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spk09: ladies and gentlemen thank you for standing by and welcome to the Mattel Inc first quarter 2022 earnings conference call at this time all participants are in a listen-only mode after the speaker presentation there will be a question and answer session to ask a question during the session you will need to press star 1 on your telephone please be advised that today's conference is being recorded if you require any further assistance please press star 0 I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Mr. David Spoinevich, Head of Investor Relations.
spk15: Thank you, Operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Joining me today are Inan Kraiz, Mattel's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Richard Dixon, Mattel's President and Chief Operating Officer, and Anthony DiSilvestro, Mattel's Chief Financial Officer. As you know, this afternoon we reported Mattel's 2022 first quarter financial results. We will begin today's call with Enon and Anthony providing commentary on our results, after which we will provide some time for Enon, Richard, and Anthony to take your questions. To help supplement our discussion today, we have provided you with a slide presentation. Our discussion, slide presentation, and earnings release may reference non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted gross profit and adjusted gross margin, adjusted other selling and administrative expenses, adjusted operating income and adjusted operating income margin, adjusted earnings or loss per share, adjusted tax rate, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, free cash flow conversion, leverage ratio, and constant currency. In addition, we present changes in gross billings, a key performance indicator. Please note that we may refer to gross billings as billings in our presentation and that gross billings figures referenced on this call will be stated in constant currency unless stated otherwise. Our accompanying slide presentation can be viewed in sync with today's call when you access it through the investor section of our corporate website, corporate.matel.com. The information required by Regulation G regarding non-GAAP financial measures, as well as information regarding our key performance indicator, is included in our earnings release and slide presentation, and both documents are also available in the Investors section of our corporate website. In the second quarter of 2021, we elected to revise prior periods for certain immaterial out-of-period adjustments that do not require us to amend previous filings. These adjustments are reflected in our first quarter earnings release and slide presentation and will be reflected in our 2022 first quarter Form 10-Q. These adjustments will also be subsequently updated on the financial history section of our investor relation website at a later date. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that certain statements made during the call may include forward-looking statements related to the future performance of our business, brands, categories, and product lines. These statements are based on currently available information and assumptions, and they are subject to a number of significant risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ from those projected in the forward-looking statements. including risks and uncertainties associated with the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian-Ukraine war. We describe some of these uncertainties in the risk factor section of our 2021 Annual Report on Form 10-K, our earnings release and the presentation accompanying this call, and other filings we make with the SEC from time to time, as well as in other public statements. Mattel does not update forward-looking statements and expressly disclaims any obligation to do so, except as required by law. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Inan.
spk14: Thank you for joining Mattel's first quarter 2022 earnings call. Mattel achieved its highest first quarter results we have on record for net sales, operating income, and EBITDA. Having completed our turnaround in 2021, we are firmly in growth mode and are operating as an IP-driven, high-performing toy company. The full-year outlook is strong. We expect to grow market share, and we are reiterating our 2022 guidance and 2023 goals. Looking at first quarter financial highlights versus prior year. Net sales were up 19% and exceeded $1 billion, a remarkable performance on top of a 47% increase in 2021. Adjusted operating income nearly tripled. Adjusted earnings per share improved from a negative 10 cents to a positive 8 cents, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 65%. Our performance was comprehensive. with growth in gross billings in constant currency in all regions, and up double digits in North America, EMEA, and Latin America. We also grew in six of seven categories where we operate, with double digits growth in our three power brands, Barbie, Hot Wheels, and Fisher-Price, and Thomas & Friends. We expect the strong performance to continue with growth in the second quarter amplified by sales tied to the theatrical releases of Universal's Jurassic World and Minions, as well as Disney and Pixar's Lightyear. We believe we are well positioned with owned and retail inventories to meet consumer demand for our products. First quarter benefited from increased points of distribution, as well as retailers restocking low inventories following the strong holiday season and gearing up to support product launches tied to the upcoming theatrical releases. POS declined high single digits, reflecting promotional and spring reset timing, retailers restocking low inventories following the strong holiday season, and the Easter shift to the second quarter. As we begin the second quarter, April POS has increased more than 25%, bringing year-to-date POS in line with our