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Gossamer Bio, Inc.
5/15/2025
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the GossamerBio Q1 2025 earnings call. I will now turn the program over to Brian Girardot, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer.
Thank you, operator, and thank you all for joining us this afternoon. I am joined on today's call by Fahim Hasne, Gossamer's Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Richard Aranda, Chief Medical Officer, Karen Peterson, Executive Vice President, Regulatory Affairs, and Bob Smith, Chief Commercial Officer. Earlier this afternoon, GossamerBio issued a press release announcing its first quarter 2025 financial results and provided a corporate update. Please note that certain information discussed on the call today is covered under the safe heart vision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. We caution listeners that during the call, Gossamer management will be making forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those stated or implied by these forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties associated with the company's business. These forward-looking statements are qualified by statements contained in Gossamer's news releases, SEC filings, including the annual report on Form 10K and subsequent filings. This conference call also contains time-sensitive information that may be accurate only for a limited period of time. GossamerBio owner takes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this conference call. Now, I'd like to turn it over to Fahim.
Thank you, Brian. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to our first quarter 2025 earnings call. We're very excited to provide an update on the significant progress and momentum with Sarah Ludnip, which is an investigational treatment for pulmonary hypertension, including pulmonary arterial hypertension, or PAH, and pulmonary hypertension-associated interstitial lung disease, or PHILD. So over the past year and a half, we at Gossamer have dedicated immense time, effort, and hard work to enroll our pivotal PH study, the Phase III Procera study. In particular, I want to recognize the efforts of our global clinical operations, development, and field medical team who quite literally have been working across the globe around the clock to get us to this point. Today, I'm incredibly proud to announce that we have achieved a significant milestone in the Procera study with a closure of new patient screening. And while nearing completion of enrollment is a significant achievement in and of itself, what really matters is enrolling the correct patient population to best position Procera for a successful outcome. In this case, that successful outcome is a demonstration of a significant treatment effect in six-minute walk distance at 24 weeks. Now, with this context in mind, we're thrilled to report that the baseline characteristics of the patients enrolled thus far are precisely what we have targeted. And we are more optimistic than ever about the likelihood of achieving positive results. But I'll dive more deeply into that in a moment. Now, this year, we've experienced great momentum in enrolling the study. As growing appreciation of the 72-week TORI open-label extension data from patients and physicians sparked strong interest in the Procera study. Given this late additional surge of interest, Procera study has a substantial number of patients currently in screening. And when those potential patients are added to the already 343 patients already enrolled or scheduled to randomize, there are more patients to complete full enrollment by early June. We owe the PAH community a great deal of gratitude for entrusting us, and we will honor that trust by allowing every patient in screening the opportunity to enroll in the Procera study if they qualify. While we expect to complete the blinded portion of the study, including the 24-week, six-minute walk distance primary endpoint by the fourth quarter of this year, we anticipate announcing top-line results in February 2026. This timeline ensures that we can lock the database and thoroughly clean, analyze, and adjudicate the substantial data collected in this robust 48-week double-blind study without sacrificing data quality or operational excellence. Let's now review in detail the baseline characteristics of those enrolled in Procera and how this patient population helps set up serolutinum for success. Now, the learnings from the phase two TORI study helped us to identify specific patient characteristics that would likely respond favorably to serolutinum by carefully selecting patients with impaired six-minute walk distance and elevated risk at baseline through use of the Reveal Light to Risk Score and other criteria. We aim to enroll a population where a greater magnitude of effect could be seen on the six-minute walk distance at 24 weeks, which is the primary endpoint, thereby increasing the likelihood of success of Procera. I am happy to say that given the baseline characteristics that we've seen thus far, the eligibility criteria was successful in enrolling the exact intended patient population. Let's take a closer look at the baseline characteristics. Those that are currently available to us are the first 324 patients enrolled in the Procera study as of May 12th, 2025. It's important to remember that this 324 patient number is distinct from the previously mentioned 343 patients, which includes additional patients that randomize after the May 12th date and patients that are scheduled to be randomized. To start, we find that the average six-minute walk distance is approximately 376 meters, much lower than the TORI baseline, where six-minute walk distance averaged 408 meters. For comparison, the Phase III Stellar study of cetatocip had a baseline six-minute walk of 401 meters. Second, our mean -PRO-BMP, which is an important biomarker of heart failure, is 96 nanograms per liter in Procera, which denotes a materially more severe population than the TORI study, where the mean -PRO-BMP levels were only 628 nanograms per liter. For additional reference, cetatocip Stellar Phase III had a baseline mean -PRO-BMP of 1,121 nanogram per liter, nearly double what we enrolled in TORI, and much more similar to what we are seeing in the baseline characteristics of Procera. Third, let's address the functional class. Consistent with other precedent positive PAH trials, in our Phase II TORI study, serolutinib demonstrated a larger magnitude of effect in the functional class III patients. But a functional class imbalance in the treatment arm versus the placebo arm created what we believe was a major limiting factor in the magnitude of effect seen on the six-minute walk distance in that study. While the placebo