2/24/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Marketo fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Maria Grazier, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Maria Grazier
Director of Investor Relations

Thanks, Operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Marketo's fourth quarter 2025 earnings call. Hosting today's call are Mike Miletic, Marquetta's CEO, and Patty Kong-Wong Keech, Marquetta's CFO. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that today's call may contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including those set forth in our filings with the SEC, which are available on our Investor Relations website, including our annual report on Form 10-K and our subsequent periodic filings with the SEC. Actual results may differ materially from any forward-looking statements we make today. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the time of this call and the company does not assume any obligation or intent to update them except as required by law. In addition, today's call includes non-GAAP financial measures. These measures should be considered as a supplement to and not a substitute for GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in today's earnings press release or earnings release supplemental materials, which are available on our investor relations website. With that, I'd like to turn the call over for Mike to begin.

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Maria, and thank you for joining us for Marquetta's fourth quarter 2025 earnings call. I'm excited to be joined on this call by Patty, our new CFO, who started on February 9th. Patty is a proven finance executive with extensive experience across technology, financial services, and payments, and we're excited about the value she will add at Marketo. To start our call, I will briefly touch on our Q4 results, followed by a few Q4 highlights of the growth in our business across use cases, geographies, and value-added services. I will then turn it over to Patty, who will cover the details of our Q4 financial results and our expectations for 2026. Our fourth quarter results were once again demonstrating our outstanding growth as we reached new levels of scale while continuing to increase our adjusted EBITDA as we trend towards GAAP profitability. Total processing volume or TPV was 109 billion in the fourth quarter, crossing the 100 billion threshold in a quarter for the first time in Marketas history. With a year-over-year increase of 36%, this was the third straight quarter in which our TPV growth has accelerated by three points from the previous quarter, demonstrating our strong business momentum as we exit 2025. Q4 net revenue of 172 million grew 27% year-over-year, driven by strong PPP growth across the use cases we enable. Q4 gross profit growth was 120 million, a 22% year-over-year increase, exceeding our expectations by several points. Our adjusted EBITDA was 31 million in the quarter, which was another all-time high, translating into an 18% margin and more than doubling the dollars on a year-over-year basis. This was fueled by strong gross profit growth and the benefit of our scale platform and efficiency initiatives. This quarter and throughout 2025, we drove significant growth by deepening our existing customer relationships through seamless geographic use case and value-added service expansion, while also successfully onboarding and ramping new customers. Our leadership and expertise powering innovative offerings continues to attract established brands seeking a proven partner to drive growth and user engagement by leveraging card programs. One area we highlighted throughout 2025 is the growth and traction we are seeing in Europe. TPV in Europe grew more than twice as fast as the overall company in the fourth quarter, which is the first quarter in nearly two years that the growth has been below 100% on a year-over-year basis due to the rapidly expanding base. As a testament to the scale we have achieved in Europe in a relatively short period of time, the TPV in Q4 2025 was nearly 40% higher than our annual TPV in 2023 and spans the breadth of the use cases we serve. In Q3 2025, we completed the acquisition of Transact Bay, which enables us to deliver a complete offering in the UK and the EU across processing, program management, and the EMI license, comparable to what we offer in the US, Canada, and Australia. The ability to offer an end-to-end solution across geographies is becoming increasingly important in serving enterprise customers, whether they are large fintechs or embedded finance multinationals. One such customer is Uber, a longstanding Marketo customer. Our relationship started with enabling couriers for delivery in the US, which has since grown across many geographies. We then expanded into new use cases, such as the Uber Pro Card to support the financial needs of Uber drivers, which we are now helping to expand geographically to the UK. Marketo's solution, now live, allows Uber drivers in the UK to access their funds immediately, get rewards, and keep their money in a high-yield savings account with a partner bank, all within an Uber-branded app developed by Marketo. Last year, we highlighted our work on a white label app designed to give customers a fully branded, out-of-the-box solution managed by Marketta that accelerates customer time to market. This program is the first to deploy the white label app, utilizing the pre-configured flows for onboarding, account setup, transaction monitoring, and support, all of which reflect Uber's brand. This exemplifies the breadth and depth of the Marketta offering by delivering the full spectrum of processing, program management, and value-added services. This includes banking and money movement with seamless integration with our banking partner in the UK, processing, fraud monitoring, real-time decisioning, risk management, and our white label app. The holistic approach enables Uber to work with one partner to deliver a robust solution with full banking functionality. This expansion also highlights the confidence and trust that a discerning customer like Uber has in Marketo to deliver a scalable and comprehensive product to their target market. This solution showcases our ability to offer a complete end-to-end