2/25/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Welcome to the GOLA LNG Limited 2025 Q4 results presentation. After the slide presentation by CEO Karl-Frederik Staubo and CFO Eduardo Maranao, Tor Olav Troim will have some closing comments prior to a question and answer session. Information on how to ask a question will be provided then. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. I will now pass you over to Carl Fredrik Staudo. Carl, please go ahead.

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, operator, and welcome to GoalArt's Q4 2025 earnings results presentation. My name is Carl Fredrik Staudo, the CEO of GoalArt, and as the operator said, I'm accompanied today by our CFO, Eduardo Maranão, to present this quarter's results, and our chairman, Toro Lopres, to give some closing remarks. Before we get into the presentation, please note the forward-looking statements on slide 2. Starting on slide 3 and an overview of Golar today. Golar owns three FLNG vessels, all with 20 air charter backlogs. Starting on the top left, the Hilly is the best performing FLNG globally and delivered another quarter of 100% economic uptime. The FLNG GIME started its 20-year contract for BP offshore Mauritania and Senegal in June 2025, and is now producing above the contracted volume. The Mark II FLNG is under construction and on schedule for delivery by year 2027, and thereafter to start a 20-year charter in Argentina alongside the GIME. We have three growth designs ranging from 2 to 5 million tons per annum, and we have obtained yard availability and pricing for all three designs during Q4. We're listed in NASDAQ with a market cap of approximately $4.5 billion, and pre-air-end, we had a cash balance of $1.2 billion and a net debt position of $1.5 billion. We have an EBITDA backlog standing at $17 billion before commodity-linked earnings and inflationary adjustments. Our adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was 232 million, and we expect this to grow to about $800 million once the fleet is fully delivered and on their long-term contracts. Turning to slide four is just an illustration of the overview of the long-term cash flow visibility of our 20-year charters. Hilly will end her existing contract for Perenco in Cameroon in July this year, then go via Seatroom Shipyard in Singapore for upgrades and life extension work before starting her 20-year charter in Argentina during the second half of 2017. Gimmi is producing under a 20-year charter for BP offshore Mauritania and Senegal, and the Mark II is on schedule to start her 20-year contract during first half 2018. On slide five, We build up the adjusted EBITDA contribution from the existing credit. Goalart's 70% ownership of the GIMI provides us with an annual EBITDA of $150 million based on the contracted volume. Healy will contribute $285 million once on contract in Argentina, and similarly the MARF2 will contribute $400 million once operational in Argentina. If we then net off our DNA of around $35 million, we foresee long-term EBITDA generation of $800 million a year before commodity upside, inflationary adjustment, and any incremental FLNG. The embedded commodity upside comprises of two components. It's the profit-sharing mechanism in the FLNG contract, as well as our 10% shareholding in Southern Energy. The commodity upside provides Golar with an incremental upside of approximately $100 million. For every dollar, the off-stake price is above $8 Argentina. And a downside of approximately $28 million. For every dollar, the FOB price in Argentina is below FETO's tax rate here. We believe the skewed risk-reward of these commodity exposure will contribute meaningful earnings over the 20-year life of our Argentina contracts. Illustratively, if LNG prices return to 2022 levels, the incremental earnings from the commodity upside would be an annual addition of 2.7 billion. Or if LNG prices remain at current levels, we see an additional commodity upside of approximately $200 million per year. Turning to slide six, highlighting some of the key characteristics of our L&D charter agreements. We aim to structure our L&D contracts at solid infrastructure cash flow with meaningful contractual protections. Some of the key attributes of these protections include that all of our contracts are paid in US dollars. All cash flows are paid offshore, net of any local taxes in the countries where we operate. The contracts are made under English law, and for all the long-term contracts, our operating costs and maintenance capex is either passed through or reimbursable by our counterparts. Moving to the next session and the business of state, starting at slide eight. Starting on the left-hand side, Q4 was another active quarter for Golar, concluding 25 as a record year of execution. During the quarter, all conditions precedent for the 20-year contract for March 2 in Argentina was successfully met. We concluded two financing transactions, totaling $1.7 billion in the quarter, comprising of a new $1.2 billion bank refinancing, increasing from $630 million to $1.2 billion. The new facility has improved terms compared to given the initial financing facility, and the new facility proves the bankability of our FL&D assets once operational on the long-term contract. We also entered the rated U.S. unsecured bond market with a $500 million bond offering with a coupon at 7.5%. During the quarter, CESA signed a letter of agreement for an eight-year offtake deal for the first two million tons of production in Argentina. The LOI was signed with CEFE, which stands for Securing Energy for Europe, a subsidiary of the German government. They are also the existing offtaker for HILI in Cameroon today. So it's an offtaker we know and cooperate well with. The terms of the offtake agreement is 1 million tons is linked to Brent prices, and 1 million tons is linked to Henry Hub plus the premium. We expect these LOIs to be formed into a letter of agreement within Q1 of this year, at which point the details of the commercial terms will be disclosed. During Q4, we bought back and canceled 1.1 million shares at an average share price of 37.76. We're also very pleased with commercial progress made in the quarter for a contemplated fourth FOMG project. We'll describe this in greater detail later in the presentation. Turning to the right-hand side of the full development for the year, 25 was truly a record year of execution, securing $14 billion, in EBITDA backlog across the two 20-year contracts in Argentina. We took new financing facilities of 2.275 billion across the mentioned GIMI bank refinancing and the US-rated bond, as well as the 575 million convertible bond issued in June 25. We obtained the commercial operations date of GIMI and doubled our operating fleet of SLNDs. We continue