Assure Holdings Corp.

Q2 2022 Earnings Conference Call

8/15/2022

spk06: And welcome to the Azure Holdings Second Quarter 2022 earnings call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask a question. To ask a question, you may press star then one on a touch-tone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Scott Kozak. Please go ahead.
spk01: Hello, everyone. Thank you for participating in today's conference call to discuss Assure's Holdings financial results for the second quarter 2022. On the call today are Executive Chairman and CEO John Farringer and CFO John Price. After market closed this afternoon, the company issued a press release announcing its results for the second quarter 2022. The release and investor presentation are available on the investor section of our website. Before we begin the prepared remarks, I would like to remind you that some of the statements made will be forward-looking and are made under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied due to a variety of factors. We refer you to Assure's recent filings with the SEC including our quarter report on Form 10-Q for the fourth quarter and full year for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact the company's future operating results and financial condition. Also on today's call, management will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe provide useful information for investors. For reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures, please consult the most recently filed 8-K associated with the filing of the earnings release for the three months ended June 30, 2022, which is available on the SEC website. Finally, I would like to remind everyone who dialed into the call by telephone, you may want to join our webcast or download our second quarter 2022 earnings presentation on Assure's investor relations site found at ir.assureneuromonitoring.com in order to see the slides referenced today. This call will be recorded and made available for replay via link on the company's website. Now, I would like to turn the call over to the Executive Chairman and CEO of Assure Holdings, John Foronger.
spk05: John? Thank you, Scott. Hello, everyone, and thanks for joining us today. On slide three, you see the agenda of key topics we'll cover on today's earnings call. We're going to start with a discussion of recent corporate developments, talk about revenue cycle management, We're going to talk about the actions we've taken and continue to take to improve profitability. There will be a discussion on cash receipts. John Price will walk you through a Q2 financial summary, as well as discussing accounts receivable trends. And I'll conclude with setting expectations for the second half of 2022. I'll begin with a review of recent corporate developments. Today, we will show why Assure's second quarter and first half were strong operationally, challenging on an accounting basis, and ultimately have laid important groundwork for what we believe will be a significantly stronger, more financially stable second half of 2022 and beyond. Assure outperformed in managed case volume and cash collections during the quarter, underscoring the growth and underlying strength of our business. We also took steps to become leaner and more profitable, sure began a strategic cost reduction effort that we expect will yield over $4.5 million of annualized savings. As a result, we expect to become cash flow positive on an adjusted operating basis as our business becomes leaner and profitable in the second half of 2022. And despite this cost-cutting, Assure continues to expect to meet its guidance of performing 25,000 plus managed cases in full year 2022, an increase of more than 40% from 2021. Finally, we formalized a new accounts receivable accrual and reserve strategy. This led to a higher than anticipated reserve because we chose to take a conservative approach when reserving accounts receivable in the second quarter. The issue here is not lower reimbursement negatively impacting our accrual rates. Our accrual rates in high volume markets have remained stable. Rather, we chose to be conservative on reserving accounts receivable given our visibility on the challenges associated with collecting certain receivables before they are automatically reserved at 24 months in the third and fourth quarters of this year. The benefit of taking these reserves now and front loading the process is, number one, it provides clear visibility into future accounts receivable write-down expenses. And two, our anticipated second half exposure is forecasted to be less than $4 million. The healthcare collections disruption experienced in 2020 associated with the onset of COVID-19 was highly unusual and widespread. Legislation has extended the timeline to pursue these receivables, and we expect to recover a portion of these accounts receivable reserves in the upcoming quarters. Next, on slide five, I'll provide more detail on the current status of Assure's revenue cycle management function and our overall billing and collections efforts. As we noted on our first quarter earnings call, Assure's second quarter results were negatively impacted by an accounts receivable reserve accounting charge. Assure made the