Legacy Housing Corporation

Q3 2020 Earnings Conference Call

11/17/2020

spk00: Thank you for standing by and welcome to the Legacy Housing Corporation third quarter 2020 earnings call. At this time, all participant lines are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star then one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's call may be recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star then zero. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Kurt Hodgson, Executive Chairman of the Board. Please go ahead.
spk02: Thank you for joining the call today. Before we begin, may I remind the listeners that management's prepared remarks today will contain forward-looking statements, which are subject to risk and uncertainties, and management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. Therefore, the company claims the protection of the safe harbor for forward-looking statements that is contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ from management's current expectations, and therefore we refer you to a more detailed discussion of the risks and uncertainties in the company's annual report, followed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, any projections as to the company's future performance represents management's estimates As of today's call, Legacy Housing assumes no obligation to update these projections in the future unless otherwise required by applicable law. Now let me turn to a discussion of our third quarter performance and provide additional corporate updates. I will then turn the call over to our Chief Financial Officer, Thomas Kirkhart, to discuss the financials in more detail. Overall, we're pleased with the third quarter results. Net revenue increased to $43.7 million in the third quarter of 2020 compared to $41.9 million in the third quarter of 2019. On a trailing 12-month basis, we have increased net revenue by $11 million, or 6.9%. We have also experienced solid improvement in our income from operations for the quarter. Third quarter 2020 income from operations was $10.8 million. compared to $8.1 million for the third quarter last year, up 34.5%. Net income of $8.4 million for the quarter was increased 37.6% from last year. Earnings per share increased as well, expanding from $0.25 per share last year to $0.35 per share this year. Looking at the trailing 12 months, Net income is up $9.6 million, or 38.9%. We have also continuously increased tangible book value per share, as it has grown from $8.85 per share in the third quarter of last year to now $10.27 per share in the third quarter of this year. A $1.42 per share increase over the last 12 months or 16%. Looking at the remainder of 2020, overall market demand is good, orders are good, backlog is good, and our loan portfolio book remains strong and is performing well. Interest revenue on the loan portfolio continues to grow. At the current 12-month run rate, interest revenue from loan portfolios will contribute $25.7 million over the next year to our top line. We are dealing effectively with the fallout from COVID, especially as it impacts manufacturing and production levels. We have brought on additional labor to increase production and raise prices to address cost increases in the lumber market during the third quarter. We also have subcontracted Dow production up north in the Midwest, to meet demand as manufacturing adapts to current constraints. With that, I will now turn it over to our CFO, Tom Kirkhart, to provide additional commentary on the quarter.
spk05: Thank you, Kurt. Total product sales were $36.6 million for the third quarter, compared to $35.4 million for the same period in 2019. As has been the case in recent quarters, sales to manufactured home parks is the largest part of our product sales, coming in at $17.7 million for the third quarter. That $17.7 million is 48.4% of total product sales for the quarter, compared to 47.7% of total product sales for the same period last year. Interest revenue has continued to grow as a component of overall net revenue. Total interest revenue of $6.4 million increased represented 14.7% of net revenue for the third quarter of 2020 compared to 5.7 million or 13.6% of net revenue for Q3 2019. In particular, the interest revenue from our manufactured home park notes increased 48.8% to over 2.4 million for the third quarter of 2020 from 1.6 million in the third quarter of 2019. Overall, interest revenue was up 13% for the quarter compared to last year. Interest revenue from the consumer loan portfolio was roughly flat year over year. Similarly, the manufactured home park loan portfolio increased by $9.5 million or 7.9% to $129.6 million for the third quarter 2020 compared to $120.1 million for the second quarter of 2020. Year over year, the manufactured home park loan portfolio increased by 58% from 82 million at the end of September 2019. The consumer loan portfolio increased by 