solution, which is important for enterprise and embedded finance customers who are looking for a single best-in-class provider operating at scale with a full offering across geographies. Lending, including Buy Now, Pay Later, continues to be one of the most compelling and fastest-growing use cases. We continue to see strong growth and demand in Q4, which is driven by our ability to support customers with innovation at scale across many geographies. The NPL started with Marketta enabling virtual cards for seamless payment experiences without costly and time-consuming backend integrations. The category has continued to evolve, and we've been at the forefront of enabling seamless geographic expansion and newer innovative solutions such as the Visa Flexible Credential and Pay Anywhere Cards. which allow our customers to deliver a better value proposition that is clearly resonating with their users. In a testament to our leadership in BNPL and the unique combination of capabilities we enable globally, in Q4 we added yet another BNPL customer who will be flipping an established program to our platform. For technologies, a BNPL provider that allows shoppers to split online purchases into four payments, was looking for a tech-forward partner with a proven track record and the expertise to support their ambitious growth goals. As a result, they are moving their business to Marketo. In addition to helping existing customers expand into geographies and use cases with new programs, we continue to strengthen our offering by delivering additional value-added services, which helps create more durable relationships and bolster the economics of our business. In Q4 2025, Value-Added Services contributed over 7% of our gross profit, with 18 of our top 20 customers utilizing at least one of our Value-Added Services. As we have highlighted in the past, our real-time decisioning product within our suite of risk services was built to be issuer-centric and allow customers to create rules and controls to manage transaction fraud by leveraging actual transaction data. In Q4, we launched an enhanced version of this product with a longstanding customer, using artificial intelligence and machine learning capabilities for real-time risk evaluation during the authorization process. Our enhanced model uses many transaction-level attributes and historical behavior patterns to predict risk at the time of the transaction, all with millisecond-level response times. We sought the input of several of our existing customers to create these models, which are self-learning, and will work to continuously improve fraud detection and adapt to emerging threats. In Q4, we also signed two additional customers for this enhanced real-time decision and capability. Both customers were looking for a flexible solution to help meet the different needs for neobanking and lending use cases across multiple geographies as they scale, properly balancing the expansion of their target audience and credit lines with fraud mitigation. By embedding AI-powered controls and advanced machine learning into the authorization process, we enable customers to expand confidently while also strengthening their fraud defense as they scale. To wrap up, as I reflect on our many accomplishments in 2025 and the efforts that are currently underway, I am excited about our business momentum as we look forward into 2026 and beyond. First, given the long lead times in onboarding new business and the time it takes for new programs to ramp up, deal activity provides good insight into business momentum that takes time to impact the P&L. We are successfully shifting to targeting enterprise customers with embedded finance use cases, signing three Fortune 500 customers in 2025, and the average deal size increased over 20% year over year. We also executed a flip in each quarter, both credit and debit products, demonstrating our competitive differentiation. And over the past two years, we have signed approximately 40 new logos, while our top 15 customers are adding over 30 programs to our platform. with 14 of our top 15 customers adding at least one. Second, our leadership in lending and buy now, pay later use cases continues to be a source of strength as commerce continues to shift toward these payment methods. Our success in lending and BNPL clearly illustrates what makes the Marketo platform unique. Modern, flexible processing that can support a wide range of value proposition from anywhere cards, distribution through wallets, and virtual card solutions. We enable innovation for our customers, such as being the first to support flexible credentials in the US and Europe. Multinational reach that enables geographic expansion and reliability at scale to handle rapid growth, even among very large programs. Third, our traction in Europe, where 2025 TPV was eight times the size of 2022 and should continue to be a source of strong growth. The addition of TransactPay significantly enhances our offering, enable us to deliver a full solution set in Europe aligned with US, Canada, and Australia. The launch of the Uber UK program this past quarter is just the beginning. Lastly, we continue to expand and enhance the solutions we offer, both within program management and value-added services, increasing the value we deliver for customers and strengthening our customer relationships. This should continue to be a growth factor for us going forward, particularly value-added services, which are still only 7% of gross profit, exiting 2025, but more than doubled year over year. Our financial performance in 2025 demonstrates what can be delivered when the business is firing on all cylinders. Our 24% gross profit growth and 26% adjusted EBITDA margin on gross profit has us on the cusp of gap profitability. We believe the market is evolving in favor of modern, multinational processors operating at scale, which is reflected in our recent deals and our sales pipeline. Although we expect 2026 gross profit growth to be impacted by two specific factors whose timing really weighs on 2026, make no mistake that the structural components of our business remain strong as we look to reach larger milestones in the years to come. With that, I'll turn the call over to Patty to discuss our Q4 financial results and 2026 guidance in more detail.

