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spk05: Thank you for standing by, and welcome to Mattel's first quarter 2021 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference may be recorded. Should you require any further assistance, please press star 0. I would now like to hand the conference over to your host, Vice President, Investor Relations, David Spoingevich.
spk04: Sir, please go ahead.
spk13: Thank you, Operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Joining me today are Inan Kryze, Mattel's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Richard Dixon, Mattel's President and Chief Operating Officer, and Anthony De Silvestro, Mattel's Chief Financial Officer. As you know, this afternoon we reported Mattel's 2021 first quarter financial results. We will begin today's call with Enon and Anthony providing commentary on our results, after which we will provide some time for Enon, Richard, and Anthony to take your questions. To help supplement our discussion today, we have provided you with a slide presentation. Our discussion, slide presentation, and earnings release reference non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted gross profit and adjusted gross margin, adjusted other selling and administrative expenses, adjusted operating income loss and adjusted operating income loss margin, adjusted earnings loss per share, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, free cash flow conversion, leverage ratio, and constant currency. In addition, we present changes in gross billings, a key performance indicator. Please note that we may refer to gross billings as billings in our presentation and that gross billings figures referenced on this call will be stated in constant currency unless stated otherwise. In addition, please note that our accompanying slide presentation can be viewed in sync with today's call. when you access it through the investor section of our corporate website, corporate.matel.com. The information required by Regulation G regarding non-GAAP financial measures, as well as information regarding our key performance indicator, is included in our earnings release and slide presentation. And both documents are also available in the investor section of our corporate website. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that certain statements made during the call may include forward-looking statements related to the future performance of our business, brands, categories and product lines. These statements are based on currently available information and assumptions, and they are subject to a number of significant risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ from those projected in the forward-looking statements, including risks and uncertainties associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. We describe some of these uncertainties in the risk factor section of our 2020 Annual Report on Form 10-K, our earnings release and the presentation accompanying this call, and other filings we make with the SEC from time to time, as well as in our other public statements. Mattel does not update forward-looking statements and expressly disclaims any obligation to do so, except as required by law. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Enon.
spk12: Thank you for joining Mattel's first quarter 2021 earnings call. I hope that you and your families are staying healthy and safe. This was another record quarter for Mattel with truly exceptional results as we continue to improve profitability and accelerate top-line growth. We are off to a very strong start to 2021. Here are some key highlights for the first quarter compared to prior year. Net sales were up 47%, as reported, and 46% in constant currency, the highest quarterly growth rate we have on record in over 25 years and the highest first quarter sales in absolute dollars since 2015. Adjusted gross margin improved by 350 basis points and reached 47%, the 11th consecutive quarter of improvement on a year-over-year basis. Reported operating income was $31 million, an increase of $181 million in the first positive first quarter since 2014. Adjusted operating income was $28 million, an increase of $161 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $89 million, up $155 million. This quarter was particularly strong in that we achieved double-digit growth in gross billings in each of our four regions, with remarkable performance in North America and EMEA, double-digit growth across all product categories, and strong double-digit increases in our three power brands, Barbie, Hot Wheels, and Fisher-Price and Thomas & Friends, as well as American Girls. In the first quarter, we significantly outpaced the industry with total company POS up more than 30%, benefiting from very strong consumer demand for our products. According to NPD, for the third quarter in a row, Mattel gained share globally, driven by strong performance across all regions. We also saw growth across all sales channels. with especially strong performance in e-commerce as we continue to accelerate our progress in this strategic channel. In the first quarter, e-commerce POS grew 58% year over year, representing 28% of our total POS in the quarter. While our exceptional growth this quarter was partially driven by favorable year-over-year COVID-related comparisons, we believe the strength of Mattel's results is attributable to the strength of our brands, quality and breadth of our product, our world-class supply chain, global commercial capabilities, and very effective demand creation in close collaboration with our retail partners. The strength of our performance is also evident when comparing our 2021 results to 2019, before COVID. with net sales being higher by 27% in the first quarter of 2021 versus the first quarter of 2019. Our market share gains for the third consecutive quarter also demonstrate that we are not just riding the wave, but growing well ahead of the industry and driving the momentum. We expect to continue to gain market share through the rest of the year. This consistent performance and momentum reflect the success of the turnaround. We are very confident about our business trajectory and remain focused on executing our strategy to transform Mattel into an IP driven, high performing toy company. Looking at the first quarter gross billings in constant currency by category versus prior year. Dahl category grew by 68%, driven by continued strength in Barbie, the launch