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Gevo, Inc.
8/11/2025
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Jibo Incorporated Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your speaker for today, Eric Frey, Vice President of Finance and Strategy. Eric, you may begin.
Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today's call to discuss GEVO's second quarter 2025 results. I'm Eric Frey, Vice President of Finance and Strategy at Jivo. With me today, we have Patrick Gruber, our Chief Executive Officer, Lake Aguirre, our Chief Financial Officer, Chris Ryan, our President and Chief Operating Officer, and Paul Bloom, our Chief Business Officer. Earlier today, we issued a press release that outlines our second quarter 2025 results and some of the topics we plan to discuss. A copy of the press release is available on our website at www.jivo.com. Please be advised that our remarks today, including answers to your questions, contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to be materially different from those currently anticipated. Those statements include projections about the timing, development, engineering, financing, and construction of our alcohol-to-jet projects, our future carbon credit sales, our GEVO North Dakota and R&D plants, and other activities described in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which are incorporated by reference. We disclaim any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. In addition, we may provide certain non-GAAP financial information on this call. The relevant definitions and GAAP reconciliations may be found in our earnings release, which can be found on our website at www.givo.com in the investor relations section. Following the prepared remarks, we'll open the call for questions. I'd like to remind everyone that this conference call is open to the media and we're providing a simultaneous webcast to the public. A replay of this call and other past events will be available via the company's investor relations page at www.jivo.com. I'd now like to turn the call over to the CEO of Jivo, Patrick Gruber. Pat? Thanks, Eric.
We had a really nice quarter. It's great to have turned the corner and adjusted EBITDA. Our financial results this quarter and for the first six months of the year are consistent with our expectations for the year. But you know what? We achieved them faster than we anticipated. It surprised us. We're making good progress. The key achievements, in addition to being adjusted EBITDA positive and incrementally net profitable, include successfully selling voluntary carbon credits generated at our North Dakota site with carbon capture and sequestration. Also, the selling of tax credits, the excellent ethanol and RNG operations, all of this while never losing sight on our long-term objectives of successfully financing and deploying renewable resource-based jet fuel plants. Our existing operations have provided us with a step-up in adjusted EBITDA, while at the same time providing the ingredients to deploy those jet fuel plants. Putting things into context, one, it's clear to all that it takes time to finance and build synthetic aviation fuel, the jet fuel, the SAF plants. Let me make a few observations on this point. Making jet fuel in the U.S. from abundant cost-effective raw materials that are grown domestically makes a lot of sense. There's a finite amount of jet fuel in a barrel of oil. Jet fuel demand is increasing. In the U.S. alone, jet fuel demand is expected to increase an additional 2.3 billion gallons per year over the next 10 years, according to projections from the U.S. EIA. That's the Energy Information Agency. However, the U.S. is not building new refineries. In fact, we are shutting them down and converting them for other products. So where will the future jet fuel come from? Imports? Well, that doesn't make a lot of sense to serve our domestic energy needs. We view the renewable jet from cornstarch carbohydrates, in other words, the sugars, can be achieved at a cost of production similar to petroleum-based jet fuel, once fully scaled up and operating. and it can deliver the added market-driven attribute of low or even negative net carbon footprint. With our business system, it is possible to achieve both a low carbon footprint and a low cost. This opportunity is absolutely huge in our view. We continue to pursue it. Two, we are very focused on our alcohol-to-jet 30-million-gallon plant design, targeting its first deployment to our North Dakota site. Our North Dakota site is particularly attractive because of the great ethanol and protein operation there, as well as the carbon capture assets. We're in the midst of translating our ATJ60, that's the 60 million gallon plant design, to the ATJ30 design. With the knowledge we have gained by engineering the heck out of these plants, we believe that we can make great reductions in project deployment costs, both technical and financial. A 30 million gallon ATJ plant would need about 50 million gallons of ethanol as a feedstock. This is a practical size where the economies of scale work. Smaller plants in this would be expected to be severely disadvantaged in cost price. Our ATJ 60 project targeted for Lake Preston is plugging along, albeit slowly. We've been working with the DOE and our customers, and we are waiting to see what happens with the carbon dioxide pipeline. It'll take its natural course. We are done with the engineering on it and have shifted resources to the ATJ 30 plan. The overall strategy for GEVO is to use our current base of assets to improve profitability, increase carbon credit sales and tax credit sales while deploying ATJ plans. We see improved operations and associated profitability as giving us solid footing to launch ATJ projects. and achieve our long-run goal. ATJ continues to be the major path for growth, and selling carbon abatement as a core product is key. I'll turn it over to Leike Aguirre, our Chief Financial Officer, who will take us through the latest financial results.
