Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Q3 2022 Earnings Conference Call

11/9/2022

speaker
Operator
Hello everyone and welcome to the Mirim Q3 2022 Business Update. My name is Emily and I'll be coordinating your call today. At the end of today's presentation, you will have the opportunity to ask a question by pressing start followed by the number one on your telephone keypads. I'll now turn the call over to our host, Ian Clements, CFO of Mirim. Please go ahead, Ian.
speaker
Ian Clements
Thanks, Emily. Good morning, everyone. I'd like to welcome you to Mirim Pharmaceuticals' third quarter 2022 conference call. I'm joined today by our president and CEO, Chris Peets, our chief operating officer, Peter Radovich, our head of R&D, Pam Vick, and Professor Richard Thompson from King's College London. Earlier this morning, Miriam issued a news release announcing the company's results for the third quarter of 2022. Copies of this news release and SEC filings can be found in the investor section of our website. Given that we have Professor Thompson on the call today to discuss the exciting full results from our phase three March PFIC study, as presented earlier this week at ASLD, we intend to keep the rest of our updates brief. Full details on updates from the quarter can be found in our news release and the 10Q issued this morning. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that during the course of this conference call, we'll be making certain forward-looking statements about MIRIAM and our programs based on management's current expectations, including statements regarding MIRIAM's business plans, development programs, strategies, prospects, market opportunities and financial forecasts and guidance. Miriam is under no duty to update these statements, and they are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, and actual results could differ materially from the results anticipated by these statements. Investors should read the risk factors set forth in Miriam's 10-K for the year ended December 31st, 2021, and any subsequent reports filed with the SEC. With that said, I'd like to turn the call over to Chris. Chris. Thank you, Ian.
speaker
Chris Peets
And good morning to everyone joining us on the call today. The last quarter for Miriam was packed with major milestones as we continue to realize our vision of bringing life-changing medicines to patients suffering from rare diseases around the world. The Live Marley launch in the U.S. continues to track well with 47.2 million in net sales year to date, on track for an estimated 70 million in net product sales in 2022 for a strong first full year of approval. Setting the stage for growth outside the U.S., we recently received a positive CHMP opinion for Live Marley in Europe for treatment of cholestatic colitis and Allochill syndrome, two months of age and older. And our launches in key European countries next year will also be supplemented by further approvals and demand from partner markets, like the recently announced approval in Israel. And we're excited about the potential for label expansion based on the positive results of the March PFIC Phase 3 study. These data build on the years of treatment experience we have in Allochill syndrome and PFIC with a broader genetic type and higher response rate than earlier studies, showing the potential for improved outcomes for patients. It is a moment where the Mirim team is hitting its stride on both commercial performance and realizing the value of our pipeline. The great advances we've made at Mirim are only possible with the participation of patients and dedicated researchers. On that note, we're delighted to have Professor Thompson join us today to share the recently presented details from the March PFIC Phase 3 study. And with that, I'll pass the call over to Peter for a couple brief remarks on the commercial business before diving into the new clinical data.
speaker
Miriam
Peter? Thanks, Chris. Today, I'll share additional color around Live Marley's third quarter net product sales and upcoming plans for the commercial business. We are happy with the continued quarterly growth with 18.8 million in Live Marley net sales in the third quarter. And we are raising full year net product sales guidance estimate for Live Marley to 70 million. We continue to observe high levels of compliance and persistence to Live Marley and maintain strong reimbursement. Coming into the fall, we've seen an acceleration in new patient starts on Live Marley and continue to believe we're early in reaching the full addressable Allergial Syndrome patient population in the United States. Our commercial business is strong and profitable, which positions us well as we turn to launches in international markets. Germany will be the first European country to come online in Q1 of 2023, with others following over the course of 2023 and into 2024. Beyond our core US and EU markets, we also expect to see contribution in 2023 from our partner markets, with several approvals occurring over the next 12 to 18 months. And outside the United States, over 130 Algeo patients are currently receiving Live Marley from clinical and expanded access programs. These patients will be eligible to transition to commercial Live Marley upon local approvals. On that note, I will turn the call over to Pam. Pam?
speaker
Peter
Thanks, Peter. Over the last few months, our team has continued to take major strides in advancing Live Marley for pediatric cholestatic diseases. We've just returned from the ASLD LIBER meeting where we presented exciting late-breaking data. First, we reported on PK safety and tolerability in infants with allogeal from two months of age to one year of age. These results observed in infants were similar to those observed in children greater than one year of age. We also showed real-world safety and tolerability data, which demonstrated a profile that was well-tolerated with only 8% GI-related disorders, including diarrhea and no GI-related discontinuation from this analysis. Now, this aligns with feedback from the commercial use of the product where the tolerability profile has been very well-received. This profile, along with the efficacy observed in algeol, including the six-year outcomes data that have been previously presented, really highlights the ability of Livmarly to make a meaningful impact in these patients' lives. Now, we are most thrilled by the late-breaking presentation of our March PFIC Phase III study by Professor Thompson. The March study enrolled 93 PFIC patients, which is the largest PFIC study conducted. The study met its primary endpoint and secondary endpoints and included PFIC types that have not previously been studied. The postulation that higher doses would translate to a greater magnitude of response and higher response rates has played through, and the magnitude of effects observed across the PFIC types exceeded our expectations. And we're so excited about what this means for PFIC patients, and this deep data set will help answer questions that have until now gone unanswered, and we're looking forward to digging even deeper. And with that said, it is a pleasure to hand over to Professor Thompson. Professor?