to perform according to our market-leading operational off-time, and we're especially pleased to see the Gimme join the operational excellence of our sister Hilly, and both vessels produce above their contracted amounts, providing extra value to our stakeholders. In total, during 2025, we bought back 3.6 million shares, confirming the board's and management's view that we see attractive value in our own stock. We truly exited L&D shipping after 50 years in the business with the sale of the Golar Arctic and our investment in Avon Air shipping. So all in all, we're very pleased with the year that passed and hope to keep the same progress in the year we have now started. Turning to slide nine and a snapshot for the Hilly. Hilly continued her market-leading track record For the year, we generated a slight overproduction, recognizing $2.5 million of excess earnings over the 1.4 million tons contracted capacity. In December, we had a major production milestone, producing our 10 million ton of LNG since startup of contract in 2018. At the end of the current charter in July this year, the vessel will sail from Cameroon to Cetrium Shipyard in Singapore for vessel upgrades and life extension work. The required long lead items and equipment needed for the work at Cetrium have been ordered and the prefabrication of certain work scopes has started at the shipyard. During first half of next year, Hilde will sail from Singapore to Argentina to start her 20-year contract expected to start during the summer of next year. She will then contribute $285 million of annual EBITDA, or $5.7 billion of adjusted EBITDA backlog over 20 years. Slide 10 focuses on GIMI. As mentioned, GIMI achieved its TOD in June 25, The unit is still optimizing operations in close collaboration with the upstream partners of the DTA project. Production is ahead of schedule, and solid optimization has been achieved to date. In Q4, we invoice the day rate 3% above the contractual day rate, and we are now frequently producing at volumes that on an annualized basis would significantly surpass even nameplate capacity. It's worth to note that the throughput capacity of any lipofaction plant is sensitive to gas quality and ambient temperatures. Throughput variation between winter and summer months should therefore be expected where colder ambient temperatures during winter benefit the production levels. However, our contracted rate is based on 90% of nameplate and any production over and beyond that number is a pro-rata increase to our earnings. Based on operations to date, we expect Gini to produce above her contracted volumes on an annual average basis, and we'll continue to improve how meaningful that can be in the months to come. Turning to slide 11 under Mark 2 FLNG. The construction of the unit remains on budget and on schedule for delivery by year 2027. Construction is now close to 50% complete, and we have spent approximately 1.1 billion of the total 2.2 billion conversion scope. The full 1.1 billion spent today has been equity financed. As you can see from the pictures on the right-hand side, meaningful construction progress is now advancing. The midship manufacturing, which will house the liquefaction plant, is now well underway, and the new midsection will be approximately 63 meters wide and approximately 80 meters long. We've now also surpassed 6 million man-hours without any lost time injuries. On slide 12, CESA is also making strong progress on the infrastructure required to facilitate for the graft gas grid connection of the FLMD healing, as well as the required land-based infrastructure to support FLMD operations in Argentina. CESA has now awarded approximately $500 million of investments to date, including the pipeline connection to the existing grid, support vessels such as pumps and supply vessels, and construction of the land-based warehouse to facilitate spare parts and operational support for our operations in Argentina. On slide 13, CESA is also moving ahead with a designated pipeline from Vaca Malerta to the Gulf of San Matias. The pipeline comprises of three key components. The first component is the turbo compressors. And the contract for those was awarded in December 25. The second component is the line pipes, which will then bring the gas, the approximate 500 kilometers from Vakamerta to San Matias. Those were also awarded in December last year. The remaining component is the EPC for the actual construction of the line pipes and the compressor. where we have received eight proposals and expect to have an award within the first half of this year, upon which construction will ramp up. Turning to slide 14, during the quarter, we confirmed yard availability and price for the three growth designs that we have in question, ranging from mark one to be built at Seastream in Singapore, mark two at T&C Raffles in China, or a five-million-ton unit that could be built at Samsung in Korea. We're pleased to see that we still obtain attractive capex per ton and around three-year construction time for the conversion candidates and north of four years for the Mark III. This is helpful input in developing our commercial pipeline, and the price point and delivery is confirmed interest with our clients. Turning to slide 15, we see multiple discussions for FLNG deployment. We see an increasingly strong demand for FLNG tonnage, driving positive development of our commercial pipeline. We're currently in discussions for deployment of projects in Africa, Middle East and South America. Based on the pace of the commercial development and differences in vessel design requirements of the project, that will dictate the design that we will order in the end. We do not foresee any meaningful capex expenditure until the commercial terms for the next project have matured. We will revert to the market once we have meaningful updates. on our fourth unit. Turning to slide 16 and some of the overarching developments of the LNG market. Last year, the LNG market was around 434 million tons, expected to grow approximately 50% in the next five years, mainly driven by supply out of the US. We note with interest that US, which is already the largest producer in the world, will take the vast majority of incremental growth. That's particularly interesting as the US is already the incremental producer on the cost curve of LNG. We see strong demand development driven by volumes out of the Far East, where China is currently the most active buyer in the market. Going forward, we need to see additional L&D FIDs to cater for the demand that's coming. And this fits well with the delivery schedule that's just been confirmed by the shipyards and for the commercial discussions and the negotiations. I'll now hand the call over to Eduardo to take us through the group results for the quarter.

