New Mountain Finance Corporation

Q4 2021 Earnings Conference Call

3/1/2022

spk03: Good morning, and welcome to the New Mountain Finance Corporation fourth quarter 2021 earnings call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal conference specialists by pressing the star key, followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Rob Hamwey, CEO. Please go ahead.
spk08: Thank you, and good morning, everyone, and welcome to New Mountain Finance Corporation's fourth quarter earnings call for 2021. On the line with me here today are Steve Plinsky, Chairman of NMFC and CEO of New Mountain Capital, John Klein, President of NMFC, Shiraz Khaji, CFO of NMFC, and Laura Holson, COO of NMFC. Laura was promoted to COO effective February 15th and has been a core member of the credit team for over 10 years. Steve is going to make some introductory remarks, but before he does, I'd like to ask Shiraz to make some important statements regarding today's call.
spk07: Thanks, Rob. Good morning, everyone. Before we get into the presentation, I would like to advise everyone that today's call and webcast are being recorded. Please note that they are the property of New Mountain Finance Corporation and that any unauthorized broadcast in any form is strictly prohibited. Information about the audio replay of this call is available in our February 28th earnings press release. I would also like to call your attention to the customary safe harbor disclosure in our press release and on page two of the slide presentation regarding forward-looking statements. Today's conference call and webcast may include forward-looking statements and projections, and we ask you to refer to our most recent filings with the SEC for important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those statements and projections. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements or projections unless required to by law. To obtain copies of our latest SEC filings and to access the slide presentation that we will be referencing throughout this call, please visit our website at www.newmountainfinance.com. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Steve Kalinsky, NMSC's Chairman, who will give some highlights beginning on page five of the slide presentation.
spk00: Steve? Thanks, Shiraz. It's great to be able to address all of you today as both the chairman of NMFC and as a major fellow shareholder. I'll start by covering the highlights of the fourth quarter. Net investment income for the quarter was approximately 31 cents per share, fully covering our dividend of 30 cents per share that was paid in cash on December 30th and above our prior guidance. Our net asset value was $13.49 per share, a 1.7% increase from last quarter's net asset value, primarily driven by continued appreciation in our Edmentum and REIT equity positions. The regular dividend for Q1 2022 was again set at $0.30 per share based on estimated net I.I. of $0.30 per share. As we discussed on our previous earnings calls, risk control and downside protection have always been part of New Mountain's founding mission. Our firm as a whole now manages over $35 billion in total assets with a team of over 190 people. We have never had a bankruptcy or missed an interest payment in the history of our private equity work. We have applied that same team strength and focus on downside protection to NMFC and our credit efforts. The great bulk of NMFC's loans are in acyclical sectors with secular tailwinds, such as enterprise software, tech-enabled business services, and healthcare services and technology. These are the types of defensive growth industries that we think are the right ones in all times and particularly attractive in difficult times. We believe our portfolio continues to be well positioned due to this defensive growth investment strategy and is evidenced by an average net default loss of only seven basis points a year since we began our credit operation in 2008. Our portfolio company risk ratings have remained generally unchanged since our last earnings call, and we had no new non-accruals this quarter. The fourth quarter represented a record origination quarter for our credit business overall, given the active market and increasing market share of direct lending more broadly, combined with the strength of our sourcing capabilities. Lastly, I would like to provide a quick update on the several initiatives discussed last quarter. Given our strong earnings profile, we have not needed our dividend protection program, but we want to remind shareholders of its existence and our support of the 30 cents per share dividend. Additionally, our at the market or ATM stock program is off to a nice start with approximately $18 million of net proceeds since it launched in November. Together, New Mountain professionals have invested over $600 million personally into NMFC and New Mountain's credit activities. I and management remain as NMFC's largest shareholders. We have continued to add to our personal positions in the last 12 months, and Rob, John, and I have never sold a share. With that, let me turn the call back to Rob.