proactive decision to approach this matter conservatively with regards to our accounts receivable reserve accounting charge in the second quarter, including all volume reasonably considered at risk. This is associated with the long-standing company policy to reserve receivables that have aged 24 months, plus an estimate of what we do not expect to collect during the second half of 2022. We forecast that a potential exposure from age receivables in the second half will be less than $4 million, and potentially meaningfully lower as we continue to pursue payment on these claims during the third and fourth quarters. The context for this is that the company brought its revenue cycle management function in-house after taking over from a third-party provider in early 2020 amid the disarray of the onslaught of COVID-19. A segment of the claims in this period had data issues, and others were generally not handled quickly or effectively enough. In addition, there was a slowdown in reimbursements seen across not only the entire interoperability industry, but the healthcare industry in general. We have learned from this experience, installed new leadership in this group, and set up a tactical team to specifically work these reserve claims. The revenue cycle management team have been working hard to resurrect these files from decline status to activated. And ultimately, we expect to recover a meaningful share of cash receipts from these fully reserved receivables, with early returns anticipated in the second half of 2022 and carrying over into 2023. Recovery of these reserved and written down receivables will be reported as net new revenue and additional margin in the period collected, with almost no corresponding costs because the amounts have already been fully reserved. We expect This problem will be significantly reduced in the near term and in 2023. I'd also note that Assurance Collections have been strengthened by our greater than anticipated success engaging in independent dispute resolution processes on contested claims. Not only has this benefited Cash Collections going forward, it will also strengthen our accrual rates. Looking out into the third and fourth quarters of 2022 and into 2023, the company will have the benefit of our managed case growth, ongoing success on the dispute resolution front, and removing the cloud of material accounts receivable write-downs. On slide six, I provide additional detail on actions we've taken to drive down costs and improve long-term profitability. Given the current economic and capital markets environment, the company has substantially reduced our structural costs, including roughly 20% of our workforce, enabling Assure to realize over $4.5 million of annualized savings. In addition, key focus for Assure in the second half of 2022 will be on reducing the company's average cost of delivery in providing our services, both on the technologist's and the remote and neurology parts of our business. As a result, we expect to become adjusted operationally cash flow positive as our business becomes leaner and we will be profitable in the second half of this year. This reflects our focus on becoming self-sustaining from a cash flow perspective, as well as the investments we are making to continue collecting cash in record amounts. It also highlights our decision to prune certain markets where we were not getting the desired returns. However, even with running leaner, again, we anticipate hitting our managed case volume of 25,000 in 2022, a record number, representing an increase of more than 40% compared with our 2021 volumes. On slide seven, you will see a sure as dramatic increase in total cash collections over a trailing six, 12, and 24-month plus period. For accounts receivable generated from 100% ownership entities, the company is collecting more than 65% in the first six months after they were issued, and more than 85% in the first 12 months after they were issued. Both of these represent record rates for the company. We are collecting, but we are accruing on the front end. In fact, we think we may be able to improve those numbers beyond what we've accrued. We are driving higher participation rates, shortened cash cycles, and better collections. This will ultimately result in improved network contracting. Accelerating our cash flow reduces our need for working capital and also serves to minimize reserves in the future. To add more color to a comment I made earlier, What happened in healthcare billing in 2020, around the onset of COVID, was really a once-in-a-generation disruption. However, with a sophisticated, data-driven revenue cycle management function in-house, for sure, that disruption is now behind us and we are now collecting rapidly. Unfortunately, for many of our competitors in the neuromonitoring space, many of whom still depend on third-party billing providers, That struggle will continue for some time to come. Laws have been put into effect as a result of the COVID disruption to health care billing that will now extend the window for collecting 2020 unpaid claims. And we absolutely expect to recover some of the accounts receivable reserve during the upcoming quarters. Next, John Price will walk us through the quarterly financials.
