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icad inc.

Q32022

11/10/2022

speaker
Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the ICAD Incorporated Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants have been placed on a listen-only mode, and the floor will be open for questions and comments after the presentation. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to your host, Ms. Lenore Faber, Executive Assistant to the Chief Executive Officer. Lenore, the floor is yours.

speaker
Lenore Faber

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for ICAD's third quarter 2022 earnings conference call. On the call today, we have Stacy Stevens, our president and chief executive officer, and Steve Sarno, our interim chief financial officer. Before turning the call over to Stacy, I would like to remind everyone that we will be making forward-looking statements on the call today. These forward-looking statements are based on ICAD's current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Actual results may differ materially from these expectations. For a list of factors that could cause actual results to differ, please see today's press release in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. ICAD undertakes no obligation to revise or update any statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this conference call. I would also note that management will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Management believes that these measures provide meaningful information for investors and reflect the way they view the operating performance of the company. You can find a reconciliation of our GAAP to non-GAAP measures at the end of the earnings release. With that, I'll turn the call over to Stacey.

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Thank you, Lenore, and good afternoon, everyone. As we close out another quarter and look ahead towards 2023, I continue to be optimistic about the company and its prospects. With a portfolio of market-leading, first-in-kind technologies, we are addressing significant unmet needs in global health, and I am confident that we are taking the right steps and that we are building the right team to ensure continued growth for the company and create additional shareholder value. That said, this is a transformational time for us in many ways. As we shift our business towards even more sustainable, future-driven models of business that are positioned to propel our company to new heights, in the last quarter we have continued to make significant strides to ensure we meet and exceed our desired endpoints. Looking at the detection side of the business, ICAD's Breast AI Suite remains the only complete AI solution for breast cancer detection, density evaluation, and risk assessment solution available on the market today. And we continue to see this world-leading technology as the ultimate value driver for the company. With strong competitive differentiation and a superior value proposition, particularly when it comes to efficiency, performance, and workflow benefits, underlying demand for our technology remains strong. But more importantly, our solutions continue to have a positive impact on patient lives. And we believe they will, over time, become standard of care. As we continue to assess future opportunities for our business, evolving customer needs, and our existing operations, it is clear that things will look different going forward, and this has necessitated several meaningful changes in how ICAD does business. The first is to optimize our operational model to better address our largest opportunities in the most effective and efficient manner. To that end, we are implementing major changes, one of which involves shifting to a more partnership-focused go-to-market approach. As an example of this is our new relationship with the largest radiology practice in the United States, Radiology Partners, which we announced this afternoon. I will discuss the rationale and benefits of this partnership in more detail later on the call, but we are very excited by the initial order we received this month that allows access to our technology to hundreds of thousands of patients, as well as the developing potential of this new relationship. Another major change is our ongoing transition to a subscription software model. This model offers a number of benefits for the company and our customers, as it offers an accelerated way for customers to adopt, deploy, and scale our technologies with significantly lower upfront costs compared to a one-time license sale. The subscription model also offers customers the ability to add new functionalities more easily than in a one-time license sale model and without costly capital outlays. This model not only drives significant long-term recurring revenue opportunities for the company, we believe it can generate at least twice the amount of revenue per customer over five years compared to the one-time perpetual model. We have also seen a marked increase in customer demand in this more flexible model with more subscriptions sold in Q3 than in the entire first half of 2022. And no subscription we have ever booked has ever been canceled. This validates our decision to move to this model and offers tangible proof of the strength of the underlying demand for our AI technology. However, as previously mentioned, Measuring subscription revenue in the near term poses a unique reporting challenge as the revenue it generates is recognized over time. Therefore, based on your feedback and in order to help our investment community better measure and follow the success of our transition, we are introducing a new metric, Subscription Annual Recurring Revenue, or SARR. At its most basic, SARR for a given subscription is the amount of recurring annual revenue that the subscription is expected to generate. Steve will further explain the specific SARR financial metrics shortly. As part of the transition to this new model, we are proactively aligning our cost structure to better match the revenue trajectory of these subscriptions and other anticipated recurring revenue models. To that end, we have proactively taken out over $3 million in annualized expenses while maintaining investments in key growth initiatives on a go-forward basis. We believe that as we evolve to a more efficient, partner-focused approach, this will ultimately enable a lower cost structure for the company. Very importantly, I want to stress that based on our strategic plan and including these cost reduction efforts, We do not have any plans to raise additional equity or debt at this time. Turning now to the third quarter, the environment continued to be overshadowed by macro factors continuing to impact and delay capital budgets, such as high inflation, rising interest rates, supply chain issues for some gantry manufacturers, and the associated concerns brought about by these issues. In addition, there are ongoing customer challenges with regard to staffing. This environment was fairly consistent with what we have seen so far this year. In fact, at least two major health systems have expressed a strong desire to acquire our AI solutions, but full capital