1.3% to 108.6 million, inclusive of allowances for loan loss and other discounts, compared to 107.2 million for the second quarter of 2020. Gross margin realized on product sales was 23.9% for the third quarter of 2020, up from 22.2% in the third quarter of 2019, suggesting that our pricing increases and cost mitigation efforts have kept pace with unavoidable cost increases and the cost of disruption from the global health situation. Product gross margin year-to-date was 26.7%, which is down from 27.6% in 2019, This year over year decline has its origins in the health disruptions and the changes to our supply chain, which impacted us most dramatically in the first half of 2020. The company has seen significant reductions across the board in our SG&A expense. SG&A expense for the third quarter of 2020 was $4.5 million, which is a 28% decrease from $6.3 million in the third quarter of 2019. The realized savings were broad-based and included the cost of salaries and benefits, warranty, and delivery costs. Additionally, our third quarter 2020 loan losses were favorable compared to the prior year, as the quality of our notes receivables has held up very well in these otherwise very trying times. Other operational measures implemented from the start of the COVID-19 pandemic have resulted in and about $2.6 million in savings through the end of the third quarter. These reductions are continuing into Q4, and we're continuing to evaluate what additional measures may be needed on a go-forward basis as situations arise. Finally, net income increased to $27.5 million for the nine months ending September 2020, compared to $22 million for the same period last year. This is a 25% increase in net income, which we achieved while net revenue has increased 1.9%. I believe this highlights the efficiency of our cost containment measures. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we think the fourth quarter is going to be strong, and we believe it will deliver a good outcome, which is similar to and possibly better than the quarter that we just reported. Kurt, that completes our financial report.
spk02: Thank you, Tom. As I mentioned at the start of the call, we're pleased with the third quarter and year-to-date financials. We believe the long-term fundamentals of the business and the industry remain strong. We have been proactive and disciplined in configuring the business to confront the impact of COVID. These early actions to reduce SGA and inventory enhance our flexibility and improve our operational position for the remainder of this year. I remain positive when I look to the rest of this year, that we will continue to outperform and deliver the kind of value and returns our shareholders come to expect. At this point, we'll take any questions you may have.
spk00: Thank you. As a reminder to ask the question, you will need to press star, then wind your telephone. To withdraw your question, please press the pound key. Our first question comes from the line of Alex Rigel with B. Riley. Your line is now open.
spk04: Thank you, gentlemen. A very nice quarter. Thank you. Kurt, you've seen a fairly active hurricane season this year. How did that impact demand in the third quarter, or how could it impact demand over the coming quarters?
spk02: Well, that's a good question. Our demand is so robust that our real demand challenges production and even an increase in demand from the hurricanes that hit, particularly in Louisiana, isn't really going to increase business because we're limited by production capability right now. It's been the story of the two L's for the third quarter, labor and lumber. Labor was not as easy to replace as we'd hoped after COVID. I guess in part because of the unemployment benefits that the government shelled out. So we weren't able to get back to pre-COVID production levels in the third quarter. Now we're at it in December. We're kind of back to where we were pre-COVID in production. But even that said, we're looking 10-, 12-, 14-week backlogs across the entire industry. So I'm not really sure that demand is the problem as much as satisfying demand. So I'll read the book. We had our September and October shows. I don't think other manufacturers did that. We had them live in Texas and in Georgia. And they were the most successful shows from an order point of view that we ever had. So we did have one customer in Lake Charles, Louisiana, that's receiving a huge insurance settlement. And he plans on re-upping his orders with us as soon as he gets to settlement. He's closed now. So I assume that we'll have an order book from Lake Charles, Louisiana coming up. It'll be several hundred units, it looks like. I hope that answers your question, Alex.
spk04: It does. And to sort of follow up on some of that answer, with demand so high, you obviously had some positive response in raising pricing in the third quarter. Has that continued into the fourth quarter?
