pipeline growth. We continue to expect fundraising in the second half of the year to exceed the $3.4 billion we raised in the first half of the year, and we see strong fundraising momentum heading into 2025. The composition of our recent fundraising highlights the key business drivers that we've discussed on recent calls. The shift to private markets, the shift to direct-oriented investment strategies, the power of our separate account model, and the particularly strong tailwinds infrastructure and private credit. Over the last three years, 89 percent of the $20 billion of capital we have raised was for private market strategies, and near 50 percent was for direct oriented strategies. Today, 71 percent of our AUM is in private market strategies, and 40 percent in direct oriented strategies. Both of those numbers will continue to increase based on recent fundraising trend lines. Notably, the financial performance of our absolute return strategies has stabilized as expected. Earlier this year, John discussed the stability and growth embedded in our separate account business. The re-up cycle of separate accounts is a powerful foundation of our growth. Forty-two percent of our -to-date fundraising has been in private equity, largely driven by separate account re-ups. Our separate accounts are programmatic in nature and are core exposures inside of our clients' portfolios. We have a considerable re-up pipeline looking out over the next year. Investors continue to increase allocations to infrastructure and private credit and are well positioned to be, and we are well positioned to be part of the solution for them. You may have seen analyst reports about a sell-side event we hosted last quarter spotlighting the competitive advantages of our infrastructure platform. We are experienced, we are global, our track record is good, we can implement all different types of investments, and our sourcing engine is powerful. These differentiators have led to success with our infrastructure AUM doubling over the last four years. We see further growth in the future. In the case of private credit, we are positioned to provide holistic solutions for client portfolios. That includes serving as a single point of entry for the entirety of a client's private credit allocation and providing complementary credit co-investment and secondaries exposures. Investors continue to grow and evolve their private credit allocations so the growth potential to scale with them is significant. Credit was our fastest growing vertical by AUM over the last year, and we expect continued momentum there. We remain confident in our five-year growth target of doubling 2023 fee-related earnings by 2028, and this year's anticipated growth puts us on pace to achieve that goal. At the same time, we see significant latent earnings power in our incentive fee opportunity, which will benefit growth and adjusted net income to an even greater degree. With that, I'll turn it over to John.
spk03: Thank you, Michael. The Individual Investor channel, for good reason, is quite topical in our industry these days, and we have a lot going on in this area at GCM. That will be the focus of my comments today. Individual investors account for roughly half the total global AUM, so approximately $150 trillion, and this AUM is significantly under-allocated to alternatives. Even if individual investors just get to a 15 percent allocation, which is around half of a typical institutional target, that's still trillions of dollars, so the opportunity is massive. The Individual Investor channel is not a singular, homogenous group. It's a broad spectrum of individuals in terms of asset and accreditation levels, who are reached through a broad spectrum of distribution channels. Success requires a sophisticated and multifaceted approach to delivering solutions to these individuals. For the past several years, we've focused on strengthening our presence on warehouse distribution platforms. We've raised capital via a range of vehicles, including registered funds, qualified purchaser specialized funds, and custom solutions for single individual investors, as well as for advisors who may use a single tailored solution for multiple clients. We've raised capital in the U.S., Europe, and Australia across absolute return strategies, as well as private market strategies. We've raised over $3 billion of capital since 2020 from individual investors, comprising nearly 10 percent of our fundraising over that time period. The next stage of our growth plan is centered on launching a suite of interval fund private market products for both accredited and non-accredited individual investors that will be sold through a broader range of distribution partners, including RIAs, independent broker dealers, and the wirehouses. Success in this market hinges on a strong investment strategy, a well-designed product, and robust distribution resources. This quarter, we reached two significant milestones in our growth strategy, both centered on forming new partnerships around new registered products. First, we announced that we will serve as a core independent manager to the AXIS Private Market Fund. We will be AXIS's investment partner, focused on sourcing and executing a diversified portfolio of private equity co-investments and secondaries. Second, we announced a new strategic partnership with Scion Investments, focused on infrastructure. Scion has a long track record of successfully raising capital from the individual investor channel, and we're excited to partner with them to distribute a product to a broader audience. As you may recall from our second quarter call, we secured a $300 million anchor commitment for this effort. Such an anchor commitment is a great advantage in this market as it provides immediate scale at launch. While both of these partnerships are in their early stages, we're very excited for their potential growth over the coming years. We also look forward to continuing to expand our suite of products and distribution capabilities. We're excited to update you in the future about our achievements in this area, and with that, I'll turn the call over to Payne.
