4/10/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Love SAC Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. The question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone today should require operator assistance, please press star zero from your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. At this time, it is now my pleasure to introduce Caitlin Churchill with Investor Relations. Caitlin, you may begin.

speaker
Caitlin Churchill
Investor Relations

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. With me on the call is Shawn Nelson, Chief Executive Officer, Mary Fox, President and Chief Operating Officer, and Keith Signer, Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started, I would like to remind you that some of the information discussed will include forward-looking statements regarding future events and our future financial performance. These include statements about our future expectations, financial projections, and our plans and prospects. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in such statements. For a discussion of these risks and uncertainties, you should review the company's filings to the SEC, which includes today's press release. You should not rely on our forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. All forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions and beliefs as of today, and we undertake no obligation to update them except as required by applicable law. Our discussion today will include non-GAAP financial measures, including EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA. These non-GAAP measures should be considered in addition to and not as a substitute for or in isolation from our GAAP results. A reconciliation of the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure to such non-GAAP financial measure has been provided as supplemental financial information in our press release. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Sean Nelson, Chief Executive Officer of the Love Stack Company. Sean?

speaker
Sean Nelson
Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I'll start by sharing a high-level overview of our fourth quarter and full-year fiscal 2025 results, provide an update on our Design for Life product platforms, and share some exciting news about an amazing new addition to our leadership team. Mary Fox, our president, will discuss our tailored customer acquisition engines. And finally, Keith Signer, our CFO, will review our financial results and provide more detail on our fiscal 2026 outlook. Before getting into details, I'd like to take a moment to reflect on milestone achievements for Lovesac in fiscal 2025. First, we had our most prolific year ever for new product launches. having gained significant momentum, innovation, and commercialization of platform extensions, including major successes like the Pillow Sack Accent Chair and the early launch of the Reclining Seat. Second, we codified our long-term strategy and value creation model, which we delivered at our first ever Investor Day, and unveiled the first of three completely new product platforms that we plan to launch over the next three years, the EverCouch. Third, we strengthened the foundations of our business, having reinvented our supply chain and dramatically enhanced our CRM tools to deepen and broaden the moat around our unique omnichannel business model. Last, we have a very healthy balance sheet, which gives us substantial flexibility to weather tariff distractions, accelerate growth, and enhance returns on capital for years to come. Moving to results. It was a solid end to fiscal 2025 with fourth quarter earnings results that came in toward the high end of our outlook provided in December. With strong quote conversion in the second half of the quarter, sales slightly outpaced the high end of our guidance range. This helped close out another fiscal year of market share gains for Lovesac, a noteworthy accomplishment, even if not at the level we aspire to. While macro conditions were and remain challenging, We are optimistic as we enter fiscal 2026 in a position of strength. Lovesac's secular growth potential is massive, but our business model is also uniquely positioned to help us capitalize on macro upside whenever it does materialize. And that's without the need to overcommit early during periods of uncertainty. As our fourth quarter results demonstrate, we have a focused and nimble team that can deliver reliable results even in a competitive and tumultuous environment. The modular nature of our core products allow for flexibility in our supply chain, including redundant identical sourcing for our most critical SKUs across numerous countries, which allow us to ebb and flow our production to the most advantageous environments in real time. This is a competitive advantage that is unique to Lovesac's model. As for product, I want to be clear. We have step changed the metabolic rate of new product and platform launches at Love SAC. They will come faster and with greater impact over these next few years. Fiscal 2025 was just the beginning. Our clarity around the design for life approach to product development is ingrained into the organization and we've been cooking up new ideas to build a pipeline that should last for a very long time. Specifically for 2025, We had multiple successful product launches culminating in the early introduction of our highly anticipated reclining seat in Q4, which expands our core total addressable market of 9.5 billion for static sectionals by an additional 4 billion for motion seating capabilities. There's nothing like this recliner on the market. It represents nearly three years and more than 80,000 hours of design and engineering and development creating a truly revolutionary power recliner that integrates seamlessly with any Saxon configuration, new or existing. The recliner is a marvel of engineering with zero wall clearance and the totally unique ability to function in both wide and in deep orientations. And our signature design for life approach, of course, ensures that it will remain valuable and compatible for decades to come. Since launch, the reclining seat has sold over 18,500 units with attachment rates and customer feedback exceeding our expectations, as well as a nearly 50-50 split between new and repeat customers. And that's all without a national marketing campaign to generate broader awareness. We only just recently launched the recliner campaign, The Recline of Civilization, and we're very encouraged about its potential. In addition to the Recoiner, this year we successfully launched our pillow sack accent chair, entered the case goods category with the Any Table, completed an overhaul of our surface products, including the drink holder, coaster, and the new tray, offered the long-requested insert protectors to our fans delight, and overhauled our custom fabric line, which has far outpaced our expectations for both new and repeat customers. Our sites are already set on fiscal 2026 and beyond with our third Design for Life platform, the EverCouch, already being tested in the marketplace. The EverCouch is an optimized and elegant solution for people looking for an armchair, loveseat, or sofa where their needs differ from those of a sectional customer. Our insight arose as we realized that despite being thought of as a couch company, we really don't sell many couch-sized configurations. let alone loveseat or chair configurations for sure. Sactionals are amazing, but they may not be ideal from a size, style, or price standpoint in the smallest of configurations. EverCouch fills those gaps and opens up the $14 billion couch category to us, effectively more than doubling the addressable market that we operate in currently. It's beautiful with washable covers, exchangeable arm styles, rapid shipping capability, and easy assembly with no tools, of course. Even better is that it leverages Lovesac's established brand equity in couches and comfort seating. We aim to expand EverCouch to roughly 30 showrooms and national availability on lovesac.com in the second quarter. Initial feedback from our field teammates is very positive, with customers even asking to be put on the waiting list ahead of the May launch. And lest I forget to mention, there will be more new platforms to come over the next three years as we foreshadowed at Investor Day, each an expansion into a new room of the house. As we discussed in December, Lovesac is at the pivotal moment of transcending seeding products and becoming a powerful brand in its own right. We recognize that we need the right kind of leadership and creativity to optimize this next phase of growth into new product categories. and thereby live up to our ambition of reaching our goal of 3 million Lovesac households by 2030 and building the most loved home brand in America. With that backdrop, we are totally thrilled to announce that Heidi Cooley will join Lovesac as our first ever Chief Brand and Marketing Officer. Heidi is a seasoned marketing executive with 20 years of experience across public and private companies, most recently serving as the chief marketing officer for Crocs, where she helped transform the brand into a multibillion-dollar business over the course of her tenure there. She's led high-impact marketing strategies, scaled digital platforms, and driven innovation across omnichannel consumer touchpoints while also emphasizing culture, community, and sustainability. Heidi brings exactly the right kind of leadership and creativity that we need to fuel this next phase of growth into new product categories. Welcome to the team, Heidi. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, sure, macro backdrop doesn't make life easy. Keith will share the specific numbers, but the principle is simple. We believe we have the necessary ingredients to grow irrespective of the category in the near term while maintaining clarity around long-term thinking and value creation. While the home furnishings category continues to face challenges, our innovative product offerings, strong customer relationships, and operational excellence underpin an attractive runway for growth. Lovesac has large and extremely fragmented addressable markets, of which we currently enjoy a very low share, even in our current platforms. This revenue growth should drive expanding flow through of the top line to bottom line growth and thereby higher margins, even with further acceleration from an eventual category rebound. In closing, we want to thank our dedicated team members who have worked tirelessly to bring our innovations to market and deliver an exceptional customer experience. Their commitment to our mission is the foundation of Lovesac success. We look forward to continuing our journey of reshaping the home furnishings industry with products that are truly designed for life. With that, I'll hand it over to Mary to cover our strategic priorities and progress in more detail. Mary?