speaker
Peter
Thank you very much indeed. So as a pediatrician who looks after children with liver disease and conducts research into the underlying causes of these diseases, I'm really pleased to be able to present these data because I think they are important. And following Pam's introduction, I think we can jump straight through to the slide four, which talks about what PFIC is, which is progressive familial intrapatic codostasis, which is actually a group of genetic disorders characterized by abnormalities of bile composition and flow. The consequence of those genetic abnormalities is these children have got progressive liver disease. But clinically, the most important thing is that they have this intense itch or pruritus, And other consequences thereof, in particular, this impacts on their quality of life. And in fact, not just of them, but of their whole family. The most frequent of the types of PFIC is bile salt export plant deficiency. And patients with this disorder are the focus of the primary cohort in this particular study. But as you will see from the slide, there are a number of other Subtypes are also described, in particular, FIC1 deficiency and ARC3 deficiency, TJP2 and myosin 5B deficiencies, all of which are in the other PFIC cohort which I'll go through today. Previously, we've treated all these patients with a variety of off-label drugs which have had some benefit, mainly on the pruritus rather than the liver disease. But we have historically used surgical interruption of the enteropathic circulation of bile acids which requires the formation of a stoma and external bile drainage every day which we do believe has helped approximately 50% of patients who have been treated in that way but it is a fairly major surgery and I believe as a consequence many patients have not been offered that form of surgery because there's quite a high threshold to offer a form of surgery with only a 50% chance of a significant improvement. As a consequence of our limited repertoire of treatments, historically the majority of patients have ended up with liver transplants in childhood, which is an effective form of treatment, but obviously is a major undertaking associated with considerable risk. So I'm delighted that IBAC inhibitors are now becoming available and as an alternative pharmacological treatment for these conditions. If you move to slide five, you'll see the concept, which is the bile acids undergo this enteropathic circulation from being synthesized in the liver, excreted in bile. They're used in the small intestine for the absorption of fats and fat-soluble vitamins, but those that are not used in each cycle are reabsorbed in the terminal volume by the ileal bile acid transporter, which is a sodium cuttle transporter. Bile acids that are absorbed from the intestine return through the portal vein straight back to the liver from where they're extracted, and they go around that cycle in normal healthy individuals. Patients with PFIC have a reduced transport capacity in the liver, and they have lower levels, therefore, of bile acids in the intestine, but most importantly, they have accumulation of bile acids in the liver where it is strongly associated with the pruritus, but also with progression of liver disease, as you will see. On the right-hand side, from previous studies, we have certainly seen that Maralexibas has been capable of improving the pruritus, reducing the bile acid pool size, as measured by the peripheral serum bile acids. And we have, in our Phase II study, shown that those who do respond are associated with prolonged negative survival in the avoidance of transplantation. Slide 6 shows you the schema of this randomized study, and this was in children with PFIC, a less than, older 12 months of age, randomized 50-50 to either receive Maralexibat or placebo. And this dose of Maralexibat is considerably higher than the dose we used in the initial phase two studies, and I think that probably is quite important in the difference in results we've seen in this study. The patients on entry had to have persistent pruritus, which had to be moderate or severe, persistent, elevated serum bile acids as a further marker of cholestasis. The vast majority of patients went on into their own labelled phase three study, phase two study where they got drug, or the phase three study where they got drug in the March on study. Slide seven shows you the distribution of patients. The full study cohort, as Pam said, was 93. On the top right-hand corner is the primary cohort, those with BSEP deficiency, which had to be non-truncating, so that's the vast majority, 90% of patients with BSAP deficiency fall into this category, but they have potential for some residual BSAP function. Combined with the other pale box below those is the other PFIC cohorts that I referred to previously, the FIC1 MDR3, TJP2, and myosin 5B deficiency. So the data I'll present today are on the BSAP primary cohorts, the other PFIC cohorts, which then combine to form the all-PFIC cohorts. The group on the bottom right are assortment of other phenotypes, which are clinically important but more heterogeneous. And I haven't got endpoint data on those today, but they are included in the safety data, which I'll discuss. slide 8 shows you the details of the endpoints of this study. In particular, the left-hand side, the primary endpoint was an improvement in pruritus measured by the ITRO tool, which has been previously published, and that is an improvement in the BSAP cohort. A number of clinically and biologically important secondary endpoints are shown on the right-hand side. In particular, similar changes in pruritus were looked for in the whole rest of the PFIC cohort. But biologically, improvements in serum bile acids as a marker of cholestasis were looked at in the different groups, along with a responder analysis on a patient-by-patient basis, which I'll show you some of as well. There's a whole range of biologically and clinically important secondary endpoints, including changes in bilirubin and changes such as growth, which I'll show you some preliminary data on those as well. Slide 9 shows the distribution of the patients at the time of enrollment in terms of the BTEC cohorts. then the all PFIC cohort, and then the full cohort on the right-hand side. You can see these are all children, mainly in the first decade of life, all had significant pruritus on the scale which goes from zero to four. They had extremely elevated serum bile acid. You can see the BSEP cohort were around 300 compared