arm was 52% functional class III, the serolutinib arm only had 32% of its patients classified as functional class III at baseline in the TORI study. In contrast, 74% of the patients currently enrolled in our Procera study are categorized as functional class III at baseline, a significantly larger portion than in TORI. We will also have a higher proportion than the STELR study, which mandated that at least 50% of its patients be functional class III and ended up enrolling 51% of these class III patients. And to prevent an imbalance, we have incorporated a stratification factor for functional class to ensure a balanced population between the arms. Now, why are we spending so much time walking through these baseline characteristics? Well, in short, study after study in PAH has shown us that patients who are sicker at baseline, those with more room to improve, tend to have better outcomes, particularly on the six-minute walk distance in a 24-week study. We saw this in TORI, where patients with higher baseline reveal risk scores and those with functional class III disease had a much more dramatic improvement in their six-minute walk and their PVR. It was also seen in both the phase II and phase III studies of cetatarcept where functional class III patients had better outcomes than the functional class II patients. Even going back to the pivotal studies of tibazo and oral imatinib and pH, the pattern holds the same. Procero was designed to enroll more of these patients to increase the study's probability of success. Our team has executed against this goal while maintaining the commercial applicability of the study's findings to a broader population of PAH patients. We believe that the baseline characteristics in Procero represent a population of both functional class II and III that is consistent with contemporary studies in pH, evaluating six-minute walk at 24 weeks. Because of all this, we believe that we are closer than ever to potentially providing patients with a first in class new treatment for pH that addresses the underlying disease. And with that progress in mind, let's now shift our focus to the exciting prospects ahead for serolimnum. But before I hand it over to Richard to discuss PHILD, I wanna take a quick moment to thank our partner, the KeyAZ Group. Their partnership has enabled serolimnum to immediately enter a global registration on phase III study in PHILD. This was one of the key rationale for our joint development and commercialization agreement. They are a world leader in relevant disease areas, such as respiratory, cardiometabolic, and rare disease. We feel proud and highly validated that KeyAZ sees the same vision for serolimnum as we do. And more than that, they are a committed partner and proponents of this trailblazing clinical development plan in PHILD. And with that, I'll hand it over to Richard for discussion of PHILD and the phase III seronata study. Richard. Thank you,
Stephen. In addition to what Fahim mentioned, I am thrilled to spotlight our plan phase III seronata study in patients with pulmonary hypertension associated with interstitial lung disease, or PHILD. To remind you, PHILD is a progressive disorder characterized by the development of pulmonary hypertension in the setting of chronic and progressive lung diseases. PHILD poses a severe burden on patients with quality of life diagnosis. The three-year survival rate has been reported to be 40%, which is quite dismal. With only one approved treatment available for PHILD in the US and limited availability outside of the US, there remains a substantial unmet need for effective therapies. The seronata study aims to fill this critical gap, offering a potentially transformative treatment option to a patient population that has long awaited effective treatment options. To this end, our development program at PHILD underscores our unwavering commitment to innovation, excellence, and our focus on enhancing the lives of patients. Developed jointly with the CHEAZE, the seronata study will be a global, double-blind, placebo-controlled, registrational phase three trial. Approximately 480 patients will be randomized evenly to receive either 90 milligrams serolinoid twice daily, 120 milligrams serolinoid twice daily, or placebo. The primary endpoint is the change in six-minute walk distance from baseline as compared to placebo at week 24. CHEAZE secondary endpoints include time to clinical worsening and change from baseline and forced vital capacity. A successful outcome on this latter CHEAZE measure would provide differentiated results as compared to the currently approved treatment. We believe that in addition to targeting the pulmonary hypertension of PHILD patients, the pH, so to say, serolutinib could also target the underlying interstitial lung disease. With preclinical data demonstrating serolutinib's anti-fibrotic and anti-inflammatory attributes, treatment with serolutinib could also improve lung function separately from its effect on pulmonary hypertension by targeting the underlying lung fibrosis, which is characteristic of ILD. Recent preclinical modeling has led us to believe that there is value in testing a higher dose because increasing lung exposure may provide a greater improvement to the lung component of PHILD. This potential for a dual mechanistic benefit has led us to incorporate 120 milligrams twice daily dose level of serolutinib, in addition to the 90 milligrams twice daily dose level in serinata study. With the same painstaking detail with which we planned and enrolled the PROCERA study, we are diligently collaborating with our partners to identify the most suitable sites globally for this phase three trial. Considering our unique non-basilatory mechanism, there is high investor and patient demand, but given the complexity and significance of this program, we are proceeding with thoughtful consideration. Further, there are no successful registrational global PHILD clinical trial precedents to follow. Therefore, we hope the serinata study will be the first. We expect to begin first site activations in the fourth quarter of this year. With this, we are extremely excited about the possibilities that this trial holds and the profound impact it could have on the lives of so many. Now I will hand it over to our CFO and COO, Brian Giardo for a financial update. Brian. Thank