speaker
Mary Fox
President and Chief Operating Officer

Thank you, Sean, and good morning, everyone. We detailed our long-term strategy and value creation model at our recent Investor Day, which is centered on our two superpowers, Sean just shared an update on the first of these, our Design for Life product platform, and how we believe Lustak's secular growth potential is massive, thereby positioning us to continue to take market share for years to come. I'll now focus on our customer acquisition engines that are uniquely tailored to each of these Design for Life platforms, as well as on our growth enablers, especially our Advantage supply chain. Beginning with customer acquisition engines, our superpower really lies in our ability to leverage different mixes of brand and performance marketing, digital configuration through lovesac.com, incredible showroom experiences, and efficient partnerships to optimally affect byproduct platforms. Done wisely, we can efficiently generate customer awareness, convert that awareness into customers, and ultimately build long-term relationships and brand love. Let's spend a few moments on each. Starting with our brand performance marketing, we had shared back in December that we were encouraged by the strong double-digit quote growth we had seen through Black Friday, but were cautious given the lower than expected quote conversion to sales we're experiencing, along with the compressed holiday selling season. We are pleased to share that we saw significantly higher quote conversion during the late December and January periods. leveraging personalized offers as customers focused on their homes after the compressed holiday season. While we did selectively increase discounts above recent levels, we were able to avoid resorting to the extraordinary discounting levels as many of our competitors, as you see in our gross margin. As Sean shared earlier, we have tremendous momentum with our newest innovation, the reclining seats. It surpassed all our expectations, achieving the highest attach rate of all our recent innovations, supporting higher AOD, and generating strong new and repeat customer purchases. Recall, Q4 really represented a soft launch with minimal marketing support. But we've just turned on our marketing engine with our Recline of Civilization campaign that launched in March. With Kathy Hilton, Jay Shetty, and others, This campaign is a fun, tongue-in-cheek movement against the grind culture of today, leaving anyone who sees it yearning to recline in a love sack. It was developed to be social first, leveraging influencers and content creators to exponentially grow awareness. It worked. Nearly 5 billion earned impressions and counting, and this is a great example of where love sacks sits at the center of cultural trends. We also had a very cool collaboration with Mr. Beast, the ultimate YouTuber, on his last to leave the circle wins $1 million video challenge. 100 Love Sacks movie facts starred in this series that have more than 97 million views and counting. You can expect to see even more of these groundbreaking ideas as Heidi joins our team, so stay tuned. Second is our digital configurations and how we bring Love Sacks to life online. We've invested significantly in our digital experience, including the re-platforming of our website to increase online conversion, customer satisfaction, and enhance our SEO efforts. We also re-imagined the customer experience through MyHub, furthering our goal of creating a frictionless omnichannel experience and enabling a more purposeful approach to driving repeat customer purchases. It's also working with recliner repeat sales at nearly 40% of factional sales to date. These platform investments have also set us up to launch EverCouch. I'll note we aren't simply recreating the factionals experience online, but have reimagined the optimal buying experience for the more traditional chair and couch purchaser. This is a perfect example of how we will tailor our customer acquisition engines by platform for maximum effect. We'll also utilize our learnings from last year's product launches to continue to drive repeat customer engagement and conversion, all with the goal of increasing customer lifetime value. Third is our showroom experience, the physical brand amplifiers of our Design for Life products, the linchpin of our omnichannel model. It's an efficient use of capital to provide convenient accessibility to customers looking to experience Love Pack in real life. In quarter four, we embarked on the next evolution of our product demonstration selling process, the product tour. This improved selling framework helped improve quote conversion, as I mentioned earlier, but also created the pathway for new product innovations, such as the recliner. Entering fiscal 2026, we just launched a new performance-based compensation model for our field teams that retains the spirit of the customer experience, but also provides strong incentives for high performance. And finally, complementing our showroom experience is our partnership model, with Costco being a great example. With Costco's more than 120 million members, our roadshow model allows us to activate pop-ups in their clubs while owning 100% of the customer data and relationship. We'll continue to expand our assortment with Costco this year and have already added in stealth tech and pillow sack accent chairs. We plan a 15% increase in roadshows over last year, further demonstrating our unique ability to sell large premium products in approximately 100 square feet. When combined, these four elements of our customer acquisition engines create an unmatched customer experience that drives brand love. In fact, in fiscal 2025, we recorded our highest customer satisfaction scores ever. We're planning to reinforce this further by launching customer-facing services, Following internal resale and trading tests throughout fiscal 2025, we expect to launch customer-facing pilots for both programs in select markets later this year. Our data shows that these programs really highlight our commitment to design for life principles and reinforce the long-term value of our customers' investments. Nearly as important to sustain profitable growth over the long term are our growth enablers. Let's start with our supply chain, a key strength that has been a critical component of our financial success over the past few years, and in preparing us to dramatically expand to new product platforms. In fiscal 2025, we transformed our network strategy and carrier models. We implemented both transportation and order management systems, and we began work on optimizing our warehousing and outbound logistics programs, which we plan to continue through fiscal 26. As a result, we delivered healthy gross margin expansion of 120 basis points in fiscal 25, achieving a nearly 59% gross margin rate for this year. Having reduced our exposure to spot market rates by more than 95%, we entered fiscal 26 in a great position. Which brings us to the recent news on tariffs. Let's start with some contextual information. We have made significant progress in recent years to diversify our countries of origin and establish redundancy of each product across multiple countries in order to have options. Prior to the recent news, our country of origin estimates for fiscal 26 were Vietnam about 50%, Malaysia about 28%, China down to 13%, and Indonesia about 6%. We are actively continuing this effort with numerous options for additional diversification, including new geography, and are working to get China to be under 10% of the total. As we learn more in the coming weeks, we will adjust accordingly and have deployed task forces to accelerate mitigating actions. As Keith will outline momentarily, we entered fiscal 26 with higher than normal levels of inventory across our product lines, which was purposeful just in case of this possibility. In addition, we have numerous ways to structurally manage through various tariff scenarios. But we need to be careful not to implement these in a knee-jerk manner that could confuse our customers and damage the brand. These options include working with our long-term vendors for concessions, reviewing opportunities for surgical price increases, adjusting our promotional intensity, and capturing other efficiencies. Another important consideration is that our structurally higher gross margins that many other competitors, mean that the effective price increases needed to offset the tariffs are relatively smaller. We believe we have the ability to selectively take price increases due to the strength of our brand and the unique and compelling nature of our Design for Life products that are loved by many. Before I turn to Keith, I wanted to briefly mention our fourth annual ESG report published in December. You may or may not know this, but our purpose as a company, central to our design for life principles and operational model, is to inspire humankind to buy better so you can buy less. This updated report shows continued progress towards our goals, including our commitment to zero waste, zero emissions by 2040. We're proud to have diverted countless thousands of couches from landfills. We're proud to have passed the 300 million milestone in fiscal 25 for recycled plastic bottles used in our fabric, and so much more. We know that our actions today will shape the world of tomorrow, and we're leading by example. Together, we can create a future that's brighter, greener, and more comfortable for generations to come. And now to Keith.

