Ferroglobe PLC

Q3 2023 Earnings Conference Call

11/8/2023

speaker
Operator
Thanks, Sandra. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining Ferroglobe's third quarter 2023 conference call. Joining me today are Marco Levy, our chief executive officer, and Beatriz Garcia-Cost, our chief financial officer. Before we get started with some prepared remarks, I'm going to read a brief statement. Please turn to slide number two at this time. Statements made by management during this conference call that are forward-looking are based on current expectations. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements can be found in Ferroglobe's most recent SEC filings and the exhibits to those filings, which are available on our website at ferroglobe.com. In addition, this discussion includes references to EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted gross debt, net debt, and adjusted diluted earnings per share, among other non-IFRS measures. Reconciliation of non-IFRS measures may be found in our most recent SEC filings. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Marco Levy, our Chief Executive Officer. Next slide, please.
speaker
Sandra
Thank you, Alex, and good morning, good day, and good evening to everyone. Thanks for joining us on the call today. We appreciate your interest in Ferroglobe. Since I joined Ferroglobe almost four years ago, we have focused on revamping the business and operations by optimizing the cost structure, improving the balance sheet, and positioning the company for growth. During this time, we increased adjusted EBITDA from $33 million in 2020 to $860 million in 2022. And we are on track to meet our 2023 guidance of $270 to $300 million in a period of extremely weak demand, declining market pricing for five quarters in a row, coupled with unprecedented macro uncertainty. we reduced our gross debt from $473 million at the end of 2015 to a return level of $237 million, significantly strengthening our balance sheet and approaching the target that we indicated more than a year ago. The dramatic improvement in performance has been the result of our cost-cutting efforts and various initiatives focused on improving efficiencies and driving sales productivity, such as focusing on higher-margin specialty products, which has ultimately made us more competitive in the marketplace. Although we continue emphasizing continuous improvement and further cost reductions, the initial optimization phase of our plan is essentially complete, and our leverage objective has been reached. We are now focused on positioning the company to lead the silicon metal industry in addressing the solar and the electrical battery market, which we believe represents an enormous opportunity for Fair Work. Recent legislation in the US and Europe has provided incentives to increase on shoring, which will further benefit Ferroglobe with its strong presence in these regions and worldwide production capabilities. At the same time, we are looking to maximize the value of our manganese and silicon-based alloy businesses. On primary requirements to produce advanced silicon metal, that is needed for these growth and market applications is access to high-quality quartz. To ensure access to reliable supply, we recently completed the acquisition of a high-quality quartz mine located in South Carolina. This quartz supply will support our silicon metal production plants in the U.S. as we position the company to benefit from the circular growth in solar and EV batteries. The South Carolina mine has annual production capacity of roughly 300,000 tons with an expected reserve life of at least 10 years. Our current quartz mine in Alabama has annual capacity of about 200,000 with approximately three years of mine life remaining. We expect to be in production at the new mine in the second half of 2024. Not only will this increase our self-reliance on quartz for our current needs, but also for the coming years, I see because metal demand in U.S. is expected to grow significantly. In fact, We believe that North America will have a structural shortage of silicon metal in the next two to three years. Our total investment is expected to be around $15 million, including $11 million for the property, plus an additional $4 million for infrastructure, mainly rail access, a processing facility, and a loadout. We anticipate the cost structure to be favorable, approximately 10-15% lower than the current cost in our Alabama mine, and its proximity to our operations secures the long-term competitiveness of our U.S. footprint. One of Fairglobe's key differentiators is our backward integration, where we have access to critical materials needed for the production of our products. In addition to the quartz mine just purchased in South Carolina, we also have other mines supporting our production facilities around the world, ensuring that we have access to high-quality quartz. In Europe, we have the Cerabal Quartz Mine in Spain, which supplies primarily to Spain and France. We have rise to operate this mine until 2038. And in South Africa, we have several quartz mines supplying our operations there. Overall, our mine supply over 70% of our internal needs, a key competitive advantage in managing our costs and assuring reliable availability of this gear material. Having a stable supply of high-quality quartz is essential in addressing the solar and EV battery market. which we expect to be a significant long-term opportunity for the company. In batteries, high purity silicon provides significant advantages over graphite in battery anodes, such as increasing battery capacity and reducing charging time. As the percentage of silicon content in the next generation batteries continues to increase, we expect to see a dramatic increase in demand for high-quality silicon metal. In line with our focus on solar and EV batteries, we continue to actively develop partnerships and alliances to position us to maximize our