8/29/2023

speaker
Operator

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Malibu Boats conference call to discuss fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2023 results. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session, and instructions will follow at that time. Please be advised that reproduction of this call in whole or in part is not permitted without written authorization of Malibu Boats. And as a reminder, today's call is being recorded. On the call today for management are Mr. Jack Springer, Chief Executive Officer, and Mr. David Black, Interim Chief Financial Officer, and Mr. Richie Anderson, Chief Operating Officer. I'll now turn the call over to Mr. Black to get started. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Jack Springer

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. On the call, Jack will provide commentary on the business, and I will discuss our fiscal, fourth quarter, and full year 2023 financials. We will then open the call up for questions. A press release covering the company's fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2023 results was issued today, and a copy of that press release can be found in the investor relations website on our company's website. I also want to remind everyone that management's remarks on this call may contain certain forward-looking statements, including predictions, expectations, estimates, or other information that might be considered forward-looking and that actual results could differ materially from those projected on today's call. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of today, and the company undertakes no obligation to update them for any new information or future events. Factors that might affect future results are discussed in our filings with the SEC and we encourage you to review our SEC filings for more detailed description of these risk factors. Please note that we will be referring to certain non-GAAP financial measures on today's call, such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted fully distributed net income, and adjusted fully distributed net income per share. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP measures are included in our earnings release. I will now turn the call over to Jack Springer.

speaker
Jack

Thank you, David, and thank you all for joining the call. Fiscal year 2023 was another impressive year for Malibu, which included fourth quarter and full year results that exceeded expectations, despite an increasingly challenging environment. Our unique operating model, vertical integration capabilities, and world-class leadership continue to shine through, allowing us to take a leading position in the marine industry, no matter what the market condition we find ourselves in. For fiscal year 2023, Net sales increased 14% to a record $1.4 billion. Gross margin remained strong at 25%, and adjusted EBITDA grew 15% to a record $284 million, while adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 20.5%. ASPs across all brands continued to be extremely strong, driven by cobalt in pursuit. During the fiscal year, we made great strides to match wholesale production to retail demand. which we believe is important and responsible for our investors and our dealers. The first three quarters of the year saw us matching our production to a deficient channel inventory environment to reach more normalized channel inventory levels. The normalization occurred faster than anticipated, and in the fourth quarter, we took production down in our freshwater brands to match where channel inventories were at that point. We continue to monitor retail sales and channel inventories closely and are prepared to make adjustments quickly. As we have said repeatedly over the last several quarters, we believe the supply chain would normalize by the end of fiscal 2023 or the beginning of fiscal 2024. We can now officially say that these challenges have largely abated. While occasional pockets of weakness still exist as a normal course of doing business, we remain committed to working with our supply chain partners to ensure normalized supply going forward. While the retail environment remains uncertain, We are leveraging our culture of operational excellence to successfully navigate any lingering supply chain headwinds to provide the highest quality boats on market. The supply chain area that has not corrected is pricing from suppliers. We were surprised to see the increases this spring, and it is an area that we will continue to work on with our suppliers. With a more normalized supply chain, OEM production capabilities have also normalized, And the retail environment is now the largest contributing factor to our channel inventories faster than anticipated recovery. In general, our freshwater segments are at pre-COVID levels or even higher in some cases. Conversely, saltwater channel inventories are still slightly below the pre-COVID inventory levels, but within five weeks on hand. We are seeing that nearly all manufacturers have had to cut back production to some extent due to weakening demand consistent across the broader marine industry, which resulted in a softer fourth quarter from a retail perspective. This is primarily due to dealers expressing caution in taking on new inventory amid rising interest rates, more normalized channels, recessionary concerns, and weather-driven order delays. Regarding interest rates, dealers have faced the effect of higher inventory levels on their lots, compounded with paying higher interest rates on that inventory, which has driven their costs higher and made them more passive about carrying higher levels of inventory. On the consumer side, we are seeing customers delay boat purchases in what historically has been a strong season for them to buy. For example, our freshwater segment, particularly in the ski weight category, experienced weakness as a result of unseasonable weather conditions across the country through June. The cool, rainy spring across the country, along with drought conditions in certain regions of Texas, which is the number one state for wake boats, delayed the customer's appetite to purchase. However, despite the slow start to the selling season, we have continued to gain share across the board in all of our brands. Year to date, through July, Malibu Axis has gained 320 basis points of share with Malibu and Axis both having the largest share gains by a large margin over competitors. The trailing 12-month share has increased 180 basis points again, with Malibu and Axis being the far and away leaders of share gains. The January through July market share has been exceptionally strong and in some months exceeding 35% for our Malibu and Axis brands. Within Cobalt, in our Stern Drive segment, we have gained 180 basis points of share over the trailing 12-month period And year to date, our Stern Drive share is up 240 basis points, topping 35%, and increasing our share lead over the nearest competitor by nearly 1,700 basis points in the 23-foot to 36-foot segment where we play. In the saltwater segment, we are gaining share in all of our brands across our competitive segments. Year to date, Pursuit has gained 270 basis points of share against its competitive segment, and Colvia has gained 80 basis points of share. Pathfinder continues to perform extremely well, extending the share lead in its competitive segment. The trailing 12 months and the year-to-date share gain is 300 basis points for Pathfinder. Fiscal year 2023 has been very strong for all of our brands in picking up market share as we continue to stand out with purchasers, proving that we are winning the competitive battles with great products, better dealers, and a much better value proposition. This also goes to show that our customers remain fiercely loyal while we are being successful at converting buyers to our brands. With our longstanding experience successfully navigating through challenging market cycles, we are confident in our operational capabilities coupled with our ability to execute in any environment, all the while continuing to push the pace of innovation. New products are the lifeblood of our brands, and we continue to rev our engines and push full throttle when it comes to delivering premium products for all MBI brands. Our actions have allowed us to maintain our dominant position in every market we serve, and we continue to invest in products that make us the strongest player in the marine industry. Our model year 2024 lineup only raises the bar further on the innovation our customers expect from us. To that end, we are extremely excited to announce our exceptional 2024 product lineup. For Malibu and Axis, we are again, once again, introducing four new boats, which is far more than any other competitor. This includes the all-new 23 LSV, the best-selling towboat of all time, the new and highly anticipated M242, which takes our M series to the next level of premium features and performance. For Axis, we have our new A245, which is one of the best-selling Axis models. With these new additions, we believe the Malibu and Axis brands will continue to perform strongly and build upon their leading position. Turning to Cobalt, we are replacing our most dated series of boats with an all-new Cobalt Sport Series in the 22 to 23-foot segment. This will include both two stern drive boats and a new surf boat featuring Malibu's proprietary surf gates which completely transformed the surf industry over the last decade, first in wake boats and then in the stern drive segment. We are also introducing a new R33 surf boat, our largest surf boat ever at 33 feet, which will feature SurfGate and all of our proprietary technology. Additionally, the rollout of the monsoon engine to cobalt boats has begun, and we will scale this opportunity over the next few years. At Pursuit, We are introducing the brand-new OS 405, the smaller brother to the highly successful OS 445, as well as a new center console that will be introduced in the first quarter of fiscal year 2024. Paired with the successful build-out of our 100,000-square-foot tooling design center on Pursuit property, which is part of our multi-year plan to bring product tooling in-house, we are extremely optimistic and excited about the future of the Pursuit brand. For Maverick Boat Company, we are developing much-needed new products for Cobia and Pathfinder. Between the two brands, we will introduce four new models which will bring the portfolio more current and compel buyers with exciting new features while retaining the attributes that have made Pathfinder and Cobia top of the segment performers. As we look ahead, the outlook remains mixed, driven largely by dealer concerns with retail and channel inventories reaching adequate inventory levels. It is important to remember that for the last three years, we have been building every boat we possibly could due to the COVID-generated demand and the supply chain issues everyone encountered. Now, we are very focused on matching our supply with the retail demand environment. We currently expect fiscal year 2024 to be down versus fiscal year 2023. In 2023, channel inventories were still too low and production was in full throttle building boats to return back to where inventories had historically been. We also expect dealer headwinds throughout fiscal year 2024. Dealers are currently displaying a lack of confidence due to delayed retail and interest rates that are more than double for dealers and consumers versus two to three years ago. Based on what we are currently seeing, we expect wholesale demand to be decreased across all of our brands. David will discuss this as part of our full year outlook in a few minutes. As we have stated, dealers are concerned about the retail environment. However, I want to be very clear that this is not 2009 when the customer disappeared. What we have been able to confirm is the retail customer is still there and willing to purchase. In September, we had planned to have a Labor Day promotion for Malibu and Access to keep channel inventories in check and assist dealers in moving 2023 product. We decided to move this event up to July, beginning the 4th of July weekend. Despite seeing lower retail in May and June, we were astounded at the positive results of this event. Unit sales were 52% more than what we had projected. This led to our warranty registrations being the highest in the last six years except for 2020 when anything that had an engine sold. Registrations were 151 units ahead of 2019, which we have been benchmarking against for a while. This convinces us the customers are out there. We and our dealers have to be creative and reach them. Overall, our team's hard work, commitment to excellence, and agility in the midst of an ongoing challenging environment has delivered superior results. As we embark in fiscal year 2024, we believe we will only further our track record of success. Our unbeatable culture of operational excellence combined with our loyal customer base, introduction of our new model year 2024 product, and vertical integration efforts will allow us to successfully navigate any choppy waters we face and extend our industry-leading position. This will undoubtedly leave us extremely well-positioned to drive substantial growth and profitability, all the while delivering long-term value for our shareholders in fiscal year 2024 and beyond. I will now turn the call over to David for further remarks on the quarter.

