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Lineage, Inc.
4/30/2025
Good day and welcome to the lineage first quarter 2025 earnings conference call. All lines being placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the star one again. For operator assistance throughout the call, please press star zero. And finally, I would like to advise all participants that this call is being recorded. Thank you. I'd now like to welcome Evan Barbosa, VP Investor Relations, to begin the conference. Evan, over to you.
Thank you. Welcome to Lineage's discussion of its first quarter 2025 financial results. Joining me today are Greg Lemko, Lineage's President and Chief Executive Officer, and Rob Cresci, Lineage's Chief Financial Officer. Our earnings presentation, which includes supplemental financial information, can be found on our investor relations website at ir.1lineage.com. Following management's prepared remarks, we'll be happy to take your questions. Turning to slide two, before we start, I would like to remind everyone that our comments today will include forward-looking statements under federal securities laws. These statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, as described in our filings with the SEC. These risks could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by our comments. Forward-looking statements in the earnings release that we issued today, along with the comments on this call, are made only as of today and will not be updated as actual events unfold. In addition, reference will be made to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Information regarding our use of these measures and a reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures can be found in the press release that was issued this morning. Unless otherwise noted, reported figures are rounded, and comparisons of the first quarter of 2025 are to the first quarter of 2024. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Greg.
Thanks, Evan, and thanks, everyone, for joining us today. Today is a very exciting day for Lineage as we announce landmark agreements with our valued customer, Tyson Foods. In total, we expect to deploy approximately $1 million of capital in the coming years on the acquisition and new greenfield developments that once stabilized, will generate over $100 million in annual EBITDA. The scale of these agreements on their own by cubic feet would be the size of a top 10 global cold storage company. First, we announced a definitive agreement to acquire and take over operations of four Tyson Foods cold storage warehouses for $247 million. These warehouses total approximately 49 million cubic feet with 160,000 power positions and are located in Crossville, Pennsylvania, Olathe, Kansas, Rochelle, Illinois, and Tolson, Arizona. Second, at or prior to closing the acquisition agreement, lineage will enter into an additional multi-year warehousing agreement to design, build, and operate two next-generation, fully automated cold storage warehouses in major U.S. distribution markets, which Tyson Foods will occupy as a major customer. They will add 80 million cubic feet and 260,000 pallet positions into our portfolio. We expect to deploy over $740 million on these two greenfield developments, with an expected yield of 9% to 11% once stabilized. Under this warehouse agreement, Tyson Foods will also begin storing product at our newly developed next-generation, fully automated Hazleton facility that's an anchor customer. The acquisitions are expected to close in the second quarter, subject to customary closing conditions. We look forward to welcoming over 1,000 process. We expect to break ground on the greenfield developments in the second half of this year. As the new build warehouse is open, targeted for late 27 in 2028, the four existing acquired warehouses will transition into public multi-client facilities. Our leading global facility network and world-class automation expertise, combined with our proprietary data science capabilities, aligns really well with Tyson Foods' objective to enable a fast growing market. These landmark agreements showcase the multiple ways we can uniquely add value for our customers, and we look forward to future opportunities to help them build resilient and more responsive supply chains. Turning to our first quarter highlights on slide four, our first quarter results reflect normal seasonality against the elevated inventory levels we saw in the first half of 2024, as discussed in our last earnings call. Our total revenue is down AFFO per share growth. Right now, winning in the marketplace does come with trade-offs. Despite the inventory reset, our same-store physical occupancy remains strong at 76.5%. However, the quarter was impacted by lower revenue per throughput and occupied pallet, primarily driven by new business wins at lower rates and customers resetting volume guarantees at lower levels given lower industry occupancy. However, our team continues to control cost and improve productivity in an environment where food companies are balancing the challenges of high interest rates, shifting consumer sentiment, and significant macroeconomic uncertainty compounded by evolving tariff policies. In response, many customers are pausing their supply chain investments and maintaining lean inventory levels. They are acutely focused on increasing their sales volumes while working hard to lower their operating expenses. Accordingly, we are partnering with our customers to leverage our global scale and expertise to help them optimize their supply chains and navigate through this challenging period. All in, we are maintaining our previous guidance and expect to deliver adjusted EBITDA and AFFO for share growth for the full year, as well as return to same-store warehouse growth in the second half. We are excited to report continued progress on our LITOS pilots at our conventional buildings, which continue to exceed our expectations. As a reminder, LinOS is our proprietary warehouse execution system that we've already implemented in multiple automated facilities. The software uses patented and proprietary algorithms that are a result of many years of development. 2025 is about testing and proving out these gains in a variety of facility profiles in advance of a broader rollout starting next year. I'm personally really excited about LinOS. This technology is one example of the innovative and bold thinking at the core of lineage I'm thrilled to see what a great complement it is to our lean methodologies that we've been implementing over the last decade. These methodologies and our productivity initiatives are expected to offset labor inflation and lower our cost structure. We are realizing some of those benefits now, as our same warehouse cost of operations defied 2% and a quarter, despite the inflationary environment. We expect NOS will supercharge those efforts in the future and create meaningful cost advantages versus our competition. Finally, we continue to execute on our Tyson Foods agreements, which I've already talked about, the acquisition of three warehouse campuses from Bellingham Cold Storage for $121 million, adding to our existing portfolio in the PacNorth West. We have $67 million in development spend in the quarter, including completing a semi-automated expansion at our Bylay Denmark facility ahead of schedule and breaking ground on our automated expansion project at our Bergen-Opsten facility in the Netherlands, which once completed, will be the largest cold store in Europe. Finally, I'd like to give a shout out to our finance and accounting team for enhancing our quarterly closed process, resulting in us speaking to you today a week earlier than our last 10Q in the fall. Their hard work echoes across the organization, and I would like to sincerely thank all of our global team members for their contributions during the first quarter. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to our CFO, Rob Parishi. Thanks, Greg. Good morning, everyone. Starting on slide five and looking at our financial results for the first quarter, Our total revenue was $1.29 billion, down 3%. Our adjusted EBITDA decreased 7% to $304 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin down 110 basis points to 23.5%. Our AFFO for the quarter was up 48% to $219 million, and AFFO per share was $0.86, a 6% increase versus prior year, aided by lower than expected tax expense and the timing of our annual maintenance cap expense. Next slide. Shifting to our global warehousing segment, we have the four-year view on this slide that does a good job of pointing to the multi-year trends we talked about in February. Inventory levels were elevated the last couple of years, helping drive 22% same warehouse NOI growth in the first quarter two years ago. The exit inventory appears to have stabilized, but we are now seeing more typical seasonality as revenue declined sequentially from the fourth quarter, representative of a more normal pattern. average revenue per pallet has been challenged for the reasons Greg mentioned. We've been controlling costs well through sustainable labor productivity improvements, even before realizing future benefits around our Lino-S technology. Turning to the outlook for the remainder of the year, we continue to expect normal seasonality with the second half outpacing the first half. However, since our February call, the macroeconomic uncertainty, driven largely by the U.S. CARIC announcement, has created some hesitancy among our customer base in the short term. Notably, about 15% of our U.S. throughput volume is directly tied to import exports.
Some of our customers are in a wait-and-see mode, making it difficult to predict near-term activity.
We expect year-over-year declines in Q2 similar to Q1, as comps remain challenging in Q2, which, by the way, is typically the lowest quarter of the year from a seasonal perspective. We anticipate growth to return in the second half, driven by normal seasonal increases and easier comps. However, given the macro uncertainty, it's difficult to predict the level at which we will grow in the second half. Past supply chain disruptions sometimes boost customer inventory levels, but it's too early to tell with confidence what's going to happen. We will have more visibility and will be better able to quantify growth as tariff policy Turning to slide seven and covering our global integrated solution segment. Segment revenue was down 3% to $348 million. NOI was down 3% to $57 million, with NOI margin flat at 16.4%. As expected, we saw new business that we won in the second half of 2024 starting to come online in the first quarter. We see strength in this segment as our transportation and other value-added services are increasingly sought after by our customers. For 2025, we expect strong momentum to continue with sequential growth throughout the year. Easier comps later in the year should help drive strong double-digit growth in the second half. Turning to slide eight, we ended the quarter with net debt of $6.7 billion. Total liquidity at the end of the quarter stood at $1.7 billion, including cash and revolving credit facility capacity. Our leverage ratio defined as net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 5.2 at the end of the quarter. Our strong balance sheet, available cash, and debt capacity continues to offer us flexibility to take advantage of attractive capital deployment opportunities moving forward. Our landmark agreements with Tyson Foods are a great example, and we look forward to continuing to take advantage of our attractive pipeline of accretive opportunities. Turning to slide nine, we are maintaining our 2025 guidance with our adjusted EBITDA range in millions of $1,350 to $1,400.
and AFFO per share of $3.40 to $3.60.
Our guidance includes contributions from our recently announced acquisition of approximately $25 million of adjusted EBITDA and $0.05 of AFFO per share for the balance of the year.
However, we believe it's appropriate to maintain previous guidance to account for the near-term uncertainty we are seeing in the core business as our customers remain tentative given evolving tariff falls.
We continue to be well positioned for growth in the second half of the year. As a compounder, it's nice to have some strategic capital deployment to help fill the gap created by some of this near-term uncertainty. Importantly, the Tyson Foods Agreements help increase our base and position us well for incremental growth in 2026 and beyond, both from the acquisitions and down the road from the greenfield development. Lastly, we've included some additional modeling support on this page. Most assumptions remain unchanged with the exception of higher interest due to the new capital deployment and lower tax expense related to some of our international operations. With that, I'll turn it back over to Greg to wrap up before turning it over to your questions. Thanks, Rob. I'll conclude on slide 10. Our achievements this quarter demonstrate our strength and ability to create value through strong customer relationships, the landmark agreements with Tyson Foods, representing approximately $1 billion in total capital deployment, will significantly enhance our platform and add to our global leadership position. Our acquisition of three warehouse campuses from Bellingham Cold Storage has strengthened our presence in a key market, while our Valle and Bergdorf Zoom expansions showcase customer-led growth across our global markets. Lineage's competitive advantages continue to differentiate us in the market. Looking ahead, we see significant opportunities for growth with a robust pipeline of strategic acquisitions and greenfield development opportunities. As I reflect on the challenges in our environment today, I am heartened that at its core, many inches of business that is built to weather the storm. We have the largest platform, driving significant network effects, the best assets, our industry leaders in technology, automation, and data science, and are the most diversified geographically and across our more than 13,000 customers. We provide the most comprehensive set of services with our globally integrated solution segment. We are leaders in lean operational excellence, and we believe we remain the acquirer of choice in the industry, demonstrated again by today's announced landmark agreements with Tyson Foods. We have the balance sheet and attractive cost of capital to take advantage of market opportunities through strategic M&A and capital deployment. Because of these structural and distinct advantages as the industry
shareholder value lastly i want to thank our over 26 000 team members around the world for the great work they do to safely serve our customers every single day and with that i'll open it up to questions operator thank you we will now begin the question and answer session if you have dialed in and would like to ask a question please press star 1 on your telephone keypad to raise your hand and join the queue if you would like to withdraw your question simply press star 1 again If you were called upon to ask your question and are listening by a loudspeaker on your device, please pick up your handset and ensure that your phone is not on mute when asking your question. In the interest of time and to ensure we address as many questions as possible, today we will limit questions to one and one follow-up and lines will be muted after this. Thank you for your understanding. And your first question comes from the line of Caitlin Burrows of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Hi, good morning, everyone. Maybe you mentioned in the prepared remarks that 50% of throughput is directly tied to the import-export business. So is the other 50% consumption, or can you go through that? And I think we've just been surprised on how volatile the food business can be. So can you give some more color on how that food imports-exports business is able to be so volatile and similar for consumption? Like how does economic uncertainty impact customer inventory and throughput. I guess that's a lot, but hopefully it all ties together well.
