4/28/2025

speaker
Lisa
Call Operator

Welcome to the first quarter 2025 Harmonic Earnings Conference Call. My name is Lisa, and I will be your operator for today's conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there'll be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To answer your question, please press star 11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is also being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to David Hanover, Investor Relations. David, you may begin.

speaker
David Hanover
Investor Relations

Thank you, Lisa. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for Harmonix's first quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. With me today are Nimrod Ben-Natan, President and CEO, and Walter Jankovic, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I'd like to point out that in addition to the audio portion of the webcast, We've also provided slides for this webcast, which you may view by going to our webcast on our Industrial Relations website. Now turning to slide two. During this call, we will provide projections and other forward-looking statements regarding future events or future financial performance of the company. Such statements are only current expectations, and actual events or results may differ materially. We refer you to documents harmonic filed with the SEC, including our most recent 10Q and 10K reports and the forward-looking statements section of today's preliminary results press release. These documents identify important risk factors, which can cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in our projections or forward-looking statements. And please note that unless otherwise indicated, the financial metrics we provide you on this call are determined on a non-GAAP basis. These metrics, together with the corresponding gap numbers and a reconciliation gap, are contained in today's press release, which we have posted on our website and filed with the SEC on Form 8K. We will also discuss historical, financial, and other statistical information regarding our business and operation, and some of this information is included in the press release. The remainder of the information will be available on a recorded version of this call or on our website. And now I'll turn the call over to our CEO, Nimrod Ben-Natan. Nimrod?