speaker
Jack Springer

Thanks, Jack. In the fourth quarter, net sales increased 5.4% to 372.3 million, and unit volumes decreased 1.8% to 2,550 boats. The increase in net sales was driven primarily by increased unit volumes in our saltwater fishing segment and a favorable model mix across all segments, partially offset by lower unit volumes in the Malibu and Cobalt segments, and by increased dealer flooring program costs resulting from higher interest rates and increased inventory levels. The Malibu and Access brands represented approximately 49.1% of unit sales, or 1,253 boats. Cobalt represented 22.4%, or 571 boats, and saltwater fishing represented the remaining 28.5%. or 726 boats. Consolidated net sales per unit increased 7.3% to approximately 146,000, primarily driven by year-over-year price increases and favorable model mix partially offset by increased dealer flooring costs. Gross profit increased 14.3% to 102.5 million, and gross margin was 27.5%. This compares to a gross margin of 25.4% in the prior year. Selling and marketing expenses increased 1.8% to $5.4 million in the fourth quarter. As a percentage of sales, selling and marketing expenses were flat year over year at 1.5%. General and administrative expenses increased 587.3% or $100.8 million. The increase was driven primarily by settlement of product liability cases for $100 million. The remaining increase in general and administrative expenses was driven by an increase in compensation and personnel-related expenses. As a percentage of sales, G&A expenses, excluding amortization, was 31.7%. Net income for the quarter decreased 136.3% to a loss of $18 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased 21.9% to $90.1 million. and adjusted EBITDA margin increased 330 basis points to 24.2%. Non-GAAP adjusted fully distributed net income per share increased 22.6% to $2.98 per share. This is calculated utilizing a C-Corp tax rate of 24.3% and a fully distributed weighted average share count of approximately 21.3 million shares. For a reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA and adjusted fully distributed net income per share to GAAP metrics, please see the tables in our earnings release. Our performance in fiscal year 2023 reaffirmed our role as industry trailblazers, emphasizing our dedication to innovation and operational efficiency. We focused on navigating a volatile retail environment but we are confident in the foundation we have built operationally along with the strength of our premium portfolio and the agility of our entire team. Our premium boats continue to be highly sought after by consumers and our 2024 model year introduction will continue to push the limits and strengthen our market leading position. This combined with our previously outlined plans to increase our manufacturing capacity expand our vertical integration footprint, grow our distribution network, and bring key capabilities in-house, leaves us extremely well-positioned to drive market share gains as we enter fiscal year 2024 and beyond. Looking at full-year numbers, net sales increased 14.3% to a record 1.39 billion, and unit volumes increased 6.6% to 9,863 boats. Consolidated net sales per unit increased 7.2% to $140,765, driven by increased sales of new, more expensive models, high optional feature revenues, and inflationary year-over-year price increases, partially offset by increased dealer flooring program costs. Gross profit increased 13.3% to $351.3 million, Net income for the year decreased 34% to $107.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased 15.2% to $284 million for the full year. For the full year, non-GAAP adjusted fully distributed earnings per share increased 16.2% to $9.19 per share. Echoing JAXA sentiments, while the outlook for fiscal year 2024 presents some uncertainties, Our unmatched innovation, product quality, and team agility position us at the forefront of the marine industry. Despite this uncertainty, we will continue to showcase our best-in-class operational capabilities matching wholesale to retail demand as we launch our new model year lineup. Highlighted by our unmatched innovation, quality, and feature-rich boats, we believe we are positioned extraordinarily well within the marine industry as we continue to gain share and deliver for our customers. Based on our current operating plan, our expectations for fiscal year 2024 are as follows. We anticipate a year-over-year decline in net sales ranging from mid to high teens percentage. In terms of cadence, we anticipate a first half revenue decline approaching 20%. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be down 300 to 400 basis points year-over-year with first quarter headwinds of double the annual rates. In closing, Fiscal year 2023 was another momentous year for Malibu. We continue to navigate retail uncertainty in an evolving operating environment while delivering solid quarterly and full year results, proving that no matter the challenge, we have the visionary leadership, tried and true strategy, and unmatched production capabilities to push the throttle forward in the year ahead. Our differentiated best-in-class portfolio continues to perform at the top of the marine industry, and our fiscal year 2024 lineup will only drive further market share growth and profitability in each of the markets we serve. Overall, we remain extremely confident in our ability to extend our leading position and deliver long-term value for our customers and shareholders. With that, I'd like to open the call up for questions.