speaker
Keith Signer
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Mary. Before we begin, I want to thank everyone who attended our inaugural Investor Day, whether in person, virtually, or even after the fact through the presentation, which remains available on our website. We hope it was clear how unique Lovesac is, unique in brand, unique in business model, and unique in secular growth opportunity, powered by continued market share gains in our existing categories, as well as expansion into new product platforms, which begins next quarter with Evercouch. Sean and Mary already discussed factors that made fiscal 25 such an important year for Lovesac, so let's jump right into a quick review of the numbers and our outlook. As a reminder, the fourth quarter of fiscal 24 included a 14th week, representing the 53rd week in the prior year. Revenues were $680.6 million for the year, which were down from $700.3 million the prior year, owing to category headwinds of approximately 9% for the year. but we're slightly above the latest range of guidance we provided in December. Gross margin was nearly 59%, a solid level that provides options for navigating the current macro conditions. Net income of $11.6 million was down from fiscal 24 owing to the lower revenues, but still supported positive free cash flow for the year and a healthy cash balance that I'll speak more about in a couple minutes. Moving on to the fourth quarter, Please note that all performance metric references to the fourth quarter refer to fiscal 25 unless otherwise noted. Net sales decreased 9 million or 3.6% to 241.5 million in the fourth quarter compared to the prior year. Showroom net sales decreased 2.4 million or 1.6% to 154.5 million in the fourth quarter compared to the prior year period. driven by a decrease of 9.4% in omnichannel comparable net sales, partially offset by the net addition of 27 new showrooms, period over period. Internet net sales decreased 7.6 million, or 9.7%, to 70.5 million in the fourth quarter compared to the prior year period. Other net sales, which include pop-up shop, shop-and-shop, and open-box inventory transactions, increased 1.0 million or 6.7% to 16.5 million in the fourth quarter compared to the prior year period due to higher productivity of our temporary online pop-up shops on Costco.com. There were no open box inventory transactions in the fourth quarter compared to 2.9 million in the prior year period. By product category in the fourth quarter, our sectional net sales decreased 3.8% SAC net sales decreased 3.0%, and our other net sales, which include decorative pillows, blankets, and accessories, increased 2.7% over the prior year period. Gross margin increased 70 basis points to 60.4% of net sales in the fourth quarter versus 59.7% in the prior year period. primarily driven by decreases of 90 basis points in inbound transportation costs and 30 basis points in outbound transportation and warehousing costs, partially offset by a decrease of 50 basis points in product margin driven by higher promotional discounting. SG&A expenses of percent of net sales was 28% in the fourth quarter versus 30.5% in the prior year period. The decreased percentage is primarily related to lower credit card fees, professional fees, rent, utilities, and other overhead costs. The decrease in selling general and administrative expense dollars was primarily related to a decrease of 3.8 million in credit card fees, 1.5 million in professional fees, 0.7 million in rent, 0.7 million in utilities, and 2.7 million in other overhead costs, partially offset by increases of 0.5 million in payroll, and $0.2 million in equity-based compensation. Rent decreased $0.7 million related to a $1.1 million reduction in percentage rent, partially offset by a $0.4 million increase in rent expense from our net addition of 27 showrooms. We estimate non-recurring incremental fees associated with the restatement of prior period financials were approximately $0.5 million in the fourth quarter. Advertising and marketing expenses decreased 2.7 million or 9.2% to 26.8 million for the fourth quarter compared to the prior year period. Advertising and marketing expenses were 11.1% of net sales in the fourth quarter as compared to 11.8% of net sales in the prior year period. Operating income for the quarter was 47.6 million compared to 40.4 million in the fourth quarter of last year, driven by the factors we just discussed. Before we turn our attention to net income, net income per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA, please refer to the terminology and reconciliation between each of our adjusted metrics and their most directly comparable gap measurements in our earnings release issued earlier this morning. Net income for the quarter was $35.3 million, or $2.13 per diluted share, compared to $31 million, or $1.87 per diluted share in the prior year period. During the fourth quarter, we recorded an income tax provision of $13 million as compared to $10.2 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $53.9 million as compared to $48.4 million in the prior year period. Turning to our balance sheet, we ended the fourth quarter with a very healthy balance sheet that provides substantial flexibility for LUFSAC to weather macro uncertainty, accelerate growth, and or enhance returns on capital. all with a focus on optimizing long-term value creation for shareholders. We reported $83.7 million in cash and