speaker
Eduardo Maranão
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Karl, and good morning, everyone. I'm happy to share an overview of Golar's financial performance for the fourth quarter of 2025. To move to slide 18, let's review some of the key highlights of the quarter. Total operating revenues significantly increased in 2025, reaching $133 million for the quarter and $394 million during the full year, an increase of over 52% when compared to 2024. This quarter, we report a net income of $23 million and a total of $113 million for the full year of 2025. an increase of 40% compared to 2024. Our Q4 adjusted EBITDA came in at $91 million, reaching a total of $265 million for the year. Some key drivers of this performance were HILI, as Karl mentioned before, has maintained its commercial uptime level of 100% and recognized an additional $2.5 million overproduction in Q4 2025. While GIMI also saw increased earnings in Q4, largely driven by higher production volumes resulting from technical improvements and also improved ambient conditions on site. This quarter, we declare a dividend of 25 cents per share with a record date of March 9 and a payment scheduled for March 18. In November, we approved a new $150 million buyback program of which approximately $41 million was spent during Q4. at an average price of $37.76 per share. Across the full 2025, we have been consistently active on buybacks, and we purchased and canceled a total of 3.6 million shares. I'll provide some further information on this in the next slide. Moving to slide 19. We continue to improve our balance sheet flexibility, and Q4 was a very active quarter in terms of transactions. In October, we issued off $500 million under our first U.S.-rated five-year senior unsecured note with a coupon of 7.5%. And at that time, we repaid $190 million of our previous outstanding 2021 bonds. In November, we closed the new $1.2 billion commercial bank facility for Guinea, equivalent to just over 5.6 times its annual contracted EBITDA. This allows us to release approximately $400 million in liquidity net to Growler. Our cash position remains strong with $1.2 billion of cash in hand at the year end. Our total gross debt stood at $2.7 billion, leaving us with a net debt position of $1.5 billion. On a fully delivered basis in 2028, once all SLNGs are in operation in Argentina, Our net debt to EBITDA ratio is set to reduce significantly to just over 3.4 times. When it comes to the Mark II, we continue to fund its CAPEX commitment, and so far we have spent just over $1.1 billion to date. All of that amount has been funded with equity. So we continue to evaluate further debt optimization alternatives, which may include the refinancing of HILI's current facility and a new long-term debt facility backed by the Mark II. This would allow us to continue to release significant liquidity to continue to support our growth projects. Now moving to slide 20. We continue to focus on accretive growth while maintaining a sustainable quality of shareholder returns. Our plan is to allocate most of operating cash flow after debt service to shareholders, while continuing to recycle capital through asset-level financing and existing debt optimizations to fund growth. In 2025, we returned approximately $250 million in the form of dividends and buybacks, of which $103 million were paid in dividends over the course of the year, and $144 million in buybacks, as explained before. During that same period, we continued to grow, and we've invested over $750 million on CapEx for our FLNG units. Moving to slide 21, we can see that our share count has been significantly reduced over time. with a total of just over 101 million shares outstanding as of today. Over the course of last year, we bought back and subsequently canceled 3.6 million shares as explained before. We currently have a remaining allowance of up to $190 million under our buyback program, and we plan to continue our active approach to accretive buybacks from time to time. Moving to slide 22. When our three SLNGs are in full operations in Argentina, we expect our EBITDA to grow to over $800 million before further commodity upside. This can grow even more, subject to further upside from LNG prices under the contract for Healy and Mark II. Based on that, our free cash flow generation could reach around $500 million per year, or approximately $5 a share, before commodity upside. This could represent a total increase of over five times our current dividend level of a dollar per share, which we are currently paying. Incremental free cash flow could also be resulting under the sales of contracts and can be estimated at approximately $100 million per year for every dollar per million BTU increase in FOB prices above $8. Moving to slide 23, I just wanted to recap that there are many ways that investors can get exposure to gold. We are listed in NASDAQ, and our market cap was just over $4.5 billion, with an average daily volume of over $50 million per day. We currently have $800 million in the two unsecured bonds issued in 24 and 25, and also an existing convertible bond of $575 million, which was issued last year. So there are many different ways that investors can gain exposure to the dollar, and this is a summary of how you can play that. I'll hand now the call back to you, Carl.