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we'll begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, please press star and one on your touchtone telephones. If you would like to withdraw your questions, you may press star and two to remove yourself from the question queue.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question today comes from Michael Swartz from Trustee Securities.

speaker
Operator

Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Mike

Hey, good morning, guys. Maybe just to start on retail demand, obviously we've all seen the numbers year-to-date, and obviously the ski, wake, or towboat segment has been one of the softer areas within the industry. So maybe, Jack, I guess what do you attribute that to? Is that just the impact of pricing over the past couple years, or is there something more to that? And I guess any commentary on what you've seen maybe in the retail trends over the past maybe four to six weeks?

speaker
Jack

Yeah, Mike, I think there are several elements to this. One would be pricing, although I wouldn't say that pricing in the ski wake segment has been outpacing other segments. What I think that we're seeing a little bit more than anything is maybe people were waiting a little bit longer to trade in their boat and buy their boat. Some other factors that I believe certainly exist is You do have some segment of that, especially on the access side. The consumer is dependent upon interest rates, and it's become very apparent that interest rates are an issue for our dealers as well as for consumers in certain markets. The third thing I would point to is weather, and although we hate to point to weather, You know, the simple fact of the matter is that in May and June, it was a cooler spring. And then one thing that you haven't heard a lot about, and no one has really talked about it, is there is a drought going on in certain sections of Texas, and that being the number one ski weight segment, I think, is having an impact. In terms of what we've seen over the last six or eight weeks, and I alluded to this in the remarks, but, you know, a little bit of the concern is always, hey, are we dealing with a scenario where the customer has disappeared? And with the program that we ran over the 4th of July and for the month of July, that showed us that they're not. To have warranty registrations of 156 more than 2019 was pretty staggering for us. And so I think more than anything, that just showed us we have to figure out the way in all of our brands, not just KeyWay, to reach that consumer and entice them to buy.

speaker
Mike

Okay. Thank you. That's helpful. And then Just on the guidance, the 300 to 400 basis points in EBITDA margin decline year-over-year, I guess it was a little more than I had anticipated. So maybe walk through that range that you gave us. How much of that is volume-related versus maybe dealer support? versus presumably I would anticipate that saltwater outpaces the rest of the business. I guess how much of a mixed drag would that be, if that's the correct way of looking at it?

speaker
Jack

No, you're hitting on the right points. I will tell you that the great majority of it is volume-driven, and the volume is going to come out of all the brands, not evenly, but all the brands are going to be down. The supporting of the dealers, I don't think that's going to be a huge marginal item, certainly less than 75 basis points and probably around 50 basis points. So it's not going to have that much of an impact. It's going to be mainly volume related. The thing that I think is important to understand is we've been preaching for five years now that in a down environment, in a 30% down environment, we can still be above 15% margins. And even though this may look a little bit less than what you had anticipated, looking at a 18 to 20% down type of environment and still maintaining an above 17% EBITDA margin just continues to drive home that we can be extremely profitable even in the prolonged downturn.

speaker
spk04

Okay, great. Thanks for the color, Jack. I appreciate it.

speaker
Jack

Sure.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Jamie Katz from Morningstar.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Please go ahead with your question. Has she been queued up?

speaker
David

Jamie, I'm not sure that Jamie Cass has been queued up on the Q&A session.

speaker
Jamie

And Ms. Cass, is it possible your phone is on mute?

speaker
spk02

and i apologize everyone this may be on my end one moment

speaker
Jamie Katz

Excuse me.

speaker
Cobalt

Are you ready for your next question, please?

speaker
spk15

Yes, we are.

speaker
Cobalt

Thank you. The next question comes from Jamie Katz from Morningstar. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Can you hear me now?

speaker
spk16

We can, Jamie. How are you?

speaker
Jamie Katz

Good. How are you? I think you guys had mentioned that first half revenues were going to be down 20%. So I think that sort of, you know, back end loads 2024. And I'm just curious what gives you guys the confidence to feel like maybe there will be a little bit of bounce back in consumer sentiment at the beginning of next calendar year to support that given what we're seeing currently?

speaker
Jack

Yeah, that is a fair question. Obviously, we can't predict the year. We have a really good, I think, vision on what that first quarter is going to look like. And we think that if there is a rebound, we can't promise a rebound in the second half, but we believe that that could occur in the second half. And so that's why we plan the second half up a little bit. But ultimately, the year is going to pan out and we'll know a lot more each quarter.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Are you guys seeing anything different in how consumers are maybe adding on upgrades? I know the fourth quarter sounded pretty solid, but has that changed at all as we've entered the new year? Is it that consumers are picking and choosing what they're adding just more cautiously to their units?

speaker
Jack

No, that's an interesting part of the dilemma. You know, we are seeing... Obviously, some of the velocity of the volume go down. But we're not seeing the ASPs. They continue to order and put – the people that are buying boats are putting new features, new options, upgrading the features and options that they used to have. So we're not seeing that from a standpoint of the ASPs as strong across the board.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Okay. And then lastly, is there any update to – the utilization of the new facility. I know you guys had talked about pontoons in the past, but any update there that would be noteworthy? Thanks.

speaker
Jack

Yeah, well, we're, as we said, talked about it's going to be additional capacity. And so part of what we are doing with that, and we're not utilizing all the facility for it, but we're going to be moving a part of the cobalt smaller boats to that facility. For a couple of reasons. Number one, you know, we for a number of years have just been up against the ceiling in the number of boats that we can produce. And we think that it's going to be that way again in a relatively short period of time. And Cobalt is one of the strongest brands that we have with all new product. And so as we come out of this, we think Cobalt is going to grow very, very quickly and have the capability or need the capability of producing a lot more units. So that's the first foray that we're going to utilize out of that 260,000 square foot facility and we'll start that in the second half of this year. We'll continue to build boats in Kansas. Some will be small boats and largely it will be cruisers, but we'll have two different locations that we're building cobalt If we can't make an enviable acquisition of a pontoon company over the next 15 to 18 months, then we would look to Greenfield Pontoons in the rest of that facility.

speaker
Cobalt

Right.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Excellent. Thanks.

speaker
Cobalt

The next question comes from Brandon Rollay with DA Davidson. Please go ahead.

speaker
Brandon

Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. Just briefly on the ski weight category, do you feel like the category is being impacted by potentially other segments that might be able to bring along some of the same features that ski weight boats already provide?

speaker
Jack

That's a great question, Brandon. I think it's something we've looked at a lot. It's only in what I would call that entry-level consumer. I think you do see a little bit of that. You have... a scenario in that stern drive market where their waves have improved. Are they a 7, 8, 9, 10? No. But for that entry-level customer, they don't necessarily need that 7, 8, 9, 10. And so they're looking at maybe other boats that do other things. And I think for the entire ski wake industry, I think that that really puts us on a mark of we need to figure out how to combat that if we want that entry-level consumer to And we have some plans in place that I'll probably be talking about next quarter that we think that will certainly impact that.

