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spk12: A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to your host, Caitlin Churchill, Investor Relations for Lovesac. Thank you. You may begin.
spk07: Thank you. Good morning, everyone. With me on the call is Sean Nelson, Chief Executive Officer, Mary Fox, President and Chief Operating Officer, and Keith Signer, Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started, I would like to remind you that some of the information discussed will include forward-looking statements regarding future events and our future financial performance. These include statements about our future expectations, financial projections, and our plans and prospects. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in such statements. For a discussion of these risks and uncertainties, you should review the company's filings with the SEC, which includes today's press release. You should not rely on our forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. All forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions and beliefs as of today, and we undertake no obligation to update them except as required by applicable law. Our discussion today will include non-GAAP financial measures, including EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA. These non-GAAP measures should be considered in addition to and not as a substitute for or in isolation from our GAAP results. A reconciliation of the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure to such non-GAAP financial measure has been provided as supplemental financial information in our press release. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Shawn Nelson, Chief Executive Officer of the Lutsak Company.
spk03: Thank you, Caitlin. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. What a year it has been. In our 25th year in business, in true LoveSec fashion, we made meaningful strides across a number of areas as we strengthen our omnichannel infinity flywheel, reinforce our design-for-life product platform, and make the strategic investments necessary to profitably scale our brand and business for years and years to come. We crossed $700 million in revenue for the fiscal year, reflecting high single-digit growth for the year and tripled the revenues of just four years ago. That is against a category that was down mid-teens for the year and approximately flat now over the past four years. Despite industry headwinds, we delivered material gross profit dollar expansion with gross margins up into the high 50s. This more than covered the essential investments in product and capabilities to support sustained profitable growth. While net income was down versus last year on a reported basis, Excluding the non-recurring expenses related to the restatement that we've discussed previously, we are pleased to deliver net income growth for the year. We ended the year with $87 million in cash and zero borrowings on our credit facility, a very healthy balance sheet. These results include a solid fourth quarter performance in which we delivered year-over-year growth in revenues, gross profits, and net incomes. While a mid-quarter lull meant we fell just shy of our guidance for net sales, we managed costs well and were within the ranges for gross margin, adjusted EBITDA, net income, and diluted EPS, all of which Keith will review in detail later. The outperformance we have delivered compared to the industry over the past four years is underpinned by our focus on the customer, our advantage products, and our unique omnichannel business model with an infinity flywheel unlike any other. We compete in a large addressable market of over 46 billion. We continue to take market share every year, and yet we've barely scratched the surface of this huge and fragmented category. We approach this TAM and everything we do through what has always been a sustainability lens rooted in our very unique designed for life philosophy. We make things that are built to last a lifetime and designed to evolve. This approach in doing business delivers unmatched product longevity, which when paired with the services we intend to launch, should continue to drive long-term relationships with customers who love us. This is how we build a brand unlike any other. Our brand health is stronger than ever, gaining against our category with innovation that is changing the landscape of the home as seen in response to our new angled side and stealth tech product. We have best-in-class touchpoint economics. We estimate they are second only to Apple and Tiffany's, with incredible payback periods of about one year and 4x the sales-per-square-foot productivity compared to most of our competitors. Our advantage supply chain delivers orders to our customers in a matter of days, backed with evergreen inventory. And to the investments we've made, we've driven further supply chain efficiencies of late, enabling us to reduce inventory at fiscal year end by almost 20% without compromising delivery times or customer experience. In addition to strengthening our supply chain and distribution capabilities, our investments over the past few years have been focused on expanding our showroom footprint, building technology capabilities, elevating end-to-end customer experience, and ensuring our innovation engine is cranking. As we enter fiscal 25, We've made many of the key foundational investments and are now focused on driving our next phase of growth. We are actively developing many new products to meaningfully expand our total addressable market in the comfort seating category and new categories as well. The actions we are taking today will position us to capitalize disproportionately when the category returns to growth, which it will. We're continually refining our marketing strategies and tactics to draw new customers into our brand fold, deepen the relationship once in the brand fold, and enhance the overall lifetime value of customers. For fiscal 2025, our outlook begins with a conservative macro backdrop. It's the prudent thing to do. We're estimating another year of category declines, including a full year decline of approximately 10% with a modestly better back half than first. It's important to appreciate that our unique business model enables us to plan this way without giving up the upside. If the macro does better, we can ride the demand curve in near real time, a capability that very few of our competitors have. With that as a foundation, we expect to deliver net sales growth of approximately flat to up 10%, representing continued market share gains. Please note that we expect EBITDA to grow faster than sales over the long term, even while we continue to reinvest into SG&A and truly exciting future sales drivers. Lovesac is an outlier. We've achieved category-beating high growth rates for years. We're profitable, cash flow positive, have net cash, and an active product development pipeline that spans products and categories. Lovesac is in a position of strength with a truly massive opportunity ahead of us. We're primed to over-participate in a category rebound through continued market share gains on existing products. Then we'll compound that growth by expanding our brand and business even further. As powerful as our product platforms, innovation pipeline, and marketing prowess are, we would be nothing without our amazing people. A huge shout out to each and every one of our core hashtag Love SAC family. You make the magic happen. Speaking of amazing people, I will now hand the call over to Mary Fox, our President and Chief Operating Officer, to discuss the key operational highlights of fiscal 2024 and priority areas for the upcoming year, after which Keith will go over our financial results and guide in some more detail.