you, Richard. We will now review the end of quarter financial results for the first quarter of 2025. We ended the quarter with $257.9 million in cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities. We continue to maintain a robust balance sheet and anticipate that our financial resources will provide sufficient capital to the first half of 2027. For the quarter ended March 31st, 2025, recognized revenue was 9.9 million. Our revenues associated with our collaboration with Keyes includes $6.6 million of cost reimbursements for the quarter. R&D expenses were 38 million compared to 32.4 million for the same period in 2024. G&A expenses for the first quarter of 2025 were 8.7 million compared to 9.6 million for the same period in 2024. The net loss for the three months ended March 31, 2025 was 36.6 million or 16 cents a share compared to a net loss of 41.9 billion or 19 cents per share for the same period in 2024. Now I'll turn the call back over to Veeam for closing remarks. Yeah, thanks, Brian. So before
we take questions, I just wanna remind everyone of the substantial unmet need in PAH and PHILD. These are progressive diseases with high mortality that need new, safe, and effective therapies. Due to this dire need and historical lack of innovation, even approved therapies with limited efficacy or poor tolerability have achieved commercial success. Patients and physicians are eagerly awaiting new therapies, particularly those with differentiated mechanisms and improved outcomes. With its potential -in-class mechanism and growing body of evidence of the potential for reverse remodeling in this disease, paired with the safety profile observed to date, we can envision a future where serolutinib becomes a backbone therapy in PH and a multi-billion dollar franchise. And the Trinity is not confined to the United States. It extends to international markets as well. Japan, which is the second largest PH market globally after the US, has a number of clinical sites participating in the Procera study. Considering serolutinib's recent orphan drug designation and the participation of Japanese patients in Procera, we believe that with positive results, this could support a JNDA and a subsequent approval in Japan. So if there's one takeaway from today's discussion, let it be that Gosmer is doing everything that we can to increase the chances of long-term clinical and commercial success for serolutinib. And we're committed to maintaining the highest standards to accomplish this mission. Our focus is not to just achieve approvable results. That's the bare minimum. Our focus is on generating comprehensive, definitive, and differentiated outcomes in both of our Phase III trials that will set serolutinib apart from other therapies on the market, helping lay the groundwork for a serolutinib franchise. Operator, you may now open the line to questions.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, at this time, you may press star one on your telephone keypad if you would like to ask a question. Set it at star one on your telephone keypad to join the question queue. And first up, we have Joe Schwartz of Learink.
Great, thanks so much for taking my questions. I have two. First, with 343 patients enrolled and pro-SERA to date, have you considered stopping enrollment there in order to be able to still report data this year? Could you give us some insight into your calculus here and why you've decided to enroll these last patients and push the data into 26 and then as a follow-up?
Yeah, thanks, Joe, thanks for your question. It really relates to the fact that there's been such incredible demands to study, Joe. And obviously, as we started to signal that we were nearing the end of enrollment, that demand got even bigger. And it's really important that we honor the commitment we have to patients and to their physicians to ensure that we have worked alongside of all of these physicians, and you did do so into the future, not only with serolimum, but also with the PHILD phase three, which many of these physicians will also be investigators in. And so we wanted to honor that commitment and decided to honor, and we closed off screening. So we will no longer be screening patients, but there is a bolus, a large bolus of patients that are in the screening funnel now, and our commitment was to follow through, determine which of those patients would qualify for the study, and then if they qualify, enroll them. So that should take us into somewhere around the June timeframe. And just as we think about the timing for
that,
first and foremost, we care about the quality of the study. First and foremost, we care about bringing the right patients into the study, in timelines, of course, of importance. So we will conclude the study. Last patient out will certainly be in the fourth quarter, near the end of the fourth quarter, but by the time we scrub, analyze, collect
the data, scrub the data, analyze the data, and get it ready for a top-up presentation, that will take a little bit of time. That's the February date.
Very helpful, thanks. And then, could we delve some more into baseline characteristics in Procero? Since the TORI trial, we've enrolled patients primarily from North America, whereas Procero will be more global. I was wondering if we could get your thoughts on how this factor could influence the results.
Yeah, at TORI, we had sites also globally, but not as extensively as we have with Procero. So Procero has a much broader global footprint in the context of the sites that we've enrolled. As an example, there is a significant portion of patients that will come out of places like Latin America, South America, Eastern European countries, and Asia Pacific. And the reason I highlight that is it's really interesting because what we find in those jurisdictions, there are really excellent patients for us to enroll in this study. And by that, I mean, less morbidities and patients that in historical trials from those regions have shown a much larger magnitude of effect on their six minute walk. So as an example, the stellar study for cetatosep, the patients that they enrolled in South America saw somewhere in the neighborhood of mid 70 meter improvement in walk versus the US patients in that study were around 26 meters. And that's largely we believe because these patients are just more pure pH patients with less comorbidity and an easier opportunity to show that magnitude of effect. Richard, I don't know if you have anything else you wanna add to that? No, for him, I think that's
exactly right. The younger patients, the different treatment regimens also contribute to those patients that you've
outlined. Yeah, Brian? And Joe, I'd also just remind you that part of the reason why we had a disproportionately large number of patients from North America and the United States and Torrey was because many of our ex-US sites were closed because of the COVID-19 pandemic and those physicians were not actively doing clinical research. So we do believe the combination of operating in a normal time and in a broader global reach is gonna give us ridiculous that much more patient population.
Thanks
for the
color.
Thanks, Joe.
All right, next up we have Andreas Argeris of Oppenheimer. Your line is now open.