speaker
Brandon

Okay, great. And then just on the promotional support, you know, obviously great success with that Labor Day event being moved up. Do you feel like, you know, that's the right level of promotional activity moving forward? Or is there a potential for more support maybe on the wholesale side for dealers moving forward?

speaker
Jack

You know, it's going to be dictated by the market, really. And we think that we have planned sufficient programs in place. You know, in a couple of different brands, it's probably a little bit more than we've done even prior to COVID. But we think it's the right level. And, again, it's no more than a 50, 75 basis point decrease to the EBITDA line. And so we'll monitor it based on how the market goes. we think we have the right level, but we'll just see. But we'll also make adjustments if we need to.

speaker
Brandon

Great. And just one last question, just on the first quarter guidance for fiscal year 24. I think you had said there was an EBITDA headwind. I missed, you know, how much of a headwind there would be in the first quarter. If you could repeat that. Sorry about that.

speaker
Jack Springer

Yeah, sure. We say about double the annual decrease. So call it, you know, 500 to 700 BIPs. Okay. All right. Thank you.

speaker
Cobalt

The next question comes from Fred Whiteman with Wolf Research. Please go ahead.

speaker
Fred Whiteman

Hey, guys. Good morning. I just wanted to follow up on the comments about supplier pricing. It sounded like that caught you a little bit flat-footed. Just wondering maybe if you could quantify that and if those discussions are yielding any explanation for the disconnect.

speaker
Jack

Yeah. I mean, I wouldn't say flat-footed. I think we were surprised by it. I wouldn't I would probably prognosticate that all of the OEMs were a little bit surprised at the pricing, all the way from engines to smaller parts. They held higher. We felt like we would see more of a decrease or more of a movement back to where it was a couple of years ago and did not see that to the extent that we wanted to. Did not necessarily take that in pricing all the way through. We felt like we needed to control pricing from our standpoint and not pass that along to the consumer. To your question, have we been seeing it come down? Yes, we've been working hard, and in some cases, frankly, we've changed suppliers. I think that all of us, both dealers and OEMs, have to be very careful in this environment, especially with interest rates, and our suppliers need to be becoming more logical in their pricing, and we all need to be taking pricing down where we can.

speaker
Fred Whiteman

Great. And then just on some of the inventory stats that you guys gave, helpful to have that sort of broken out freshwater versus saltwater, but sort of a two-part question. One, how do you sort of think those compare to what you're seeing in the rest of the industry? I wasn't sure if those were Malibu only or if that was sort of an industry comment. And then two, you know, if you think that dealer inventory levels, should we be indexing those off of 19? Do you think that they sort of need to come down versus 19? How do you sort of think about that?

speaker
Jack

So on the first question, Fred, the comments that we made were relative to Malibu. So about weeks on hand being about what they were pre-COVID or maybe a little bit more in the Malibu case or our company case, MBI, and then saltwater being three to five weeks down overall. What I would tell you is that our benchmarking against the rest of the segmentation, we have been at the lower end of the spectrum for every single brand. So the inventory on hand with our dealers is less than other dealers with competitors. And so we do feel good about that. Moving to your second question, I think you get into a dilemma here. And I understand where the dealers are coming from, and I understand the costs that are being driven. But the bottom line to the equation is 50% or more of the boats are bought at the dealer lot. And if you don't have the inventory, you're not going to sell the boat. So there's a happy medium that we can't go too far and push inventories too high. Conversely, we can't go too far and not have enough inventory at dealer size because that's a guaranteed proposition for losing. So we have to work with the dealers and we have to look at things. I think to benchmark your 2019 comment, channel inventories probably need to be just slightly a tad, a little bit lower than what they were weeks on hand in 2019.

speaker
Cobalt

Super helpful. Thank you. The next question comes from Kevin Condon with Baird. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kevin Condon

Hi. Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. I wanted to ask a bit about the balance sheet. You guys didn't report any debt for the quarter. And I think in association with that settlement you announced earlier this summer that you'd be using a revolver to fund some of that. But just bigger picture, how do you feel about your capital structure and the need for any new debt to fit in there?

speaker
Jack Springer

Yeah, I think when you look at our balance sheet, even taking into account drawing on the revolver of $75 million to address the litigation settlement, we feel like we're in a very healthy position. I think as we look at it over time, that's something that we'll consider from a capital allocation perspective. And one of those things that we'll always be considering is what that means from a share repurchase perspective. But overall, we feel like we're very healthy on the balance sheet side.

speaker
Kevin Condon

Does that comment extend some of these initiatives on the new capacity you have there as well as on that tooling center? Do you feel like you can cover that?

speaker
Jack

Absolutely. So in terms of the tooling center, that's really already been covered. A great portion of the facility here in Lenore City has already been covered as a part of this. And I think a bigger question that most people are going to be asking is, what does this do from an M&A standpoint? And we still, given the facility that we have, we're very comfortable that we have the facility to pull off a pretty nice M&A transaction. if it comes to market. I think the other power of this when David talks about the borrowings of the last quarter is the rapidity because we're a 90% variable business and the rapidity with which we're gonna pay it off.

speaker
David

So we'll be back to in that leverage position pretty quickly.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Great, thank you.

speaker
Cobalt

The next question comes from Joe Altabella with Raymond James. Please go ahead. Good morning.

speaker
Joe Altabella

This is Martin Metallo on for JL Tobello. Just a quick question about the guide. You did mention the sales decline to mid to high teens. Just trying to get a breakout between volume and pricing and how those two may play off each other.

speaker
Jack Springer

Yeah, we don't typically provide guidance on the volume side, but I think you can back into it with the implied guidance that we gave around revenues. So depending on what your ASP assumption is, I'd say on the volume side, you're probably looking at a 15% to 20% down. Sounds good.

speaker
spk02

Thank you.

speaker
Cobalt

I'm not showing any further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back to Jack Springer for any further remarks.

speaker
Jack

Thank you very much. In summary, our fourth quarter and fiscal year results demonstrate the unbeatable strength and capabilities of our business model. Led by our unmatched operational manufacturing capabilities, we consistently provide the most innovative, highest quality boats to our local customer base. We continue to extend our strong track record of performance, delivering another record year for sales and EBITDA despite margin pressures as volumes and inventories normalize. While the economic environment continues to evolve, we remain very confident in our ability to execute on our strategy and match wholesale to retail demand. In every brand, we've increased market share, and in some cases, the market share increases have been in the hundreds of basis points in gains. Our strategic planning, operational excellence, and supply chain management further supports our outperformance of the marine industry and will remain a key differentiator in this environment going forward, while at the same time continuing to drive profitability from Malibu's product portfolio. Our culture of innovation continues to attract consumers to our premium suite of large, feature-rich, MBI brands, from Malibu and Axis to Cobalt to Pursuit and Maverick. We are pushing the limits on innovation and quality with our model year 24 lineup. A lot of uncertainty remains, but we are confident that in the areas of the business that we can control, which are our leading vertical integration strategies, production capabilities, our premium product portfolio, and our industry-leading operational execution, that we will drive further growth and deliver long-term value to our shareholders. I want to thank everybody for being on the call this morning and for your continued support. Have a great day. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
spk00