spk09: Thank you, Sean, and good morning, everyone. As Sean discussed, with sales growth of 7.5% for fiscal 2024, our results reflected industry-leading growth driven by our unique omnichannel business model. Importantly, on a four-year basis, our sales are up 200% from pre-pandemic levels, compared to the category at flat over the same time period, and our adjusted EBITDA margin has increased 930 basis points. We believe this consistent financial outperformance is ahead of any other brand in our category, underpinned by our customer and product-centric focus on our unique Omnichannel Infinity Flywheel. We have built a business model and a platform unlike anyone else in the category, resulting in a total addressable market opportunity that is significant. Brand health that is strong and growing, best in class touchpoint economics, and an advantage supply chain. A few highlights of our Infinity Flywheel that Sean shared earlier. We compete in a large addressable market of over $46 billion. We believe we have the number one selling couch in America, but have massive market share potential remaining as we've barely scratched the surface of this huge and fragmented category. We're confident because our customers are our strongest proponents. Word of mouth is our number one awareness driver, and over a third of our customers report that they don't even cross shop with other brands. Our brand's health is stronger than ever with innovation fueling these gains. The launches of Angled Side and Stealth Tech have helped drive a customer lifetime value, customer acquisition cost ratio that is unsurpassed, and continued strength in our marketing ROIs enables healthy reinvestment. We have best-in-class touchpoint economics that we estimate are second only to Apple and Tiffany based on incredible cash payback periods of one year and up to four times the sales-per-foot productivity of our competitors. And finally, our evergreen inventory, coupled with an advantage supply chain, enables delivery times measured in just days, resulting in customer satisfaction of over 84%, increasing customer loyalty, and further differentiating LoveSac from the crowd. We are uniquely positioned to continue to profitably take market share with our core platforms, even through the current market dynamics that Sean discussed. On top of that, we expect our growth to further benefit from disciplined investments in our strategic initiatives and capabilities that expand our addressable markets. I will now provide key highlights of our go-forward plans on each of our strategic initiatives. Firstly, product innovation. Angled Side, which we launched last summer, continues to be a highlight for us. Notably, it continues to gain share, representing the largest mix of size within our factional business. and driving a higher AOV than sectionals without angled sides. Additionally, customers who select angled side report having an even higher satisfaction with comfort than our standard side customers. For StealthTech in fiscal 24, sectionals that were sold with StealthTech generated nearly three times the average sectional order value. We're also excited about our next StealthTech launch that is expected in the second half of this year. This minor launch will continue our commitment to bringing elegant and invisible technology to our customers that enriches their experience on our product platforms. In addition to Stealth Tech expansion, we have several other exciting and disruptive launches across both our factional and SAC platforms this year. We expect these to drive AOV and to broaden appeal of our product platforms. Stay tuned since we think you'll love them. In early fiscal 26, we are planning to launch a material innovation that we expect to significantly open the aperture of where we compete in the couch category and enable us to accelerate our market share gains. We look forward to sharing more details with you closer to launch. Lastly, behind the scenes, we're already developing many innovations for disruptive design for life product platform launches in existing and new product categories over the next several years. Secondly, our omnichannel experience, and we have become a true omnichannel retailer through a combination of our physical touchpoints and digital platform. For the physical aspect of omnichannel, I discussed our strong showroom economics when I covered brand health, and we've seen year-over-year occupancy cost reductions as we lean into our real estate strategy and shift to a higher percentage of non-mall locations and improve deal structures. In terms of our showrooms, we continue to see opportunity to roughly double our current showroom fleet from 230 to more than 400 locations over the next five years. And we'll continue exploring productive opportunities to bring our products and our services to our customers. For fiscal 25, we expect to open approximately 30 net new showrooms as we continue to leverage our predictive analytics tool and consistently optimize our fleet and our site selection model with industry-leading paybacks. Turning to the e-commerce aspect of Omnichannel, we had a strong year with e-commerce sales growth of 12%, and were one of the only brands to grow in quarter four when we beat the e-commerce category trends by over 1,200 basis points, and with customer satisfaction improving year over year. Looking at our other channels, our Best Buy Shop and Shops, which ended the year at 44 locations, which are discreet from our 230 showrooms, are very powerful as they allow tech-focused shoppers additional opportunity to experience our products, especially Stealth Tech, which is most effective when experienced in person. To that end, Best Buy Shop and Shop attachment rates for Stealth Tech are roughly double that of our standalone showrooms, and eight times our online platform. For Costco, we continue to strengthen our partnership with nearly a 50% growth in physical roadshows planned for fiscal 25 versus fiscal 24, backed by additional bundle assortments and increased relevancy for customers. The first step in expanding our assortment is the introduction of Angleside at Costco, which started in Q1. We're proud of our roadshow results thus far and see significant runway for continued future expansion. Our efforts of resonating with consumers are as evidenced by our improving customer satisfaction scores. These scores improve year over year to our highest levels recorded, driven in particular by strategic investments in resources and technology in our customer service capabilities, supply chain, and our digital experience. Looking to fiscal 25 as part of our focus on customer satisfaction, we have begun a multi-phase project to optimize the customer experience with a project we're calling MyHub. This will create a one-of-a-kind post-purchase experience whereby a customer can visit their account online and do everything from check the status of their order all the way to receive personalized content and videos based on their