cash equivalents, roughly similar to the prior year, while retaining $33 million in committed availability and no borrowings on our recently amended credit facility. This healthy cash position occurred despite two factors that highlight our flexibility. First, our total merchandise inventory levels were up 26% versus the prior year, to 124.3 million. Given our strong cash position, we saw an opportunity to build safety stock across our product portfolio in order to give ourselves additional wiggle room should there be wild cards related to tariffs or other supply chain disruptions. Second, during the quarter, we repurchased approximately 646,000 shares of our common stock at an average price of 25.51 for approximately 16.5 million thereby bringing our total repurchases for the fiscal year to $19.9 million. We have approximately $20.1 million remaining under our existing share repurchase authorization and plan to be opportunistic, balancing attractiveness of accretion from repurchases at current levels with uncertainty owing to the current tariff backdrop. Please refer to our earnings release for other details on our fourth quarter financial performance. Now for our outlook. The category has remained unpredictable month to month, but generally seems to have bounced around negative mid-single digits on average for the last five or six months. Further complicating things is a potential tariff impact, but it's not realistic to confidently assess the final outcome of global negotiations, nor competitor and consumer response just yet. We expect to have much more clarity in two short months when we report first quarter earnings. For the moment, we're prudently planning our outlook off a 5% full-year category decline, not dissimilar from the recent trends I just discussed. As Mary outlined, we have many arrows in our quiver with respect to managing tariff impact above and beyond the approximate $10 million of tariff we had already included in our full-year outlook under the old tariff regime. We're actively pursuing some combination of all of those options at our disposal. Additionally, we have many secular tailwinds helping counter the category outlook and providing optimism, ranging from annualization of fiscal 25 major product launches, a 2Q launch of EverCouch, a reboot of our marketing strategies under new leadership, growth in physical showrooms, new tools for relationship management, and more. So let's start with the fiscal first quarter since we anticipate minimal impact from the recent tariff headlines. We estimate net sales of 136 to 142 million, representing mid-single-digit revenue growth at the midpoint. We expect adjusted EBITDA loss between 8 and 12 million. This includes gross margins of approximately 54.5%, advertising and marketing of 13.5% as a percent of net sales, and SG&A of approximately 50% as a percent of net sales. We estimate net loss to be between 10 million and 13 million. We estimate basic loss per common share to be 66 cents to 85 cents with 14.8 million weighted average shares outstanding. For the full year fiscal 26, please note these numbers exclude any incremental impact from recent tariff updates above and beyond those present under the old tariff regime. We estimate net sales of 700 to 750 million. We expect adjusted EBITDA between 48 and 60 million. This includes gross margins of approximately 59%, advertising and marketing of approximately 12.5% as a percent of net sales, and SG&A of approximately 41% as a percent of net sales. We estimate net income to be between 13 and 22 million. We estimate diluted income per common share in the range of 80 cents to $1.36, and approximately 16.3 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding. In summary, stabilization of the category and an eventual return to category growth are ahead of us, even if that timing is unclear at the moment. While in this category fog, we're balancing prudence and efficiency with our belief that it's essential to stay focused on the big picture. That's the massive long-term opportunity for tremendous value creation for all Lovesac stakeholders. We're building the Lovesac brand and investing in new product innovation that spans style, function, and new categories that supports a powerful multi-year secular growth outlook with macro upside exposure as icing on the cake. I'll now turn the call back to the operator to start our Q&A session.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. We'll now be conducting the question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question at this time, you may press star 1 from your telephone keypad and a confirmation tone to indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you'd like to withdraw your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question today comes from the line of Maria Rips with Canaccord Genuity. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Maria Rips
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Great. Good morning, and thanks for taking my questions. First, sort of understanding the situation is very fluid here, but is there any call-out maybe you can share around how you're thinking through your inventory strategy here, given the nine-day tariff delay? I know you brought your inventory levels up in the end of the quarter, but how much sort of inventory are you planning to pull forward from sort of countries outside of China, maybe over the next couple of months?