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Malibu Boats conference call to discuss fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2023 results. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session, and instructions will follow at that time. Please be advised that reproduction of this call in whole or in part is not permitted without written authorization of Malibu Boats. And as a reminder, today's call is being recorded. On the call today for management are Mr. Jack Springer, Chief Executive Officer, and Mr. David Black, Interim Chief Financial Officer, and Mr. Richie Anderson, Chief Operating Officer. I'll now turn the call over to Mr. Black to get started. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Jack Springer

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. On the call, Jack will provide commentary on the business, and I will discuss our fiscal, fourth quarter, and full year 2023 financials. We will then open the call up for questions. A press release covering the company's fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2023 results was issued today, and a copy of that press release can be found in the investor relations website on our company's website. I also want to remind everyone that management's remarks on this call may contain certain forward-looking statements, including predictions, expectations, estimates, or other information that might be considered forward-looking and that actual results could differ materially from those projected on today's call. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of today, and the company undertakes no obligation to update them for any new information or future events. Factors that might affect future results are discussed in our filings with the SEC, and we encourage you to review our SEC filings of these risk factors. Please note that we will be referring to certain non-GAAP financial measures on today's call, such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted fully distributed net income, and adjusted fully distributed net income per share. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP measures are included in our earnings release. I will now turn the call over to Jack Springer.

speaker
Jack

Thank you, David, and thank you all for joining the call. Fiscal year 2023 was another impressive year for Malibu, which included fourth quarter and full year results that exceeded expectations, despite an increasingly challenging environment. Our unique operating model, vertical integration capabilities, and world-class leadership continue to shine through, allowing us to take a leading position in the marine industry, no matter what the market condition we find ourselves in. For fiscal year 2023, Net sales increased 14% to a record $1.4 billion. Gross margin remained strong at 25%, and adjusted EBITDA grew 15% to a record $284 million, while adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 20.5%. ASPs across all brands continued to be extremely strong, driven by cobalt in pursuit. During the fiscal year, we made great strides to match wholesale production to retail demand. which we believe is important and responsible for our investors and our dealers. The first three quarters of the year saw us matching our production to a deficient channel inventory environment to reach more normalized channel inventory levels. The normalization occurred faster than anticipated, and in the fourth quarter, we took production down in our freshwater brands to match where channel inventories were at that point. We continue to monitor retail sales and channel inventories closely and are prepared to make adjustments quickly. As we have said repeatedly over the last several quarters, we believe the supply chain will normalize by the end of fiscal 2023 or the beginning of fiscal 2024. We can now officially say that these challenges have largely abated. While occasional pockets of weakness still exist as a normal course of doing business, we remain committed to working with our supply chain partners to ensure normalized supply going forward. While the retail environment remains uncertain, We are leveraging our culture of operational excellence to successfully navigate any lingering supply chain headwinds to provide the highest quality boats on market. The supply chain area that has not corrected is pricing from suppliers. We were surprised to see the increases this spring, and it is an area that we will continue to work on with our suppliers. With a more normalized supply chain, OEM production capabilities have also normalized, And the retail environment is now the largest contributing factor to our channel inventories faster than anticipated recovery. In general, our freshwater segments are at pre-COVID levels or even higher in some cases. Conversely, saltwater channel inventories are still slightly below the pre-COVID inventory levels, but within five weeks on hand. We are seeing that nearly all manufacturers have had to cut back production to some extent due to weakening demand consistent across the broader marine industry, which resulted in a softer fourth quarter from a retail perspective. This is primarily due to dealers expressing caution in taking on new inventory amid rising interest rates, more normalized channels, recessionary concerns, and weather-driven order delays. Regarding interest rates, dealers have faced the effect of higher inventory levels on their lots, compounded with paying higher interest rates on that inventory, which has driven their costs higher and made them more passive about carrying higher levels of inventory. On the consumer side, we are seeing customers delay bulk purchases in what historically has been a strong season for them to buy. For example, our freshwater segment, particularly in the ski weight category, experienced weakness as a result of unseasonable weather conditions across the country through June. The cool, rainy spring across the country, along with drought conditions in certain regions of Texas, which is the number one state for wake boats, delayed the customer's appetite to purchase. However, despite the slow start to the selling season, we have continued to gain share across the board in all of our brands. Year to date, through July, Malibu Axis has gained 320 basis points of share with Malibu and Axis both having the largest share gains by a large margin over competitors. The trailing 12-month share has increased 180 basis points again, with Malibu and Axis being the far and away leaders of share gains. The January through July market share has been exceptionally strong and in some months exceeding 35% for our Malibu and Axis brands. Within Cobalt, in our Stern Drive segment, we have gained 180 basis points of share over the trailing 12-month period And year to date, our Stern Drive share is up 240 basis points, topping 35%, and increasing our share lead over the nearest competitor by nearly 1,700 basis points in the 23-foot to 36-foot segment where we play. In the saltwater segment, we are gaining share in all of our brands across our competitive segments. Year to date, Pursuit has gained 270 basis points of share against its competitive segment, and Colvia has gained 80 basis points of share. Pathfinder continues to perform extremely well, extending the share lead in its competitive segment. The trailing 12 months and the year-to-date share gain is 300 basis points for Pathfinder. Fiscal year 2023 has been very strong for all of our brands in picking up market share as we continue to stand out with purchasers, proving that we are winning the competitive battles with great products, better dealers, and a much better value proposition. This also goes to show that our customers remain fiercely loyal while we are being successful at converting buyers to our brands. With our longstanding experience successfully navigating through challenging market cycles, we are confident in our operational capabilities coupled with our ability to execute in any environment, all the while continuing to push the pace of innovation. New products are the lifeblood of our brands, and we continue to rev our engines and push full throttle when it comes to delivering premium products for all MBI brands. Our actions have allowed us to maintain our dominant position in every market we serve, and we continue to invest in products that make us the strongest player in the marine industry. Our model year 2024 lineup only raises the bar further on the innovation our customers expect from us. To that end, we are extremely excited to announce our exceptional 2024 product lineup. For Malibu and Axis, we are again, once again, introducing four new boats, which is far more than any other competitor. This includes the all-new 23 LSV, the best-selling towboat of all time, the new and highly anticipated M242, which takes our M series to the next level of premium features and performance. For Axis, we have our new A245, which is one of the best-selling Axis models. With these new additions, we believe the Malibu and Axis brands will continue to perform strongly and build upon their leading position. Turning to Cobalt, we are replacing our most dated series of boats with an all-new Cobalt Sport Series in the 22 to 23-foot segment. This will include both two stern drive boats and a new surf boat featuring Malibu's proprietary surf gates which completely transformed the surf industry over the last decade, first in wake boats and then in the stern drive segment. We are also introducing a new R33 surf boat, our largest surf boat ever at 33 feet, which will feature SurfGate and all of our proprietary technology. Additionally, the rollout of the monsoon engine to cobalt boats has begun, and we will scale this opportunity over the next few years. At Pursuit, We are introducing the brand-new OS 405, the smaller brother to the highly successful OS 445, as well as a new center console that will be introduced in the first quarter of fiscal year 2024. Paired with the successful build-out of our 100,000-square-foot tooling design center on Pursuit property, which is part of our multi-year plan to bring product tooling in-house, we are extremely optimistic and excited about the future of the Pursuit brand. For Maverick Boat Company, we are developing much-needed new products for Cobia and Pathfinder. Between the two brands, we will introduce four new models which will bring the portfolio more current and compel buyers with exciting new features while retaining the attributes that have made Pathfinder and Cobia top of the segment performers. As we look ahead, the outlook remains mixed, driven largely by dealer concerns with retail and channel inventories reaching adequate inventory levels. It is important to remember that for the last three years, we have been building every boat we possibly could due to the COVID generated demand and the supply chain issues everyone encountered. Now, we are very focused on matching our supply with the retail demand environment. We currently expect fiscal year 2024 to be down versus fiscal year 2023. In 2023, channel inventories were still too low and production was in full throttle building boats to return back to where inventories had historically been. We also expect dealer headwinds throughout fiscal year 2024. Dealers are currently displaying a lack of confidence due to delayed retail and interest rates that are more than double for dealers and consumers versus two to three years ago. Based on what we are currently seeing, we expect wholesale demand to be decreased across all of our brands. David will discuss this as part of our full year outlook in a few minutes. As we have stated, dealers are concerned about the retail environment. However, I want to be very clear that this is not 2009 when the customer disappeared. What we have been able to confirm is the retail customer is still there and willing to purchase. In September, we had planned to have a Labor Day promotion for Malibu and Access to keep channel inventories in check and assist dealers in moving 2023 product. We decided to move this event up to July, beginning the 4th of July weekend. Despite seeing lower retail in May and June, we were astounded at the positive results of this event. Unit sales were 52% more than what we had projected. This led to our warranty registrations being the highest in the last six years except for 2020 when anything that had an engine sold. Registrations were 151 units ahead of 2019, which we have been benchmarking against for a while. This convinces us the customers are out there. We and our dealers have to be creative and reach them. Overall, our team's hard work, commitment to excellence, and agility in the midst of an ongoing challenging environment has delivered superior results. As we embark in fiscal year 2024, we believe we will only further our track record of success. Our unbeatable culture of operational excellence combined with our loyal customer base, introduction of our new model year 2024 product, and vertical integration efforts will allow us to successfully navigate any choppy waters we face and extend our industry-leading position. This will undoubtedly leave us extremely well-positioned to drive substantial growth and profitability, all the while delivering long-term value for our shareholders in fiscal year 2024 and beyond. I will now turn the call over to David for further remarks on the quarter.