specific purchase and set up ideas. Phase one launched earlier this year, and subsequent phases will further integrate the omnichannel experience in a way that no other brand is doing. Thirdly, for our ecosystem, we have a circular operations philosophy and have developed a circular ecosystem for our customers and our products, driving optimal value for our customers and their investment in our design-for-life product platform. The goal is long-term relationships. During the year, we continue to market our product and brand using national advertising in traditional formats, including TV and established media coupled with various digital strategies, leveraging social media, nonlinear TV, and influencer advertising. Our digital marketing efforts focus heavily on localized and targeted tactics, driving shoppers into a Love Sack touchpoint to experience our products in person. This reinforces our commitment to a truly omnichannel business model, meeting customers where they choose to interact with us. In quarter four, we successfully tested new targeting and promotional messaging for existing customers. As we grow our customer base, we believe that speaking differently to this segment is a key driver of success in building long-term value and loyalty and plan on rolling this out in fiscal 25. Media ROIs also improve year over year as we drove highly qualified traffic to our touchpoints and websites throughout the year with a very special focus on hyper-local digital marketing. We plan to expand new marketing tactics to drive high ROI-performing traffic to our touchpoints to experience a demo. And we also plan to leverage prime and linear TV buys to drive reach. And here are a couple of data points to illustrate our progress. In fiscal 24, we gained over 155,000 new customers, and first-year purchase margin was up mid-single digits from fiscal 23. Our full first-year customer lifetime value, customer acquisition cost ratio remained flat year-over-year, with CAC and LTV increasing relatively the same amount year-over-year, in spite of some headwinds in promotional, pricing, and media inflation pressure. As a reminder, we more than break even at the first purchase, and we know that our customers do repeat, adding to or upgrading their Design for Life factionals or SACs for decades. Our repeat business increased to 43% of overall transactions from 38% at the end of fiscal 23, demonstrating the opportunity to build long-term relationships with our customers around our Design for Life platform. Lastly, we just expanded an internal test for associates and open box item sales. With this program, we are creating the foundation that we'll leverage as we begin to activate the right side of our flywheel and enable customer lifetime value through services, notably beginning with trade-in and resale. And finally, making disciplined infrastructure investments and driving efficiencies. Since her IPO in fiscal 2019, Lovesac has consistently demonstrated a very disciplined approach to investing and growing the business for the long term. Over this time period, we achieved profitable growth despite category headwinds and inflationary operating costs, and we will continue to manage the business this way. In fiscal 24, we delivered material growth margin improvements through COGS reductions, and by leveraging cost reductions for inbound freight and warehousing, as well as new capabilities in planning and operational simplicity. This enabled an 18% reduction in total inventory at year end. But more opportunities remain. We launched a new order management system that should further enhance customer satisfaction, improve delivery metrics around timeline expectations, and increase efficiency of working capital. We also see incremental savings on inbound freight and logistics through new partnerships. In fiscal 25, our other investments for growth will be primarily in the areas of technology and research and development to continue to fuel our flywheel and deliver the transformative innovations to come, some of which I shared earlier. So in summary, we are pleased with the progress on our strategic priorities as we continue to successfully expand the business and make important foundational investments to drive, as well as support the substantial growth that lies ahead. Before I turn over to Keith, I wanted to briefly mention our third annual ESG report, which was published in December 23, and where we outlined our roadmap to reach zero waste and zero emissions by 2040, an admirable goal. Sustainability starts with the word sustain, and we believe our design for life approach to sectionals has diverted thousands of couches from landfills. Additionally, we repurpose and remove from the waste stream a very large amount of plastic buffles for use in upholstery fabric. More than $73 million in fiscal 24 and more than $253 million to date. In short, Lovesac makes products that sustain from sustainable materials. I will now pass the call over to Keith.
spk06: Thanks, Mary. Fiscal 24 was a momentous year for Lovesac. It marked our 25th anniversary, and we delivered several milestone achievements. Revenues exceeded $700 million. Gross profits exceeded $400 million, representing a gross margin over 57%. Net income of $23.9 million, as reported, was down from fiscal 23, but adjusting for the just over $5 million in non-recurring expenses related to the successfully resolved restatement, net income would have been up. Inventories declined 18%, and we ended the year with $87 million in cash on the balance sheet. All of that is despite category headwinds and pressure on operating expenses from investments in people, systems, and product innovation to set us up for sustained profitable growth for the long term. Now let's jump right into a quick review of the fourth quarter of fiscal 24, which as a reminder included a 14th week, representing the 53rd week from our fiscal year. Then I'll discuss our outlook for fiscal 25. Net sales increased $12 million, or 5%, to $250.5 million in the fourth quarter, with the year-over-year increase driven by showrooms and web. This was slightly below our expectations provided in early December, owing to a mid-quarter lull before a bounce back in late January. Showroom net sales increased $15.4 million, or 10.9%, to $156.9 million in the fourth quarter, as compared to $141.5 million in the prior year period. The increase in showroom sales was driven by the addition of 35 net new showrooms compared to the prior year period, partially offset by a decrease of 4.1% in omnichannel comparable net sales. Internet net sales increased 1.7 million, or 2.2%, to 78.1 million in the fourth quarter, as compared to 76.4 million in the prior year period. Other net sales, which include pop-up shop, shop-and-shop, and open-box inventory transactions, decreased $5 million, or 24.6%, to $15.5 million in the fourth quarter. The decrease was principally due to a lower open-box inventory transactions, which were only $2.9 million compared to $8.5 