expectations. While first quarter gross margin was down due to significant inflation, favorable foreign exchange, pricing, scale, and cost savings helped mitigate the inflation impact. With the added benefit of strong top-line growth, we achieved significant gains in operating income and EBITDA with adjusted EPS turning positive. We continue to anticipate higher inflation in 2022 versus last year, but expected to moderate in 2023. Per the NPD group, Mattel was the number one toy company in the US and the number one globally in our leader categories, dolls, vehicles, and infant, toddler, and preschool. Barbie, Hot Wheels, and Fisher-Price were each the number one property in their respective categories. Mattel's supply chain is playing a key role in our success. All of our factories are fully operational and we are working with our retail partners to ensure product is available on shelves to meet consumer demand. While we are monitoring macro-level factors affecting supply chain and the broader economy, we are confident in our growth trajectory. Looking at gross billings by category versus the prior year, our strong performance continued, and our products resonated with consumers and families. Dollars grew 8%. led by Barbie and Polly Pocket. Barbie was up 12% and continued its multi-year momentum. American Girl declined $10 million compared to a very strong first quarter last year. We expect American Girl to grow for the full year. Vehicles increased 36% with growth across all product lines. Hot Wheels, Matchbox, and Disney's Pixar Cars. Hot Wheels grew 36%, with retailers restocking our top-selling die-cast cars. Infant, Toddler, and Preschool increased 15%, driven primarily by Fisher-Price Core, with growth in Imaginext, Newborn, Infant, and Little People, as well as Thomas & Friends. Challenger categories together grew 44%, led by exceptional growth in action figures and building sets. Action figures were up a strong 75%, driven by Jurassic World, Lightyear, and Masters of the Universe. The first quarter results are in line with our strategy to grow Mattel's IP-driven toy business. As we scale our portfolio, we also expanded to 494,000 brick and mortar stores where our product is sold. We strengthened our position as a partner of choice for the major entertainment companies with the recently announced multi-year global licensing agreement with Universal for DreamWorks, Animations, Trolls. Mattel will have the licensing rights to develop a full line of this toyetic franchise, which is expected to launch at retailers in line with the new theatrical release in fall of 2023. We recently expanded our D2C offerings to customers across several major EMEA countries. We are building a strong and engaged collector base with our Mattel Creations platform. We further optimized our operations with the recent consolidation of our manufacturing in Mexico. The state-of-the-art facility will help to diversify Mattel's supply chain footprint and optimize near-shoring of production. In line with our capital-light approach, we are making targeted strategic investments to increase manufacturing capacity, improve productivity, and leverage technological capabilities while reducing costs and enhancing operational efficiencies. We also made progress on our strategy to expand our entertainment offering as we look to capture the full value of our intellectual properties in highly accretive business verticals, which are directly adjacent to the toy industry. This includes content, consumer products, and digital experiences. We have just announced that J.J. Abrams' Bad Robot will produce the Hot Wheels movie, which we are developing with Warner Brothers. The Barbie movie is in principal photography in London, and we could not be more excited about Greta Gerwig's vision and creative execution for what is shaping up to be an iconic cultural event. Will Ferrell and Issa Rae have recently joined the all-star cast, led by Academy Award nominees Margot Robbie and Ryan Gosling, as well as Simu Liu, America Ferreira, Kate McKinnon, Michael Cera, and Harry Neff, among many other top-tier talents. As announced yesterday by Warner Bros., the film will be released theatrically worldwide, on July 21st, 2023. In addition to the growing portfolio of Mattel 163 mobile games, this week we launched the He-Man and Masters of the Universe digital game on Roblox. Mattel also launched new NFT sets for Hot Wheels and Barbie and Balmain, which sold out instantly. We're looking to further leverage our iconic brands in the fast-growing world of digital art collection with several more launches planned in 2022. We take our role as a responsible corporate citizen very seriously and aim to contribute to a more diverse, equitable, inclusive, and sustainable future. This week, we are publishing Mattel's 2021 Citizenship Report, It provides a progress update on environmental, social, and governance strategy and goals, including a new goal to reduce plastic packaging by 25% per product by 2030. This is in addition to other previously announced sustainable product and packaging goals, including to achieve 100% recycled, recyclable, or bio-based plastic materials in our products and packaging by 2030. We are committed to Mattel's purpose to empower the next generation to explore the wonder of childhood and reach the full potential into our mission to create innovative products and experiences that inspire, entertain, and develop children through play. On behalf of the entire Mattel team, I would like to express our sadness and dismay at the devastating impact of the war in Ukraine on innocent children and families. We stand with the Ukrainian people and have launched programs to support organizations on the front lines, aiding refugee children and families. We hope for a peaceful resolution And our thoughts are with all those who are suffering. And now, Anthony will cover the financial performance in more detail.