speaker
Jack Springer

Thanks, Jack. In the fourth quarter, net sales increased 5.4% to 372.3 million, and unit volumes decreased 1.8% to 2,550 votes. The increase in net sales was driven primarily by increased unit volumes in our saltwater fishing segment and a favorable model mix across all segments, partially offset by lower unit volumes in the Malibu and Cobalt segments, and by increased dealer flooring program costs resulting from higher interest rates and increased inventory levels. The Malibu and Access brands represented approximately 41.1% of unit sales, or 1,253 boats. Cobalt represented 22.4%, or 571 boats, and saltwater fishing represented the remaining 28.5%, or 726 boats. Consolidated net sales per unit increased 7.3% to approximately 146,000, primarily driven by year-over-year price increases and favorable model mix partially offset by increased dealer flooring costs. Gross profit increased 14.3% to 102.5 million, and gross margin was 27.5%. This compares to a gross margin of 25.4% in the prior year. Selling and marketing expenses increased 1.8% to $5.4 million in the fourth quarter. As a percentage of sales, selling and marketing expenses were flat year over year at 1.5%. General and administrative expenses increased 587.3% or $100.8 million. The increase was driven primarily by settlement of product liability cases for $100 million. The remaining increase in general and administrative expenses was driven by an increase in compensation and personnel-related expenses. As a percentage of sales, G&A expenses, excluding amortization, was 31.7%. Net income for the quarter decreased 136.3% to a loss of $18 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased 21.9% to $90.1 million. and adjusted EBITDA margin increased 330 basis points to 24.2%. Non-GAAP adjusted fully distributed net income per share increased 22.6% to $2.98 per share. This is calculated utilizing a C-Corp tax rate of 24.3% and a fully distributed weighted average share count of approximately 21.3 million shares. For a reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA and adjusted fully distributed net income per share to GAAP metrics, please see the tables in our earnings release. Our performance in fiscal year 2023 reaffirmed our role as industry trailblazers, emphasizing our dedication to innovation and operational efficiency. We focused on navigating a volatile retail environment but we are confident in the foundation we have built operationally along with the strength of our premium portfolio and the agility of our entire team. Our premium boats continue to be highly sought after by consumers and our 2024 model year introduction will continue to push the limits and strengthen our market leading position. This combined with our previously outlined plans to increase our manufacturing capacity expand our vertical integration footprint, grow our distribution network, and bring key capabilities in-house leaves us extremely well positioned to drive market share gains as we enter fiscal year 2024 and beyond. Looking at full year numbers, net sales increased 14.3% to a record 1.39 billion, and unit volumes increased 6.6% to 9,863 votes. Consolidated net sales per unit increased 7.2% to $140,765, driven by increased sales of new, more expensive models, high optional feature revenues, and inflationary year-over-year price increases, partially offset by increased dealer flooring program costs. Gross profit increased 13.3%, to $351.3 million, Net income for the year decreased 34% to $107.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased 15.2% to $284 million for the full year. For the full year, non-GAAP adjusted fully distributed earnings per share increased 16.2% to $9.19 per share. Echoing JAXA sentiments, while the outlook for fiscal year 2024 presents some uncertainties, Our unmatched innovation, product quality, and team agility position us at the forefront of the marine industry. Despite this uncertainty, we will continue to showcase our best-in-class operational capabilities matching wholesale to retail demand as we launch our new model year lineup. Highlighted by our unmatched innovation, quality, and feature-rich boats, we believe we are positioned extraordinarily well within the marine industry as we continue to gain share and deliver for our customers. Based on our current operating plan, our expectations for fiscal year 2024 are as follows. We anticipate a year-over-year decline in net sales ranging from mid to high teens percentage. In terms of cadence, we anticipate a first half revenue decline approaching 20%. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be down 300 to 400 basis points year-over-year with first quarter headwinds of double the annual rates. In closing, Fiscal year 2023 was another momentous year for Malibu. We continue to navigate retail uncertainty in an evolving operating environment while delivering solid quarterly and full year results, proving that no matter the challenge, we have the visionary leadership, tried and true strategy, and unmatched production capabilities to push the throttle forward in the year ahead. Our differentiated best-in-class portfolio continues to perform at the top of the marine industry, and our fiscal year 2024 lineup will only drive further market share growth and profitability in each of the markets we serve. Overall, we remain extremely confident in our ability to extend our leading position and deliver long-term value for our customers and shareholders. With that, I'd like to open the call up for questions.