Leike? Thank you, Pat. We did indeed have an excellent second quarter. Now, here are the numbers. We ended the quarter with $127 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash. During the second quarter, combined operating revenue, interest, and investment income was $44.7 million. Our income from operations was $5.8 million, and our non-GAAP-adjusted EBITDA was $17.3 million. GEVO North Dakota generated income from operations of $17.1 million, and non-GAAP-adjusted EBITDA of $24.2 million. GEVO RNG generated income from operations of $1.5 million, and non-GAAP-suggested EBITDA of $2.6 million. And finally, net income per share attributed to GEVO was $0.01 per share for the second quarter. Here is some more color. Our second quarter results include a one-time catch-up recognition of our clean fuel production credits over the last two quarters since, amongst other things, we closed the sale of $22 million of our CFPC credits in the second quarter. Going forward, Our results will reflect the CFPC credit that we generated in the period being reported. Our first quarter results did not include one month of GEVO North Dakota operations since we bought the facility at the end of January. It did not include any carbon dioxide removal credit sales, and it did not recognize generation of and proceeds from the sale of the Clean Fuel Production Tax Credit. As a result, we think our combined first and second quarter results more closely represent where we are. For the six-month ending June 30th, 2025, our net income grew by $20 million and our non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA grew by $32 million compared to the same period last year. We see this as recurring, step-change growth, which we expect will continue to grow from there. We are thrilled with our second quarter performance. both operationally and financially. We believe our businesses are well positioned for sustained success and strategic for the execution of our growth plans. Now I will hand it over to Paul.
Thanks, Leike. During the second quarter, we started our carbon business and sold over $1 million worth of carbon dioxide removal credits, or CDRs. In addition, we were recently featured in NASDAQ's 2024 sustainability report for our supply of high integrity carbon removal credits from GEVO North Dakota. We believe this new coproduct business could add a significant stream of new stable revenue for us as we are able to immediately supply a growing global marketplace with high integrity credits. We anticipate growing CDR credit sales to $3 to $5 million by the end of this year and estimate long-term sales of this new coproduct could exceed $30 million per year from our current production volumes, which could be significantly expanded in the future. We think the optionality to sell carbon separately from the fuel provides us with a unique advantage. As our business expands, we like having the ability to balance returns by separating and shifting carbon attributes from volatile low-carbon fuel markets to selling CDRs in potentially more stable, higher-value markets. For some additional background, bio-based carbon dioxide is a co-product of ethanol fermentation that can be efficiently captured for the use in industrial applications, carbonated beverages, petroleum processing, or permanently stored in the appropriate geological formations to generate carbon dioxide removal credits. The high-integrity CDR credits we are currently selling are known as CORPS, or CO2 removal credits. These credits are certified by PuroEarth, and can be purchased by customers and retired immediately to offset the effect of emissions. The Jibo North Dakota facility has the appropriate geological formation and operational class six well for carbon capture and sequestration with a total estimated sequestration capacity of up to 1 million metric tons of CO2 per year. Our facility was also the first Puro Earth certified CO2 storage facility in the United States. Our credits are certified by Pure Earth under its strict standards for 1,000-plus years of permanence and other key quality parameters required by customers. Our research tells us that, in total, the marketplace for carbon dioxide removal credits has exceeded $10 billion in the past few years, reflecting nearly 40 million tons of CO2 removals. We look forward to increasing our participation in this market as it continues to expand. We also began our business of selling clean fuel production tax credits. Clean fuel production credits, or CFPCs, are also known as the 45Z tax credits. We expect to generate cash from the production, sale, and transfer of these credits to third-party taxpayers. On June 30th of this year, we entered into our first tax credit transfer agreement for $22 million worth of credits to a third party. We are one of the first companies to monetize these credits and we anticipate finalizing additional tax credit transfer agreements with third-party taxpayers this year to sell out our anticipated volume of credits for the balance of 2025. Based on our production of low-carbon ethanol and RNG, we expect our clean fuel production credits to benefit our net income and adjusted EBITDA by more than $10 million per quarter going forward. For clarity, these sales do not show up on the revenue line, but due to the applicable accounting standards, instead show up as a reduction to our cost of goods sold line on the income statement. I'll conclude with some brief remarks on our technology platforms, which are driving innovation for expected growth. First, Verity is our wholly owned subsidiary that is developing a software platform for traceability, compliance reporting, and the monetization of carbon