Great, thanks for taking our questions and congrats on all the progress on your completion of enrollment. And also thanks for the comparisons of the very baseline characteristics to Feller. You preempted one of my questions, but very helpful. So we only have a couple here. We'll keep it short at this point. The baseline, and of course Sarah now in hand, have power and assumptions changed at all? And then we're stringent enrollment criteria, the reason that the enrollment took a little longer than previously expected. And then last, when it comes to safety, Sarah Lutner has a clean profile to date. How do you think these upcoming results can address the generalized concern that TKs have off-target effects and Sarah Lutner doesn't? Thanks.
Yeah, so I'll take a portion of that question and have Richard as well jump in, anybody else on the team. Certainly as it relates to the baseline characteristics that you've seen, I think your question, Andreas, was really kind of, does that kind of lend, does the focus on those baseline characteristics and the stringent entry criteria lend to kind of the time that it took to enroll the study? I would say unequivocally yes. As an example, and just kind of further highlight that point Andreas, we screened somewhere in the neighborhood of 750 patients this study, which is a significant number of patients. And the fact that that's about double what we've actually will end up enrolling, that should tell you two things. One, that we've been incredibly stringent to our entry criteria into this study for all the reasons that we've talked about. We think we, given this criteria that we put into place and now have been able to achieve, we think that really enhances our probability of success. And I think the second thing that that says in terms of the number of screening opportunities that we've had is the significant demand for this study. That's a significant number of patients and there was a tremendous amount of demand from physicians and treat, the physicians, the treaters, to be able to have their patients evaluated for their entry into the study. And I think that's, you know, a vote of confidence, if you will, from the physician community about the promise of serolutinib.
Yeah, Richard, I think one of your first questions around those, the baseline characteristics impact the power of the study and the answer is no. Directly from a technical standpoint, we have over 90% power given the sample size. In fact, just to reiterate what Fahim mentioned, the study intentionally was designed to enroll this population. So in anticipation of the treatment effect that we would observe, which is complementary to the sample size and the expected power, based on that treatment effect and standard deviation, we're basically right on target.
I think, Andreas, your last question was around safety and certainly to date we remain very, very pleased with the safety profile we have seen. Again, that is a function of both design of the molecule, the route of administration, as well as the fact that we designed everything to be on target, which we think, again, as Bob has spoken many times about long-term, in addition to what we think robust efficacy, our safety profile and ease of use will be a competitive advantage.
Yeah, and Andreas, if I could just add just to what Brian said, just for one last comment here. That safety profile combined with the efficacy that we expect to see, certainly the efficacy that we saw in functional class III and the higher risk patients in TORI, and the open label extension experience that showed that we continue to see improvement over time, possibly related to the effect, the reverse remodeling effect that we hypothesize is going on. That really positions us well commercially to be used across not only a broad swath of PAH patients, but also to suggest that there's an opportunity for positioning this drug as the backbone of therapy for earlier use to prevent longer-term progression. As we all know, this is a progressive disease where every patient progresses, and if we can delay, halt that progression, that's an incredibly meaningful outcome for
patients. Fantastic. Appreciate the comment. Congrats on all the progress.
Yeah,
thank you.
All right, next up, we have Yasmeen Rahimi of Piper Sandler.
Good afternoon, team. Really excited for you. Congrats on so many milestones, right? Enrollment completion, unveiling the baseline, and the PHILD is kicking that all off. Really incredible progress and updates today. A few questions, three for you. I guess the first question, team, is for the baseline measures, are you...did you look at baseline PBR in the PRSERA study? Question one. Question two, once the study finishes fully enrollment, are you planning to give us another cut of the baseline and maybe a little bit of additional information? I don't know if there's going to be another disclosure around it before we get the data in February. And then the third one is, given that the endpoints for both of these pops between the PHILD and the PH study are at the six-minute walk test, is there anything we can infer from read-through from PRSERA to CERNADA now that we have the study design? Appreciate it if you could take those three questions.
Thanks for your question, Esme. As it relates to the question around further updates, I think as it relates to the baseline, we've given you baseline data on 323 patients. We don't expect that to materially change, given just the number of patients that we've been able to evaluate baselines on. And I think we can be pretty clear with you that we will complete enrollment by latest mid-June. And so, I won't be any mystery there, just we know that now with great certainty, given that we know exactly how many patients are in the funnel. So I think there should be no uncertainty as to when our last patient in will be. As I said, it'll be by mid-June. And I think it's fair to conclude that the baseline that we've given you will be very close to the baseline that we'll end up with in the study.
Yeah, to, Yasmin, answer your question about the PVR. We did have a PVR entry criteria of 400 or greater. We did not mandate to have a PVR as an endpoint. So we won't have that in this particular study, but yes, we did have minimal criteria for a PVR, and that could have been based on some historic data or at the time of screening. And it's in line to what you would expect, given the requirement that we had. In terms of your question around read through, of course, assuming that OSERA is positive, that portends the possibility that the PHILD would also be positive. Having said that, we also know that PHILD patients are gonna have lower six-minute walks than in group one patients. They're actually sicker overall. And so under the thesis that in ProSERA, we have an enriched population of greater severity, I think, just implicit in studying the group three population, those patients are sicker. So if the drug is effective in that population, we should also see a very good treatment effect on six-minute walk, as well as other parameters such as NT, PRO, BMP, et cetera.
