Groupon, Inc.

Q1 2023 Earnings Conference Call

5/10/2023

spk00: Hello, and welcome to Groupon's first quarter 2023 financial results conference call. On the call today, our interim CEO, Dushan Sinkapul, and CFO, Yeri Ponert. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the company's formal remarks. To ask a question, press the star key followed by the number one on your touchtone phone. Once again, that's star one to ask a question. As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. Before we begin, Groupon would like to remind listeners that the following discussion and responses to your questions reflect management's views as of today, May 10, 2023 only, and will include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the company's forward-looking statements. Additional information about risks and other factors that could potentially impact the company's financial results are included in their earnings press release and in their filings with the SEC. including the quarterly report on Form 10-Q. We encourage investors to use Groupon's investor relations website at investor.groupon.com and as a way of easily finding information about the company. Groupon promptly makes available on this website the reports that the company files or furnishes with the SEC, corporate governance information, and select press releases and social media postings. On the call today, the company will also discuss the following non-GAAP financial measures, adjusted EBITDA, non-GAAP SG&A, and free cash flow and FX neutral results. In Groupon's press release and their filing for the SEC, each of which is posted on their investor relations website, you will find additional disclosures regarding these non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations of these measures to the most comparable measures under U.S. GAAPs. Unless otherwise noted, all comparisons are provided on an FX neutral basis. And with that, I'm happy to turn the call over to Dusan.
spk04: Hello, and thanks for joining us for our first quarter 2023 earnings call. It's a pleasure to be with all of you. In addition to today's prepared remarks, I encourage you to review our shareholder letter, press release, and 10Q, which contain more detail on our Q1 results. On our call today, I will cover four key topics. First, what I've learned during my first days at Groupon. Second, the challenges that we face as a company and our new transformation strategy that our team is executing on to address our challenges and make the most of our opportunities. Third, the highlights of our Q1 performance. And lastly, our outlook for 2023. Before I get started, I would like to briefly introduce myself. I am an entrepreneur by trade, and I have created several global e-commerce and technology products used by more than 250 million users. I built ePojištění CZ and Netbrokers Holding, a dominant fintech player with more than 400 employees, which was bought by a German media group Bauer Media in 2018. All my projects were bootstrapped, which means that it's my nature to build highly effective, agile, and performance-oriented companies. In 2015, I co-founded Pelfair Capital, an entrepreneurial investment firm that has grown rapidly to approximately $1 billion in net asset value and is currently Groupon's largest shareholder with ownership of approximately 22%. Its private equity portfolio includes almost 30 companies, including several marketplace companies. At Palefire, I served as a chairman and CEO and was responsible for leadership, strategy development, organizational design, go-to-market, and product development. Palefire also has a track record of successful transformations, including its investment in AUKRO, which is Central and Eastern Europe version of eBay.com, which increased the GMV by 2.4 times in three years, while maintaining healthy profitability. I am really proud of the approach we developed at Palefire to drive business transformations, and I am excited to bring my experience to help lead Groupon. Now, the reason I am telling you this is that my experiences make me what I am today. You will find me a leader who keeps things simple, keeps customers at the center of everything, short-term impatient and long-term patient, is not afraid of challenges and determined to beat them. I understand your disappointment with Groupon, and I want nothing but to be honest, transparent, and to deliver results. During my first 40 days as a CEO, I've listened to and learned a lot from our employees and our partners. I immersed myself into our products and technology, into our value proposition, and into how we meet the market's needs. Through all of these conversations, I've been struck by the opportunities we have internally to operate in a much more efficient and productive way. We can generate much higher output with the same or