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we'll begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, please press star and one on your touchtone telephones. If you would like to withdraw your questions, you may press star and two to remove yourself from the question queue.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question today comes from Michael Swartz from Trustee Securities.

speaker
Operator

Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Mike

Hey, good morning, guys. Maybe just to start on retail demand, obviously we've all seen the numbers year-to-date, and obviously the ski, wake, or towboat segment has been one of the softer areas within the industry. So maybe, Jack, I guess what do you attribute that to? Is that just the impact of pricing over the past couple years, or is there something more to that? And I guess any commentary on what you see maybe in the retail trends over the past maybe four to six weeks?

speaker
Jack

Yeah, Mike, I think there are several elements to this. One would be pricing, although I wouldn't say that pricing in the ski wake segment has been outpacing other segments. What I think that we're seeing a little bit more than anything is maybe people were waiting a little bit longer to trade in their boat and buy their boat. Some other factors that I believe certainly exist is you do have some segment of that, especially on the access side, the consumers dependent upon interest rates. And it's become very apparent that interest rates are an issue for our dealers as well as for consumers in certain markets. The third thing I would point to is weather. And although we hate to point to weather, the simple fact of the matter is that in May and June it was a cooler spring. And then one thing that you haven't heard a lot about and no one has really talked about it is there is a drought going on in certain sections of Texas And that being the number one ski wake segment, I think, is having an impact. In terms of what we've seen over the last six or eight weeks, and I alluded to this in the remarks, but a little bit of the concern is always, hey, are we dealing with a scenario where the customer has disappeared? And with the program that we ran over the 4th of July and for the month of July, that showed us that they're not. To have warranty registrations of 156 more than 2019 was pretty staggering for us. I think more than anything, that just showed us we have to figure out the way in all of our brands, not just KeyWay, to reach that consumer and entice them to buy.

speaker
Mike

Okay. Thank you. That's helpful. And then just on the guidance, the 300 to 400 basis points in EBITDA margin decline year over year, I guess it was a little more than I had anticipated. So maybe walk through that range that you gave us. How much of that is volume related versus maybe dealer support versus presumably I would anticipate that salt water outpaces the rest of the business. I guess how much of a mixed drag would that be if that's the correct way of looking at it?

speaker
Jack

You're hitting on the right points. I will tell you that the great majority of it is volume driven. The volume is going to come out of all the brands, not evenly. but all the brands are going to be down. The supporting of the dealers, I don't think that's going to be a huge marginal item, certainly less than 75 basis points and probably around 50 basis points. So it's not going to have that much of an impact. It's going to be mainly volume related. The thing that I think is important to understand is we've been preaching for five years now that in a down environment, in a 30% down environment, we can still be above 15% of margins. And even though this may look a little bit less than what you had anticipated, looking at a 18% to 20% down type of environment and still maintaining an above 17% EBITDA margin just continues to drive home that we can be extremely profitable even in a prolonged downturn.

speaker
spk04

Okay, great. Thanks for the color, Jack. I appreciate it.

speaker
Jack

Sure.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Jamie Katz from Morningstar. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Jamie

And Ms. Katz, is it possible your phone is on mute?

speaker
spk02

And I apologize, everyone. This may be on my end. One moment.

speaker
Cobalt

Excuse me. Are you ready for your next question, please?

speaker
spk15

Yes, we are.

speaker
Cobalt

Thank you. The next question comes from Jamie Katz from Morningstar. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Can you hear me now?

speaker
spk16

We can, Jamie. How are you?

speaker
Jamie Katz

Good. How are you? Good. I think you guys had mentioned that first half revenues were going to be down 20%. So I think that sort of, you know, back-end loads 2024. And I'm just curious what gives you guys the confidence to feel like maybe there will be a little bit of bounce back in consumer sentiment at the beginning of next calendar year to support that given what we're seeing currently.

speaker
Jack

Yeah, that is a fair question. Obviously, we can't predict the year. We have a really good, I think, vision on what that first quarter is going to look like. And we think that if there is a rebound, we can't promise a rebound in the second half, but we believe that that could occur in the second half. And so that's why we plan the second half up a little bit. But ultimately, the year is going to pan out, and we'll know a lot more each quarter.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Are you guys seeing anything different in how consumers are – maybe adding on upgrades. I know the fourth quarter sounded pretty solid, but has that changed at all as we've entered the new year? Is it that consumers are picking and choosing what they're adding just more cautiously to their units?

speaker
Jack

No, that's an interesting part of the dilemma. We are seeing, obviously, some of the velocity of the volume go down, but we're not seeing the ASPs. They continue to order and put the people that are buying boats are putting new features, new options, upgrading the features and options that they used to have. So we're not seeing that from a standpoint of the ASPs as strong across the board.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Okay. And then lastly, is there any update to the utilization of the new facility? I know you guys had talked about pontoons in the past, but any update there that would be noteworthy? Thanks.

speaker
Jack

Yeah, well, we're, as we said, talked about it's going to be additional capacity. And so part of what we are doing with that, and we're not utilizing all the facility for it, but we're going to be moving a part of the cobalt smaller boats to that facility for a couple of reasons. Number one, you know, we for a number of years have just been up against the ceiling in the number of boats that we can produce. And we think that it's going to be that way again in a relatively short period of time. And Cobalt is one of the strongest brands that we have with all new product. And so as we come out of this, we think Cobalt is going to grow very, very quickly and have the capability or need the capability of producing a lot more units. So that's the first foray that we're going to utilize out of that 260,000 square foot facility. And we'll start that in the second half of this year. We'll continue to build boats in Kansas. Some will be small boats and largely it will be cruisers. but we'll have two different locations that we're building cobalt. If we can't make an enviable acquisition of a pontoon company over the next 15 to 18 months, then we would look to greenfield pontoons in the rest of that facility.

speaker
Cobalt

Right.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Excellent. Thanks.

speaker
Cobalt

The next question comes from Brandon Rollay with DA Davidson. Please go ahead.

speaker
Brandon

Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. Just briefly on the ski weight category, do you feel like the category is being impacted by potentially other segments that might be able to bring along some of the same features that ski weight boats already provide?

speaker
Jack

Yeah, that's a great question, Brandon. I think, and it's something we've looked at a lot, it's only in what I would call that entry-level consumer. I think you do see a little bit of that. You have a scenario in that stern drive market where their waves have improved. Are they a 7, 8, 9, 10? No. But for that entry-level customer, they don't necessarily need that 7, 8, 9, 10. And so they're looking at maybe other boats that do other things. And I think for the entire ski wake industry, I think that that really puts us on a mark of we need to figure out how to combat that if we want that entry-level consumer to And we have some plans in place that I'll probably be talking about next quarter that we think that will certainly impact that.

speaker
Brandon

Okay, great. And then just on the promotional support, you know, obviously great success with that Labor Day event being moved up. Do you feel like, you know, that's the right level of promotional activity moving forward? Or is there a potential for more support maybe on the wholesale side for dealers moving forward?

