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Micron Technology, Inc.
12/17/2025
Thank you for standing by and welcome to Micron's first quarter 2026 financial call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star 11 on your telephone. If your question has been answered and you'd like to remove yourself from the queue, simply press star 11 again. As a reminder, today's program is being recorded. And now I'd like to introduce your host for today's program, Satya Kumar, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you, and welcome to Micron Technologies' fiscal first quarter 2026 financial conference call. On the call with me today are Sanjay Mehrotra, our chairman, president, and CEO, and Mark Murphy, our CFO. Today's call is being webcast from our investor relations site at investors.micron.com, including audio and slides. In addition, the press release detailing our quarterly results has been posted on the website along with the prepared remarks for this call. Today's discussion contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements include statements regarding our future financial and operating performance, as well as trends and expectations in our business, contractual terms, market, industry, products, and regulatory and other matters. These statements are based on our current assumptions and we assume no obligation to update these statements. Please refer to our most recent financial reports on Forms 10-K, Forms 10-Q, and our other filings with the SEC for more information on the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. Today's discussion of financial results is presented on a non-GAAP financial basis unless otherwise specified. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures can be found on our website. I'll now turn the call over to Sanjay.
Thank you, Satya. Micron had an outstanding start to fiscal 2026, delivering fiscal Q1 revenue, growth margin, and EPS well above the high end of our guidance. This financial performance was driven by our strong execution across end markets and products in a tight supply environment. We achieved a number of records in fiscal Q1. Total company revenue, DRAM and NAND revenue, as well as HBM and data center revenue, and revenue in each of our business units, also reached new records. We have completed agreements on price and volume for our entire calendar 2026 HBM supply, including Micron's industry-leading HBM4. We forecast an HBM TAM CAGR of approximately 40% through calendar 2028. from approximately $35 billion in 2025 to around $100 billion in 2028. This $100 billion HBM TAM milestone is now projected to arrive two years earlier than in our prior outlook. Remarkably, this 2028 HBM TAM projection is larger than the size of the entire demand market in calendar 2024. We are excited about our customized HPM4E customer engagements, which offer further differentiation opportunities to us, and we continue to make excellent progress on our HPM roadmap. Memory is now essential to AI's cognitive functions, fundamentally altering its role from a system component to a strategic asset that dictates product performance from data center to the edge. This structural shift means that system capabilities heavily rely on advanced memory for real-time contextual processing, which is vital for achieving autonomous and intelligent behaviors in AI data centers, as well as in applications ranging from self-driving cars to advanced medical diagnostics. With our technology leadership differentiated product portfolio, strong operational execution, and solid balance sheet, Micron is in the best competitive position in its history and is one of the semiconductor industry's biggest enablers of AI. We anticipate substantial new records in revenue, gross margin, EPS, and free cash flow for both the second quarter and the full fiscal year 2026, and we expect our business performance to continue to strengthen through the year. Sustained and strong industry demand along with supply constraints are contributing to tight market conditions, and we expect these conditions to persist beyond calendar 2026. We are making progress with customers in our discussions for multi-year contracts with specific commitments. Simultaneously, we are focused on maximizing our production output from our current footprint stamping our industry-leading technology nodes, and investing in new clean room space to add to our supply capability. Micron's technology leadership is foundational to our strong competitive position. Micron has led the industry for four consecutive technology nodes in DRAM and three nodes in NAND with progressively faster yield ramps in every node. our One Gamma DRAM node is ramping well. One Gamma will be the primary driver of our DRAM bit growth in calendar 2026, and will be the majority of our bit output in the second half of the calendar year. Looking beyond One Gamma, development is underway for One Delta and One Epsilon nodes, which will feature innovations that we expect to extend our differentiation and technology leadership. In NAND, we are ramping our G9 node with robust yield ramps across both data center and client SSDs. Our QLC NAND mix, including G9 QLC, reached a record high during the quarter. Technology transitions to G9 will be the primary driver of our NAND bit growth in calendar 2026. and we expect it to become our largest NAND node later in fiscal 2026. I'm pleased to report that calendar 2025 is a record year for Micron in terms of both internal and customer quality measures, positioning us well to deliver for our customers as the memory industry's quality leader. As our products are increasingly integrated into higher value applications, our leadership in quality is becoming a more important differentiator. Turning to our end markets. As the world's leading technology companies advance toward artificial general intelligence and transform the global economy, our customers are committing to an extraordinary multi-year data center build-out. This growth in AI data center capacity is driving a significant increase in demand for high-performance and high-capacity memory and storage. Server unit demand has strengthened significantly, and we now expect calendar 2025 server unit growth in the high Teams percentage range, higher than our last earnings call outlook of 10%. We expect server demand strength to continue in 2026. Server memory and storage content and performance requirements continue to increase generation to generation. Micron has a differentiated portfolio of high-value data center solutions to address these requirements, including our HVM, high-capacity server memory solutions, and data center SSDs. Micron's HBM-4, with industry-leading speed over 11 gigabits per second, is on track to ramp with high yields in the second calendar quarter of 2026, consistent with our customers' product ramp plans. Our HBM-4 uses advanced CMOS and advanced mentalization process technologies on the base logic die and DRAM core dies, which are designed and manufactured in-house. This along with our unique HPM design, packaging, and test capability, enables Micron's industry-leading performance and low-power leadership. Micron pioneered the adoption of LPD