speaker
Patty Kong-Wong Keech
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Mike, and good afternoon, everyone. I look forward to getting to know all of you moving forward. I'm excited to be stepping into this role at a time when Marketa is building the business for scale and on the cusp of gap profitability. Our financial results for Q4 reflect another great quarter and an even stronger than expected finish to the year. Both net revenue and gross profit growth were approximately four percentage points higher than expected due to the business momentum reflected in our TPB growth. For the third straight quarter, TPB growth accelerated by three percentage points on a sequential basis, reaching 36% in Q4. With adjusted operating expenses roughly in line with our expectations, the higher gross profit led to another record quarter for adjusted EBITDA, and we approached gap debt income break even for the third quarter in a row. Let me start by providing some color on our incredibly strong TPV, which was 109 billion in Q4, growing 36% year over year, with three of our four major use cases delivering accelerated growth. Non-block TPV continues to grow over two times faster than block TPV. Growth within our financial services use case accelerated from last quarter, and the growth rate continued to be a little slower than the overall company. Lending, including buy now, pay later growth, slowed from Q3, but remained very robust, growing just shy of 60% on a year-over-year basis, mostly due to the growth in flexible network credential usage and our customers' continued geographic expansion on our platform. The growth slowed versus Q3 because we lapped the Klarna migration in Europe, which was executed in October of 2024. Expense management growth accelerated several points from last quarter, with growth exceeding 40%. This performance is driven by customers continuing to acquire new end users as their platforms gain share while utilizing our uniquely configurable capabilities. On-demand delivery growth also accelerated and continues to be in the double digits, but below the company's overall growth rate. Q4 net revenue was $172 million, growing 27% year-over-year. Block net revenue concentration was 44% in Q4, in line with last quarter. Q4 gross profit was about $120 million. The 22% year-over-year growth was approximately four points higher than we expected. primarily driven by two factors. First, TPV growth outpaced expectations across all use cases. Second, the addition of TransactPay added four percentage points to gross profit growth, which was one percentage point higher than expected. TransactPay contribution can fluctuate from quarter to quarter based on implementation fees, and several projects were delivered in Q4 ahead of expectations. As a reminder, We revised our accounting policy for estimating and recognizing card network incentives starting in Q2 of 2025. As a result, Q4 gross profit growth had a headwind of five percentage points due to the difference in methodologies for the year-over-year comparison. Our gross profit take rate was 11 basis points, a little bit more than half a basis point lower than last quarter, largely due to the impact of the major renewal completed in the quarter. Q4 adjusted operating expenses was $89 million, growing 4% year over year, in line with our expectations. We continue to remain focused on operating efficiency and are realizing the benefit from the increased scale of our platform. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $31 million, a margin of 18% based on net revenue. Adjusted EBITDA margin based on gross profit was 26% and illustrates the profitability potential of our business. Our Q4 gap net loss was just over $1 million, which included $7 million of interest income. We ended the quarter with approximately $770 million in cash and short-term investments. Our share repurchase activity remains ongoing as we continue to believe the current valuation does not fairly represent the company's value or the market opportunity ahead of us. In Q4, we repurchased 20.2 million shares at an average price of $4.76. For the full year 2025, we repurchased 84.8 million shares at an average price of $4.59, which is a reduction of nearly 17% of the outstanding shares as of 2024 year end. As of December 31st, we had over 91 million remaining on our latest buyback authorization. Let me briefly summarize our full year 2025 performance, which was a fantastic year. TPV growth was 31%, adding over $90 billion of volume versus 2024. Net revenue grew 23%, and gross profit grew 24% on a year-over-year basis, fueled by strong TPV growth, the delay of two major contract renewals, and a significant increase in the adoption of our value-added services starting in Q1. Gross profit growth was eight percentage points higher than the high end of our expectations at the start of the year, primarily for three reasons. First, we had spoken all year about two major renewals that we expected to be completed mid-2025. Both renewals were delayed as we engaged in discussions around additional opportunities as part of the contracts. which added two percentage points to gross profit growth. Ultimately, one was completed in Q4, while the other is shifting to 2026. Second, we had non-recurring benefits in each quarter, except for Q4, which added approximately 1.5 percentage points to growth. The remaining upside was driven by stronger TPV growth across multiple use cases, particularly lending, including BNPL. Adjusted EBITDA was $110 million for the year, which is more than 3.5 times what we delivered in 2024. Our strong gross profit growth was paired with adjusted operating expense growth of only 1.5% due to success in our efficiency initiatives, increased platform economies of scales, and investment delays in the first half of the year following the CEO transition in Q1. Now let's transition to our expectations for 2026. I will start with our full year 2026 expectations before sharing more details on the quarterly cadence. Let's start with TPV. In 2026, we expect the growth to moderate into the high 20s due to increasingly tough comps, particularly in the second half. This growth is expected to add $100 billion in TPV. we expect 2026 gross profit growth between 10 to 12% with an implied gross profit dollar range of 481 to 490 million. There are two specific factors that uniquely pressure gross profit growth by seven percentage points combined with their impact amplified by their timing. First, The