participation in these growth opportunities. These prospective partnerships are aligned with our strategic vision and seek to enhance our capabilities within our core areas of expertise. Our focus with these partnerships is to further enhance our position in developing our purity silicone metal that is used in advanced solar and battery markets, including vertical integration, further advancing the technologies or using different approaches in our production process that improve our decarbonization initiatives. Our objective in securing these partnerships is to enhance our market leadership in the value-added silicon metal sector. One recent development worth paying attention to relates to China, the largest graphite exporter which recently announced that it's curbing exports of certain graphite materials used in batteries, putting upward pressure on graphite anode prices. We believe this restrictive action by China will accelerate the shift towards increased use of silicon in anodes, especially in light of its superior performance. In solar, We are positioning Ferroglobe to be the leading provider of silicon used in solar panels. Giving worldwide effort to transition to green energy, we expect significant demand in solar for years to come. Our opportunity in solar is amplified by increasing on showing trends in North America and Europe to expand local supply of these critical materials. Recent legislation including the Inflation Reduction Act, the CHIPS Act, and the European Grain Initiatives, will drive significant demand in this market. Ferroglobe's market leadership and worldwide distribution push us to benefit from these trends. In our ongoing efforts to access a stable supply of power in Spain, we signed an additional PPA that locks in an increased portion of energy for the coming years. This agreement has a term of three and a half years and became effective on November 1st. This PPA, combined with two we signed last quarter, are expected to allow us to produce higher volumes in Spain to serve our customers during the winter months when our facilities in France are idle. Our facilities in North America continue to benefit from favorable U.S. policies. In September, a bipartisan bill was introduced in the U.S. Senate to enact a 35% tariff on imports of Russian and Belarusian oil. We believe this is a very positive trend for the American industry and employees, showing the U.S. commitment to increase reliance on friendly supply chain participants. While we are excited about the long-term outlook, the near-term visibility remains open. Prices for our products continue to be weak, and demand remains subdued. Recently, there has been commentary from various market participants, cheating weakness in the solar energy and market. Higher interest rates have negatively impacted demand for electric vehicles, and recent commentary from auto manufacturers indicate a very competitive market with increased pricing pressure. While there is currently weakness in this market, we are focused on the significant long-term opportunity. The EV market, battery market, sorry, is expected to be driven more by the increasing content of silicon in the anode. and less by short-term supply-demanding balances. The solar opportunity is expected to be driven by increased government incentives and the focus on onshoring the supply of silicon metal, a critical material for solar cell production. Our integrated asset footprint, combined with favorable long-term market trends and supporting U.S. and European legislative actions, paints a bright future for Fresno's future in the coming years. I am very pleased with our operations of how our operation has been performing in the first quarter. We are executing at a high level in nearly all our locations, as evidenced by the fact that our plant's efficiency is at the highest level in 30 years. The efficiency of our furnaces is very strong, and we are navigating with the energy landscape exceptionally well in all regions, with the exception of Spain, as we modulate production based on advantageous energy prices. This was made possible by the efficient management of our capital expenditures over the past couple of years. After an extensive evaluation, we made a decision to implement the capital allocation policy and plan to announce details of our capital return in the first quarter of 2024. At the same time, we are reiterating our 2023 guidance of $270 to $300 million. We are not immune to the current soft market conditions and anticipate the fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA to come in below the third quarter results. Next slide, please. Silicon metal revenue was $199 million in Q3, up from $195 million in Q2, an increase of 2% adjusted EBITDA for this segment remaining strong, down only 2% from the prior quarter. Volumes increased 13% over the previous quarter to approximately 57,000 tons, driven by strong shipments in North America. Our average realized price of silicon metal sales decreased by 10% compared to the previous quarter, driven by lower index pricing in the US and Europe. This price decline negatively impacted adjusted EBITDA by $19 million. We continue to benefit from our energy agreement in France and in direct CO2, which together contributed roughly half of the cost benefits, with lower material costs being the next largest contributing factor, primarily coal. As for silicon metal outlook, the market continues to show muted demand and the lack of liquidity due to macroeconomic uncertainty. affecting both the chemical and the aluminum sector. While we are positive about long-term opportunities for silicon metal, we expect demand to remain weak in the near term, particularly in Western markets. This weakness is partially offset by our expansion into new markets, such as Asia, where we have started actively participating in their solar value chain. Next slide, please. Silicone-based alloys revenue was $115 million in Q3, down from $133 million, a decrease of 14%, primarily driven by weaker prices. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $25 million, down 20% from the prior quarter. Sales volumes. declined by 6% to 46,000 tons, and average realized pricing was down 8% over the same period, negatively impacting EBITDA by $10 million. Relative to the previous quarter, silicon alloys benefited from lower material costs, which was the largest contributor to cost improvements. The silicon alloy segment was adversely affected by the weak steel sector in U.S. and Europe, partially upset by the strong special difference of silicon sales into the electrical steel market. In addition, our sales into diverse segments such as foundries have been more resilient. Next slide, please. Turning now to manganese-based alloys. Manganese base and lowest revenue was $59 million in Q3, down 25% over the prior quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $11 million, up from $1 million in the prior quarter. Sales volumes were down 10% over the prior quarter, negatively impacting adjusted EBITDA by $43 million. while average realized pricing was down 16% at the same period, which negatively impacted EBITDA by $11 million. This was offset by higher energy and CO2 compensation in France and lower Langanese oil prices. The yen market, primarily steel, remained under pressure with a lack of visibility in 2024. Within the construction segment, we expect incremental improvement in the first half of next year as a result of a seasonal uptick in demand. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Beatriz Garcia-Cost, our CFO, to review the financial results in more detail. Beatriz.
speaker
Alex
Thank you, Marco. Please turn to slide nine for a review of the income statement. Sales in the third quarter declined approximately 9% from $456 million the prior quarter to $470 million. The decline in Q3 was primarily due to weak pricing and lower volumes in our silicon alloy and manganese alloy segments. at higher volumes in silicon metal. Silicon metal volumes was up 13% over the prior quarter. The increase in volumes in Q3 was primarily due to stronger shipments in North America, while declines in silicon alloys and manganese alloys were a result of weak end markets, particularly steel. Average realized prices lowered across all product categories. as a result of continued price decline in index prices. The material and energy consumption cost improved during the third quarter to $196 million, down from $229 million in the prior quarter, or 47% of sales versus 50% prospective. This improvement was driven primarily by our energy agreement in France. The energy agreement provides a benefit of approximately $56 million in the third quarter. We expect an additional benefit in the fourth quarter. In addition, raw materials, primarily coal, benefit from lower prices in the third quarter. Staff costs in the third quarter increase to $84 million. up from $75 million in the second quarter. Operating profit in the third quarter was $75 million versus $63 million in the second quarter. Operating margins were 18% in Q3, up from 14% in the prior quarter. Net finance expenses in the third quarter were $9 million, up from $1 million in the prior quarter. The increase over the prior quarter was a result of the cold premium related to the $150 million partial reduction of senior notes and the accounting impact. In addition, in the second quarter, we had a long time to work of accrued interest of one of our government loans. We expect net financial expenses to decrease going forward, consistent with the significant reduction of our gross debt. Next slide, please. Our adjusted every year in the third quarter was $104 million versus $106 million in the second quarter. Adjusted every year margins increased to 25% in the third quarter, up from 23% in the second quarter. Volumes provide a benefit of $8 million, primarily driven by higher volumes in silicon metal, which increased 13% over the prior quarter, partially offset by volume declines in zinc alloys and manganese alloys, which declined by 6% and 10%, respectively. Prices in the third quarter were weak across the board, with the overall average realized price declining 11%. Weakened markets with pricing pressures across our three segments result in a negative impact of $37 million on our assets every year. Cost has a positive impact on adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter versus the second quarter, primarily driven by our energy agreement in France as well as lower raw material costs, primarily coal. Next slide, please. We end the third quarter with a cash balance of $166 million, down from $363 million in the second quarter. This decline reflects the redemption of the $150 million of the 9.375 senior secured notes during the third quarter. This redemption will save the company approximately $14 million in annual interest costs. As a result of the reduction, total adjusted gross debt declined to $237 million, down from $400 million in the second quarter. This is a record low for Federal Globe. Debt debt increased to $71 million, up from $37 million, primarily to increase working capital. Next slide, please. During the third quarter, cash used by operations was $9 million versus $24 million of cash generated in Q2. The primary factors impacting our cash flow include a $51 million impact from working capital and non-cash items of $44 million. These non-cash items, more energy benefits, are expected to boost our cash position in the first quarter of 2024. CAPEX in the third quarter was $19 million versus $23 million in the prior quarter. Lastly, cash flow from financing activities in the third quarter was negative $171 million versus positive $19 million in the second quarter. The negative cash flow from financing activity was the result of the bond redemption and associated premium call. Next slide, please. At this time, I will turn the call back over to Marco.
