3/21/2023

speaker
Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Limerick 4th Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message stating that your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Melissa Garcia. Please go ahead.

speaker
Melissa Garcia

Hello, everyone. We'd like to welcome you to today's call to discuss LumiraDX's fourth quarter and 2022 full-year financial results issued earlier today. With us are LumiraDX's Chairman and CEO, Ron Zwanziger, Deputy CEO, Veronique Amey, and Chief Financial Officer, Dorian LeBlanc. The press release announcing our financial results is posted on the investor relations section of the company's website at lumiridx.com. Before we begin, I would like to caution listeners that any statements we make today, other than historical facts, are forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Please be aware that all such forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, such as those detailed in our annual report on Form 20F for the year ended December 31st, 2021, which was filed with the SEC on April 13th, 2022, in our report on Form 6K that was filed with the SEC on August 16th, 2022, and in other filings that we make with the SEC. Any forward-looking statements that we make must be considered in light of these factors. Actual results may vary materially. Also, during today's call, we may refer to certain non-IFRS financial measures. Non-IFRS financial measures should not be considered in isolation from or as a substitute for financial information presented in compliance with IFRS. There is a schedule showing the reconciliation of these non-IFRS financial measures in our press release issued earlier today, which can be found on our website at lumaridx.com. I will now turn the call over to Ron Zwanziger for opening remarks. We will then provide financial and business updates before answering questions. Ron?

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

Thanks, Melissa. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our fourth quarter results call. As announced this morning, we continue to make progress, commercializing new products to drive near-term growth, as well as progressing our pipeline to deliver our high-value products. These efforts advance Lumira DX's strategy, transform point-of-care diagnostics while strengthening our financial position. As planned, we continue to adapt and shift the business in response to changing COVID market dynamics, leveraging new product innovation and introduction of combinations to retain and grow market share. At the same time, we are working actively with customers to redeploy instruments to support broader community-based testing. We continue to remain focused on expanding and diversifying our customer base thanks to widely recognized performance and cost advantages over competitors. As we begin manufacturing multiple non-COVID test strips using common materials, we're realizing the benefit of our single, highly automated manufacturing process across our menu of assays. Fourth quarter results were approximately 41 million, mainly from COVID sales. This performance was achieved with higher volume but lower average selling price based on market mix compared to the third quarter. We shipped approximately 1,500 platforms during the quarter, primarily in Europe. Next, I would like to share progress against the key priorities we have communicated for advancing our strategy and driving financial performance. Our key priorities are to commercialize a newly authorized C product portfolio in Europe and other international markets, to progress our U.S. revenue pipeline and 510K plan, to accelerate the development of high sensitivity to troponin molecular assays on the platform, and to shape our organization and cost base to support strong innovation and commercial success. First, we continue to deliver on our priority of commercializing new products in Europe and other international markets. We commence commercial shipments of our NT-PRO BMP tests in Europe into key accounts. This is the first of its kind product, delivering quantitative results from a finger-stick sample in 12 minutes and designed to allow immediate detection and referral of heart failure in primary care. Initial key opinion leader and customer feedback for this test has been very positive. The HBA1C rollout, which began in Q3, is progressing well, and together with CRP, has catalyzed our instrument consolidation strategy. As a reminder, our current test menu is designed to enable customers to consolidate three different instruments they are currently using into a single Lumiere DX platform and workflow right now, with the opportunity to consolidate up to six instruments in the next 18 to 24 months. Earlier this month, we also achieved NGSB certification in Europe for our HbA1c test, which now opens up many more tender opportunities in key European markets. Finally, Europe is not a huge respiratory market. However, innovation in the overall respiratory portfolio, such as COVID flu, COVID RSV combos together, with differentiated products such as COVID pooling and COVID Ultra 5 minutes have enabled us to defend our market share and serve COVID customers in the region. Shifting to the United States, we're growing our U.S. revenue and pipeline and remain focused in the near term on respiratory tests. We're actively working on a 510K submissions for both COVID Ultra and COVID flu combination tests. We initiated clinical studies earlier this year and plan to submit our 510K applications for the COVID Ultra in Q2. This enables us to continue sales after the public health emergency ends. We're still on track to complete the HbA1c and ISDAR clinical studies this year. With the respiratory system ending, acquiring sufficient clinical samples to complete COVID and flu 510K requirements may be at risk. However, we are working with the Independent Test Assessment Program, ITAP, the ITAP established by the National Institute of Health Rapid Acceleration Program, the RADx, tech program to achieve accelerated FDA EUA review for our COVID and flu combination product. Next, our commitment to accelerate the development of high-value assays and the capability to perform both antigen and molecular tests on our platform. We've made progress on two key programs since the start of Q4. troponin and strep A molecular. In preclinical studies, our strep molecular A test is demonstrating high sensitivity equivalent to the leading point of care molecular tests in the market. We anticipate starting clinical studies during the 23-24 respiratory season with an IVDR submission in Europe and 510K submission in the United States in the first half of next year. We have a strong molecular pipeline following this product, including COVID, TB, flu A, B, and chlamydia and gonorrhea, where we have already demonstrated feasibility of the chemistry developed from our fast lab technology. We have made good progress with our troponin test since our last update. In preclinical studies, the test has high sensitivity, equivalent to laboratory analyzers within 12-minute test time from finger-stick blood and venous blood and plasma samples. We expect to commit initial clinical studies in the fall with an IVDR submission in Europe and a 510K submission by mid next year and faster access to select strategic markets such as the UK. We continue to be excited about both programs which are of high interest to our customers. In summary, we continue to progress on our strategic milestones, enabling us to deliver our mission for improved health Outcomes at lower cost through fast, accurate, and comprehensive diagnostic information at the point of need. I'll now hand things over to Dorian to go deeper into our financial performance. Dorian?

