Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited

Q3 2021 Earnings Conference Call

11/9/2021

spk08: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Thank you for participating in the third quarter 2021 earnings conference call of Melco Resorts and Entertainment Limited. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the call, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Robin Yuan, Director of Investor Relations of Melco Resorts and Entertainment Limited. Please proceed.
spk09: Thank you, operator. Thank you all for joining us today for our third quarter 2021 earnings call. On the call are Lawrence Ho, Jeffrey Davis, Evan Winkler, and our property presidents in Macau, Manila, and Cyprus. Before we get started, please note that today's discussion may contain forward-looking statements made under the safe harbor provision of federal securities law. Our actual results could differ from our anticipated results. In addition, we may discuss non-GAAP measures. A definition and a reconciliation of each of these measures to the most comparable GAF financial measures are included in the earnings release. Finally, please note that our supplementary earnings slides are posted on our investor relations website. With that, I will now turn the call over to Mr. Ho.
spk10: Thank you, Robin. Our results in the third quarter reflect the pandemic's continued impact and the subsequent restrictions on our travel restrictions on our operations. Despite the challenges this quarter, we managed to remain EBITDA positive in each of our geographies. Once again, we would like to thank the Macau and mainland Chinese government for their handling of the COVID-19 situation. Currently, Macau citywide vaccination rate has reached over 60%, which represents remarkable progress versus the 30% cited on our second quarter results call. With a high level of immunity as a key focus in Macau, we believe that continued progress towards higher vaccination levels is an important step towards border reopening and a faster pace of recovery. Both Melco and the government are actively encouraging our citizens and employees to get jabbed as soon as possible. Here at Melco, we have rolled out employee vaccination incentive programs to support the government's efforts to meet its community vaccination goals. Driven by our Get the Jab Incentive Program, we're proud to be approaching a 95% overall employee vaccination rate in Macau, inclusive of those fully vaccinated and with first shot only. As endorsed by the Macau government, unvaccinated employees in Macau are required to undergo weekly NAT tests starting in October to protect our colleagues, our guests, and the broader community. In our Macau operations, we remain EBITDA positive this quarter despite a sequential decline in industry-wide GGR levels from the prior quarter. Our cost control measures were a primary factor of our EBITDA performance. We remain optimistic that our core business in Macau will recover back to pre-pandemic level once travel restrictions are eased. In the Philippines, Our gaming and hospitality operations at City of Dreams Manila experienced periods of closure when the government imposed stricter quarantine measures upon the new COVID cases. Our gaming operations were closed to the general public for 42 days from August 6th to September 16th. We subsequently reopened City of Dreams Manila with limited capacity as the authorities incrementally ease quarantine measures. Turning to Cypress, our casinos were fully open during the third quarter, which drove strong visitation over the summer months. As a result, we quickly returned to positive EBITDA. We expect further relaxation of COVID-related restrictions that would permit us to operate at maximum capacity, which will provide further support to the business. We have discontinued our pursuit of an integrated resort and will close our offices there in the coming months. Meanwhile, Melco remains committed to its global PAPEX development program. In Macau, construction of Studio City Phase 2 remains on schedule. We've recently topped up both tower structures, reaching an important milestone for the project. We expect Phase 2 construction to complete no later than December 2022. In Europe, the construction progress of City of Dreams Mediterranean is on track for opening in the second half of 2022. Finally, I remain optimistic in Melco's medium and long-term growth prospects. The pent-up demand from our customers is there, and we will be ready to enthusiastically receive them once travel restrictions are relaxed. From a macabre regulatory and policy perspective, We firmly believe that we are helping to build Macau into an even bigger, better, and more diversified international tourism destination. With that, I turn the call over to Jeff to go over some of the numbers.
