speaker
Margo
Conference Operator

Good morning. My name is Margo, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to Goodyear's fourth quarter 2024 earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After some opening remarks, there will be a question and answer session. You may register to ask a question anytime by pressing the star 1 on your telephone keypad. You may withdraw yourself from the queue by pressing star 2. Please note this call may be recorded. It is now my pleasure to turn the conference over to Greg Schenck. Senior Director, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Greg Schenck
Senior Director, Investor Relations

Thank you, Margo. Good morning and welcome to our fourth quarter 2024 earnings call. Today on the call, we have Mark Stewart, our CEO and President, and Christina Zamara, our Executive Vice President and CFO. During this call, we will refer to forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial measures. Forward-looking statements involve risks, assumptions, and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements. For more information on the most significant factors that could affect future results, please refer to slide 21 of the supporting presentation for today's call and our filings with the SEC. These materials can be found on our website at investor.goodyear.com, where a replay of this call will also be available. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures discussed on today's call to the comparable gap measures is also included in the appendix of the presentation. With that, I will now turn the call over to Mark.

speaker
Mark Stewart
CEO and President

Thank you, Greg, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to our fourth quarter earnings call. I'd like to begin today by thanking our associates, our customers, and all of our suppliers for helping us to deliver an outstanding year in 2024. As I'm sure you've seen in our release, we delivered fourth quarter segment operating income ahead of expectations, and alongside of it, some exceptionally strong free cash flow relative to our past few years. It was a fitting end to the year marked by transformation as we set out to strengthen Goodyear's financial foundation and position the company for long-term success. Looking back over my first year with the company, I'm really energized by all we've accomplished. Across our organization, we put the emphasis and the full force of our talented team on Goodyear Forward, and together we executed nearly 500 million of transformation benefits through relentless program execution and follow through. It's a truly remarkable outcome given the program kicked off in November of 23. To put this effort into perspective, we've now successfully delivered five consecutive quarters of margin expansion under our Goodyear Forward plan. We accomplished this growth by exceeding our Goodyear Forward targets each and every quarter this past year. The end result is together, we've generated a turnaround in our earnings with full year segment operating income growth of $350 million, over $200 million excluding the benefits from the insurance recoveries. 2024 was the first year that Goodyear has grown segment operating income and margins since 2015, excluding the recovery year immediately following COVID. Our commitment to continued progress is clear throughout the entire company. We will continue to drive execution to unlock Goodyear's full potential as we move forward. In addition to our progress on earnings, we have also completed the divestiture of our OTR, the off-the-road business, and announced an agreement as well to sell the Dunlop brand, both part of our strategic review process. It's a clear demonstration that we're focused on delivering the plan and positioning the company for future growth. As with all transformation, it hasn't come without some challenges. As we look at the top line this past year, we've seen growth in the low-end imports impacting the consumer replacement industry in the US, Europe, as well Brazil. The inflows at the low end of the market over the last two years are unprecedented. Looking to the US market, low-cost imported tires are largely sourced from Southeast Asia. including from a number of countries that are either not subject to anti-dumping or countervailing duty tariffs or whether the production has been shifted to avoid the level of tariffs that the U.S. has sought to impose in order to counteract unfair foreign subsidies in our industry. It remains to be seen how the tariffs and our markets will evolve this year in 2025. The Tier 1 tire manufacturers, including Goodyear, source our volumes from factories located in all three USMCA countries to support both the OE as well as the replacement customers in the US. As you would all expect, we have been quite active in our discussions with government officials, emphasizing the significance of