speaker
Nimrod Ben‐Natan
President and CEO

Thanks David and welcome everyone to our first quarter 2025 earnings score. Before we get into the specifics in each of our businesses, I would like to provide a high-level update on how we're executing on our long-term growth plans and navigating tariffs and the current macroeconomics environment. Today we delivered another strong quarter advancing our long-term growth strategy. Revenue reached 133 million dollars as we exceeded our video revenue expectations. We also generated adjusted EBITDA of $21 million, again, ahead of our previous outlook. Complementing this, strong operating cash flow lifted our cash balance to $149 million at quarter end. That's even after the $36 million we returned to shareholders through share repurchases. We closed the quarter with backlog and deferred revenue at $485 million, underscoring the durability of our business model. In 2025, we're continuing to navigate the current industry shift to unified DOCSIS 4.0. As we noted on our last earnings call, we expect 2025 will be a below-trend revenue year for broadband due to unified 4.0 timing and its effect on customer deployments. Now, potential tariff exposure has contributed to this outlook. Having said that, With our technology and market share leadership position on Unified 4.0, our progress year-to-date has been in line with our expectations. Therefore, we continue to expect resumed revenue growth in 2026 with Unified 4.0 and existing customer ramps, as recently reflected on a Deloro analyst report, which supports this future long-term growth outlook. Turning to slide number five, our broadband vision is becoming a reality. we are seeing rapid adoption of next-generation virtualized platforms across both DOCSIS and fiber networks. And I will highlight some of that focus today. Turning to slide number six, as we continue to execute on our broadband growth strategy, the revenue in this segment was $84.9 million for the quarter, representing 7.6% growth year-over-year and gross margin expanded to 55.5% reflecting a favorable product mix. We ended the quarter with 129 COS deployments in production, managing 33.9 million connected modems and approximately a quarter million remote-fi devices, a testament to the scalability and maturity of our virtualized access platform. Based on our focus to date, we expect to bring at least nine new customers, one in prior quarters, into production during the second quarter, further expanding the reach of our COS platform. Our customer diversification keeps accelerating. This quarter, we added seven new logos, Astound, and a second top five North American MSO upgrading to Unified 4.0, and a tier one Latin American operator launching a major fiber upgrade. Rest of world bookings were also strong, and we expect that momentum to continue, further expanding our global install base. Industry trends are amplifying this progress. As cable operators pursue broadened subscriber growth, they are shifting to a virtualized access platform that delivers higher speeds and reliability while lowering operating costs. Harmonix's proven deployment record, field-tested unified 4.0 capabilities, and converged access and fiber architecture help operators compete, deploy faster, and scale with confidence. Fiber is a major pillar of our broadband strategy and the momentum we are seeing here is unmistakable. We booked a record quarter lending three new pure fiber winds and completing eight expansion projects with existing customers. First, a tier one Latin American operator selected harmonic for a nationwide upgrade based on the density and performance of our remote OLT solution and our industry leading power efficiency. Second, One of our largest North American customers have expanded its deployment with our virtual BNG and remote OLT solution on the very same distributed access network it already runs for virtual CMTS and DAA, another proof point of the power of convergence on COS. And third, our open ONU strategy is proving its value in the field. Earlier this quarter, an operator seamlessly migrated from DZS to Harmonic with COS OLTs managing the legacy DZS ONUs already in subscriber homes. We expect this success story to resonate with other operators looking to replace their DZS network equipment following that company's Chapter 7 bankruptcy. These wins show the Harmonix Open and Converge platform lets operators match the right access solution to every market use case, accelerating fiber rollouts with precision and confidence. Turning to Unified 4.0, we continue to gain further traction here. In Q1, we started volume shipments of Unified RPDs and are on track to introduce the Unified at a front end in the second half of the year. Since the architecture was open to the broader market, our team has been working closely with more than a dozen operators and ecosystem partners to validate the technology and craft deployment roadmaps. That engagement is already