spk00: Thank you, Lawrence. In the third quarter of 2021, we reported group-wide property EBITDA of approximately $32 million, while luck-adjusted property EBITDA also came in at $32 million. By region, each of our geographies, Macau, Manila and Cyprus all reported positive EBITDA this quarter. At Studio City, EBITDA was negatively affected by an unfavorable VIP win rate by approximately 4 million. A favorable VIP win rate positively affected EBITDA at COD Macau and COD Manila by approximately 2 million and 1 million respectively. Overall results were not impacted as luck was neutral on a consolidated basis across our properties. Details of these adjustments can be found in the supplementary earnings slides posted on our investor relations website. At the end of September, we had approximately $1.5 billion of consolidated cash on hand. When combined with our undrawn revolver facilities in Macau and Manila of approximately $2 billion, this implies available liquidity of approximately $3.5 billion. To provide more clarity on our capital structure, Melco, excluding its operations at studio city, the Philippines and Cyprus had cash of approximately 620 million in gross debt of approximately 4.1 billion at the end of the third quarter of 2021, the revolving credit facility in Macau contains requirements to comply with certain financial covenants. We currently have a waiver in place through the end of 2021. for these financial covenants. And on November 5th, we received confirmation that the majority of our lenders agreed to extend this waiver to the end of December 22. As of yesterday, November 8th, we had received unanimous support from all of our lenders consenting to this waiver through December of 2022. Moving on to our shares, we recently repurchased approximately 3.1 million ADSs for $31 million. 2.1 million shares were purchased in the third quarter, and approximately 1 million shares were purchased in the fourth quarter to date. Recent volatility led to what we believe to be compelling valuations, and these share repurchases demonstrate the confidence we have in our company and in our long-term prospects. As we normally do, we'll give you some guidance on non-operating line items for the upcoming quarter. Total depreciation and amortization expense is expected to be approximately $145 million. Corporate expense is expected to come in at approximately $18 to $20 million. And consolidated net interest expense is expected to be approximately $85 to $90 million, which includes finance lease interest of $7 million relating to City of Dreams Manila and $8 to $10 million of capitalized interest. That concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, back to you for the Q&A.
spk08: Certainly. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. If you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, you can press the pound or hash key. Once again, it is star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad if you wish to ask a question. We have the first question. This is coming from the line of Joe Gref from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
spk03: Good evening, everybody. Lawrence, I would love to get your view on this big-picture topic on the mainland's common prosperities, set of goals and initiatives. How do you think that impacts, maybe negatively impacts, your higher-end players in the future? And if your answer is you don't think it does, why is that?
spk10: All right. Hi, Joe. Well, you know, I think common prosperity is, you know, is a key theme for the, you know, for the party of Congress, which is going on right now. I don't think it impacts our higher end players in a sense that premium mass. I don't mean VIP. I mean premium mass. Because at the end of the day, they are still promoting. They want to reduce the gap between the the highest earning tiers and the middle tiers. But at the same time, they still want the middle class to grow and people to, you know, really common prosperity refers more to getting people, and one of the major achievements from the Communist Party over the past hundred years is taking so many people out of poverty, especially in the last few years. So it's really about taking the lowest, you know, the lowest income income earning people and then bringing them upstream. So I don't think it has any impact on the mass business, which is the future of Macau, and also it wouldn't have a major impact on premium mass. VIP would be a different story, but in any case, the VIP story in Macau is a structurally impaired story.
spk03: Great, and thank you for that, Lawrence. Jeff, on the... The new consent that you got to have some waiver covenant relief, is there anything that restricts buybacks going forward?
spk00: No, there is nothing that restricts buybacks going forward.
spk03: Great. Thank you both.
spk08: Thank you. We have the next question. This is coming from the line of Ricardo Chinchilla from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
spk06: Ricardo Chinchilla Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Just in terms of, you know, when the announcement of the consultation process was announced, you know, could you please share with us what kind of things caused you some concern? And if those concerns have been clarified now that you had the chance to, you know, to talk with the regulators and, you know, your recent is penned on . Do you think that that, you know, gives you a competitive advantage versus your peers that, you know, might need to further invest as part of this consultation process?
spk10: Hi, Ricardo. It's Lawrence. You know, I think the Macau government has conducted a very fair and transparent consultation process, and we have submitted our comments to them, and also we really welcome how open they were in the conversations that we've had. So we're going to be supportive, and I think our concerns were really just trying to get a little bit more framework on some of the issues about dividends. And honestly, I'm sure all of the other calls you've heard so far this earnings season, everybody has the same view. So I think as an industry, we are aligned on that front. And frankly, I think after our conversation with the government, we were assured and relieved. So I think we'll continue to work closely with the government as we progress.
spk06: Great. You know, I know that it is hard given that the situation is flexible, but when you think about the progress as it pertains to, you know, Macau, what are you hearing with regards to the potential easing of the visa situation? And, you know, what you guys are currently expecting with regards to the reopening for later this year and into 2022?
spk10: Well, I think for us, it's really a function of the vaccination rate in Macau. And in today's newspaper, the Macau chief executive is currently in Hangzhou, and he's talking about potentially hitting 80%. You know, Macau citywide is at around 60, 65%. So at 80%, he feels that he has much more, you know, ammunition to discuss easing of some of these restrictions with China. And so I think that will be key, but as a company, we are prepared for the worst and as part of our budgeting. And they're all, you know, given COVID zero, I think we're really gonna be range bound for the next, six to 12 months. As long as China continues with the zero COVID path, we're going to assume that there's going to be cases. I think as of right now, almost half of the Chinese provinces have cases or close contact, and that has affected travel as well. So we're going to be conservative. Next year is a very important year for China, from the Olympics to the Hong Kong chief executive election to the 25th anniversary of the handover of Hong Kong to, of course, the Communist Party Congress next year, where Presidency can seek a third term. So there are really historic events happening next year. Those are all reasons for being super conservative in terms of opening up.