to a normal range in the general population of less than 14, one to four micromoles per liter. The vast majority of patients we've been treating with also deoxycholic acid, which is widely available and very happily used, hydrophilic bile acid, which is perceived to have some small improvements in this condition. And approximately 50% were on rifampicin, which is, again, an off-label use of an antibiotic from which some patients appear to drive a small benefit. Patients were left on those drugs, unmodified, trudling, so it's a study. As you can see, the ALT is a reflection of the fact that they got liver disease, they got raised transaminases, suggesting they've got ongoing liver damage at onset. The majority of patients were jaundiced, that's measured by the bilirubin and particularly the direct bilirubin, although not all patients, approximately a third of the B-step patients actually were not jaundiced at onset. Bilirubin isn't an intrinsic part of the disease, but is a marker of how well the liver is functioning as a secondary consequence. As you can see at the bottom, measured by the Z-score, Overall, this cohort were failing to thrive in both height and weight at baseline. Slide 10 shows you the details of the primary endpoints, and all these variables were assessed using the mixed model repeated measurement technique of analysis, which interrogates all the data from 15 weeks to 26 as compared to baseline. On the left-hand side of this slide, you'll see the changes observed in the primary cohort in the BSAP patients who achieved a very significant improvement in pruritus as a cohort. And it was with some placebo change in the placebo group, which we expect, we always get improvements in placebo in patients enrolled in studies such as this. But the difference between the treatment group and the placebo group was marked and highly statistically significant. On the right-hand side, you can see that the same data represented longitudinally with clear separation of the treatment group and placebo group very early on from approximately two weeks of exposure. The pruritus response continued to improve over the first few months and appears to reach steady state for about two months of treatment and then persisted for the duration of, I think, 26 weeks. Line 11 shows you very similar data for the other PFIC cohort with these other diseases listed at the top there. And in fact, if anything else, if anything, the separation of the patients with treatments of malalixibatin and placebo was even greater. And again, obviously, highly significant in these other additional patients. On the right-hand side, those patients are shown in the darker red and blue plots and superimposed in the paler color. are the results that I showed you just now for the BSEP cohort, and as you can see, they are really effectively superimposable. Not surprisingly, therefore, on slide 12, when we combine the all PFIC cohort, which is the previous two sets of data combined, we get a significant improvement and a very nice plot on the right-hand side showing clear separation and resistance of the effect between the treated and untreated patients. slide 13 shows some of the biochemical data and the most important being the changes in serum bile acids to gain that over the last 12 weeks of the study and there was a in the BSAP cohort shown here there was a marked improvements in serum bile acids the reduction of 176 micromoles per liter compared to the baseline of approximately 300 as a cohort in the group, but really no change from baseline in the placebo group. And again, those figures are shown on the right-hand side longitudinally. And here, I think it's very clear that not only was there a significant improvement at two weeks, but we've pretty much achieved a steady state in the first month of treatment. So probably not surprising that the changes in serum bile acids predate the changes in pruritus, as this is really getting closer to the actual biological change, which we're hoping to achieve with the drug. Slide 14 shows you the same data now for the other PFIC cohort. And in parallel to the previous data, which I showed you for pruritus, these data are reflected in the serum biolactic changes, which were much greater in the treatment group and really showed no change in the placebo group. And again, on the right-hand side, you'll see the other PFIC cohort here is largely superimposable upon the and the BSAP cohort, which I showed you in the previous slide. On slide 15, again, those cohorts have been combined in the all-PFIC cohort, which showed a very clear distinction between the treatment group and the placebo on the left and the longitudinal on the right, which shows either duration of action with reduced error bars as a consequence from the increase in the emerging of the data. Slide 16 shows a responder analysis, which obviously is clinically extremely important because I want to be able to tell patients how likely they are to be able to respond to treatment. On the left-hand side is the pruritus responses, and that is measuring an improvement of greater than one point on the HRO scale. And previously, and this is published data, the change of greater than one point has been associated with a clinically meaningful improvement in pruritus. And as you can see, 26% of the placebo group responded, but 64% of the treatment group responded, which is a very highly significant difference. On the right-hand side, we looked at the response in terms of serum bile acids. This is in the all PFIC cohort. And the cutoffs used here are based on the cutoffs which we derived statistically in our surgical retrospective analysis. And a reduction in when we use surgical interruption of adipatic circulation, a reduction of 75% from baseline or a reduction to below 102 micromoles per liter was strongly associated with the avoidance of transplantation in an 18-year follow-up. So we hope that these will be reproducible in the follow-up studies using Maralixibas, and we believe that as serum biolactides are intrinsic to the nature of the biolactides are part of the actual fundamental nature of the disease, we believe that these changes in serum biolactides will be representative of changes in the natural history of the disease. And as you can see, there was a very small response to this parameter in the placebo group, but 52% of the all PFIC cohort met this change in serum bile acids, which we had previously, as I say, associated with long-term negative liver survival and avoidance of transplantation in the