speaker
Sandra
Thank you, Beata. It's moving to the corporate update on slide 14, please. As we already discussed during the call, The strategic acquisition of high-quality quartz mines ensures that we remain self-sufficient in North America, enabling us to take advantage of the significant solar and EV battery growth in the coming years. We completed an additional long-term PPA in Spain to enable us to reduce costs and increase production in Spain. We are actively looking to add more PPAs. We are pleased to receive continued government and legislative support in the U.S., highlighted by the recent introduction of the U.S. Senate bill to enact a 35% tariff on imported silicon from Russia and Belarus. Also, the inclusion of silicon as a critical material, as discussed last quarter, is expected to benefit us going forward as it encourages local supply chain development. In January of this year, we reached an agreement to divest the Chateau Cahiers property in France to Swiss Steel Group. Last week, on October 31st, the transaction was officially completed. This is the final step in the original footprint optimization process that we started three years ago. Through our innovation and technological advancement, we are able to produce high-quality silicones. which has enabled us to expand our market opportunity into the advanced technological portion of the silicon metal business. In line with this strategy, we recently added a new large global customer, increasing our presence in Asia. Finally, we provide more details about our capital allocation policy on our first quarter earnings goal in February.
speaker
Martin
We will now start the question and answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To answer your question, please press star one and one again. We will now take the first question from the line of Lucas Pipes from B Reilly Securities. Please go ahead.
speaker
Marco
Thank you so much, operator. Good morning, everyone, and congratulations on good results in what I understand is a tough environment. Marco, Beatrice, my first question is on the capital allocation point. Mark, if I heard you right just there at the end, you expect to provide details on the fourth quarter results update call in February. And I wondered, can you maybe share at this time what are some of the key items you're still looking to address or determine, I assume with the board too, between now and then? Thank you very much.
speaker
Sandra
Well, in a nutshell, we believe that it is the right time to implement a prudent capital allocation policy. Our balance sheet is much stronger than it was in the past. Our gross debt is pretty close to the $200 million dollars that we mentioned several times. We are in a difficult, extremely difficult market condition, but we are extremely confident on our medium and long-term opportunities. So we really think it's the right time to implement this policy. This implies, of course, two scenarios. Either we pay down the remaining bonds or we cut an agreement with the current bondholders. But we're going to do one of the two and we are going to finalize our policy by February, I think it's February 22nd, the date when we are going to disclose our policy, which is going to be in place, I expect, starting second quarter of next year.
speaker
Marco
That's helpful. And so in terms of paying down the bonds, is part of the dynamic here that you had some working capital uses during Q3 and that maybe cash flow is going to improve between now and then, that you have more flexibility to just pay those bonds down as an alternative to an agreement?
speaker
Sandra
Let me tell you and then I will elaborate on that, but in a nutshell, we We are in a healthy position. We are going to be in a healthier position in the first quarter. And we think that when you consider the balance of the cash that we have available, the cash that we are going to generate, releasing working capital, we are going to be in a good position either to pay completely down the bonds or to pay most of this part and still have the right level of cash to run the company.
speaker
Alex
Yeah, maybe just to add on that point, I think the overall that what we plan to do in February we are thinking in a nominal dividend and maybe an opportunistic share buyback, right? But as Marco said, we will provide more details on our policy in February. And over time, as we have been repeatedly saying, we expect share buybacks to be larger than dividends if our shares continue to be undervaluated as they are today.
speaker
Marco
Thank you very much, both of you, for those details. I want to touch on another theme, and that is the market environment and your contract process. So if I understand correctly, you're in the market with your customers. You negotiate offtake commitments. There might be ceilings, there might be floors. I understand there are always lags to spot prices, but in the current environment, how are those conversations going? What visibility do you have on the volume side, on the price side for 2024 at this stage? Thank you very much.