two large renewals we have been discussing for the last year are expected to reduce our growth by four percentage points in 2026. The delay in these renewals benefited 2025, but increases the grow over impact in 2026. As a reminder, these are the last two renewals where we expect to meaningfully adjust our pricing coming out of the FinTech boom a few years ago. Second, Based on the level of block TPV exiting 2025, we expect them to shift to the next pricing tier in their contract, reducing growth by three percentage points. At the time of the block contract renewal in the second half of 2023, we agreed on the next level of scale for their business on our platform. To incentivize their growth, we included a price tier that steps down two times the size of other pricing tiers in the contract. Block just reached that tier in December 2025, and we expect them to remain there for all of 2026, creating an unfavorable year-over-year comparison. Those two factors weigh on 2026 growth because of their timing, but we don't expect them to be impactful to our growth trajectory in 2027 and beyond. In addition, Cash App's diversification of new issuance is expected to lower our 2026 gross profit growth by approximately 1.5 to 2 percentage points. This assumes we gradually lose new issuance in the first half of the year and receive no new issuance in the second half. Before moving on, let's take a step back. At the start of 2025, we expected gross profit growth to be 14 to 16% in 2025 and in the low 20s for 2026. We outperformed in 2025 with 24% percent gross profit growth. The key factors driving the outperformance in 2025, such as the TPV growth momentum and the timing of the renewals, one-time items, and the jump in adoption of our value-added services in Q1 2025, are some of the same reasons that gross profit growth in 2026 is lower. However, the two-year expected CAGR from 2024 to 2026 of 17% to 18%, and the absolute dollar amount of 2026 gross profit have not changed. Coupled with the strong execution of our efficiency efforts and platform scale, we now expect both adjusted EBITDA and gap net income to be ahead of our projections from the start of last year. Full-year 2026 net revenue growth is expected to be 12% to 14%. 2026 adjusted operating expenses are expected to grow in the mid to high single digits. We remain disciplined with our investments in growth initiatives and continue to benefit from efficiency and platform scale. Investment delays that materially lowered our first half of 2025 expenses are lifting our growth rate in 2026. Therefore, We expect full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA to grow in the mid-20s, more than twice our gross profit growth rate. As a result, we now expect to generate a modest amount of gap net income in 2026, likely around $10 million. Let's now turn to the quarterly cadence. TPV growth is expected to be in the low 30s in the first half of 2026. then moderating and exiting Q4 2026 in the healthy mid-20s as we grow over strong year-over-year comps. For Q1, we expect gross profit to grow between 17% to 19%, representing approximately a 4 percentage point step down from Q4 2025. This is primarily driven by a 3 percentage point headwind from block price tiering and a 1 percentage point lower contribution to growth from transact pay. Q2 gross profit growth is expected to be approximately three percentage points lower than Q1, mostly due to the second major renewal going into effect. We expect gross profit growth in the second half of the year to moderate to the high single digits, slowing from Q2, primarily driven by four factors. Lapping the inclusion of TransactPay will lower growth by three points. Lapping the strong growth in our lending, including BNPL use cases, in the second half of 2025 will lower growth by approximately one point. Incentive timing is benefiting the first half and decreasing second half growth by approximately one point. The assumed loss of cash app new issuance will reduce growth by two to three points. Q1 net revenue growth is expected to be 17% to 19%. Q2 net revenue is expected to be approximately three percentage points lower than Q1 in line with gross profit and in the low double digits for the second half of the year. Our 2026 investments are primarily focused on technology and product innovation, as well as increasing our go-to-market and compliance resources to meet growing demand, Q1 adjusted operating expenses are expected to grow in the low double digits before jumping into the high teens in Q2 due to a tough comparison from investment delays in 2025. As you may recall, the Q2 2025 expenses were uncharacteristically low. Growth in the second half is expected to be in the low to mid single digits as we grow over the inclusion of transact pay and more typical investment levels. Q1 adjusted EBITDA growth is expected to be 45% to 50%. We expect Q2 growth to be approximately 10% to 15% due to the tough expense comparison, while the second half should grow 20% to 25%. Lastly, we expect to be approximately gap break-even in the first two quarters of the year and then start generating net income in the second half. In conclusion, Our achievements in 2025 have built a strong foundation for continued success in 2026 and beyond. Our ability to migrate customers in both credit and debit and flip several portfolios helps accelerate time to value and translates to gross profit and bottom line growth. We have great traction in Europe and we are already seeing increased demand and bookings with the acquisition of TransacPay and our ability to now offer a full end-to-end solution in Europe. Not only does this increase our pipeline and opportunities for growth, but we expect this to help bolster our gross profit take rate. Lastly, the traction we are seeing with value-added services not only helps create stickier customer relationships but also helps gross profit. As we head into 2026, we are excited about the momentum of our business. Our deep expertise and ability to enable innovation at scale are paying off, and these growth areas, coupled with our scale, position us to achieve gap net income profitability in 2026, a pivotal milestone that launches our next phase of value creation. I will now turn it back over to the operator for questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We'll now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. In the interest of time, we ask that participants limit themselves to one question and one follow-up.