retrospective surgical studies. Slide 17 goes on to look at some of the other biochemical data, and this is the total bilirubin. As I say, it's not intrinsic to the disease, but it's a good marker of liver health, and there was an improvement. which was just significant in the Maralexibac group compared to placebo, and there's longitudinal data on the right-hand side. And this, as I say, is despite the fact that actually a third of the primary cohorts were not drawn to this class. The majority of that bilirubin was direct bilirubin, which is what we expect in liver disease, and those data are shown on slide 18. On slide 19, you will see the changes in serum transaminase, in particular alanine, transferase, which at baseline were in the range of 100 to 200, and there was a very small deterioration increase in the maralexibas group and a very small decrease in the placebo group. And these are very small compared to the parameters at baseline, but clearly they are something which we are very keen to observe and would potentially be a safety signal. But the changes are small, and as you can see on the right-hand side, it appears that by the end of the study, actually the treatment group and placebo group appear to have converged again. And as I said, growth is a very significant complication of liver disease like this. And here on slide 20, we can see the changes in the weight D score on the left-hand side, markedly better in the treatment group, and there was a trend in the same direction on the right-hand side for height. Improvement in height always is delayed over improvement in growth. Slide 21 just summarizes some of the safety data, which is now looked at for the whole cohort, the PFIC cohort and the Exploration cohort. There was a whole 93 patients involved in this study. These were sick children. As you can see, there was treatment adverse Treatments emerge in adverse events in both the treaty group and the placebo group in almost all patients. There were some significant adverse events that you would expect in treating patients with severe liver disease. The difference between the two groups is probably summarized best at the bottom of that slide where the gastrointestinal side effects are highlighted, in particular increased stool frequency and diarrhea, which is an expected consequence of diverting bile acids into the colon. None of this was deemed severe. The vast majority was mild. It did lead to one discontinuation. One teenager who had deemed to have mild diarrhea was unhappy with this, and that was the only discontinuation as a result of side effects observed in the study. There are side effects that are manageable. They're mainly mild and usually resolve after a fairly early in the studies. Slide 22 summarizes really most of what I've just told you. This study, phase three study, which is the first using Maralexibatin PFIC. It was included patients not just with BSEC deficiency, but a variety of other PFIC subgroups. And as I hope I've demonstrated, the primary and secondary endpoints were met very comfortably. And it does look like Maralexibat is capable of producing both biologically and clinically significant improvements, particularly in pruritus serum bile acids across the types tested. I do think that we've seen much greater improvements in this study compared to the Phase II study that was undertaken some years ago with Maralexibat, where the responder rate was less And the difference between the studies really is that I think we've now optimized the dosing, and most of these patients ended up on a significantly greater dose of drug than the previous studies. And I think we've learned very much from those. As I also said, as an academic community, we pulled together a study called the NAPID study, which was looking at the surgical interruption of enteropathic circulation of bile acids. And clearly in that academic study, we showed that improvements in serum bile acids through surgical interruption of the enteropathic circulation of bile acids is correlated with negative liver survival in the audience of transplantation. And on the basis of the cutoffs previously identified in that study, it looks like Maralexibac is capable of producing similar changes across all the different types of PFIC, including in the study. As I've also shown you, I think we've got significant improvements in the Rubin and weight scores, and a trend in the right direction in height. So overall, it looks like Maralexibac is well-tolerated. There are side effects. They're manageable. They're usually transient and early in the disease. and there's no new safety signals using this large cohort of patients on a higher dose. I am extremely grateful to all my colleagues who recruited patients into this study and collected data, but of course, most grateful to all the families who collected data and put up with the increased monitoring, which were necessary to perform a complex study of this nature. So those are the data we've analyzed so far from this study, and clearly as I said at the beginning, as a pediatrician who looks after these patients, we are delighted that we've now got tools which will help us treat patients. And probably the most important reflection from my point of view is that I've still got patients who are involved in the stage two study. We've now got seven years follow up. Certainly, the patient sticks out in my mind because she has an internal control in the sense that her sister was transplanted some years ago for the quality of life and the intense pruritus. And so her sister was transplanted, and people say, has done very well post-transplant, but obviously is on immunosuppression, et cetera, you expect after transplant. My patient, who was involved in the Phase II study and has now been on Marilix about seven years, has normal liver biochemistry. She has normal serum bioacids. She takes maralexibat, and she takes a small amount of vitamin D. All the vitamin levels are normal. She has normal growth. Her spleen fire's gone back to normal. And really, if you were to meet her, if you were to look at her biochemistry, you would say there was nothing wrong with her at all. And of course, that's the exact sort of end point which we appear to be able to achieve. And clearly, the long-term studies are necessary, but all the parameters that we've studied in this six-month study do point that we're moving in that direction. So I think it's a huge improvement over a few years ago. So I'm very happy to take any questions, but I will hand over to Chris. Thank you.