translating into wins. As mentioned earlier, Astound chose Harmonic for a network upgrade that adds advanced DOCSIS and fiber capabilities, and we also secured a second top five North American MSO that will deploy unified DOCSIS 4.0 in the second half of the year. On the innovation front, we recently demonstrated 13 gigabit per second downstream throughput on a live unified system. which is faster than today's 10 gig fiber to the home speeds. This is an industry first that showcases the bandwidth performance built into the standard. We will keep highlighting this breakthrough at industry interoperability events and directly to customers throughout the second quarter and beyond. Achievements like these underscore the maturity of the unified ecosystem and reinforce why operators continue to choose Harmonic as their partner of choice for DOCSIS 4.0. Innovation remains the foundation of our industry leading position. In this quarter, I'm pleased to highlight three major advancements. First, we placed our patented PTP-less timing solution into live commercial service. This technology lowers overall DAA costs while enhancing reliability and represents another important proof point in our continued drive for smarter and simplified broadband infrastructure. Second, Our beacon speed maximizer, a real time automated network optimization service, leveraging our COS edge compute capabilities is now live with eight customers. This service gives operators a powerful new way to ensure consistent subscribers experience and proactively manage network performance. And third, we are excited to see one of our top customers launch the nation's first ultra low latency internet service. powered by our virtual CMTS technology. This milestone enables an entirely new class of latency-sensitive applications, from cloud gaming to immersive real-time collaboration, helping broadband operators to deliver a differentiated experience with increased quality of service. To summarize, our broadband business continues to expand, adding new logos and delivering breakthrough innovation. With the world's Largest base of live virtual CMTS networks, first mover scale in Unified 4.0, and converged platform that spans both DOCSIS and fiber, Harmonic is uniquely positioned to help operators deliver faster speeds with greater reliability while lowering operating costs. Record fiber bookings, rising rest of wall demand, and robust innovation pipeline give us confidence in this business' long-term top-line growth as unified and fiber deployments scale through 2026 and beyond, while we prudently navigate near-term tariff and macro uncertainties. Now let's turn to slide number seven to discuss current market trends in our video business and to provide an update. As the video market evolves, the bar for broadcast grade quality and reliability keeps rising. Being a provider of leading video appliances, our customers still depend on harmonic appliances to keep their flagship channels flawless. And now they expect the same no-glitch experience for streaming, especially when premium sports rights can mean millions of dollars per minute. To meet these rising stakes, we are finding that customer demand spans across appliances, SaaS streaming, as well as an accelerating shift toward hybrid deployments that blends on-prem capacity with cloud elasticity. That theme of multiple and often hybrid solutions was front and center at the NAB show in Las Vegas, where we unveiled AI power advances and industry's first end-to-end play out to delivery workflow for the live at Weigel Broadcasting. Turning to slide eight, this momentum was visible in our first quarter results. Our appliance business sharpened by renewed focus and discipline execution delivered excellent margins on a higher volume of larger refresh deals and a series of competitive takeouts, including notable wins in the service provider segment. It remains sort of the profitable engine for us with strong pipeline of opportunities. Meanwhile, our SaaS streaming business posted Q1 revenue of $14.8 million and continues to build robust pipeline that supports growth in 2025 and beyond. The drivers are clear. First, expansion of live sports streaming with existing customers where we deliver some of the world's most prestigious events with unmatched reliability. Second, a pipeline of tier one operators poised to scale on our platform. And third, strong demand for AI-based monetization tools that we previewed at the NAB show and will move from proof of concept into full production next year. Taken together, the strengths of our appliance offering, the rapid expansion of SaaS streaming, our differentiated hybrid solution, and our strong operating leverage all position our video segment for sustained and profitable growth in 2025 and beyond. Now I will turn it to Walter for a deeper review of our financials and to elaborate on our expectations for and response to potential tariff impacts on our business.