speaker
Moderator
Q&A Moderator

One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question is from Timothy Chiodo with UBS.

speaker
Timothy Chiodo
Analyst, UBS

Great. Thank you for taking the question. And Patty, great to be on this call with you. The Cash App topic. So I apologize for just getting right at this, but I did notice a little bit of a change there. So gradual on the new issuance in first half and then turning off the new issuance in the second half. I was wondering if there was any update you could provide investors around maybe the longer-term messaging around to what extent this diversification might persist. Would it persist into 2027, 28, 29? Will there be some kind of a limit to it where we hit a happy medium across the various providers that Cash App is using? And then related to that, I also noticed that you mentioned the tiering that Block is hitting this year, and you expect them to be at that tier for the entirety of the year, which somewhat implies that the second half lack of new issuance isn't overly material to 2026 numbers as you've previously guided. But the follow-up question is that if that lack of new issuance starts to catch up to the block volumes next year, does block potentially slip back into a lower tier and therefore your take rate with block returns to norms rather than the headwind that it sees this year?

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Tim. I'll try to cover, you covered a lot of ground there, so let me kind of dive in. So yes, we have changed our assumptions a little bit on the impact of them diversifying their new issuance. Up until this point, and we're almost at the end of February, we see no discernible impact on the new issuance we're receiving. So at this point, it's minimal to really not being able to see anything. And so, but we do expect them to be getting started. So what we've assumed now is that through the first half, it'll sort of gradually, we'll be receiving less new issuance, but then by the second half, we will no longer see any new issuance. In terms of the second part of your question, in terms of the longer-term impact of diversification, As you know, Tim, in payments, a lot of people have, well, they see multiple providers, but they tend to have a primary provider, right, where you have 80% to 90% of your volume, and then you have a second provider who you really use for diversification purposes. And, you know, how that plays out for us with Cash App remains to be seen, but we feel really good about our ability to remain their primary partner, right? One, we feel that our platform capabilities are quite differentiated in terms of what we can do and what we can provide them. The second thing is that our relationship goes very deep and goes back very many years. And so we're accustomed to working together and have just a very deep relationship and are quite responsive in terms of how we work with them. And then finally, and maybe most importantly, there's a lot of, very engaged users that remain on our platform and would be quite disruptive for them to, you know, to look to maybe move those off of our platform. And when you look at the contribution to the spend from those users, we feel that's really going to benefit us to remain the primary partner. And, you know, we continue to also provide option value. So it'd be very easy to for them to consider international expansion, for example, or move into more of a traditional credit card product on our platform that may be more difficult to do with the partners they're using for diversification purposes. So it remains to be seen, Tim, but we feel good that we have a very strong relationship and we continue to add value and we'll just have to continue to assess it as we get through this year. In terms of your second question on the tiering, so yes, you're correct. I mean, if you go back to the renewal three years ago, what really we set out to do at that time was, together with cash up and the negotiation, we said, okay, when does the business hit sort of like the next level of scale, like truly get to even a completely different level of operating? And at that point, we should maybe have a little bit of a price adjustment to reflect that new kind of level of scale they've achieved. And they just moved into that in December. And so, but the tiers are relatively big. So just be given the size of the business. And there are more than 10 tiers in the contract, but the blocks of volume are relatively good size. So there's a lot of room in there for them to remain in that tier. But you're right that even with losing some new issuance, we still expect some growth and they would remain in that tier for the year. And if they were really to start diversifying away more significantly, then that's the benefit of price tiering. It would start to get more expensive, and that would be the cost of diversification on their side. So, you know, we'll see how it plays out, but, you know, we feel good about our relationship and our ability to continue to add value there.

speaker
Moderator
Q&A Moderator

Thank you. Thank you. Our next question is from Connor Allen with JP Morgan.

speaker
Connor Allen
Analyst, JP Morgan

Hi, Mike and Patty. Thanks for taking my questions. Patty, congrats on your role. Maybe a question for you, if you don't mind. Could you talk a little bit more about your choice to join Marketa? I'm curious, considering your background across cards and payments, just what stood out for you in your diligence? What makes you the most excited here?

speaker
Patty Kong-Wong Keech
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. No. Well, thanks, Connor, and it's nice to meet you. So I've been in and around payments for over a decade now across, as you mentioned, across acquiring, issuing, and banking. And, you know, across, you know, a bigger kind of like within a bank as well as kind of Stripe. And then subsequently, you know, at Roofstock, which I was trying to implement, find embedded finance within that. So I've known about Marketa for years. And I was at Stripe when they launched issuing and, you know, really recognized Marketa as a category creator at that time. So when the call came in, I spent some time with Mike and the board and the leadership team and You know, I got very excited about the combination of kind of the team I'd be working with, but also kind of listened to a lot of their track record in 2025 and kind of the growth they've been seeing and kind of all the opportunities ahead. And then also, you know, the customers that they worked with, so DoorDash, Klarna, Uber, Block, you know, having worked with these customers across different organizations, you you know, they, they don't take these decisions lightly and, um, and, and really, um, you know, it kind of validated what's been built here. And so, and you, as you know, payment platforms are kind of complex and hard to build. So, um, and, and, uh, they require deep relationships. And so, um, I just felt like my experience was especially relevant and, and at a time and place where there was just a lot of growth and investment, um, ahead. And so I'm excited to be here today, um, to join the team.

speaker
Connor Allen
Analyst, JP Morgan

Great. Thank you. Appreciate that and share the same view on our side. Maybe one for you, Mike, if you don't mind. I wanted to ask a little bit about competition. There's been some discussion in the market about newer entrants competing for larger deals. I mean, we gather that it's not necessarily happening where Marketta typically participates, but I'm just curious at a high level if you've seen any shifts in the competitive environment, new faces and RFPs, et cetera.

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

We are not seeing any significant change in the competitive environment. I would say it's relatively stable. I think what is more changing from our perspective is a few years ago in the fintech boom times, there were a lot more deals, a lot more uncertainty where you were making bets. on on customers and whether they would succeed that was a big part of the sort of a process not only are you bidding for the business but you're also trying to assess the the chances of success what's now happening is there are fewer deals but they're much more substantial in size and they're customers who you know already have a user base and a brand and so from our perspective have a much more higher likelihood of success because they're really just looking to insert a card value proposition into an existing user base. And so the fact that then they're more established companies has changed a little bit the dynamics of who we see because, you know, usually they're only going to include players who have, you know, more substantial scale. And that's a much bigger part of the decision-making process because they're confident they're going to reach, you know, several billions of volume or maybe even to, you know, double digit billions of volume annually and who has the platforms and the experience and track record of delivering on that kind of scale. And so, you know, it's mostly stable, but there is a slight change as we move up market, so to speak.

speaker
Moderator
Q&A Moderator

Makes sense. Thank you both. Our next question is from Darren Peller with Wolf Research.