even less resources. My initial focus is to execute on these opportunities so that we have a solid base for future growth. I also acknowledge that we are facing challenges that we need to address and that you are all looking for responses from us. We recognize that turning our business around is going to be tough and that it won't happen overnight. This requires a focused transformation and requires that we leverage all of our assets. We have developed our transformation strategy by drawing inspiration from the principles of building a successful internet marketplace, what made Groupon a past success, And C, a Groupon clone in the Czech Republic which successfully completed its transformation from a daily deal discount flash site to a destination experience marketplace. Our transformation plan is built on eight strategic pillars that will provide focus, organize our teams, and drive momentum. These are, first, fix the supply side of our marketplace. Second, raise our product experience to modern marketplace standards. Third, tune our marketing engine towards lower final performance channels. Four, assemble a high-performance team with a focus on operational excellence. Fifth, rebuild our organization structure, business processes, and management systems. Six, create an efficient cost structure. Seven, leverage our other business lines to support local. And eight, improve our financial flexibility. Each of these pillars are detailed in our shareholders' letter, but I will say a few words on each here one by one. Firstly, fix the supply side of our marketplace. Everything starts with supply. If we vendorize supply, demand will follow. Our plan to fix the supply side of our marketplace involves Reinvirogor writing our merchant value proposition, returning to geo-focus and recommitting to a sales-driven marketplace. Groupon needs to improve its value proposition for merchant partners, as its current approach of heavy discounts and expensive deal margin structure has led to increased churn of its supply base. To strike a better balance between consumers, merchants and Groupon, The company aims to offer more flexible and dynamic partnership solutions that meet merchants' individual needs and marketing goals. This process will take at least 12 months to transition and achieve the right balance. Groupon has refocused on a geo-targeted approach to match local demand with local supply. Performance varies significantly across the top 30 markets, with some growing and others shrinking double digits year over year. By prioritizing merchant acquisition in our top five North American markets, we see early encouraging signs and believe we can execute more consistently and drive better performance as we return focus to running our marketplace at the local level. Finally, we consider our Salesforce critical for securing unique supply on our platform, but in 2022, Sales for compensation exceeded gross profit on most of our new supply in North America, with only 20% of new local deals selling more than 10 units. To improve our ROI, we are unifying our sales leadership, implementing a new compensation plan, and centralizing our global sales operations. Our second strategic pillar is raising our product experience to modern marketplace standards. Improving the technology infrastructure is a key part of Groupon's transformation strategy to enhance customer and merchant partner experience. The current product offering falls short of modern marketplace standards, resulting in an unattractive ROI despite high resource allocation. Groupon has taken steps to right-size the tech organization and increase focus on product development, including an ambitious hackathon initiative to quickly launch product improvements, such as verification, personalization, and generative AI-assisted deal creation. Our third strategic pillar is to tune our marketing engine to focus on lower funnel performance channels. In Q1, Groupon improved the efficiency over marketing spend by focusing on lower funnel performance channels and shifting away from incrementality to ROI targets. This resulted in a decrease in marketing spend as a percentage of gross profits, but gains in efficiency, especially in search engine marketing. Groupon is now focused on improving returns in performance channels before returning to mid and upper funnel channels. Our fourth strategic pillar, assemble a high-performance team with a focus on operational excellence. Attracting top talent is crucial to Groupon's success, and the company is seeking individuals who are detail-oriented, proactive, and customer-focused. Groupon has recently hired talent through Pelfair Capital's network in the Czech Republic, and is also actively recruiting both inside and outside the company. The goal is to create a winning team passionate about Groupon's mission and committed