speaker
Sandra
This is a broad question, Lucas. Let me say that clearly we come from five quarters where in the market we have seen index deterioration and for most of the product weakening demand. Maybe it would be a section of silicon metal that I think was particularly low in the first quarter of this year based on what we could see. We don't see the current market conditions improving short-term in the coming couple of quarters, but we expect some improvement on demand and as a consequence of pricing in the second half of the year. We are fully involved in the contract negotiations for next year. Our overall balance between contract and volumes, spot volumes have not changed in more or less 50-50, 50% contracted, 50% in the open market. In Silicon, when you exclude the joint venture volumes, the contracts cover 51%, the quarterly contracts 12%, the six-month contracts 24%. So there is very little left. for the spot business, which tells you that the liquidity is not there. The liquidity index for us in the West is mainly aluminum. In ferro-silicon, 63% is contracted like in manganese alloys. At the end, most of the volume goes to steel. 24%, 26% go to quarterly contracts, and the rest is for business. So this is the current picture. Customers are clearly extremely cautious in committing volumes, but we have already closed the contracts with most of our large accounts.
speaker
Marco
Thank you very much for that. And just to follow up in terms of price, is it right to think that it is floating with various lags, but you're not locked in to lower prices for next year due to the fact that prices are lower today when you've closed some of these negotiations?
speaker
Sandra
You're right, Lucas. We are still, in physical metal, we are still, the contracts are based on index and get adjusted quarterly. So this is why I mentioned that we expect the last quarter being weaker than Q3. uh same fate for for for ferro silicon and manganese alloys so that the prices are under pressure but see the when you look at the at the different value centers when you look at the cost of kilo materials the energy cost and the transformation cost overall in the industry prices reflect pretty close to the cost position for most of the players. So I don't think, and the pressure on coal is still there, the pressure on energy is still there in a lot of countries. So I expect that sooner or later prices are going to improve during 2024.
speaker
Marco
Marco, I really appreciate your comments. I have more questions, but I'll jump back in queue in the meantime. Continue best of luck. Thank you.
speaker
Sandra
All right, Lucas. Thank you.
speaker
Martin
Thank you. As a reminder, it is star one on one if you wish to ask a question. We will now take the next question. From the line of Martin Englert from Seaport Research Partners, please go ahead.
speaker
Marco
Hello. Good afternoon, everyone.
speaker
Martin
Thanks for a moment for questions here. I wanted to discuss silicon metal ASPs. They did remain strong relative to market index prices. Can you discuss the components of this? Is there a bit more of a premium mix or something more favorable about the South Africa volume contribution or something else going on here?
speaker
Sandra
Yes, Martin, as you know, most of the price is linked to our contracts, and most of our contracts are in the chemical sector and now in the solar sector. So the price dynamic is dictated mainly by these components. we are less present being less present in the spot transactional business we are less exposed to the more commoditized business which is aluminum related so uh we we suffer like anybody else out of the price pressure but the index effect allows us to to enjoy an overall better average price than others.
speaker
Martin
Okay, thank you for that. Coming back to order books and what you're seeing, volumes and expectations around seasonality when thinking about fourth quarter across the business segments, can you discuss what you're seeing there and expecting?
speaker
Sandra
In terms of trend, I see a similar trend to Q4 of last year and Q1 of this year, with us slowing down some of the production in Western Europe already during this quarter, shutting down production in France in the first quarter, of next year. This is in terms of operations. In terms of demand, we don't see short-term any resurrection of demand except for a couple of trends that we need to watch, which are related to the rebound of Partial rebound expected in the construction business that has been down for a long time. And we need to watch what happens in China. Both the measures that they're taking to reinvigorate the economy. So these two things might have... a positive impact on overall demand to be seen. At this stage, we are quite conservative on our volume estimates, so we are planning for volumes, for a volume level that we have seen in the recent quarters.
speaker
Martin
Thank you for that. Could you review your comment on year-to-date EBITDA and then you had a specific on fourth quarter, I think relative to first quarter EBITDA. I just didn't catch that earlier.