spk04: Thanks, John. We are pleased with our strong results in the third quarter, which build on the momentum we enjoyed over the first half of the year. -to-date fee-related earnings grew 18%, adjusted EBITDA grew 21%, and adjusted net income grew 24% over the same period in 23. Asset center management were at a record high of $80 billion as a quarter end, a 5% increase from a year ago, and fee-paying AUM also increased 5% -over-year, ending the quarter at a record $64 billion. Contracted -fee-paying AUM ended the quarter at $7.9 billion, an 11% increase from a year ago due to stronger fundraising. As a reminder, our contracted -fee-paying AUM typically converts to fee-paying AUM over the next few years and provides a tailwind to our top growth. Private markets was once again a key driver in the quarter, with private markets fee-paying AUM growing by 7% -over-year. Our private markets business now represents 71% of total AUM and 66% of our fee-paying AUM. Private markets management fees grew 6% for the quarter and 8% -to-date, compared to the prior year. For the full year 24, we expect total private markets management fee growth to be 9% to 11% over the prior year. Where we fall in this range will depend on the exact timing and amount of specialized fund closings in the fourth quarter. At the beginning of the year, we spoke about our expectation that our absolute return strategies management fees would stabilize in 24, and we are on track to meet that goal. Third quarter ARS management fees increased 2% -over-year, and consistent with our prior guidance, we expect full year 24 ARS management fees to be stable relative to last year. Turning to our expenses, our compensation philosophy is to align and incentivize our greatest asset, our talent, through a combination of annual and long-term awards, including FRE-related compensation, Incentive fee-related compensation, and equity awards. We remain disciplined in managing compensation expenses, and third quarter FRE-related compensation was $37 million. Stock-based compensation was $4 million in the quarter, and consistent with last year, we expect a seasonal uptick in the fourth quarter relative to Q3. We plan to continue to use our buyback program to manage dilution from our equity compensation awards. Non-GAAPs, general and administrative, and other expenses were $19 million in the quarter, and due to some seasonality, were down slightly on a sequential basis. We do expect those levels to increase next quarter. Pulling together these factors on a -over-year basis, fee-related earnings grew a healthy 9% in the quarter and 18% -to-date. As Michael noted, consistent with long-term guidance, we expect to enjoy FRE growth this year, consistent with our five-year guidance to double FRE from 2023 to 2028. Turning to incentive fees, we realized $23 million in the quarter, comprised of nearly $3 million of ARS performance fees and more than $20 million of carried interest. As Michael noted, ARS investment performance has been very strong, positioning us generate meaningful performance fees this year. As of quarter end, we had $26 million of accrued, unrealized annual performance fees, which are incremental to the $13 million of annual performance fees we've realized -to-date. ARS performance has continued to be strong thus far in Q4. Our growth unrealized carried interest grew approximately 5% -over-year to $816 million as of quarter end. We believe our incentive fees provide significant embedded earnings potential, which we look forward to being unlocked as the capital markets strengthen and M&A activity accelerates. Our balance sheet is strong and we are maintaining a healthy quarterly dividend of 11 cents per share. There is room for future dividend growth as we enjoy positive momentum in our earnings. We also continue to repurchase shares under our buyback program, and -to-date we've repurchased $33 million of stock, leaving $32 million remaining in our share purchase plan as of quarter end. To close, we have confidence in our 24 and long-term financial objectives and look forward to the opportunities ahead to deliver value to our clients and shareholders. Thank you again for joining us and we're now happy to take your questions.
spk06: Thank you. And if you are dialed in via the telephone and would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, you can press star one to ask a question and we'll pause for just a brief moment to allow everyone an opportunity to signal for questions.