budget freezes are causing delays to their purchase plans. It is this overall economic climate, along with the sharp rise in the number of subscriptions versus capital licenses, that contributed to our reported 6.4 million in total revenue. We are working diligently to mitigate these impacts via a heightened focus on subscription sales to drive long-term recurring revenue, company-wide expense reductions, and the expansion of strategic partnerships and enterprise deals, such as with radiology partners. We expect to announce additional key partnerships in the near term. Taking a closer look at the detection business, total detection revenue in the third quarter was $4.4 million, down 27% year over year. Although this quarter is particularly challenging to compare as Q3 of 2021 had not only multiple significant enterprise deals, but also a large inventory bulk purchase from one of our OEM partners. As previously mentioned, demand for our breast AI solutions remained strong as evidenced by the growth and success of the subscriptions. In fact, further accelerating subscription sales is assisting us in overcoming several macro and capital budget challenges. due to the favorable economics for the customer, while also enabling us to further penetrate key enterprise customers. We have also made great progress in expanding our strategic partnerships across the industry, including today's announcement of our developing nationwide agreement and first order with Radiology Partners, the largest radiology practice in the U.S. Nationally recognized for their clinical leadership in mammography, Radiology Partners provides mammography services to millions of women per year across more than 3,000 facilities, including the top 10 largest health systems in the country, making them an exceptional partner. This collaboration is expected to solidify ICAD's position as Radiology Partners' provider of breast AI solutions and will leverage Radiology Partners' clinical expertise, scale, and leadership position to expand access to ICAD's Breast AI Suite to potentially thousands of physicians and millions of patients. ICAD's technology can be deployed to the Radiology Partners Network via RP Cloud, significantly increasing the potential for adoption across their network of practices and unleashing the ability to improve mammography screening for millions of women across the country. This type of strategic relationship is a prime example of our more targeted and efficient go-to-market approach. We expect to explore similar partnerships in the future to further broaden access to ICAD's Breast AI Suite. Last quarter, we also announced an exciting partnership with Solus Mammography, the largest independent provider of breast screening and diagnostic services in the US. This multi-year strategic research and commercial collaboration is expected to result in a powerful AI solution that will quantify the presence of breast arterial calcifications in a mammogram to assess the risk of cardiovascular disease. With heart disease being the number one killer among women in the US, this collaboration not only offers the potential to address a significant unmet need in patient care, but also to penetrate a sizable new market. Given that approximately 40 million women are screened in the US annually, the evaluation of breast arterial calcifications at the time of breast cancer screening could be a simple and efficient way to screen millions of women at risk for heart disease each year as part of an overall preventative care strategy. ICAT and SOLUS have worked closely together over the last two years in the fight against breast cancer through the application of our Breast AI Suite across SOLUS's more than 100 locations. And we look forward to working with their exceptional team to expand on our shared mission and take on one of the greatest threats to women's health. In order to better support the expected expansion of the detection business, we are taking bolder steps to optimize our commercial team, particularly in the United States. As we have reported in previous quarters, we have been working to strengthen our organization throughout the year with new skill sets we believe are crucial to achieving our goals in the future. We have gone a step further and are now in the final stages of bringing on a new commercial leader for the detection business who will focus exclusively on driving sales in the United States of our breast AI suite. We believe this decision will enable greater focus and execution on our growing pipeline of opportunities as we move forward. Now turning to our therapy business. Total third quarter therapy revenue was $2 million. Similar to Q1, the results were impacted by the slower than expected ramp of one of our partners as they conducted a second financing round, as well as our own decision to stop taking additional orders from partners with aging accounts receivable. There continues to be strong underlying customer demand from dermatologists, and we are working to bring at least one new partner on, which we expect to improve results in this segment in Q4. In terms of other application areas, we continue to progress our brain clinical study and expect to see early positive report on the safety and feasibility of the treatment to date, presented at the upcoming Society of Neuro-Oncology annual meeting later this month. We also have new updated data with longer patient follow-up for both our breast and skin applications, both of which have been submitted for publication in peer-reviewed journals and for presentation at major upcoming industry events. I am also pleased to report that the Steve Biko Academic Hospital in Pretoria, South Africa, recently became the first site in Africa to offer GYN treatments with ZOFT. Gynecological cancers are some of the most common cancers among women worldwide, but Africa represents 20% of the world's new cervical cancers each year, and cervical cancer is the most common cancer in South Africa. Due to its small footprint, mobility benefits, and low-energy, high-dose treatment, the Zoff system is particularly well-suited to address these health challenges. So, in conclusion, we made significant strides over the last quarter that will continue to yield benefits in the months and years ahead. We know that there continues to be strong demand for our AI technology, especially as indicated by strong interest in the subscription offering. We are demonstrating success in the transition to subscription as evidenced by the growth in ARR and booked ARR, including backlog. We are proactively aligning our cost structure to better match the flow of business. And importantly, market leaders such as Radiology Partners and SOLUS are providing us with an efficient path to market while also demonstrating their belief in our capabilities and future as they expand more of their business on ICAD technology. While the near-term reported results are not ideal, I believe that these encouraging data points are indicators that we are making the right changes and that ICAT is correctly positioning itself for success moving forward. With that, I will turn the call over to Steve for a detailed review of our Q3 financials.