spk06: Got it. If I might squeeze one in, given that we were talking about the future, do you still anticipate the concession renewal process to be ended in June of next year, or do you expect a short-term extension? And that's it for me. Thank you.
spk10: Well, again, I think we're working closely with the government, but there is quite a process. They need to go to a legislative council, and they need to change the law. I suspect, and a good outcome for us as operators would be we would have all of the details ironed out, but in terms of, I guess, dotting the I's and crossing the T's with the government, it might extend a little bit longer. perhaps a year or two. But anyway, I would love to know the framework, hopefully before June of next year.
spk06: Thank you so much.
spk08: Thank you. The next question comes from Billy Ang from Bank of America. Please go ahead.
spk07: Thanks. Good evening. I also have two questions. The first one also related to the license renewal process. Just want to ask Lawrence your view. We understand that there are not a lot of details, but if you need to look into some potential areas, are there any potential change that will alter the long-term
spk10: return and the margin outlook for the sector and um do you think there will be anything that will significantly change that outlook i i don't think so billy i think we're as a company and all of the executives we are mid-term to long-term bullish and positive And we have seen even, you know, it's really bad luck that Golden Week was wiped out and the whole month was wiped out because of cases. But we certainly saw, you know, I think David can go into it a bit later on, we saw a lot of pent-up demand even during Golden Week before everything got canceled. So the long-term trajectory for this industry and in Macau, I don't think it's affected. And in terms of the concessions, retendering process. None of the nine points, when we look at it, have, I believe, wouldn't affect our margins. Of course, it continues to talk about, I think the only area is, you know, more diversification and more investment in non-gaming. But at the same time, I do believe that that is going to be the future because with the VIP sector is being impaired the way that it is going forward, it is going to be, you know, it's going to be focused on math and math is going to need more amenities and more non-gaming attractions.
spk07: Thanks. And for shorter term, you just mentioned There should be pent-up demand. So first of all, just wonder, would you guys be able to provide some color on what happened after October 19 when the quarantine requirement being removed? What kind of ramp-up do you see recently? And then secondly, in the last few days, you probably hear about the Hong Kong-China potential border reopening and normalization. So what's your view on that and how would that impact Macau?
spk01: Hey, Billy, it's David. Hey, so quickly maybe, you know what, we were set up for a really nice golden week. And unfortunately, the week before the golden week, we had obviously very high occupancies. We had a lot of people that were scheduled to come. It was kind of, as Lawrence said, it was just kind of a kick to the gut here a little bit when this when unfortunately the cases came back into Macau. That being said, as we came out of this and we were able to open up more fully after the 19th of October, we experienced a nice rebound. So the last week of October was very good for us and very strong. I think you saw that with the numbers for Macau in general. I think the last week has been somewhat a bit more muted. I think one of the challenges that we had is when we had the hangover a little bit from people that had visas to come during the October Golden Week, What we've seen in the last seven days or so is that we still haven't seen the dropping of the test. Right now, you still have to get tested every 48 hours, which we'd love to see it go back to the seven-day test. Additionally, as you look at it, we've also seen many of our customers now in these northern provinces, as Lawrence said, probably half the provinces in China have had some sort of impact or some sort of cases. So right now, to get into Macau, you have a two-week quarantine coming from most of these northern provinces now, of which I think I was just counting just a little bit ago in the room, probably over 40 cities or districts that are prevented from coming into Macau without doing a two-week quarantine first. So there is somewhat of a hangover relative to just the quarantine and just other cases out there with the zero tolerance. So I think the month of November is probably going to be a bit more muted for us. Hopefully, as these things start clearing, we'll start seeing us get back to more of that normal pattern like we've seen in the past. We saw it in the first quarter of this year. We saw it in the second quarter. Once we come out of these things, things seem to go pretty fast. But again, it is somewhat choppy as we go along here. I see.
spk07: In terms of the Hong Kong border reopening, how would that impact Macau?
spk10: Hong Kong has always been 15-20% of the business. For my friends in Hong Kong, people haven't gone anywhere for over 18 months. I bet if the border was open between Hong Kong and Macau, people would be rushing to Macau. So I think we'll get a nice bump, at least a 15%, 20% bump. But I think even the Hong Kong thing, there was news out in Hong Kong today where, and I assume that once Hong Kong and China opens up, it means that Hong Kong and Macau will also open up. But the thing is, they're talking about a trial in Hong Kong in December. And if the trial is successful, maybe they will expand the trial in February. And assuming everything goes right, they might have the full opening in June. And that's why we have come to the view that the next 12 months will continue to be difficult and range bound. Because with travel restrictions and with zero tolerance to COVID, there's always going to be these open and shut, open and shut cases. But once everything opens up again, I'm sure we're going to follow the path that we've seen in other jurisdictions around the world where people are just dying to be entertained.