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Nimrod, and thank you all for joining us today. Before I discuss our quarterly results and outlook, I'd like to remind everyone the financials I'll be referring to on this call are provided on a non-GAAP basis. As David mentioned earlier, our Q1 press release and earnings presentation include reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP. Both of these are available on our website. Looking at some of our first quarter highlights here on slide 10, our results reflect strong execution as we exceeded expectations for video revenue, as well as gross margin and adjusted EBITDA in both of our businesses. Total company revenue increased 9% year over year to $133.1 million, and EPS rose from zero to 11 cents, driven by higher than anticipated profitability in both of our businesses. We also had strong, positive free cash flow during the quarter, which helped raise our cash balance to $148.7 million at quarter end, a substantial increase of $47.3 million sequentially, even with repurchasing $36.1 million of shares during the quarter under our repurchase program. Looking more closely at our businesses, first quarter broadband revenue and adjusted EBITDA was $84.9 million and $15.9 million, respectively, with both metrics showing growth year over year. Video revenue was $48.3 million, up 11.8% year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA in this business was $5.3 million, reflecting strong revenue momentum and ongoing efficiency improvements. Video SaaS revenue in the quarter was $14.8 million, up 15% year-over-year, as we continue to expand this portion of our business. Moving to slide 11. I will now briefly review our capital allocation priorities and mention some updates on our progress. One of our priorities is continuing to make targeted investments in order to drive our organic growth. This includes investments to support broadband rest of world growth, new service offerings, and funding anticipated working capital needs. As mentioned earlier, we had seven new broadband customer wins during the quarter, including three fiber wins. So these investments have been paying off. Another priority is returning capital to our shareholders through stock repurchases. In our February earnings call, we announced a new three-year share repurchase program of up to $200 million, which doubled our previous program. In the first quarter, we repurchased $36.1 million of shares under this new program. As we mentioned on our last call, we expected to fund these purchases with strong free cash flow generation over the next three years, supported by our strong liquidity position. At quarter end, this liquidity position consisted of $148.7 million in cash and $82 million in undrawn credit facility. Therefore, we have ample liquidity to support our capital allocation priorities and to manage through the current economic uncertainties. We intend to continue to opportunistically repurchase shares. As we've said previously, the timing and amount of any stock repurchases will depend on a variety of factors, including the price of Harmonix common stock, market conditions, macroeconomic conditions, corporate needs, and regulatory requirements. And finally, we intend to explore inorganic expansion opportunities. Our approach will be disciplined and targeted, with a focus on opportunities that complement our current capabilities and leverage our growing footprint in broadband. Turning back to a more detailed look at our first quarter 2025 financial results on slide 12. As I mentioned earlier, first quarter total company revenue was $133.1 million. In the quarter, we had two customers representing greater than 10% of total revenue, with Comcast representing 34% of total revenue and Charter representing 12%. Total company Q1 gross margin was 59.4%. above the high end of our guidance range and significantly up both sequentially and year over year. Broadband Q1 gross margin was 55.5%, up 280 basis points sequentially and 800 basis points year over year due predominantly to a higher mix of COS licenses. Video gross margin in Q1 was 66.4%, up 480 basis points year over year. The increase mainly due to the revenue strength related to larger refresh appliance deals and our cost optimization efforts. Moving down the income statement on slide 13, Q125 total company operating expenses were 60.5 million, down 3.6% year over year as a result of prior restructuring actions in video. And to briefly reiterate, first quarter 2025 broadband EBITDA was 15.9 million and video EBITDA was 5.3 million. Total company EPS was 11 cents. Turning to the order book, Q1 bookings were 113.7 million. The book-to-bill ratio for the quarter was 0.9 compared to 0.7 in Q4-24 and 1.2 in Q1-24. As we stated previously, over time, we expect our book-to-bill ratio to normalize and approach the historical benchmark of greater than one, especially as unified DOCSIS 4.0 in broadband ramps. Turning to the balance sheet on slide 14, we ended 2-1 with cash and cash equivalents of $148.7 million. The quarter-over-quarter change was mainly attributable to strong, positive free cash flow of $81.7 million, resulting from improved DSO and slightly lower inventory levels. Day sales outstanding at the end of Q125 was 67 compared to 72 in Q424 and 78 in Q124. The sequential decrease was due to strong in-quarter collections. Inventory decreased 1.9 million in the quarter and our day's inventory on hand was 103 days. At the end of Q1, total backlog and deferred revenue was $485.1 million. Around 51% of our backlog and deferred revenue have customer request dates for shipments of products and for providing services within the next 12 months. Turning to guidance, as we mentioned on our last earnings call, due to market developments around Unified DOCSIS 4.0, some customers have pushed out their deployment timing plans for 2025. We continue to believe this is mainly a timing change and expect these 2025 deployment shifts to create a positive tailwind for us in 2026 as schedules are refined and unified Ford Auto technology deployments accelerate. I'd like to take a couple of minutes to discuss the current tariff situation, its impact on our business, and how we are managing through it. In our video business, we anticipate that tariffs, both current and potential, will have an immaterial impact on our business. First of all, our video business revenue is geographically diversified and our U.S. sales are well below half of the revenue. Secondly, we have a flexible supply chain with multiple location options which we believe will allow us to minimize the tariff impact on the equipment element of our solutions, which is predominantly made up of off-the-shelf servers. In our broadband business, we do anticipate more significant impacts as a result of current and potential tariffs. As noted in our filings, one of our primary third-party manufacturing sites is in Malaysia. This is where we have the vast majority of our broadband node products manufactured. Additionally, a large majority of our broadband sales are to U.S.-based customers. With the current 90-day pause in reciprocal tariffs, we have a certain level of clarity for at least Q2, and today's guidance reflects our current expectations. It's important to note that to date, we have not seen any change in our customers' behavior due to the tariffs. This continues to be a fluid situation as we work through options on mitigating this short-term impact, as well as we look at longer-term supply chain options pending a final outcome on what the tariffs will be across different countries. We are actively exploring options to offset tariff sensitivity, including optimizing our supply chain, cost management, and taking price actions where appropriate. Our broadband solutions are critical for our customers as they upgrade their networks to address competitive pressures and to avoid subscriber churn. And we are confident that these current tariff uncertainties will not impact our business over the long term. Now let's review our non-GAAP guidance for 2025 beginning on slide 15. We are taking a prudent approach to Q2 guidance given the general macroeconomic factors I just mentioned. For the full year 2025, we will not be providing updated annual guidance today due to lack of visibility on the future tariffs and the impact it may have on economic conditions and our customers' behavior for the second half of 2025. Continually shifting tariff policies have made it difficult to forecast and guide with confidence for the full year. For Q2, we expect broadband to deliver revenue between 75 to 85 million, gross margins between 44 to 45% due to product mix, and adjusted EBITDA between two to six million. In our guidance, we expect to see continued revenue growth in our rest of world customers based on the progress Nimrod mentioned earlier, offset by expected timing shifts by our larger customers. This guidance includes an estimated tariff impact of approximately $3 million in the Q2 margins, almost all of which is related to broadband. We continue to assess and seek to mitigate the tariff impacts both in the short term and over the long term. For our video segment in Q2, we expect revenue in the range of $45 to $50 million, gross margin in the range of 63 to 64%, and adjusted EBITDA to range from two to four million. On this slide, we've also provided total company guidance for Q2. In the interest of time, I will let you read through the details. Please also note that our non-GAAP tax rate is 20%. I would like to highlight the total company EPS for the second quarter of 2025 is expected to be in the range of zero to four cents. We thank everyone for their attention today, and now I'll turn it back to Nimrod for final remarks before we open up the call for questions.