Goodyear having the largest manufacturing footprint in the US, as well as the quality, the safety and the technology that we bring to consumers with our products and our services right here in the US marketplace. We look forward to continuing our collaborations with the leaders in Washington as we work to address these critical issues impacting our business. In the meantime, we're working across our operations to mitigate any potential near-term impacts of tariffs related to our Canadian and Mexican supply. As the tariff situation may be fluid and will be fluid, we'll remain agile and execute efficiency. We will also remain steadfast on our execution of the Goodyear Forward, which will bolster our top line and our cost performance with benefits of $750 million U.S. dollar planned in 2025. This is continuing on the foundation that we executed in 24 and will allow us to continue the push forward on several fronts this year. We're going to take advantage of the strategic moves we made in 24 to advance new products, modernize our manufacturing footprint, enhance our sales effectiveness, and evolve our regional operational models. In the U.S., we will accelerate the introduction of new products to more effectively compete in the premium tiers and capitalize on blank space opportunities. In our last conference call, I shared how we would refresh our U.S. portfolio of offerings and while also increasing our coverage to a much broader spectrum of high-end, high-margin SKUs. We will introduce five new product lines in the U.S. this year, each with significant improvements in the large rim SKU coverage than the predecessor lines. On the manufacturing side, we're increasing our capabilities in our Oklahoma facility with a modernization project that will add about 10 million units of new capacity for premium tires in 2025 and 2026. we will ensure we're running at the optimal level of output and efficiency, and we're running the products that will yield the highest opportunities for profitability this year. As we look to our new portfolio in the market, we're also investing in our sales capabilities, both in strengthening our customer service through global digital platforms, as well as strengthening our overall value proposition for our customers. all with the clear objective to grow with the products our customers and consumers demand across the Goodyear family of brands. On the cost side, we're lowering our SG&A, or SAG, and optimizing our manufacturing assets as we look at both footprint as well as plant optimization. In early January, we announced the addition of Don Metzler as our SVP of global manufacturing and supply chain, reporting directly to me. Don brings more than 30 years of experiencing, developing, transforming, and leading complex, multi-site, world-class manufacturing operations. He'll be instrumental in taking our global manufacturing capabilities to the next level. We have a significant opportunity as we look across our KPIs to drive both higher output and lower cost. In addition, Alon Conan has joined our organization from our European manufacturing operation Elan has many years with the company and a demonstrated strength in leading manufacturing. Elan is now leading our manufacturing in the Americas. Don Metzler is one of six leaders I've added to the leadership team over this last year. These leadership changes have been crucial to our business transformation and creating a culture of high performance in the company. In addition, with the right leadership in place, we will capitalize on opportunities to streamline our operating model and address duplication of effort and excess costs that are inherently incur under our current decentralized structure model. Today we operate from within three regions, meaning each region manages their own product portfolio, their product development, sourcing and manufacturing. By aligning our structure and process globally, we will be able to innovate and operate with speed around the world, leveraging the benefits of standardization, optimization, and our key assets, meaning our people around the world. This new structure will translate to better products, lower costs, better service, and quicker refreshing of our products across the world. The transition will take some time, but the model is one that many companies are already leveraging and will shape the future of Goodyear as well. Looking ahead, we will continue to prioritize Goodyear Forward and advance several strategic initiatives to ensure we're positioned for long-term growth for our shareholders. We successfully navigated a very challenging landscape in 24, and our focus on discipline and execution will continue to support us as we work to further strengthen our financial and our operational foundation in the coming year. Next, I'll turn it over to Christina and she'll take you through the financials and we'll move on to the Q&A. Thank you.