spk08: Our first question is coming from Chris Spindlove with Piper Sandler.
spk10: Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Just first off on fundraising, Michael, you reiterated that fundraising in the second half should be higher than the first, but just in order to do that, you're going to need the best quarter of the year with, I think, over $2 billion of fundraising. So first, can you just speak to your confidence there and if there is anything specific driving that that's worth calling out, whether it's infrastructure picking back up, continued straight from PE or just other areas? Thank you.
spk07: Yeah, thank you. Thanks for the question. We wouldn't have said that with a quarter to go or less than a quarter ago if we weren't confident and we included kind of what we call the near-term pipeline, some of which includes opportunities where you've already won but you haven't finished contracting yet and gotten going and we kind of tried to give you an image of how significantly that pipeline has grown from a year ago. And that's something that, particularly when you're talking about near-term pipeline, we're tracking very closely and there are names next to numbers and that sort of thing. And so we do have confidence that we are going to deliver on that and that's a good solid quarter of fundraising. It certainly wouldn't be necessarily the best quarter we ever had. So we think it's doable and we reiterated that because we do have confidence and importantly, and I think we also tried to touch on this in the prepared remarks, but it really is when you look at near-term pipeline, sort of verbal and in finals, like real pipeline, very near-term high visibility, it's every strategy where that pipeline is larger than it was a year ago. Every one of our strategies. So the fundraising environment has improved. This is going to be an up year from a fundraising perspective relative to last year and we expect it will continue to improve into next year and you know we're very happy about that.
spk10: Great, thank you Michael, appreciate that. Then this one, that's a little bit of a longer term question, but when you think about your revenue and FRE makeup over the intermediate terms, the next few years, you just provide some just general thoughts here. Feed related revenues has been about 80% or so of revenues in what's been a type of deal market, but with your carried interest earnings potential and then also just following the election which has renewed some optimism and deal activity, would you expect that 80% share to decrease over the coming years? And I know it's difficult with time, but just curious on your general thoughts here.
spk07: Well, I think a little bit that's why we talk about things the way that we do. So we want to run a management fee centric business that has good, solid, top line organic growth and then has some margin opportunity and we're getting very good fee related earnings growth and as we've said and reiterated on this call, doubling from the end of 23s FRE is a goal of ours and we think that goal is, we're well on our way to that goal this year and we are standing by our confidence and our belief that we can do that. So that necessitates and we believe we have real opportunities for solid management fee growth going forward and growth in fee related earnings. We also have tried to make it clear that because of the unique nature of our particular carry and kind of the history evolution of our particular carry and the kind of macro environment where transactions were depressed, we think we have sort of very significant earnings power inside of that carry asset. We included a couple of new pieces of information in the earnings deck. We try to help you see that and we think we have significant earnings power there. So we would anticipate that our adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income actually grow faster than our fee related earnings grow looking out over the next four years or so which we also feel very good about. And with regard to your comment on the election, I think the one thing that we do think is highly likely as a result of the election is that transaction activity picks up and you do see more transactions and that is good for the carry line and it's good for deployment and we do think that's a likely outcome of the election.
spk09: Great. Thank you and appreciate taking my questions.
spk08: Our next question is coming from Bill Katz with TD Cowan.
spk02: Okay. Thank you very much and we did notice the extra disclosure so thank you. So maybe just coming back to the algorithm to drive toward your doubling of FRE growth, it sounds like you're opening up your guidance a little bit for this year from double digits down to a nine to eleven depending upon timing. So that would suggest a little more margin expansion. So as you look out over the next several years, can you unpack sort of where you think you can get to in terms of the revenue growth for FRE versus the margin? The margin looks like it improved pretty significantly quarter on quarter including very good leverage on comp. Just trying to understand the algorithm as we look ahead to the next few years.