intensity across the agriculture and renewable fuels business system. Verity is earning revenue now and is in growth mode. In July, Landis, a $2.4 billion agricultural solutions company spanning 34 states that connects thousands of farmers, announced the partnership with Verity to track and trace their 2025 soybean crop for premium market opportunities and a first-of-its-kind carbon intensity supply chain program for ethanol production. These supply chains are complex, involving extensive data, and have significant compliance requirements. Verity aims to help farmers and partners like Landis easily obtain high-quality, verifiable results, and our innovative solutions are starting to pay dividends for GEVO and our customers. We continue to make good progress in developing GEVO's proprietary ethanol to olefins technology with our development partners, LG Chem and Axis. GEVO's ETO technology targets the lowest capital and operating costs to convert ethanol into olefins that can be used for renewable fuels and chemicals, including SAF and biopropylate. As of today, GEVO has approximately 80 active global patent assets in our ETO intellectual property portfolio. Finally, our long-term growth is supported by a strong intellectual property portfolio, including our SAP platform, ETO technology, isobutanol portfolio, and carbon tracking solutions. We hold over 400 patent assets globally, many granted recently as we've refined our ATJ30 and ATJ60 designs, and we continue to secure new patents as our innovations progress. Let's now go to Chris to talk about operations.
Chris? Thanks, Paul. Let me review some key operating results for the second quarter. Our team at GEVO North Dakota continues to keep the plant running well, and the production numbers through second quarter support that point. In the second quarter, we ground 5.7 million bushels of corn to produce 17 million gallons of low carbon fuel grade ethanol. And that's around three gallons per bushel yield, which is good. That also equates to about a 67 million gallon per year run rate on ethanol. We produced 52,000 tons of high protein animal feed and over 5 million pounds of distillers corn oil, which is about one pound of oil per bushel of corn ground. In our carbon capture and storage business, we sequestered over 40,000 metric tons of CO2 in the second quarter. That CO2 being sequestered is a small fraction of the capacity of the reservoir that we sit on top of in North Dakota. We have a lot of extra capacity to sequester CO2, and we're actively talking to third parties to do that. All these numbers equate to approximately equal amounts by weight of ethanol, high protein feed, and CO2, with some corn oil on top. This is a good diversification for a business. At our R&G business in Northwest Iowa, where we have partnered with three dairy farms, we produced about 92,000 million BTUs of renewable natural gas during the second quarter. And we continue to optimize that process to push production higher. This year has been a great year for growing corn. This year's harvest in the United States is projected to be another record year. And that's great for us. But the farmers really need to see some new uses for corn. That brings me to our synthetic aviation fuel, or SAF, platform. We've been building our SAF platform because we see a substantial and expanding market ahead, one where we believe GEVO is strongly positioned to lead. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration data, U.S. jet fuel demand is projected to rise by more than 2 billion gallons per year over the next decade. we have a great opportunity to help meet that demand with domestic production using agriculture and rural communities as the backbone to do that. At GEVO, we've developed a template for doing that using ethanol as the feedstock to produce SAF or jet fuel in a modular plant. It would only take a few dozen of our ATJ facilities to process roughly 3.5 billion gallons of ethanol into more than 2 billion gallons of competitively priced, domestically produced jet fuel, channeling billions of dollars in investment into rural agricultural communities and creating a new use for corn, which the agricultural industry really needs. It's worth noting that traditional fossil-based jet fuel makes up only about 9% of the output from traditional U.S. refineries whereas the ATJ process that we've designed can produce more than 90% jet fuel from its production stream. To capture this opportunity, we've created three standardized plant designs. We call them ATJ30, ATJ60, and ATJ150, all convert low-carbon ethanol into SAF. GEVO North Dakota stands out as a promising ATJ30 location, thanks to our existing carbon capture and storage infrastructure and reservoir, access to low-cost, low-carbon ethanol, and the large acreage we have at our site. We have leveraged our ATJ design from South Dakota, and our engineers are busy editing it for the ATJ30 design to be deployed at our site in North Dakota. For ATJ 60, this project in South Dakota, we remain in active discussions with the U.S. Department of Energy's Loan Programs Office to advance the $1.63 billion loan guarantee for our South Dakota project. And we're pacing our development spend to align with the financing timeline. In the future, once our ATJ process is operational, We intend to expand the business by leveraging our SAF platform and proprietary systems through multiple business models, including joint ventures, licensing, and build-own-operate. With about 180 existing brownfield ethanol plants in the United States, plus additional greenfield sites domestically and worldwide, we see significant potential for scaling. With that, I'll hand it over to Pat.