spk03: John? Thanks, John. And thank you, everyone, for joining us today. On slide 8, I will provide color on financial results from our second quarter 2022. Assure continued to generate strong procedure growth up 36% to $5,800. As John mentioned, Assure reported gross revenue of $9.2 million and net revenue of $1.6 million, adjusted EBITDA loss of $5.9 million and net loss of $4.7 million. The previously mentioned reserve of aid receivables was netted against current quarter revenue and negatively impacted our financial results. Further, Q2 typically experiences seasonality due to a less favorable revenue mix between government and commercial insurance, which reverses as the year progresses and case volumes increase. Our revenue accrual rate has remained stable in our key high volume markets, reinforcing our business fundamentals and revenue recognition. Our operating expenses decreased to 4.1 million compared to 4.5 million. And as referenced earlier, we expect operating expenses to be further reduced in the third and fourth quarters. Next on slide nine, we will look at day sales outstanding. In this table, we see that Assure's DSOs have decreased dramatically from nearly 600 days during a COVID-impacted 2020 to 311 days in the second quarter of 2022. We are simply collecting cash faster. As a result, there is significantly reduced exposure to future accounts receivable reserves. While we are pleased with the reduction in DSO, there is still room for improvement. we are focused on driving this significantly lower from current levels. Next on slide 10, we will look at trends in accounts receivable aging by quarter. Comparing the time periods, you can see that the second quarter, Assure has 83% of its outstanding accounts receivable in the 12 months or less bucket. In comparison, during the first quarter of 2022, just 68% of accounts receivable was categorized as 12 months or less. What that shows is by the end of the second quarter, a much larger proportion of our accounts receivable are in what we consider a current bucket of 12 months or less. The shift of the accounts receivable towards the current bucket reduces assurer's exposure and susceptibility to future reserves. And as John mentioned earlier, we are collecting what we are accruing on the front end. We have turned the corner here and minimized the risk of this type of reserve occurring again. Now I will pass the call back over to John Farlinger for expectations on the second half of 2022. John?
spk05: Thanks, John. On slide 11, we are going to do something that we have not done before, which is to provide guidance. This guidance will be for the second half of 2022. This information is presented because we want to be clear and transparent about our expectations for the remainder of the year. We expect third quarter and fourth quarter to be much cleaner quarters compared with the first half of 2022. Starting at the top, we see continued strength in managed case volume with an acceleration happening during the second half of the year. our visibility into our markets is strong, given the recurring nature of our work with surgeons, as well as our exceptional surgeon retention rate. The accounts receivable reserve accounting charge we absorbed in the first and second quarters masked the fact that Assure generated over 18 million in gross revenues. In the second half of 2022, we expect revenue to accelerate. The drivers here include seasonality, We anticipate that the company's managed cases will follow the familiar pattern of a continued ramp-up from the second quarter to progressively busier third and fourth quarters. Similarly, our revenue mix reflects the seasonality, with the first two quarters typically representing our highest percentage of cases with patients utilizing government insurance, and the third and fourth quarters seeing the mix become progressively tilted toward more profitable commercial insurance patients. We expect both seasonality trends to continue over the balance of 2022. On top of these seasonal tailwinds, we also have the upside potential of sizable new business winds associated with facility-wide outsourcing agreements relating to the GPO, organization agreements, the group purchasing organizations with Premier and others, that Assure has signed. We also are looking at multiple M&A opportunities. As I mentioned earlier, many of our peers will continue to struggle to collect money. And we see quite a few interesting opportunities in the market even today. As we look into the second half of the year, we have forecasted less than $4 million in accounts receivable reserve accrual, which of course is substantially reduced risk compared with the reserves we took in the first two quarters of 2022. We expect the AR reserve in the second half of the year to be roughly equally distributed between the third and fourth quarters. Therefore, in the second half of 2022, we anticipate a much narrower gap between gross revenue and net revenue compared to what we saw in the first half of 2022. On the cost side, beginning in the third quarter and accelerating in the fourth quarter, Assure will see a sharp reduction in operating costs as we benefit from the administrative cuts we have made. Further, we won't be burdened by the severance expenses associated with actions taken earlier this year to make the business leaner. I also want to highlight that we do not anticipate expanding our corporate staff to meet the company's growth in 2022 and 2023. Finally, we see continued strength in collections as we further accelerate collections on new claims and improve collections on aged receivables. Taken together, Assure will have significantly reduced accounts receivable reserves and a substantially lower cost structure, coupled with an increase in managed case volume. This will ultimately drive higher revenue and margins, and we believe positive adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow during the second half of 2022. I want to reiterate that the opportunities ahead of us with remote neurology services, group purchasing organizations, organic expansion into new and existing states, our channel program, and our commitment to clinical excellence will keep us busy over the balance of 2022. I have had a long career in business, including helping to lead four successful turnarounds. I sure navigated a much more challenging COVID impact of 2020. we will navigate the current situation and come out of this much stronger. The foundation for the future profitability of our company is firmly in place. And with that, I'll turn the call back to our operator for Q&A.