speaker
Chris Peets
Thank you, Professor Thompson. As you can tell, the results from the March Prefect Phase 3 study show convincing promise for Livmarley. We plan to begin regulatory submissions early next year to get Live Marley to PFIC patients as quickly as possible. It was a great quarter for Miriam and for families suffering with pediatric cholestasis. And with that, we'll open the line for questions for both Professor Thompson and the Miriam team. Operator, please open the line for questions.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please do so now by pressing Start, followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind and would like to be removed from the queue, please press Start followed by 2. We ask that when preparing to ask your question, please ensure that your device or your microphone are unmuted locally. Our first question today comes from the line of Jessica Fye with JP Morgan. Please go ahead, Jessica. Your line is open.
speaker
Jessica Fye
Hey there. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Two, one for the management team and one for the physician investigator. First, for management, I think in prepared remarks, I think you mentioned an acceleration of new starts on Liv Marley. And I may have missed the timeframe of when you saw the acceleration, but just wondering how to reconcile that with what looks like a deceleration in revenue growth that was reported. And then for the physician, can you talk about what you see as clear differences between Liv Marley and Bilvay? And if we fast forward to a time when Liv Marley is approved for PFIC, how you would select between those two agents for a PFIC patient? Thank you.
speaker
Chris Peets
Thanks, Jess, for the question. I'll go ahead and hand it straight to Peter to comment on the top line and then to Professor Thompson for your second part.
speaker
Miriam
Thanks, Jess. So in terms of the comments, we are seeing an acceleration in the fall, continuing to see that acceleration in new patient starts with Livmarly. That's really what gives us confidence in the raising of guidance to 70 million and the 20% quarter over quarter growth that that implies going in from Q3 to Q4. Looking at the full Q3 picture to your question, We did see some softness in the summer. Keep in mind in the U.S. that many of these children are seen once every six or even every 12 months. So what kind of phenomenon we observed is families going on vacation, choose not to do their physician appointment where a new patient starts typically occur in those summer months. So that's what we observed. Obviously, the summer months were most of Q3, but the acceleration coming in into the fall and continuing now.
speaker
Peter
So, Jessica, obviously, as you know, there are two IVAC inhibitors that have been studied in these groups of conditions. And I'm delighted that we've got a positive response from both drugs. And disappointingly, of course, neither drug treats effectively all the patients that have been studied. Yes. Is there a distinction between the two drugs? I mean, the honest truth is that they, despite the fact that they're similar studies, we haven't done a head-to-head comparison. And I think if you tried to do that right at this moment, you would not find a statistically significant difference between the two drugs. They do have a significant response rate. And, you know, 52% is an excellent bilateral response rate, 64% for PFIC is an excellent response rates in terms of pruritus. I think the people sitting around the table will tell me that that is greater than that shown in Odovic's about, but as I say, I'm not sure that's statistically significant. I think from my point of view, on an individual patient basis, we'll have to dig into this data and see if we can see any differences between the response rates. I believe the major determinants of whether a patient responds or not in these conditions is the amount of residual bile acid transport. So the best way we have of looking at it is to go and look at the individual mutations that these patients carry. And certainly that's something I want to do, is to dig those down into those data and see if there's any biochemical predictors of response, any genetic predictors of response. And only when we've done that can we really see whether there really is any clinically meaningful difference between these drugs. Obviously, there's other factors that come into it, the availability of the drug, the formulation of the drug. And I'm sure in some territories, certainly the price of the drug will be an important factor, but in deciding which drugs are used. So I think there's stuff that we've got to learn, but there's also other factors, which are pharmacological and tri-natural, which will impact on it, but they're outside my remit.
speaker
Chris Peets
Thanks, Jess, for the question.
speaker
Peter
Great. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Our next question comes from Steve Seedhouse with Raymond James. Please go ahead, Steve.
speaker
Steve
Hey, good morning. Thanks so much. Just on the acceleration of patient starts again, I'm wondering if you can comment, is there any sense that that's being driven by repeat prescribers at this point, or are you still mostly gaining patients through new prescribers?
speaker
Miriam
I think we see both. You know, the prescriber base in the U.S. is pretty well defined. I mean, there's only, you know, a certain number of pediatric hepatologists that take care of these patients. You know, quarter over quarter, we do see more come on board, particularly from the medium or smaller centers that might not have as much volume. But in terms of the acceleration, I think it kind of comes from across the board.