spk07: Sure. I think that what we want to do over that time period and obviously it's not linear but we believe you can drive and I want to put a pin for a second in the individual investor market in answering this question but we believe that kind of our core competency capabilities now that we can drive private market management fee growth 10% or better. We believe we get compounding and keep capital and frankly if performance keeps up in ARS, at some point we'll actually see some capital come into that strategy and so you can compound your ARS and we can see that top line management fee growth at that 10%, hopefully 10% plus range over that entire period of time and it'll ebb and flow in there. We'll have some years where it's much higher and some years where but that's what we believe. We believe we have margins still on the FRE line and then as we've said in the script and already answering the first question, the carry, the incentive fee line for us has a lot of upside and it has upside in it from the asset that exists today at NAV and it has upside in it from all the capital that's come into the firm over the last few years that has significant carry that isn't yet in the money. That new slide that we included that you noted, what we were trying to show you there was how you had an asset. You collected most of the value of that asset as of a certain date. The asset's much larger today than it was at that date despite your collections and we have a lot of power behind that asset today that you don't see yet and so we feel very good about that. We're committed to getting that FRE growth through a combination of good solid top line organic revenue growth and from continued margin and then we think the adjusted EBITDA and the adjusted income grow faster.
spk02: Okay, very good and then maybe one for yourself or Johnson, you highlighted the retail opportunity set. I was wondering if you could maybe expand a little bit on it. I think you mentioned a sort of suite of services coming down the pike. I'm sort of curious you're going to talk about that and then relatedly maybe it's already embedded in your prepared remarks. Should we assume any incremental spent expenditures needed to drive that growth or do you think you have the right resources allocated to that opportunity? Thank you.
spk03: Yeah, so maybe I'll start with actually the last part of your question first Bill which is that embedded in all the commentary Michael made with regard to our plans for the future and our goals with respect to the doubling of FRE from 28 in 28 as compared to 23. All that contemplates in our minds whatever spending we need to do in our business to achieve those goals. The reality of our business is that and it's true frankly for other businesses in the space is you have the ability to based on the top line dynamics you have the ability to keep your existing pool of talent happy on a year over year basis and invest in the business and still achieve operating leverage and margin expansion. And so every year we're investing in the business for various initiatives, individual investor being one of them but that is not something that takes us away from the financial goals we've laid out. With regard to the broader opportunity in individual investor I think we laid out some more slides on that in our presentation. We commented on it obviously in the call and so I know that's all hard to digest right away and hopefully you'll find some of that information valuable but the bottom line from our standpoint was to make a few points. The point being we've raised over $3 billion of capital from the individual investor channel roughly $3 billion since over the last several years, a few years. So it's a real business today. We've raised that capital for all of our different investment verticals. We've raised it globally and we've raised it in a bunch of different types of forms already today meaning we have registered fund for example in the after return strategy space. We have raised it for qualified purchaser institutional closed end funds capital from individual investors that are able to buy that type of product. We've actually done separate account business in the individual investor channel. We've done that both for individual high net worth investors but we've also actually done it for advisors or advisory firms custom solutions that they can use from multiple clients. So it's been a very active area of the business for us but there's a lot more to do and to your specific question what we highlighted on today's call and really actually it highlighted earlier in the quarter were two specific registered products that have or in the process of have launched or in the process of launching one around private equity and one around infrastructure and we're excited about the prospects for both of those as well. So hopefully that's your question but happy to kind of dive into any more detail on that though.
spk02: Okay I did pick all that up. It says intrigued by the suite of products that you had mentioned but we can follow up offline. Thank you for taking the questions.
spk06: And again if anyone would like to ask a question it is star one on your telephone
spk08: keypad. Our next question is coming from Kim Worthington with
spk06: JP Morgan.
spk11: Hi good morning. John just wanted to continue the discussion on wealth management. How do the economics work with the partnerships compared to what they might look like if you look at the partnerships and the partnerships that are being sold directly through the wire house or RIA channel. So thinking about this on a dollar of AUM basis because we assume that the partnerships will probably accelerate the dollar growth and should we look at these partnerships like sub-advised relationships so there's sort of an ongoing revenue share or is it different?