spk08: Thank you, Steve. As we have throughout the COVID crisis, we continue to update each portfolio company's scores on our heat map using the same criteria discussed in the past and is outlined on page eight. We believe our portfolio continues to be very well positioned overall. The updated heat maps show the slightly net negative risk migration this quarter, as summarized on pages nine and 10, with $49 million of negative migration from one issuer in the insurance services space. Certain segments of this business have faced some COVID headwinds, and the company has had some FX challenges more broadly. Given these performances, challenges combined with an upcoming revolver maturity, we migrated the risk to orange from yellow on our heat map. We are in active discussions with the sponsor and hope to have an update regarding a potential solution in the near term. The updated heat map is shown on page 11. As you can see, given our portfolio's strong bias towards defensive sectors like software, business services, and healthcare, we believe the vast majority of our assets are very well positioned to continue to perform no matter how the public health and economic landscape develops. We continue to spend significant time and energy on our remaining red and orange names, which represent just 8% of our portfolio at fair value. We have seen some positive momentum in several of these names and are optimistic that as the impact of the pandemic hopefully continues to recede in the months ahead, these credits will benefit and migrate positively on our heat map. Page 12 is a view of our credit performance based on underlying portfolio company leverage relative to LTM EBITDA and shaded to the corresponding color of the heat map. As you can see, the vast majority of our green rated positions have shown results that are very consistent with our underwriting projections, exhibiting either very minor leverage increases or in many cases, leverage decreases. On the lower right side of the page, we show a group of seven companies that have more than two and a half turns of negative leverage drift, most of which correspond to our yellow, orange and red rated names. These companies represent a small portion of our portfolio that have underperformed partially due to adverse conditions caused by the well-documented volatility in certain parts of the economy. From a liquidity perspective, we believe that all seven companies have adequate resources to pursue their post COVID business plans and have reasonable prospects for improved performance in 2022. With that, I will turn it over to John to discuss market conditions and other important performance metrics.
spk05: Thanks, Rob. So far this year, we have seen volatility in many parts of the equity and fixed income markets driven by interest rate concerns, supply chain disruptions, and geopolitical instability. However, direct lending remains healthy given floating interest rates and secured debt structures that are inherent to the asset class. While the direct lending market has experienced a normal seasonal lull in the first part of Q1, in recent weeks we have seen increased activity as sponsors seek to deploy a significant amount of dry powder in 2022. Over the course of the last few years, We believe that direct lending has increased its share of the overall financing market, and we expect this trend to continue in 2022 as sponsors seek ease of execution, single debt tranches, and committed capital for future acquisitions. Operating performance trends across our core defensive growth industries remain strong, which has created a backdrop for healthy sponsor purchase prices resulting in very attractive loan-to-value ratios for lenders. As we reported last quarter, there is a tight pricing range for direct lending solutions as most deals that we evaluate have very similar spreads regardless of credit quality. Given this dynamic, there is little incentive to stretch on credit quality, which plays very well to our strategy of financing best-in-class companies in defensive industries. Page 14 presents an interest rate analysis where we show how potential changes in the base rate could impact NMFC's future earnings. Given the expectation for base rate increases, this analysis has become more relevant than any time in recent memory. As shown, the vast majority of our assets are floating rate loans, while our liabilities are 53% fixed rate and 47% floating rate. Given this balance sheet mix, NMFC offers its shareholders consistent and stable earnings in all scenarios where LIBOR or SOFR remain under 1%. If base rates rise above 1%, which is expected to happen in the near future, there is meaningful upside to NMFC's net investment income. All things being equal, if base rates rise to 2%, which could occur within the next 12 months, annual earnings per share will increase by 10 cents or 9%. This positive interest rate optionality offers material potential return enhancement to our shareholders and provides an attractive hedge against higher rates across the US economy. Turning to page 15, we present our book value performance since the COVID pandemic began. where we show that the portfolio recovered nicely over the course of the last two years. In fact, today our book value is nearly 2% higher than it was in the quarter preceding the health crisis. This recovery has been driven by an increase in the fair value of our core debt portfolio and appreciation of certain equity positions, the largest of which are shown on the right side of the page. Going forward, assuming solid operating