of Spirit, and high double-digit growth in Polly Pocket and American Girl. Dahl POS was very strong in line with Shipments. The Barbie Power brand delivered phenomenal growth of 86%, with POS up 66%, and all product segments growing. Per NPD, Barbary strengthened its position as the number one global dolls property in the first quarter. American Girls' impressive turnaround continued its momentum and was up 22%, the second consecutive quarter of positive year-over-year growth. Vehicles category was up 15%, driven by the strong performance of Hot Wheels and Matchbox. POS in the category remained strong, also growing double digits and outpacing shipments. Hot Wheels was up 16%, with growth across all product segments for this power brand. Per NPD, Hot Wheels continued to be the number one vehicle's property globally in the first quarter. Infant, toddler, and preschool category was up 29%, driven by Fisher-Price and Thomas & Friends Power Brand. Our infant-toddler preschool category performed in line with the industry. Fisher-Price score grew by 36%, with POS up 24%, driven by infant and newborn. Per NPD, Fisher-Price continued to be the number one infant-toddler preschool manufacturer globally in the first quarter. Thomas and Friends was up 5%, with POS up 8%, continuing to show improvement. Action figures, building sets, games, and other, our challenger categories, together grew 66%, driven by double-digit gains across the portfolio. Games achieved its ninth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth, up 25%, driven by UNO, which continued to perform very well as it celebrates its 50th anniversary. Per NPD, UNO is the number one card game globally. Building sets were up 46%, driven by strong POS and expanded distribution of Mega, along with growth in Pokemon and Halo. action figures increased 101%, driven by Jurassic World, WWE, and Masters of the Universe. Plush continued to grow, driven by Mattel's products tied to Star Wars. Our exceptional first quarter results far exceeded expectations and clearly show that we are making significant, consistent progress on our newly evolved strategic roadmap. In the short term, we are improving profitability by optimizing our operations and accelerating top line growth by growing our power brands and expanding our brand portfolio. In the mid to long term, we continue to make progress on capturing the full value of our IP through franchise management, and online retail and e-commerce. The Optimizing for Growth program is on track, and we are very confident in our ability to deliver the targeted savings of $250 million by 2023. Importantly, this program is also designed to improve operations and drive greater productivity to accelerate top-line growth. We are seeing a strong start to the second quarter, including Easter week, and we are planning for another good holiday season. The Mattel Playbook is working very well, and our products continue to resonate with consumers at levels we have not seen in many years. This is all fueled by design-led innovation, brand purpose, cultural relevance, and executional excellence. Given the first quarter performance and the momentum of our business, we are now raising our 2021 guidance for net sales growth in constant currency to be in a range of between 6% to 8% and adjusted EBITDA to be between $800 and $825 million, despite an increase in the expected level of cost inflation. Anthony will provide more details on our updated guidance. Beyond 2021, we are confident in our ability to achieve our goals of mid single-digit net sales growth in constant currency in 2022 and in 2023, and an adjusted operating income margin in the mid-teens by 2023. As it relates to our mid to long-term strategy, we continued to make progress towards capturing the full value of our IP. Earlier this week, we announced the development of a Rock'em Sock'em Robots live-action motion picture with Universal Pictures and Vin Diesel's production company, One Race Films, with Vin Diesel to star in the film. This marks our 12th film in development. We also recently announced plans to develop Barbie Fashion Battle, a reality show where designers compete for the chance to create a fashion collection for Barbie. Our latest animated Barbie television movie, Barbie and Chelsea, The Last Birthday, had a very strong debut this past weekend in the US and Canada on Netflix, ranking as the number five and number six movie, respectively, among all movies on the platform not just for children. We are excited to have another animated Barbie movie premiering this fall on Netflix. Our content pipeline remains robust, and we are excited about the momentum at Mattel Films and Mattel Television. We also continue to build out our direct-to-consumer business, led by strong performance in American Girl, which saw online D2C growth of 73%. Mattel Creations, our highly curated D2C platform, is also receiving very positive consumer reaction, as well as our Barbie and Hot Wheels collector platforms. Today being Earth Day gives us another opportunity to emphasize that sustainability is a key priority for Mattel. And creating sustainable products and packaging is an important part of our commitment to the planet. Just last week, we announced Matchbox's product roadmap to make its die-cast cars, play sets, and packaging with 100% recycled, recyclable, or bio-based plastic by 2030. This is in line with Mattel's goal to achieve 100% use of these sustainable materials across all of our products and packaging by 2030. Expect to hear more about our sustainability commitments through our upcoming corporate citizenship report to be published soon. In closing, this was another record quarter for the company. in which we achieved incredibly strong results, reflecting the success of the turnaround as we continue to drive transformational improvements and acceleration in our business. Following the third consecutive quarter of growing market share, we are strengthening our position as a consistent leader in the toy industry. Even as markets gradually reopen, we remain focused on protecting the health and safety of our employees. I am proud of the outstanding performance of the entire Mattel global team and the significant progress we are making on our strategy to transform into an IP-driven, high-performing toy company. The business is showing strong momentum. And we believe we are very well positioned to improve profitability and accelerate top-line growth in 2021 and beyond.