spk16: Thanks, Anand. We started 2022 with a very strong first quarter. We generated net sales of $1 billion and $41 million, an increase of 19%. Excluding the negative impact of currency translation, we grew 22% with growth across all regions and all of our reported categories. Adjusted gross margin declined by 70 basis points, with significant cost inflation mostly offset by the favorable impact of foreign exchange transactions, pricing, scale, and cost savings. Adjusted operating income was $90 million, up 190% as we scaled the business, while adjusted operating income margin increased by 520 basis points to 8.7%. Adjusted EPS was a positive 8 cents compared to a negative 10 cents in the prior year period. The adjusted EPS improvement was primarily driven by operating income growth and lower interest expense. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $60 million, or 65%, driven primarily by top-line growth. Turning to gross billings and constant currency. Total company gross billings increased 23% and benefited from increased points of distribution retailers restocking low inventories following the strong holiday season, and gearing up to support product launches tied to the upcoming theatrical releases. Quarter-end retail inventory was up in both dollars and weeks of supply as we worked with retailers to meet strong second-quarter consumer demand. Looking at gross billings by region, North America was up 25%, driven by growth across key categories and all power brands. POS declined due to the Easter shift and promotional timing. EMEA was the fastest growing region with a 29% increase, driven by growth across all markets with positive POS. Latin America also had a very strong quarter, increasing by 28%, driven by growth across all markets and categories, with positive POS. Asia Pacific increased by 1%, with strong growth in Australia and Japan, mostly offset by declines in China, which was impacted by COVID-related retail closures. POS declined in the region. At the end of the quarter, retail stores were fully open in North America and Latin America, while Europe had less than 1% of stores closed due to the war in Ukraine. In Asia Pacific, approximately 6% of stores were closed due to restrictions in China, which accounted for 11% of sales. Adjusted gross margin declined 70 basis points to 46.6%. As anticipated, cost inflation had a significant 550 basis point impact, primarily due to increases in materials and ocean freight costs. The impact of cost inflation was mostly offset by several factors. Foreign exchange transactions had a favorable impact of 160 basis points. Pricing, primarily the carryover benefit of our second half 2021 actions, contributed 120 basis points. Strong top-line growth generated a fixed cost absorption benefit of 100 basis points, and savings from optimizing for growth added 90 basis points, completing the bridge to 46.6%. Given the anticipated level of cost inflation, as previously discussed, we are implementing pricing actions in 2022 that are factored into our guidance. Moving down to P&L, advertising expenses were about flat at $74 million. Adjusted SG&A expenses were $322 million, an increase of 4% due to employee-related expenses, as well as higher bad debt expense related to the Russia-Ukraine war, partly offset by incremental optimizing for growth savings. Bottom line performance was very strong across key metrics. Adjusted operating income increased by 190%, or $59 million to $90 million. The increase was primarily driven by the flow-through benefit of top-line growth, favorable FX, pricing, and cost savings, partly offset by inflation and cost of goods sold. Adjusted operating income margin increased from 3.5% to 8.7%, an improvement of 520 basis points. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 65%, or $60 million to $152 million. Cash from operations was a use of $144 million, reflecting the seasonality of the business, compared to $36 million in the prior year. the increased use of cash was due to higher working capital requirements. As a result, free cash flow was negative $180 million compared to $72 million in the prior year, with capital expenditures comparable to the prior year at $36 million. On a trailing 12-month basis, we generated $226 million of free cash flow compared to $305 million in the prior year. Free cash flow was negatively impacted by the growth in inventories as we are pre-building earlier in the season to support growth. Free cash flow conversion for the trailing 12-month period was 21% compared to 36% in the prior year period. Looking ahead to the full year, we expect to improve free cash flow and conversion rate. Taking a look at the balance sheet, Cash balance was $537 million compared to $615 million in the prior year. Total debt was $2,572,000,000 down from $2,838,000,000 in line with our strategy of using free cash flow to repay debt. Accounts receivable increased by $182 million to $862 million, driven primarily by the first quarter sales growth. Inventory was $969 million compared to $626 million last year due to the earlier timing of our seasonal inventory build as well as the impact of inflation. Leverage ratio continues to improve. We finished the first quarter with a debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.4 times compared to 3.3 times in the prior year and expect it to continue to further improve. This is driven by the growth in adjusted EBITDA and debt reductions. Savings from the Optimizing for Growth program were $17 million in the quarter. Looking ahead, we continue to expect the program to achieve incremental