Thanks, Chris. Thanks, Paul and Leike. You guys did a good job of hitting the highlights. Let's go ahead and open it up for questions. Operator?
As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 1-1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A rosters. Our first question comes from Dushyant Adelani with Jefferies. Your line is open.
Hi, team. This is Whitney Mutalama on for Dushyant. Impressive results this quarter, especially on the early monetization of CDR and CFPC credits. So on the CFPC monetization, like while ethanol-related credits CFPCs have been monetized. Biogas credits haven't yet. So what's holding back that monetization piece? And when do you expect to see such activity?
We already did include it in here. Leke, why don't you give a little more explanation? And CFPCs for ethanol is, we haven't seen other ones from ethanol before. Go ahead, Leke.
Yeah, so the 45 deal, the clean fuel production tax credit for ethanol production was what we monetized in the sale, the $22 million sale to a private party that was announced. The transaction was consummated with also making use of the relevant, call it, insurance policy to make sure residual risks are actually being managed on behalf of GEVO and also on the buyer party. What we do expect, especially now that the big, beautiful bill has passed and effectively, hopefully rendered the discussions around retroactive change in tax law issues. We believe that issue is actually officially sort of addressed with the passing of the bill. Expectation is ethanol facilities that actually qualify for 45Z or CFPC, the market should hit up and you're going to start seeing some of that sale. But we are one of the first parties to actually get a chance to actually execute the transaction. And as we articulated, we are also in the process of monetizing the rest of our clean fuel production tax credit for this year. What we should also highlight is we have a pathway as part of the execution of actually selling our current tax credit for 2025. we have a pathway that was identified to also be able to place our credits for 2026.
Okay, thank you. And then can we expect a similar cadence for the RNG business?
That is exactly right. In fact, the deal construct, the transaction structure for our ethanol facility is very similar for RNG facility. So the rest of the tax credits that we are going to monetize for the rest of the year is for our ethanol facility and our RNG facility. And same thing for 2026 going forward.
Sounds good. Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Amit Dayal with HC Rainright. Your line is open.
Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. Congrats on a really positive quarter. i think a lot of people are surprised uh you know how the financials are showing up now um with respect to the cfpc uh the 45 z credits guys the 10 million benefit per quarter is that sort of a base case what kind of variance should we expect on that uh you know at least for the next few quarters as far as you have visibility lincoln why don't you go ahead and answer that sure um
short answer to your question is that over 10 million or that's what 10 million number is actually stressed. As you guys are probably familiar, the monetization of any production tax credit is tied to the actual production of the facility. We believe if no going concerns and which we don't have any going concerns, we could actually do better than $10 million of tax credit generation per quarter. So it's not, I think it's a slightly conservative view, what we've disclosed. We actually think we do better than $10 million of credit generation every quarter. And that number is a combination of 45Z generation from our ethanol facility and our RNG facility.
And then the last thing, for all you guys, all you analysts, do me a favor and make sure that you heard the point about this goes to a credit against cost of goods sold, not the revenue line. Don't be doing your modeling by showing these credits as revenue item or not. That's not how the accounting treatment works. It's a credit towards the cost of goods sold.