performance and a supportive valuation environment, these equity positions could continue to increase in value. Page 16 addresses NMFC's long-term credit performance since its inception. On the left side of the page, we show the current state of the portfolio, where we have $3.1 billion of investments at fair value with $29 million or less than 1% of our portfolio currently on non-accrual. On the right side of the page, we present NMFC's cumulative credit performance since our inception in 2008, which shows that across $9.2 billion of total investments, only $276 million have been placed on non-accrual. Of the non-accruals, Only 79 million have become realized losses over the course of our 13 plus year history. Limiting losses over a long period of time is perhaps the most important metric for a credit manager. We remain committed to transparently disclosing these metrics to our investors. The chart on page 17 tracks the company's overall economic performance since its IPO in 2011. As you can see at the top of the page, since our initial listing, NMFC has paid $933 million of regular dividends to our shareholders, which have been fully supported by $939 million of net investment income. On the lower half of the page, we focus on below the line items, where we show that since inception, we have cumulative net realized and unrealized losses of just $24 million. which is a $22 million improvement from last quarter. It is important to highlight that this aggregate loss remains a tiny fraction of total dividend payouts to date. And as we look forward, we remain very focused on reversing these losses, primarily through potential gains on our equity positions. Page 18 shows a stock chart detailing NMFC's equity returns since its IPO nearly 11 years ago. Over this period, NMFC has generated a compound annual return of 10.4 percent, which represents a very strong fixed income return in an environment where risk-free rates have averaged less than 1 percent. NMFC's performance has materially exceeded that of the high yield index, as well as an index of BDC peers that have been public at least as long as we have. Additionally, in recent months, during a challenging environment for risk assets, NMFC and its BDC peers have performed very well compared to the equity and fixed income markets that we track. I will now turn the call over to our COO, Laura Holson, to discuss more details on our recent originations and current portfolio construction.
spk02: Thanks, John. As Steve previewed, Q4 was a record origination quarter for our direct lending platform, with aggregate deployment of $1.5 billion. Pages 19 and 20 outline the strong and diverse originations within NMFC, which were well balanced with portfolio exits, keeping us fully invested and within our target leverage range. Our originations included lead and co-lead mandates, club deal flow, and add-on investments into existing portfolio companies. We continue to have great success targeting and sourcing high-quality deals within niches of the economy where we have the highest conviction. Since quarter end, as shown on page 21, we continued our sourcing momentum with five new financings during the months of January and February. Net of repayments, we expanded our book by $105 million, and we remain within our target leverage range. Looking ahead, we expect our deal flow to fully absorb any proceeds from ordinary course loan repayments as well as any incremental capital raised through our ATM program. Turning to page 22, we show that in Q4, our portfolio continued to migrate up the capital structure as our originations were heavily weighted toward first lien loans due to increasing sponsor interest in the Unitranche product while our sales and repayments were evenly split between first lien and non-first lien assets. We plan to maintain an asset mix that is consistent with our quarter end portfolio, where approximately two-thirds of our investments, inclusive of first lien, SLPs, and net lease, are senior in nature. Page 23 shows that the average yield of NMFC's portfolio increased slightly from 8.8% in Q3 to 9.1% for Q4. While the environment is competitive, the market spreads for high-quality deals remain supportive of our net investment income target. Turning to page 24, we show detailed breakouts of NMFC's industry exposure. The center pie chart shows overall industry exposure, while the surrounding pie charts give more insight into the significant diversity within our software, services, and healthcare sectors. We believe these sectors are well positioned in an inflationary environment given the pricing power and margin profile that comes along with the largely tech and services nature of these industries. As you can see, we have successfully avoided nearly all of the most troubled industries while maintaining high exposure to the most defensive sectors within the U.S. economy. Finally, as illustrated on page 25, we have a diversified portfolio. Our largest single obligor, Edmentum, now represents 4.1% of fair value as the company continues to appreciate in value due to the strong underlying business performance and secular tailwinds in the education technology space. As a reminder, Edmentum is a model case study of a business that restructured many years ago and we employed our business building capabilities to drive to a great recovery and realize significant equity upside. The top 15 investments, inclusive of our SLP funds, account for 36% of total fair value. With that, I will now turn it over to our CFO, Shiraz Khaji, to discuss the financial statement. Shiraz?