speaker
Lenore

Thank you, Stacey, and good afternoon to all of you. I'll now summarize our financial results for the third quarter ended September 30th of 2022. On a U.S. GAAP basis, our total revenues for the quarter was $6.4 million, a decline of 32% from $9.4 million in the third quarter of 2021. Product revenue was $3.2 million, down 49% from $6.3 million a year ago. Revenue from services and supplies was $3.1 million, up 4% from $3 million in Q3 of last year. As Stacy mentioned earlier, We believe that concerns regarding recessionary fears, higher inflation, and rising interest rates, along with tighter capital budgets, have all had an impact on our business. In addition, there were some business-specific factors, such as the growth of subscriptions, that also impacted the comparison of our year-over-year results. Moving to our detection segment, our detection segment revenue in Q3 was $4.4 million, down 27%. from $6 million in Q3 a year ago. Within detection, our Q3 product revenue was $2.5 million, down 43% from $4.5 million a year ago. Detection service revenue was $1.8 million, up 17% from $1.6 million a year ago. We believe that the current macroeconomic headwinds, pressure on customer budgets, and continued supply shortages impacting gantry sales, as well as our moving a greater portion of our sales to subscription revenue, and a large bulk inventory purchase from one of our OEM partners in Q3 of 2021, were all contributing factors in the decrease in our year-over-year detection revenues. In regards to our move towards subscription revenue, We are providing a new metric, Subscription Annual Recurring Revenue, or SARR, to help measure our progress. Subscription ARR is a metric used by management to measure the growth of its recurring revenue from subscription transactions with our detection business customers. We have two versions of this metric. The first is subscription ARR from installed subscriptions that are earning revenue from as of the last month of the reporting period. To calculate this metric, the most recent calendar month's revenue earned is multiplied by 12 months to provide us with an estimate of revenue that will be earned from our installed subscription customers over the next 12 months. Our subscription ARR from installed customers was $161,000 as of the end of Q3. The second version of our subscription ARR metric is subscription ARR from booked subscription agreements, which is calculated by multiplying the monthly revenue that will be earned by all booked subscription agreements once they are installed times 12 months. Please note that subscription agreements that are booked by each month's end typically take six to eight weeks to be installed at our customers' locations. A subscription ARR from booked subscription agreements as of the end of Q3 was $530,000. The difference of $369,000 between these two metrics represents subscription agreements that were booked at the end of Q3 that had not yet been installed. In fact, none of the subscription deals booked in Q3 have been installed or recognized as revenue in Q3. We expect all of these Q3 booked but not yet installed arrangements to be installed by the end of 2022. This is a good indicator of the early success of the subscription offering and demonstrates how cumulative revenue can grow very rapidly in this model. Please note that each of these ARR metrics represents an estimate of future revenue over the next 12 months as our subscription contracts allow for cancellation by our customers with 30 days notice. To date, we have not experienced any cancellations, and we expect very low churn on these subscriptions. ARR should be viewed independently of revenue and does not represent our revenue under U.S. GAAP on an annualized basis, as it is an operating metric that can be impacted by contract start dates, end dates, cancellations, and renewal rates. ARR is not intended to be a replacement for forecast of revenue. Moving to our therapy segment, Q3 therapy revenue was $2 million down 40% from $3.4 million in Q3 of 2021. Within the therapy revenues, product revenue was $671,000 down 64% from $1.9 million in Q3 of 2021. while revenue earned from service and supplies were $1.3 million, down 11% from $1.5 million in Q3 of 2021. Moving to a discussion of our consolidated gross profits and gross margins, our gross profit in Q3 was $4.4 million, down 35% from $6.7 million a year ago. The lower gross profit this quarter was primarily due to the reduction in revenue as previously discussed. Our gross profit margin for the third quarter of 2022 was 69% versus 72% in Q3 of last year. The reduction in the overall margin was primarily driven by the decrease in