Understood. Yeah, I got that. And then, you know, the path to 30 million in CDR sales, Pat, can you share, is that going to be driven by, you know, just better capacity utilization for the sequestration business? Or are there other avenues that get you from, you know, the $3 million to $5 million this year and then towards the $30 million in the future?
Yeah, I'm going to let Paul answer this. And go ahead, Paul. Go ahead, answer.
Sure. So, you know, when we think about this going forward, you know, we're just getting started, obviously, in the CDR markets. And the bulk of our carbon capture and sequestration, the CCS value is going into low carbon fuel markets today. So we'll be shifting that as we see the market develop into the CDR sales. And then long term, right, as we get there, meaning the next two years or so, we're going to be trying to grow that as much as we can. But it's really about on a journey to put our carbon value, as much carbon value in our SAF, really. But the whole thing is predicated by the high quality in this market. And that's where we think, you know, if you look at the overall market, we talked a little bit about how it's growing. It's grown to 40 million metric tons, over 10 billion in sales. If you just do the quick math on that, that puts you at about 250 a metric ton for average carbon removal credits. But we know that there's a wide range of where that value is. So the way that you, we believe that you go after this value is to have the highest quality credits, the highest quality information. That's really where Puro standards come in and we're using the leading crediting platform for engineered carbon removals and putting those in the market, obviously. So that's kind of our path as we go forward here, shifting from more volatile, low carbon fuel markets into something that we think can provide more,
more returns and less volatility in cdrs so the way to think of it is that we have we produce what 165 000 tons 167 000 tons or something like that of carbon dioxide the projections and discussion of revenue from cdrs is related to that we have a million tons of capacity that's not contemplated in the numbers that paul threw out right great
Understood. That was helpful. Thank you. And then, you know, now that there's clarity on the 45Z credits, et cetera, and, you know, the regulatory environment is very favorable, can we expect some maybe faster movement on the ATJ30 or ATJ60 projects? Any color on that, Patrick, would help, I guess, you know, investors just get a sense of, you know, how that part of the business may shape up, you know, in the next 12 to 18 months.
I'll say a comment first, and I'll hand it over to Chris. But it comes down to that this had been this last, I don't know, the last eight months or so have been really kind of uncertain. Everybody's kind of, whoa, what's going to happen? It's all bad. Everything is bad. Well, you know what? It hasn't been for us, obviously. We did pretty darn well. And I think that's good for the administration. They're supportive of the kind of thing that we're doing. But we're doing ATJs. that's focused on being cost-competitive with petro. Understand that point. There is nobody else like that that I'm aware of. Nobody. And yet, we can still eliminate the carbon footprint. The thing is, we've got to finish the engineering for the ATG-30 and then get it financed. That'll be the rate-limiting steps. The ATJ 60 project, as we mentioned, we've got to work it through with the DOE. It's a big capital number. We've still got to know what happens with the Summit Pipeline. We've talked about that in the past. We're not going to build it before we have clarity. We're not even going to try to finance it before we have clarity around that, what happens on the pipeline, because why would we ever build a plant that's economically disadvantaged? That'd be stupid. So we're not going to do that. Chris, you want to add anything? Talk about that.
Yeah. So, yeah, thanks, Pat. You know, the good thing is, is we started with the ATJ 60 design that we made for Lake Preston. And we took that and basically copy, edit, paste it into the North Dakota site. So right now our engineers are working on editing it. So the good news is that goes a lot faster than if we didn't have that ATJ 60 design. So the good thing is, You know, it is going faster. Reality is it takes time to, you know, do that editing and then actually build a plant of this size. You know, it takes a few years. But, yeah, we're looking for every opportunity we can to speed things up and cut costs.
Okay. Thank you, guys. That's all I have for now. I'll take my other questions offline.
Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 1-1 on your telephone. Again, that is star 1-1 to ask a question. Our next question comes from Peter Gasterick with Water Tower Research. Your line is open.