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Eduardo, and turning to slide 25, and then look ahead at our focus on continuous value creation. Near term, we see increasing commodity prices that will boost the commodity-linked earnings for Hili until end of contract in July this year. Based on the strong performance of Gimi, we also expect to see increased capacity utilization payments that will somewhat improve the adjusted EBITDA from the beginning. We believe one of the least understood parts of GOLAR is the commodity upside of our Argentina contract. And within this quarter, we expect the commercial terms for the CEFA offtake to be announced, and hopefully that can ease the market's understanding of that potential upside. We've proven to do accretive buyback and cancellation of GOLA shares, and we have more capacity under the existing buyback program. Through last year, and we'll continue to look for asset level debt optimization, and there's plenty of opportunity to do so across Hiddeley and the Marksview that could release significant liquidity to fund a fourth FLNG unit and enhance equity returns. The startup of the Healy and the Mark II contract in Argentina is obvious step changes in earnings growth as well. The commercial pipeline of new projects, new FOMD projects, remains under strong development, and we see the terms in which we believe we can obtain to be highly accretive to our platform value. The commodity exposure on the SESA contracts will come into fruition as the two units become operational. As Eduardo just explained, the dividend capacity and the capacity to multiply increase that is evident once we're fully operational. We continue to see structural strong L&D demand beyond 2030 onwards. And our focused FLNG strategy with proven FLNG conversion expertise and the recently reconfirmed price and delivery schedule from the conversion shipyards is a further testimony to our business model. Another interesting thing to note is that the net present value of Golar is increasing daily until both FLNGs are operational in Argentina as a function of time. Turning to slide 26, GOLA remains the only proven service provider of FOMG globally. We have an adjusted EBITDA backlog of $17 billion before commodity upside and inflationary adjustments. We remain with strong balance sheet flexibility of around 3.4 times net debt to EBITDA once fully delivered. This enables growth while still increasing shareholder returns. I'll now hand the call over to our chairman, Thor Olav Trem, for some closing remarks before we open up for Q&A.