speaker
Sandra
Well, I'm not sure I understand your question. We closed the first half of the year at $155 million EBITDA. We are the one of four in Q3, so we are at 259. So we feel pretty comfortable to close the year on the high side of our guidance. This is what I can say. If you your question covers, I think you are close about first quarter 2024 we are in the middle of of the budgeting process, of course, we are like everybody else we're facing a lot of challenges, right because Pricing during this year has been going down. So we need to make our assumptions for next year and And like we already said in the previous calls, the very favorable impact of the energy contract in France of this year will not be so big next year due to the fact that market price for energy is lower compared to the beginning of this year. Pricing, we are at the bottom. We are going to have still a very competitive position in France, but less advantage than this year. On the other side, I think we are looking with a lot of optimism at our increased sales position in Asia of silicon metal. So these are the main factors. The other key positive that I want to mention is that the fact that, and I already mentioned that in my presentation, is that we have spent CapEx very well in the last two years. You know that in the last two years we spent 75, 80 million dollars of CapEx versus 30, 35 in the previous couple of years. Well, our plan has run much better, like I said, in my presentation, so we have the opportunity to count on more viable assets, and this is going to give us much more flexibility in terms of volume allocation.
speaker
Martin
Appreciate the optionality on the production footprint there. Thanks for highlighting that again. One last one, if I could. You did provide annual EBITDA guidance for this year. Is that something that you've determined internally that you'll provide again for the upcoming year, or was that a one-off?
speaker
Sandra
Well, we would provide guidance. We haven't decided yet which guidance because we are working, like I said, on the budget, revising our business plans, and we We will need to discuss with our board, but I think once you have started giving guidance, you have to continue to give us certain guidance. So we will do that.
speaker
Martin
Okay. Appreciate it, and congratulations navigating the market and results.
speaker
Sandra
Thank you, Martin. Thank you, Martin.
speaker
Martin
Thank you. We will now take the next question. from the line of Lucas Pipes from B Riley Securities. Please go ahead.
speaker
Marco
Thank you very much for taking my follow-up question. It's on the quartz investment. If I heard you right there in the prepared remarks, it's going to be a total of $50 million. And you mentioned, Marco, I think 15% cost reductions associated with that. And I assume there are some other strategic benefits. But just in terms of the numbers, in terms of the expected rate of return, is there a range that you could maybe provide for the market would be really helpful to get a feel for that.
speaker
Marco
Thank you very much.
speaker
Sandra
Again, when you mentioned $50 million, you were cut. So I want to make sure that I understood your question correctly.
speaker
Operator
Hey, Lucas, it's Alex. Were you asking if the investment of 15 million is 1.5, about 11 million?
speaker
Marco
Yeah, maybe I didn't hear that right. The question is really, first and foremost, about the expected rate of return.
speaker
Alex
On the mine. On the mine.
speaker
spk08
That's correct, yes.
speaker
Sandra
I think we need to... to revert back on this number, but the key point about this mine is security of supply, of course, the right quality, of course, $11 million investment plus four to operate the mine, and an expected cost for our course back integration that is going to be 10, 15% lower than our current facility. So the, and there is an enormous advantage in terms of proximity to our plants. Alex, you want to add something?
speaker
Operator
Yeah. No, it's just, yeah, the IRR is clearly, it's meaningfully above our cost of capital. And I don't know if we ever kind of set where our rates are. So, you know, maybe we'll decide on that. But I don't think we want to disclose it publicly at this time.
speaker
Marco
I appreciate that. I'll try to find out what costs are and then apply that 15% savings. But no, I appreciate it. I appreciate the color. It's more than 12%.
speaker
Sandra
More than 12%, okay? The IRR is higher than 12.5%. That is helpful. Thank you, Marco. And final question from me for today. I think you...
speaker
Marco
You said, Marco, on your prepared remarks, Q4 is going to be below first quarter results. There's still a bit of a range in terms of high-end, low-end of EBITDA, and I wondered if you could point us to the remaining risk factors between now and year-end, almost halfway through the fourth quarter, that could push us towards the lower or the higher end of that range. that implied fourth quarter EBITDA range. Thank you. Thank you very much.
speaker
Sandra
Well, you know, we are... I already said we are at $259 million EBITDA year-to-date. We gave a guidance of $270,300. In the first quarter, we... are going to operate some of our plants at a lower rate to control inventories. This is not going to be the case for silicon metal in Europe, in view of our shutdown in France in the first quarter. The advantage on the energy contract in France is going to be lower in the fourth quarter. That's just Q2 and Q3. And I wouldn't classify it like a risk, but it is a fact that quarter four is always a slower quarter due to the December month. So this is where we are. And of course, we have an impact related to the weaker index prices across our portfolio in Q3 that are going to impact pricing, contract pricing in Q4. These are the main things that I see. I don't know, Beatriz, if you see anything else.