spk04: As always, we are committed to growing long-term shareholder value. Anthony, over to you. Thanks, Inan.
spk14: As you just heard, we had another outstanding quarter with results far exceeding expectations. Net sales were $874 million in the quarter compared to $594 million in the prior year, an increase of 47 percent. Adjusted gross margin increased by 350 basis points from 43.5 percent to 47 percent, reflecting the scale benefit of the exceptionally strong top-line performance, which more than offset the impact of inflation in the quarter. Adjusted operating income was a positive $28 million compared to a loss of $133 million in the prior year. The $161 million year-over-year increase was primarily driven by our top-line growth. Adjusted EPS was negative 10 cents, an improvement of 46 cents, and our adjusted EBITDA increased by $155 million to a positive $89 million. As I said, outstanding results and a strong start to the year. During the quarter, we also successfully completed a $1.2 billion debt refinancing, which will significantly reduce interest expense going forward and contribute to free cash flow. We made good progress on our Optimizing for Growth program. We remain on track to achieve our three-year target and have increased our expected savings in 2021. Looking at gross billings by region. For the third consecutive quarter, we achieved growth in each of our four regions in constant currency, despite COVID-19 disruption and local restrictions that impacted some locations. At the end of the first quarter, about 4% of all retail outlets that sell our products, representing about 6% of our revenues, were closed. In North America and Asia Pacific, nearly all retail outlets were open at the end of the first quarter. In EMEA, about 7% of all retail outlets were closed, representing approximately 12% of our revenues. In Latin America, about 22% of all retail outlets were closed, representing approximately 18% of our revenues in the region. Overall for the quarter, gross billings outpaced POS growth reflecting some inventory restocking by retailers. Despite the restocking, retail inventories finished the quarter below year-ago levels. POS growth was driven by a combination of overall industry growth and market share gains for Mattel. North America was up 67%, driven by double-digit growth across all categories, while POS increased by over 40%. EMEA was up 32%, with POS increasing by over 20%, driven by growth in all major markets. Latin America increased 16%, in line with POS, driven by Mexico, Brazil, and Chile. Asia Pacific increased 16%, also in line with POS, driven by China and Australia. Adjusted gross margin was another area where we did very well, increasing by 350 basis points to 47%. Here's a breakdown of the key drivers. Fixed cost absorption had a favorable benefit of 290 basis points. This is a scale benefit associated with the exceptionally high growth in sales in the first quarter. This benefit will have a much smaller positive impact to gross margin percentage for the full year. Cost savings contributed 240 basis points to gross margin expansion. In a quarter, optimizing from growth delivered $20 million of savings within cost of goods sold. Cost inflation had a negative impact of 240 basis points, driven by increases in materials and logistics. All other factors had a positive net impact of 60 basis points, bringing the first quarter adjusted gross margin to 47%. Moving down to P&L, advertising expenses were $74 million, down 3% or $2 million. Adjusted SG&A expenses declined by 2% or $6 million to $309 million, driven primarily by the benefit of cost-saving actions taken in 2020 and the Optimizing for Growth program, partly offset by higher compensation expenses. we had another quarter with significant improvement in profitability. Adjusted operating income improved by $161 million to a positive $28 million. The increase was driven by the exceptionally high growth in sales and cost savings, partly offset by cost inflation. Reflecting the significant gains in operating income, our adjusted EBITDA was $89 million compared to a loss of $65 million in the prior year and improvement of $155 million. We are also very pleased with cash flow performance. Cash from operations improved by $133 million to a use of just $41 million, driven primarily by gains in net income. Free cash flow improved by $138 million to a seasonal use of $72 million. Given the high seasonality of our business, we assess our cash flow performance over the trailing 12 months. On that basis, cash from operations increased by $222 million to $422 million. The increase was primarily driven by higher net income, up $470 million, partially offset by higher working capital usage. Staying on trailing 12 months, free cash flow was $305 million, compared to 72 million a year ago, and an improvement of 233 million. Our intention is to use excess free cash flow to continue reducing debt in the near term. On a trailing 12 months basis, we converted 35% of our adjusted EBITDA into free cash flow, up from 18% in the year-ago period. While we more than doubled our adjusted EBITDA free cash flow increased more than fourfold. We believe we are well positioned to continue to improve on these important metrics in 2021 and beyond. The refinancing transaction, which we successfully executed during the quarter, will generate significant interest expense savings. With the benefit of multiple-notch credit rating upgrades from all three rating agencies, we issued $1.2 billion of new debt at attractive rates split into two tranches, $600 million of five-year bonds with a coupon rate of 3.38%, and $600 million of eight-year bonds with a coupon rate of 3.75%. Proceeds from the financing, together with about $100 million of available cash, were used to redeem through a call option $1,225,000,000 principal amount of our 6.75% bonds due 2025. As a result of this transaction, we will reduce annual interest expense by approximately $40 million, with a partial year benefit of $31 million in 2021. On an annual basis, this translates to approximately 11 cents per share. Given our valuation allowance, We do not expect to incur any incremental taxes associated with these savings in the near term. Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the first quarter with a cash balance of $615 million and essentially no short-term borrowing. This compares very favorably to a year ago when we had a cash balance of $499 million and $150 million of short-term borrowings. The significant improvement in net cash was driven by positive free cash flow generation over the trailing 12 months, partly offset by the utilization of approximately $100 million of cash in the refinancing transaction. In line with the significant increase in first quarter sales, accounts receivable increased by $152 million to $681 million, which will benefit cash flow later this year. we continue to effectively manage accounts receivable and finish the quarter with a day's sales outstanding of 70 days, 10 days below the same time a year ago. We ended the first quarter with an inventory balance of $610 million, which is 49 million above the prior year as we build inventories to support our growth. And we continue to make progress on reducing leverage our debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio improved meaningfully, declining to 3.3 times as of March 31, 2021, compared to 7.5 times a year ago. The Optimizing for Growth program is off to a good start and has already realized $27 million of savings in the first quarter. As we've previously discussed, The program is designed to further improve operations and drive greater productivity to accelerate growth, and at the same time, continue to reduce our cost base. We are increasing expected 2021 savings from $75 million to a range of $80 to $90 million, and are confident we will achieve our total targeted savings of $250 million by 2023. As Enon mentioned, we are revising 2021 guidance, reflecting the stronger than anticipated first quarter performance and updated outlook for cost inflation. This is subject to COVID-19 impact, market volatility, and other macroeconomic risks and uncertainties. We now forecast net sales to increase by 6 to 8% in constant currency, with the expectation for continuing growth in the balance of the year and quarterly phasing that will be impacted by year-over-year comparisons. Our guidance for growth is driven by dolls, vehicles, and action figures categories, as well as improving performance in the infant, toddler, and preschool and building sets categories. We also expect our power brands, Barbie and Hot Wheels, to grow. We also forecast higher than previously anticipated inflation and cost of goods sold due to further increases in the cost of residence and ocean freight. While these two items together represent less than 15% of cost of goods sold, we are expecting greater than 35% inflation for both. In aggregate, cost inflation is expected to have a negative margin impact of approximately 300 basis points this year, which is being partly offset by cost savings. We therefore expect adjusted gross margin to decline by 100 to 150 basis points to a range of 47.6% to 48.1%. Despite the higher cost inflation, we are increasing guidance for adjusted EBITDA by $25 million to a range of 800 to 825 million, reflecting the expected benefit of improved net sales growth and additional optimizing for growth savings. Forecasted capital expenditures remain at a level between $125 million and $150 million, including investments as part of the Optimizing for Growth program. As Enon said, looking beyond 2021, we are confident in our ability to achieve our goals of mid-single digit net sales growth in constant currency in 2022 and in 2023, and an adjusted operating income margin in the mid-teens by 2023. In closing, Mattel delivered another outstanding quarter, and we are very pleased with our start to the year. Free cash flow improved significantly along with our free cash flow conversion rate. Leverage ratio continues to come down, and the debt refinancing provides additional flexibility. as we continue to make further progress toward our strategy to improve profitability and accelerate top-line growth. We believe we are well-positioned to maintain our momentum.
spk04: I will now hand it over to the operator for the Q&A.
spk05: As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. Again, that's star 1 on your telephone to ask a question. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of . Your line is open.
spk02: Thanks very much. Thank you for taking my question. This is a very strong quarter. My question is first, what drove that? We knew a very good demand out there. But is there something structurally happening also that drove these very strong numbers? And then your outperformance in Q1 would have implied full year going up by almost 4 percentage points, and it's going up a little bit less than that. Does that mean you're being a little bit conservative, or does the upper end of that range reflect that upside, or what's going on in sort of implied guidance from Q2 to Q4?
spk12: Thanks, Arpine. Yes, this was an exceptionally strong quarter. We believe we are in the strongest position we have been in many years. While the exceptional growth in the quarter was partially driven by favorable year-over-year COVID-related comparisons, we think the strength of our own performance is driven by the strength of our brands, the quality and breadth of our product, the world-class The capabilities that we have in supply chain, in commercial capabilities, and very effective demand creation in close collaboration with our partners, with our retail partners. The fact that we grew share for the third consecutive quarter, this demonstrates that we're not just riding the wave, but are leading the industry and driving the momentum. We expect to continue to gain market share through the rest of the year. And in fact, the strength of our performance is also evident when you compare our 2021 results to 2019 before COVID, with net sales being higher by 27% as between the first quarter of 21 versus the first quarter of 19. We're seeing, as we sit here today, we're seeing a strong start to the second quarter, including Easter week, and we're planning for another good holiday season. We believe we're very well positioned to gain momentum for the full year and are very confident about our business trajectory and the way forward.