speaker
Steve
Okay. And then in ICP, I want to ask here, because there's some data coming up for an interim analysis at least, Um, first half next year, it seems like enrollment in that study is picked up after the, some of the protocol changes you had talked about making, uh, implementing earlier this year. I was hoping you could just comment on, um, anything you're learning about just the number of patients seeking treatment with ICP unmet need, and also the demographic, um, that you're enrolling in that study, just with respect to like, is it mostly third trimester patients, first or second pregnancies, just anything trending. in that study that would be noteworthy to mention. Thanks.
speaker
Chris Peets
Thanks for the question on that. Nothing specific really to call out in terms of the demographics at this point. I think it would be premature to comment on what that looks like until we get to the analysis cohort. We are on track for the first half of next year. and have seen patients come in with this updated protocol, so all kind of pointed in the right direction.
speaker
spk04
Okay.
speaker
Chris Peets
Sorry, Steve, sounds like you got cut off. Did you have another follow-up?
speaker
Steve
Okay, great. Thanks for the question. Yeah, I was just asking about March Pfic and the patient with the liver transplant. If you could share details of why they ultimately elected for that, were they a non-responder, just any color there. Thanks.
speaker
Peter
So, I mean, the reason for transplanting, my understanding is that that was obviously the family's choice, and they were perceived to be non-responders. I think they I haven't got all the figures to hand, but I'm pretty sure that there was the discontinuations were obviously were slightly greater. There were seven. There was four of them were in placebo group, three of them on drug. And the majority of the ones that went for transplant were non-responders, perceived as non-responders on drug or deterioration in their function in the placebo group. The majority were in the placebo group. But they, obviously, the bile acids and the pruritus scoring and everything was not evident to the families that were making decisions and the physicians were making decisions on clinical grounds rather than actual heart data.
speaker
spk04
Thank you. Great. Thanks for the question.
speaker
Operator
Our next question comes from with SBB Securities. Please go ahead, Mani.
speaker
Mani
Yes, thanks for taking the question. I want to drill down a little bit on patient dynamics and growth going forward. Have you seen any mixed shift in age, mean body weight, et cetera, for patients in this recent sort of additional fall patients coming on versus the initial slug? And as we start to see more geographies come on next year, Can you give us a little bit of detail on exactly how you might account for revenue coming in from partnered geographies as opposed to places where you're monetizing yourself? If there's any nuances, we need to be aware of that as we look forward.
speaker
Chris Peets
Thanks, Monty, for the question. I'll comment on the kind of broader international piece and then pass it to Peter for the specifics in the U.S. to date. And when we take a step back and think about the international markets, we are building and launching ourselves in Western Europe and using distributors and some of the other geographies around the world, licensing partners in Asia. And what we expect for these distributor markets is that they will have orders that may be kind of more monthly for multiple patients at a time or for a quarter at a time. So you could see more of an order-based approach to how they come in. And we could start to see some of that this year even, but expected to come online with early access programs and approvals in some of those smaller markets into next year. And then for the countries where we're in-market, doing it ourselves, pretty standard for rare disease where we'll recognize revenue as we sell it through to the pharmacy when orders come in for patients. With that, I'll pass it to Peter to dive in a little deeper.
speaker
Miriam
Sure. On the patient mix in terms of age and body weight, no changes there in recent months, really consistent with the the types of patients that were put on early after the FDA approval, which is also consistent with the iconic pivotal study in the clinical program. So you can always refer back to those papers, and that'll get you in the ballpark of the average age and weight that we see. Maybe the only other comment is similar to what we've talked about before, kind of the perception of the phenotype. Early days saw the patients who were perceived to be most severe but their puritis and quality of life impact of the disease are the ones that we see the physicians kind of go for first as they gain more comfort with the product and prescribing experience. Then we see prescriptions broaden to patients that are maybe perceived to be more moderate. So we're seeing that phenomenon play out in the recent quarters.
speaker
Mani
Great. That's really helpful. On the dynamic around kind of monthly, quarterly kind of order structure for some of the distribution markets, is it reasonable to assume that that will introduce a little bit more chunkiness and choppiness into the quarter over quarter numbers, or am I over-reading that?
speaker
Chris Peets
I'd say at this point we don't know, and we have to just kind of see the cadence of how the orders come in. The one thing I'd note is that there are, several different distributors, several different countries, so we do expect it to be coming from a lot of different sources, which I think would smooth out anything that could be chunky. That's kind of where our thinking is at this point.
speaker
Mani
Okay, that's really helpful. Thanks, guys. Yeah, thanks for the question.
speaker
Operator
Our next question comes from David Lieberitz with Citi. Please go ahead, David, your line is open.
speaker
David Lieberitz
Thank you very much for taking my question. Would you be able to comment on comparability with Bill Vey, given differences in the trials, such as measuring in the morning versus measuring in the morning and night, and just overall how efficacy was calculated in one study versus another?
speaker
Chris Peets
Thanks for the question. I mean, from a high level, We know our data, how our endpoints were calculated. That's really what we can speak to in detail. So not in a position that we can really make any kind of definitive cross-study comparisons, cross-drug comparisons. I would say just on the morning versus evening measurements, what we see in our study is that it's effectively the same results. So that's something we've looked at across all of the readouts we've had, and it's highly consistent whether you look at morning, evening, average, worst, etc. So that holds up. We wouldn't expect that to be a difference for the measurement time point.