spk06: Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your touch-tone zone. If you are using a speakerphone, Please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster.
spk02: Please hold. Our next question.
spk06: Our first question comes from Jim Sidoti with Sidoti Income. Please go ahead.
spk04: Hi, good afternoon, and thanks for taking the question. You've taken reserves in the past. This one is actually a little bit less than some of the ones you've taken over 2020, 2021. Is this getting to the end of the line yet, this? At this point, do you think?
spk05: Hey, Jim, it's John. I hope we're at the end of the line. This reserve was different than the one we took in 2020. And you may remember in 20, we were dealing with really the collapse of reimbursement numbers. And we took that. We saw that happening. We proactively wrote down our accounts receivable in response to what we saw. as a continued projection to lower reimbursement. In this case, like a lot of our competitors, we were faced with reimbursement numbers that were very challenging coming out of the COVID period in 2020. That was one challenge. The second was, quite simply, part of our RCM team wasn't going to make excuses. We went through this in the first quarter. We told everyone then that we'd linger into the second quarter. We can't change what's happened, but we're sure going to affect what's going to happen going forward. And as you look at forecasting the reserves going forward and you look at John Price's information, you see your exposure to accounts receivable on bad debt being significantly reduced. Because the fact we're collecting so much more on the front end in the first six months, nine months, 12 months. So you're not going to have 600 days of AR. You're going to have 300 days, hopefully going to 200 days over the next 12 months. And we're not going to be as susceptible to this type of exposure. I think the other thing I'll say is, like we did in 2020, we collected millions of dollars after the fact, after those amounts were written off. And we expect to do the same thing in the second half of this year. And we expect that will have a meaningful impact as it's net new revenue and new margin for us going forward. Last thing I'll say is we made some changes on our RCM team. I want to emphasize this doesn't take away from the success we've had on the front end and how good our team is at getting through invoicing, dealing with new billing, getting it through our system, negotiating, settling, arbitrating cases. We're pretty good at it. And as we look at other M&A targets, we don't see anybody being better. But we dropped the ball going back to 2020. And I think we're at the end of the road here in terms of the reserves once we get through the second quarter.
spk04: So just to be clear, if you hadn't taken the reserve, revenue for the quarter would have been over $9 million with gross margins over 56%. Is that the kind of gross margin we should anticipate over the next four or five quarters?
spk05: I think it would probably be unrealistic to think you won't have any reserves. Everybody out of network billing is going to have some reserves. But I think a margin exceeding 50% would be expected. And I would hope that we're back to the reserve numbers that we saw in the second half of last year, where we're running off $1 million to $2 million per quarter as kind of an expectation. And then with the assumption that we're following up immediately to try to recover that AR that falls off after 24 months. The good news, as John Price said, went through in his analysis is we have not seen a degradation in what we're accruing. In fact, I think because of the success we're having in settling and arbitrating cases, we're actually seeing those numbers holding pretty firm in our key states. So that's been fairly encouraging for us. The other thing that I just want to articulate is we're getting away from the model of sharing revenue. with surgeon partners, we're getting into one where we're simply going after the facilities and keeping all that professional revenue. And as you wean yourself off of the old model, that will only bolster margins and improve our margins, particularly on the side of generating professional revenue, which we see as really a key component of this going forward and driving more and more neurology-based professional revenues.