savings of $80 to $90 million in 2022 and total savings of $250 million by 2023. As Inan mentioned, we are reiterating our full year guidance for 2022, reflecting our momentum and the expectation for another strong growth year for Mattel. With respect to the impact of the Russia and Ukraine war, our business in these countries represented less than 3% of total gross billings in 2021. We now expect our business in these two countries to decline in 2022. However, This negative impact is expected to be offset by improvements in other geographies. We expect to grow net sales in 2022 by 8% to 10% in constant currency. This will be driven by growth in our leader categories, led by our power brands and American Girl, as well as our challenger categories together, driven primarily by action figures. Full year adjusted gross margin is expected to decline from 48.2% in 2021 to approximately 47% in 2022. Cost inflation, primarily in raw materials and ocean freight, is expected to be more significant in 2022 than in 2021, before moderating in 2023. We expect the negative gross margin impact of inflation will be mostly offset by the benefits from pricing, including the incremental 2022 actions, fixed cost scale benefit from top-line growth, and anticipated savings from the Optimizing for Growth program. 2022 adjusted EBITDA is expected to increase to a range of $1.1 to $1.125 billion, representing growth of 9% to 12%. As a percent of net sales, SG&A is expected to continue to decline while advertising remains relatively stable. From our 2021 base of $1.30, adjusted EPS is expected to increase to a range of $1.42 to $1.48 per share. Adjusted EPS is benefiting from lower interest expense as we reduce debt in the near term partly offset by an expected increase in the adjusted tax rate. We are now providing a forecast for adjusted tax rate, which excludes the impact of non-GAAP items. For 2022, we are forecasting an adjusted tax rate of 26 to 28% compared to 25% in 2021. Our year-to-go EPS performance will be more significantly impacted by the timing of tax expense compared to the prior year period. Capital expenditures are forecast to be in the range of $175 to $200 million, an increase from prior year, as we strategically invest to increase manufacturing capacity in our owned dolls and vehicles facilities. This investment is in line with our capital life strategy to support anticipated growth and where we have a significant competitive cost advantage. Looking ahead, we expect to achieve strong growth in the second quarter and are confident in meeting our full year guidance. The guidance takes into account the anticipated market and supply chain disruptions that we are aware of today but is subject to any unexpected supply chain disruption, market volatility, and other macroeconomic risks and uncertainties. Looking ahead to 2023, we are reiterating our 2023 goals to achieve high single-digit net sales growth in constant currency and an adjusted operating income margin of approximately 16% to 17% of net sales. Our 2023 EPS goal is to exceed adjusted EPS of $1.90, driven by top line growth, margin expansion, and the benefit of improved free cash flow. In closing, Mattel executed another outstanding quarter, and we are very pleased with our start to the year. Thanks for your time today, and I will now turn it over to the operator for Q&A. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you. Before we begin our Q&A session, I would like to turn the call back over to David Spoinevich for a few remarks.
spk15: Thank you. Before we begin the Q&A, I would like to state that, per our company policy, we will not be commenting on press reports and speculation that have come out over the past 24 hours. We are focused on executing our strategy to grow Mattel's IP-driven toy business and expand our entertainment offerings. And with that, we are happy to answer your questions. Operator, back to you.
spk09: Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. We ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up question. You may then return to the queue. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question will come from Eric Handler with MKM Partners. Please go ahead.
spk06: Good afternoon, and thanks for the question. Anthony, we'll start with you. In prior quarters, you've done a very good job of framing what the retail environment looks like with, I believe, average weekly inventory on hand. I wonder if you could sort of update how things ended in the first quarter and what you're seeing into 2Q.
spk16: Sure. I can certainly address that question. You know, I think what you've you see is the differential between gross billings and POS. And, you know, gross billings, as we said, benefited from a number of factors. Increased points of distribution, retailers restocking low inventory on shelves following a very strong holiday season, and gearing up to support product launches tied to the upcoming theatrical releases. So, you know, quarter-end retail inventory was up in both dollars and weeks of supply, which positions us very well to support second quarter growth expectations. I'll also say, you know, that that retail inventory is very healthy, and we feel we're in a great position and have reiterated our guidance for strong top-line growth of 8% to 10%.
spk06: Great. And then as a follow up, I guess for Inan, I did think it was interesting yesterday to see the launch of the He-Man Masters of the Universe game on Roblox. And just curious with all of your IP that you have, how are you thinking about Mattel's position in the metaverse?