to driving change. Our fifth strategic pillar, rebuild our organization structure, business processes, and management systems. Groupon is prioritizing operational excellence and is making changes to ensure a strong management team and operating systems are in place. The organization is becoming flatter and cleaner to enable faster execution of high priority projects, breaking down silos and implementing a performance culture with metrics and KPIs. We have also improved our management system by reducing meetings and implementing a modern project management tool. Our sixth strategic pillar, create an efficient cost structure. Groupon sees opportunities to improve efficiencies through automation, simplification, and implementation of AI tools to reduce costs. The company is reviewing large and small categories of spend and is on track to exit the year with a non-GAAP SG&A run rate of 290 million. We believe we can improve our bottom line by implementing proper organization structure and a mindset of frugality. Our seventh strategic pillar, leverage our other categories to support local. We plan to shift our merchandising strategy in goods and travel categories to complement our experiential value proposition and mission to be the ultimate destination for local experiences and services. In goods, we will offer seasonal trends and inspirational gifts. while travel will pursue experiential travel by creating packages that include attractions and accommodations. Our goal is to create a portfolio of experience offerings with balance acquisition, retention, engagement, and margin to unlock the synergy potential of our horizontal marketplace business model. Our eighth strategic pillar, improving our financial flexibility. Groupon has taken steps to improve its financial foundation through a January restructuring announcement and March amendment to its credit facility, among other plans. The company believes it will have sufficient liquidity to meet its obligation in the next year and is exploring strategies to further enhance its liquidity position, such as cost savings, additional financing, and potential monetization of non-core assets. Let's now look back at Q1. We had a disappointing quarter for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. While Jiří will provide more details later, our first quarter 2023 billings and revenue were down 14% and 21% year over year. We generated negative 5 million in adjusted EBITDA and free cash outflow of 86 million. These results indicate the business is facing serious challenges that we must address as a company and underscore the need to implement a significant and urgent transformation. Lastly, our outlook for 2023 and beyond. 2023 will be an important year. We have a lot of work to do and the results will take time. I will make sure that in 2023, we transformed the company and laid the foundation for our long-term success. As I spoke about earlier, the key objective for the long-term health of the business is to fix the supply side of our marketplace. Finding the right balance with our merchant partners will make our business more healthy and sustainable over time. Within this long-term context, we took a realistic view on the 2023 business. As a result, I expect our second quarter revenues to decline year-over-year at a similar rate to what we observed in the first quarter. And while we expect our third and fourth quarter to decline year-over-year, I would expect to see a slight improvement in the rate of declines in each quarter. As our transformation strategy takes hold, we expect to see an increase in year-over-year local billings by early 2024. Though our revenue growth trends may diverge from our local billing trends depending on the trajectory of our other categories and the timing of our transformation strategy. When I next communicate in about 90 days, I intend to provide more details to help you monitor our progress towards our priorities. I am a firm believer in transparent communication and dialogue with all stakeholders. I strongly believe in delivering on our commitment and doing what we say we will do. I will therefore strive to be as open as possible in discussions with all of you to provide regular updates on our progress towards our strategic, operational and finance goals. With that, I will turn it over to Jiří to provide some insights on our financial performance. But before I do that, let me provide a few words of introduction. Jiří Ponert is a highly regarded leader, evidenced by his successful career as CFO of Alza CZ one of the biggest e-commerce players in Central and Eastern Europe. He brings to Groupon the experience and tenacity we need to help us fulfill our potential. I've worked closely with him during our time together at Palefire, and I look forward to partnering with him as he takes on the role of CFO.