And so I think that definitely does increase the probability of success, and there would be a read through. But I think the other dimension here that's exciting about the PHILD population and the opportunity for serolutinib is that certainly pre-clinically, we've been able to determine that serolutinib also has some anti-fibrotic properties infecting really important markers of fibrosis. And as you think about this next patient population, those with interstitial lung disease, that could be a significant added benefit to the treatment of those patients.
Excellent, thank you so much, Tim. Really excited for you. And I'll jump back in the queue.
Thank you, Esme.
All right, next up we have Paul Choi of Goldman Sachs.
Hi, everyone, good afternoon, and thank you for taking our questions. Congratulations on all the progress. I want to return to baseline characteristics for a moment, and can you share, or do you plan to share with the final baseline just what baseline so tetrasat usage is given that it's been available both in the US and ex-US for a few quarters now? And then in terms of a clinical impact from that, can you maybe just comment on how you're thinking of what is considered clinically meaningful now in terms of six-minute walk, given that it has been available commercially? Has there been any evolution and change of thought among the KOL community on six-minute walk here, given so tetrasat has been on the market for a few quarters? And then one for Brian is, can you just remind us what key easy related milestones are sort of baked into your cash runway guidance? Is there anything else that we should be factoring in, the sort of what the pushes and pulls are that could potentially extend your cash runway? Thank you for taking our questions.
Sure, Paul, I'll start with the first one around backgrounds to Tattersap. As you recall, we had expectations that we would probably have about 10% of the study or roughly 35 patients on backgrounds to Tattersap. Recall, if you were on backgrounds to Tattersap, there were two important components to that. You had to meet our entry criteria, which would suggest that Tattersap wasn't working for you,
or,
and you would have to have been on stable Tattersap dosing for six months. I think we were very surprised on how few patients were on stable backgrounds to Tattersap dosing. So of the couple dozen inquiries we had about patients coming in, to date, I think we've enrolled three or four patients on backgrounds to Tattersap, which we think again, speaks to the real world experience of Tattersap being not as linear as we were expecting. In regards to clinical effect, let's turn it over to Dean.
Yeah, so Paul, it's a really interesting question that you've asked and one that I think is really important. The clinically meaningful effect for six minute walk. So I guess I'll start off by saying, serolignan appears to be differentiated from any other PAH treatment thus far that we've seen. In that, we see continued improvement over time as evidenced by our open label extension data, where patients, even the less sick patients in TORI, that didn't have as profound a result, saw improvement out to week 72. And certainly, even those patients with the more profound improvement, the more sick patients, also saw improvement. And that is a fairly unprecedented result. Assuming that we continue to see that trend in the open label extension portion of the Procera study, what I believe that the treating community is thinking about is that the week 24 data will just be a point in time to which then they can expect patients to improve beyond that. And so that really starts to then ask and play into the question that you've asked, is what is the clinically meaningful effect for Procera? And certainly in the dialogue that we've had with our experts, our key opinion leaders, our steering committee, I would say that anything in the 20 meter plus improvement in six minute walk becomes a very clinically meaningful effect given the safety profile of the drug, the opportunity to use it earlier in line of therapy to try to prevent longer term progression, and the promise of improvement over time. Again, that's unprecedented, not been seen in this environment. So, I think it's erroneous to actually just say cetatarcept was at X and therefore you need to be at X or Y because the basic point is this, every one of these patients will progress, cetatarcept will see really profound effects in a subset of patients, somewhere in the neighborhood of 30%, it's what we've seen from the trials, which leaves a large swath of patients with significant unmet needs. And certainly there will still be patients who experience intolerable side effects with cetatarcept and we're seeing that continuing to build in the real world database. And we will see patients who wane in their effect with cetatarcept and are also left with a need. So by the time we get to market, there is gonna be a large portion of patients that really need something. And the promise of a drug like this that has a potential to show reverse remodeling effects can be pretty profound. Just to add, I think it's also important that the
treatment effect needs to be interpreted without the context of the influence of hemoglobin that probably influenced the response that was observed with cetatarcept, for example, plus the population that we're stuck as we've been talking about is a much more sicker population. Overall, so I think those are some additional considerations. Bob, do you wanna add anything? Yeah, I'll add something.
Okay, thanks. I think Paul, your question on QIESI milestones. Our cash runway does not have any of the big milestones that we would expect on regulatory milestones. I think the biggest influence on our financials with the QIESI relationship is the cost sharing. And we expect that cost sharing to meaningfully increase as we bring the costs in from the Procero study and kick off the Serenade study or we'll be cost sharing on a 50-50 basis.
Great, thank you very much.
Thanks, Paul. Paul, all right. Next up we have Olivia Breyer of Cantor.
Hey, good afternoon guys. And thank you for the question and congrats on all the progress you've been making this year. Can you disclose what treatment effect you're targeting as it relates to your powering assumptions? And then as you think about the regulatory bar for success, do you know whether FDA is looking for a certain threshold on six-minute walk improvement, both with respect to P-value, but also meter improvement? And then just maybe in terms of timing of the disclosure, does that include a safety cut period or was anything else added to that protocol that's maybe changing the time of those data?