speaker
Christina Zamara
Executive Vice President and CFO

Thank you, Mark. 2024 was an important year for us as we've executed on our transformation plan while continuing to build our savings pipeline for 2025. We feel very good about where we stand with respect to our targets as we look at both the goal to attain 10% SOI margin in the fourth quarter and net leverage of two to two and a half times by the end of the year. I'll begin the year-end review with the income statement on slide eight. Fourth quarter sales totaled $4.9 billion, down 3% from last year, driven by lower volume. Unit volume was 4% lower versus last year, in line with our expectations, given growth in low-end imports in the U.S. SAG declined $77 million, driven by Goodyear Forward workstreams. As a percent of sales, SAG declined one full point versus last year. Segment operating income for the quarter was 385 million and SOI margin increased to 7.8%. After adjusting for significant items, including the final settlement of an insurance claim related to storm damage we incurred in 2023, our earnings per share were 39 cents. Excluding insurance proceeds, SOI margin was 6.7%. Turning to the segment operating income walk on slide nine. Lower tire unit volume and factory utilization were a headwind of $81 million in the quarter. Net price mix versus raw materials was unfavorable during the quarter, driven by increases in our raw material costs. Price mix was unfavorable, $36 million. Now pricing was stable, but mix was negative, given declines in commercial replacement volume and an increase in our consumer OE volume. Continued strong execution on Goodyear Forward contributed $195 million against inflation that was $50 million in the quarter. And as I referenced earlier, we collected $52 million of insurance proceeds in the final settlement related to our 2023 tornado claim. Other SOI was favorable $41 million. driven by lower incentive compensation, the recovery from last year's fire at our factory in Poland, and higher earnings in other tire-related businesses. Turning to the cash flow and balance sheet on slide 10, free cash flow exceeded $1 billion in the quarter, driven by strong working capital inflows. As we shared in an earlier press release, we finalized the sale of OTR on February 3rd. Pro forma for that transaction Year-end net debt was 6.1 billion, and our net leverage was three times, down nearly a full turn from year-end 2023. We intend to repay the 500 million principal outstanding on our 9.5% notes later this month, and the remaining proceeds from the sale will reduce our variable rate debt. Together, these actions should generate 70 million in annual interest expense savings. Finally, earlier in January, we announced a definitive agreement to sell the Dunlop brand to SRI. That transaction is expected to close mid-year, and the related upfront proceeds of about $700 million will be used to further reduce our leverage in 2025. The strategic review of our chemicals business remains in process. Moving to our SBU results and starting on slide 13, America's unit volume decreased about a million units driven by consumer replacement. As we look at the industry, the U.S. consumer replacement industry declined about 2%. Low-end imports outperformed the industry and grew 11%, rising to an all-time high as a result of channel stocking and pre-buy activity related to potential tariffs. On the other hand, our U.S. consumer OE volume grew approximately 20%. driven by new fitment wins and the recovery from last year's UAW strike, resulting in year-over-year share gains of approximately four points. Commercial OE and replacement volume declined following industry weakness. Segment operating income for the Americas totaled $262 million, or 9.1% of sales. America's earnings reflect unfavorable net price mix versus raw material costs and lower volume, partly offset by Goodyear Forward benefits and insurance proceeds. Moving to slide 14, EMEA's fourth quarter unit volume increased 2%. Our volume reflects growth in the consumer replacement market, driven by a strong winter tire selling season. The robust market was in part due to new regulations in Germany that require three peak mountain snowflake labeling on both winter and all season tires. Our OE volume was about flat in consumer, but was down about 10% in commercial given industry weakness. Segment operating income was $41 million. Goodyear Forward benefits more than offset net price mix versus raw material cost headwinds and general inflation. Turning to Asia Pacific on slide 15, fourth quarter unit volume decreased 9% driven by actions to reduce lower margin business in key markets and channel destocking in China. Segment operating income totaled 82 million and 13.5% of sales, an increase of 14 million compared to last year. Turning to our outlook, we expect that our first half SOI will decline based on prudent assumptions around our volume. carryover effects of production cuts in the fourth quarter and significant increases in our raw material costs. In the second half, we expect modest volume growth and price mix to more than offset raw material inflation, which when combined with Goodyear Forward benefits should support earnings and margin growth, particularly in the fourth quarter. In addition, we expect consulting fees and other costs related to Goodyear Forward to decline by about $80 million versus last year. As we look at risks to our 2025 plan, a further step up in raw materials later this year could limit our earnings growth in the second half, as it typically takes us time to offset increases in our raw material costs with price and mix. Similarly, potential tariff impacts related to Canada and Mexico are difficult to predict, including both primary and secondary effects. In any case, we'll manage near-term volatility with the benefit of the stronger cost base we've gained under Goodyear Forward. Sources of upside to our plan include growth in volume and price mix related to the potential for U.S. tariffs impacting countries outside of those currently contemplated. Similarly, we also anticipate that the European Commission may make a tariff determination as to unfair competition related to consumer tire imports in the coming months. Finally, we could see raw material prices decline if pre-buy and channel stocking of low-cost inventory abates. As we look at the outlook drivers specific to the first quarter, we expect global unit volumes to decline approximately 2% to 3% versus last year, reflecting elevated wholesale channel inventories in the US and consumer OE declines as a result of lower OE production. In addition, we expect higher unabsorbed fixed costs of about $25 million driven by lower production during the fourth quarter. Price mix is expected to be a tailwind, of about $65 million driven by pricing actions we have implemented and raw material index contracts with OE and fleet customers. Raw materials will increase approximately $175 million driven by natural and synthetic rubber price increases. At current spot rates, we would expect to see raw material cost increases of about $350 million in total in the first half of 2025, with about $50 million of that driven by transactional currency impacts. Goodyear Forward will drive approximately $200 million of benefits, reflecting continued progress across all workstreams. Inflation and other costs are expected to be a headwind of approximately $75 million, reflecting increases in transportation rates over and above core inflation. Foreign exchange will be a headwind of $15 million, and the non-repeat of costs related to the fire in our Dębica Poland facility last year will be an $11 million benefit. Also, for modeling adjustments related to the OTR transaction, Our full year 2024 OTR revenue was about $600 million, and SOI was $65 million. Depreciation and amortization was $18 million. We expect the transaction to reduce 2025 SOI by approximately $80 million, inclusive of stranded costs, primarily in Asia. Other financial assumptions on slide 18 have been updated to reflect our expectations for 2025. Interest expense will be approximately $60 million lower than last year, driven by debt reduction. Higher restructurings reflect footprint actions announced under Goodyear Forward, including a recently announced plan in our Danville, Virginia facility. With major cost programs announced in three of our factories this year, we expect to incur some transitory manufacturing costs, approximately $30 million in the second half of the year. With inflows in working capital and lower CapEx spend relative to 2024, we expect to generate positive free cash flow in 2025, consistent with our deleveraging objectives. With that, we'll open the line for your questions.