spk14: Yeah, we know we have one of the strongest catalog of children and family entertainment franchises in the world. And that applies to content, consumer product, and the digital experiences. And as it relates to the metaverse specifically, and NFT as a subset, these areas are driven by collectability and communities. In both cases, our brands and franchises are positioned perfectly to win in the area. We launched five NFT campaigns in less than a year, all of which have been sold out instantly. They were not at commercial scale. They were more experimental and market testing, but we could not be more encouraged and happy with the results. So we know we are well positioned, and we see that as a real tangible opportunity over time. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question will come from Linda Bolton-Weiser with DA Davidson. Please go ahead.
spk13: Yes, thank you. I was just curious, you know, your results were so strong in the first quarter and your revenue, you know, beat the street by quite a bit. What were your thoughts about potentially increasing the guidance for the year? I guess what held you back in doing so, even if you could have gone to like 9% to 11% growth, for example? Can you just kind of go through your thoughts about how your outlook is changing for the rest of the year? Thanks.
spk14: Yes, hi, Linda. You know, this is still early in the year. We have three more quarters to go. Very happy with our performance in the first quarter and focus on continue to executing our strategy. We did say we expect to grow in the second quarter. We reiterating guidance, both top line and bottom line, and continue to execute what we're set out to do.
spk13: Okay. And then as a follow-up, could I just ask you on the cost inflation front, can you give us a little more color on how things are changing? A couple of companies have said in some data we look at indicate that, for example, container freight rates have peaked and are actually kind of trending down. Are you seeing that? And what can you say about some of the other cost inputs? Thanks.
spk16: Sure, I can address that. You know, we are, you know, seeing some decline in spot rates, you know, from the recent peak, although, you know, certainly against prior year and historical, they continue to be, you know, quite elevated. You know, given that, you know, we procure ocean freight through a combination of contracts and spot purchases, you know, that impact is fairly modest and really doesn't change our outlook, you know, for the full year. And As we've said before, we are impacted by materials, particularly resins and zinc, as well as those in freight. We're seeing some inflation in wages in some of our supply chain markets. So our full-year outlook for inflation has not changed. We continue to expect it to be more significant in 2022 than 2021. And I would add, in response to that, we did take pricing in 2021. which is having a carryover benefit into 2022, and we are implementing additional pricing actions in 2022 that will improve the back half, and we've factored those into our guidance. As we look ahead on the inflation front to 2023, we do expect it to moderate.
spk13: Okay. Thank you very much.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question will come from Arpine Kocharian with UBS Investment Bank. Please go ahead.
spk07: Arpine Kocharian Thanks and good afternoon. This is Arpine. I was wondering how much did your distribution grow year over year? Because it's surprising because a lot of people perhaps think of your distribution as saturated. You're already shipping to everywhere you could be shipping. So what channels drove that growth? And then you mentioned extended direct-to-consumer offering outside of North America. Could you detail exactly what those were? And then I have a quick follow-up. Thank you.
spk16: Male Speaker 1 Yeah, on the first part of the question, you know, in terms of distribution, and I think this goes to, you know, our performance over the last couple of years, the fact that we've gained market share two years in a row. We have good momentum. You know, we have actually gained shelf space, and that's what we're seeing come through in terms of, you know, points of distribution.
spk07: Okay, and then direct to consumer offering outside of North America?
spk14: Yeah, and I can add on that. In addition to shelf space, just to confirm, we also increased the actual number of doors, brick-and-mortar stores where we sell our product. from around 485 to now at around 494,000 stores where our product is sold. We haven't provided breakdown how this is split, but we are looking to continue to grow the retail footprint where our product is sold and offer consumer choices. The brick and mortar business represented less than 70% of our business in 2021. Online retail and e-commerce continues to grow and in 2021 represented 31% of all POS. D2C is a growing part of our strategy, as you know. This is a key part of our strategy. It's divided between Mattel Creations, which is more of the high-touch, highly curated part of the business, We have the Mattel Shopper and, of course, the American Girl D2C business. All in all, we have an omni-channel retail strategy. We aim to be wherever consumers are and continue to expand and grow the number of places where people can shop and buy our product.
spk07: Thank you. That's super helpful. You know, pricing helped your margin by 150 basis points, I think, in 2004, but about 120 basis points this quarter. Could you give a sense of what that looks like for the rest of the year? And I know you said you intend to take more pricing. There is a lot of concern from investors about sort of state of the consumer and inflationary pressures. As you reiterate your guidance here, is there some kind of price elasticity work that you've done to assess impact of pricing on demand for your brands that you could share?