Sure. Hey, Kaylin, good morning. Just to clarify, so it's 15% 1.5. Oh, okay.
I heard 50, so thank you.
Yeah, yeah. No worries. And I'll turn it over to Greg. Yeah, I think that while the tariffs have created significant uncertainties, Consumption really hasn't changed, and it really hasn't impacted overall occupancy too much at this point. There's certainly, again, some short-term uncertainty given the tariffs that our customers are not making major supply chain decisions in large part because of the tariffs, but I don't think it's driving substantial volatility so far yet.
Got it and then maybe just if you could realize 15 is a different scale than 50, but on that import export business, is it just that certain foods then are being consumed less today than they would have been previously or how does that actually end up like happening and impacting you?
Yeah, so so I've met with 20 customers literally just in the last few weeks and. And I think the biggest single impact is customers are delaying major decisions and it's just creating hesitancy. Our customers are just waiting for more clarity before they make major decisions like where to expand operations, where to build plants, where to source long-term transportation, whether that be domestically to boards or internationally in the forwarding space, or where to shift position and build inventories. But the kind of rapid changing of tariff policies has caused some been in flight on the way to destinations like China. For example, Alaskan seafood, which generally comes to the Pac Northwest after being processed in China, that was headed to China for processing, has either come back to the US for processing or been rerouted to other Southeast Asian countries like India or Vietnam for processing. In the protein space, we've seen certain proteins, we've seen the export levels come talk about volatility, even though some export levels have come down in specific proteins, the production and manufacturing levels have actually remained very steady. The end consumption has remained steady. And just a little bit more of that production is being routed to the U.S. versus overseas. I think out of 20 customers, literally only one beef producer in Australia that I met with a couple weeks ago shortage because the herd is so small right now. He basically said, no matter what our price is to export to the US, Americans are going to eat cheeseburgers. And he wasn't worried. But everybody else said tariff was at the top of their list.
Thank you.
You have a question from Brendan Lynch at Barclays. Your line is open.
Great. Thanks for taking my question. On the assets that you're acquiring from Tyson, can you talk about where they are in the supply chain? and what their level of commitment to you is over the long term for those specific assets?
Yeah, I'll just say it's a long-term agreement, a multi-year agreement. We can't dispose specific attributes of the actual agreements themselves. The assets that we're acquiring are a mix between production and distribution.
Very good. Thank you.
More slanted toward the distribution side, though.
Great. Thanks. Your next question is from the line of Samir Canal from Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everybody. Greg, I guess just maybe talk around occupancy, right? I mean, occupancy was down, as we would have thought, maybe a little bit even more. But how to think about the cadence of occupancy as we go through the year? I know you talked about recovery in the second half. So any color on that would be helpful.
Yeah, certainly. So we talked at length last quarter about how, you know, there was a multi-year inventory stopping that concluded in the third quarter of last year. And since then, we reported last quarter that we'd seen more normal seasonality. And that holds true through this quarter. We are seeing normal seasonality despite the tariff uncertainty. And what that means is we were elevated in the first half of last year and the first half comes But we would expect to see normal seasonality in the second half, which would give us elevated levels from last year or versus right now.
I guess as a follow up to that, I mean, what gives you the confidence of that sort of return back to seasonality? I know the comps get easier in the second half, but you kind of highlighted the delays in decision making by customers. And I guess, what are you seeing in changes to that customer behavior to kind of give you that confidence given the uncertainty? Thanks.
Yeah, great question. So our data science team studied the last almost 10 years of our data for what we call core inventory holdings. These are customers where we neither won new business nor lost any business and built that up from the SKU level in the actual facilities. From that, we derive what we consider normal seasonality across our global network. And that historical pattern of normal seasonality, kind of how inventories change month to month, resumed in the third quarter of last year. And that stayed consistent with that historical trend through the first quarter of this year. And so, of course, things could change. We're not trying to predict the future. We're just saying that so far, our data shows that... Again, the inventory destocking concluded in the third quarter of last year.
Thank you. You have a question from Michael Carroll at RBC. Your line is open.