speaker
Tor Olav Troim
Chairman

Please go ahead, Thor. Yeah, thanks, Carl. First of all, I want to give some thanks to management for a good execution in the area we have behind us and to effectively secure $14 billion in everyday backlog and do more than $3 billion in financing, pay more than a billion dollars in debt in installments on the mark too. And then the year with more than a billion in cash, it puts us in a very strong position to execute what we think should be an aggressive growth strategy, being the world's leading LFL&E player in the market. We see today significant more demand for projects than we ever have seen, and it's more a question of us concentrating our efforts into the projects we think can get the highest possible overall return. It's one of the board's mission to maximize the value of the company for all sellers, both on long and short-term basis. To have an effectively price equity is a major condition for growing this business. The value of GOLAR today, as Carl alluded to, is linked to three things. It's the value of the existing contract. It's the value of the options agreement we have, which is pretty much a one-sided call on gas for the next 20 years. And it's effectively the value of the GOLAR franchise. I know everybody's pretty good in calculating the value of the existing contracts. I don't think anybody really pays attention to the value of the options. But I'd like to focus a little bit about the third thing, the value of the GULAR franchise. It's 26 years since Fredriksson took over GULAR, and we effectively started the venture to build a massive L&D company. It's now 16 years since we effectively started the work on the FL&D activities, which started in 2010. In 2014, we ordered the first vessel, It was in operation in 2018, and we now have eight years of extremely successful operation. That franchise, I don't think anybody fully understands the value of, but to illustrate a little bit, we have been approached by one of the largest oil companies in the world who effectively said, we cannot do this. Can you be your service arm to deliver FLND activities going forward? I think that's a question to take those kind of things is probably a limited return compared to a lot of the other things we can do. But I think in many ways to illustrate the value of the franchise we have built, which I think people are grossly estimating when they're trying to do the value. When it comes to the way we in the board look at the value, I think so far it's represented by the fact that we're buying back stocks. And that's a reflection of the fact that we think it's almost better to buy back your own stock at an undervaluation than to effectively do anything else. We have also decided to push out the vessel number four and maybe also vessel number five a little bit, not because of lack of progress, but we're going through two years in 26 and 27 where we have limited cash flow. because the Mark II has not started and really is in for repair. So I think what we want to do is to push the investment phase closer to the period where we are effectively running with an 800 million EBITDA and are actually self-serviced with capital for growth purposes. I was on the call in connection with the QN numbers, and I said then that if an undervaluation compared to the real value exists over time, then the board will kind of start processes which try to take all part of that benefit. Even if the share price in the latter weeks have shown some signs of recovery, the board still feels that the value of this company, including the value drivers I just mentioned, particularly number two and number three, should mean that the share price should have been higher than where it is today. What we have seen in other situations in this industry is that the valuation typically come when the cash is coming. It doesn't come when the contract is signing. I'm referring to companies like Chenier, where you actually saw that the share price started to move when the cash finally came from the discussions. So in order to kind of look at what we can do in the meantime, we have to expand. explore alternative ways to enhance the value for the period under the cash flow coming 2028. We have, as the board, started a process where we're going to seek external advice to consider several ways to improve this, the value for our shareholders. This thing includes processes which includes talk to shareholders. It includes talk to industrial and financial potential partners. which can help us in enhancing the value of the company on a more shorter-term basis. The market should be aware that we, several years ago, received unsolicited offers for the company, several ones. We structured that into a process, and all the offers were, at that time, significantly higher than the share price. The board decided, however, not to recommend the sale of the company, which I think in retrospect has been the right decision to see how we later have built the company. The board of Goulart today consists of board members, including myself. We represent significant capital invested in the company, and you should be assured that the board have no other consideration than to do what we believe is the best interest for all shareholders. There's no other agenda here. The outcome of such a strategic process, which kind of we are in the process of starting, combined with the board's internal discussion is too early to be expected, but will keep the market updated if these processes are likely to lead to material changes in GULAG's operational or corporate structure. I hope this confirms the commitment I gave to the shareholders in connection with the Q1 report last year. where I said that we intend to do things. If you don't see material improvement of share price, we have seen some, but I think we still feel with $17 billion of EBITDA backlog and industry-leading position, including in derivative, which is significant value, that there are rooms for improvement. And I genuinely hope that you all guys kind of give us some time to go through this process. And as I said, no outcome is given, but I can assure you that the commitment we gave a year ago to explore alternatives way to extract value is kind of on the agenda for the board. That's the only thing I want to say about this thing, and we will report back to the board, to shareholders as we make progress on this thing. In the meantime, as Carl said, the value of the company should increase day by day as closer we get to the window in 2020. What I want to end with is that eventually we started 16 years ago, which was to effectively become a dominant FL&E player, pays off. I'm very proud of the performance of the HILI contract. I'm equally improved that we know can deliver to BP and probably be the only part of the greater to two project which have delivered on time. and on budget, and effectively delivering more than they should according to the contracts. So thanks. I hope that was enough to confirm that what we're saying in earlier calls are lived up to by the board. Thank you.

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Thor. So, operator, we are now ready for Q&A.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. To ask a question, you will need to press star 1 and 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 and 1 again. There will be a limit of two questions per person on today's call. Following that, you may re-enter the queue. Our first question comes from the line of John McKay from Goldman Sachs & Co. Please go ahead, your line is open.

speaker
John McKay
Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co.

Hey, everyone. Thank you for the time. I appreciate all the thoughts around the strategic review. I just want to, you know, drill into the details a little bit. I understand it's kind of a multifaceted process. But can you walk us through what the specific process you're focused on right now looks like? What could timing be? What are you watching to decide how to move forward and maybe to put a bow on it? You mentioned you were approached. Is one of the options on the table here a potential sale of the company?

speaker
Tor Olav Troim
Chairman

I think in view of the discussion we have had in the board, how we want to orientate the market around this, I don't want to give any further comments than what I've effectively already said. I think hopefully the shareholders have some respect for the fact that these kind of processes kind of needs to be kept a little bit close to the board and not effectively be a public process.

speaker
John McKay
Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co.