spk16: Yeah, I can talk a little bit about the pricing. And as you noted, pricing had 120 basis point positive impact on Q1. Most of that is the carryover impact of the pricing action from last year. And as we noted on our last call, you know, we were contemplating additional pricing actions this year. You know, the inflationary environment continues to be very significant and have an impact on us. So we are implementing pricing actions in 2022, which will go into effect in the second half. I mean, obviously, we factored those into our guidance. particularly for, you know, gross margin. As you know, we're guiding gross margin, you know, down a little bit to 47% with a significant impact on inflation. And what we feel good about is that we're able to offset most of that through a combination of the pricing actions that we've taken, the cost savings from our optimizing for growth program, as well as the scale benefit, you know, from our top-line growth. And as we've said before, you know, longer term, we would expect you know, the impact of pricing and cost savings over time to more than offset the impact of cost inflation and contribute to margin expansion.
spk14: And with respect to the second part of the question, we haven't seen any negative impact on demand with pricing. And, you know, important to say that when we take pricing action, we are being very thoughtful and effective and are committed to maintaining the right balance between high quality and value for consumers, and are being very smart and strategic about it. So we have not seen any impact in the first pricing action we took last year, and we don't expect to see an impact this year.
spk07: Thank you.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question will come from Drew Crum with Stiefel. Please go ahead.
spk04: Okay, thanks, guys. Good afternoon. Action figures up 75%, if I heard correctly, in the list. It appears to be shipping movie properties during 1Q. How does that compare to your expectations for 2Q? And your commentary was that you expect to achieve strong growth in the quarter. But in addition to the movie properties, are there any other key drivers you'd highlight? I'm going to have a follow-up.
spk11: Our action figure business has been incredibly strong, as you know, driven by Jurassic World, Disney and Pixar's Lightyear, and of course, Masters of the Universe. We're expecting continued growth for the rest of the year with these incredible theatrical releases. And specifically, the momentum is continuing on Masters of the Universe. Our portfolio also includes further growth with Minecraft and WWE as evergreen properties. We don't provide the financial projections by property, but specifically these two blockbuster theatricals are the drivers of the category. And then, of course, our evergreen brands, Motu, Minecraft, WWE, all with innovation and great marketing going forward. So a very, very strong category performance and expected to be strong for the year.
spk04: Got it. Thanks, Richard. And then my follow-up pertains to Europe. It looks like the gross billings in MEA are pretty good in 1Q. If you break out Europe only, what's been your read on retailer and consumer demand and any notable changes you've observed in April as the war has dragged on? Thanks.
spk16: Yeah, with respect to our performance in EMEA, as we noted in our remarks, it's very, very strong. It's our fastest-growing region and really comprehensive growth across all markets, positive POS, you know, 29% increase in gross billings. And it's just a continuation of the great performance we've seen in the region over the last, you know, couple of years. And with respect to the start, you know, to the second quarter, not isolating EMEA in particular, but our POS for the April month to date has exceeded, you know, 25%. So we're off to a good start to the second quarter.
spk04: Okay, got it. Thanks, guys.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question will come from Stephanie Wissink with Jefferies. Please go ahead.
spk02: Hello. It's Matt Cadden from Jefferies filling in for Steph Wissink here today. Very strong results in the first quarter. I was hoping that you could help us further think through current trade level inventories. Have you achieved desired trade level inventory to support anticipated demand trends, or is there still some channel to fill in Q2?
spk16: Yeah, we feel in terms of retail and inventory, we're feeling like we're in a very good position. We saw some restocking during the quarter. The inventories are healthy, well positioned to support future growth. As Richard just noted, the theatrical tie-ins that are coming mid-year, so we feel like we're in a really good position as we look ahead.
spk02: Awesome. Thank you. And then in terms of owned inventory, with quarterly inventory being up 59% year over year, can you just provide a little more insight into the level and composition, please?
spk16: Sure. You know, so on a balance sheet, you know, our inventory ended at $969 million. It is up from $626 million last year and really reflects mostly our decision, right, to pre-build earlier in the season to support growth. And about a quarter of that increase is actually the impact of cost inflation. But again, a proactive step on our part to build ahead, spread out manufacturing through the season more so that we make sure we have product availability for retailers and consumers throughout the year.
spk02: Thank you so much.
spk16: Sure.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question will come from Garrett Johnson with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
spk12: Hey, good afternoon. Thanks. In addition to building inventory earlier, are retailers bringing product in earlier and maybe moving forward, set dates for movies and back to school?
spk16: Thanks. Not aware of any shift in timing, Gary.