spk03: Yes thanks Ken. I think it's a good question and maybe I'll make a broad comment on it first and then can make some specific comments on the two particular partnerships we talked about on today's call. I think in a broader sense of things the idea that you can distribute through partnerships and the idea that you can distribute with your own internal distribution one are not exclusive concepts and you've actually seen I'm sure a lot of the big brand name alts of firms that have very successful businesses in the individual investor space pursue both of those types of options simultaneously and I think that the comparison of like the kind of net revenue or the net margin whether you use internal or distribution or do it through partnerships is not like a perfect science honestly. I think roughly speaking the way you can think about it is that you have to pay for distribution no matter what you do and you can pay for distribution through partnership or you can pay for distribution through internal and that the math of both of those is a good outcome when you get to scale and I think I would argue that the difference between them is a little bit negligible or certainly not something that someone could do scientifically to make a clear conclusion but I think the broader point is we're going to pursue both strategies and that's been something that's worked out well. I think the other point to Bill's questions was we're going to be methodical on how we invest for that growth and that it still allows us to achieve our targets. I think specifically to the partnerships today they actually can operate all differently so in one particular case where a core independent manager like a sub advisor and in that particular case it's kind of just like running a separate account almost. You're running a separate account for a pool of capital that you have a partner that is raising capital for you obviously supporting them in that distribution process through your technical knowledge and through your manufacturing knowledge you can kind of think about it as similar to just running a separate account. In one of the other cases it's more of a call to think of it as a JV where a dollar comes in and you're sharing that dollar between the manufacturing and the distribution and that kind of speaks a little bit to the other point I was making which is you're effectively quote unquote paying for the distribution through giving up some of the shares of the JV but that's instead of paying your own internal distribution and I think the math of it is still very good math from an asset management perspective which is why you've seen others pursue that kind of hybrid strategy. Hopefully that gets to your question but if there's anything else on that please follow up.
spk11: Nope that helps a lot and then maybe just as a follow-up you have a handful of specialized funds in market. You have had closes in the third quarter, you'll have more close in the fourth quarter. Can you just maybe inform us what actually had closes in three Q and acknowledging anything expected to four Q can slip into one Q depending on just sort of timing of stuff. What at least is the hope or expectation for which of the handful are more likely to have closes in four Q?
spk07: Hey Ken it's Michael. So we are going to have closes in most of the funds in market in Q4 on our private markets sort of full year management fee growth rate that Pam referenced. Really the determination, the determining factor for where we land in that is going to be directly related to Q4 closes for two of our funds specifically Elevate and IAF. I think as you know every fund that we have, successor fund that we've brought with the exception of one fund that was you know 40 million dollars you know less than the prior series. Every fund that we've brought has been higher and bigger than the prior series of fund and as I mentioned or tried to mention you know our pipeline for our specialized funds in all of our strategies and for our separate accounts in all of our strategies is really up significantly and that's that near-term pipeline. So we hope to plan to have Q4 closes that will help us to make those numbers that Pam talked about and then you know funds continue on into next year. The only fund that might not be you know we might have a final close for would be Elevate and so otherwise everything else is still rocking and rolling and we feel very good about the pipeline. We feel good about our track record of growing these specialized fund franchises and you know that's kind of where we are
spk09: on that. Great thank you very much.
spk08: Our next question is coming from Stephanie Ma with Morgan
spk06: Stanley.
spk05: Great good morning. Just wanted to get your latest thoughts on the private credit industry outlook particularly after the outcome of the election. If banks now have more appetite to step in again how do you think this changes the competitive dynamics in private credit and how do you think the private credit industry will change the competitive dynamics?
spk07: Maybe John I'll try to take a little bit of that and then if I you sort of jump in if I leave something you know if I don't don't get to something but I think that the private credit space is is growing. I just you know the the conversation you know the trajectory is up and to the right. It's coming for very good reason and it's the demand is coming from from everywhere in terms of you know type of client, geography of client, channel etc. And I just we don't we don't think that's changing and so can growth rates you know move a little bit based on risk or off risk on and appetite you know sure but there that private credit space in general which is not just you know one strategy that and we talked in our remarks about different implementation methods that we're bringing to clients that's just going to continue to grow and it's it's just going to continue to grow. It's that we think it's a long term you know the long-term trend it's not a short-term trend that's going to you know stop and start. It may accelerate a little and decelerate a little but it's going up and to the right and it's going to go for a while and we see it being a bigger and bigger and more important you know part of our revenue stream over time.