spk07: Thank you, Laura. For more details on our financial results in today's commentary, PLEASE REFER TO THE FORM 10-K THAT WAS FILED LAST EVENING WITH THE SEC. NOW I'D LIKE TO TURN YOUR ATTENTION TO SLIDE 26. THE PORTFOLIO HAD APPROXIMATELY $3.2 BILLION IN INVESTMENTS AT FAIR VALUE AT DECEMBER 31, 2021, AND TOTAL ASSETS OF $3.3 BILLION. WE HAD TOTAL LIABILITIES OF $2 BILLION, OF WHICH TOTAL STATUTORY DEBT OUTSTANDING OF $1.6 BILLION, EXCLUDING $300 MILLION OF DRAWN SBA GUARANTEED TO BENCHES. NET ASSET VALUE OF $1.3 BILLION. or $13.49 per share, was up 23 cents from the prior quarter. At December 31st, our statutory debt-to-equity ratio was 1.23 to 1, and net of available cash on the balance sheet, the pro forma leverage ratio would be 1.20 to 1. On slide 27, we show our historical leverage ratios and our historical NAV adjusted for the cumulative impact of special dividends. Consistent with our goal of minimizing credit losses and maintaining a stable book value over the long term, you will see that current NAV adjusted for special dividends has recovered from the depths of COVID and has surpassed NAV from our IPO almost 11 years ago. On slide 28, we show quarterly income statement results. We believe that our NII is the most appropriate measure of our quarterly performance. This slide highlights that while realized and unrealized gains and losses can be volatile below the line, we continue to generate stable net investment income above the line. Focusing on the quarter ended December 31st, 2021, we earned total investment income of $67.8 million, a slight decrease from the prior quarter. Total net expenses were approximately $38.2 million, a slight increase quarter over quarter. As discussed, the investment advisor has committed to a management fee of 1.25% for the 2021 2022 and 2023 calendar years. We've also pledged to reduce our incentive fee, if and as needed during this period, to fully support the 30 cents per share quarterly dividend. It is important to note that the investment advisor cannot recoup fees previously waived. This results in fourth quarter NII, $29.6 million, or 31 cents per weighted average share, which exceeded our Q4 regular dividend of 30 cents per share. As a result of the net unrealized appreciation in the quarter, for the quarter ended December 31st, 2021, with an increase in net assets resulting from operations of $52.2 million. On slide 29, I'd like to give a brief summary of our annual performance for 2021. For the year ended December 31st, 2021, with total investment income of approximately $270 million and total net expenses of $151 million. This results in 2021 total adjusted net investment income of $118 million, or $1.22 per weighted average share, which more than covered our $1.20 regular dividend paid in 2021. In total for the year ended December 31st, 2021, we had a total net increase in net assets resulting from operations of approximately $202 million. This slide 30 demonstrates our total investment income is recurring in nature and predominantly paid in cash. As you can see, 91% of total investment income is recurring and cash income remains strong at 81% in this quarter. We believe this consistency shows the stability and predictability of our investment income. Turning to slide 31, as briefly discussed earlier, our NII for the fourth quarter exceeded our Q4 dividend. Based on preliminary estimates, we expect our Q1 2022 NII will be approximately 30 cents per share. Given that, our Board of Directors has declared a Q1 2022 dividend of 30 cents per share, which will be paid on March 31st, 2022 to holders of record on March 17th, 2022. On slide 32, we highlight our various financing sources. Taking into account SBA-guaranteed debentures, we had over $2.3 billion of total borrowing capacity at quarter end, with over $360 million available in our revolving lines subject to borrowing-based limitations. During the fourth quarter, we closed on a $10 million upsize in our NMFC credit facility and amended and extended our management company revolver, pushing out the maturity to 2024 while decreasing our applicable spread materially by 300 basis points. As a reminder, both our Wells Fargo and Deutsche Bank credit facilities covenants are generally tied to the operating performance of the underlying businesses that we lend to rather than the marks of our investments at any given time. Finally, on slide 33, we show our leveraged maturity schedule. As we've diversified our debt issuance, we've been successful at laddering our maturities to better manage liquidity, and over 75% of our debt matures after 2025. We have a $55 million unsecured note maturing in July that we can comfortably retire with the current capacity in our revolving credit facilities. Furthermore, our multiple investment grade credit ratings provide us access to various unsecured debt markets that we continue to explore to further ladder our maturities in the most cost-efficient manner. With that, I would like to turn the call back over to Rob. Thanks, Shiraz.