Okay, maybe asking it a different way, you highlighted the current value of a company, your desire to push maybe some of the next vessels to the right a little bit to reallocate capital. Is the message here that the focus right now should be on further buybacks specifically? And I guess at what point do you decide to switch from maybe investing in the base business

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

to uh or you know buying effectively the base business to commercializing the next vessel thanks i can answer that one so there's no change in our committed focus to develop attractive flnd projects and none of the actions taken today will pause the pace of the commercial evolvement of the contracts in discussion That said, an FLNG project, if it's just to agree commercial terms with the counterpart, that would be fairly easy. These are very large infrastructure projects that require significant regulatory, governmental, tax and environmental approvals, including LNG export laws. And most of the, or some of the countries we're in discussions for, didn't export LNG before we started it. That's true for Cameroon, that's true for Mauritania, that's true for Senegal, and it's true for Argentina. So there is absolutely no change whatsoever in Golar's committed focus for a creative SLNG growth. What we're saying is some of the projects in discussion have different vessel design requirements. Hence, instead of going on speculation, Number one, because of the different requirements from the various commercial discussions. And number two, for the cash flow profile reasons mentioned by Thor, we've decided to not go on speculation as speculatively as we have previously done, and then continue to mature the commercial pipeline before we commit significant capital. Both because we believe that's right from a vessel design selection point of view, And also for the capital profile, there are four images.

speaker
Tor Olav Troim
Chairman

Let me add a little bit to that, Carl. I think kind of just have one thing in mind, that the process which we're talking about now where we're seeking some external advice for what the kind of options is for the future of Goulart is not in any way influencing the day-to-day business. What the board has given a clear mandate to management to, is run the business as we run it to the best interest of things and don't let any kind of strategic discussions influence what we do in short term. I think any kind of strategic discussion will benefit from building, continue to building the company like we do. So I think that's the most important thing. This is business as usual and nothing else happening, but I think we're looking at some other alternatives. If there are cheaper access to capital, for instance, then effectively we have today I think that's important. I think when the cards, what cards says about 27 and 28 or 26 and 27 is that if you push the kind of cash back a little bit, maybe half a year to a year, we will be in a very different situation because in the end of the period when we have the heavy installments on SIP 4 and potential 5, you will also meet that with a massive cash flow coming out from the business. I think it's a pretty Part of the decision, which I also know is supported by some of our major shareholders, have given us the same input. We have been through the history here in this company where we've done $3 billion projects or more than a billion dollar project with a pretty tiny balance sheet. That had put the balance sheet under stress in some of the cases. I don't think we want that. We want to have a very, very strong and solid balance sheet to execute on multi-billion dollar projects, which we're talking about here.

speaker
John McKay
Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co.

Okay, guys, I appreciate the time. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We'll now move on to our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Robertson from Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Chris Robertson
Analyst, Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Thank you, operator. Thank you for taking my questions, guys. Just given the strong operational performance of the GIMME over the last several months, it's producing slightly above nameplate, as you say here. How are the counterparties now thinking about the future of expansion at GTA? What other data points do they need to see or evaluate to make a decision around that? And what's the current thinking potentially around if an expansion would include a floating asset?

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

That question is probably better placed to be here in Cosmos, but the fact – what's BP has consistently said that they want 12 to 18 months of well data before a decision is made on expansion. But it has to do with how the wells perform. Given that we're now producing above the contracted amount suggests that the not only the FLNG, but the flow from the upstream and the other infrastructure is also working at least as expected, if not better. And that should help a decision for expansion. And given that the incremental cost of expansion should be significantly lower than the initial phase, any growth should be accretive to the project economics.

speaker
Chris Robertson
Analyst, Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Thanks for that, Carl. My follow-up question here is, Carl, you mentioned getting quotes at the yards recently. This is kind of a two-part question. One, what's the current thinking around the cost for HILI-upgraded redeployment work? Has that range narrowed at all as we get kind of closer here to the summer months? And then two, could you clarify kind of where things are shaking out in terms of where you're getting quotes that in terms of a dollar per metric ton. Have we seen any cost inflation since the Fuji project? Any commentary around that would be helpful.

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So on Hille, the conversion budget, when we say conversion budget, that includes everything from disconnecting in Cameroon, towing and bunkering the vessel from Cameroon to Singapore, the yardstay and sailing back to Argentina and connecting and commissioning, opex, training, spares and upgrade work, all in, we estimate, $350 million, including a certain level of contingencies. As we continue to execute on the hilly redeployment, as most of the equipment is now ordered, we feel comfortable with that budget try not to eat into all of the contingencies built into the 350. That's the budget. But it's important to highlight that that includes everything, not just the upgrades to the ship. And then the second part of the question, do we see price inflation? Yes. The price inflation is not so much on the yard scope. It's more on the top side, and in particular the low-meat equipment on the top side. The primary driver of that cost inflation is competition for the equipment, mainly from AI data centers. We're using the same gas turbines and some of the other critical components. And the massive surge in such developments has caused lead times to go out and prices for that equipment to go meaningfully up. If we then look across an FL&E, we see a very limited cost inflation of the Mark 2 compared to where we ordered last time. We do see a higher cost inflation on the Mark 1 compared to where we ordered, but that's obviously a function also of the longer time since we ordered a Mark 1. And the biggest cost inflation is without a doubt on the Mark 3. For the Mark 3, it's also driven by competition at the shipyard, namely Samsung. So that's how we see it, but we still see that we can obtain a cost advantage compared to land-based of up to 40%, lower capex performance. For Mark 1 and 2, not so much for Mark 3.

speaker
Chris Robertson
Analyst, Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Got it. All right, that's helpful. Thank you, Carl.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We will now move on to our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Alexander Bidwell from Weber Research and Advisory. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Alexander Bidwell
Analyst, Weber Research and Advisory

Good afternoon. Appreciate the time. With the performance thus far on GIMI, how should we think about production above contractual base going forward? You had mentioned ambient temperature and gas composition are both key drivers. Are there any other factors, such as maintenance, which would impact production quarter over quarter?

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So maintenance is built into the difference between nameplate of 2.7 and the contractual amount of 2.4. So that's already taken into account schedule maintenance. When it comes to the ambient temperature effects, you will see a level of seasonality over and above the 2.4. We don't expect to go under the 2.4 in the summer months, and we expect to be meaningfully higher in the winter months. So if you smooth this out on average, we expect to be well above the contracted amount. In the case of Q4, that amount was 3%, but we're still undergoing optimizations, and we think more than 3% is fair to assume across the year. Exactly the percentages we want to commit to right now as we are in the midst of these optimizations. To have this type of production this early in the project exceeds the expectation both of Golar and of the Charter.

speaker
Alexander Bidwell
Analyst, Weber Research and Advisory

All right. Thank you. Great color there. Turning over to Argentina, could you walk us through the startup and commissioning cadence for Hilly and the Mark II once the assets are actually on site? And are there any lessons learned from Cameroon and GTA that you plan to apply for the deployments?

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, so when it comes to... They will be slightly different, because HILI has obviously operated for eight years, whilst the Mark II will have never operated. So we expect the commissioning process of HILI to be quicker than the Mark II. And for simplicity, we expect the commissioning of HILI to be around three to four months, and we expect up to six months for the Mark II, simply because the equipment hasn't been running in the same way. the actual process is that we arrive on site, we connect to the mooring system, and then we start commissioning through gas in production. The key learning effect that we are debating with CETA but are likely to adopt is that we do expect to arrive cold. What that means is that we will arrive, or likely will arrive, with some LNG on the tanks. That allows us to start commissioning before we are reliant on gas flowing through the pipeline. Hence, we can save any time that it would take to connect to the grid, and secondly, the cooldown process itself. That has a slight cost, but in the scheme of FLMG CapEx, almost negligible. But this can save significant time, and it's the same as what we did both for Healy and Gaming Commission.

speaker
Alexander Bidwell
Analyst, Weber Research and Advisory

All right. That makes sense. I'll turn it back over. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We'll now move on to our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Sharif El-Megraby from BTIG. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Sharif El-Megraby
Analyst, BTIG

Hey, thanks for taking my question. Maybe to start off sticking with the GIMI, our project partners given production has been surprised to the upside. Are project partners still interested in de-bottlenecking, and what needs to happen to de-bottleneck given GIMI's already capable of exceeding nameplate by a fair margin?

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

Again, it's a question for the upstream partners more than us, but it's in everybody's interest. to de-bottleneck, provided you can do so at capex accretive to the unit economics of the project. And we do expect that both de-bottlenecking will be at a very meaningful accretion to unit economics and asserted in the interest of all stakeholders, including NOAA.

speaker
Sharif El-Megraby
Analyst, BTIG

Okay. Thanks for that. And then turning to a fourth or fifth unit, can you elaborate on these Middle Eastern opportunities? That's not something that was on my radar, but it's interesting, and I'm wondering if that's linked to ramping unconventional gas production in the region.