spk03: Yeah that's where I was going to go Michael I agree with that completely which is I think there's definitely like cyclical aspects maybe of credit obviously like interest rates and things like that but the secular trends for the private credit evolution are far more powerful than anything cyclical and I think when people focus on the secular trends a lot of times they focus on the bank pullback and the bank pullback is certainly something that we saw begin this trend after the GFC but I actually don't think that's the most powerful secular driver. I think the most powerful secular driver of the private credit evolution is the demand of capital and we saw it happen with public equity to private equity we've seen it obviously happen in other private markets asset classes is that the capital would rather invest in a way where you don't have the same amounts of -to-day volatility. It might be there inherently but it's not observed and that's a feature not a bug of the industry and so I think that that shift for where the capital would rather have its money deployed in the credit markets generally is the most powerful trend and that's a one-way train to the point Michael's making and I think there's two areas where you're still just scratching kind of the surface you know we talk a lot about corporate you know sponsor back direct lending when we talk about private credit but there's an entire area of credit markets outside of that that is still in the very early stages and then to Michael's point on an implementation basis getting to a place where it looks more like private equity looks more like infrastructure where you have co-investing where you have secondary investing that's going to be a huge part of the evolution and frankly a huge part of where in particular for GCM Grosvenor there's a tremendous amount of opportunity.
spk07: The last thing I would just add is in terms of sort of short term and this is not about short term for us at all it's a you know as both John and I have said but you know if you believe that transaction activity writ large is likely to pick up in part you know as a result of the election that's not going to shrink demand for private credit in the short term.
spk09: Great thanks for that color.
spk08: Our next question is coming from Bill Katz with TD Cowan.
spk02: Great thanks for taking the extra question. Just thinking through the opportunity set on the realizations particularly for carried interest just looking through some of your disclosures it looked like there was a reversal within the comp line so your comp I think was around 50-51 as a payout just wondering A what was the reversal and then B as you go forward particularly given that the vast majority of the residual net accrued carry to GCMG is rising and the higher percentage of the total how should we think about that payout ratio looking ahead
spk09: thank you. Yeah I'm not I think that that payout ratio will
spk07: you know will the idea that we're paying out that that pay the idea that we're paying out sort of paying paying that we're holding half of that or we're holding 45 percent of that you know those are without like us talking to you about a change in comp philosophy I think those historic kind of ratios are perfectly you know comfortable for planning and for and for modeling. I think the reality of you know that it will depend a little it depends a little bit on how robust you know the revenues are I don't think being candidates it's perfectly linear and so when you know if that that ratio can improve for the firm and improve in direction for the firm if and when we see the revenues grow you know frankly back to where we saw them a couple of years ago and in line with the very clear promise that they hold now but in you know you know it so it's almost like I think as the revenues you know as the revenues you know increase which we expect in which we've kind of tried to walk people through I feel like we have margin opportunity in that line absent a in compensation philosophy which would then benefit the FRE line and we'll you know obviously if we were ever to you know we'd talk about that well we would that that would be a change in philosophy but I don't think what you're seeing here is you know just anything other than margin moving around a little bit based on you know on revenue level and trying to accrue throughout the year to where we think we're going to end up for the year and I think we have more upside opportunity in that in that margin as these revenues grow which we anticipate them growing at a fast rate we have upside opportunity in that margin again absent us making some announcement like some others have which is not something we're
spk09: we're we're focused on. Thank you again.
spk08: And it appears there are no further questions
spk06: at this time. I will now turn the conference back to the company for any additional or closing remarks.
spk01: Thank you. Thank you everyone for joining us today and taking the time and for all of the questions we are very happy to follow up with any additional questions or if not we look forward to speaking with you again next quarter. Have a great weekend.
spk06: Ladies and gentlemen thank you for participating in today's conference. This concludes today's program. We hope everyone has a great day. You may all disconnect.
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