Yeah, thanks. Greg, can you provide some more color on your storage and service rental rates? I know both looked like they were down a decent amount year over year and sequentially. I guess what's driving those weaknesses here? Is lineage cutting rates to win market share, or is there a mix shift, I guess? What's going on with those numbers?
Yeah, great question. So let me just kind of provide quite a bit of color on what we're seeing in the industry right now in response to your question. There's a few things going on at the same time here. First of all, inventory occupancy has declined because of the destocking I just reviewed. Again, normal seasonality has resumed, but we'll have tough comps in the first half of this year. In the first quarter of this year, so the inventory levels of core holdings are down. And so in the first quarter this year, our customers have reset volume guarantees at a lower level to match their inventory needs. And then certainly, you know, over the last couple of years, some new capacities come online in select markets. And so in this challenging environment, we've been focused on keeping our physical inventory high. And I mentioned on the last earnings call that we are willing to trade volume for price strategically when it makes sense for the long-term health of the business. And our sales team has actually done a great job managing this situation by winning a lot of new business, which has largely offset the core holdings decline that we just talked about. And I think that's illustrated by, in a declining environment, our physical inventory is only down 1%. And as you suggest, part of the trade-off to win some of that new business has been to work strategically with the customers on price. Now, all that said, and while there is pressure and uncertainty in the short term, and the marketplace definitely remains competitive, we believe that we've returned to, again, normal inventory holdings and seasonal patterns. even without some kind of inventory rebound, which we're not counting or we're guiding to, and the year-over-year pricing headwinds that you're seeing in our numbers will wane as the year progresses. As the year progresses, as customers have largely reset their volume guarantees now, that happens maturity in the first quarter, and inventory lengthens. As Rob talked about in his prepared remarks, we see a similar environment in the second quarter to the first quarter and a return to same-store growth in the second half. We're not providing an exact same-store growth figure for the second half only because of the macro uncertainty. There's a number of things in the short term that could impact us by a few points in either direction, but we're confident in the midterm that we're going to be fine just because of the scale and diversification of our network.
Okay, so with the minimum resets, storage numbers coming down, impacting that rent number, is that all kind of already in the numbers in one queue? I believe you kind of highlighted that. So we should think about that kind of at a good level today, not any incremental weakness and could build back up over time, maybe in line with inflation?
Yeah, I think of a general assumption. Yeah, I think that's very fair. I mean, I think that makes sense. Like, you know, we were just, you know, there's uncertainty right around all the stuff we talked about. And so we just want to be super careful because we're, you know, we learn more every day and, you know, we think we'll have a really, a really good year and a really nice second half. And, you know, we're just, we're challenged to quantify for all the reasons we talked about. Yeah, but I think in large part that kind of price or volume guarantee reset has happened in the first quarter. That will cascade through the year, but then we would expect to get normal price increases and not have guarantees drop a bunch again next year because we're at very lean inventory levels throughout the industry and the destocking is concluded. Okay, great. Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Michael Mueller of JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
Yeah, hi. I guess first, can you talk about some examples of where you're seeing customer pauses? Are you seeing it more with producers or is it more for retailers? Just some color on that would be great.
I would say it's more for producers than retailers as the consumption in the US isn't changing. And it's more about kind of outside of Tyson making structural changes, contracting with forwarders for certain international lanes for a year and locking down price when there's so much volatility because the producers on the export side or import side don't know exactly where they'll be sourcing certain products or where they'll be shipping certain products. What we know is that food flows like water around the world and people are going to eat everywhere. And kind of no matter what happens, we think we'll be well-positioned.
Got it. Okay. And then I guess the second question, how do acquisition and development required returns change when you're dealing with kind of somewhat of an anchor customer or tenant as opposed to just, you know, normal course one-off activity?
I would say these are – All the deals that we announced today are in line with our historical expectations. And we love the customer. We think we're going to be able to help a ton with our technology and automation. their supply chain even more, and the deals are agreed up to us in line with past deals. Yeah, you know, I mean, Tyson is very much a win-win for both parties. We work really closely over many, many months on these agreements, and, you know, we very much want our customer to do well, and we think we'll do well, and it's a wonderful thing.
Okay, thanks. Your next question is from the line of Craig Malman from Citi. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning guys. Um, just wanted to follow up on, on kind of the changing assumptions here. I mean, if it hadn't been for the Tyson's deal, you essentially would have lowered guidance here by, by 5 cents. I mean, what's the biggest pressure point as you guys reevaluated kind of the risk of tariffs, is it, you know, further erosion, occupancy rate margins, kind of what's the, what worried you the most from a visibility perspective?