spk12: All right. Thank you. Sure.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question will come from Megan Alexander with J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.
spk08: Hi. Thanks very much. Just back to the gross margin follow-up. In 1Q, the first half you talked about significant pressure. 1Q is only down 70 basis points. So you're still expecting gross margin down 110 for the year. So can you just help us how we should be thinking about gross margin for 2Q and then the second half? you know, what's changing in the remainder of the year such that the decline gets worse? You know, you have another price increase coming, and then we'll start to laugh some of the more significant, you know, freight and input cost increases in the back half. So is it that raw material costs are higher than you expected, or is there something else, you know, that you saw in 1Q that maybe doesn't continue?
spk16: Yeah, good question. So I can comment on that. As you noted, you know, we're down 70 basis points in the first quarter. Our full year guidance implies about 120 basis point of decline. And what you see is because of the seasonality of the business, the first quarter is small. So, you know, when you get that outsized top line growth, you get a greater fixed cost absorption benefit in the first quarter than you will in the balance of the year. And secondly, our savings from optimizing for growth, you know, tend to be more fixed costs. So they have a bit of an outsized impact on Q1 relative to the balance of the year as well. But again, as we look at the full year, some downward pressure, but we feel good about the fact that our pricing and cost savings are going to offset most of the expected inflation.
spk08: That's helpful. Thank you. And then a quick follow-up. There have been some reports about Amazon Prime Day moving into July from June. If that were the case, would that impact the shipments of timing, or would most of the shipments still happen in 2Q? Yeah.
spk16: that wouldn't have a material impact on the timing of our shipments.
spk08: Got it. Thank you very much. Sure.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question will come from Fred Whiteman with Wolf Research. Please go ahead.
spk03: Hey, guys. If we just look at the COGS bridge that you give, it looks like sequentially the cost inflation was a little bit better down $5.50 this quarter. I think that was $600 last quarter. Do you think that that inflationary number has peaked and should continue to come down from here?
spk16: No, I would expect, as we said, you know, our outlook for inflation hasn't materially changed. We still expect it to have a more significant impact in 2022 than the 400 basis points in 2021. And I would say that the first quarter, you know, is in line with that. That being said, probably a little more weighted to the first half and the second half, given the escalation that happened in the back half of 2021. Makes sense.
spk03: And then are you guys still expecting all power brands to grow for the year?
spk16: Yes, we are.
spk03: Great. Thank you.
spk16: Sure.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question will come from Mike Ng with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
spk01: Hey, good afternoon. Thank you very much for the question. I was just wondering if you could talk a little bit about the point-of-sale trends. I think you had said it was in line with expectations through April. I was just wondering if you had a number that you could share with us for the company, and then any specific commentary around Barbie or dolls would be great. Thank you very much.
spk16: Yes, so as we stated, you know, we feel really good about April. April, month to date, POS is up more than 25 percent, you know, on a total company basis. You know, and as, you know, we also stated in our, you know, prepared, you know, remarks, you know, POS was, you know, down high in single digits in the first quarter. But EMEA was up. Latin America was up. North America was down. Asia Pacific was down. And, you know, one point, you know, I'd like to make with respect to the POS data, you know, we do provide a significant level of disclosure and detail about our performance. And, you know, POS is a directional tool and impacted by different variables that may not provide an accurate view of underlying trends in the short term. So what we're saying is going forward, we're going to provide POS at a macro level for the portfolio or on a regional basis and in specific situations where it's relevant for the long-term trajectory of the business. So we're not going to be providing it at the category level and Barbie in particular on a regular basis.
spk11: Michael, I'll expand upon the Barbie question. Barbie had an incredible quarter. We were up 12%. And that's on top of an 86% growth last year. So clearly the brand is continuing its multi-year momentum. We were the number one overall dolls property every week in the U.S. and the number one global dolls property. The strength continues. We've got some incredible innovative products that are in the marketplace like Barbie Extra. And we recently launched a new innovative entry called Cutie Reveal. This was just launched in March, and QD Reveal hit the doll category industry top ten. That's a big feat in its first month, and it actually outpaced the launch of our largely successful color reveal line. So we continue to drive momentum and cultural relevance. We had an incredible sellout overnight sensation with our Barbie Queen Elizabeth collector doll. You'll continue to see more culturally relevant collector product in the marketplaces. And we're looking forward to the momentum continuing, not only for Barbie, but the entire dolls category.
spk01: Thanks, Richard. Thanks, Anthony.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question will come from Jim Chartier with Moness Crespi Hart. Please go ahead.