speaker
Darren Peller
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Hey, guys. Thanks. Patty, nice to connect and congrats also. Thank you. Nice to connect again. I guess when I just think about the underlying trajectory of the business, you know, Mike, I know we talked about seven points of impact to your gross profit outlook really associated with the items that you discussed on block as well as the renewals. And I guess there's another few points on pricing, which I think is a little bit more newer to us just given the scale of Cash App. And so the combination, you're really still growing your Cash App by somewhere over 20% when you look at your guide and those variables. A, is that how you want us to think about the trajectory? And B, if that's true, maybe remind us of what you're seeing as the top drivers. I mean, you're talking about flips in the business. Where are you seeing the most strength? Just rank the top few strengths you're seeing driving that 20% plus algorithm. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Yeah, thanks, Darren. You're exactly right. The two impacts we called out that are seven points, the renewals and the cash app tiering, Those to us are very timing specific. It's almost like they're almost perfectly lining up to hit our 2026 growth in a way. If the timing was a little different, these impacts would be spreaded out and our growth wouldn't be kind of where it is in the lower double digits. So those two things we really think are very specific to timing and therefore go away. And then we have a little bit at one and a half to two points of the cash app diversification And then just in general, the TPV growth is just moderating, right? The second half, our growth has really been particularly impressive given our scale. And we don't, we still expect it to be strong, but not, you know, growing over 30%. And so you put all those things together and there's sort of seven points of timing and call it four to five points of other factors. I think when you look at what is, you know, what's exciting to us, I would put it in a few different areas. Like there's, Four things where we really have strong momentum, like the TPV growth, again, is very impressive, particularly buy now, pay later. And we just think that's going to be a growing use case. It's just going to continue to get wider adoption. Europe is not only fast growing, but we've added capabilities there with TPL just in the last six months. You know, our value added services, the size of that business doubled in 2025. And that tends to be a stickier, higher margin business. And then, you know, the new cohorts, the new customers we're bringing on As I mentioned, 40 new logos, 14 of our 15 top customers have done a new program with us in the last two years. So our existing customers are expanding with us. And so those are all the things that make us feel confident of just the underlying momentum in the business. And then when you combine that with some things that are more on the come, a pipeline that's full of enterprise customers who are looking to move into card payments and looking for established scale players, You know, we have innovative new products that we're experimenting with, and we're hoping we'll get some traction in 2026. And then, of course, credit is something that we've been you know, taking our time with making sure we do it the right way, but you know, we're going to start leaning in more and more in, in kind of the next year or two. So those are all things that I consider to be on the come. And then the last piece I would just highlight is the beneficial mix as Europe and value added services, which are growing much faster than the company. And we think we'll continue to do so as they gain share of gross profit, it will lift the overall gross profit growth rate. So that's why I mentioned in my comments, I think the growth we're seeing in 2026 is very specific. We think that actually the underlying components and structural elements of the business are actually quite strong and on a good trajectory, and we feel good about the path that the business is on.

speaker
Darren Peller
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Yeah, okay. Hey, guys, just one quick follow-up. would be to double check that you've reviewed the portfolio and don't feel any risk of incremental renewals, large renewals. I just want to see if there's anything else we should just keep an eye out for for the year that would impact maybe guidance even into the next year. It may be too early to know at the end of the year, but anything you see, where your transparency is. Thanks.

speaker
Patty Kong-Wong Keech
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I think it's probably a little too early to be talking about 2027, but I think, yeah, we do, you know, on a normal way basis, have renewals all the time. But really these two that we're highlighting here are the two remaining from coming out of the fintech boom. But I think you'll always see, you know, as we're kind of growing with these users and you would see, you would naturally see some pricing step down as they grow with us. But that's, again, to incentivize them to grow with us.

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, we have pretty good visibility, and I think we've, as Patty just said, I mean, we've included sort of the BAU things that we would expect to see, so we feel pretty good that we've incorporated everything. Yeah.

speaker
Moderator
Q&A Moderator

Great. Great. Okay. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question is from Sanjay Sakrani with KBW.

speaker
Sanjay Sakrani
Analyst, KBW

Thank you, and welcome, Patty. I'm just curious. I know, Mike, you talked a little bit about the expectations for moderating TPV growth in the second half. Obviously, you're growing over some difficult comparisons, but curious, is that sort of conservative given, you know, you have the pipeline and then obviously BNPL is doing well, or do you feel like there will be a little bit of a scale back in terms of issuance there?

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, it's a great question, Sanjay. I think, you know, the The performance we're seeing in this past quarter, I would say it's just, it's pretty remarkable. Like when you, just to step back a minute, you know, our lending and buy now pay later use case is growing almost 60%. And that's despite us lapping the conversion with Klarna that started, that we executed in October of 24. So we're growing almost 60% with like a tougher comp. You know, expense management is growing over 40%. that's a pretty big use case for us. That's the first time it's grown over 40% in three years. You know, financial services, which is by far our largest use case is growing over 30% in Q4. And it hasn't, that's the first time that's happened in 2025 on again, a very large base and even on-demand delivery, which, you know, for the last couple of years has been more of a single digit grower is now, you know, double digits the last couple of quarters and accelerated. So we, we really are seeing incredible performance. We've tried to be reasonable. As we said, we think in the first half, our growth will remain over 30% as there's just so much momentum. But as we get to the second half, we have really tough comps. And if some of these things can keep rolling at that level, obviously, that would be great for the business. But that's not what we've assumed for now. We think those tougher comps will slow the growth a little bit. But you know, growing in kind of the mid to high 20s on a, you know, base of almost $400 billion of volume, we feel, you know, pretty good about, you know, the growth of the business.

speaker
Sanjay Sakrani
Analyst, KBW

Thank you. And then just to follow up on value-added services and Europe, I guess when we think about the growth there, can you just maybe help us dimensionalize sort of what you're expecting this year versus last year and, what maybe the broader product rollouts are that could actually maybe accelerate the growth there as well?