speaker
Jack

You know, it's going to be dictated by the market, really. And we think that we have planned sufficient programs in place. You know, in a couple of different brands, it's probably a little bit more than we've done even prior to COVID. But we think it's the right level. And, again, it's no more than a 50, 75 basis point decrease to the EBITDA line. And so we'll monitor it based on how the market goes. we think we have the right level, but we'll just see. But we'll also make adjustments if we need to.

speaker
Brandon

Great. And just one last question, just on the first quarter guidance for fiscal year 24. I think you had said there was an EBITDA headwind. I missed, you know, how much of a headwind there would be in the first quarter. If you could repeat that. Sorry about that.

speaker
Jack Springer

Yes, sir. We say about double the annual decrease, so call it, you know, 500 to 700 BIPs.

speaker
Brandon

Okay.

speaker
Jack Springer

All right. Thank you.

speaker
Cobalt

The next question comes from Fred Whiteman with Wolf Research. Please go ahead.

speaker
Fred Whiteman

Hey, guys. Good morning. I just wanted to follow up on the comments about supplier pricing. It sounded like that caught you a little bit flat-footed. Just wondering maybe if you could quantify that and if those discussions are yielding any explanation for the disconnect.

speaker
Jack

Yeah. I mean, I wouldn't say flat-footed. I think we were surprised by it. I wouldn't I would probably prognosticate that all of the OEMs were a little bit surprised at the pricing, all the way from engines to smaller parts. They held higher. We felt like we would see more of a decrease or more of a movement back to where it was a couple of years ago and did not see that to the extent that we wanted to. Did not necessarily take that in pricing all the way through. We felt like we needed to control pricing from our standpoint and not pass that along to the consumer. To your question, have we been seeing it come down? Yes, we've been working hard, and in some cases, frankly, we've changed suppliers. I think that all of us, both dealers and OEMs, have to be very careful in this environment, especially with interest rates, and our suppliers need to be becoming more logical in their pricing, and we all need to be taking pricing down where we can.

speaker
Fred Whiteman

Great. And then just on some of the inventory stats that you guys gave, helpful to have that sort of broken out freshwater versus saltwater, but sort of a two-part question. One, how do you sort of think those compare to what you're seeing in the rest of the industry? I wasn't sure if those were Malibu only or if that was sort of an industry comment. And then two, you know, if you think that dealer inventory levels, should we be indexing those off of 19? Do you think that they sort of need to come down versus 19? How do you sort of think about that?

speaker
Jack

So on the first question, Fred, the comments that we made were relative to Malibu. So about weeks on hand being about what they were pre-COVID or maybe a little bit more in the Malibu case or our company case, NBI, and then saltwater being three to five weeks down overall. What I would tell you is that our benchmarking against the rest of the segmentation, we have been at the lower end of the spectrum for every single brand. So the inventory on hand with our dealers is less than other dealers with competitors. And so we do feel good about that. Moving to your second question, I think, you know, you get into a dilemma here. And I understand where the dealers are coming from, and I understand the costs that are being driven. But the bottom line to the equation is 50% or more of the boats are bought at the dealer lot. And if you don't have the inventory, you're not going to sell the boat. So there's a happy medium that we can't go too far and push inventories too high. Conversely, we can't go too far and not have enough inventory at dealer size because that's a guaranteed proposition for losing. So we have to work with the dealers and we have to look at things. I think to benchmark your 2019 comment, channel inventories probably need to be just slightly a tad, a little bit lower than what they were weeks on hand in 2019.

speaker
Cobalt

Super helpful. Thank you. The next question comes from Kevin Condon with Baird. Please go ahead. Hi.

speaker
Kevin Condon

Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. I wanted to ask a bit about the balance sheet. You guys didn't report any debt for the quarter. And I think in association with that settlement you announced earlier this summer that you'd be using a revolver to fund some of that. But just bigger picture, how do you feel about your capital structure and the need for any new debt to fit in there?

speaker
Jack Springer

Yeah, I think when you look at our balance sheet, even taking into account drawing on the revolver of $75 million to address the litigation settlement, we feel like we're in a very healthy position. I think as we look at it over time, that's something that we'll consider from a capital allocation perspective. And one of those things that we'll always be considering is what that means from a share repurchase perspective. But overall, we feel like we're very healthy on the balance sheet side.

speaker
Kevin Condon

Does that comment extend some of these initiatives on the new capacity you have there as well as that tooling center? Do you feel like you can cover that?

speaker
Jack

Absolutely. So in terms of the tooling center, that's really already been covered. A great portion of the facility here in Lenore City has already been covered as a part of this. And I think a bigger question that most people are going to be asking is, what does this do from an M&A standpoint? And we still, given the facility that we have, we're very comfortable that we have the facility to pull off a pretty nice M&A transaction. if it comes to market. I think the other power of this when David talks about the borrowings of the last quarter is the rapidity because we're a 90% variable business and the rapidity with which we're gonna pay it off.

speaker
David

So we'll be back to in that leverage position pretty quickly.

speaker
Jamie Katz

Great, thank you.

speaker
Cobalt

The next question comes from Joe Altabella with Raymond James. Please go ahead. Good morning.

speaker
Joe Altabella

This is Martin Metallo on for Joe Tabello. Just a quick question about the guide. You did mention the sales decline to mid to high teens. Just trying to get a breakout between volume and pricing and how those two may play off each other.

speaker
Jack Springer

Yeah, we don't typically provide guidance on the volume side, but I think you can back into it with the implied guidance that we gave around revenues. So depending on what your ASP assumption is, I'd say on the volume side, you're probably looking at a 15% to 20% down. Sounds good.

speaker
spk02

Thank you.

speaker
Cobalt

I'm not showing any further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back to Jack Springer for any further remarks.

speaker
Jack

Thank you very much. In summary, our fourth quarter and fiscal year results demonstrate the unbeatable strength and capabilities of our business model. Led by our unmatched operational manufacturing capabilities, we consistently provide the most innovative, highest quality boats to our local customer base. We continue to extend our strong track record of performance, delivering another record year for sales and EBITDA despite margin pressures as volumes and inventories normalize. While the economic environment continues to evolve, we remain very confident in our ability to execute on our strategy and match wholesale to retail demand. In every brand, we've increased market share, and in some cases, the market share increases have been in the hundreds of basis points in gains. Our strategic planning, operational excellence, and supply chain management further supports our outperformance of the marine industry and will remain a key differentiator in this environment going forward, while at the same time continuing to drive profitability from Malibu's product portfolio. Our culture of innovation continues to attract consumers to our premium suite of large, feature-rich, MBI brands from Malibu and Axis to Cobalt to Pursuit and Maverick. We are pushing the limits on innovation and quality with our model year 24 lineup. A lot of uncertainty remains, but we are confident that in the areas of the business that we can control, which are our leading vertical integration strategies, production capabilities, our premium product portfolio, and our industry-leading operational execution, that we will drive further growth and deliver long-term value to our shareholders. I want to thank everybody for being on the call this morning and for your continued support. Have a great day.

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