speaker
Margo
Conference Operator

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. You may withdraw yourself from the queue at any time by pressing star 2. And once again, that is star 1 for a question. We'll take our first question from James Piccarello with BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.

speaker
James Piccarello
Analyst at BNP Paribas

Hi, everybody. My first question is just on your price mix expectation for the year. I know it's harder to call the farther out, but can you just confirm what the expectation is for the first half, if you already provided that? And then thoughts on the second half, you know, raw materials should we assume neutral or an additional headwind potential based on spa pricing? And have you seen any pricing actions from your peers thus far, given the rather substantial raw material headwinds that the industry is facing? Thanks.

speaker
Christina Zamara
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, sure. James, I'll start, and I'll have Mark follow up on the pricing environment. When we look at our SOI bridge for 2025, price mix should grow from the first quarter on into the second and third quarter. A part of that is the realization of our OE RMIs and our raw material index contracts with our fleets. Those generally reprice on a six-month, in six-month arrears. And so we don't have nearly the full run rate here in Q1. There's also been pricing actions that we've taken in our key markets around the world in the first quarter as well. And I'll let Mark follow up on that. When we look at the raw materials, what I would say is the 350 is baked based on current spot rates for the first half. If spot rates hold, we could see a headwind of about 100 to 150 million in the back half of the year. Of course, spot prices have been pretty volatile, so we'll continue to update you on that. But again, looking for price mix to grow into Q2 and Q3 before leveling off or just depending on what happens the rest of the year with Roth. Mark?

speaker
Mark Stewart
CEO and President

Yeah, James. Yeah, just talking through some of our pricing actions that we've already happened, as Christina mentioned, right? Since the third quarter call, pricing actions we've taken. We've done multiple rounds of pricing globally, commercial tires in Turkey, for example, across the Latin American countries, as well as consumer pricing in Europe, as well as Middle East. And then across the U.S. on specific product line, we've taken product actions both in quarter four as well as rolling into quarter one. So we'd expect to see the benefit of that going into the quarter two time period as that flows through the system. We continue to watch things to make sure that we are competitively priced based on our upgraded marketing intelligence. As we mentioned, a big area we focused on in 24 was our scraping and making sure that we're benchmarking, that we're in the right price position across each of the categories, and really taking a look at that from a consumer-facing thing so that we are competitive in the marketplaces.

speaker
James Piccarello
Analyst at BNP Paribas

Got it. That's helpful. And then I just have a quick two-part question, one on volume. You have the full-year industry volume assumption, consumer flat, commercial up 3% at the midpoint, again, at the industry level. Just, you know, your thoughts on Goodyear's volume performance for the year. We could see the down two to three for the first quarter. Just curious, what the expectation is for the second half? On easy year comps, is there a good pathway for likely growth given channel inventory levels at this point? And then just in your Goodyear forward savings in the fourth quarter, There was obvious upside. So just had a question on, you know, what drove that upside? It seems like it might have been in the margin expansion effort. Is that just your pricing actions? Thanks.