spk04: And you gave some pretty specific guidance for the second half in revenue. You know, what gives you the confidence that you'll hit that number? And does that number include recovering some of the reserves that you took in the first half of the year? Or is that just from procedure growth in the second half of the year?
spk05: Yeah, the revenue numbers, well, there's three or four things. factors here that are entering our assessment of the forecast for the second part of the year. The first is simply rate times volume. Number of procedures times our accrual rates. It's pretty predictable. Now, as we bring on surgeons in new facilities, and we've got that model down to each surgeon at each facility across all of our markets. Second part is really, will you see any difference in the accrual rates? We don't think so. We haven't seen much of a degradation the last 12, 18 months. The third issue, then, is what are the reserves going to be? And we forecast that we know what our worst case is now if we collect nothing on those old accounts receivable, and it's nowhere near what we've written off already, and we're collecting on those accounts receivable. The last thing is we've significantly caught our cost structure, and by Q4, you will see a an overhead structure that's roughly 60% of what it was in Q1. We've run lean. Everyone is, management team are taking reductions in salaries. Middle management is doing the same thing. And we've been able to significantly reduce our overheads below the margin number. And we think you'll see the results of that in Q4 as we have a leaner business with more volume, higher margin. And I think we'll be able to improve the cash accelerations side of our business, on the front end. We're very confident of that. And as we've talked about in the past, this is a business where we need to get to volume and higher scale. And if we're not increasing the size of our overheads on the bottom line, I think we're going to have a very strong Q4, and it's going to set us up for a very strong 2023 as we get these issues behind us. And...
spk04: You know, it sounds like these issues aren't just affecting, I'm sure, but they're affecting everybody in the space. Do you think that some competitors might drop out over the next 12 to 24 months?
spk05: We sure hope so. You know, I've been on calls with some of our larger competitors over the last two to three weeks. Nearly all of them are facing the same challenges that we had coming out of 2020. where they were taking write-offs that they weren't expecting. Two of them, one of them was last week, a private equity-backed competitor, feeling the same challenges, but also the same optimism. Going into the second part of this year, you're seeing the No Surprises Act kick in, the ability to arbitrate claims, and really, it's evening the playing field for us now, where we, in the past, we couldn't We had no choice. If we didn't get paid, we had to litigate or go to the insurance commissioner. Now we can arbitrate and we are arbitrating and settling claims at a rate we've never done before. And I think that's part of the ingredient here. And it comes down to the investments we've made in the past data analytics, being able to go and settle these claims and using that information. And I think a lot of our competitors are not going to have that information. If they're relying on a third party billing company, They're going to have a tough time. Even our larger competitors, companies that are twice our size, have not made the investments in data analytics. We've just completed a complete data warehousing overhaul of our entire business where we're getting data that nobody else is. And I think, you know, our team has been embarrassed over the numbers from Q2, and we're wearing it. But we're going to rise to the occasion in Q3 and Q4. We're going to deliver some pretty strong numbers on the back of what we built here from an infrastructure standpoint.
spk04: That was it for me. Thanks again for taking the questions. Thank you, Jim.
spk06: Our next question comes from Scott Harry with Rose Capital. Please go ahead.
spk00: Thank you, and good afternoon. Just a couple questions. It seems like things are going pretty good right now, despite the accounting noise in the first half of 2022. I mean, as far as analyzing the business, do you think the best signal is the cases per quarter and the fact that $25,000 for 2022, do you think that's kind of the best number in kind of a noisy time period to focus on?
spk02: A couple thoughts.