I think it's just the unknown and the uncertainty of the tariffs. I mean, again, we're all over the world. We can support consumption in all the major markets in which we operate, but sure what they're going to do. They don't know where they're going to build inventories. They don't know how they're going to direct trade flows. And that could have a short-term disruption, even though we're very confident we'll support their needs in the medium and long term. So given that uncertainty, given 19 of the 20 clients I met with said, we don't know what's going to happen with our supply chain. We think it's prudent to reinforce our overall guidance. with the acquisition, you know, new cash flows, but not try to get specific when none of our customers know exactly what's going to happen. You know, as I said in the preparing marks, there's also an upside opportunity here too, right, which is also difficult to predict. But normally, more inventory tends to get to the system any time you have disruption. We've seen that many times over history. Brexit, COVID. Yeah, so Brexit, COVID, et cetera. So I just think, you know, again, it's, It's just hard to predict. As Greg mentioned, I mean, we're going to be within a range, but it could go a few points one way or the other. And so we really want to see more and we'll update everyone, you know, as we see things here, you know, into the next quarter, second half of the year. I mean, there's been supply chain disruptions in the past, like port strikes, like COVID, like Brexit. But there's really this is unprecedented. I mean, no one knows what's going to happen with global trade flow. And I think we just feel thankful that we're not in consumer electronics or auto parts that can be handicapped in the medium and long term from these changes. And we're in food and people are going to eat and we're all over the world and diversified. So we think we're super well positioned versus most companies in the long term. But in the short term, there could be a little volatility.
Okay. And then just on the volume kind of resets here with customers and sort of the lower price points. I mean, how much of that is happening with renewal agreements versus pricing pressure trying to poach clients from competitors to bring in kind of new deals?
I would say on the volume guarantees, what's happening with the volume guarantees is we're actually, our sales team is doing a great job of getting new volume guarantees. We have record new and the new business has more than 42% volume guarantees. However, the existing customers, the kind of core holdings that we had volume guarantees with going into the first quarter, they've lowered those guarantees and that puts pressure on our revenue per occupied and throughput balance. And so, you know, while we love collecting revenue from customers, you know, we actually don't think customers paying significantly is beneficial in the long run. And we like the relatively low gap between physical and economic for that reason. We think too big a gap is kind of a ticking time bomb, frankly. So we worked through that and it'll be more stable going forward.
And your next question comes from the line of Alexander Goldfarb of Piper Sandler. Your line is open.
Hey, good morning out there. Two questions. First, if we look at the non-same store pool, that seems to be where you guys are experiencing a much bigger occupancy drop. So just want to get a little bit more color. That's my first question.
Yeah, I mean, that's really related to the Kennewick fire from last year. Yeah, it's basically that's the big part of it in the first quarter.
So 42 properties where that occupancy drop was just 15% drop was all driven by one property?
Yeah, and there's also Big Bear. So there's a couple where we had, you know, incidents, right, with the fires.
That's the biggest driver. I mean, that kind of was one of our largest facilities. And that's relatively small on same store. But it was totally full. Yeah, it was totally full. Yeah, so I think that's a big driver, Alex.
Okay, and then the second question is, we've been, you know, for the past few quarters, you know, we've been talking about this normalization of inventory levels, and obviously you guys have a lot of experience in the business, but it does seem that each quarter, it seems to be the next quarter. So just curious, as you look at the normalization of inventory levels and the stable consumption that you guys see in the food business, is there something different about this cycle versus your 15 plus years in the business that seems to be taking longer for inventories to normalize. Because I mean, COVID was a few years ago, presumably, you know, the destocking occurred a few years ago. And, you know, the tenant should have been back, especially pre April 2. So just sort of curious why it seems to just be taking a little bit longer than what we initially spoke about. I think it was back on the on your initial earnings call.
Yeah, yeah. So I'll start turning over to Greg. But we actually, from an occupancy level, were pretty much right what we expected for the first quarter. I mean, we saw normal seasonality, as we talked about. We saw the core holdings stabilize after the second quarter of last year. So actually, from the occupancy standpoint, we are directly in line. Rate was a tiny bit worse, as Greg talked about, and that really was the driver. We were actually pretty close to our told people. And I'll turn it over to Greg. I would just reiterate what you said. We said very clearly last quarter, we thought normal occupancy and seasonal patterns resumed in the third quarter. That remains true today and is reflected in our numbers. And as Rob said, the occupancy was right where we frankly hoped it would be in the first quarter.
Thank you. Your next question is from the line of Blaine Heck of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
All right, great, thanks. Just a few with respect to the agreement with Tyson. Can you talk about the age and condition of the four properties that you acquired, whether they might need any redevelopment or repositioning as Tyson moves from those properties into Hazleton and eventually the two new developments, and then also what the yield is on the assets that are being acquired, if you could share that.
Yeah, so I think we talked about 9% to 11% on the development. In terms of the EBITDA contributions on these acquisitions, we're low double-digit EBITDA multiple on the acquisitions we announced this quarter. Yeah, we did do, of course, complete due diligence, and Tyson was totally open book on the condition of the assets. They're generally in very good condition, and any capex that we would need to put in is certainly figured into the overall deal and returns.
Okay, great. That's helpful. And then second question, can you talk about how we should think about the sources of funding past, you know, the cash that you guys hold on the balance sheet for the total spend on the acquisition and development agreement? And maybe how you think about additional capacity or dry powder for investments, kind of incorporating this deal, the Bellingham acquisition with the additional spend on development underway and potentially any debt pay downs that you might be considering?
Yeah, sure. So I think this is all in line with our normal operating cadence where we spend money using our revolver. We still have a ton of capacity. We're a solid investment grade company. We have the opportunity to do public bonds here moving forward, which is something we'll certainly look at. And then as we grow the business and we generate more EBITDA, we get more capacity, we generate more cash, and you get the flywheel that we talked about. So We still have capacity now. You know, we're going to be very thoughtful in this market. Again, you know, we're always going to be patient and we'll manage this investment-grade balance sheet and continue to grow the business.