speaker
Melissa

Thanks, Ron. For the 2022 fiscal year, Limerick's revenue was $254.5 million compared to 2021 full-year revenues of $421.4 million. Fourth quarter revenues in 2022 were $41.1 million. COVID antigen test strips from the Lumira DX platform contributed $25 million, and Fast Lab Solutions COVID revenues were $8 million for the quarter. Non-COVID specific revenues in Q4 2022 were $8 million, or 20% of total revenues, including $3 million of non-COVID specific point-of-care platform-related revenues. This is the first quarter that we've had a meaningful percentage of non-COVID specific revenues. As Ron mentioned, while COVID test volumes increased from Q3 to Q4, the geographic mix yielded a lower average selling price. As we progress in Q1 23, we have seen both a change in customer utilization of COVID-only tests and a weak respiratory season lead to a volume decline in test sales. We expect Q1 23 total revenues between 18 and 20 million as COVID testing declines and inventory at customers is consumed. We anticipate continued growth in the non-COVID portfolio outside of the U.S., and we expect strong contributions from our flu COVID products for both the point-of-care platform and the fast lab solutions for the 23-24 respiratory season. Total adjusted gross margins for 2022 were 63.2 million, or 25%. Adjusted gross margins exclude amortization, stock-based compensation, restructuring, and impairment charges, but do include approximately $12 million of depreciation expense recognized as cost of sales. Poor point-of-care test strip margins continue to exceed 80% for the quarter and the full year. In the quarter, the company recognized impairment charges on inventory and fixed assets related to the decline in COVID testing demand and the decision to forego the commercial launch of the AMIRA COVID test. The impairment included reducing the accounting carrying value for manufacturing equipment not currently in use and not currently installed of $23 million for AMIRA and $27 million for the uninstalled platform test strip manufacturing equipment. An impairment on the accounting carrying value of our inventory was recorded for 8 million for AMIRA, 7 million for FAST Labs and $32 million for raw materials and testing accessories associated with our COVID antigen test. The installed base of instruments at the end of 2022 was approximately 28,000 instruments, an increase of more than 1,500 in the quarter. Our installed base includes approximately 6,000 instruments previously identified as located in non-traditional point-of-care settings specifically for COVID testing and 5,500 instruments in Africa, mainly under the grant we received from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. We expect limited testing utilization from these instruments in 2023. The transition of our European installed base from COVID specific use cases to broad menu adoption has been one of our core successes since the launch of the new menu in Europe. Our high value customer installations in the US also provide us an excellent growth opportunity for our COVID flu multiplex test for the 23-24 respiratory season and beyond. As discussed in our third quarter earnings call, we implemented additional restructuring activities late in 2022 to reduce the cost associated with the excess capacity in our manufacturing facilities and to right-size the organization. The full impact of these restructuring activities will be realized in Q1 2023. Nonetheless, fourth quarter adjusted R&D expenses were $19.3 million compared to $29.2 million in Q3 2022. And fourth quarter adjusted SG&A expenses were $23.1 million compared to $27.9 million in Q3 2022. Both as a result of our restructuring activities earlier in 2022 and the early impact of the changes we started implementing in the fourth quarter. We continue to focus on managing our cost basis across the company, have the ability, if necessary, to realize further savings as we progress in 2023. Finally, in our results for the year, the net finance expenses of the company in 2022 include non-cash foreign exchange losses of 81 million, resulting from the internal accounting revaluation of intercompany loans, which has no present or future cash flow impact on the consolidated company. At December 31, 2022, our cash balance was $100 million. We announced in February an amendment of our senior debt facility to waive financial covenants through the end of June. The value proposition of LumerityX's combination of performance, highly scalable, low-cost test strip production, and our expanding menu continues to resonate with customers and partners. We are especially pleased with the customer response in Europe for our expanded menu and I'm happy to hand over to our Deputy CEO, Veronique Amey, to provide a commercial update on recent developments. Veronique?

speaker
Ron

Thank you, Dorian. We've been heartened to see the customer traction as we have commercially rolled out the new products over the last few quarters. The combination of lab-comparable performance, menu and usability has opened up new and improved cases for diagnosing and managing respiratory conditions, diabetes, heart failure, suspected deep vein thrombosis, as well as managing vitamin K antagonist therapy in community-based settings. I'd like to provide some details for two of our largest markets, one in the UK and the other in DEC, which compromises Germany, Austria, and Switzerland, where the strategy is being played out and critically accepted in healthcare systems and by healthcare professionals and providers. Early in the pandemic, the UK Department of Health and Social Care procured 1,500 instruments for fast, accurate COVID testing in the community. These instruments were deployed in testing hubs, hospital emergency departments, surgery units, and at hospital discharge. The variety of use cases enabled the users to experience the impact of lab-comparable results in minutes. By moving testing from laboratory-based molecular testing to our platform, they were able to triage patients quickly and reliably. As the pandemic waned, the NHS has been redeploying these instruments for broader community care applications. We believe this is a testament to their confidence in our platform. The Lumiere DX platform has been recommended to all NHS sites for implementation in the virtual award program, which is intended to minimize hospital presence in the UK by proactively managing COPD, inflammation in frail patients at home and in other community settings, and for ruling out deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism. Our portable, easy to use, fully connected platform is ideal for nurses and healthcare practitioners to take testing into the community, including care homes and home visits, to immediate action near the patient. The platform is also being used in community settings and primary care offices across the UK for fast, accurate, and early detection of heart failure. A total of approximately 800 instruments have been requested by the NHS sites to be reallocated for these use cases since the asset repurchasing started, and we are working to deploy them to the designated sites and begin testing. The opportunity in Germany, Switzerland, and Austria is very different. COVID testing was more centralized in these markets, and our opportunity was with RNA star complete reagents due to their speed and performance, as well as the platform, but mostly non-clinical applications. Now, with the launch of INR, CRP, D-dimer, NT-proBNP, and HPA1C, we are seeing instrument placements and utilization grow. In the past year, our customer base has grown from 100 to 350 plus with customers ordering multiple tests. A year ago, only 20% of customers in Germany were ordering two or more tests. Today, that number is more than 50%. A year ago, less than 5% of our customers in Germany were ordering three or more tests. Today, that number is more than 20%. Although harder to quantify with overall market volumes dropping, menu expansion with differentiated respiratory products has helped us retain COVID revenue, driving short-term value for the company. If we look at our major COVID markets, namely the UK, Italy, and Japan, in the past year, platform revenue contribution from the 12-minute COVID antigen test has declined from over 62% down to just below 35%. So two-thirds of our respiratory revenue is coming from new and differentiated products, such as COVID Ultra pooling, 5-minute COVID Ultra, and combination tests such as COVID Flu and COVID RSC. The initial response to our recent launch of our unique finger stick assay for anti-proBNP has been extremely encouraging, and the product has been rapidly adopted by many of our primary care accounts, and work has started to introduce the product into secondary care. A recent community voluntary healthy heart check exercise in cooperation with Medtronic at a city in England included our finger-stick anti-BMP test on a small number of patient volunteers. This resulted in the detection of 2% of patients with significantly elevated values and 10% of patients with intermediate values, showing the incredible power of an effective screening program to detect early heart disease and take immediate action. In summary, we are very pleased with how the products are contributing to the overall commercial strategy and early success. We will now open the call for questions.

speaker
Operator

Certainly. As a reminder, to ask a question, press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster.

speaker
spk10

One moment for our first question. And our first question will come from Jeffrey Cohen of Leidenberg.

speaker
Operator

Your line is open.

speaker
Winesford

Oh, hi, good morning. How are you? Thank you for taking our questions. So a few from our end. Firstly, you walked through some of the European business with INR, D-Dimer, CRP, ProBNP. Could you also talk about HBA1C and could you talk about some of the past driving commercialization in Europe as far as tenders and geographies and some of the governments there?

speaker
ProBNP

Well, that's a very broad question.

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

We've started winning tenders, but some of them take, when you win them, it takes a while before they get implemented as they run out from the previous . So that started happening in a number of countries. A1C is of a great deal of interest and now with the new certification that we mentioned in our prepared remarks, we're able to bid on more tenders. The combination of CRP and A1C in particular, that pair, is finding a great deal of interest with customers in quite a number of the countries, actually essentially everywhere. So pretty much everywhere, whichever country in Europe you're looking at, you can see that sort of in different ways, but similarly, the combination of these various tests is helping to drive um acceptance um and up until now uh because we've been launching one test at a time we didn't have enough sort of combination tests to be of interest to to to large uh very large number of locations but that's clearly changing and the virtual war program which veronique described um is is showing the power of actually having a group test. Now on the platform, we have the essential ingredients for Winesford community testing. So I don't know if that answers your question.

speaker
Winesford

Yeah, that's helpful, Ron. And generally speaking, on the tenders versus one-off sales, they may take longer to get through the system, but they tend to be larger in size and longer in duration. Is that a good assessment?

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

Yes. I mean, that's true. generally speaking even most of the business is not tender supported but once a product goes in once you've gone through the the stage of working with the birth care opinion leaders within the country and the specialists within the hospital unit or the district where it's been looked at, once you go through that, the sustaining power of these instruments tend to be very long. So it tends not to be that, once they're in, it doesn't tend to be that different to tenders, even though the tenders are contractually long. There's not really that much difference between them.

speaker
Winesford

Okay, got it. That's helpful. And then on the instrument placements for 2023, Any sense of what you'd anticipate? I know that it was very strong for 22. Do you expect further fall through for 23, or would you expect instrument placements to slow down?

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

Well, we certainly wouldn't expect them to slow down. I mean, the response on the, which I just commented to your previous question, of the link with CRP and A1C was part of the was part of the drive for the placement of the unit in fourth quarter and that the recent launch in the NT Pro is also driving a tremendous amount of interest. So no, by no means do we think they will slow down. I think we'll have a – I suspect we'll have a really pretty good year for placements simply based on the products we recently launched in Europe.

speaker
Winesford

Okay, got it. And thanks, Dorian, for calling out some of the various revenue components. And any commentary on – it sounds like most of your restructuring concluded during the fourth quarter, and it sounded like, although you made some commentary about some further on restructuring into the first quarter. Could you elaborate, if you may?

speaker
Melissa

Yeah, the – The second set of restructuring that we did, the full impact didn't take place until the end of February. So, in the first quarter, we still won't have quite the full impact of some of the restructuring, especially the restructuring that took place in our UK facilities. So, we'll have an additional decline in the overall operating expenses, including the portions that go through cost of sales. stepping down from Q4 to Q1, and then again from Q1 to Q2, just based on the timing of those restructuring activities.

speaker
Winesford

Okay, got it. That's helpful. Thank you for taking our questions.

speaker
spk09

One moment for our next question.

speaker
Operator

And our next question will come from Matt Sykes of Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

speaker
Matt Sykes

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Maybe, Ron, first one for you. You made some comments in the prepared remarks about pipeline progress in the U.S. Could you maybe provide a little bit more color on what you're expecting in terms of timing for tests, obviously knowing that the approval process is relatively uncertain, but how are you thinking about sort of non-COVID test rollout in the U.S. as it relates to the regulatory process?

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

Well, so in the short term, We are, as we mentioned, the ITAP program, specifically around COVID flu A, flu B. We're working through that and are expecting for that to clear, which will help us in the flu season at the end of the year. We're also submitting, which we also mentioned, for the first time, a 510K on COVID. You may ask why COVID we're not. Our entire focus of the company is on non-COVID. Well, the issue is it's the first time the agency will have seen our instrument, and they're obviously very familiar with our COVID test, so we're submitting that one first. And with that, and then once that is done, we will be then adding, as we mentioned previously, additional tests with a focus on A1C, INR, and also NT-Pro at some point. So we expect to have those submissions and the clinical trials for those all done later this year and submitted in such a way that assuming everything goes smoothly, we have those to drive revenues in next year.

speaker
Matt Sykes

Got it. Thanks for that. It's helpful. And then you all mentioned the NHS helping you with sort of the non-COVID conversion that's taking place there and redeploying those instruments. For other countries in Europe, are there other types of bodies similar to the NHS that can help you with that type of conversion, or is it going to be more your own commercial efforts enacting that conversion in other countries, in addition, obviously, to the UK? But I'm just wondering if there's any tailwinds you can receive from NHS-like bodies in other countries within Europe.

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

Well, that's a very good question. We are actually underway. We focused on discussing the pickup in Central Europe, in Germany, Austria and Switzerland, and then as well as obviously the UK. But yes, there are similar, in our biggest European market, which is Italy, there is a similar program, which is slightly different, And we'll talk about it more later on, but in Italy, the situation is slightly differently in that we still, in most cases, own the instruments because they're placed. And so it's much more of the onus on us to work with the various authorities and moving them to the right locations, and that program is getting underway. By the way, the same is true in Africa, where the Strip revenues per instrument are very low, but there's a program there and we're moving. We've started moving with experimental programs around moving some of those issues, some of those instruments into non-communicable disease locations, essentially meaning A1C. initially, and so that's also going. So it's a very good question. We have a big focus on making sure that the instruments, that we get these instruments redeployed.

speaker
Matt Sykes

Great. Thanks. That's very helpful. And then last one, Dorian, for you. Just on 23, you kind of outlined the Q1 guide. I'm assuming that's total, and it looks like, based on my math, and correct me if I'm wrong, that You did about 8.5 million sort of non-COVID in Q4. Is that a base we should think about for non-COVID? Is there any kind of growth rates or kind of bars around that growth for non-COVID we should think about for 23?

speaker
Melissa

Yeah, no, I think that is a good base that we expect to grow from there throughout 23. So the difference in Q4 to Q1, the decline is entirely related to COVID and customer inventories from purchase of COVID late in Q4. So we would expect that that base of eight is the core base that we grow from for the non-COVID products.

speaker
Matt Sykes

Okay. And any commentary on potential growth rate for that, or is it too early? I think we'll hold that for now. Okay. Thank you very much for the questions.

speaker
spk09

One moment for our next question.

speaker
Operator

And our next question will come from Vijay Kumar of Evercore. Your line is open.

speaker
Vijay Kumar

Hi, this is Alexandra on for Vijay. So, Doreen, you gave out the 1Q revenue expectations. I was just wondering if you could talk a little bit more about the cadence for the full year and how those numbers might ramp, and then also in terms of your cash burn. And you had previously stated that you were focused on exiting 23 with break-even cash flows. Can we still expect that? And sort of how are you expecting cash burn to look this year?

speaker
Melissa

Yeah, certainly. So I think we would look at the full year as having great contribution from the non-COVID products in the growth, similar to the question that Matt just asked. I think we also have a tremendous opportunity in the second half of the year with the flu COVID multiplex. You know, we do have a very differentiated product, a single sample, you know, test results very rapidly. for FluWave will be COVID that fits well in the pharmacy segment, fits well in the physician office segment, and any place where performance is really valued by the customers, given the sensitivity of the platform. So the back half of the year converting what historically was our COVID business into a more complete respiratory testing business gives us a lot of momentum with the installed base that we have all in the right place to capture that opportunity in the U.S., to a lesser degree in Europe, and then also a growing business in Japan for respiratory as well, which is obviously the second largest respiratory testing market. So if you think about the cadence of revenues for the year, the core non-COVID business, we will continue to grow throughout the year, And then we have a good opportunity in the second half of the year on the respiratory leveraging the installed base and the differentiation of the multiplex product. On the second piece on the cash burn, you know, that concentrating the respiratory revenues in that fourth quarter, will have a very strong cash impact on the company. Those are high margin, high value sales in high value countries when you look at the U.S. and Japan. So that'll be a key portion to driving towards operating cash break even in the fourth quarter. And we are concentrating on managing the cost base to achieve that outcome.

speaker
Vijay Kumar

Great. And then can I just ask another one on the point of care TB test? You guys had previously talked about finalizing the test strip design and manufacturing. I was just wondering how that process is going as well as any preclinical studies you had.

speaker
ProBNP

Those have gone very well.

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

We've got a fair number of results coming in. And I think we're on track to seek registration later this year and to get it into some of the programs for the various organizations that help sponsor TB sales, particularly in Africa. And we're being aided significantly by the Gates Foundation in this process.

speaker
Vijay Kumar

Great. Thanks for taking my question.

speaker
spk09

And one moment for our next question.

speaker
Operator

And our next question will come from Mark Massaro of BTIG. Your line is open.

speaker
Mark Massaro

Hey, guys. Good morning. Thank you for taking the questions. Maybe the first one is for you, Dorian. I believe adjusted gross margins came in at 25% for 2022. Recognizing that your Q1 guidance was significantly below consensus. I guess, how should we think about your ability to hold gross margins at that level? Or is it right that we might expect perhaps a temporary pause until revenues pick back up?

speaker
Melissa

Yeah, no, that is right. You should think of it as a temporary decline in margin until revenues pick back up. We do still have a fixed cost base. As we highlighted in the script, we do have over $3 million of depreciation expense alone running through for the installed manufacturing equipment. And we have the facilities expense as well. So there is a fixed cost element here. So at a $20 million quarter, it will be hard for us to have significant positive gross margin, but the benefit of our manufacturing structure is that a $40 million quarter, that delta essentially flows right to the bottom line. A $75 million quarter, that delta almost entirely flows to the bottom line just because the direct materials costs are so small on the disposable. The other element I'll remind you, Marika, is that we are still expensing any instruments that we install without having reagent rental agreements in place. versus I know some of our peers are capitalizing those and spreading that expense over three or more years. So we are, as we place 1,500 instruments in a quarter, we are taking a $4.5-plus million hit directly to the P&L as a periodic cost. And as we transition into more of the non-COVID broader menu where we're able to do re-agent rental deals, some of the tenders that we spoke about before where you have multi-period commitments, we'll start changing that business model and therefore changing the accounting for that. But that'll still be a burden, I think, in the first quarter for us.

speaker
Mark Massaro

Okay, that's helpful. And congrats on driving 20% of your revenue from non-COVID in the quarter. Maybe, I know it's been asked a couple times, but would love to just get maybe a little more specificity with respect to You know, I think, Ron, you mentioned COVID Ultra. Is that to be submitted in Q2 23? And then the COVID, I understand COVID is now going to be, I think, a standalone 510K. And then can you talk about the timing of COVID Flu AB? I guess the reason why we're asking the questions is just to try to fine tune our modeling with respect to 2023 and 2024 revenue pacing coming from the United States.

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

yeah i know entirely entirely understood um that's why we uh we explained that um uh we're we're busy collecting and are not quite there but closing in on finalizing the uh the number of tests we need we need for the 510 for the 510k uh we only have about 20 percent of the uh of the numbers left to collect um and then we'll submit the the the 510k for the covid ultra We're not planning on submitting for the old 12 minute test. We're only going for the 510K on the five minute version because it's so differentiating and customers as you heard from the conversion in Europe over to it has been quite fast. So we're only doing that one. And then on the 510K, We will then – we're getting samples extremely difficult. We'll get some samples from the southern hemisphere, but then we'll have to get some additional samples in the U.S. But from a modeling standpoint, that's why we explained about the ITAP program where we're expecting to – finalize that and we expect to get the EUA on that to make sure that we have a smooth transition for the COVID flu A, flu B for the next respiratory season. And I should also add, and this probably won't surprise you, that we've had tremendous customer response in the U.S. since your question was focused on U.S., but we've also had tremendous customer response on flu A, flu B in Europe, which has Dorian commented, doesn't tend to be a particularly strong market for flu, but in fact, quite a number of locations, including the UK and elsewhere, have actually bought a significant amount of COVID fluids to be the same product that we're taking in through the ITAP program.

speaker
Mark Massaro

Okay, that's great. I know that you have some good support from the Gates Foundation. I think on your Q3 call, Ron, you talked about partnership discussions. We'd just love any sense for any update with respect to commercial partnerships or perhaps entities that could potentially provide non-dilutive financing. Anything on the partnership side would be really helpful.

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

We continue, there is really no update on that other than to say that we're continuing, we're very active working with a select group, and we think it's a fairly good probability we'll get something done, but we'll update you, you know, obviously when something's done.

speaker
Mark Massaro

All right, thanks very much.

speaker
Operator

One moment for our next question. And our next question will come from Andrew Cooper of Raymond James. Your line is open, Andrew.

speaker
Andrew Cooper

Hello, everybody. Thanks for the question. A lot asked already, but maybe first, just hoping you could give a little bit more color. You know, you had a actually pretty substantial dollar step up in adjusted cost of goods quarter over quarter with pretty steady revenue. So just trying to get a sense for the gross margins and where we can see that stabilize, you know, relative to, like you mentioned, some of the fixed costs for some of the the pieces that will come in and out as revenues grow?

speaker
Melissa

Yeah, so part of that is mix. As the COVID antigen declines, and they mentioned it was a volume increase actually on COVID antigen from third quarter to fourth quarter, but actually a lower average selling price just based on the geographic mix of where those sales occurred. So a little less in the U.S., a little more in China, in the Middle East and in Europe. So that was a portion of that difference, Andrew. And the other piece is that we still had beyond the impairments that we had, we still did have some inventory write-offs to kind of get rid and flush through the last piece of the legacy of dealing with the very variable demand of COVID. So I think we've, put that behind us now between the impairment and the fourth quarter inventory reserves. And we're looking forward to having a focus on products that are much easier to predict the growth rates and the consumption of, and will be much easier on our manufacturing processes to stay efficient versus the challenges we've had and everyone's had on trying to predict demand and plan raw material purchases and production schedules around various ways during the pandemic as we kind of transition into what we're used to as a business with our legacy of just dealing with the respiratory season.

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

Okay, great. That's helpful. Andrew, just to add, we did a thorough spring cleaning of the balance sheet, but the company itself in the fourth quarter to transition us to the non-COVID, which was obviously the original plan of the company and the 1500 instruments that we refer to Premier in Europe, they were essentially all for the beginning of non-COVID sales, as we mentioned, particularly around CRP A1C. And so I think the impact of that is gonna flow in the numbers in the next few quarters.

speaker
Andrew Cooper

Okay, helpful. And then, Dorian, I think you mentioned also just, you know, if necessary, more room on OPEX to continue to trim throughout the year. I guess, what do you need to see to decide, hey, it is necessary? And then how do we think about where some of those potential areas are? And again, sort of what the thresholds or benchmarks might be to make some of those decisions if necessary? Okay.

speaker
Melissa

Well, we're focused on strengthening the balance sheet, and Ron already mentioned that we're underway with very productive conversations that are really all anchored around the fact that we can generate tremendous performance on this very inexpensive-to-manufacture form factor in our test strip. So as we've got this menu that now is very compelling, meets expectations, A lot of the needs of a physician office trying to really run in a decentralized way, comprehensive care for primary care, the value proposition of the platform has never been stronger. And that's really driving a number of great conversations that we're having. So I think strengthening the balance sheet is the core part of the answer to your question, Andrew. We need to focus on that, which we have been doing. as we updated in the prior call, and we're confident that we're gonna work with that so that we can continue the momentum of populating the platform and growing the installed base. That's really what the focus is to grow the enterprise.

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

You know, you asked about the criteria we would use. One of them, which is probably very hard for you from the outside to see, is the progress we're making around getting sort of changes um in in countries uh to major changes in their programs now we talked a great deal about the virtual ward because that's already implemented but there are similar ideas running elsewhere and so sort of the state of of play of the effectiveness of the virtual war program the changes we're seeing in in germany um and austria already um similar changes are likely to happen and so So the nature of how we look at it will depend very much on how some of those go. And I should say that the advance indications we're having about changes that come to help us are all coming in our directions, and particularly importantly in large geographies. So the authorities dealing with health in much the same way that there were obviously decisions made around why the UK is running this virtual ward program. There are similar things and countries are dealing with different ways and they're all coming in our direction because authorities everywhere are recognizing that it is, that the rapid testing in the community helps to lower cost to the various troubled healthcare systems around the world and I'm focusing particularly on the larger geography. And so partly in answer to your question about how we think about it, it depends how those are moving and at the moment they seem to be all coming in our direction.

speaker
Andrew Cooper

Okay, very helpful. And then maybe just one more kind of on the pipeline. I just want to make sure when we think about the combo test, COVID and flu AB, is that form factor a COVID, or is it an ultra product? Is that one that we could think about the time, the runtime being, you know, five minutes? Is it more like their traditional 12? Is it something different? Just want to understand kind of where that's going to fit in the competitive stack versus what's out there and what may be to come from others as well.

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

Dorian, do you want to answer that question?

speaker
Melissa

Yes. So, the test strip design is a similar design to the 12-minute COVID antigen using the independent channels. So, it's a 12-minute runtime on the flu COVID. And, you know, what's nice is if you think about the most significant competitor that we see in the space for truly point of care, you know, being able to get that result in 20 minutes or less and getting really high sensitivity, you know, that competitive offering is two separate cartridges. that require you to run them in series. We're accomplishing that on the single test strip in 12 minutes. So we're very bullish on the competitive positioning and the feedback that we're getting from customers on the workflow, usability, and time to result. It gives us a lot of confidence about how that will play out in the respiratory season in the back half of this year.

speaker
Andrew Cooper

And is there any likelihood of that becoming an ultra product over time or kind of mechanically not something that's necessarily feasible?

speaker
Melissa

It is something that's feasible, and I think we were ensuring that we met the timelines to have the product in the market for the upcoming flu season versus continued development on an ultra version.

speaker
ProBNP

Okay. I will...

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

But all our developments are going into the ULTRA program. This was expedient to make sure we got it into the U.S. quickly. But in general, all our tests coming through are switching to the ULTRA platform.

speaker
spk13

Okay, great. That makes sense. I will stop there. Thanks for the time.

speaker
Operator

And I would now like to hand the call back to Ron for closing remarks.

speaker
Ron Zwanziger

Well, over the past couple of quarters, we've focused on reshaping our business priorities, assets, and organization structures to accelerate the near-term delivery. Having done this, we've been able to now reinvest and bring momentum to our highest value programs. We continue to advance our product and pipeline strategy for transforming the 50 billion point-of-care diagnostic markets, and we look forward to updating you on our progress and appreciate your continued support. Thanks very much.

speaker
Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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