So to answer your question about the powering, the initial powering, which is the same, is based on a 30-meter treatment effect on six-minute walk with a standard deviation of 70, which gives us greater than 90% power. That hasn't changed. And the other question was around, yeah, the time of the data readout does include that the safety follow-up and that also hasn't changed.
Did
we
capture all your questions,
Er? Yeah. I think you had
to go to our guidance as well. Maybe just
to follow up on that safety closeout period, was anything added to the protocol that's actually maybe shifted timing of the data readout? Okay. No.
And
then the other question, Fahim, was just on the regulatory bar and how the FDA is thinking about six-minute walk improvement. Have they said anything in terms of what P-value or an action or improvement that they're looking to see for approval?
I'll turn that question over to Karen Peterson, our head of regulatory.
Yeah, so we have this discussion with the FDA when we designed the protocol as well as EMA. They agreed to both the powering and how it was powered in terms of the distance and the magnitude of the fact that we were looking for.
Okay, great. Helpful. Thank you,
guys.
Thank
you. All right, next up we have Patrick Tuchio of HC Wainwright.
Thanks. Good afternoon. I have a few questions on PAH. The first is just a baseline. Do we know the number of patients who discontinued Sotatarsep previously? And then separately, you presented open label extension data that shows continued PVR and six-minute walk distance benefit. What read-through from this data do you see to Prasara, if any, and separately, what are the commercial implications of that OLE data? And then a few on ILD. The first is just the doses, the rationale behind the doses selected for this study. And then separately, it was mentioned, the data could demonstrate serolutinib is having a beneficial impact on underlying interstitial lung disease. What data, or if you're able to demonstrate this benefit, what are the implications for the product profile? What data should we be looking for to show that potential? And what are the implications then for the potential addressable patient population?
Thanks, Patrick. I'll take the first one, as far as patients who discontinued Sotatarsep. Due to the long half-life of Sotatarsep that are required, but that you need to have a five half-life washout before you can come in, we had very few Sotatarsep discontinuations in the study. Memory serves me correct. I think it was high single digits to date. Rich, I'll turn over to you for the other part. Could you just remind me on the other? Patrick, what was the other second part to your question?
Yeah, so just the second part on PAH was just around the open label extension data, the read-through from that data, if any, to Procera, and as well, just sort of commercial implications of that OLE data.
Yeah, I'll ask Bob Smith, our Chief Commercial Officer, to touch on that one.
Yeah, I think there's a very positive read-through there. As we have taken the OLE data out into the community, the KOL community, we've just had really impressive feedback, and when we saw as well, that being a key lever for the increased enrollment in Procera, when they started to realize the benefit over time, which as Nguyen mentioned, is due to Sarah Lutnip.
Yeah, Bob. Yeah, I think the open label extension implications on commercial are kind of what I've already mentioned, Patrick, which is if that data is replicated as we hope it will be in the context of the Procera study, I mean, it is, and we've had this feedback from the community, that, as I said, it was largely unprecedented. Most studies you see and would expect to see just a plateauing of effect. So it really has an impact on positioning of the drug in the marketplace, and that is, like other progressive diseases, we see the desire and the hope to be able to use these drugs earlier, assuming that they've got the right safety profile, because if you're using a drug earlier in the line of therapy, quality of life matters, and matters, because they're gonna be on treatment a long period of time, a longer duration of treatment, and they're being treated in the earlier stage of their disease, which means they're otherwise living a reasonably normal life. So safety really matters. And if there's a promise there or potential to actually remodel both lung and heart, as we've seen by our imaging data and our echo data, that's hugely impactful in terms of the potential to stave off progression for a longer period of time. So that will be an important positioning concept commercially.
Yeah, because what we're hearing a lot in the community, the KL community, is the desire to use these kind of disease modifying, quote-unquote, if you will, therapies earlier in the process. And I think if our profile plays out from the OLE through to Procera, we'll have a very safe, tolerable, and effective agent that can be used
very early along
with the vasodilate PD5 and ERA. So, again, that's one of the rationale for the interest that we're getting for early utilization.
So I could further comment on your question around the PHILD, around dose and the potential impact. So first, let me start off by saying that we're confident in the 90-milligram dose in PHILD, given the results that we have in Glebe 1. Nonetheless, we believe it's important to acknowledge that, as we mentioned, PHILD represents basically two disease processes, one a vascular component with a pH, and then a lung component characterized by the lung fibrosis. So factoring in some of the preclinical work that we have performed and was presented at the CHESS conference in 2024, using fibrotic models, using human lung and fibroblast cells, which we showed a favorable effect. The thought process is we wanted to deliver more drug to the lung. Factoring in the fact that the lung architecture is already distorted due to the lung fibrosis, so we want to ensure that sufficient exposure is occurring in the setting of that differences in the architecture. If we recall that we have elevated the functional force vital capacity as a secondary endpoint, that was done intentionally because we believe that this could be a clear differentiating feature of this molecule in treating both the pH part and the lung disease part. And so assuming that we have positive results, not only would it be differentiating for us, but we would obviously have a discussion with regulators about potential mentioning of it or positioning of it in the product label. And maybe Bob would just want to comment on some of the commercial implications of this approach. Of the FVC?