spk14: Yeah, just to add to that, it is early in the year with the majority of our sales still left to go. As Inan said, a strong Q1 ahead of our expectations. And as a result, we're increasing our top-line guidance to that 6% to 8% range, which reflects our expectation for continued growth in top-line and share for the balance of the year. But with the quarterly phasing, that will certainly be impacted by the year-over-year comparisons.
spk02: Right, right. No, that makes sense. And on you. And on you mentioned sort of strong Easter, and we are almost at the tail end of April. From what you're saying, it seems like strong POS has continued, but you are fully comping sort of COVID boosts here. Is that surprising to you how strong the industry is despite sort of comping this enormous growth that we started seeing really at the end of March into April?
spk12: You know, we're big proponents of the toy industry, as you can imagine. Industry has proven its resilience and showing very good momentum, very good momentum. The category showed that it's resilient in challenging economic times, and parents continue to prioritize spending discretionary income on children. So this is a good place to be, and within that, we are growing ahead of the industry for three quarters in a row so as we you know emphasize this is not just you know we are kind of we're not riding the wave we are leading the momentum and and beyond 21 we believe we continue to believe in the long-term prospect of the industry given the strong fundamentals and that we are well very well positioned to accelerate our own growth and and continue to increase market share. And you know, you followed our story for over the last few years, and you are seeing a consistent methodical improvement in our numbers, both profitability and top line. Our playbook, our brand playbook, is working very well, and the momentum we are seeing is very broad-based. As we said in the prepared remarks, we saw double-digit growth in every region, in each of the seven categories where we operate, and strong double-digit growth in our three power brands, as well as American Girl. So it's very broad-based, comprehensive performance, and gives us even more confidence about the road ahead.
spk02: Great. Great. Thank you. Very good results. Thanks.
spk05: Thank you. Our next question comes from Tammy Zakaria of JP Morgan. Your question, please.
spk15: Thank you so much for taking my questions and congrats on the excellent results. My first question is your second quarter compares from last year are far more easier than it was in the first quarter. So how should we think about the second quarter sales growth based on the trends that you're seeing? And if Amazon Prime Day shifts to June versus October last year?
spk14: Just as a reminder, we are lapping double-digit declines in the first half last year, followed by double-digit gains. So as I said, our quarterly comparisons are going to be impacted given our prior year, you know, performance. Also, you know, our guidance of 6% to 8% growth in currency, you know, does imply growth, you know, for the balance of the year. We're not going to break it down by quarter, but as, you know, Inan said, you know, we're off to a good start in the second quarter.
spk15: Got it. Got it. That's super helpful. And then one quick follow-up. Can you tell us how much was the industry growth in the first quarter?
spk12: This is an NPD number which we can't share with you here, but we can confirm that we did grow market share. We grew market share in each of the four regions. Barbie continued to grow market share, and this is just a whole story in and of itself, which I'm sure you might want to talk about later. Hot wheels continue to be the number one vehicle property globally. Fisher-Price was the number one infant-order preschool manufacturer globally. And even if you look at our performance by region, in the US, we grew 30% faster than the industry. And in EMEA, we grew almost two times faster than the entire industry. So you're seeing market share gains across the board, both by category, by product, and by region.
spk15: Got it. Got it. Great. That's all I had. Thank you so much.
spk12: Thank you, Tami.
spk05: Thank you. Our next question comes from Sean Collins of Citigroup. Please go ahead.
spk10: Anthony and Richard, hope you're well. Good afternoon.
spk12: Hi, Sean. Hi, Sean.
spk10: Hey, my question is on cost inflation. Anthony, you gave us some good detail on cost inflation and its impact on margins. You also laid out some good detail on the last earnings call. and you've been very clear it's due to resident and overseas shipping costs. Can you tell us, have these pressures increased in the second quarter versus the first quarter? And also, are you seeing more pressure from the resident prices or from the shipping costs? And if you could just provide a bit of color around that, that might be helpful. Thank you.
spk14: Sure. The pressure is Essentially equally weighted, you know, between residents and ocean freight, we're seeing cost inflation accelerate on both of those. And that's the reason, you know, we have lowered our expectations for gross margin. On the last call, we talked about a 200 basis point negative impact from cost inflation. We're raising that to 300 million in terms of the impact on gross margin. But, you know, more than half of that's going to be offset by you know, by the expected savings on our Optimizing for Growth program and other gross margin benefits like scale and mix. But, again, we're left with that decline of 100 to 150 basis points. And as we said, you know, these two items, you know, although they're less than 15% of our total COGS, they're inflating by more than, you know, 35%. So a pretty significant impact on the gross margin line.