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2013. As a reminder, we may engage in limited open box inventory transactions with ICON going forward to ensure our warehouses are operating as efficiently as possible. However, we believe this recent run rate is more reflective of a potential baseline level, given the success of our return to stock program and the beneficial impact of resale and trade-in, which are targeted for launch later this year. By product category in the fourth quarter, our sectional net sales increased 7 percent, SACS net sales decreased 13 percent, and our other net sales, which includes decorative pillows, blankets, and accessories, decreased 8 percent compared to the prior year. Gross margin increased 360 basis points to 59.7 percent of net sales in the fourth quarter versus 56.1 in the prior year quarter. primarily driven by 550 basis points decrease in inbound transportation costs, partially offset by 100 basis points in higher outbound transportation and warehousing costs, and 90 basis points related to higher promotional discounting. SG&A expense as a percent of net sales increased by 170 basis points in the fourth quarter, or less than half the deal average seen in the third quarter. The deleverage was primarily due to deleverage within employment costs, continued investments to support current and future growth, professional fees, and selling-related expenses tied to the Lovesac credit card. In dollars, employment costs increased by 6.8 million, primarily driven by an increase in new hires in fiscal 24. Selling-related expenses increased 0.5 million, principally due to credit card fees related to the increase in net sales and an increase in credit card rates. Rent expenses increased 0.2 million, offset by a decrease in overhead expenses of 0.1 million, consisting mainly of increases of 4.4 million in infrastructure investments in other miscellaneous items and 2.4 million in professional fees. offset by a decrease of $6.4 million in equity-based compensation. We estimate non-recurring incremental fees associated with the restatement of prior period financials was approximately $1.9 million in the fourth quarter. Advertising and marketing expenses increased $3.7 million, or 14.2 percent, to $29.5 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal 24, compared to 25.8 million in the prior year period. Advertising and marketing expenses were 11.8 percent of net sales in the fourth quarter, as compared to 10.8 percent of net sales in the prior year period. Operating income for the quarter was 40.4 million, compared to 36.5 million in the fourth quarter of last year, driven by the factors we just discussed. Before we turn our attention to net income, net income per diluted share and adjusted EBITDA. Please refer to the terminology and reconciliation between each of our adjusted metrics and their most directly comparable gap measurements in our earnings release issued early this morning. Net income for the quarter was $31 million or $1.87 per diluted share compared to $26.2 million or $1.65 per diluted share in the prior period. and included just under $2 million of non-recurring expenses as mentioned earlier. During the fourth quarter of fiscal 24 and 23, we recorded an income tax provision of $10.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $48.4 million as compared to $46.7 million in the prior year period. Turning to our balance sheet, Our total merchandise inventory levels are in line with our projections, down 18% versus the end of fiscal 23. We feel exceptionally good about both the quality and quantity of our inventory and our ability to maintain industry-leading in-stock positions and delivery times. Mary discussed ongoing initiatives to further optimize on top of this year's successes. We ended the fourth quarter with a very healthy balance sheet, inclusive of $87 million in cash and cash equivalents, as well as $36 million in availability in our revolving line of credit with no borrowings. Please refer to our earnings press release for other details on our fourth quarter financial performance. So now our outlook. As Sean mentioned, the category has remained unpredictable and in decline. After a strong finish to January, February was a particularly difficult month. We then experienced substantial improvement in trends in March. Given this, we want to be transparent that we're prudently basing our outlook off another year of category declines, specifically a 10% full-year decline with modest improvement in the second half versus the first half. Should the category perform better, we would expect to perform better or vice versa. For the full year of fiscal 25, we estimate net sales of 700 million to 770 million. We expect adjusted EBITDA between 46 million and 60 million. This includes gross margins of 57 to 59 percent, advertising and marketing of approximately 13 percent as a percent of net sales, and SG&A of approximately 39 percent as a percent of net sales. We estimate net income to be between $18 and $27 million. We estimate diluted income per common share in the range of $1.06 to $1.59, and approximately 17 million estimated diluted weighted average shares outstanding. As a reminder, fiscal 25 will contain 52 weeks versus fiscal 24, which contained an additional 53rd week in the fourth quarter. For the fiscal first quarter, which is our most difficult quarter to lap of the year, we estimate net sales of 126 to 132 million. We expect adjusted EBITDA loss between 13 and 16 million. This includes gross margins of approximately 55 percent, advertising and marketing of 14 to 15 percent as a percent of net sales, and SG&A of 51 to 53% as a percent of net sales. We estimate net loss to be between $13 and $16 million. We estimate basic loss per common share to be between $0.84 and $1.03, with 15 million weighted average shares outstanding. In summary, stabilization of the category and an eventual return to category growth are ahead of us, even if that timing is unclear at the moment. While in this category fog, we are balancing prudence and efficiency and expenses with our belief that it's essential to stay focused on the big picture. That's the massive long-term opportunity for tremendous value creation for all Lovesac stakeholders. We are building the Lovesac brand, and investing in new product innovation that spans style, function, and new categories. Make no mistake, we aim to grow irrespective of the category in the near term, continuing our track record of market share gains. Plus, we're primed to capitalize on the category rebound as soon as it happens and more in real time than our peers. As this occurs, the additional revenues should drive expanding flow through of top line growth to bottom line growth. I'll now turn the call back to the operator to start our Q&A session.
spk12: Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question comes from the line of Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer and Company. Please proceed with your question.
spk13: Hi, good morning. Good morning, Brian. So my question, maybe I'll just make it like one question with a few parts, but just really with regard to kind of the sales trajectory. So Keith, and I think Sean mentioned it too, you talked about, if I heard you correctly, you know, some weakness in, or strength in January, weakness in February, then re-strengthening in March. Again, if I heard that correctly. So the question I have there is, you know, is there anything, I mean, we talked about a difficult category for a while. Others have mentioned this as well. But is there anything you noticed that would kind of driven that, anything new, so to say, that's driven that sales volatility? Then the second question I have, if you look at the guidance you gave, the sales growth guidance you gave for Q1, Is that reflective of where sales are tracking now, recognizing we're pretty late into the fiscal first quarter? And then the third question, you talked about a restrength in the sales over the balance of the current fiscal year. Is there anything in particular that you're pointing to there, or is that more to discuss in product launches, or just more kind of timing related to the overall industry dynamics? Thanks.
spk08: Yes, thank you, Brian.
spk09: I'll probably take the first part and then the rest. So I think as Keith obviously shared, you know, with our guidance for the year, we're obviously still assuming the category to remain very tough. And we believe with, you know, the guidance that we've talked about continue to take very strong market share. Specifically, you know, January was very strong for us. We had dialed promotions up a little bit more because we'd seen, as Keith talked about, a bit of a lull in December as we tried to pull down off the typical Black Friday promotion. We did that again in February, and what we saw is the same dynamic as in December. So key competitors were up to 50% off during February and had very aggressive deals, even in clearance. So for us, you know, that was the first factor. And then, you know, as we pivoted into March, we moved back to 30% off, and all of that is baked into our guidance because it's clear we need to have a very compelling value that's deep in promotion. And we've done that, and we feel really good. To your point, March has been very strong, a big, big step up from where we were in February. I think the second piece, which was a little bit of what happened in February, is we did have a little bit of disruption. We moved to a new media agency. So there's a little bit around media planning timing and some targeting. This is all back on track. So again, it's giving us the confidence for the rest of this year and the strengthening of the sale. So yes, as your question talks about the guidance for Q1, that is reflective and baked in. And as Keith had shared, March has been much, much stronger and the early start of April we are also seeing that as well.
spk06: Just to add on that, when we look at the credit card data from Bank of America, which is one of the primary, let's call it real-time-ish benchmarks that we look at for category performance, it's still around down 14 for both February and March. When you put the two months together, our performance is still showing market share gains, even if not where we Timm Johnson, Would have have planned for it for the reasons Mary just discussed that impact. February, I would highlight that because of the 53rd week and because of the five weeks that happened in our P two, we're really just entering P three right now. So it's basically from the early part of this week through the end of the quarter, which is Timm Johnson, May 5 so we still have basically most of all of P three to go. And that's all incorporated into our guidance. But again, we were encouraged as to the rebound we saw in our trends in March. When we think about the drivers for the year and where that shakes out, obviously we try to give you more context around the baseline of category that's underpinning our outlook. And when we think about our ability to take market share, it's a lot of the same things. Mary talked about we have a number of product launches coming this year. We have enhancements to our marketing. We're going to continue to tweak and optimize our promotions. We do have touchpoint expansion, right? We also have what looked like to us easier compares, especially on a two-year basis as we progress through the year. So put all that stuff together, you know, we still have secular, you know, levers within our control that we are going to pull and continue to refine that we think will support another year of market share gains.
spk11: I appreciate all the color. Thank you.
spk12: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Maria Rips with Canaccord Genuity. Please proceed with your question.
spk10: Great. Good morning, and thanks for taking my questions. So, I appreciate all the color around sort of your guidance, but sort of broadly, it looks like you were able to outperform the category by a wide margin for a couple of years now and sort of deliver growth in a declining category. So, but kind of, and you just sort of highlighted some of the reasons for SOFTA Q1, but Is there anything that maybe has changed in your ability to outperform the vertical, especially as we look towards Q1 with expected revenue declines?
spk11: Maria, hi.
spk09: Yeah, sorry, we're just switching around. So thank you for the question. So I think, you know, we still feel incredibly confident in terms of all the factors around why our company has been so successful in the last four years. And if you think about 200% growth in the last four years on a category that is flat and we've just delivered a year where no one else is at the growth rates that we have delivered that we compete against. So we see a very strong line for the path around innovation that I touched on. We talk a lot about the continued performance around marketing and just the brand stickiness that continues to grow and improve. And our awareness, our unaided awareness is still low, but, you know, the aided awareness and then how we're able to pull customers through our purchase funnel continues to be very, very strong. And, you know, we talk a lot about the number one indicator for our brand strength is around word of mouth. So we feel very good on that. And even with the guidance that Keith shared, we will still be gaining significant share. The second, we're very clear around our touchpoint openings for this year. The performance is continuing as we see our new showrooms outperforming on their performers. And I think Keith talked a bit about some of the economic benefits that we're getting as we manage our fleet and occupancy charges. And then I think the third one is, you know, we've always planned very conservatively. And I think, you know, we've gone through two years of very tough double digit declines and this team consistently every time outperforms. And the one thing I'm very proud, even as we talked about some of the in February, this team pivots fast, we test, we move, we adjust and everything that Keith has laid out in the forecast. you know, will continue. So I think there's a lot that we feel very good about for this year and beyond, and everything in terms of the financial performance continues to show that for us.
spk03: Yeah, and I'll just tag on. This is Sean. Maria, I appreciate the question. The aspect to Lovesac that is probably overlooked, particularly at, you know, tough times like this for the category, is that for the last decade, we've invested very fastidiously and intensely in building our brand. And what I'm speaking to is, you know, there is obviously a lot of competition, particularly in the digital landscape for couches, modular couches, et cetera, because of the fervor we've created and obviously the growth that we've garnered in this realm. The big difference between Lovesac and all of those competitors in that realm, as well as some of the competitors in the traditional realm, most of the competitors, and this is based on our own internal brand strength studies, is the strength of this brand. And that's taken a decade to build. And it's not just a digital marketing engine that's kicking butt and making hay when the sun is shining, but a real effort to, through the activations, through the events, through obviously relentless traditional advertising, TV advertising combined with digital, et cetera, that's really built a lot of awareness for our brand, a lot of acceptance, a lot of love, and a lot of demand. And so, you know, Love Sack is a highly sought-after product. will continue to launch more products underneath this brand flag. And we expect them to perform well just as we continue to perform well versus the category. And so that brand strength really carries us through a time like this versus many others who are really focused on just converting through digital means or relying on foot traffic in showrooms, et cetera, in stores, et cetera. Love Stack is a real outlier in this way, and I don't think it's fully appreciated or valued. And that's okay. You know, we're focused on, you know, it's taken this long to build the brand to this point. It'll take another decade to take it where we want to take it. And that's our point of view at management. And in the meantime, we'll continue to shuck and jive and do all the things necessary to perform against the category, gain market share. and emerge with some really exciting new products on the horizon in the nearer and medium term, even as this category will rebound.
spk10: That's very helpful. Thank you. then secondly can you maybe give us a little bit more color on your trading and resale initiative uh what are some of sort of logistic investments that are needed to enable uh this initiative and uh will you be sort of just connecting buying and selling consumers or will you be taking ownership of this inventory yeah great thank you maria this is an initiative we're very passionate about because i think as we talk about the
spk09: Infinity Flywheel, we've been very active around the left side, around, you know, driving amazing brand awareness, touch points that we can start with an incredible design for life platform and amazing products that are for life. And the ability to be able to establish the services that we've touched on is so important. So the work that we started last year is around circular operations was just starting to build the foundations for the ability to do trade-in and resale. And I touched a little bit on just the fact that we're even just in this foundational build, launching an internal test for our own team members around open box item sales and just building the technology to be able to do that. And we have an external partner that is also helping us with that. also working in terms of just the overall SNOP processes that have to happen. All of that is baked in in terms of those investments into our business for this year. And then later in the year, we'll come back and share with you the progress that we're making for resale and trading. And so, yes, you know, as we build that loop out, you know, there will be ownership of inventory. And we will be then managing that through. We see a very high demand for our product on the secondary market today. So it is happening today. So, you know, the ability for us to have an amazing brand experience and really do something that no one else can do because other brands, it's much harder for them to do resale and trade in. It's super expensive logistically and very complicated and hard to keep the product intact. So, you know, as we talk about innovations to come and then the ability for our customers that bought a product 10 years ago to be able to trade in covers, get new covers, and be able to build up their lifetime value, we are very excited about this ability. So we look forward to sharing more news for you and the progress of this, obviously, very critical initiative.
spk11: Got it. Thank you very much for the call.
spk12: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Matt Karanda with Roth MKM. Please proceed with your question.
spk01: Hey, guys. Good morning. I just wanted to spin back to the quarter to date trends that you shared. Maybe just is there any way to unpack them or quantify them, what you saw in February and March? And I know you mentioned March getting a little bit better than February on a relative basis. was March actually up on a year-over-year basis or just down less badly than February, maybe just a little bit more there? And then just, Mary, if you could talk about the promotional tactics. I know you sort of touched on it in one of your previous responses, but just wanted to hear you speak a little bit more about the more frequent promotions that were running and the 30% off promotions and how those are kind of faring relative to some of the broader promotions you mentioned in the industry.
spk06: Here, I'll start off and then pass it over to Mary to talk more about the promotional tactics. Just in terms of specifics, at this point, we're not going to get into the exact specifics in relation to February and March, but Mary kind of gave the details. And look, a lot of what it boiled down to in February, given that the category was about the same, according to the credit card data for both February and March, some of this was company-specific, right, for the factors Mary said. We've tried to dial back on the promotions. However, the competitors were dialing up on the promotions at that time, as well as dislocations in our marketing program relative to the change in agency, which happened on the first day of the fiscal year. So it really impacted the entirety of P1. But we corrected for that. We adjusted for that. We tweaked the promotions as we headed into March, and we saw a massive bounce back. It was a dramatic shift in trends. We've taken both February and March holistically into account as we think about our plans for P3, which is April, and that's all compartmentalized within our guidance. Obviously, this is an ongoing constant effort to tweak and refine and tweak and refine, test and learn, all those types of things. But at this point, we think this is the best representation of our placement in this quarter. And then as we get later into the year, for all the things I talked about a little earlier, that's when we really start to see the launches that Mary highlighted before. That's when we see the touchpoint expansion really kicking in, and that's when we think we can get even sharper with our marketing and promotions, finance offers, all that kind of stuff to really crystallize and convert the interest we're seeing from our customers. Mary, I don't know if you want to talk more about the promotional tactics.