Oh, okay, yeah. So commercially it would be a huge differentiator because right now, TIDASO looked at FVC as a safety endpoint in the study, whereas we're looking at it as an efficacy endpoint in the study, so that would be a significant commercial differentiator for serolutinib. And I also think, Patrick, importantly, and in conjunction with our partners at Kiesi, having an FVC signal on FVC would also be a significant barrier to entry in the European Union where no drugs are approved.
Thanks so much.
Thanks,
Patrick.
All right. Next up we have Laura Chico of Wedbush.
Hey, good afternoon. Thanks very much for taking the questions. I just have a couple here. First, and I apologize, I'm just trying to reconcile some of the commentary around the geographic split on recruitment and pro-cera and some of the commercial dialogue you've had there. How do you think about the types of patients that would be more suited for serolutinib presuming success in pro-cera versus a cetat or CEP patient? I'm just kind of curious, is there certain characteristics that might skew the market one whether? And then related to serinata, I think I missed this, but could you elaborate a little bit further? This is kind of blazing new trails here, so trying to understand the powering assumptions around the primary endpoint, I guess specifically on treatment effect and how you derive that. Thanks very much.
Yeah, on the commercial side, assuming positive pro-cera, we will launch serolutinib roughly three years after so-tad or CEP launched in the market. At that point, what you'll see is basically a market reset. So all of the prevalent patients that are currently out there will have tried so-tad or CEP, probably three quarters of them, not all patients are going to be good candidates for so-tad or CEP, but call it 70%. So by the time launch, you'll have this market reset where patients have been on so-tad or CEP, have come off so-tad or CEP that now have advanced in their progression of their disease. And that's kind of the large patient population that Fem spoke of before. So we could potentially look at having a 70 to 80% of the market opportunity out there because so-tad or CEP will probably have, say, 30% of the market in three years because of the discontinuation and just the normal progression of the market and the disease. In addition, I think there's a lot of interest as well to using both serolutinib and so-tad or CEP in combination. As Brian mentioned, we only have very few patients in the study on that combination, but there are data that are being looked at both pre-clinically and then we'll have a little bit of clinical data to suggest how these therapies could be used in combination.
So if I take my crystal ball out to say, let's fast forward to the time that we launched as Bob said, say early 2027, all the points that Bob made is exactly right. So what we're going to see is not only the patients that have tried so-tad or CEP failed, patients that weren't eligible for so-tad or CEP for one reason or another, and the patients who've been on so-tad or CEP and overall treatment has waned. Those patients that have been on so-tad or CEP that may still be on so-tad or CEP, but we're starting to see a waning of the effect. One can imagine doctors are going to be very encouraged to use combination therapy, especially given the pre-clinical evidence that's been generated thus far around the potential synergy between these two agents. But I think that serolutinib gets positioned as a drug to try first before serolutinib once we're in the market as we see newer patients coming in. I think that is the potential just because as you see it for the reasons I mentioned, to be able to see the potential to prevent longer-term progression, but also to be able to put these patients on a product with a safer profile, I think will be incredibly encouraging for docs. So I think it would be kind of an interesting marketing concept and positioning concept once we get approved.
So I could answer your question around some of the powering assumptions around our PHLD six-minute walk. So I think as you mentioned and as we stated, there's not a lot of precedent for randomized controlled trials, but we do have the increased trial that we could get the six-minute walk data from that particular trial. And so we had to do some extrapolations. Just add to maybe three points around trying to provide a framework and then I'll get into to the power assumptions that we did. So as I mentioned, this is a very sick population. They're going to have lower six-minute walks than group one. And furthermore, over the course of a trial, they're likely going to deteriorate much more in group one. And I want to go back and look at the increased trial. That was a 16-week trial. Our trial is 24 weeks. So the assumption here is that those that are randomized to placebo are likely going to get worse than even in the increased trial. So that's one factor. Related to that, then, as in the active arm, we have assumed at least a 30-meter difference, much like what we did for group one. But we have some latitude there. If it's less, likely more, we still have greater than 94, 95 percent power comparing the active arm versus placebo. And that's also assuming a standard deviation of about 70.
That's super helpful. Thank you,
guys. Thank you. All right. Next up, we have Ellie Murley of UBS.
So this is Jasmine on for Ellie. Congratulations on all the progress, and thanks so much for taking our question. So first, a follow-up to an earlier question, your comments. Are you allowing so-tatters to have drop-ins in Pracera? And then more generally, how are you thinking about how looking at a combination effect here could impact the opportunity commercially? And then secondly, can you just talk about the population you're aiming to enroll in serinata for PHILD? Do you think that similarly to PH, you'll see greater effects in the more severe range of patients here? Thanks.
Yeah, in terms of allowing patients who are on so-tatters into the Pracera study, we actually do allow for patients who are on so-tatters, but of course, in order for them to get into the study, they need to actually qualify for the study, which means there is a kind of a period where they need to be on stable medication. Richard, you can kind of outline the criteria for so-tatters at eligible patients.