speaker
Nimrod Ben‐Natan
President and CEO

Thanks, Walter. In summary, we had a strong Q1 with gross margin and adjusted EBITDA exceeding our expectations in both of our businesses and video revenue that was also higher than we had anticipated. Although the transition to unified 4.0 in broadband and the current tariff situation is creating some short-term headwinds, as you can tell from our bogus update today, we continue to be confident in the long-term growth for our business and in the expected growth rebound for broadband in 2026. With our innovation and technology leadership positions, our strong operating model and proven business execution, our growing roster of customer wins and sizable backlog, we are extremely well positioned for the future. Walter and I are now happy to take your questions.

speaker
Lisa
Call Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. You'll hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. We also ask that you please wait for your name and company to be announced before proceeding with your question. One moment, please. Our first question will be coming from the line of Steve and Frankel. Excuse me, Rosenblatt Securities, your line is open.

speaker
Steve (Rosenblatt Securities)
Sell‐side Analyst

Good afternoon. Thanks for the opportunity. Last quarter, there was some discussion of this unified DOCSIS delay having to do with the amplifier piece. Obviously, you don't supply those, but it's critical to the network. Any update in terms of where you think the industry is in getting those unified amplifiers in and tested and tuned?

speaker
Nimrod Ben‐Natan
President and CEO

I would say, according to our original plan, There is no change relative to what we expected at the beginning of the year.

speaker
Steve (Rosenblatt Securities)
Sell‐side Analyst

And then in terms of dealing with the tariffs, given the cash flow and the balance sheet in Q1, does it make any sense to go out and try to buy product ahead of delivery to work around the tariffs or you're comfortable that whatever tariffs we end up with, your customers are likely to really share the burden and so you don't need to be aggressive about bringing in WIP.

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Hey, Steve, it's Walter. So, with regards specifically to looking at options to bring inventory in forward, especially as we have or currently have a 90-day pause, We definitely are looking at those options. As you noted, we have ample liquidity to bring in product sooner if we think it's advantageous for us and our customers in terms of the potential for additional tariffs post the 90-day pause.

speaker
Steve (Rosenblatt Securities)
Sell‐side Analyst

Okay. And then last quick one, in terms of fiber, where you seem to make some real progress in terms of bookings, when does that fiber business begin to become a material part of revenue in terms of deployments?

speaker
Nimrod Ben‐Natan
President and CEO

So we did not provide the breakdown, but this is becoming, I would say, sizable in terms of the revenue. I don't know, Walter, what level of details we can provide on that, but this is... certainly sizable. In this quarter, we expanded number of customers, and some of them were pretty big in terms of the booking and even initial revenue volume.

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, one thing I would add, Steve, to Nimrod's comments here is that we have cable customers that are purchasing both DOCSIS and fiber, and we've talked about that before in terms of penetrating our cable customers with our fiber products as well. So when we sell those products together, they're not necessarily segregated out. I think with regards to fiber sales to pure play telcos, that is an area that we continue to gain momentum on and will become more substantial as we move forward.

speaker
Nimrod Ben‐Natan
President and CEO

Yeah, I think the DZS comment that we made is a pure telco. The international opportunity we mentioned in Latin America is a cable, but a pure telco project from our point of view. And the other example that we provided is a sizable expansion with an existing customer.