spk12: It was by reference to basis points, not millions. Yeah.
spk14: The year-to-go period will see more of a negative impact than the 240 basis points in Q1.
spk10: Okay. I understand. That's helpful. Thank you for the commentary.
spk12: Thank you, Sean.
spk05: Thank you. Our next question comes from Steph Winsick of Jefferies. Your line is open.
spk01: Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. I have a clarification question first on Tammy's question on the guidance. I think, Anthony, your response was that you expect to grow through the remainder of the year. Are you suggesting we look at Q2, 3, and 4 together relative to Q2, 3, and 4 last year, and that will grow, or that you expect to grow each quarter in the remainder of the year? That's my first question.
spk14: Five-month period, Q2, 3, plus 4 combined.
spk01: Got it. Very helpful. And then my second... The second question is just related to stimulus. When I look at your North American numbers, they deviated a bit from the rest of the world, a substantial outperformance on a relative basis. Any thoughts around the combination of the January and March, early April stimulus on the industry and your brand specifically? Do you feel like you were a net beneficiary of incremental capital to spend? And I think you mentioned spending on kids being prioritized.
spk12: You know, we do believe the stimulus checks had some positive impact on consumer spending, but it's hard to attribute an exact number on that or the proportion. In the U.S., we're now beginning to comp last year's stimulus efforts and will continue to see how things evolve. But just to fine-tune something that you said, we actually grew relative to market more in EMEA, where we grew almost double the rate, faster than the industry, relative to the U.S., where we grew 30% faster than the industry. But in any event, we are entering the second quarter with momentum, as we said. We are planning for another good holiday season. We expect to gain momentum over the nine-month period and grow for the full year, the guidance we provided.
spk01: Very helpful. Thank you.
spk12: Thank you.
spk05: Thank you. Our next question comes from Gary Johnson of BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.
spk03: Okay, thank you. Hi. Steph had a good question, and I just want to follow up on that a little bit. You know, the first quarter is often a quarter. You tell two cities you've got the holiday and what we call grandma money at the beginning of the quarter, then towards the end of the quarter you have Easter. So you benefited from both this year. You had a tremendous amount of gift card redemptions, at least that's the commentary out there. I was wondering if you knew how much gift card redemptions helped you this year, how much more of your POS was sold through gift cards. And then Easter being maybe 10 days early versus last year and about three weeks early versus 2019. based on history, how much an early Easter traditionally helps you out. Thank you.
spk14: Yeah, look, we are seeing a strong start to the second quarter, including Easter, and don't believe that with a pull forward from Q2 to Q1, that was in any way material relative to our very, very strong top-line results. I don't know the specific answer to the gift card question, though. But with the ESER, it is difficult to calculate exactly the impact. But, again, we don't think it had a material impact.
spk03: Okay. Maybe I can, if I'm getting stumped there, maybe I can ask one to Richard, please. Richard, retailers seemed very conservative in stocking boys' action last year with the general uncertainty around theatrical events. How are they approaching that category this year?
spk11: Thanks, Garrick. You know, it's a light entertainment slate, obviously in Q1, but we've outpaced the industry. We've been focusing on our key licenses, such as Jurassic World, of course, which has had phenomenal success with Universal. WWE has continued to gain strength. Minecraft with Microsoft. You know, our focus is to take both owned and licensed IP from event-driven brands and really make them truly evergreen. through product innovation, cultural relevance, and as you know, focused around purposeful play. We remain really bullish about the action figure category. We've embraced this challenger mentality in the category, and we've been looking to gain and have proven to gain share in the category. We're anticipating, as you know, great growth as we look at our new entry with Masters of the Universe, content coming this summer on Netflix and our product offerings are winning really in the marketplace with consumers. So look, we're very bullish on the action figure category. We're making incredible progress with our brands and we're really excited about the year ahead.
spk03: Okay. Thank you, Richard.
spk05: Thank you. Our next question comes from Mike Ng of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
spk00: Great. Thank you very much for the question. I just wanted to ask about the growth outside of the power brands. I was just wondering if you could elaborate a little bit more on the action figure strength, up 101% year over year. Were there any particular licenses or brands that performed well? And then just as a follow-up to some of the earlier questions about quarterly revenue phasing throughout the year, With the comp getting easier in 2Q versus 1Q, should we expect similar top line growth in 2Q as we saw in this quarter? Thank you.
spk11: Hey, Michael. I'll take the first part of the question. As I mentioned to Garrick, we're incredibly optimistic and bullish on the action figure category. The whole category, according to NPD in the U.S., was up 43% in the first quarter. Mattel was actually up 56%, so we've outpaced the category, resulting in some market share growth, which has been fantastic. WWE, Jurassic, these were the number seven and number eight properties in the category, respectively. WWE Elite figures were the number two item, and we're most excited that Masters of the Universe Origins This was the fifth item in the first quarter, so we're very excited about the progress that we're making both on our evergreen brands and new brands to come.