Yes, thank you. Peter Gasterick here from Water Tower. So, congratulations on your results and executing your strategy ahead of expectations. It's really great to see the impact of North Dakota and a very nice EBITDA figure coming through. Just a couple of questions from me. The first one is a question about North Dakota expansion options and next steps. I understand your project economics for ATJ were not designed to be dependent on 45Z. But I'd just like to get, you know, kind of ask whether the outcome of 45C and the big beautiful bill, you know, whether that affects how you think about capital allocation in North Dakota and your options there. For example, expanding low carbon ethanol capacity versus pursuing ATJ 30 or other project up there. Thank you.
Well, the obvious thing is that that tax credit expires in 2029 or the end of 2029. And so for an ATJ plant to become operational in that timeframe, it'd only have, very limited time to capture value from it there may be opportunities from the big beautiful bill for the accelerated depreciation credits and things like that that we have we're still working through so it could be that there's other benefits but from the specific thing you're asking about with the 45 Z section for ATJ yeah it's not it doesn't that's not going to matter and that's always been our position I think that on With ethanol, it definitely influences how we think about things. We're going to want to take advantage of that and optimize it as much as we possibly can. We've got a whole range of projects like that. Chris, you want to comment further?
That site in North Dakota is a great site for doing a lot of projects and potential expansion because you've got the CCS there and we have 500 acres of land. And we've got plenty of eager farmers ready to supply more corn. So you put all that together and there are opportunities that we're looking at that they're shorter term opportunities that could take advantage of the 45Z. So it's too early to really talk about those, but we're looking at all potential opportunities.
We got that, like I mentioned, a million tons of capacity down there per year. We got to use it and take advantage of it and figure it out. So we'll be all over this. And I think that as far as the jet fuel goes, on the Big Beautiful Bill, I surely would have liked to have seen jet fuel extended beyond 2029. That would have been more helpful. I'm glad that it got two years rather than none. That's helpful for us as a business for sure. And we're a company who's reinvesting that money in expansion of biofuel opportunities here in the U.S., doing advanced biofuel opportunities, moving into hydrocarbons. setting up infrastructure for CO2. Remember, CO2 is going to be needed in North Dakota for enhanced oil recovery within a few years. So we need infrastructure for CO2. So great. We're a part of that game. And it's going to be pretty darn interesting going forward. It's a great site. We did a good job. Our team did a good job. And the people of our Geo North Dakota team have done a great job at spending Fun to watch, I got to say.
Okay, thank you very much. Sorry, just the next question. One more question, please, about Verity. So including the new soybean tracking partnership that you just mentioned from last month, how many customers do you now have for Verity? And also just if you're able to share any broad color on your recent discussions, you know, with prospects there. you know, what are your prospects of seeing some more announcements this year on Verity customers? Thank you.
Paul, why don't you take that question?
Sure. We're really excited about the Verity growth here, and it's great to have the tool working out with a customer like Landis. Right now, we've got a handful of ethanol plants, five ethanol customers today that we've got agreements with on on Verity. We think this is going to grow sizably because what Verity is really doing is simplifying that carbon accounting system that you need for tax credits, for voluntary carbon credits. So we think it's got a nice growth portfolio or perspective going forward. But what we're going to be doing next is really making sure that we can demonstrate everything that Verity does at our GEVO North Dakota site. This will be really helpful for us. As you can see, we've got a lot of complexity in the business moving between voluntary credits, compliance credits, tax credits. And so nothing better than to use Verity to demonstrate how we can simplify our lives, which is what Verity really does for the customer. So really excited about the growth potential and making it all real in North Dakota for us.
I want to add something on this tax credit game of getting this stuff verified. Like I said, we weren't aware of anyone doing a 45Z like we've done, and it's wrapped with an insurance product. You know, the amount of work that that took was quite impressive, and it's a skill. Now we have it, we're going to use it. And then there's the question on the CDRs. CDRs, I'm going to reiterate this, CDRs are, think of them as, voluntary credits, the actual carbon removal credits that people will buy. This is a market that's already been growing. These are legit. We have like the gold standard type credits. It's CO2 going down a hole measured by a meter. We can measure tons going down a hole. That's a big deal. That's why we can get the Puro certification for quarks. We're the only ones in the country first ever to get that kind of certification. That sort of thing should matter. It's legit removal of carbon and people are willing to pay for it on a voluntary basis. That's the kind of co-product we want to see in the future and grow it. And Paul's team is all over this. It's a big deal.