speaker
Northland Capital Markets Participant
Analyst

Great. Thank you. I'll jump back in the queue. Thanks, Dave.

speaker
Lisa
Call Operator

Thank you. And our next question will be coming from the line of Ryan Kunz of the company. Your line is open.

speaker
Ryan Kunz
Analyst

Great, thanks. Just kind of double click here on kind of your second half uncertainty and try to understand exactly the source of that, how much of that uncertainty is coming from tariff situation and how much is coming from technology readiness whether it's your customers adopting new technology at a different pace or just the DOCSIS 4 unified ecosystem not really being ready yet. Can you help us parse that current visibility, the current view of second half?

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Sure, Ryan. It's Walter. I'll kick it off. Specifically with regards to not providing a full year guide this time, this is strictly due to the macroeconomics uncertainty associated with the tariffs and the continuing changes in the tariff rates and potential tariff rates. That's impacted us in terms of, you know, having the right level of visibility as we look through the rest of the year. As of today, we don't have all of the revenue for the year committed in backlog, as you would imagine. And therefore, as we look at the tariff uncertainty and all of the tariff fluctuations, and remember, this is 26 days old that we've been involved in this situation, and things have continued to change over that period of time. It puts us in a position where, depending on what happens next and the handling of these tariffs, We could see customers potentially delay orders or have some timing shift in orders, especially if the tariffs are significant and we'll need to sit down with customers and discuss pricing going forward associated with products. So this is the uncertainty that's been put in front of us. It's all related to that. And we just don't feel comfortable that we can provide a confident guide for the full year based on what we see ahead of us and where we are right now, 26 days into the situation with regards to tariffs. In my prepared remarks today, we talked about you know, our business and provided some, some color around, you know, a, you know, large majority of, of our broadband business does go to the U S it comes from, from Asia. So those are the key facts in terms of, you know, what, what we're dealing with as we go through this and, you know, it's everybody in the industry is going through it, obviously out of our control, but we're managing it effectively in terms of what we can do in the short term. to address the tariffs that are in place right now, as well as looking longer term. But really, we need to see what those final rules are before we start making any decisions with regards to supply chains for the longer term. I think the other thing to really note here is that, and I mentioned it in the prepared remarks, that the fundamentals are strong. You heard it today from Nimrod in terms of our wins, our progress with regards to our long-term strategy, none of that has changed. Our customers, in terms of their situation around competitive pressure and needing to upgrade the network or face subscriber loss, that hasn't changed. So we feel very good about our business in the long term. in the business. I think we all are facing some short-term headwinds and uncertainty, all associated with regards to the macroeconomic uncertainty and the situation around tariffs.

speaker
Ryan Kunz
Analyst

That's really helpful, Walter. Thank you. Just a clarification on your comment about the nodes and sourcing that technology. Obviously, the RPDs are coming from a traditional PCB shop, contract manufacturer But how about the balance of the nodes in terms of, you know, the power and mechanicals that are, you know, so heavy? And are those also sourced from Malaysia or are they coming from?

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. As per the prepared remarks, the vast majority, the vast majority of our product is manufactured out of Malaysia for the broadband business. Got it.

speaker
Ryan Kunz
Analyst

All right. Thanks so much.

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Ryan.

speaker
Lisa
Call Operator

Thank you. And one moment for the next question, please. Our next question is coming from the line of Victor Chu of Raymond James. The line is open.

speaker
Victor Chu (for Simon Leopold)
Raymond James Analyst

Hi, guys. This is Victor for Simon Leopold. Just to follow up on the tariff commentary a bit, can you tell us, you know, kind of what potential options you're looking at in terms of possibly, you know, diversifying your manufacturing footprint, like you mentioned earlier for the broadband business?