spk05: Hi. Thanks for taking my question. You guys have a strong movie release calendar this year, but a car series launching on Disney+. I'm curious. you know, given the strength of other streaming series, how impactful that could be this year. Thanks.
spk11: You know, our vehicles category has been extraordinarily strong. I mean, the whole category itself has been growing. We grew 36% on top of 15% last year. And that's growth across all product lines. Hot Wheels, Matchbox, and as you've asked, Disney Pixar Cars. The line is incredibly strong, great innovation. We continue to work incredibly close with our partners at Disney, innovating and extending the incredible characters in the Cars series in new and different ways. But ultimately, these results demonstrate our successful execution of a category structure. that we've been applying across our entire portfolio. But in particular, the vehicles category has incredible momentum, including Disney Pixar cars, Matchbox, Hot Wheels, and much more to come.
spk05: Great. And then on American Girl, what gives you the confidence the business will grow this year despite the first quarter decline? What are you seeing within the stores or tourists and traffic coming back to the stores?
spk11: Yeah, thank you for that question. We are expecting full year growth in American Girl. We've got incredibly strong plans in place. And as we progress through our turnaround, we're very confident. The product launches and marketing plans for American Girl are primarily focused on the second half of the year. The decline that we saw in the first quarter was primarily due to later Easter, and as well, closure of two stores. You know, we've shared, we've continued to evaluate our retail footprint. At the same time, we've been investing in our flagship stores. So as you mentioned, New York City has been really on a great turnaround. Traffic is up. Our business is actually up in that store. I encourage anyone, for that matter, who visits or lives in New York to visit our flagship store and really see the revitalization both in merchandising, event, and customer service at an entirely new level of excitement. So all in all, again, I think from a marketing, merchandising, DTC, store experience perspective, we are very much on track with our American Girl plans, and I think you'll start to see a lot of excitement and scoreboard growth in the back half.
spk05: Great. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question will come from Jamie Katz with Morningstar. Please go ahead.
spk10: Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. Games have become a pretty important component of one of your competitors' plan, and I know Roblox was mentioned. So I'd be interested to hear on how you guys are sizing that opportunity for yourself and maybe how you think about that contributing to the profit profile going forward.
spk14: Thanks. Hi, Jamie. Digital gaming is a strategic priority and part of our mid- to long-term strategy to capture the full value of our IP. Clearly, it's a large market, and we see a significant opportunity to grow our business there and leverage the strength and engagement and communities that our franchises have. We have a three-part strategy for gaming. One is Mattel 163. It's our own mobile game publisher in partnership as part of a JV with NetEase. So far, we launched two games, Uno and Phase 10, in full-fledged, and recently launched the third game, Skibo. We already shared that last year, this JV exceeded $100 million of revenue, so based on two games only. So this is growing fast. We don't consolidate the number, given that we don't control the JV, but it's a fast-growing part of our business. We also have licensed partnerships. This is where we work with third parties. This is also a nice business that is growing. It's not as big, but it's still early, and we're having a lot of momentum there. And the third piece, self-publishing. This is where we launch games on kids-targeted, platforms such as Roblox. We have already the Hot Wheels game on that platform. We recently, or this week, launched the Masters of the Universe game on Roblox. So we are building scale, building momentum, still early, but given the strength of our catalog, we believe we have a real opportunity to have a scale business in this area.
spk10: Okay. And then just as a follow-up, would you help us understand whether or not the retailers you guys are working with are having any different expectations this year for things like sales allowances or, you know, any different demands that they are putting on you guys given supply chain issues? Thanks.
spk16: No, we don't see any material change in sales adjustments for us.
spk10: Excellent. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you. I'm showing no further questions in the queue at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to Mattel's Chairman and CEO, Mr. Enon Kreis.
spk14: Thank you, Operator, and thank you all for your questions. In summary, this was an outstanding start of the year for Mattel. Momentum continued across the business. We started the second quarter with strong consumer demand, The full-year outlook is also strong, and we expect to grow market share. We are firmly in growth mode and are operating as an IP-driven, high-performing toy company. As always, we appreciate you following our journey and your interest in the company. Thank you, and I will now turn the call over to Dave.
spk15: Thank you, Inan, and thank you, everyone, for joining the call. The replay of this call will be available via webcast and audio beginning at 8.30 p.m. Eastern Time today. The webcast link can be found on our investor page, or for an audio replay, please dial 1-404-537-3406. The passcode is 384-5555. Thank you for participating in today's call.
spk09: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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