speaker
Alex
No, nothing to add to that, Lucas.
speaker
Marco
Marco, Beatriz, Alex, really appreciate all the color. Keep up the good work. Thank you.
speaker
Marco
Thank you, Lucas.
speaker
Martin
Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Greg Bennett, shareholder. Please go ahead.
speaker
Greg Bennett
Good morning, or good afternoon. Thank you for the great results. The quartz mine that you bought in South Carolina, I'm just curious, how much competition is there for assets like this? I would think that Or are these very difficult to find, a high-quality quartz mine in America?
speaker
Sandra
Well, we've been lucky enough to find it. And probably you refer to a blog that I am aware about where there are some controversial opinions about the opportunity, but We are experts in this field. We know what we are doing. When you acquire a mind, you need to make sure that... Yeah, sorry, we had a... We had a technical difficulty. We had a technical difficulty here. I don't know at which point of my answer I was interrupted, but... What I say, the quality of the mine in South Carolina, based on the analysis that we have run, is far better than the current quality that we have in Alabama in terms of impurities. As a consequence, we plan to use the quartz out of this mine starting second half of this year to supply our silicon production. and use Alabama to produce ferro-silicon.
speaker
Marco
Are you facing competition in this market?
speaker
Operator
Are you referring competition for quartz mines or for silicon?
speaker
Greg Bennett
For silicon, I would think that with what's going on in the Inflation Reduction Act, that sort of thing, that it would invite a lot of competition. But I guess I want to know how strong the franchise is.
speaker
Sandra
In silicon metal, you mean? Yeah. Or in quartz?
speaker
Greg Bennett
In quartz.
speaker
Sandra
In quartz. Well, this is why we moved pretty fast a few months ago. because we expect a significant growth in demand of silicon metal in the United States, and we assessed that our reserves in Alabama were not enough, and we were looking for quartz of a certain quality that we have found in South Carolina, and we have been, I don't know if faster or slower, Whatever, then competition, but we have secured the rights on this mine. Yeah, quartz is very common, but the point is that it's true that what you said before. Quartz is very common, but the right quality of quartz is not necessarily so common everywhere, particularly in the U.S.
speaker
Greg Bennett
Okay. You mentioned in your comments about you closed on a French facility. Did that bring in capital or is that future cost savings? I think it was at the end of your presentation.
speaker
Sandra
Yeah, yeah. No, this is... A couple of years ago, we decided to stop production at one of our plants in France that was... producing ferro-silicon foundry and silicon metal for furnaces in Chateau-Fayet. This process in France is always long, and one of the requirements when you operate in France and you stop production at one site, there is a law, a law of Florence, that imposes to the company who stops production in France to look for a buyer. We had a long process where we had hundreds of interested buyers, but at the end, this process has been finalized on October 31st with the divestiture at nominal value, I would say, with the divestiture of nominal value of the plant to Swiss Steel.
speaker
Greg Bennett
So are there cost savings going forward or everything's normal?
speaker
Sandra
Yeah, there are cost savings going forward because we are not operating this plant anymore and we have reallocated productions at other sites.
speaker
Greg Bennett
Okay. On your capital allocation that you're going to tell us in February, for whatever it's worth, pay off all the debt. to a base dividend and have your cash flow 50% to a cash dividend and 50% to, or buyback 50% to, do you have other projects that you want to do?
speaker
Operator
Yeah, let me, no, we will announce the official plan with details in February. So, you know, we obviously haven't finalized it. If we had, we would have announced it today on exact form of that return. So, yeah, we'll discuss it more in February with details.
speaker
Greg Bennett
Okay. Thanks for the great work. Appreciate it.
speaker
Alex
Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Good to meet you.
speaker
Martin
Thank you. I would now like to turn the conference back to Marco Levi for closing remarks.
speaker
Sandra
Thank you. Thank you for the Q&A. That concludes our third quarter 2023 earning call. Thank you again for your participation. We look forward to hearing from you on the next call. Have a great day.
Disclaimer

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