speaker
David Lieberitz
Got it. And when you look at the data and compare from what you see in PFIC, any thoughts on extrapolating on how they might compare in ALGS?
speaker
Chris Peets
What I can say is what we see from these PFIC results and kind of what we've walked through here on the call, if you step back and look at the Merilixibat program over history, is we have taken a huge step forward in the impact for patients. The response rates are much higher here. When you look at the proportion of days, a proportion of scores that are a zero or a one, one of the FDA preferred analyses, 62% of the scores in the treatment arm is a great step forward in terms of what we see for activity. So great response rate and results coming out of the study.
speaker
David Lieberitz
Got it. Thanks for taking my question. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Our next question is from the line of Yasmeen Rahimi with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.
speaker
Yasmeen Rahimi
Good morning, team. My questions are actually directed to Dr. Thompson. Thank you so much for being with us. The first question for you is, when you look at the data for March PFIC, is there a part of the results that you think are absolutely critical to belong into the label that could drive stronger adoption? That's question one. And then the question two for you is, we recently saw algeal data with bilase and would love to hear You know, I appreciate your comments about comparing to two products in March and PFIC, but if you could share your thoughts how these two IBAT inhibitors compare and contrast to one another in AllerGeo, that would be really helpful. And then the third question is, you know, as you know, Miriam is working on Velobaxibat and a number of other indications from ICP to PSC and PBC. Any comments there where you think the mechanistic rationale is stronger, may have a higher probability of success? Sorry for asking you so many questions, but really want to take advantage of having you on this call this morning. Thank you, Dr. Thompson.
speaker
Peter
Right. So, I mean, I think the last two questions sort of merge in a way because clearly I do believe that bile acids are causing a significant part of liver damage and contributing indirectly to the pruritus in both allogeal and these other phenotypes which you're talking about, PVC, PSD, etc. Clearly, all those conditions are very different from PFIC where we know that biolactamines are not just an important part of the damage and symptom production but are absolutely the key to the initiation of the disease as well. So it's much easier to draw a connection between offloading bile acids and the natural nature of the disease and therefore I think earlier signals that we're changing something in the natural history of the disease as opposed to improving the clinical features. So I think these studies, in a sense, are easier to show you clear distinctions in BFIC than some of these other phenotypes. But I do believe that in all those cholestatic phenotypes, bile acids are an important driver of the liver damage, and retention of bile acids is an important driver of pruritus. And I think, you know, thinking about the previous Maralizibat studies with algeol that I was involved with, which the initial studies were disappointing. And I think the change came with the ICONIC study, where a much higher dose of Mirelixibab was used. And I think that's what we're seeing in this study now, is the reflection compared to the early PFIC studies and the ICONIC compared to the original randomized studies in which I was involved, where the higher dose has clearly achieved a much greater response. Obviously, from a patient point of view, I mean, it's still disappointing that we're not giving, you know, perfect response in terms of bile acids or, more importantly, pruritus in all the patients. And clearly, as I said already, I think we're going to need to learn to work out if we can predict which patients are going to be likely to respond. And in the next few years, once we start using these data in real life, whether we can actually find any way of improving on the responses that we're getting. Clearly, from the patient's point of view, the thing that they're coming to us asking about is the because that is the thing that dominates their life. And clearly, you know, in PFIT, as we've shown here, if we can get 64% of patients giving a paratus response, that's something that's extremely meaningful to them, and that's what they want to know. From my point of view, I'm equally interested in the bile acids because, as I've shown you, that I do believe, because it is absolutely the heart of these diseases, it logically should transition into a reduction in the damage to the liver and the avoidance of long-term interventions such as transplants. And as I say, that's what we're expecting to happen based on our previous experience. So I think your first question was what's the clinically meaningful aspects of the one that most important bits to my point of view. And as I say, I'm less interested in the cohort analysis because that combines responders and non-responders and seeing that it is dichotomous, what is important is how good that response is in the responders and whether we can then maintain those in long-term response and avoid transplantation. And as I've also said, you know, obviously we've got patients now who did respond, particularly when the dose was increased in the original PFIC study who now are long-term responders seven years out. Actually, the dose, even with the increased dose, they're still on a lower dose than the dose we're using in the current study. So I do believe there was quite a significant number of patients in those original studies who failed to respond because they just weren't exposed to enough drug. Am I right in thinking I've made some sort of attempt to respond to your question? Please tell me if I've not.
speaker
Yasmeen Rahimi
No, no, that's very helpful. Thank you, Dr. Thompson, for your thoughtful remarks.
speaker
Chris Peets
Great. Thanks, Yasmeen, for the question.
speaker
Operator
Our next question is from Brian Scorley with Baird. Please go ahead.