spk05: We're pretty confident. The 25,000 number is good for the second half of the year, and obviously that's driving rate and volume. The second part of that question is what are you getting per procedure, and what is the recovery or the accrual, and are you getting those accruals? And frankly, where our accrual rates are standing up and our accrual rates are stronger than most of our competitors we're looking at, much stronger. And so then if you can get a yield on rate times volume and get a higher recovery per procedure, I think you're set up to be able to continue to grow your business effectively, but also integrate other businesses who aren't getting that same yield. And to Jim's point, I think some of our competitors are going to be challenged. They have not made the investments in Evergreen their business. And we spent a lot of, it hasn't played out yet in earnings numbers, but we spent a lot of money and time and energy building this business to be able to scale to 50, 70, 80,000 procedures. And I think in the second half of the year, you'll see a much scaled down version of Assure. And you will start to see earnings numbers that are meaningful in Q4. We'll play out the severance numbers in Q2 to a degree in Q3, but by Q4 you'll see a scaled-down business where we're going to hit the numbers that we telegraphed we would hit earlier in the year.
spk00: Okay, great. And, you know, speaking of that revenue per case number, if I look at the gross revenues for the first couple quarters of 2022, and I exclude the other revenues to get more of a, reflective number. I generate numbers, I think, for the first quarter, depending how you calculate them, of about 1.6 thousand and the second quarter about 1.5 thousand. How do you think about those rates going forward? Would you expect them to contract a little bit or do you think those are good numbers?
spk05: No, I think you're going to see them improve. I kind of alluded to it in the discussion earlier, this business was really set up to generate revenue on the back of billing for technologists. And two years ago, nearly all of our revenue was generated in the back of tech buildings, only taking 10 or 15% of the revenue for neurologist services. In Q1, John, we did about 65% of our revenue now from neurologist services. We're going to migrate most of that revenue onto our own platform and away from a rev share. As we do that, it's only strengthening our margins. And frankly, I think that's where we want to go in the second part of the year and going into next year and move that number from 65% to a much higher number, driving your average revenue per procedure up and driving your margin up. What goes with that is we're also reducing our cost of delivery. and bringing our technologist costs down and driving our costs of really delivering the neurology services down as we go to scale. The last part is, as you look at the second half of the year, Scott, and you know this, you benefit from the seasonality of our business. In the first six months, the majority of our business is Medicare driven and Medicaid and government funding. In the second part of the year, as deductibles kick in, those margin numbers improve. And so you've got this continued scaling in Q3, ultimately going much higher in Q4 with higher margins. And so we're feeling pretty good about the margin numbers and the ability to scale our business. And the 25,000 procedures looks like it's, well, you saw 5,800 in Q2. which would suggest you're on target. If you even extrapolate that over Q3 and Q4, you're pretty close to that number.
spk00: Okay, great. Does that help you, Scott? It does. And the final question, which I think you hit on a little bit here, but if you look at the mix between technical and professional, in 2Q, it really, I mean, the technical drop down, I don't know if that has to do with the adjustments you're making. But long-term, should we think that should get back to kind of a 75-25, 80-20 mix?
spk03: Yeah, Scott, the technical portion of the revenue you see in the queue is really related to the write-downs. And so this goes back to 2020. And at that point in time, the majority of our services were primarily tech-related. And so the reserve that we've processed would have primarily impacted the technical portion of the revenue.
spk05: Right. So if that's affecting the Q2 number, but to your point, you will see a larger and larger component of the revenue going forward being driven by the professional side of the business.
spk00: Okay, great. That should do it for me. Thank you for taking the question.
spk05: I think that's it for questions.
spk02: Why don't I conclude? Go ahead.
spk05: With no more questions appearing here, I'm going to, on behalf of the team, I want to thank you for attending the conference call today. On behalf of the Assure team, we'd like to thank everyone for listening to today's call. Before concluding, I'd like to add a few last comments. And to summarize, Assure's greatest opportunities going forward include, number one, expanding our remote neurology services. Two, taking full advantage of our position as a contracted provider of interoperative monitoring services for now some of the largest GPOs in the United States. Three, organic growth that extends our reach within existing states, but also helps us expand into new states. Four, utilizing data, analytics, and automation to strengthen revenue cycle management and to facilitate the signing of new in-network agreements. Lastly, our results are going to be much better in the second half of 2022. With that, I'm going to conclude. We thank all of you for your participation today, and we look forward to speaking to you again on our third quarter earnings call. Thank you very much.
Disclaimer

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