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So let me start in Europe. Europe is now, I don't know, maybe a little bit more than mid-teens of our TPV. And this is the first quarter in a couple of years that it hasn't grown over 100%, just as that base is growing. As I mentioned in my comments, 2025 is eight times the size of 2022. in terms of our business in Europe. So we have a lot of momentum there. And that was all done with a relatively limited value proposition of just our, you know, we have great processing. And of course, we're quite proud of our processing capabilities, but we didn't really have many other services around that capability. And with the TransactPay acquisition, we now have a much more robust value proposition to sell and market. And so we're expecting Europe to still meaningfully outpace the overall company. both in terms of TBD growth as well as gross profit growth. So we expect that to be a pretty major contributor. In terms of value-added services, we continue to add new capabilities and more and more customers are looking for scaled solutions. I would say the growth we think will moderate a little bit in 2026 only because we really had a pretty significant step up In 2025, we had a few of our largest customers adopt offerings from us, which then meant that the gross profit doubled in 2025 versus 2024. And although we think it will keep growing at a nice clip faster than the company, it's not going to keep up that pace. But we do think it will be a meaningful contributor, and typically those are higher margin products, and they increase the stickiness with the customer as well. So we're quite excited about kind of our expanding portfolio and the increased penetration that we have with those products into our customer base.

speaker
Moderator
Q&A Moderator

Perfect. Thank you. Our next question is from Craig Maurer with FT Partners.

speaker
Craig Maurer
Analyst, FT Partners

Yeah, thanks, and welcome, Patty. I wanted to put a finer point on Tim's question earlier concerning a lot of what I had that's already been asked and answered. You know, Visa was pointed on their call to call out the win in cash for Cash App, They've been putting a lot of emphasis on their issuer services business. So I was wondering what you're seeing differently from them. Are they increasing their presence in the market in terms of what they're doing for FinTechs? How is this changing how you're looking at the market, if at all?

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. You know, obviously I don't know exactly. I can only see what Visa says publicly. But in my view, you know, what – Visa DPS particularly offers is, you know, obviously they have a lot of credibility to say they can handle your business on scale with great reliability, right? So when you've gotten to that size, then they become an option. And they're used to managing customers of that size. And just because of, you know, the size of their platform and how long it's been around, Um, you know, my, my perception would be, they're probably just not quite as flexible. So, you know, catching customers earlier in their life cycle is probably not, you know, kind of prime hunting ground for them. Um, but, but talking to, or, you know, talking to prospects who have already achieved a lot of scale and have a lot of maturity, you know, that's a good, good match for them and, and where they, where their strengths, it sort of plays into their strengths, so to speak. So I would say, um, You know, I think they have made platform improvements. I have no doubt they have more capabilities than they did a few years ago, but I think there's still a relatively small group of people that kind of have that kind of scale that they would target. I think, you know, we would still have big advantages, I think, in terms of nimbleness and thinking of you know, more creative solutions to solve very specific problems for customers as opposed to something that's, you know, pretty stable processing and they know what they want. And so I, we may see them a little bit more a couple years ago, we didn't really see them much. And I think as As we go after bigger and bigger business, then that would be maybe a competitor we'll see a little more frequently. But we still feel very good that our value proposition is that we also can support a lot of scale and have programs that are quite big, but we still have a lot of agility and a lot of unique capability and configurability that allows people to do things that are a little bit different and differentiate themselves in the market. And that's really what sets Marketo apart.

speaker
Moderator
Q&A Moderator

Our next question is from James Fawcett with Morgan Stanley.

speaker
Michael Fontana
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, guys. It's Michael in Fontana for James. Thanks for taking our question. Mike, I'd be curious to hear how you're thinking about the mix shifts we're seeing in BNPL broadly with respect to a larger percentage of volume originating on flex credential cards as well as within digital wallets. So as that mix shift continues, what's the impact on on your unit economics, if at all?

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I would say, uh, not a big impact on our, on our unit economics. I would say they're, um, relatively, uh, similar. I would say typically more of a consumer value proposition is going to have a little bit of a premium versus a, a single use virtual card. But at least at this point is that the people, the, the first movers with the flexible credentials are, are quite, you know, large players who, um, you know, have a lot of volume. So I would say the economics are relatively similar. But the big difference is the lack of, I don't know, maybe I'll just say stickiness that comes when you shift from a virtual credential to a consumer credential. That's going to be a much more sticky relationship, harder to diversify because, you know, there isn't a lot of precedent for people trying to run a single program on multiple stacks. And versus in virtual card, you know, every transaction that occurs, you could send it to a different platform if you wanted. And so I think the real benefit to us, in addition to just having leadership in this space and being able to handle consumer value propositions, which some of our competitors don't have a lot of experience with. But in that shift to something that's more consumer oriented, it also becomes a little bit of a stickier business for us and a little bit more challenging for customers to diversify, which should be good for us given our early leadership here.

speaker
Michael Fontana
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

It's helpful, Mike. And then maybe just secondly, And any quick update you can share just on the nature of your conversations with some of the larger financial institutions and in the areas that they're diligent in? Thanks, guys.

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. I would say our conversations with financial institutions, I would say, are more frequent and substantive now than they were a couple years ago. I think there's a real shift in the market towards people really looking at modernization. I think the you know, as we said before, you know, the FinTech winners have been crowned and they're becoming big businesses. And so what I think maybe a few years ago, maybe people saw as growing the pie are now starting to become real competitive reps and real competition for the banks for not only deposits, but also spending both consumer and commercial. And so I think there's, you know, broader recognition that, you know, to successfully compete with some of those value propositions, you're probably going to need a little bit more sophisticated technology and more, you know, more ability to be flexible and configurable. And so we are having, you know, more and more conversations. We still believe, though, that, you know, these are inherently cautious organizations and we're likely to break in still with a specific use case. And I would say the two probably at the top of the list from our standpoint would be something in commercial, just given our success and proven track record at supporting many of the disruptors. And then also in some sort of lending by now pay later use case where a lot of banks also are interested in providing that kind of capability on their cards. And we clearly, again, have established leadership and track record and ability, again, to support a big scale. So, you know, we're, you know, we're, we're working to get our foot in the door and, and I would say the conversations are, there's a lot more promising than maybe a couple of years ago where it felt like it was still pretty far off.

speaker
Moderator
Q&A Moderator

Thanks, Mike. Yep. Our next question is from Andrew Schmidt with Citi. Hey, Mike.

speaker
Andrew Schmidt
Analyst, Citi

Welcome, Patty. Thanks for taking my questions. So I just wanted to dig in on the implementation timeframes and partner bank diversification. Maybe you could just give us an update there. And then for the enterprise customers for embedded use cases, if you could just elaborate on what an implementation timeframe looks like for that type of customer, that would be helpful. Thanks so much.

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So in terms of new bank partnerships, you know, we added a new, well, a new U.S. bank and then a U.K. bank last year. We're in the process of implementing another U.S. bank and a European bank in the first half of this year. So, you know, we are diversifying our bank offering. In Europe, it's purely because now we have the capability to sort of offer a combined value proposition. So those are new. And in the U.S., The diversification more is targeting two things. Either it's a use case. Not all of the banks are comfortable with all the types of use cases that we can serve. So some of it is about as our business diversifies, we might need different partners. And then some of it is also capability, right? Some of these banks have been investing and have some unique capabilities that we think pairs well with ours to meet a customer need. So That's why we're expanding our bank kind of portfolio. In terms of the implementation time, I think we've gotten to a good place there where we have solidified the processes. We've taken out a lot of the challenges we had with things moving slower. And I think also we've done a good job educating customers about the impact of of changes that they make along the way and what that can do to timeline. So I think we've stabilized that pretty well. But maybe what you're signaling in the second part of your question is true. As we're moving into more enterprise deals, they do move a little slower, right, than our previous customer base who, you know, a lot of times our value proposition or the card they were doing with us was critical to their business and what they're trying to achieve. So they're They're ready and willing to move very fast, and it's one of the top priorities going on at the entire company. When you're dealing with a much larger organization, there's this more complex decision hierarchy. Even just the kind of scrutiny that we get in terms of tech and security and all these things, it just takes a little more time. So I would say in general, they're moving a little slower, but as I mentioned earlier, We're okay with that trade-off because we feel the probability of success is much higher, and their ability to hit the ground running is also much higher, given they're going to be bringing this value proposition into an already established, very large user base, as opposed to a few years ago when it was a new fintech, they were going to be building it mostly from scratch.

speaker
Andrew Schmidt
Analyst, Citi

Got it. Thanks for that, Mike. I appreciate those comments. And then maybe we could just chat on value-add services for a moment. It's good to see the uptake on the enhanced risk product. Can you just talk about just, you know, expectations for Attach there? You know, modernization, that would be helpful. And then obviously, you know, a more important point of all this is just the pipeline for other value-add services. It's important to keep iterating these. Maybe talk about kind of what you're sort of targeting, what types of areas in the future. Thanks so much.

speaker
Mike Miletic
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. I think the biggest change that we're seeing is that, again, with the FinTech customer base, they almost prided themselves in piecing together kind of best-in-class solutions, right? They viewed it as their modern tech stacks. They're going to take best-in-breed and pull it together to something that's quite unique in the market and best-in-class. And so they were a little bit willing to choose a la carte. I think as we're talking to more and more enterprise customers, if you've got a good solution, they're happy to take it from you. They don't want to connect to five different people to pull together their value proposition. So if you have a good offering to make and you're going to be the processor and program manager, I see what we see are more inclined to take that solution from you just to make their life a little bit easier and to be able to move faster. And so that's really the difference that we're seeing in the uptake. And in terms of the areas, I think our strength is clearly in tokenization. We have capabilities there that we think are very differentiated. And then in our risk services, those are the two areas. Everyone in issuing is going to have to do some level of fraud management and fraud monitoring. And so those are the two areas that I think we're going to continue to invest and make sure we remain strong. But we are moving into new areas related to, you know, rewards, our white label app, more kind of data and analytics services as we continue to, you know, get bigger and have more scale. And so those are some of the things that are relatively small now, but we think, you know, have a lot of potential to be larger in the future.

speaker
Moderator
Q&A Moderator

Got it. Thank you so much. Thank you. This concludes today's conference call.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you again for your participation.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

Q4MQ 2025

-

-