Great. Thanks, guys. Your next question is from the line of Nick Dillman of Baird. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning, guys. Maybe you want to touch some on the variable costs within the business and the labor in particular. I guess, what are you guys seeing on the labor front when it comes to wages or is wage pressures kind of have abated at this point? And then what are you guys kind of doing on the staffing levels with volume expected to be a little bit lower on the import export? I guess, how are you adjusting to this type of environment?
Yeah, so I'll start, you know, yes, labor productivity is still a great story for us that we talked about. You know, I think we showed our same store warehousing costs down in the quarter. And that's driving, you know, helping us. And it's all about labor productivity and lean and the things we've been doing forever. And then we'll, I'm sure we'll talk about LinOS and the opportunity there. But yeah, no, it's a good story. I think, you know, we continue to have, you know, a lot of positives here that are helping us. Yeah, I would say certainly the labor front is stable, and we're seeing wage increases of about 3.5% a year, which is in line with history.
That's helpful. And then maybe just following up on an earlier question, of the $25 million of EBITDA, are you able to break that down between Tyson and the Bellingham acquisition?
No, I don't want to get into the details on that, but as we know, the acquisition is a
into it.
Great, thanks.
Your next question is from the line of Motayo Akusanya from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
Hi, yes. Good morning, everyone. I was hoping you could dive a little deeper into guidance. So again, it's unchanged. You're gaining five cents from all the acquisition activity. Could you just talk a little bit about all the other moving parts, whether it is, okay, you know, we're now expecting slightly worse by, you know, X amount on operations, but, you know, we're picking up this amount from better costs, just to kind of get the general sense of how guidance still kind of ends up being slapped, but understanding some of the moving parts a little bit better.
Yeah, for sure.
So it's really about all the uncertainty that we talked about earlier. You know, so there are a lot of moving parts. We have a lot of levers to pull. We feel very confident in these guidance ranges that we gave you on adjustdeep.afo for share. There's a lot of different ways to get there, you know, and we'll continue to execute throughout the year to make sure we deliver these results for better. But there's just a lot of moving pieces, right? I mean, it's it's tough to quantify everything because you can't predict the future, but we feel really good about these ranges and we're aided by the acquisitions and we'll execute well the rest of the year. And, you know, we're certainly building in substantial productivity improvements continuing through the year, actually accelerating through the year. And I think the price, the pressure that we saw in the first quarter will continue throughout the year. And that's all baked into our assumptions.
That's helpful. And then if I could ask a quick second question, Could you talk about the business in terms of how domestic it's performing relative to your international operations? Is one generally feeling better than the other? Is there more risk in one or the other? Just kind of curious how that's shaping up.
Yeah, I think that the price pressure that we saw with the volume guarantees resetting was kind of a U.S. phenomenon. And both our Asian Pacific business and our European business is actually – performing very well, and I believe has accelerating performance. And while GIS, our GIS segment was down year over year, you know, we're still guiding to 5% to 10%, even a growth of that segment, and we feel good about that.
Thank you. Your next question is from the line of Ronald Camden of Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.
Hey, great. Just two quick ones. So starting with sort of same store and why, you know, I know the previous guidance, obviously, of two to 5% constant currency. The presentation says two Q should be sort of down as much as one Q, if I'm understanding that correctly. So just trying to think about the cadence of the what's baked into the second half of the year, you know, obviously, we'll open an exact number on it. But how are you guys thinking about that down and recovering the second half of the year?
Yeah, so I think, you know, as we said, we're confident in growth in the second half of the year for all the things we talked about, the easier comps, the seasonality. I think that, you know, we're not sure how much is going to grow, and that's why we're being careful on giving ranges, and that's where we'll continue to, you know, give you more information as we see it. But that's really the, you know, as Greg mentioned, that's kind of the point. Yeah, those are the key points.
Great. And then my second question is just a little bit more color on what you're hearing from tenants and sort of their level of inventory sort of post-tariff and so forth. And are there any sort of sectors, whether it's seafood, protein, is there any one or other that's better or worse positioned than any other sort of post-tariff announcement? Thanks so much.
Yeah, I would say there's wait and see on whether to change any inventory positioning or level of holdings. You know, our seafood business, you know, we talked about that a lot last year. That's stabilized, and I think we're kind of at a normal consumption level in seafood, and so we're seeing that. you know, we've seen those inventories down from the peak of COVID, but there's no longer, you know, downward pressure in that segment of our business.
Great. Thanks so much. Your next question is from the line of Steve Sakwa of Evercore ISI. Your line is open.
Yeah, thanks. Good morning. I don't know if you guys saw, there was a major article about the Chinese that had canceled the major, I guess, pork order from, you know, U.S., obviously given the tariff situation. And I'm just curious, you know, how that sort of transaction ripples back through the system here in the U.S. And, you know, could things like that in some cases put upward pressure on occupancy or, you You know, how do you sort of think about that, you know, in light of the comments, Greg, you sort of made about customer uncertainty with kind of the import-export business?