spk14: Yeah, back on the quarterly phasing, again, we're comping a down first half and a double-digit second half from last year. And as we said, we're raising our guidance to the 6% to 8%, which does imply growth for the balance of the year in aggregate. We're not going to split that by the quarters, but as Enon said, we're off to a strong start in the second quarter and expect to grow balance of year both in dollars and in share.
spk00: Great. Thanks, Anthony. Thanks, Richard.
spk14: Thank you.
spk00: Thank you. Thank you, Mark.
spk05: Thank you. Our next question comes from Linda Bolton-Weiser of D.A. Davidson. Your question, please.
spk09: Yes, hi. Actually, I just had two questions. First is just on Barbie. I think you said that the Barbie, your sales growth was quite a bit higher than POS growth. There was a bigger gap there than your other brands. So why was the gap bigger for Barbie, and should we be concerned about that? How are the retail inventories for Barbie? And then my second question has to do with we had a little bit of stock excitement with Funco when they talked a little bit about non-fungible tokens. And it occurred to me that you guys actually have some of your own IP that you could sort of take advantage of in that area as well. Is that something that you've been looking into as well? Thanks.
spk11: Hi, Linda. It's Richard. You know, I'll take the first part of the question gladly, by the way. It is true Barbie shipping did outpace in the first quarter. However, our Q1 ending retail inventory is roughly flat year over year, indicating that we're incredibly well positioned to continue the momentum into Q2 and to the back half. The truth is our dial category overall had a fantastic quarter. Gross billings up were 68%, POS growing 59%. The category, of course, was driven by Barbie's phenomenal performance. We'd love to repeat that gross billings were up 86%. As you indicate, POS up 66%. And this is healthy growth across all of our product segments. We've strengthened our position as the number one global dial property. We continue to gain market share in all four regions in the first quarter, according to NPD. And ultimately, our playbook is working. You know, Barbie's cultural relevance truly has never been stronger. We've been leaning into diversity, inclusivity, and social impact, and we've seen this reflected in the success of Fashionistas, which also had double-digit increases. Design-led momentum as part of the playbook with innovative product like Color Reveal, Barbie Extra also drove incremental growth in the first quarter. So all in all, we are incredibly confident in the brand's continued momentum for 2021. We've got some incredible activations planned throughout the year. All new animated movie launches on Netflix. We also have a new Dreamhouse. which has been a blockbuster success for us. And we're extending characters like Chelsea, Ken's 60th anniversary, and of course, as always, continued surprise pop culture milestone moments. All in all, we're very excited about 2021 and the future prospects for the brand.
spk12: Hi. Thank you for the question. As the owner of one of the strongest catalogs of children and family entertainment franchises, And the emphasis is on the ownership. We do have opportunities to commercialize our brands. in new and exciting ways. We don't need to license the rights, we own the rights, and we are looking at all type of opportunities, including NFTs. This is definitely an area where we see opportunity, especially when you think about the built-in fan base, the collector segment for classic evergreen brands that we own, and we expect to see opportunities there.
spk09: Great. Thank you very much.
spk11: Thanks, Linda. Thank you.
spk05: Thank you. Our next question comes from Greg Battish-Kenyon of Wolf Research. Your line is open.
spk06: Hey, guys. It's actually Fred Whiteman on for Greg. Totally get the points on the cost headwinds from residents and transportation, but can you talk about how you're thinking about pricing power to potentially offset that as we move through the year? Sure.
spk14: Sure, I can address that. Let me make a couple of comments. First, I'd say it is our expectation that the combination of pricing and optimizing for gross savings will more than exceed the impact of cost inflation over time, expanding our gross margin and contributing to our mid-teens adjusted operating income margin goal. We're not going to talk about specific pricing actions or timing, but we are evaluating price adjustments for the recent increases in input costs. And I would also want to point out that, you know, despite the cost inflation we're seeing and the impact it's having on gross margin, we're continuing to improve profitability and margin. You know, our adjusted EBITDA guidance of 800 to 825 represents growth of 11% to 15%, and that's almost double our net sales guidance of 6% to 8% in constant currency. So continuing to make progress on profitability despite the inflation challenges.
spk06: Makes sense. And then if we look at Hot Wheels, it didn't see quite the same sequential acceleration that we saw in the other power brands. It was still up double digits, but not quite as strong as the others. Is that just a matter of having slightly tougher compares in the prior year period, or is there something else to highlight there?