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

You are right that that is a region that has saved up as more and more actively pursuing FL&D, and it's one of the regions where we like the pace of progress in the project development of a potential FL&D project. So for that one, you are right, that's one we haven't spoken as much about previously, but we are hopeful that we can continue to develop that pace.

speaker
Sharif El-Megraby
Analyst, BTIG

All right, thanks for taking my questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We'll now move on to our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Spiro Dunis from Citi. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Spiro Dunis
Analyst, Citi

Thanks, operator. Morning, team. I wanted to go back to demand. I think I heard you guys say several times that you're seeing more demand than ever before for this LNG infrastructure. I was just wondering if you could expand on that. Is that or is that specific to more of an FLNG solution or maybe both?

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

I think it's twofold. One of it is the increasing industry recognition of the efficiency of FLND versus alternative liquefaction solutions. The fact that you can construct these units at up to 40% discount to land-based and the flexibility a movable FLND provides versus land-based is one key driver. The other key driver is that the vast majority of incremental production of LME will come out of the U.S. And all U.S. projects, or the vast majority of U.S. projects, source at Henry Hub. So the attraction is when you can find research that you can source, in addition to the capex saving, but significantly cheaper gas sourcing than Henry Hub. That's the other component that drives the interest. So for us, it's increasing industry recognition and the attraction of sourcing cheaper moldings.

speaker
Spiro Dunis
Analyst, Citi

Gotcha. It's a subtle color. Second one maybe for you, Eduardo. You mentioned on this latest refinancing or financing that it sort of proves out the bankability of of these structures. Could you maybe expand on that as we think about the go-forward here? You obviously have a lot more financing to do. Does this latest one prove as a blueprint? What lessons did you learn during this last go-around?

speaker
Eduardo Maranão
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, that's a great point, Prashbir. So you're absolutely right when it comes to the data points that we had on the latest financing. So when we look at the GIMI deal that we closed in November, we raised $1.2 billion, which is just over 5.6 times GIMI's annual EBITDA. If we try to apply, and we are in discussions of potential similar transactions to that one, if we were to apply the same multiple to both Healy and or the Mark II, we could be looking to raise in excess of $1.5 billion for Healy and over $2 billion for the Mark II. So that really shows the whole potential of financing capacity that we have under these contracts. These are long-term 20-year agreements. And we really believe on the bankability of this contract that we have signed up to.

speaker
Spiro Dunis
Analyst, Citi

Great. I'll leave it there for today. Thank you, gentlemen. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We'll now move on to our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Liam Burke from B. Riley Securities. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Liam Burke
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Yes, thank you. Carl, you talked about a lot of interest in potential negotiations for future FLNG projects. Does shipyard capacity ever come into the negotiation, or does that – I mean, Chris touched on cost, but shipyard capacity, does that ever come into future discussions?

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

Absolutely, yes. That is why it's been critical as part of this commercial pipeline development to have – confirmed yard availability and updated yard pricing in continuing such discussions, because delivery is obviously a key part of this. What we see is that for the conversions, mark one and two, we are still able to maintain a very, very competitive conversion period of somewhere between 36 and 40 months, whether or not they go mark two or mark one. What we see is that if you go bigger on the March 3, it's meaningfully pushed out even since we have the offset with the shift yard six to nine months ago. So on that one, we see the yard availability as a negative. On the first two, we still see it as attractive.

speaker
Liam Burke
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Great. And then other FLNGs out there, mostly operated by the major energy companies, has there been any – potential competition on the FLNG as a service only from any other providers?

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

Nobody else in the world has done vessel conversions, FLNG vessel conversions. We think that the capex and delivery time is better obtained in the current yard and long lead situations for vessel conversions than it is for new builds. As part of the updates we've had with the shipyards, we have also explored new builds on the smaller sizes that reconfirms that conversion is the cheapest and most efficient way to do, but obviously comes with significant engineering complications that Golar has built up over time. So we do see that there are more and more majors going for this type of technology, but there are significant advantages doing it with us as a service provider as opposed to replicating this through a new build, because you can also gain the same benefits.

speaker
Liam Burke
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Great. Thank you, Carl.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

There are no further questions at this time, so I'll hand the call back to Carl for closing remarks.

speaker
Karl-Frederik Staubo
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you all for joining in and listening to the Q4 presentation.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

This concludes today's presentation. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Speakers, please stand by.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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