Yeah, it's a really great question. So absolutely that could happen. I mean, we're, you know, all the uncertainty that we have and the reason we're not giving a same-store exact number for the second half isn't all downside. There's a lot of things that could happen here that could buoy our occupancy and results. And that's one of them. I mean, China is a very large trading country. number of commodity experts and and i think importantly though you know while china's a large partner they've been using non-tariff trade barriers for a number of years so this really isn't a new uh issue while it's you know pronounced and it could have a bigger impact than past issues it's not a new thing for our customers to deal with i mean for example china was not renewing export licenses for a number of US protein locations that compete with their domestic producers all of last year, and our customers have been dealing with that. And so customers and producers are already working to redirect their exports to different countries, and that's exactly what they'll do if the continue or the tariffs get larger so I mean like we said food food flows like water around the world if it's not exported to China it'll be exported somewhere else or it'll be because it you know it'll be pointed to the domestic market here in the U.S but yes there is upside as you as you point out okay thanks and then maybe just sorry did you want to say something else nope I'm good proceed okay
The second question, just I guess if you think about capital deployment and like this Tyson's deal, does the economic uncertainty maybe create more opportunities for you guys as customers look to kind of shed costs and streamline their business? And how are you thinking about those deals and maybe the return hurdles in light of kind of where your stock has traded since the IPO and uncertainty in the bond market. Are you raising your investment hurdles and do you think this can create more opportunity?
So we think it could. We're always looking at risk-adjusted return and our cost of capital is a key component of that calculation that we talk about every week in our capital deployment call. But certainly, if tariffs impact the global supply chain, customers will shift their either production or distribution channels. And we are in those rooms with those executive staffs, helping them decide and execute on any major supply chain changes. And so, you know, Tyson is one that was obviously born well before these tariff policy changes. But as things change, we tend to get even more valuable with our customers.
Great. Thank you. Yeah. Next question is from the line of keeping kin from tourist.
Please go ahead. Thank you. Good morning. Uh, going back to that Tyson seal, give me ultimately what was the value proposition for Tyson's? Uh, was it just cost savings or Leno S or, you know, just more, um, sustainable operations? Just curious overall. Thank you.
Yeah. All the above. I mean, uh, lower cost, best technology, best automation, serving their dynamic customers better, positioning their inventory in the optimal locations. These guys are really smart about how they plan their future supply chain. And we were able to work with them for a full year on what that future supply chain should look like. a lot of flexibility given that they're they're an anchor customer in these buildings uh and can flex inventory if needed to a certain extent and that kind of future groups their supply chain lino s was certainly a a piece of this and um you know we'll be running in these automated buildings and we will convert to lino s in the buildings that were that we're purchasing from them and I'll just digit productivity improvements in these buildings and as we mentioned this is the year of just proving it out and then we'll roll it out more broadly over the next couple years but we're increasingly excited about how this technology can transform our operations and you know we're seeing very real benefit not only in direct labor but also in indirect labor in benefits in energy and safety even in employee turnover and training expense we even think this will lower our maintenance expense and capex as we'll use our facilities more efficiently. And over time, we think this will meaningfully lower our cost structure and create an even deeper vote between us and our competition and improve the already outstanding service we provide to our customers. So we're highly encouraged, and this technology was a component of the deal with Tyson.
Great. Thank you. And on the trade uncertainties, You know, one of the things the administration has talked about is not just tariffs, but perhaps improving the balance of trade through exports, especially like agricultural exports. I'm not sure if you and the food producers have had much dialogue with the administration, but any kind of insights you can share what this potential could be and how real does it feel like, or will it be like all soybeans and not touch the cold storage warehouse? Thank you.
Yeah, I think it could impact us, but to try to predict how and why and where and which commodities. Yes, I've met with 20 customers in the last just several weeks, and there's so much uncertainty. I think it would be unwise for me to try to predict what's going to happen at this time, but more next quarter. Okay, thank you.
Your next question is from the line of Michael Goldsmith of UBS. Please go ahead.
Good morning. Thanks a lot for taking my question. How much room do you think your current tenants have within their current commitments to utilize before they would need to take on more space?
It varies by customer, by region, by commodity. I think where we are from an occupancy standpoint, there's a ton of room that we have to sell to customers, and that's moving forward, right, with all the things that we've done from a productivity standpoint, you know, getting our costs at a really good level here, you know, having the space to sell, having a market that is going to bounce back at some point gives us a ton of opportunity to drive really strong operating leverage moving forward. Yeah, and I think because the volume guarantees were just reset here in the first quarter, customers are, they have an appropriate amount of space reserved for what they see in their business. You know, if there's any inventory inflection, if there's any increase in consumer sentiment that leads to an uptick in sales and volumes, that's all upside for us, and incremental margins are extremely strong. And so, you know, we're kind of at a bottom in inventories right now, and any stimulus to rebuild or, you know, reposition just haunts us.
And then just to follow up on supply, how much supply delivered over the last year is yet to be absorbed? And then also, how much supply is set to be delivered in 2025 that is unleashed within the industry?
Yeah, great question. So certainly there's been new supply into the market over the last several years. That new capacity peaked in 2023 with about 4% in the U.S. incremental power positions. That came down by about 50% in 24 and again, similarly this year. So about 2%, you know, new pallet positions added in the U.S. in 24 and 25. And that new supply is expected to be cut in half again based on what's been announced so far and what we know is happening in 2026. So in 2026, the new pallet positions added in the US will kind of be back to historical pre-COVID levels. But I think it's important to mention that that capacity that's been added over the last several years has been built at the highest cost to build ever. And, you know, the cost of capital has obviously increased. So it's hard for these smaller players to succeed at anything below kind of market prices. And we expect some of these businesses to underperform and some to fail. And we're definitely seeing evidence of that in the marketplace. and we expect those dislocations to create opportunities for us to either grow organically or through acquisition. And I think, you know, compared to these new entrants, we have such distinct competitive advantages. We have scale that creates network effects. We have world-class and leading automation. We have proprietary technology. Even before the LinOS launch, we have 13,000 customer relationships, and we have global farm-to-fork service offerings. And so we have a really deep moat I mean, for example, I'd argue that if you think about this new capacity or new companies that have entered our space, I think we're the only one capable of successfully signing and executing a deal like to the scale of the Tyson Foods agreements.