spk11: Well, Richard, no, nothing to highlight except our excitement around the performance of Hot Wheels. I mean, certainly delivering double-digit growth on a brand with such maturity is uh... continues to make us very proud clearly the leader brand in the vehicle category and we were up fifteen percent of the first quarter and p l s was actually up uh... twenty nine percent uh... we've seen broad-based growth uh... across all product segments on hot wheels like our hot wheel track and play sets uh... doing extraordinarily well hot wheels mario cart uh... also p l s triple digits on on that item and hot wheels monster trucks continues to also perform exceptionally well with POS up 36%. We've got some great traction as well in the collector community. Recently, we just, for the first time ever, increased our membership on the Redline Club, which is a DTC model. We've had incredible response, and we continue to be bullish on the year left for 2021 with Hot Wheels and beyond.
spk14: I just want to clarify something I said earlier. We were discussing the Q1 and Q2 comps of last year, and I just want to clarify, you know, that the comp in Q2 is similar to the comp in Q1 relative to the prior year. Great. Thanks, guys.
spk11: Thanks, guys.
spk12: Thank you. Thank you.
spk05: Thank you. Our next question comes from William Reuter of Bank of America. Your line is open.
spk08: Hi, this is Marion for Bill. Thanks for taking our questions. So given that most of your product comes from Asia, are you changing the timing of receipt of fall product to avoid any potential disruption from the ocean freight shortages?
spk14: Not specifically. Our manufacturing and distribution network has been fully operational during the first quarter, and situations certainly like the Suez Canal has had a minor temporary impact, as well as the challenges related to the L.A. port congestion, which we've been dealing with those since the fourth quarter of last year. I'd say our supply chain continues to effectively manage through these disruptions, and there has been no material impact, you know, to our business in terms of getting products where we need it to be.
spk08: Got it. That's very helpful. And then you've previously noted that you may be able to achieve investment grade ratings and leverages in the range of two to two and a half times. Do you have a better sense of when you may be able to get to this range, and would you consider any shareholder-friendly activities before you get there?
spk14: Look, I'd say we're making tremendous progress. Ahead of our refinancing transaction, all three rating agencies made multiple notch upgrades. We're solidly in the BB category right now. So, again, significant progress there. If you look at our cash flow performance trailing 12 months, you know, $305 million of positive free cash flow, four times the prior year. We ended the quarter with debt to adjusted EBITDA on a trailing 12 months at 3.3 times, down from 7.5 times a year ago, so tremendous progress. Our intention remains to use excess free cash flow to reduce debt in the near term and work our way back towards investment grade ratings. I can't say exactly when we'll get there, but, you know, we're continuing to make progress, and our expectation is that with continued growth in adjusted EBITDA and the utilization of free cash flow to reduce debt, we will continue to make progress going forward.
spk08: Got it. Thanks very much.
spk05: Thank you. Our next question comes from Jamie Katz of Morningstar. Your line is open.
spk07: Thanks, and good afternoon. I'll be quick since we're coming up on the hour. I'm curious what you guys have embedded as your industry outlook for the year. And alternatively, I guess if you don't want to answer that particular question, do you expect to continue to gain market share over the remainder of the year? Thanks. Thanks.
spk12: Hi, Jamie. So the industry is off to a strong start and again demonstrates its resilience and we believe will continue to be a strategic category for retailers. As we've said before, we expect that the search categories that benefited most from the early days of the pandemic will be more challenged. These are outdoors, games, and building sets. We believe the categories where we are a global leader, dolls, vehicles, and infant-toddler preschools will continue to perform well. It's hard to predict how the industry as a whole will perform for the full year, but we expect net sales for Mattel, as you know, to grow at 6% to 8% in constant currency and that we will increase our overall market share. Beyond 21, we believe in the long-term growth prospect of the industry and that we will continue to increase our own market share. So lots of opportunities ahead for Mattel.
spk07: Thank you. Thank you.
spk12: Thank you.
spk05: Thank you. At this time, I'd like to turn the call back over to Enam Christ for closing remarks. Sir?
spk12: Thank you, operator. We have discussed today a record first quarter that kicked off an exceptional start for the year driven by very strong consumer demand. We are in the strongest position now that we have been in many years. When navigating the uncharted territory of a global pandemic, the entire Mattel team is staying focused on the consistent execution of our transformation strategy. Following a third straight quarter of double-digit growth and increased market share, our results demonstrate the success of the turnaround and the significant progress we are making on our transformation to become an IP-driven, high-performing toy company. We thank you for your time and interest in Mattel. I will now turn the call back to Dave to provide the replay details. Thank you.
spk13: Thank you, Inan, and thank you, everyone, for joining the call today. The replay of this call will be available via webcast and audio beginning at 8.30 p.m. Eastern time today. The webcast link can be found on our investor page, or for an audio replay, please dial 1-404-537-3406. The passcode is 858-5728. Thank you for participating in today's call.
spk05: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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