speaker
Mark Stewart
CEO and President

Yeah. Let me talk about volumes to start, and then we can talk about Goodyear forward with Christina. You know, again, as you mentioned, in the consumer replacement side, we expect overall global growth in 2025. with a stronger marketplace in Europe and Asia, and we expect to see volatility in the U.S. market relative to the imports. In South America or Latin American countries and Brazil, we expect to see some declines in the imports as new tariffs have gone into impact there starting in October. But for the consumer OE, we think there will be a flattish first half with growth on the second back end, as you mentioned, on the U.S. side, As we look at commercial, you know, from a replacement demand, we think that's going to stabilize progressing throughout the year with non-imports declining as the tariffs that were recently announced begin to take impact, especially those coming out of Thailand. And then so overall commercial OE side, first half I think will be relatively soft continuing on from last year. And then second half being stronger with the new GHG regs going into place. and the fleets beginning their pre-buy activities before those new regulations go into place. And then your second question, secondary part of that, how are we going to address those lower volumes? So we're doing that on multi-fronts. As we shared in quarter three, we are aggressively growing. This was an area that we were behind on. We took a step back. We reorganized ourselves in terms of our engineering SWAT teams, our go-to-market teams, and have dedicated focus on bringing you know, 100 and some odd, nearly 200 additional SKUs into the marketplace in the high-end, highly profitable segments of the market that are going to generate the returns and greater value for us and also at a premium price. So that's a key area of focus for us. We've got five new power lines coming in to the marketplace around the world, our Weather Ready 2s, our Wrangler workhorses, the ASIM 6s we discussed that are the really on the premium side of our high-value UHP market, the Eagle F1 all season, as well in the high segments, and Max Life 2, all of which are coming into the marketplace throughout this year, which, again, is why we feel good towards that second half as these all are coming into the marketplace at volume and the right number of SKUs in each of those power lines, James.

speaker
Christina Zamara
Executive Vice President and CFO

And, James, just to follow up your question then, I mean, there's a lot of time Mark just spent on on price mix actions, and a lot of that started in Q3 last year, and so you're seeing that in the Good Year Forward programs, especially in the premium end of the market. Appreciate it. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Margo
Conference Operator

We'll take our next question from Emmanuel Rosner with Wolf Research. Please go ahead.

speaker
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst at Wolf Research

Thank you. I was hoping to actually follow up on the same topics, which is volume, price mix outlook. first half versus second half. So it seems the outlook contemplates, you know, decline in SOI, at least in the first half, but then, you know, growth in the second half. Can you just maybe just go back over for both volume, price, and mix? What will be the anticipated drivers of improvement in the second half? And I guess How much visibility and conviction do you have on this at this point?

speaker
Christina Zamara
Executive Vice President and CFO

Sure. Hey, good morning, Emmanuel. I'll start out with the SOI bridge for 2025. And if you look at the puts and takes as we've talked about them, our 2024 SOI was about $1.3 billion. If we adjust that for insurance proceeds, we are at $1.2 billion. Now, Goodyear Forward, of course, going to add $750 million for us against a base inflation of $225 million. We've said we're also going to have headwinds in other costs outside of core inflation, and that's mostly driven by transportation. That's going to run $20 million a quarter. We also have three factories that we are... ramping down or decreasing production in the third and fourth quarter of this year. So that will increase our manufacturing costs through some transitory inefficiencies in the third and fourth quarter by about $30 million. We've talked a lot about raw material headwinds, about $350 million in the first half, about $100 million, maybe up to $150 million at current spot prices in the second half, and then spent a lot of time already on the call about how we're thinking around price mix. We've given you the first quarter, but that should grow pretty materially in Q2 and Q3 and get to a run rate by Q4. And that's driven by pricing actions that we've implemented in the first quarter already, pricing through our OE RMI indexed agreements with fleets as well. And then obviously, Mark just spent a lot of time on the new product development, new product lines we're bringing into the market, which should also support our mix. OTR should be a headwind. We've outlined that in the presentation, $80 million on a four-year basis, and then it does come down to volume. What we've laid out is a lower first half, driven mostly by the U.S. channel stocking of low-end imports, and lower OE volumes just following OEM production broadly, and then moderate growth in the second half for us, driven by very low comps and a recovering industry broadly in commercial and in consumer OE. And so once you put all of that together, I think it's safe to say you should be able to model a level of SOI that's in line with our current year including the insurance, which means that we should be demonstrating a very strong level of underlying growth in the business, something on the order of 10%.

speaker
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst at Wolf Research

That is super helpful. Thank you so much. And then just so in line with current year, I mean in line with 2024. 2025 would be in line with 2024, including the proceeds you got last year.

speaker
Christina Zamara
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, so like the 1320 level.

speaker
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst at Wolf Research

Got it, yeah. That was our understanding as well. Perfect. And then if you could just help us out with the free cash flow walk as well. And then you called for positive free cash flow. I assume that this is before restructuring. How should we think about restructuring, which I think you quantified for this year, but also how much more is there to spend as part of the overall plan?

speaker
Christina Zamara
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, sure. So the positive free cash flow includes $400 million of restructuring. So we intend to be positive, including restructuring. This is really driven by that SOI we just talked about, and you should get to an EBITDA of, call it, about $2.1 billion. you know, after you go through the model that we just talked through on SOI. Working capital will be a benefit. We've laid that out. Restructuring, of course, against that taxes, a couple hundred million dollars, $400 million in restructuring, sorry. And then interest expenses coming down on a year-over-year basis. Interest income will offset that. We'll have, you know, our normal financing fees and then capex significantly lower than 2025. And all of that should get you to a fairly positive free cash flow expectation for 2025. And then as you think through to next year, you know, we should see restructurings normalized. There's a little bit of carryover from Goodyear forward, thinking restructurings next year will be on the order of $100 to $200 million. We'll see further interest expense savings once we close on the Dunlop transaction and finalize the strategic review of chemicals. So we would be in a position next year to drive cash flows, significant positive cash flow reflective of the underlying earnings run rate of the business.

speaker
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst at Wolf Research

Great. That's super helpful. Just final point. Is it Is the overall spending on restructuring lower than initially anticipated? Maybe just my memory doesn't serve me right, but it sounded to me that the total budget could have been sort of like north of a billion dollars. Now we're talking about just 400 this year and maybe 100 to 200 next year. So is it just an overall lower bill than expected?

speaker
Christina Zamara
Executive Vice President and CFO

I think, yeah, Emmanuel, we had set aside about a billion dollars as part of Goodyear Forward for restructuring. And as I've just laid it out, we spent $200 in 2024. The capital that we're going to allocate in 2025 is about $400 and then up to $200 next year. So we're probably going to land right around $800 million or so as part of the overall program. I think some of that is terrific negotiations. you know, with our constituents around the world, I think a part of that also is just the execution that we've seen in what Mark's describing about generating efficiencies in the factories to increase our volumes. And so no other announcements planned, nothing else in the pipeline. If anything changes, we'll keep you updated.

speaker
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst at Wolf Research

Great. Thank you so much.

speaker
Margo
Conference Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Doug Carson with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Doug Carson
Analyst at Bank of America

Great. Thanks so much for the detail on the slide deck. I want to maybe just turn to the balance sheet for a moment here. Net leverage now, as it's three times, almost a turn below what you had last year. So the the forward program is certainly working. And I've just kind of pulled up your ratings at B1 and B plus seem pretty underrated relative to the progress you've made on the balance sheet. Have you had a chance to kind of refresh with the rating agencies to have them take a kind of newer look at where the balance sheet's headed? That's my first question.

speaker
Christina Zamara
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, thanks, Doug, for the question. And certainly making a lot of progress on the balance sheet. We intend to close on the Dunlop transaction a little later this year, and that will bring in $700 million more of gross proceeds that we intend to use to deleverage even further. We do talk to each one of the rating agencies very regularly. Last night, in fact, was the most recent conversation, and I think they do look at our forward forecast. I think there was a lot of emphasis placed on our 2024 free cash flow, which you can see was slightly negative because of a lot of the restructuring programs that we had in place. And so I think as we look ahead, we would expect more positive outlook and sentiment from the rating agencies just given the progress so far.

speaker
Doug Carson
Analyst at Bank of America

That's great. That's well-deserved. I was impressed to see the close to 50% increase in the Goodyear Forward cost savings up to $750,000. million. And, you know, as I look at the environment we're in, there's so much volatility between tariffs and raw material fluctuations. You maybe just help us think about some of those big line items you have, you know, $300 million for, you know, footprint optimization and $200 million for purchasing. Are some of these categories, you know, less at risk, more at risk given the environment, just trying to be thoughtful about the 750.