speaker
Mary Fox
President and Chief Operating Officer

Hey, good morning to the question. Yeah, so obviously we had built up from our industry across all of our product lines, so we feel very good in terms of our position. The teams are actively working right now and since last week across countries. I think one of the great advantages of our supply chain is we have full redundancy of all of our products. They are working that through and we feel good in terms of where the plans are. Obviously, with the news yesterday, we're really pushing through on obviously the most dominant countries that we source from, which are Malaysia and Vietnam as an example. to ensure that we continue to stay in stock. We have great inventory levels, but also obviously managing the headwinds that just recently came into bear from last week.

speaker
Maria Rips
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

That's very helpful, Mary. And then secondly, is there anything you can share around consumer behavior here more recently, maybe in February and more so in March, just given all the macro data points that we've been getting? Are you seeing any maybe softening in consumer spending here in the near term, I guess?

speaker
Mary Fox
President and Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, no, thank you. The piece that we shared sort of in terms of on the guidance, you know, we feel good in terms of performance quarter to decade. From February, that continued through to today. So, you know, we see pretty much stable performance from our customers in terms of whether it be piece count, in terms of, you know, whether they're trading up. We have seen a little bit quieter between key promotions and then being stronger during events. and then obviously, you know, we continue to see the quote conversion progress that we made through quarter four as well. So too early to say in terms of even just some of the more recent news and any changes, but really nothing that has changed to call out Maria. That is helpful.

speaker
Maria Rips
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Thank you very much for the call.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next question is from the line of Matt Caranda with Roth Capital Partners. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Matt Caranda
Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Hey guys, good morning. Just wanted to see if maybe you could confirm for me, it looks like the midpoint of the Q1 range might incorporate the assumption of positive omnichannel comps. So just wanted to see if Keith could maybe unpack that. And then just quarter to date, it sounded like Mary said, February was strong, but I think that's against a relatively easy comp from last year. So maybe just talk about the trends you saw in March and April. And then lastly, just if you could talk about sort of – I know it's really early and the sample size is small, but any consumer reaction function to sort of the Liberation Day announcements in terms of trends you saw over the last week?

speaker
Keith Signer
Chief Financial Officer

Sure.

speaker
Matt Caranda
Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Thanks.

speaker
Keith Signer
Chief Financial Officer

I'll start off with the first two parts of that, Matt, and then kick it over to Mary. So, you know, if you look back to recent trends, you can see pretty clearly that we've been doing between 500 and 600 basis points of growth coming from the new and non-comp. So one thing that's a little different is in fiscal 25, so last year, we had a heavily first quarter weighted new showroom opening cadence. This year, we're going to be a little bit more balanced through the year, a little less weight on Q1. So we might be slightly below that 5% to 6%. contribution from new and non-comp. So when you think about, you know, the growth rate that we're implying for the first quarter, I think your assumption for flat to slightly positive, depending on where we are in that range, is definitely a possibility. You know, one thing I'm going to talk about just a little bit with the quarter and the progress to date that does make this a little bit noisy and why I'd really, like, urge you to focus on the quarter in entirety is if you recall in the first month of fiscal 25, We had some volatility related to a promotional strategy miss and dislocations from switching media agencies. So there's a lot of noise in our year-over-year growth rates in the first month. And then there's noise in the second and third because Easter moved from month three to month two for us. So put that all together and, you know, we're really encouraged to be, you know, at the levels of growth that we're talking about for Q1. So hopefully that gives you a little bit of context.

speaker
Mary Fox
President and Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, and I think, Matt, just to add to your other question, I think Keith covered kind of quarter to date. I think in terms of any consumer reactions, you know, last week's a quieter week for us, so I think we really need to hold, as we go through to the Easter event, as we close out the quarter, really to be able to learn anything more, but certainly not really seen any kind of change of any kind of materiality. So looking forward to Easter and closing out the quarter.

speaker
Matt Caranda
Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Okay, I appreciate that. And then maybe just wanted to see about the way that we should think about pricing in reaction to some of the tariffs if they do end up sticking after the 90 days. How should we think about Lovesac's ability to take price increases? What would those come in the form of? Would that come in the form of a list price increase and we should expect the same sort of steady promotional cadence that you guys have been on? Just wanted to hear sort of your latest thoughts about how you sort of mitigate some of the tariff risk beyond just the change in vendor sourcing.

speaker
Mary Fox
President and Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, no, thank you for the question. I think, you know, obviously the team are working very hard with some vendors on concessions because that's a key element that can really help us in terms of sustaining some of the impact. I think the second piece, obviously, Keith shared with our structurally higher growth margins than many other competitors. It really means that the effective surgical price increases we'd need to take are much smaller. So we really work through. You know, we've taken price before in 2021 and 2023 and seen a lot of success with that without any impact around demand. So we're working actively through with the scenarios. We need to see where everything closes out because it is changing by the day. But we have good plans around those surgical changes that we can make in the kind of missed singles level. And I think what's interesting, you know, we track pricing, you know, competitively in the category. And we saw many competitors taking price on MSRP between 5% and 10% just in February and early March. And this is obviously done well in advance of the latest news on the tariff increases from last week. So we see, you know, opportunity, you know, they've already risen that we can actually be able to, you know, execute effectively, not impact demand and continue to stay very strong to, you know, our customer value. I think one of the other last pieces, you know, Matt, we've shared with you in the past that nearly 40% of our customers don't even cross shop us with anyone else. So we'll stay very close to it, be very meaningful in it, but obviously really need to let the full understanding of the impact be finalized before we execute anything.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Call Moderator

Okay. Appreciate it. I'll turn it over, guys. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Thomas Forte with Maxim Group. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Thomas Forte
Analyst, Maxim Group

Great. Thanks for taking my questions. So I have one question on tariffs and one question not on tariffs, and I acknowledge it's hard to Come up with a non-tariff question. All right. So it sounds like 13% of your sourcing is from China and you're aiming to move it below 10%. If you wanted to, how quickly could you move it all out of China?

speaker
Moderator
Conference Call Moderator

Sean's on mute.

speaker
Sean Nelson
Chief Executive Officer

Sorry. Yeah, I'll take, I'll jump in on this one. I'm in China right now taking this call from China. and actively moving plenty of production out of here in real time with the team. It's really exciting. As you know, I think the thing that differentiates Lovesac from a lot and really all of our key competitors is is while I think every serious furniture company operates in all of these geographies in the east, Lovesac operates redundantly. So there are almost no critical products that are solely sourced in China. And we're able to, you know, move production, lean further on these other geographies that have now seen some abatement already. And we do see a path to getting down below 10% this year. And that's what we're actively doing. So, you know, ultimately, it'll probably force us completely out of China. And that's fine as well. So we're excited about the headway we're making. It's happening so fast, you know, in days, really, and already in motion. And, of course, our Q1 is all spoken for inventory-wise. So we're talking about a very finite batch of inventory that will even have an effect on this year in terms of the biggest tariffs so far. Yeah, so feeling really good about our position.

speaker
Thomas Forte
Analyst, Maxim Group

Thank you, Sean. I appreciate that. All right, so for my non-tariff question, so when thinking about potential catalysts for home-related merchandise sales, such as furniture, how should investors think about the potential for lower interest rates unlocking the housing market, resulting in more consumers moving? So recognizing its fluid situation, one silver lining from the market turmoil is is that at times interest rates have been lower. We've read stories about large increases in mortgage demand. Seems like there's a lot of pent-up demand to move, which may be unlocked by lower rates. I would love your thoughts on this.

speaker
Keith Signer
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I'll start off first, and then I'll let Sean step in. I mean, I'll take it. We'll take it. We would love to see it. We don't even care about what drives the interest rates lower to some extent if it's a geopolitical play on a macro basis, as long as there's not a big recession. underlying it, the lower interest rates will be wonderfully accepted, I think, by everybody in our category, including us. And really what I want to impress upon this is we're controlling our own destiny here. We are and have already built a pipeline of truly differentiated products that should enable us to continue to take market share like we've talked about in our existing categories where we only are present in one million households. In the U.S., which is shocking to us, with our existing platforms, there's no reason we shouldn't be in many millions of households. And with the addition of all of the new products last year and the EverCouch, which is our entrance into chairs, love seats, and sofas with an appropriate style forward, price competitive, wonderful product that's launching in second quarter, we think we have a really compelling case to buck those trends and to drive growth for our business and to translate that top line growth to bottom line growth. But because of the uniqueness of our model and because of the inventory position as we've been talking about, as soon as that lower interest rate unlocks housing turnover, we're ready to go and we'll participate real time. We can ship in one to two weeks. We don't have to place an order. for a green roll-arm couch that's going to take nine months to get here and then hope that it's on sale and we can sell it. We can sell you whatever you want within one to two weeks whenever you're ready. And I think that's a super compelling element to our model. But, Sean, if you want to talk more about the big picture, please.

speaker
Sean Nelson
Chief Executive Officer

Well, I'll just add that the other trend that overlays this hopeful one is couches, especially not ours, wear out. And we're coming up on that big COVID pull forward, you know, renewing of people's couches as people in a lot of ways have spent more time at home than ever over these past half a decade. So we're really excited about, you know, the natural turnover and the categories that we focus on the most. And now with the EverCouch coming on, helping us address whole new opportunities in urban markets and smaller communities rooms and other things. We think that there's a lot of trends that are going to really play to Lovesac's favor. Finally, from an inventory perspective, we're going to, no matter what, as we proved through the last both tariff cycle back in 2018, as well as through COVID, we will not run out of stock. We never did. It's a strength of ours. And I can almost guarantee that that won't be the story for some of the other players in our category. And that will be a major opportunity for us to gain market share over these next years as all of this changes. So we look forward to that.

speaker
Thomas Forte
Analyst, Maxim Group

Great. Thanks for taking my questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next questions come from the line of Alex Furman with Craig Helm.

speaker
Alex Furman
Analyst, Craig Helm

Let's just hear your questions. Hey guys, thanks very much for taking my question. You've had a lot more products now than you've ever had and it sounds like there's a lot more to come over the next couple of years. How did that impact how you think about your showroom strategy? Do you need to start opening larger showrooms or maybe start leaning on different distribution partners to market a wider range of products?

speaker
Sean Nelson
Chief Executive Officer

Oh man, we are so excited to talk about this one. Just probably not on this call. We have plenty of room for EverCouch in our life. Our showrooms were really built to sell couches. We just haven't been selling many. We've been selling all sectionals. And so we're really excited how EverCouch is going to play into our strengths. We've established a brand that people think of as those clever couches they've seen on TV, online, social media influencers. And then in some cases, we just don't fit their lifestyle. So We're very comfortable introducing Evercouch. We're not concerned at all about space, and I think you're going to really see how that folds into the batter of our current showroom footprint seamlessly. As we move into next year, we have all kinds of really clever and exciting solutions for how we will show up in our omnichannel way and in a way that's true to Love Sacks nature, in a way that really plays to our strengths. And of course, I'm being cryptic because we're super cryptic about, you know, the biggest platform introduction until we're ready to announce them. But it's going to come probably a lot, you know, at least the news of it and some of the explanation will, I think you're going to, we're going to be, you know, prepared to be talking about that even as this year continues. And so, you know, for now, our showrooms are small and tight and efficient, and we will continue to open you know, as we've said, another 30-ish this year. And we're really excited about being able to grow this way and being able to adapt as we get into these other categories in what we think is a truly strategic and artful way that will be innovative in retail and omnichannel execution. So, you know, more to come.

speaker
Alex Furman
Analyst, Craig Helm

Great. That's really helpful, Sean. Thanks, and looking forward to seeing some of those innovations as they happen.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
William Dustin (on behalf of Brian Nagel)
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Hey, good morning. This is William Dustin on for Brian. Congratulations on a nice quarter.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you.

speaker
William Dustin (on behalf of Brian Nagel)
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thank you. Yeah, so my first question was on just tariff mitigation efforts. I wanted to get clarification. So you mentioned that given structurally higher margins at love, that price increases need to offset tariffs may be smaller. Can you elaborate on that? And then also, I guess related, competitors have taken 5% to 10% off of MSRP recently. How has your promotional strategy changed in recent months?

speaker
Keith Signer
Chief Financial Officer

Sure thing, thanks. I'll take the first one. What we were applying with the lower required price increases is take the math of what our gross profits are, our gross profit margin of near 60%. When you back out inbound freight, warehousing, last mile, and other costs and things like that that flow through there, you actually get to a strict product margin that's quite a bit higher. substantially higher actually even than where we're running on a full-year gross profit basis. So when you think about what that COGS actually is as a percentage of sales, you do the math as to what type of total net sales price increase would be required to offset the strict product cost. That's how you get to, you know, what we were, you know, even in some of the really draconian tariff outlooks, could probably be covered with a single-digit, high single-digit price increase, and that clearly doesn't look like it's going to be the case already. But look, we have options. We can take those price increases. We can shift the intensity of our promotional strategy. We can play around with what our finance offers are through our financing program. All of these are different ways that we can help to offset that, let alone on the cost side of the initiatives that Mary talked about before. But hopefully that gives a little context. Thanks.

speaker
Mary Fox
President and Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, and I think, William, just to add to your other part of the question, so, you know, as we tracked with our competitors and saw them taking their MSRP up by 5% to 10% in February and March, they've also continued to be at record high levels on promotion. So, you know, that has continued. For us, as we went through President's Day and through this quarter to date, we've continued with our flash events, the typical handle, of a 30 off and even with some reduced financing that we've seen success with. So, you know, we continue to drive that. We do continue also to have some pocket offers in the showroom sometimes, particularly for the larger setup, but certainly feel good in the algorithm of how we're working through in our promotions that the plan. But the team are always testing, so we're always learning. And we will continue to adjust as the year plays out and obviously to ensure that we stay very relevant and continue to gain market share.

speaker
William Dustin (on behalf of Brian Nagel)
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Okay, I appreciate that. And so I may have misspoken that competitors have taken their MSRP up by 5% to 10% in recent weeks? Yes.

speaker
Mary Fox
President and Chief Operating Officer

Yes, that's correct. So they took it up in February and March, 5% to 10% up in MSRP, correct.

speaker
William Dustin (on behalf of Brian Nagel)
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Okay. Okay. And another question that I wanted to touch on would be product launches. With your fiscal 26 guide for growth of 3% to 10%, how much of this may be from product launches versus market share gains amid broader category declines? And specifically, I just wanted to ask about how the recliner has performed versus your expectations.

speaker
Keith Signer
Chief Financial Officer

Sure thing, thanks. I'll take the first part and then maybe kick it over to Sean to talk about the recliner. But, you know, as I mentioned earlier, we're approaching this year from the perspective of prudent and realistic management around the macro conditions. So we've been floating around plus or minus, you know, some months better, some months worse, but the category has sort of been in this down mid-single digits for the last five or six months, as I mentioned. That's the scenario we're building our plan for this year off of, more of the same. So in order for us to get to the total growth rates against that backdrop, we do need these new products, the physical showroom expansion, enhancements in our marketing strategy, all of these different things that I was talking about we think can generate better than category performance. There's a whole number of different scenarios that could come together. We're not relying on every single one of these to hit 100% by any means, not at all. We can have some of them hit and some of them miss and still hit our guidance. That's kind of the approach we took to this. So, you know, we're really encouraged about the new showrooms that we're opening. We're very excited about the potential that those can contribute. We think the new products can be fantastic. We think we could sharpen a message. All of these things, I know I'm getting a little redundant and repetitive here, But I just really wanted to, you know, hammer home the point that we've got multiple paths, we think, to achieve the top-line aspirations that we set out for this year.

speaker
Sean Nelson
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, as far as the recliner goes, I think it's been our most successful product launch maybe ever, at least in our modern history, maybe since Stealth Tech. and in many ways even more impactful than that, and that was massive for us. So it's exceeded our expectations. It's outstripped the initial supply, and we quickly were able to recover from that. As you've seen, we really haven't had any egregious waiting periods for recliner. They're in stock now. So we've been able to demonstrate, you know, this extreme flexibility we have. And you have to appreciate that the recliner has, It's a powered recliner. If you understand Saxionals, you understand that these rectangles can be used the long ways or the deep ways, which is one of the most remarkable things about the Saxionals platform. If you're tall, you want it deep. If you're shorter, you want it wide. Or if you want to adjust the room and how it fits between two windows, this one recliner SKU works in either direction, and the consumer can adjust it on the fly. It's hard to describe over a call, but the reason I'm mentioning it is because to do all of this and do it elegantly, safely, reliably with electronics required 650 individual parts. This is by far the most complex product we've ever produced, and the fact that we've been able to do it at our high margins right at initial launch without any significant quality issues at all and been able to replenish our stock when it far outstripped our expectations. As we've mentioned, we sold over 18,500 units, and that's just over the first few number of months, right? This is not even six months. So we're really excited about that and especially excited to see that sales are evenly split between new and repeat customers. So it's working in exactly all the ways we wanted it to. We're really proud of it. And, you know, I think lastly the best part is, of course, we hold numerous patents on it, like we do all of our key products. And the big investment we made in it, and even to launch it, as we've just done, we had over 4 billion impressions from this Kathy Hilton campaign with the recline of civilization. And so we had a lot of fun with it on social media. All of this investment, both in the product and in the marketing of it, we'll build on it for a decade or two decades. And that's the beautiful thing about these design for life products. They have life that goes so far beyond, um, when we take the time to, to, to build them right. And so anyway, really excited about that and really excited that we're able to also shift production of, of so many, um, skews so rapidly out of, out of China, as we mentioned, because, uh, so many of the suppliers are excited, um, by what it represents and excited that we can move so fast with them. So all good news here.

speaker
William Dustin (on behalf of Brian Nagel)
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thank you so much. Look forward to connecting more offline.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. At this time, this will conclude our question and answer session and also conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines at this time and have a wonderful day.

Disclaimer

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