gross margins in our therapy business that was partially offset by a slight increase in our detection business gross margin percentage. Moving to operating expenses, our Q3 operating expenses were $8.3 million, down 6% from $8.9 million in Q3 a year ago. The decrease in operating expenses was primarily due to a reduction in our headcount as we chose not to backfill some positions that turned over. Our Q3 operating loss was $4 million, representing an increased loss of $1.8 million compared to $2.2 million loss in Q3 of 2021. Our increased loss was primarily a result of lower revenues partially offset by the reduction in our operating expenses. Our GAAP net loss for the third quarter of 2022 was $3.9 million, or a loss of 15 cents per basic and diluted share. On a non-GAAP basis, our net loss for Q3 was $3.9 million, or a loss of 15 cents per basic and diluted share. Our Q3 non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA this quarter was a loss of $3.4 million versus $1.4 million in Q3 a year ago. Moving to the balance sheet, as of September 30, 2022, we had outstanding receivables of $8.5 million versus $10.2 million as of June 30, 2022. The $1.7 million reduction in our outstanding receivables is attributable to $1.2 million of lower revenues and a half million dollars of stronger collections. In some instances, our focus on collecting past due balances and the quality of our receivables has resulted in lower sales, particularly in our therapy business, which has some distributors that are still not as financially healthy as they were prior to COVID-19. Moving to inventory, our net inventory as of September 30, 2022, was $5.6 million, up $.6 million from June 30, 2022, and $3.3 million as of September 30, 2021, due to lower sales and higher inventory purchases that were made in Q4 of last year in reaction to the supply shortages that existed, and delivery of those purchases have been received throughout 2022. As we move towards next year, we expect to reduce our inventory levels closer to their historical levels. Moving to cash, as of September 30, 2022, we had cash and cash equivalents of $24.6 million, a decrease of $2.6 million compared to cash and cash equivalents of $27.2 million as of June 30, 2022, and $35.8 million as of September 30, of 2021. Cash and cash equivalents used during the third quarter was $2.6 million. Our $2.6 million of cash usage was the result of $2.7 million used in operations and $0.1 million used for CapEx, partially offset by $0.2 million provided from financing inflows, primarily related to the exercise of employee stock options. During Q3 and into Q4, we have been working to reduce our spending in reaction to our evolving business model that Stacey discussed earlier and have reduced our annual expenses on a go-forward basis in excess of $3 million. The majority of this reduction in spending has come from reducing our headcount, both through not backfilling open positions and by a reduction in force that we took last week. Through these actions, we have reduced our headcount approximately 17% from the beginning of the year. We are also taking a charge of about $125,000 in the fourth quarter of 2022 associated with the reduction in force. Because the majority of these actions were taken during Q4, we would expect to see only a slight reduction in our Q4 cash burn and then receive the full benefit beginning in Q1 of 2023. This concludes the financial highlights portion of our presentation. And I would now like to turn the call back over to the operator to lead us through the Q&A.

speaker
Operator

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, the floor is now open for questions. If you have any questions or comments, please press star 1 on your phone. We ask that while posing your question, you please pick up your handset if listening on a speakerphone to provide optimum sound quality. Please hold whilst we poll for questions. Thank you. Your first question is coming from Per Ostland of Craig Hallam Capital. Per, your line is live.

speaker
Steve Sano

Thank you. Good afternoon, Stacey and Steve. Let's start with Radiology Partners. That's obviously a, that looks like a signature win for you. And I guess I'm just want to start with a little bit of maybe the backstory there. Had they been a customer to any extent before? Was this something you see as a competitive win or a competitive takeaway? And I guess let's pair that with the SOLUS agreement from not too long ago as well, that expansion. How critical to sizable, notable partners like these two is the fact that you have a suite of products that you can go out with and have those partners not have to piecemeal it across vendors.

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Right. Yeah, thanks for that, Per. So let me give you a little bit of background on the radiology partners relationship, and we're obviously incredibly excited about the initial order we've received and the future potential prospects for this relationship, just to kind of put it in perspective from kind of a size and scale perspective. Radiology Partners today controls the imaging or the reading of images for a total of around 50 million imaging exams, and that's kind of across all of modalities, and for 22 million patients in the United States. Today they control the mammography and mammography services for about 3 million of the total U.S. mammograms, so close to 10% of the U.S. mammography market. They have 3,000 radiologists, and they serve 3,000 sites with imaging services or in their own practice locations, of which there are about 131. They have coverage in all 50 states. They have on-site practices in 35 states. And they're currently serving 17 of the 20 largest health systems in the United States. So obviously sort of much bigger scope and scale than anything else that the company has ever announced or any other relationship in the company. How this came about, we do have some products in some of the radiology partner sites today. That's kind of how it got started. And this was a competitive win for us.

speaker
Steve Sano

TAB, Mark McIntyre, excellent. TAB, Mark McIntyre, yeah we're clearly going to be looking forward to seeing the impact of of that agreement it's not it's not hard when you see the 3000 3000 locations and when you see you know. Other wins that I think are legitimate wins, very meaningful wins, 3000 kind of dwarfs that I think to some degree.

speaker
Stacy Stevens

I think it's important to understand that no revenue has been recognized from this order yet. The great thing about this initial order is that it is a recurring revenue model structure that is expected to build over time. It's not a subscription model but rather a mammography per exam pricing model and the implementation will be primarily on their internal cloud infrastructure. So super exciting from that standpoint as well in that it will over time contribute to our newly unleashed subscription ARR metric.

speaker
Steve Sano

Absolutely. Is it fair to say that Radiology Partners is taking your entire suite, or are they focused predominantly on profound AI and perhaps risk at this point?

speaker
Stacy Stevens

The entire suite is part of this deal.

speaker
Steve Sano

Fantastic. So, you mentioned in your prepared remarks and in the release that you sold more subscriptions in Q3 than the first six months, and I think we're all starting to understand and will continue to better understand the machinations of the revenue recognition aspect of that. But is it fair to say, given where, you know, numbers kind of came in for Q3, if you sold more subscriptions in Q3 than the first six months of the year, that maybe this shift is turning into something, dare I say, a little more profound than you thought it might be, you know, six, nine, 12 months ago?

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Yeah, great use of the brand, first of all. And absolutely, we do see this accelerating a bit faster. And part of that is increasing customer demand for the model. And frankly, part of that is that we are positioning this a greater amount of the time as a better way to accelerate winning business in what still is a challenging market environment. Now, having said that, It's a new model and we expect there to be some choppiness to it for a period of time, but overall we are positioning this as our model of choice. If you look at the long-term recurring revenue that it generates, as I mentioned in the script, over a five-year period, we believe that it can generate at least twice the revenue, right? So this is a great model for the company and challenging optics and reporting in the short term, obviously, when it comes to revenue. But we really believe this is the model for the future and the model that can really build the growth of this company going forward.

speaker
Steve Sano

Understood. Maybe last one, just to dovetail off of that, Stacey. So with the introduction of the SARR metric, and we'll see that unfold over time. You also did mention backlog in your prepared remarks, too, and at the risk of introducing metric overload. Is that something that's somewhat quantifiable as well, you know, backlog as opposed to, you know, a more generic pipeline, if you will? Or is that something that, it's probably best for none of us to really focus on at this point.

speaker
Lenore

Hey, Per, Steve Sano. No, that is a metric that we can measure. As we said, there's two flavors of this. The first is based on what's been installed. So think of that as contracted and installed and generating revenue in the most recent month. And we take that amount and multiply it by 12. The other metric is contracted but not yet installed because there's a six to eight week delay in having it installed. So, you know, that's an amount that we, you know, reasonably believe would flow in over the, you know, over the fourth quarter. So that first metric is, you know, 161,000. And then once everything from Q3 is installed, that would jump it up to about 530,000 of ARR. Does that help? Very good.

speaker
Steve Sano

Yes, absolutely. Absolutely. Thanks for the call and thanks for the answers to the other questions as well.

speaker
Operator

Sure. Thank you very much. Your next question is coming from Marie Thibault of BTIG. Marie, your line is live.

speaker
Marie Thibault

Hey, good afternoon. This is Sam Liberon from Marie. Thanks for taking the questions here. Maybe I can ask my first question on any more color specifics you can give on how the new commercial team is set up here and the new partnership strategy. You mentioned you're evaluating others, so any more details you can give on some of the behind-the-scenes work there and maybe how the different approach is expected to leverage growth going forward?

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Sure. Sure. Sure, Sam. So first off, regarding the commercial setup, we are moving to a bit of an organizational structure. Prior to this, our commercial team has sort of been combined into one organization, so both our ZOFT and detection business under one leader, and it's also been led kind of at the global level. We really felt that we needed to bring greater focus on execution in particularly in the United States specific to the detection business. So we are moving to a structure, bringing on a new national leader for the detection business. We're in the very final stages of doing that. And that person will be much closer to the day-to-day execution of the sales opportunities, the sales force, the customers. And we think that that should be able to have a positive impact on our success in that geography. I think you had a second question. What was the second question?

speaker
Marie Thibault

just more on the partnerships and how maybe the new team is evaluating some of the potential new ones coming forward?

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Yeah, so, you know, we are, as I said in the script, moving to a model where we're sort of investing in this, in what I would call deeper levels of relationships with key partners and collaborators in the market where it's really more than just a transaction, right? So it could include joint product development opportunities like what we're doing with SOLUS, clinical data sharing, KOL input, clinical trial and study work, and even some elements of distribution and sales of the product that can complement our own sales team. So it's a little bit different way of going to market in a more partnership-oriented model. with some deeper level of investment in a number of partners relative to kind of the traditional way of knocking on the door of every hospital and radiology clinic. And we think that this is a better model for the future to help us scale quicker and also to enable us to have ultimately a lower cost structure for the company as well.

speaker
Marie Thibault

Okay, very good. Thanks for the added detail there. And maybe just as a follow-up, you know, anything – you know, we can get on a potential mix of subscription versus perpetual this quarter. Um, and maybe how you're expecting it to shift going forward. I know we're still expecting a shift to some degree, and I know potentially maybe a faster acceleration here, but you know, is this something where we're expecting 75, 25 subscription, a perpetual, you know, in Q4 or, you know, any ballpark ranges we can get there.

speaker
Lenore

Sure. So when you talk about, you know, mixed with the business, it's a little complicated in that, uh, you know, when you recognize a perpetual, you know, a perpetual sale, you're taking 100% of that revenue basically up front except for maybe a carve out on the maintenance piece. On a, you know, on a subscription sale, once you make that sale, there's a six to eight week, you know, lag before you can even get it installed. And then it begins to recognize revenue and it's recognizing, you know, basically on a, you know, a daily or a monthly basis. So the amount of revenue that you get in any particular month or quarter is a fraction of what you would have on the perpetual. So when you look at mix that way on a GAAP-recognized revenue basis, it's going to be very small and take time as we've just begun selling those. When you look at it, though, when you book these things, you'd see that the percentage there is quite a bit higher and growing. It's more in the 25% to 30% plus range of what we're actually booking. Great. Thanks for taking the questions.

speaker
Operator

Sure, Sam.

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Thanks.

speaker
Operator

Thank you very much. Your next question is coming from Frank Takanan of Lake Street Capital. Frank, your line is live.

speaker
Frank Takanan

Hey, thanks for taking my questions. Maybe to start with one on radiology partners. I was hoping you could just help us frame how many is the, we'll call it the low-hanging fruit opportunity for this partner. And maybe it's helpful if you can share things along the lines of how many 3D tomos they have installed network-wide or other figures like that to kind of gauge what the overarching opportunity is within that partner.

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Sure. Yeah, thanks for that, Frank. Just to kind of put it in perspective, Radiology Partners both owns their own imaging centers, of which there are approximately 130 in the United States, and then they provide mammography reading services for thousands of sites across the country. I don't actually know how many total gantries that represents, obviously a very large number, but it's kind of a hybrid model, right, between owned and serviced accounts. for the initial order that they have now given us. Again, that is a per exam type model that will enable them to use our technology to read hundreds of thousands of mammograms. And if you think sort of about the total opportunity going forward, as I mentioned earlier, Between what they own and what they service, it's about 3 million total mammograms.

speaker
Frank Takanan

Okay, that's helpful. And then maybe staying with radiology partners, I'm assuming it's an exclusive partner, but maybe just speak to that, whether or not they're working with any other AI technology. And then I heard your comment on it was a competitive win, so maybe speak to the primary reasons radiology chose ICAT over other competitors.

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Sure. I mean, there's lots of ways to talk about exclusivity, both ways, right? And we're not able to disclose the details about that at this time. Relative to the competitive win, I think it was really a combination of factors and not too dissimilar from the reasons why we win in the marketplace versus competitors, not only the performance of our product, but even increasingly so, we're finding that The piece of the value proposition that is being amplified right now is the workflow and efficiency and productivity gains that can be had from profound AI. Again, given their scope and scale, the ability to sort of streamline and make more efficient the reading of mammograms is an important factor, along with connectivity and interoperability factors. So we believe those were the primary reasons why we were able to you know, come out with this collaboration.

speaker
Frank Takanan

Okay, great. Then maybe one on the last one on the cost savings side. Where should we expect those savings to be most predominant when you're looking at 2023?

speaker
Lenore

Really throughout operating expenses. That's the, you know, the primary area that that's coming out of. And it's kind of spread evenly across the board.

speaker
Frank Takanan

Okay. That's helpful. I'll stop there, and thanks, and congrats on all the progress.

speaker
Operator

Thanks so much, Frank. Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you do have any questions, please press star 1 on your phone handset. Our next question is coming from Francois Brisebois from Oppenheimer. Francois, your line is live.

speaker
Frank

Hi. Thanks for taking the questions. Just a couple here. The 17% headcount and a cut. Can you just maybe talk a little bit more about who these people were? Was it more sales? Was it in a back office? Can you just disclose a little more about the headcount and where it came from?

speaker
Lenore

Yeah, it was definitely more in the back office part of the business, looking for efficiencies, ways to consolidate, do things better. We also have some new, you know, internal systems that are coming online, you know, probably over the next one to three months that are, you know, helping to make that possible as well.

speaker
Frank

Okay, thank you. And then in terms of the capital model versus subscription, do you have clients that maybe were under contract or just used to it a certain way where just trying to gauge, this subscription seems to be moving maybe faster than anticipated, At the same time, do you have a base of large clients that are happy with the capital model and do not want to move?

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Yeah, we do. The capital model today is still the predominant way we're doing business, although it's obviously evolving and changing rapidly here, but there are still a number of customers, for example, all of our existing OEM agreements that we have with the imaging company manufacturers. Those are still for perpetual capital purchases, and we don't see that changing in the immediate future. And there are still a segment of the market that is actually preferring to have on-prem hardware and prefers to buy in a licensed model. I think that will continue to change over time, but I think for a fair degree longer period that we're still going to see a portion of our business that will be in that model.

speaker
Lenore

I would just add it's not really a model that's cannibalizing what we have today. What it's doing is it's really expanding our market opportunity to allow us to get to customers who don't want to buy perpetual and otherwise might have gone to a competitor. It's expanding. We've had maybe only a small handful of of customers that have changed from perpetual to subscription. This is mostly new customers that we otherwise may not have won.

speaker
Frank

Okay, that's interesting. And obviously I understand the issue with comparing, you know, subscription to capital licenses just based on the revenue recognition, the six to eight weeks, and then obviously less of an upfront. But when you mentioned there on someone else's question, the 25% to 30%, in terms of accounts that are – that's 25% to 30% that are about, I assume, subscription at this point. But at kind of peak performance, I guess, or peak penetration that you'd want to do, would it be like a 50-50? Or ultimately, based on the fact that within five years you can double the opportunity, would the goal to be to completely move to subscriptions?

speaker
Lenore

Yeah, as Stacey mentioned, we do have a number of OEM partners and others that probably would not move to subscription, at least not any time in the short term. So we kind of see this as being over 50% at some point, but where it will ultimately end up remains to be seen. But we've kind of modeled it out to that 50%, 60% range.

speaker
Frank

Okay, so you'd be almost halfway there already.

speaker
Lenore

Well... Yeah, except, you know, it's the beginning, right? And it can be, you know, it can be choppy. And, you know, it is a matter of, you know, last time we spoke, we kind of spoke about license counts. And we kind of find that's a, you know, a tough way to measure. And the ARR is definitely a better way of looking at it from a customer perspective. So it's tough. When you say we're there, you know, it's of the business we won this quarter, right? So that's, you know, of the business we had this quarter. It's not where we are overall. Understood. So a little bit of two different ways of thinking about it. Okay, great. Well, thank you very much.

speaker
Operator

Yeah, thanks, Frank. Thank you. Your next question is coming from Per Ostlund from Craig Highland Capital. Per, your line is live.

speaker
Steve Sano

Thank you. I wanted to circle back to the GLIOCS trial since we didn't really talk about it a lot in the remarks. But Stacey, you did mention that it could get some measure of airtime here at the Society for Neuro-Oncology. I believe that's as soon as next week, if I remember correctly. Can you let us know kind of where the enrollment stands on the trial and, you know, this discussion at the conference, what form is that going to take? Are we to the point where, I mean, is this kind of poster ready type stuff or is it really preliminary and it's going to just kind of find its way into, you know, discussions, you know, sort of ad hoc almost as much as anything at the conference?

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Right. Yeah, thanks, Farah. It is actually a formal poster presentation at the event. However, it is not a recurrence rate presentation, right? It is a sort of safety feasibility type presentation. It's still a bit too early to have enough patients who have enough follow-up to really have a recurrence rate type presentation. So this is really sort of an initial study looking at you know, how well does this treatment work? What are some of the technical aspects? How feasible is it? So, it's more along those lines, but it is a formal presentation at that meeting.

speaker
Steve Sano

Okay. And on the enrollment side, can you get into that or not?

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Yeah. I mean, the enrollment, you know, is still going, you know, a little bit slower than what we would have expected. I will say that we're treating a fair degree of brain patients, but not necessarily ones that meet the criteria or end up being enrolled in the GLIOCS study. We did, I think, treat another patient during this previous quarter. We are bringing on some new sites that we expect to add to the study in in Q4, so treating more brain patients, but not as many as we would have expected specific to the GLIOCS trial.

speaker
Steve Sano

Okay, excellent. Thank you for that.

speaker
Operator

Sure. Thank you very much. And your next question is coming from David Turkali of JMP Securities. David, your line is live.

speaker
David Turkali

Yeah, hi. This is actually Danny on for Dave. Thanks for taking the questions. Just one quick one from me. I was hoping you could just give us some color on the mix between profound AI density and risk for both the one-time licenses as well as the subscriptions. And then just any commentary as far as emerging trends in that area would be great. Thank you.

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Sure. It's really hard to sort of break out all the detail of that, Danny, because there are about four or five different bundles of products that a customer could buy both in a perpetual license model and in a subscription. And those carry, each have a different price tag. But what we can talk a little bit about is attachment rates, because I think there's some meaningful information to come from that, particularly when it comes to attachment rate of our risk product, which historically has been fairly low. And what we saw in Q3 was that we had about a 40% attachment rate of risk to our perpetual licenses. So that's evidence that we're having more success leading with our bundles of products, our whole portfolio of innovation. And we actually saw a 55% percent attachment of risk in the subscription models. So we're finding very good luck with positioning the bundles in the subscription model and the benefit of that too is that we're actually getting a higher than expected average selling price or monthly subscription price on the subscriptions than we initially anticipated.

speaker
David Turkali

Great. That's very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Sure. Thank you very much. There appear to be no further questions in the queue, and I'm going to hand back over to Stacey for any closing remarks.

speaker
Stacy Stevens

Thank you, operator. So in summary, I believe we have made strong progress in Q3 towards implementation of a strategic realignment of ICAD, resulting in several significant changes in the way we're doing business that we really expect to generate greater growth potential. I'm enthusiastic about the progress we have made in the transformation of the AI business towards a more partner-based long-term recurring revenue model that will also accelerate access to our life-saving technology to many, many more patients. I look forward to updating you all next quarter as we continue to scale our business, enhance our team, and drive towards substantial increased shareholder value. Thank you all, and have a great night.

speaker
Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This does conclude today's conference call. You may disconnect your phone lines at this time, and have a wonderful day. Thank you for your participation.

Disclaimer

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