spk02: The last price increase we had was announced August 31, kind of at the peak of the lumber run-up. It was effective in early September. We haven't had a price increase since then, but we had a series of price increases in the summertime along with the rest of the industry. We kind of anticipated the parabolic curve on the way up in lumber would eventually increase. peter out and it did so we didn't increase our prices as much as some of our competitors did and we don't intend to have any price decreases i think overall our price increases for the year have been in the 10 to 15 percent range almost entirely due to the two l's labor and lumber and we intend to be able to hold our current prices through the rest of the year maybe even into next year but we are We couldn't raise prices fast enough because of lumber. It was just incredible. I've never seen anything like it before. Lumber literally tripled in a period of about 40 days, and you just can't put into effect price increases to reflect those costs. Our margins were just a tad challenged in the third quarter. I look for improved margins in the fourth quarter, probably similar to the margins we had, say, in the second quarter.
spk04: And last question, can you give us a little bit of an update on your community development activities?
spk02: Sure. This work-from-home environment we're in has made government approvals almost impossible to get. We've had some Zoom public meetings, believe it or not, and we have won the last step of our wastewater treatment permit for DelVal, which is our biggest property. We've run into some delays in our San Antonio project and then our South Fort Worth projects, all just a matter of regulatory approvals. I won't say we're stuck in mud, but I would say we're operating at 20 or 30% of the normal speed that goes into place when you're developing. So COVID has really impacted development, probably not just at mobile home community development, but my guess is in all development nationwide. People are not able to function when they can't have in-person meetings.
spk00: Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mark Smith with Lake Street Capital. Your line is now open.
spk01: Hi, guys. First question for me is just looking at average selling price. Kurt, can you give us any insight into how much of that was mix versus the price increases?
spk02: I think we're selling an unusually high number of single wides. An unusually big part of that is to communities as they fill up around the country. This industry historically has seen ratios of 50% double-wides, 50% single-wides, and our mix is closer to 80% singles and 20% doubles right now, probably a higher percentage of singles than we've had in the history of the company. As such, if you look at a unit as being a house, Our average house price is probably down relative to a few years ago because of the decrease in multi-section houses. On a per-section basis, single-wides generally sell for more than double-wides. So our section prices right now are around, at the wholesale level, around $35,000 each. That's up over the last 24 months from, say, $31,500 each. mostly due to price increases in that period of time. I hope that answers your question, Mark.
spk01: Absolutely. Looking at lumber, can you talk about what you're seeing today out there for lumber and then any other commodities where maybe you've seen some pressure or where you feel like you're starting to see some more pressure or relief? Sure.
spk02: Lumber peaked in September and has since fallen about The third, now this is dimensional lumber, things like two-by-fours. The panels like roof decking and floor decking and even siding has not seen much relief in the last two months. And just recently, dimensional lumber has firmed up and gone up about 10% from where it was, say, a month ago. Looking at the graph, it doesn't seem to be moving much on the dimensional lumber side. On the OSB and the panel side, I would guess we'll see some softening. One follows the other usually, and I think we'll see some softening. The retail demand for housing in general, I would call it strong, but probably not as strong as the press believes. What we really have is a failure to be able to produce both single-family housing and manufactured housing to keep up with somewhat above average demand, but not extraordinary demand. We own 12 retail lots. If there was extraordinary retail demand, we would be able to see it at the retail level. I would call the demand above average but not extraordinary, and as soon as these production issues work their way through, I think we'll have a balance between supply and demand, and I would guess that that will be within the next six months.
spk01: Okay. That's a good segue into my next question. Retail stores. Can you talk about how your performance has been and how you're feeling about the 12 stores that you've got today? Kenny, did you make it out of line?
spk02: My partner, Kenny, usually handles that aspect. He was having issues out in West Texas to get out of line. Our retail stores are about the same as they were six months or a year ago as far as number of units they're selling. We actually closed one retail store in Mobile, Alabama. We've not opened up, I guess we opened up one in the last six months in Tulsa, Oklahoma. We are not lighting the world on fire at the retail store level, and that's been a real challenge for us. We're still learning our way around how to manage a multi-lot operation like we have. I wouldn't put our retail segment as a contributor to earnings and not that much of a contributor to top line.