Okay, great. Well, thanks very much for taking my questions. And again, congratulations. Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Dirk Whitfield with Texas Capital. Your line is open.
Good afternoon, guys, and congrats as well on a strong quarter and update. Thank you. With respect to the CDR market, thanks for the detail included in the release. I wanted to see if you could maybe help characterize the depth and durability of the market and separately, could you speak to the contract structure and if these were sold to a single counterparty or multiple?
The answer, yeah, so go ahead, Paul. Go ahead and address it where you can, because I know you'll be restricted a little bit on the details of the contracts, but the rest of it, go for it.
Yeah, look, I mean, this is a new and developing market. So we're learning this and getting into it, and we're pretty excited that we've already made a lot of progress here. And so if you think about these markets, we're finding out that there are some that are traditional kind of more spot sales. And then there are multi-year type agreements. And this is where we're headed with a lot of the new business that we're planning to put on, where customers, once they find out what high quality that you've got and the high integrity credits that you're providing, there's a lot of work that goes into that and a lot of diligence. So finding a high quality credit supplier to make sure that they've bought down the risk and they can really show what they're doing for their products, it's a big deal. And we can do that. And so this is where we're headed with more longer-term contracts. But I would say the spot market for the CDRs is getting interesting. If you go back and remember the numbers that I said, with 40 million metric tons of credits that have been sold so far in the CDR market, only about a little over 2% of that has actually been delivered. So the thing that we're watching closely is that as other projects may have been sold out, they may be projects that aren't really working today. They haven't started to deliver. Now, a lot of these projects probably will start to deliver, but we're already delivering. So we think that there's going to be an interesting spot market developing, and we're here to be able to supply those credits as needed.
Great. Thanks for the detail on that. For my follow-up, I wanted to focus on GEVO North Dakota. With the optionality your team has with ethanol sales, I wanted to ask if you could speak to how you're thinking about marketing and optimizing revenue from the low-carbon ethanol between the voluntary market in California, Oregon, and Canada.
That's a great question. What I think you should do, guys, is have a tag team between Chris and Paul.
Yeah. Actually, Pat, I think, Paul, this is a great question stemming from the last one. So go ahead, Paul. Yeah. No, thanks, Chris.
So, you know, as we sell a lot of our CCS value today in low carbon fuel markets, you have to have a pathway. So we are in the progress of making, you know, putting in pathways. We've already got pathways that include CCS and don't include CCS. We have optionality. Do we put that into that low carbon fuel market, or do we separate that CCS value and put in CDR market? That's really the optionality that we're talking about. So as we look at these markets, we have some timing that we have to balance. But as we see carbon prices, carbon credit prices increase in certain low carbon fuel markets, we want to be able to take advantage of those. And so we work with our marketing partner to do that. to go after those so we can deliver the returns both on the fuel, but then also start to put a book on for that CDR value that's separated. And as we look at that price, we're looking at what's going to give us the best return between the net back of including that CCS value in the fuel or stripping that off and selling it into the CDR market. So it's a little bit of a balancing act, but today it's more heavily focused on the LCF markets, the low-carbon fuel markets. And as we build those sales of CDRs, we plan to put on a healthy mix or maybe even put on more CDRs if we can get lower volatility with higher returns in that market. It's just a lot of optionality. We'll see how it develops.
Great. Maybe one last, if I could, with respect to your CCS sites, Could you speak to the market opportunity you guys see to accommodate third-party volume and the amount of capacity you feel comfortable offering up to the market?
Yeah, we can comment on it. Who wants to take that one, Chris or Paul?
Paul, you can go ahead. Let me just add that when we talk about the capacity, about a million tons per year up there, We're talking about one well, and there's no limit. We're not limited to one well. Let's put it that way. But Paul, go ahead.