Yeah, I mean, they have to be on background so-tatters for six months at a stable dose without changing due to hemoglobin or platelet changes, and then they still have to meet a PVR criteria of greater than 400 reveal like 2.0 risk score five or greater or a PVR greater than 800. Also after 24 weeks, right? Yeah, 24
weeks. Yeah, and so just given the kind of the stringent application of the entry criteria, we will probably just get a handful of patients on so-tatters that there really won't be a substantive number in the study given the timeframe under which it's been launched and the access to patients who have been on for six months as Richard just laid out. But so the short answer is yes, we allow so-tatters at patients in, but they got to qualify in the context of the entry criteria, which will equate to a small number. And then,
yeah, I could call this the target population for seronautics. Probably the best way to frame this is suggest to go back and look at the increased trial and their population. We have some similarities, but clearly some differences, and I can just highlight some of those differences. So first of all, our hemodynamic criteria are more shared. We have four wood units. For PVR, they had three wood units. That's because we do want to leverage the fact that there are more severe patients, and we would anticipate a greater treatment effect in those patients. In addition, we are targeting idiopathic interstitial pneumonia and IPF, systemic autoimmune disease-related pH, fibroidic interstitial pneumonitis, and occupational interstitial lung disease. Unlike increase, however, we're not allowing for a combined pulmonary fibrosis or emphysema. We're not allowing sarcoid either. And then we're much more stringent upon criteria around having CT scans reviewed by central reader and other things like that. So probably related to your question is do we anticipate the more severe population that we would also observe a greater treatment effect? I think the answer is yes to that question.
Great. That's helpful. So just to clarify, patients are not allowed to drop in or begin Zodhide or SEPT during the therapy process.
As far as dropping in with Zodhide or SEPT, no. When you are enrolled, you have to be on state therapy.
Great. Thanks so much for answering my questions.
Thank you.
All right. And our final question in queue today is Vimal Devan of Guggenheim.
Hi. This is Daniel on Bravamo. Thanks for taking our questions. So the first one is you described Serilutinum as a multi-billion dollar TH franchise potentially. Can you maybe compare the commercial opportunity for this drug in TH versus THLD? And then my second question is if you kind of go into more details around the expected geographic distribution of enrollment for the THLD trial, do you think it will be similar to what we saw in PAH with the majority seen internationally or is there less of a need for this imbalance without the wind-reveille dynamic at play?
Yeah, Bob? Yeah. So in terms of the multi-billion dollar opportunity, if you look at PAH, there's about 50,000 patients in the US. If you look at the current pricing of the newer therapies, obviously we haven't presented anything publicly, but if you look at the Sotatercept price, you quickly – Sotatercept right now is on about a billion and a half dollar rate in its second full year. Right now they're sitting at, I think, 5,800 patients or 5,200 patients have already started to get their first dose of the drug and that continues to grow. So you can see the opportunity within the PAH marketplace in terms of the number of patients and the potential price associated with it. In terms of the ILD-PH, that market is probably three to four times greater than PAH. Call it roughly, you know, real wide, 400,000, something like 400,000 patients. So again, and if you look at what Tyveso is doing with their price point and number of patients, despite a very high number of discontinuations on that therapy, their run rate in PHILD is roughly two billion. And Dan, if I could answer your question about geographic mix for serinona, I do think it will be similar to pro-serum anything. It may be an even larger contribution from the European Union and that's really a function. If you remember the dynamics in pro-serum is that, well, Sotatercept was not available in the European Union. There was an expectation that it was coming, so patients were saying, you know, I'll wait for Sotatercept before I go on a clinical trial. That dynamic doesn't exist because inhaled Tyveso has not been approved and there is, at least from what we can tell from looking at regulatory processes, there is not a plan for United's partner, Farrar, to get the drug registered in the European Union. So there is an even greater unmet medical need in Europe for PHILD therapies than there was for PH
therapies. So in summary, you've got a patient population, PHILD, that is much larger, significantly underserved with only one drug approved in the US being Tyveso. I think Tyveso is now available in a couple of other smaller jurisdictions, but for the So the unmet need is substantial and the opportunity, therefore, is also substantial.
Okay, great. Yeah, thank you very much.
Thanks. All right.
Any other questions in the queue, operator?
At this time, there are no further questions in queue.
Okay, I would just like to first off, thank everybody for your participation on this call. We've enjoyed the opportunity to be able to speak with you and be able to outline the progress that we've made on Prosera. We, of course, eagerly await the top line results from this study and for all the reasons that we've discussed today, we're very excited about the potential of Seralyte making a huge difference for patients. And I just want to end this call by first and foremost thanking this patient, contributed themselves to this study and to their physicians for having the confidence in Gosmer and Seralyte to entrust us with treating their patients, the ability to treat their patients. And lastly, I just want to thank the Gosmer organization for the tireless effort over the last couple of years to be able to get us to where we are today. So thank you all and we look forward to being able to talk to you again and certainly look forward to the top line results on Prosera. Thanks everybody.
And with that, ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude your call. You may now disconnect your lines and thank you again for joining us today.