spk09: Yeah, no, thank you, Keith. And I think, you know, Matt, obviously Black Friday, typically we see the strongest promotions of the year. And, you know, we came out at 30% off and a couple of bundle deals. And, you know, as you know, compared to the rest of the category, that's still substantially lower. We had a very strong performance. then what we normally would do is step down a little bit coming out of that Black Friday. But as I shared, you know, we saw everyone else holding. And it's actually in many ways actually getting more aggressive and using the clearance area, just making core stock products and actually promoting it even more aggressively. We were seeing, you know, promotions up to 50% off. So when we had dialed back down, you know, then, you know, we saw the velocity just tail back a little bit because people quote growth was really strong. Conversion was just a little bit slower. And we know we always have to have a compelling value. So as we tested back into the 30 off, as Keith said, we saw great growth in March. So, you know, like anything, we're going to continue to test and learn. I think one of the really interesting parts of our business is from a consumer behavior point of view, we see a very high percentage of customers close a quote in about a week to two weeks. For us, we're just really adjusting our promo campaigns and tactics, allowing for the fact where we see when they're coming in and then able to drive them to conversions. You know, again, big advantage for us as we manage across all of our channels. You know, and the gap that Keith has baked in, you know, we have industry-leading gross margin performance. And, you know, we talked earlier about the growth year over year and just all of that performance. So we're just always threading the needle between top-line growth, gross margin growth, and how that flows through. So, you know, we'll adjust through the year, but, you know, feel good now in terms of where we are settled in our programming.
spk01: Justin Cappos- Okay, got it. And then on the gross margin guide for the first quarter. It looks like there's some expansion there. Justin Cappos- Just wondered, maybe, Keith, if you could touch on sort of what's factored in in terms of promotional headwind. Justin Cappos- Versus some of the the continued sort of unlock that we're seeing from lower and downgrade we just touch on that. And then for the full year if we look at the guidance. I guess we're still seeing some deleverage on SG&A. Just wondered if you could maybe touch on sort of what the planned investments are there and maybe why not or why we can't see or couldn't see a little bit more leverage on that line this coming year.
spk06: Sure thing. I'll start with the gross margin. So the story for first quarter gross margins is really consistent with kind of what we've been talking about the last six months and with the full year. You know, we got to this high 50s range. We think this is a comfortable level. Last year's first quarter was still burdened by a little bit of the capitalized inbound freight that hadn't burned off as of then. That's helping us a little bit year over year in first quarter. We do expect gross margin expansion for this year. Obviously, the total top line will impact that range that you saw within our guidance that we provided. But there's a few things Mary was talking about that have the potential to benefit both the inbound and outbound side of freight and logistics for us. You know, even in first quarter, we had been getting some questions in relation to whether it's Red Sea, whether it's Baltimore, all that kind of stuff. Just to put some of this stuff into context, as we moved into P-12 and P-1, we've really changed some of the relationships we have. We moved to direct service providers for ocean freight and container drayage. using a beneficial cargo owner direct carrier model. That's definitely impacting things for us. We're also moving on an outbound side into evaluating some alternative options for last mile carrier projects and tests. All the stuff we think has potential to benefit the gross margin side of things. So we definitely see potential for gross margins. The magnitude of that expansion really just depending upon the top line for the year, which again is largely dependent upon where the category ends up. On the SG&A side of things, this is really what we're trying to do here is to balance the long term against the near term here. Please appreciate this is tricky because we want to be efficient, but we also don't want to take our eyes off the price. We know We need to invest in these long-term value creation drivers. And that's what you're seeing a lot of this year. We're off of last year's model, which was largely infrastructure-driven pressure on those, and now it's more about growth. So, you know, we gave some of those details earlier, but when Mary talks about a busy year for product innovation and a really exciting innovation coming in early fiscal 26 that opens the aperture and potentially benefits AOV for our core product category, this is where this is going. And we hope to keep that pace of innovation going beyond that. We think, again, those who can make select investments during a period of macro uncertainty stand to benefit the most over the medium and long term, and that's what we're doing because we can. We are in a good position. We are profitable, and we have the cash. We're being wise. We're being prudent as we can, and look, if the macro does bounce back like we all hope it will, we want it to, you want it to, everybody wants it to, and if it does, we're ready to go. We're ready to exploit that and capitalize on that opportunity, and we'll be in a better position to do so because of these investments we're making, particularly in the product innovations.
spk01: Okay, very helpful, Keith. If I could sneak one more in. Can we just maybe level set everybody on the cadence of profitability by quarter for the rest of the year? Obviously not asking for specific guidance, but should we expect, I would imagine one key would be the trough in terms of profitability. Should we expect you to be at least break-even or positive for the rest of the year? Maybe just a little bit more on sort of cadence. I know you provided a little 1H versus 2H, but just anything on profitability and cadence for this year.
spk06: Yeah, I mean that, that really boils down to where the top line shakes out. I mean, obviously this is, you know, based upon what we just gave in terms of category backdrop and full year guidance, we expect the most difficult top line picture of the year to be Q1. And it is historically also our most difficult quarter. Nothing changes on that front. Uh, Q4 still remains the bulk of the profits. It's just such a big selling year for us, uh, our selling quarter for us. Sorry. You know, there's a little wiggle around that, but, you know, you can look at seasonal trends historically coupled with a slightly better macro backdrop for the year in the back half versus the first half. And, you know, the quarters will likely fall out, you know, very similar in your model to what we have planned. So, you know, nothing unusual outside of those two dynamics that should be affecting that cadence.
spk11: Okay, makes sense. I'll take the rest of mine offline. Thanks, guys.
spk12: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mike Baker with DA Davidson. Please proceed with your question.