spk07: Thanks, Dusan, and thank you as well to everyone who is joining us today. It's a pleasure to be here speaking with you. I will use my time today to provide further insights into our first quarter operating and financial results, progress on our cost saving actions, and factors to consider for the remainder of the year. Before I begin, I would like to briefly introduce myself and share a few initial observations I had on our business. I joined Groupon less than a month ago. Before that, I acted as a group CFO of Pelfar Capital. During Q1 2023, I helped the board with its oversight of our finance function, so I had some opportunity to orient myself to the Groupon finance department. A big part of the Groupon CFO scope is familiar to me, as I acted for more than seven years as the CFO of AUSA CZ, one of the major Central European e-commerce players with a turnover of about 2 billion US dollars. During my time with Groupon, I have learned that there are legacy systems and processes from the company's quick and acquisitive growth at its onset that I believe can be further streamlined. So my priorities, apart from more focus on management and decision making, will be focus on liquidity and cash flow management, simplification of the structure and processes, as well as their alignment across departments, and automatization of processes. So, let's jump into the consolidated first quarter results. We delivered 396 million of gross billings, 122 million of revenues, 105 million of gross profit and negative 5 million of adjusted EBITDA. First quarter pre-cash outflow was 86 million and we ended the quarter with 164 million in cash. including 48 million drawn on the revolver, and we had over 18 million active customers worldwide. Turning to our local category, consolidated local blinks were 316 million, down 8% compared with the prior year. Within North America, we delivered local blinks of 222 million, down 11%, and had 9 million active local customers as of March 31st, 2023, down 2% sequentially and 19% year over year. Within international, we deliver local blinks of 94 million, flat compared with the prior year, and had 5 million active local customers, flat sequentially, and up 2% year over year. Moving to our goods and travel category. In the first quarter, consolidated goods billings were 46 million, down 35%, and consolidated travel billings were 35 million, down 11%. Turning to our operating expenses, First quarter gap SG&A was 102 million and down 20%, compared with the prior year, as we began to see the benefits of our recent cost-saving actions reflected in our financials. Our non-gap SG&A, which excludes stock-based compensation and depreciation and amortization, was 92 million, down 17% year over year. As a reminder, We completed our migration to the cloud in the first quarter of 2023 and remain committed to significantly reducing our cloud costs over time, which will be complemented by lower payroll expenses resulting from the cost-saving actions we announced in January. During the first quarter 2023, we incurred $9 million in one-time pre-tax charges related to our restructuring plan. Marketing expense for the first quarter was $25 million, or 24% of gross profit. As we continue to deliver improvements to our fundamental marketplace experience, we believe we can get more out of our marketing dollars. Our goal is to sustain our marketing expense to below 25% of gross profit in 2026. Turning to our cash position. We ended the quarter with $164 million in cash, including $48 million drawn on the revolver. In the first quarter, we had net operating cash outflows of $76 million, including $10 million one-time payment for hourly termination of our Chicago offices. As a reminder, We typically experience networking output in the first quarter of the year due to seasonality and our normal merchant payment cycles. We also repay 27 million of borrowings under our revolving credit facility during the quarter. In the second half of 2022, we completed a majority of cost actions related to phase one of our restructuring plan, which is expected to remove 150 million from the business. And earlier this year we begin executing of the second phase of our plan and are on track to substantially complete these actions by the end of Q2. In total we expect these cost actions will reduce our expense structure by 250 million. These cost actions as well as our March amendment to our credit facility, examples of steps Groupon has taken towards improving its financial foundation to support our transformation this year. With these actions and additional management plans, we believe we will have sufficient liquidity to meet our obligations as they become due over the next 12 months. Groupon continues to hold a 2.29% equity stake in the privately held global payment provider, SumUp. As a reminder, we reflect the value of these stakes as well as other minority investments on our balance sheet. The current value for this investment is approximately 120 million. While there is no public market for SumUp securities at this time, if an opportunity arises to monetize this asset, we would consider this path going forward. To help you with your models, let me walk you through how these savings are expected to translate to our P&L during 2023. We begin to see these cost savings during the first quarter of 2023 and estimate full year non-GAAP 2023 HNA to be approximately $320 million. Beyond 2023, we will be able to leverage our annual non-GAAP SG&A area rate expenses to be approximately 290 million. Given we are in the midst of executing our turnaround strategy, we are not providing formal guidance at this time. In light of this, we are providing more details on our expectations for the year. As Dušan mentioned, we expect our second quarter revenues to decline year over year at a similar rate to what we observed in the first quarter. And while we expect our third and fourth quarter to decline year over year, I would expect to see a slight improvement in the rate of declines each quarter. As our transformation strategy takes hold, we expect to see an increase by early 2024, so our revenue growth trends might diverge from our local billing trends depending on the trajectory of our other categories and the timing of our transformation strategy. Turning to profitability, we do expect to generate positive adjusted EBITDA for the remainder of the year. the benefits of our structuring actions more meaningful. On free cash flow, our ability to convert positive adjusted EBITDA to positive free cash flow will depend on the timing of our working capital cycle and other cash expenses. As a reminder, our working capital has historically been impacted by seasonality, with our first quarter generally experiencing a large negative working capital impact and our fourth quarter experience is positive working typically. Given our current equity market valuation, our sum up stake and our operating plan focus on unlocking both top line growth and expense savings, we believe we can create value for all of our stakeholders as we continue to execute our strategy of transformation. Thank you for your time today. With that, we would like to open the call up for your questions.
spk05: Operator?
spk00: Thank you. If you would like to ask a question on the phone lines today, you can press star 1 on your telephone keypad. To remove yourself from the queue, that is star 1 again. We'll take our first question from Trevor Young with Barclays.
spk02: great thanks too if i may first one just any color on on north america and international local billings in march and so far into 2q i think the data points that we had last print were that january and february were trending around 46 of 2019 levels and it looks like full quarter results was a little bit softer than that but maybe some fx noise in there so just trying to understand whether you know trends deteriorated in march and where we are so far in april and then second question um Appreciate the comments and the letter, you know, evaluating strategies to enhance liquidity. Investors naturally migrate to that sum-up stake, and I realize there's no, you know, active market for that. But can you just help us understand if there's any, like, restrictions or impediments that would prevent you from monetizing that in the next three to six months if there were, you know, a sufficient bid from, you know, some party?
spk06: Okay.
spk07: Hi. About the local buildings in North America, we had for Q1 222 million US dollars, which was down 14% quarter over quarter and 11% year over year. And to your second question about balance sheet and summer pension, Yeah, we can imagine potential monetization of certain non-core assets, including our stake in the sum up, ownership of gift cards or our portfolio of intellectual property, the same way as we are pursuing additional cost actions or seeking additional financing from both public and private markets.
spk05: Okay, thank you.
spk00: We'll take our next question from Eric Sheridan with Goldman Sachs.
spk01: Thanks so much for taking the questions. Two, if I could, just coming back to the eight strategic pillars you laid out, I wanted to hone in on number two and number three. So in terms of how you might want to invest and arc or change the product experience to align it with modern marketplace standards, I'd love to go a little deeper there on what you see as some of the key white spaces to attack or areas of investment to possibly leverage pursue, and then the second would be your third pillar. How should we be thinking about sort of arcing or changing the marketing engine inside the company to align more closely with lower funnel performance channels? How should we think about that in terms of either investments that need to get made or possibly changing some of the user funnel and user conversion pathways that the marketplace has had over time? Thanks so much.
spk06: Okay. Thanks for the question.
spk03: Regarding the first part, raising our product experience to modern marketplace standards, as one of the first initiatives which we started when I joined the Groupon, is that we launched a hackathon project which includes a big part of our engineering team and which is developing several major changes to our user experience which we have on our website. And we are making sure that pretty much all processes that we have on Groupon will be smooth and reflect friction than we have right now. And one example of change which we are developing is, for example, the use of generative AI, which we will be using for our sales service for our merchants, but also for our sales team. Right now, the whole process is like several humans achieved. And let's say the quality of deals which are generated through top service in general is lower or they are lower performing compared to deals which are created by agents. And using the AI, we are able to base on the website of the merchant and experience from our own data set and from similar campaigns from similar categories to generate the output which will be much higher quality, which means that the whole setup for merchants will be much more simple. And we have many more examples in development on checkout page and experience of customers on the website. So this is the first pillar. The second question on marketing engine and tuning up the engine towards the lower funnel performance channels. We are kind of revisiting the setup of all performance marketing channels which we have, and we are trying to put there a little bit more of a geofocus and a little bit more of measurement of performance in a small PC, small location so that we can adjust the spend and spend, let's say, higher spend towards the campaigns and deals which are higher performing versus the rest.
spk00: Thank you. And this does conclude today's presentation and the question and answer session. Thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-