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Victor. It's Walter. Yeah, so without getting into a lot of specific details, obviously there are other options, and I'm sure you've heard it from perhaps other companies out there in terms of looking beyond Asia, looking to nearshore our supply chain potential for doing work in Mexico under the USMCA rules. But this is all... preliminary. We really need to understand what is going to be the permanent tariff environment, and then that will allow us to do the appropriate assessment to determine if there are other options that would be beneficial to us and our customers.

speaker
Victor Chu (for Simon Leopold)
Raymond James Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And then, you know, kind of just excluding the potential impact from tariffs, has there been any change around the visibility of the spending trajectory from your two largest MSO customers at this point in the year versus when you cautioned us against the slower spending last year?

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I would say, Victor, without getting into any specific customers, we mentioned it on the call, and I think we also mentioned it in our quote today. We haven't seen any change in our customers' behavior to date.

speaker
Victor Chu (for Simon Leopold)
Raymond James Analyst

And then just one last one quick. I'm sorry, what was the mixed dynamic in the broadband segment between 1Q and 2Q that's causing the big drop in the margins?

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Oh, certainly. So let me just bridge the margins for the Q2 guide. In the Q2 guide, we highlighted that we had put in $3 million approximately for the the tariff impact. That's a worst case scenario. We're working through that right now. So if you bridge that, which is predominantly almost all of it is to the broadband business, the delta between Q1 and Q2 would be the mix of COS licenses. in the quarter. Q2 is a below average type of quarter in terms of the mix of the COS compared to all the other products. That's the bridge between Q1 and Q2. And you would have seen in our Q4 results the margin levels we were at in broadband. So in Q2, when you normalize for that, that's what's causing it to dip down.

speaker
Northland Capital Markets Participant
Analyst

Thank you.

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Victor.

speaker
Lisa
Call Operator

Thank you. And as a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone. And our next question will be coming from the line of Elisa Shreeves of Barclays. Your line is open.

speaker
Elisa Shreeves (on behalf of Tim Long)
Barclays Analyst

Hi, this is Elisa Shreeves on for Tim Long from Barclays. I was just looking at the SaaS piece in the video business. It looks like it was down a little bit quarter to quarter. Can you talk a little bit about the customer dynamics you're seeing within this piece of the business? in terms of kind of overall customer physical health?

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, no. Hi, Alyssa. It's Walter. So with regards to SaaS, yeah, from Q4 to Q1, we were down slightly. There's always a level of seasonality with regards to especially live events and sports. And so there is no major shift in terms of customers. or the portfolio of customers that we have. And when we look at year over year growth, as I mentioned during the prepared remarks, it's 15% up year over year. One other thing to just comment or provide a little bit more color on, you know, we do expect the SAS business to grow in 2025. We mentioned that on our last earnings call. And a good part of that growth will come from our partnership with Akamai that we announced during the last quarterly call. And we had not any contribution from that in the first quarter. That's right. We expect that to be starting to contribute kind of mid-year and going forward.

speaker
Elisa Shreeves (on behalf of Tim Long)
Barclays Analyst

Okay, that's really helpful. And then you talked about some of the traditional kind of appliance refresh wins you're seeing. How should we kind of think about where we are in terms of ending with this kind of traditional appliance refresh cycle? Are we still, are we in the middle? How should we kind of think about timing there? Thanks.

speaker
Nimrod Ben‐Natan
President and CEO

Yeah, so we think it's going to continue. That was the level of confidence that we shared in the prepared remarks. It's not like a major industry trend like we see on SaaS streaming. But at the same time, we see a good list of reasons for customers to upgrade and refresh for higher density, refreshing the compute infrastructure, new features and capabilities, improved video quality. There is a kind of good list of reasons for that. I think one of the other things that is helping us is the fairly big installed base that we have. So we don't need the entire installed base to go through a refresh at once. So in aggregate, we see that continuing.

speaker
Tim Savino
Northland Capital Markets Analyst

Great. Thank you so much.

speaker
Northland Capital Markets Participant
Analyst

Thanks, Alyssa.

speaker
Tim Savino
Northland Capital Markets Analyst

Thank you.

speaker
Lisa
Call Operator

And our next question will be coming from the line of Tim Savino of Northland Capital Markets.

speaker
Tim Savino
Northland Capital Markets Analyst

Your line is open.

speaker
Northland Capital Markets Participant
Analyst

Hey, good afternoon.