spk02: Okay, thanks. Maybe following up on some previous questions, but asking it a different way. The guidance has a massive ramp in sales growth and profitability growth after the first quarter. Yet your advertising as a percent of sales, which seems to be the big driver to helping sales, goes down for the rest of the year, right? I think you're 14 and change for the first quarter and then 13 for the full year, which implies something lower than that for the rest of the year. So I guess if you could help us, again, with a little more color as to why the rest of the year gets so much better. And then beyond that, it seems like when you're advertising more, advertising as a percent of sales, that's driving sales. Why not go above the 13% in the short term, 14%, 15%? for 2024, for calendar 2024. Thanks.
spk06: Sure. Sure thing. Thanks. So, look, just starting with Q1, you know, look, obviously given the seasonality that we just discussed in Matt's question, this is the most – it's the lowest spend in Q1, and we had inefficiency in spend given the dislocations related to the transition. That's kind of what drove that dynamic. We have bigger dollars and anticipated – We anticipate more effectiveness and efficiency of the dollars as we get into the later seasons. That also couples with the promotions. That also couples with the product innovation that we'll be bringing. All of these things kind of work together. So your question is fair. We totally get it. But we've been through all that and are very comfortable at this point with that dynamic of lower percentages but higher dollars, and more effectiveness and impact of all of those things combined to drive what you would see within that range of guidance.
spk09: I think, Keith, just to add, I think, Mike, what we also see, I mean, within our marketing and advertising spend, you know, there's a short-term working media that drives growth. And, you know, that's in the quarter and beyond because it's never always just after real time. I think the second piece in our spend, is all the research and development work around the innovations to come. So there's that also built in as well as brand equity building. One of the things that we've always talked about is we continue to test and learn all the time around advertising and marketing. So, for example, the team are running a test right now and really looking at opportunities outside of big promotional windows, tentpole moments that you would typically see, to see in terms of, you know, the traffic that we can drive and then convert through the funnel. So, you know, the team is very energized around that. Lots of debates and great, you know, outlook in terms of testing. And that will continue and is one of the reasons that, you know, we have been successful is that agility. You know, and I think as Keith shared, You know, we feel very good in terms of the runway for the rest of the year because obviously touch points are a key lever as well for us as we think about the growth and the formula of success that we've had for so many years.
spk02: Okay, fair enough. One quick just housekeeping as part of the analysis showing the back half. The variables we need are how much the extra week helped in terms of sales and EBITDA I have my estimates, but is that something you're willing to share?
spk06: Yeah, there was nothing unusual about it that would make it a non-standard week for us. So it's pretty consistent across most of the metrics with a typical Q4 week. Nothing really unusual on that front.
spk02: Both in terms of sales and profitability or EBITDA dollars?
spk06: Yeah. Yeah, there's a number of moving pieces across the things, but it's a relatively representative Q4 week.
spk11: Understood. Thank you.
spk12: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Thomas Forte with Maxim Group. Please proceed with your question.
spk14: Great. So for the sake of time, three quick questions and three quick answers are more than acceptable. The inventory management, was that a one-off or was that a permanent change? And then on the services revenue, I like that you're talking more about it, but how should we think about the relative profitability? Your gross margin on your goods is quite high. And then lastly, when thinking about your full year outlook, how do you think about the notion that there may be fewer rate cuts, but it seems like there's a greater likelihood of a soft landing? So I know home category can be highly sensitive to interest rates, but it seems like the good news is that there's a greater chance of a soft landing. And I'd love your high-level thoughts on that. Thanks.
spk08: Yeah. Keith, can I take the inventory management one? Sure.
spk11: Sounds good.
spk08: Yeah. Yeah, Tom.
spk09: So, yeah, for us, it was a result of a lot of the investments we've made in the past in supply chain. So, you know, for us, we will continue to drive efficiencies in our inventory management And even just kind of the speed to market as we move goods from factory through to our DC So continue you'll expect to see some benefits continuing And the team honestly has done an amazing job So we're just very grateful and I think back to the point Keith touched on before the ability for us to drive up as the demand will swing back at the point where the cash we does go back into some momentum and We're also really able to be very agile and be able to build up inventory, so feel good on that one. I think service revenue is, you know, we'll share more through the year as we think in terms of the model. It's still very early days as we start to build out those capabilities, so we'll give you some more color to that later in the year, and I think, Keith, maybe you want to go to the outlook.
spk06: Sure thing. So, look, it's a... The macro discussion could get really complicated really quickly. Do we not get the rate cuts which result in, you know, greater housing turnover, which typically results in more desire for the furnishings? But do we also get a soft landing? What happens with the elections? There's a lot of these moving pieces, and I think really what we were trying to say was because we are in this enviable position of not having to make a call on exactly when that balance is going to come, we're going to take a conservative approach and manage our expenses against that, setting us up for the position where should that work out? Should we get more housing turnover? Should we get more home furnishing demands? Rates go lower, elections not a big deal, whatever. We can participate and ride that demand curve in real time. And that's the plan. So, you know, You know, that's why we're providing a lot more of the transparency behind it. Yes, we hope it plays out the way you're talking about, but we're not building a plan that requires any of the more positive outcomes to really dominate the rest. And that's why we were so transparent with that macro benchmark underneath our guidance.
spk11: Great. Thank you, Keith. Thank you, Mary. Thank you, Sean.
spk12: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our question and answer session. I'll turn the floor back to Mr. Nelson for any final comments.
spk04: Yes, we just want to thank all of our investors as well as all the love stackers out there that keep this company banking.
spk11: We look forward to an amazing fiscal year. Thank you.
spk12: This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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