spk07: I see. Thanks a lot. Thank you.
spk08: The next question comes from the line of Praveen Chaudhry from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
spk05: Thank you so much. Thanks for taking my question. I have two questions, if I may. The first one is about buyback. So very pleased to see the buyback. Clearly the stock, the whole industry is very cheap. Wanted to understand if the share buyback will continue considering you're saying for the next 12 months it could be range bound. So there should not be any rush to buy the stock at this level. I'm getting a little bit of disconnect here, if I may. Or maybe it's a long-term basis. It doesn't matter because it's so cheap you want to use some cash, especially because net debt is rising. And so using the share buyback, I wanted to understand a little bit more The second question I have is on online gaming business. Again, a pleasing result where in Manila that has started. Wanted to understand if you can disclose how big was it in Q3 and what's the outlook? It seems like it's only for local patrons and so currently maybe smaller, but just want to see next couple of years how does it evolve and the competitive landscape. Thank you so much.
spk10: All right. Thanks for the question, Parish. Evan and Jeff, you guys want to take those two questions?
spk02: Sure. Thanks, Lawrence.
spk00: Go ahead, Evan.
spk02: So, within the Philippines, obviously, there is a version of online which we are currently engaged in that's allowed. I would characterize it more as a hybrid versus sort of what you think of with online gaming in that it integrates obviously into the existing player system and into the existing sort of offline brick-and-mortar infrastructure. That is going to continue. It is nice to have add-on to our business there during the COVID period. I think in terms of what it means going forward, we anticipate for the near term, it will continue to be allowed. We are working with the government in the hopes that it will continue to be an opportunity for us potentially longer term, but it is a little bit early for us to comment on what it will mean longer term for us coming out of COVID, given that the permission was given sort of under a set of special circumstances.
spk00: So on the share repurchase, so historically we've always been very opportunistic when it comes to share repurchases and over time we have done about 1.8 billion of share repurchases. We've got out of our $500 million authorization, obviously we have around 469 million of that remaining. We will continue to be judicious and opportunistic as we consider additional share repurchase this quarter and into next year. But we're not in any rush. We'll continue to be selective on when and how much will be back into the market.
spk05: Jeff, thanks so much. Would you be able to disclose the average cost for the buyback in Q3 and Q4 separately?
spk00: Pretty similar, just under $10 in both periods.
spk05: Thank you very much, and good luck.
spk00: Thanks, Praveen.
spk08: Thank you. The next question comes from Simon Chang from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
spk04: Hi, thanks for taking my question. I have two questions. One, in relation to LTE, I remember last quarter you guys talked about, you know, re-ramping the property and we have seen a nice turnaround on the EBITDA. Perhaps can you share with us, you know, what's going on over there and some sort of guidance, you know, in terms of the medium-term EBITDA generations on that property? That's the first question. And then second question is on on Japan and obviously, Oklahoma now, you know, dropped the idea of, you know, having IR in the near future. What is your latest thought about, you know, Japan or even other overseas expansions? Lawrence, thank you.
spk01: So, why don't, Simon, why don't I take the first one and we'll go from there. For Altera, we implemented our plans at the end of the second quarter where we reduced our costs dramatically and we transferred most of our VIP business over to City of Dreams or Studio City. That process has gone very well. We also transferred a lot of the personnel to get our cost structure more in line. As we go forward here, we're looking to probably do the final set of transfers, which would coincide with the opening of Studio City phase two. We'll try to bring more people over there to get our cost structure down to where we really want it to be on a go-forward basis. Our break-even now has gotten to be a much lower level now. We think as the market continues to recover and we see a sustained recovery, we think our ability to generate a profit over there on the mass business is very good going forward here.
spk10: Hey, Simon and Florence, on your second question, clearly the Japan opportunity didn't work out for us. And given the impact of COVID and the crisis isn't over yet, and by the end of it, it probably would have affected two, three years of business. So I think for the next two, three years, our primary focus is really on rebuilding our balance sheet. And then, of course, we still have City of Dreams Mediterranean in Europe to open at the end of next year, second half of next year, and then Studio City Phase II. So that's our – I think we have our plates full for the next two or three years.
spk08: Thank you. We have no further questions at this moment. I would like to turn the conference to Mr. Robin Young for any ending remarks. Please take over.
spk09: Thank you, Operator. Thank you all for participating in our conference call today. We look forward to speaking with you again for next quarter. Bye.
spk08: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our conference call for today. Thank you all for your participation. You may disconnect now.
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