speaker
Brian Scorley
Hi, this is Luke. I'm for Brian. I just have a couple on biliary atresia. For management, have you had any recent discussions with the FDA around Embark and the path to approval in this indication? And then for Professor Thompson, We've talked to some other physicians who have noted that maybe a third of patients who get the CSI have had a partially successful procedure. So one that isn't curative, but also doesn't require an immediate transplant. Do you think that one third is an accurate estimate? And could you help characterize the heterogeneity and itch and other clinical markers among this subset? Thanks.
speaker
Chris Peets
Thanks, Luke, for the question. I'd comment on the first portion of it. And we discussed the biliary atresia program with FDA prior to initiating the study and are excited about what the potential for patients are in the study. When we have those results, we'll go back to the agency and talk about the registration plans. I'm quite excited about what, you know, if the drug can do what we think is possible in this setting, the potential to see real strong impact at that six-month primary endpoint next year. I'll pass it over to Professor Thompson for the second portion.
speaker
Peter
So in terms of response, I think the original studies, the response analysis was based on largely empirical data. We do now have these surgical data, and the responder analysis I showed you for biolactins was based on the observations you made in those studies. I mean, it's interesting that obviously we don't appear to have to achieve normal serum biolactins to achieve long-term native liver survival based on those studies, and I think that is telling us something about the fact that the liver is protecting itself, and although the peripheral serum biolactins are not normal, We appear to have got the levels of down inside the liver low enough that not only does the varitis improve, but we don't appear to have progressive liver disease. So the question is, what sort of level of response do we need? And are these partial responders actually going to avoid transplantation, for instance? Actually, if you go back and look at the surgical data, There was quite a wide separation between responders and non-responders, and I think it's similar for the study, which we'll have to go and look at those in detail. And what it means is that actually whether you put, where exactly you put that cutoff can be changed quite widely without really making a significant difference to the results. Although that cutoff of a 75% reduction or below 102 micromoles per liter gave us the best distinction between responders and non-responders, actually a lower level of responses, a lesser improvement, made little difference to the separation. So obviously, it remains to be seen whether those sorts of results can be expected with the drug, but we believe the mechanism of action is the same, and we believe that serum bile acid marker as a reflection of the biological improvements is equally valid. But at the end of the day, we will have to see whether those correlate. But those are the data we have, and obviously, those are the data that we'll be using for the time being to make clinical decisions.
speaker
Ian Clements
Great. Thank you. Thanks for the question.
speaker
Operator
Our next question comes from Ed Arch with HB Wainwright. Please go ahead, Ed.
speaker
Ed Arch
Hi, good morning, everyone. This is Thomas Yip asking a couple of questions for Ed. Thank you for taking our questions. Perhaps first one for Dr. Thompson. Among the passive data that we've seen in the MARCH study in PFA, which attributes of LipMolly do you consider to be unique and most important to patients?
speaker
Peter
the attributes that are most important from patients. I mean, as I say, I think these are, it's about endpoints, and I want to be able to say to a patient what are the chances that they're going to get a clinically meaningful improvement, and also linked to that, what are the chances that we're going to avoid transplantation, and so I think the results are as you've seen them, so I'm going to be telling patients there's a two-thirds chance that They're going to get a clinically meaningful improvement in pruritus, and I'm going to be said that at the moment it looks like there's approximately a 50% chance that on these basis that they will be able to avoid long-term, deliver transplantation in the long term based on the results we have so far and our extrapolation from the data which I've described from previous clinical studies. No doubt that those are the two things that I'm going to be discussing with family.
speaker
Ed Arch
Understood. Thank you, Dr. Thompson. And perhaps one question for the team. Can you outline the key components of Lefmani's potential U.S. PSIC launch? What are some overlaps and differences between your strategy between a PSIC and a Jewish and German population?
speaker
Miriam
Sure, happy to comment on that. I mean, I think in terms of the commercialization strategy, the physicians and healthcare professionals that take care of PFIC patients are largely identical to the physicians that take care of LGO patients. So it's the same centers that we're already in now promoting the Marley for LGO syndrome. Obviously, upon an FDA approval, the promotion would include both LGO syndrome and PFIC. Products already available. You know, we've been working with the patient advocacy groups and other stakeholders in PFIC for years, right? As you've heard today, going back seven plus years. So, you know, pretty straightforward addition if you're thinking about it from a SG&A perspective. Maybe the only other comment to make is we have about 100 patients from our clinical and expanded access programs with PFIC. who are currently receiving Libmarly around the world. So a good part of our early effort will be, upon approval, converting the patients receiving the clinical drug to commercial drug.
speaker
Ed Arch
Got it. Thank you again for the kind of questions, and looking forward to European approval by the year end. Thanks, Thomas, for the question.
speaker
Operator
Those are all the questions we have for today. I'll now turn the call back to Chris for concluding them up.
speaker
Chris Peets
Thank you, operator. And thanks, everyone, for joining today's call. I'd like to thank, again, Professor Thompson for joining us today, all of the investigators and families that made these study results possible. And hope everyone has a great day. Goodbye.
speaker
Operator
Thank you everyone for joining us today. This concludes our call and you may now disconnect your lines.
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