Yeah, sure. So this is an interesting one because we're also thinking about, hey, what do we do in the future? How do we see us expanding? The more ethanol we produce, the more CO2 we would produce. So as you're fermenting ethanol, you make a pound of ethanol, you make a pound of CO2. That's kind of a one-to-one thing. of ratio there and so we want to make sure we've got plenty for us and then as we look at projects can we bring in co2 from from third parties sure i mean we've talked about things like a virtual pipeline using co2 by rail and we've talked about you know are there other opportunities to put um you know partner sites on our right where we sit and sequester co2 as we see the need for more clean power where things like data centers and other growth opportunities, we think we've got a great site. And so it's really a question of which of those projects are gonna give us the best returns while making sure that we've got plenty of available capacity for our own needs.
Yeah. And so one of the things I like about Chivo, North Dakota is we have a huge amount of land that we own and 500 plus acres. It's a great operation. There's great corn resource up in that area. the good workforce, good farmer community. These people are good. It's a business environment in North Dakota. The energy people and agricultural people are the same people, and they all get it, and they get that this is all entwined, and it's important. They're an energy-producing state, and they're a food-producing state for export out of North Dakota. It's a great place to be. It's a really attractive site. I wish we had had it sooner. I'm really glad that we have it now. And for us, this marketplace that Paul's team is establishing of the CDRs and the rest, that's really, really important because selling co-products is a key part of the economic equation. And it's going to matter in the long run. Because if we look way out to the future, you do not want to be dependent upon government. for anything on credits because you know it can be you can go with the whims you don't want that you want to establish the legit marketplace well we've got legitimate stuff verity comes into play here and is a big deal for helping to certify the whole value chain and the sourcing of the raw materials and all the rest so we have a leg up on other folk we believe and the site that we have is an unusual site we're the only ones there it's ours in our hole and You know, that makes the diligence way, way easier. And for as intense as it was, boy, I'm glad it wasn't any more complicated than that. So we think that we have an advantage here, a window, and a premium product of carbon abatement to offer. And it's going to be very interesting to see how my team goes and exploits that. It's a different way of thinking about things. know and it's it's going to be fun and i think as far as the atj 30 goes and this is a question that you know ahmed had asked but related but we're hurry up and go get done yeah we're going to go as fast as we can we got to get our act together too and this is about getting the engineering done chris mentioned it we'll get it done for atj 30 it's to be a much lower capital cost it should be a bite-sized capital cost and so how much of a bite-sized capital cost can that be i think it can be really bite-sized Is it bite-sized enough for Jibo alone? That I don't know yet. And that's pretty interesting. And so it's a different game to play up there. And it doesn't take anything away from the ATJ60 plant in Lake Preston. That one still has got to run its course and figure out the rest of the detail of what's going on between the DOE and customers and Summit.
But
I like where we're at. And here's something really, really, really important for people to understand. We've got a huge suite of technology. Paul mentioned this. Huge. This is not simply just go buy an ATGA process off the shelf. Lots of people have unit operations. Doing it on an integrated basis, you've got to know how to operate plants. That's what my team brings. We know how to build plants. We know how to operate plants. We're the first, remember, to do ATGA. First. We're the ones who got it certified and got it qualified. We still sell it in the marketplace. People forget that. We're still active in it. Small scale, you know, but demo plant scale. But this goes back to what we are all about here at Jivo. That was kind of chemistry. We have a long history with it. It is going to play out into the future with our alcohol, with our ETO process. I think we can do cost savings out to the future. It's a pretty exciting time. This engineering and knowledge that we have learned from the ATJ-60 is being translated to ATP-30, and it's going to create a winner, we believe. It also is creating a platform that we could cut and paste other places. That's a pretty exciting model, and we're looking forward to getting on with it. Sorry for that little bit of a soapbox, but hey.
All very good, Pat. Stories really come together. I'm happy for you guys. Great quarter of an update.
Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn it back to Pat Gruber for closing remarks.
Well, I already saw my soapbox. You heard them at the main point. It is an outstanding quarter. It did happen faster than we expected. We thought this would happen. We're an unusual company in that we're a developer with a huge amount of technology, but we actually are incrementally positive in profitability, albeit a little tiny bit, one cent per share. Hey, but that's positive. And our EBITDA, we expect it to grow further on reproducible EBITDA. So it's good. It's going to be really good. We've got a great foundation we're building, and it gives us the latitude to play the optionality that's in front of us. Thank you all for joining us. Appreciate it.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.