speaker
Northland Capital Markets Participant
Analyst

A couple of questions here, but I'll start on this one first. Last quarter, you talked about amplifier availability or smart amplifier availability, I think. as maybe a gating factor or one factor that could be slowing down deployments. Talked about a technology collaboration, aim to address that. I wonder if we can get an update on the status of that situation from your perspective.

speaker
Nimrod Ben‐Natan
President and CEO

Yeah, so I think when we presented that issue, we basically said that... Um, we count on availability of these, uh, not smart, but brilliant, uh, amplifiers. Um, and, and we've got dependency on them. We also mentioned that we collaborate with, uh, to bring, um, more, um, choice, uh, for the market and help speed up the deployment. What I said earlier is that right now it's progressing, progressing, according to what we. anticipated when we provided the outlook for the entire year.

speaker
Northland Capital Markets Participant
Analyst

So it's going according to the plan. Okay.

speaker
Northland Capital Markets Participant
Analyst

And just to, well, I mean, I guess the original plan from a guidance perspective was a pretty, you know, decent ramp in broadband or pretty sharp ramp in broadband throughout the year. And it sounds like you would still expect that to be the case, at least on, you know, barring any other issues. With regard to some of the rest of the business, it looks like based on spending targets that your other big U.S. customers planning a pretty aggressive ramp in spending throughout the year. Is that something you see from your perspective? And, you know, again, leaving a side product availability? Has anything sort of changed there from your standpoint?

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Hey, Tim, it's Walter. Maybe I'll take that question. Obviously, we can't guide specifically to any one particular customer. Obviously, we've also read all of the public information associated with our largest customers. So, No specific comment with regards to that piece of it. Obviously, we had a certain expectation as we entered the year. We've provided our guide now for Q2, which is a prudent guide considering the macroeconomic environment that we're in right now. We're just not guiding second half for all of the reasons that I mentioned earlier in the Q&A and the prepared remarks.

speaker
Northland Capital Markets Participant
Analyst

Got it. Well, maybe let's wrap up then with just the Q2 guide in broadband.

speaker
Northland Capital Markets Participant
Analyst

I mean, you'd mentioned having seen no changes in customer behavior, and I guess you've called out a potential tariff impact. But, you know, is there anything in particular driving that guidance to be flat to down, you know, given those comments about no changes in customer behavior?

speaker
Nimrod Ben‐Natan
President and CEO

So I would say two things relative to if you compare that to Q1 or Q2 of last year. So it's really a timing issue with some of our larger projects related to transitions. We did talk in the past on Unified 4.0 that we're dependent or limited to the pace of that and also couple of, I would call it a scale-up of projects. The second thing, maybe, Walter, you can comment on how we got prudent around what's kind of book and burn ahead of us.

speaker
Walter Jankovic
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so with the uncertainty, we definitely have a bias to rely a little bit less on what we call book and burn. So these are opportunities that haven't yet booked. that we expect will book and turn to revenue in the quarter. So just because of the uncertainty potential that some of those orders could be delayed, we've biased ourselves a little bit more to relying more on the backlog and a little bit less on the book and burn elements. So we think that's the prudent thing to do considering the environment we're in right now that continues to shift by the day.

speaker
Nimrod Ben‐Natan
President and CEO

I'll just add on my earlier comment. This was really expected. This is not something that was discovered for the second quarter. We knew what we're walking into. I think the book and burn conservatism is really something we decided on the kind of last couple of weeks.

speaker
Northland Capital Markets Participant
Analyst

Got it. Thanks very much.

speaker
Lisa
Call Operator

Okay, great. Thanks, Tim. Thank you. And that does conclude today's Q&A session. I would like to go ahead and turn the call back over to Nimrod Benaten, CEO. Please go ahead for closing remarks.

speaker
Nimrod Ben‐Natan
President and CEO

We appreciate your continued interest in Harmonic and look forward to updating you on our progress in the future. Thank you all for joining the call. Have a good day.

speaker
Lisa
Call Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may all disconnect.

Disclaimer

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