speaker
Mark Stewart
CEO and President

Yeah. Doug, we feel really, really positive about the look ahead. We executed very strongly in 24. We were able to put additional projects and they're they're grassroots projects right as well so really good it's coming from our associates from around the world we've got our dedicated weekly session as part of governance across the five key work streams and you know as I mentioned on the the start of the call you know we've we've now combined our manufacturing organization into one global organization with our three regional heads reporting to Don Metzler our new VP there and with a very strong 30-year track record. I spent a lot of time in the space myself last year with the teams as we went through just, again, working on the nuts and bolts of manufacturing basics, right, of us really working on our efficiencies, our operating equipment effectiveness, our scrap rates, getting through the material flows, and really upgrading things in terms of just the diligence and the few KPIs that make the most difference in terms of of us really getting ourselves to a super strong position there. So we feel very good about our plant optimization. We announced the footprint actions both last year as well as at the start of this year in our commercial truck operation to be in a position where we can compete in the marketplace there at the right cost structure. And we continue to drive those work streams. In the purchasing side, we're continuing to go through on looking at our costs in the purchasing arena, working with our supply base, both on current programs as well as future programs, and a strong drive and efficiency improvement in our indirect and MRO activities. So we feel, again, in that area, very strong. We've taken actions throughout last year as well as early this year, and our SAG or SG&A, however you want to refer to that as, of making sure that our overhead structure is in the right condition there and continue to look at that on a monthly basis as we take a look to say what are things that we can do more efficiently than we've been doing it. So those activities along with our R&D, looking at our equipment standards, looking at how we spend, how we negotiate, and long story short of it, we feel very very strong that the improved savings rate are going to continue. And it's just really gotten to a point that is embedded in our DNA.

speaker
Doug Carson
Analyst at Bank of America

Great, Mark and Christina. Thank you very much for taking my questions, and it was very helpful.

speaker
Margo
Conference Operator

Thank you. Thank you. And as a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, that is star one for a question. We'll go next to Edison Yu with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Edison Yu
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking our questions. I want to ask about the chemical side. I know you said you're still on track for a sale. Has the reception been a bit more muted? We speak to some chemical companies and obviously there's some challenges just for the industry there. What are your latest thoughts on that?

speaker
Christina Zamara
Executive Vice President and CFO

Edison, we don't have a lot more to say other than that review remains in process. I think that Generally speaking, I think the interest has been across all sectors, whether you think about strategics or private equity. This one, in fact, was when we got into the market a little bit later, of course, the focus on OTR and Dunlop in the earlier part of 2024. Thank you.

speaker
Edison Yu
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Understood. And then just a quick one on the SOI in APAC, and apologies if I missed it earlier. It's actually a very strong margin. Was there anything kind of one-off there, some sort of benefit that doesn't carry over? Just wanted to double-check on that.

speaker
Mark Stewart
CEO and President

No, we just have a really strong operation in AP. Their manufacturing prowess is very strong. Pricing in the marketplace, very good. New, fresh products going in, winning with the right with the right winners in the marketplace, particularly on the EV front there. And just really operations doing quite well in AP.

speaker
Edison Yu
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Got it. Actually, just one quick one, one last quick one. I know you know, I heard earlier about the expansion to Oklahoma. Is that in any way kind of maybe mitigation in case of the tariffs? Yes.

speaker
Mark Stewart
CEO and President

No, we would like to tell you our crystal ball was good enough to do that, Doug, but that was not the case, right? It's just necessary modernization that we needed to make across our footprint. And, you know, that's one of our larger facilities or one of the largest, actually. And we just were taking all the right actions we needed to take there in terms of moving more into the higher rim sizes, additional volume for the marketplace in that higher profit, higher margin segments. Great. Thank you very much.

speaker
Margo
Conference Operator

Thank you. And we have no further questions. I'd like to turn the call back over to Mark for any final or closing remarks.

speaker
Mark Stewart
CEO and President

Okay. So I'd like to thank you all for taking the time to join us today for the fourth quarter earnings call. You know, we've come a long way here over the last year and still have a lot on our plate to action but feel very good. We've got the right leadership team. We've got all the right associates around the world. and we're really looking forward to sharing with you all the progress we make on our Goodyear Forward initiatives as we move throughout this year. Thank you all for joining us today, and everybody have a great day.

speaker
Margo
Conference Operator

Thank you, and that does conclude today's conference. We appreciate your participation. You may disconnect at any time.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

Q4GT 2024

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