Thank you very much. Your next question is from the line of Todd Thomas of KeyBank Capital Markets. Your line is open.
Hi, thanks. Good morning. First question, I just wanted to follow up on the minimum volume guarantees, which decreased 200 basis points sequentially to the 42 percent level. That decrease occurred before the tariff announcements, and I realize there's uncertainty around how inventory levels will trend in the near term with the uncertainty around trade flows and inventory. But in terms of those changes, I just wanted to clarify if that was predominantly a first quarter reset of sorts or whether you do expect that process to be ongoing throughout the year and whether or not the fixed commits, the percent of fixed commits might fall further, perhaps below 40%.
It is largely a first quarter phenomenon. The majority of them get reset in the first quarter. And again, they're reset at lower levels. But while the existing customer volume guarantees came down a little bit, the new business we're selling has more than 42% average volume guarantees. And so we would expect, and I don't think tariffs would have an impact on this, if anything, to Steve's point earlier, you know, if there is any stockpiling of inventory or things are having to be held or re-diverted or diverted back to the U.S. that are on the water, you know, that could lead to people needing even more space and potentially come kind of out of cycle and ask for increase in volume guarantees. So we'll see what happens. Again, a lot of uncertainty, but majority first quarter photo.
Okay. And then separate question on the Tyson's transaction. With regard to the existing facilities that will be transitioned to public warehouses, will those warehouses experience a decrease in occupancy in 27 or 28 during that transition? How will that handoff happen? um you know i'm just curious whether or not we should expect um you know those how those you know operations should should sort of trend during that transition period if they need to sort of fill up and if they'll they'll be you know sort of operating in a way like lease up or or development assets during that period yeah i mean i you know all the details of the agreement but you know we we've
There's a very smooth transition. Like anything else, because of public warehouse, there could certainly be a bit of a J curve as you're filling up the new warehouse in a couple of years. But there's a structured transaction around this. Yeah, the answer is yes. There'll be an occupancy decline when they depart, and we will build it back up into a public facility. But all of that was certainly built and contemplated as we entered the agreements with Tyson Foods.
And your next question comes from the line of Vikram Malhotra from Mixor.
Please go ahead. Morning. Thanks for the question. So I just going back to the guide, I get it's very difficult to pinpoint where same store warehouse or even the global solutions and how I grow it's going to go. But I'm just trying to understand, you know, high level to keep the guide intact. You must have baked something in or said another way, like if tariffs were to go away tomorrow, would you still be hitting your original guide or is there some other offset? Like to maintain the guide, what are the other components that you're cutting, assuming kind of the same store comes in well below your original expectation?
Yeah, you know, it's real hard to predict what would happen if tariffs got, you know, went away tomorrow um yeah i think if you just if you just do the simple math right and you and you look at our guide and you look at the 25 million that we're that we're playing to get you're losing 25 million somewhere else right so that gets you you know more to the low end of our initial same store guide if you're going to go back to you know to that but again There's a ton of volatility. There's upside, downside. We're very confident in the levers that we can pull on cost and everything else. And so we're committed here to deliver these ranges, barring any sort of other economic thing that were to happen. And our job here will be to do even better than that.
Got it. And then I guess just, you know, we talked a lot about opportunities on the external growth side. Obviously, Tyson's a solid deal. I'm wondering just given kind of how the stock's performed and obviously the embedded value, what about considering a big buyback or even just other ways to kind of highlight value?
Yeah, I know. I think the board and the management team will always do whatever we think is the best interest of the shareholders. or value over the long-term. I mean, we're really focused here, as you know, on compounding growth and driving long-term turnover value.
I think that's what we do. Okay. And then just one, if I can clarify, like how much of this, you know, the, I guess the challenge, same store, you've got a big global portfolio, the scale, et cetera. Are you able to share any like industry stats to kind of show how maybe the lineage portfolio is outperforming even in this environment? Like, you know, what's happened to, economic occupancy changes across your peers or just the overall growth? Any stats you can share that would highlight lineage still outperforming fundamentally? Thanks.
There's not really publicly, you know, our industry is very fragmented. It's not transparent even in the U.S., much less in the international markets. I think we're getting that from the intel of our 250 salespeople around the world that are acutely aware of the capacity or occupancy of our of their competitors in their markets i i personally visited with teams across 10 markets around the world actually more like 12 this year and met with our teams and they are very in tune with what's going on in the market and what customers are going where and what the capacity is at our competitors buildings and based on that you know based on that intel we think we're performing very well from a physical
Ladies and gentlemen, due to the constraints of time, we do need to conclude our Q&A session for today, and I would like to turn the call back over to Evan Barbosa for closing remarks.
On behalf of the entire lineage team, thank you for joining us today and for your interest in lineage. We look forward to speaking with you again on our next quarterly call. Thanks, everybody.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect.