10/30/2023

speaker
Operator

Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Pomonix third quarter 2023 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Lane Morgan, at the Gilmartin Group. Lane, please go ahead.

speaker
Lane Morgan

Thank you, Operator. Good afternoon, and thank you all for participating in today's call. Joining me from Pomonix are Glenn French, President and Chief Executive Officer, and John McEwen, Interim Chief Financial Officer and Vice President, Corporate Controller. Earlier today, Pomonix issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30th, 2023. A copy of the press release is available on Pomonix's website. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that management will make statements during this call that include forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws which are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any statements contained in this call that relate to expectations or predictions of future events, results, or performance are forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements, including without limitation those relating to our chief financial officer transition, our operating trends, commercial strategies, and future financial performance, the timing and results of clinical trials, expense management, expectations for hiring, growth in our organization, market opportunity, guidance for revenue, gross margin, and operating expenses, commercial expansion, and product pipeline development are based upon current estimates and various assumptions. These statements involve material risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to materially differ from those anticipated or implied by these forward-looking statements. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these statements. For a list and description of risk and uncertainties associated with our business, please refer to the risk factors section of our filings of the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the quarterly report on Form 10Q filed with SEC on August 4th, 2020. Also during this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are provided in the press release, which is posted on our investor relations website. These non-GAAP measures are not intended to be a substitute for our GAAP results. This conference call contains time-sensitive information and is accurate only as of the live broadcast today, October 30th, 2023. Pomonis disclaims any intention or obligation, except as required by law, to update or revise any financial projections or forward-looking statements, whether because of new information, future events, or otherwise. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Gwen.

speaker
Glenn French

Thanks, Lane. Good afternoon and welcome to our third quarter 2023 earnings call. Here with me is John McCune, a recently appointed interim chief financial officer who's been a leader on our finance team as BP corporate controller since our IPO. We are very pleased with our recent performance as we achieved another quarter of record revenue. In the third quarter, we delivered $17.7 million in worldwide sales, representing 31% growth over the same period of the prior year and 29% on a constant currency basis. Growth was driven primarily by record U.S. performance as we achieved $11.8 million in sales, representing 41% year-over-year growth. Outperformance in the U.S. was due to continued momentum and traction of our focused commercial strategy and also to slightly less seasonal impact than expected. Meanwhile, seasonal impacts internationally were more consistent with our expectations and historical trends. Given the strength of our business year to date, we are updating our full year 2023 revenue guidance to be in the range of 67 to 68%. million dollars up from our prior guidance of 64 to 66 million dollars at the midpoint this implies anticipated year-over-year growth of over 25 percent we attribute our confidence largely to the traction we are seeing with our focus commercial strategy as we had planned this strategy designed to accelerate account productivity across our already meaningful footprint has resulted in One, more existing treating centers with optimized Zeprovalve programs. Two, new treating centers launching with a greater ability to scale. And three, increased awareness around the benefits of our treatment among COPD physicians and the many patients who stand to benefit from it. In the third quarter, average U.S. account productivity was approximately 4.7 cases per center. despite anticipated summer seasonality. We attribute this largely to improvement in the number of highly experienced and efficient accounts and the cases they performed offset by continued growth in our base of actively treating centers. As a reminder, we have measured account productivity based on the average number of cases conducted in a given quarter by our active, established Zephyr Valve treating hospitals. which are those that have been performing Zephyr valve procedures for at least four quarters and placed a revenue generating order in the current quarter. While seasonal trends will drive some variability in this metric from quarter to quarter, on average, over time, we expect account productivity to continue to move higher into the fourth quarter and beyond. Meanwhile, U.S. account activity in the third quarter of 2023 was 73%, representing 235 centers that placed a revenue generating order in the third quarter. We continue to expect account activity to remain in the low to mid 70s range as we grow our denominator of treating centers. Lastly, we continue to expand our base of U.S. centers. We added 15 new accounts in the U.S. in the third quarter, bringing the total number of U.S. centers to 323, and we now expect to end the year having opened approximately 55 to 60 new accounts. Collectively, commercial trends year-to-date have demonstrated to us that treating centers, both established and new, are eager to adopt Zephyr Valve treatment and invest in their programs. This comes as patients and referring COPD physicians become increasingly familiar with our technology and its clinical benefits due to our ongoing education and outreach focused in geographies with optimized ZEPR programs. Taken together, we believe that, one, there is still meaningfully more room to grow within existing centers, and two, we are still early in penetrating broader patient demands. As we look forward into 2024, we will invest in our commercial and educational capabilities to penetrate the market. We will continue to grow our base of highly trained and motivated new centers and strengthen existing centers by helping our champions explain the value of their programs and the value that they bring to the hospital system. And we will continue to share best practices on how to build advanced ZeproValve programs. In targeted geographies with well-developed programs, we will increase both patient outreach and education of COPD-focused healthcare providers with proven strategies that we can replicate and scale. Taken together, these strategies will help develop a growing base of highly capable centers with increasing penetration of the substantial opportunity in these geographies. Meanwhile, we will continue to benefit from a growing body of published clinical evidence. Most recently, we were pleased to see the publication of data from a single center retrospective analysis in Germany that published in the Journal of Respiratory Medicine. Results from the study suggested that patients who received endobronchial valve implantation experienced a reduction in severe COPD exacerbations in the 12 months following implantation as compared to the 12 months prior to treatment. This is similar to the documented reductions in severe exacerbations delivered by lung volume reduction surgery. Moving now to our international expansion plans, we are excited to have recently been approved for reimbursement for our Zephyr Valve treatment in Japan, which allows pricing that is consistent with our global average. This marks an essential step toward commercialization in Japan, starting next year with a post-market approval study of approximately 140 patients at 10 to 15 sites, which will then be followed by broader commercial expansion. Now turning to our clinical development pipeline, we remain on track with our AeroSeal program, which we expect will expand the addressable market for our Zephyr Valve solution for severe emphysema patients with collateral ventilation and continue to expect final data of the CONVERT-1 trial to be presented later next year. Meanwhile, we are preparing to launch our CONVERT-2 trial, which will form the basis for our U.S. aerosol PMA submission. I'll now turn the call over to John to provide more detailed review of our third quarter results. John?

speaker
Lane

Thank you, Glenn. and good afternoon, everyone. Total worldwide revenue for the three months ended September 30th, 2023 reached a new quarterly high of $17.7 million, a 31% increase from $13.5 million in the same period of the prior year and 29% on a constant currency basis. U.S. revenue in the third quarter reached a new record of $11.8 million, a 41% increase from $8.4 million during the prior year period. The growth in U.S. sales reflected continued commercial momentum and adoption of our Zephyr valve therapy, as well as less impact from seasonality compared to the prior year period. International revenue in the third quarter of 2023 was $5.8 million, a 14% increase from $5.1 million during the same period last year, and a 9% increase on a constant currency basis. The overall increase in international sales was driven by growth of Zephyr valve procedure volumes. Gross margin for the third quarter of 2023 was 74% compared to 75% in the prior year period, reflecting higher inventory reserves in the quarter. We expect gross margin for the remainder of 2023 to be approximately 74%. Total operating expenses for the third quarter of 2023 were $28.2 million, a 17% increase from $24.1 million in the third quarter of 2022. Non-cash stock-based compensation expense was $6 million in the third quarter of 2023. Excluding stock-based compensation expense, total operating expenses in the third quarter of 2023 increased 12% from the same period of the prior year. Looking ahead. We continue to expect operating expenses for the full year 2023 to fall between $112 to $114 million, inclusive of approximately $21 million of non-cash stock-based compensation expense as we take a disciplined and prudent approach to managing expenses while contributing to invest to drive growth. R&D expenses for the third quarter of 2023 were $4.2 million. compared to $4.4 million in the same period of the prior year. The decrease was primarily attributable to lower ARESIL program costs. Sales general and administrative expenses for the third quarter of 2023 were $24 million compared to $19.7 million in the third quarter of 2022. The increase was attributable to continued investment in our commercial activities as well as an increase in legal and stock-based compensation expenses. Net loss for the third quarter of 2023 was $14.9 million, or a loss of 39 cents per share, as compared to a net loss of $14.2 million, or a loss of 38 cents per share, for the same period of the prior year. An average weighted share count of 38.1 million shares was used to determine loss per share for the third quarter of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA loss for the third quarter of 2023 was $9 million, as compared to $9.7 million in the third quarter of 2022. The year-over-year improvement demonstrates our ability to drive operating leverage. We ended September 30, 2023, with $139.8 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, a decrease of $7.9 million from the June 30 2023 period. We continue to feel very good about the strength of our balance sheet and our pathway to cash flow breakeven. Finally, turning to our revenue outlook for 2023. Given our strong performance in the third quarter, we are updating our full year 2023 revenue guidance to be in the range of $67 to $68 million, representing approximately 25 to 27% growth over 2022. and up from our prior guidance of $64 to $66 million.

speaker
Glenn

I'll now turn the call back to Glenn for his closing comments.

speaker
Glenn French

So, in summary, I am very pleased with the way that we are executing our operational plan and with the resulting record third quarter results. We are confident in our long-term value proposition as we continue to drive increasingly predictable growth. Further, we are advancing key development projects and now entering Japan and in both ways are working to materially expand our already substantial addressable market. Finally, from a financial perspective, our revenue growth, strong balance sheet, and healthy gross margins together provide us a clear path to cash flow break even. With that, I'd like to thank you all for your attention, and we will now open the call for questions. Operator?

speaker
Operator

Certainly. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. And our first question. We'll come from Jason Bednar of Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

speaker
Jason

Hey, good afternoon. Can you hear me okay?

speaker
Glenn

Yes.

speaker
Jason

Great. Thanks. Congrats on the results in the quarter here, Glenn. I want to go back to maybe the setup for as we came into third quarters from your comments three months ago in early August. You talked about maybe some concerns around seasonality in the third quarter, but you clearly out-executed your plan, which is really great to see. So maybe could you help us understand where the quarter may have gone as you expected? Did you see the seasonality hit procedure volumes in maybe July and August? And then was the upside in the quarter and the raise to guidance here today, was that simply to what you saw then play out in September and October? Is that the right way to think about just how things unfolded for the quarter and And you really got us to where we're at today.

speaker
Glenn French

Yeah, thanks, Jason. Yeah, it was a very interesting quarter. And I remember talking to everybody sort of in early August. And July revealed a great deal of seasonality. And I think we probably signaled that when we were having those conversations. The good news is that August was not nearly as impacted as it was last year in the United States. And I think one of the things that's fundamentally different as it relates to the U.S. situation this year versus last, or at least what it appears at this point, is that a good bit of that which didn't happen in the third quarter of last year rolled into the fourth quarter. So you had these delayed – you had people coming back from vacations. And in many cases, they didn't get those procedures executed until – into the fourth quarter. This year in the third quarter, particularly in the U.S., though we had a delay in procedures in the early part of the quarter, they got completed later in the quarter. So I think that's the dynamic that explains the strength of this period unto itself and also how it contrasts to what we saw last year.

speaker
Jason

Okay, and maybe if I could just come back then on maybe a real-time comment. I mean, can you talk about maybe the exit rate in September or maybe what we're seeing here in early October and how that is contributing to the implied guidance here for the fourth quarter?

speaker
Glenn French

Well, what specifically are you – I mean, I will – give you as much detail as we traditionally provide in terms of inter-quarter results. But when you're talking about the implied guidance, can you be more specific?

speaker
Jason

I guess I'm wondering to what extent the momentum you had coming out of September, how that influenced what you're expecting now for the fourth quarter, because this wasn't just a typical, you know, beat and flow through the raise to the full year guide. This was a beat and then raised by even more than the beat. So I don't want to speak for the rest of the street, but I'm guessing that 4Q numbers are going to be moving higher today, you know, based on your updated guidance. So I'm trying to get a sense of how strong was that exit rate coming out of September that you were seeing in your business?

speaker
Glenn French

Yeah, no, our increase was greater than our beat for this quarter, but I think you'll recall we had some catching up to do. So there were a number of questions in the past about making adjustments. We made them now. So in any case, I think as we look ahead, we are encouraged by the performance in the third quarter. We were sobered a little bit by the idea that we didn't get any carryover into the fourth quarter in the way that we did last year. And we have a limited number of, you know, there's a significant impact on the number of shipping days in the fourth quarter as well. So, you know, we feel good about the fourth quarter. We've always talked about that being a stronger relative quarter. But I think this third quarter performance is pushing up against that. And I think that's reflected in the overall guidance. and what that implies as it relates to what we expect to do in the fourth quarter.

speaker
Jason

All right, perfect. Then one other maybe commercial-focused one from us, but it'll be a two-parter, so apologies in advance. So you've got these new center additions in the U.S. You've been running well ahead of your expectations from where you started the year, which, again, is also really good to see. So first, are you able to support this better new account activity because the core productivity improvements have been as strong as they have been, like we were just talking about in the last question? And then second part, given the commercial improvements you've made this year and the account activation adjustments that you've made, can you talk about maybe some context around the accounts that you've onboarded this year, how they've scaled relative to the accounts that you onboarded in 2021 or 2022? Just, you know, are you having more success in scaling these accounts because you have this new commercial program in place? Thank you.

speaker
Glenn

Yeah.

speaker
Glenn French

So with regard to the, so first of all, the new additions are interesting. It's always great to bring these new centers on. I mean, we're adding about one per territory per year. So we've got just, you know, we've got 55 reps. We'll be 55 to 60 new accounts this year. With regard to our metrics, the addition of more greater than expected new accounts sort of dilutes the denominator in that regard. But with regard to our ability to absorb it, I think was what your question or comment was, this is kind of normal course activity and we're not realizing any challenges with regard to our ability to absorb those accounts. I will say that as those accounts mature and they get to the one-year mark and they get included into our calculations, they are dilutive. So an account, though an account is much stronger at a year than it is at, say, three months, they still continue to expand. And so as the greater than anticipated number of new accounts roll in each quarter into our denominator, it is dilutive to the overall number. Now, you had asked about the context of accounts today versus, say, two or three years ago and how productive those accounts are. We have, and I think we've talked about this before, materially increased the number and height of the hurdles that accounts need to clear in order to become accounts today. We've learned a lot over the last few years. And so I would say that these accounts that come on board today are much better prepared. I mean, an example of it is the number of steps that a treating physician needs to go through in order to even get to training. They need to identify at least three patients in advance of training. They come to training, they discuss those patients, they go back and they treat the patients, and then they have a 45-day review with an expert So I would say that one of the fundamental differences in terms of folks that are coming out of training today is that they're much better. They're much further along in terms of their understanding of things. Now, going back to like, does that translate directly into these accounts being way further along? I think it's super important to remember that there's a six step sort of process. And we take folks from step one through step six is where they're developing and they're clearing through gates along the way. That's a process that takes time, irrespective of how well-trained the doctors are who enter into it. So I would simply say that I wouldn't anticipate material acceleration with regard to getting an account up to speed, but we have a whole array of examples of accounts that are very material contributors after only three months and others that take longer to come up to speed. There's a bit of a spectrum.

speaker
Jason

Okay. Appreciate all the color. Thanks, and congrats again on the quarter. Thanks.

speaker
Operator

One moment for our next question. And our next question will be coming from Rick Wise of CIFL. Your line is open, Rick.

speaker
Rick Wise

Good afternoon, Glenn. I just want to make sure I'm understanding a couple of things, if you could just expand on a little bit. The account productivity and implementation of best practice, when you started your remarks, you talked about the number of accounts. You had a lot of momentum in accounts, and I think your words were with optimized Zephyr programs. And, Glenn, I'm going to ask the question. You rephrase it if you feel like I'm not coming at it in a clear way. I say to myself, you ended last year with 278 total active accounts, if I am looking at it correctly. Today, what percent of those accounts have optimized Zephyr programs? You follow me? And the reason I'm asking the question is to get at, are 25% of those 278 have optimized programs? gosh, we've got a lot of room in a good way to keep driving greater productivity. That's what I'm trying to get at.

speaker
Glenn French

Yeah. So first of all, an active account is one that's ordered in the last quarter, and the active number is in the low 70s, as we talked about, 73%, 74%. So in any given quarter, 73% or 74% of our accounts are ordering. If you were to say in any six-month period, it would be about 85%. But in any case, You said a year ago we were at 278. I'll take your word for that. I don't know it off the top of my head. We're at 330 or something now. But those are not all active accounts. That's the total number of accounts. So there's a subset of that. About 70% to 75% of those would be active accounts. So let's say out of 200 active accounts, Probably about 25 to 30% of those are what I would consider to be truly optimized. And the reference to optimization in my earlier comments was really the geographies in which when I was commenting on sort of our plans for 2024, it was in those geographies where we would be making decisions. broader investments in trying to get the word out to the COPD physicians and the patients themselves. So we've been talking about how long the need to have the accounts ready first, then the referring physicians or the COPD physicians, and then activating the patients.

speaker
Rick Wise

Gotcha. I know it's early. It's hard to resist asking about 2024. especially given the momentum we saw in the third quarter, and especially when I hear you talk so clearly and positively about more accounts, account productivity, the patient and physician outreach and education and training. I mean, I'm not so much looking for exact numerical guidance, feel free if you want to, But more, should we just assume that given all this, the outlook, the possibility, the likelihood of continuing in a kind of a 20% or better growth range is a reasonable expectation based on everything we're hearing tonight?

speaker
Glenn French

Well, we feel really good about where our foundation is. We do have a number of things lined up. And we feel good about that. But we're going to be providing you with specific guidance for 2024 in a few months here. And so we're not providing 2024 guidance. I know that a question was recently asked in one of these public forums about how we felt about next year and where people's heads were. And we continue to feel like You know, you all are in the right place, but so I'm not trying, I wouldn't want to talk that down, but I also am not in a position to be talking it up. We've got some more information. I think the fourth quarter is going to be an important data set, and we'll spend a lot of time between now and when that all comes together to provide far greater clarity on how we see 2024.

speaker
Rick Wise

That's great. Thank you, and it's great to see the excellent quarter. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

And one moment for our next question. And our next question will be coming from Larry Bejelsen of Wells Fargo. Your line's open, Larry.

speaker
Larry Bejelsen

Hi, this is Charles. I'm for Larry. First, congrats on the nice quarter. A couple questions here. First, just a on AeroSeal, it sounds like that's on track here, fully enrolled ConvertOne, presenting the final data next year. I guess from there, I mean, then ConvertTwo and your PMA submission, but how soon after ConvertOne completion do you think we can expect OUS sales?

speaker
Glenn French

So ConvertOne, we're just following up, so it's fully enrolled. We're following up. We've got, I think, a one-year follow-up that we're going to put into our – I can't remember. It might be six months. In any case, we're planning on presenting those data at the European Respiratory Society meeting. I think what you're alluding to is that we have a CE mark in place already for Aracel, and we have spoken about limited and then expanding over time – commercialization of AeroSeal and CE Mark regulated countries. Of course, Convert2 is on the critical path to getting AeroSeal available in the United States. So that's a separate matter. So we're going to go ahead and present those data. We'll get those published and then selectively sort of a limited launch, if you will, in various different locations. And the pacing of that will likely be informed by the rate of enrollment in European centers and convert to, because we don't want to create, you know, we don't want to inhibit the ability to get that study enrolled quickly because we're commercializing in the hospital next door to a clinical trial center. So in any case, I don't have perfect information on that. Once we get convert to underway and begin to scale, we'll have much greater resolution on,

speaker
Larry Bejelsen

um exactly when and how we will be commercializing but we will commercialize in cemark countries uh ahead of the commercialization of aeroseal in the us okay thank you and then um just just one um follow-up uh you know recently um so you're searching for a new cfo is there any update you could share on that or when when the company might hope to have that search complete by

speaker
Glenn French

You are correct. We are in the process of trying to sort that matter out. We have undertaken that process. We're going to find the right person, and I do not have specific resolution on the timing. I will tell you that Derek has had two extraordinarily strong lieutenants and one of them has stepped into the interim CFO role. John has been with us since the IPO and has been the controller and essentially chief accounting officer for one or two other companies before that publicly traded. So we're in good shape, but nonetheless, we are moving quickly and we will but we will not compromise. So I don't know exactly what the timing will be.

speaker
Larry Bejelsen

Got it. Thank you. And again, congrats on the next quarter.

speaker
Lane

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

And one moment for our next question. Our next question is going to come from Joanne Wunsch of Citi. Your line is open.

speaker
Joanne Wunsch

Thank you so much. And let me also say, very nice quarter. I want to talk about Japan and with reimbursement now in place and it's starting to contribute to revenues next year, how should we think about the launch and the expenses that are needed for that launch?

speaker
Glenn

Okay.

speaker
Glenn French

I'm going to probably, I might pull John into part of that answer, but from, yeah, so we We got reimbursement, so that's awesome. We couldn't be happier. It is a monumental task to go through that process or the entire review and approval and then reimbursement process. So as predicted by the end of this year, we said we would have it. We have it now, which is great. And what that does is it allows us to commence a post-approval trial in every other country that I have been, I've worked in, you do that in parallel with initial commercialization. In Japan, you do it on the path to commercialization. So, literally, the first 140 patients treated will be entered into a protocol. They will be revenue generating, and there'll be expenses that go along with them, but revenue generating is a nice thing. We expect our our revenue per patient to be in the range of our global sort of revenue per patient number. So we talk about very, very roughly $10,000 per patient. So 140 patients, about $1.4 million of revenue is expected. That's going to throw off a little cash to help pay for this commercialization. And John, I don't know if we break out our spending on Japan, but my guess is that the total cost, incremental cost of commencing in Japan, we've already got the team in place. We've got some number of sales reps, marketing folks, general manager already in place, so I don't know what we have incremental.

speaker
Lane

Yeah, Glenn, you're thinking about that the right way. I'll reiterate that the patients we're treating in Japan are going to be revenue-generating patients and that the team that we have there is largely in place. Their expense and any incremental expense will be factored into our 2024 guidance when we share that with you next quarter.

speaker
Glenn

And one moment for our next question.

speaker
Operator

Our next question will be from John Young of Canaccord. Your line is open, John.

speaker
John Young

Hi, John. Thanks for taking our question. Congrats on the quarter. Maybe to follow up on Joanne's question on Japan, how long do you anticipate it will take to enroll those 440 patients in the post-approval study? And do you have to wait for any follow-ups in the study before commencing the full commercialization in Japan?

speaker
Glenn French

So with regard to waiting, no. Uh, my understanding is as soon as we enroll that 140th, we, we can, we just, you know, they'll, they'll want to see the data, but we won't be held up for three, six or 12 months before, uh, we, we can go to a broader launch. Uh, with regard to timing, uh, as you probably know, uh, you know, clinical trials are, tend to be backend loaded. They take some time to get off the ground. And, uh, and then they, I think probably half the patients come in in the last, uh, quarter of the time that it takes to execute the trial. The good news for us is that we have, since we had approval, we were able to go out and engage with all the sites that we need to engage with. I think most, if not all, of the treating physicians have gone through a training program. I believe we sent global thought leaders in on at least two occasions into Japan to provide a extensive training to those physicians. So we're lining things up. We had to, you know, this, we had to get finalization of the protocol before it could be presented to ethics committees and so forth. So we haven't gotten all of the logistics and so forth out of the way. But we'll be pushing forward. I would guess best case a year probably could bleed into a second year as well. And I think in the coming quarters, we'll have significantly greater resolution for the, because as I said, these things tend to be back-end loaded. So there's going to be a point in time where we're going to have a high degree of precision on when we see that closing out.

speaker
John Young

Thanks, Glenn. And then maybe let's go back to some of the other questions on the optimized account base. Do you see certain types of centers, maybe like a strong academic center or certain geographies that are embracing the technology more and establishing those patient pathways. And I know you talked about clinical coordinators. Is it just a function of time or is it getting, you know, the interventional pulmonologist or COPD physician to really champion them? Thanks again.

speaker
Glenn French

Yeah, there's, I think that the singular, we feel really good about the process that we're running folks through. So you can kind of push folks along, guide them through the process. As we talked about before, these centers represent 8% to 10% of the centers in the United States. And thus, by definition, they're sort of committed to being in the lung space. It's not hard to get people to say they want to be, you know, they want to embrace best practices. And so long as they're interested in doing that, it does pivot a lot off of people and process. So making sure that, you know, we're investing in the right people at the right centers who are embracing, you know, what we see as best practices are all, you know, super important. But I mean, we, there is no specific, you know, university hospital in a city of greater than 3 million patients or anything like that. We have really productive centers that would probably fall into six different buckets, you know, places, You know, fairly kind of the only game in town within three or four hours drive in certain parts of the southeast and so forth that are incredibly productive referral centers where it's, you know, you just have a ton of patients that are in need of this that are seeking out that kind of care. We have university hospitals in major cities that are also sort of tertiary care referral centers, globally well-known treatment, treating physicians and so forth. And so there's an entire spectrum. And I think we've talked about some of these folks and some of the more constructive centers are outside of major cities where, you know, folks just don't want to drive down into the big city. And so 30, 40 miles outside of a big city, there's often a center that that people will stop in and get their procedure done as opposed to driving further and into a fairly intimidating place, which is most major cities for people who aren't familiar with them.

speaker
Glenn

Got it. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Again, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1-1 on your touchtone telephone. And one moment for our next question. Our next question will be coming from Alex Nowak of Craig Halem. Your line is open.

speaker
Alex Nowak

Hey, good afternoon, everyone. Maybe expand on the sales dynamic in Europe. Just what is needed to really unlock more of the potential in the region? Because you already have pretty good data over there. Is it reimbursement? Is it just more studies?

speaker
Glenn

Or is it really just an allocation of sale resources? Okay.

speaker
Glenn French

So I think the biggest explanation of the relative performance in the third quarter between international and the U.S. is the impact of seasonality. Our international sales are mostly 80 plus percent are in Europe. And there was a fairly typical third quarter across Europe. So I would expect the fourth quarter to be stronger. And I think this was fairly predictable. There is, we've got, we're direct in 90, 97% of our revenue on a global basis is correct. So we're, you know, we have the, and we have the, you know, we have considerable, not only sales, but also marketing, regional marketing resources. So I think we're good from that perspective. In terms of data, We've got four randomized controlled trials all published. We're in the global guidelines. So it's not so much that. I think getting the word out in Europe and other countries is a bit more challenging than it is in the United States, largely because of either custom and or law and what is acceptable and not acceptable as it relates to direct to patient, direct to referring physician, even and the economic incentives for the treating physician are different. Where we are as it relates to executing outside the United States is we are embracing the things now that have been demonstrated to work in the United States, and to the extent that we can leverage them outside the United States, we are focused on doing so. And I think probably our greatest success story, OUS, as it relates to that is – is the UK. And it's easy to argue that in some ways the UK, the execution in the UK informed our strategies in the United States. So they're very much moving in the same direction, executing all of those things that they can embrace. And in the other larger countries, we're sort of following the lead of the United States in terms of embracing some of these new approaches to the extent that they're allowable.

speaker
Alex Nowak

Okay, that is helpful. And then clarification on the CONVERT studies, other than the geographies and the size, are there any major differences in the protocols between the two studies, or can you really compare CONVERT1 to get a proxy for what CONVERT2 should look like?

speaker
Glenn French

With regard to the, I think the essence of your question is the latter part of that question is, do we think that CONVERT1 and the results from convert one will be a significant risk reducer as it relates to the variability that may or may not happen in convert two. And I think the answer is that we expect that the patients that we treat in convert two will behave similarly to those that we treat in convert one. And we provided a window into some data that were disclosed at last year's European Respiratory Society meeting where the data indicated that nearly 80% of the time we tried to take a patient that was CV positive and make them CV negative, we were successful. So that was great. I would expect the convert one data will remain in that neighborhood. And I would expect to convert two numbers to be in that general neighborhood. Experts told us that it needed to be greater than 30% to 50%, so being up around 75% to 80% is a really good place to be. So we would expect that that neighborhood will stay in. And then the question that was also talked about last year was whether when you put valves in those patients, do they behave similarly to those that we treated across the four randomized controlled trials? And directionally, for sure, the answer is yes. So it's all good and encouraging. So I would expect the data that we see from ConvertOne to give us a good bit of confidence as to what we might see in ConvertTwo. It's not an identical study, but it should answer that question in the way I think you're asking it.

speaker
Glenn

Yep, absolutely. All right. Appreciate the update. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

And I'm showing no further questions. I would now like to turn the conference back to Glenn for closing remarks. Great.

speaker
Glenn French

Well, thank you all very much for your time. We couldn't be more pleased with the way the quarter went and the way that the plan seems to resonate not only for us but for our customers. So I'd like to thank you all again for your time and attention and wish you a good evening.

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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