spk01: Okay. And then last one for me, looking at the SG&A cuts and management that you guys have done there, do you feel like you're at a sustainable level or are there some things that we'll likely see creep back in to some SG&A?
spk02: Well, it kind of depends on how you measure SG&A. If you measure it on a gross basis, I expect we will see slight increases in SG&A. Our people endured a little bit of salary rollback with COVID that will probably gradually put back in place, already put probably half of it back in place, probably put the other half back in place by the end of the year. In addition to that, I think we have a lot of deserved people for raises and for bonuses, and I think that we'll see a little bit of increase on a gross basis. All other aspects of SG&A, including rent and utilities and sales expenses, warranty expenses, are in control, I would say. And as we count these price increases to stick on a percentage basis, SG&A should still behave pretty well, I would guess. Maybe, let's say, flat to even down.
spk01: Okay. Sounds great. Thank you, guys.
spk00: Thank you. As a reminder to ask a question, you need to press star, then one on your telephone. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Sansone with Sansone Advisors. Your line is now open.
spk03: Thank you. Hi, Kurt. How's it going? Hi, Chris. How are you doing? Excellent. Great quarter, and I had a question regarding your backlog. On a dollar value basis, how much is that up from the same time last year, if you had to estimate, if you don't have the number in front of you?
spk02: Well, we don't really track it that much because most of our backlog doesn't carry with it a corresponding deposit. In really good times like we're in now, people put in placeholder orders that aren't real. They keep changing the specs or changing the customer's name or delaying the order if they want. They're basically testing us manufacturers to see who will build and who won't. So they're placing orders among multiple manufacturers that I don't think are all that genuine. That said, we're at the middle of November now. This is normally the time where you start to have such a small backlog that you have to kind of have sales and so forth in order to make it through the tough months, the winter months. That's not the case this year. We're sitting there putting people on allocation and trying to figure out which ones we're going to build and which ones we're not. And I would say we're solidly 10 to 14 weeks out. And normally this time of year, we're two to three weeks out.
spk03: That's remarkable. So when you look at that, how much of it do you think is from sales that were displaced or postponed as a result of COVID? And how much of it is potentially a change in consumer preference for manufactured housing, a change in consumer preferences?
spk02: Well, I think we need to be realistic about change in preferences. Historically, the change in preferences has not been in our favor for the last 10 years or so. That said, we may have seen a shift in people's choices and where they're going to live. and COVID may have catalyzed that. We're seeing a little bit of that, but most of this demand is from lack of supply. The industry is not reporting a significant increase in supply for production or manufacturing. The trade organizations that measure that basically say we're about flat relative to where we were a year ago. It's hard to run an assembly line. When you have a disease, it can take on an entire department. If you lost all of your electricians due to COVID, the rest of the assembly line suffers. We're sitting there battling a disease that strikes randomly and it's affecting our ability to produce. Plants that normally could produce six or eight a day are doing four and five a day depending on who's absent and who's not. Our absenteeism is is at record levels, mostly due to the virus. Now, as that subsides and absenteeism gets back to normal, I would say that capacity will get back. And as I said earlier, as capacity increases, I think the imbalance between demand and supply will evaporate and we'll be back to the industry producing, let's say, 100,000 units per year. If you look at people's financials, including ours, and drill in them how many units they're producing, they're not up. If anything, they're lightly down. And it's not because of lack of demand. It's just you can't run an assembly line with significant absenteeism. Right.
spk03: Thank you, Kurt.
spk02: Good quarter. Thank you.
spk00: Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to management for closing remarks.
spk02: Thank you for joining the call today. We really appreciate our shareholders and will continue to deliver a return on equity that I think will be the best in our peer group. Talk to you in a few months. Bye.
spk00: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Thank you. THE END Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Hello. Thank you. Thank you.
spk06: Thank you. you you Thank you.
spk00: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Legacy Housing Corporation Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Call. At this time, all participant lines are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session,
Disclaimer

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