RAM in the data center. Micron's low-power DRAM server modules consume one-third the power of DDR DRAM server modules. Building on this leadership, we have sampled our 192 gigabyte LP SOCAM 2 product, which enables a 50% increase in capacity per module and a rack-scale LP DRAM density of over 50 terabytes. Our data center NAND portfolio revenue exceeded a billion dollars in fiscal Q1, and we are seeing strong momentum across our data center's SSD portfolio, enabled by our leadership NAND technology. In the performance SSD category, Micron has introduced the world's first PCIe Gen 6 SSD, leveraging our G9 NAND. We are seeing rapidly increasing qualification commitments for this product, including at hyperscalers. In mainstream storage, our SSDs based on G9 NAND are already seeing robust demand in the first quarter of calendar 2026. In capacity storage, our QLC-based 122 and 245 terabytes G9 SSDs are entering qualification at multiple hyperscale customers. PC demand continues to be driven by Windows 10 end of life and AI PCs. We forecast PC unit sales to grow high single digit percentage range in calendar 2025 above our prior expectations provided in our last earnings call of mid single digits. As we look ahead into 2026, we expect these demand drivers to continue while memory supply constraints may affect some PC unit shipments. Micron has completed multiple OEM qualifications of our 16 gigabit one gamma based DDR5 and our G9 based PCIe Gen 4 QLC SLDs. Turning to mobile, smartphone unit volumes in calendar 2025 are on track to grow in the low single digit percentage range. AI is driving memory content growth. The shipment mix of flagship smartphones with 12 gigabyte of DRAM increased to 59% in calendar Q3, more than twice the level from a year ago. Micron is accelerating innovation across our mobile DRAM portfolio. In fiscal Q1, we began sampling our breakthrough one gamma 16 gigabit LPDDR6 product to leading OEM and ecosystem partners, marking a major milestone in next generation memory technology. LPDDR6 will power AI at the edge delivering over 50% higher performance and improved power efficiency for flagship smartphones and AI PCs. Micron also sampled our OneGamma LP5X 24 gigabit product and began volume shipments of the previously announced OneGamma LP5X 16 gigabit product to multiple OEMs. Turning to auto, industrial, and embedded. In automotive, L2 Plus and LC adoption is driving robust demands today, and our customers' roadmaps indicate a significantly higher memory content in fully automated vehicles. Micron is uniquely positioned for growth with our differentiated product portfolio and automotive market share leadership. Our ASIL-rated LPDDR5X and UFS 4.1 NAND products optimized for automotive and advanced robotics that include bandwidth-enhancing features are seeing strong demand and have already secured billions of dollars in design wins. In industrial, demand continues to strengthen driven by the growing adoption of autonomous systems across various applications. Long-term demand trend trajectory remains robust for memory and storage in industrial applications such as in factory automation, aerospace and defense, humanoid robotics, edge networking, and video surveillance. Across both auto and industrial markets, LPDDR4X and DDR4 are also experiencing strong demand, and we are making investments to provide long-term supply from our Manassas, Virginia fab. Now turning to our market outlook. Over the last few months, our customers AI data center build out plans have driven a sharp increase in demand forecasts for memory and storage. We believe that the aggregate industry supply will remain substantially short of the demand for the foreseeable future. The dramatic increase in HVM demand is further challenging the supply environment due to the three to one trade ratio with DDR5 and this trade ratio only increases with future generations of HVM. Additional clean room space is necessary to address this increased demand, and lead times for clean room build out are lengthening across geographies. Together, these demand and supply factors are driving tight industry conditions across DRAM and NAND, and we expect tightness to persist through and beyond Calendar 2026. Calendar 2025 DRAM and NAND industry bid demand growth expectations are higher than in our last earnings call outlook. We now expect calendar 2025 DRAM bid demand growth to be in the low 20% range versus high teens previously. We expect 2025 NAND bid demand growth to be in the high teens percentage range versus low to mid teens previously. We expect calendar 2026 industry DRAM and NAND bit shipment growth to be constrained by industry supply. We expect both DRAM and NAND calendar 2026 industry bit shipments to increase around 20% from 2025 levels. Micron is working hard to support our customers' demand during this time. and we expect to grow our DRAM and NAND bid shipments approximately 20% in calendar 2026. Despite significant efforts, we are disappointed to be unable to meet demand from other customers across all market segments. Micron plans to increase our fiscal 2026 capex to approximately $20 billion versus our prior estimate of $18 billion. This increase will primarily support our HPM supply capability and also our one gamma supply in calendar 2026. We are pulling in equipment orders and accelerating installation timelines to maximize output capability. Micron is also investing across our global manufacturing footprint to add supply to support longer term demand. we are seeing an enthusiastic customer response to our planned U.S. supply. We are pulling in our first Idaho fab timeline, and we now expect first wafer output in mid-calendar 2027, earlier than our prior expectation of second half calendar 2027. Earlier this year, we announced our plans for the second Idaho fab, which will begin construction in 2026, and be operational by the end of 2028. We are making good progress on securing necessary permits for our New York site and appreciate the partnership with the state of New York and the Trump administration. We plan to break ground on our first New York FAB in early calendar 2026, which we expect will provide supply in 2030 and beyond. In Japan, with the support of METI, We are making technology and manufacturing investments. We are enabling future DRAM technology transition in coordination with our Boise R&D team. We are also adding clean room space in our Hiroshima fab to support these advanced nodes, which will increase production scale and optimize fab economics. In Singapore, our HPM advanced packaging facility is on track, to contribute meaningfully to our HBM supply in calendar 2027. As HBM becomes a part of our Singapore manufacturing footprint, we expect opportunities for synergies between NAND and DRAM production. We are pleased with the progress on our assembly and test facility in India, which has initiated pilot production and will ramp in 2026. As we make progress on our strategic manufacturing initiatives, we will continue to be responsive to the market environment and disciplined with our CapEx plans. I will now turn it over to Mark for our fiscal Q1 financial results and outlook.
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