spk08: In closing, we are optimistic about the prospects for NMFC in the months and years ahead. Our long-standing focus on lending to defensive growth businesses supported by strong sponsors should continue to serve us well. We once again thank you for your continuing support and interest, wish you all good health, and look forward to maintaining an open and transparent dialogue with all of our stakeholders in the days ahead. I will now turn things back to the operator to begin Q&A. Operator?
spk03: Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then 2. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question comes from Paul Johnson with KBW. You may now go ahead.
spk04: Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. I just have a few today. So on the last couple of quarters, I know you discussed slightly just about on the private equity co-investments to be making with the New Mountain Advisor. Is there any developments there? Have you guys made any investments alongside New Mountain in the last quarter or year to date?
spk08: Yeah, so nothing so far in the last quarter year to date. We did make one year early on. We're obviously going to be quite selective. And to some degree, it's also going to be a function of our available capital. We've been, you know, our traditional debt origination has been so strong. We just haven't had a lot of available capital. But I would expect to see, you know, multiple investments over the course of 2022, but no promises.
spk04: Sure. Thanks for that. And then I'm just wondering if you could talk a little bit about the net lease program and just kind of the return profile from that asset class. I'm I'm sort of curious how rising rates affect the asset class and, you know, do rates going higher, does that benefit the yield from the investment? And then also just, you know, what are your, you know, I guess growth intentions there? Any color on that would be helpful.
spk08: Yeah, it's a good question. So, I mean, you know, the net lease program has been really an incredibly attractive source of return for us as as we've gotten both double-digit current income out of it, as well as very significant capital appreciation as cap rates in the space go down. And the cap rates are a function of two things, right? Base rates, which have, until very recently, been very low, and two, risk premia. Obviously, as rates start to turn around, we have some risk of increasing cap rates decreasing the value of the assets, although we continue to see risk premium decline because of the value of real estate as an investment hedge, as an inflation hedge, excuse me. So we are, though, you know, exploring the possibility of monetizing, you know, a material portion of the portfolio so we are not exposed, you know, to the extent that we're in a new rate cycle. to the extent we're not exposed to that. So I think there'll be more to say about that over the course of 2022. But the total returns, you know, have been well north of 20% across the portfolio to factor in both current income and appreciation of our equity investment. So it's been a very, very good performer for us.
spk04: Thanks. Appreciate that. Um, and then, uh, your portfolio, I know it's more defensive and service oriented in nature. Um, so I'm just curious, uh, for companies like that, how, how does inflation generally flow through those types of companies and kind of what could we expect to see, or I guess maybe more of what you're seeing today?
spk05: Sure. Paul, this is John. I mean, I think you hit on it. We, we, we, uh, you know, finance, uh, a lot of, uh, technology enabled business services, software. life sciences, especially materials. So these are all businesses that I think have really good pricing power. They're growth-oriented businesses. And so I really think they're last to suffer when we think about inflation. I'm not saying there's no impact, but in general, we really like our businesses in an inflationary environment. And I think if you look across our competitors, I just think our portfolio stacks up very well with regard to to protection against inflation, given the characteristics that I mentioned.
spk04: Thanks, and appreciate that. And last one for me. I'm just curious, I don't know if this is something that you talked about in the past, but for your portfolio, do you guys have an average EBITDA of the portfolio that you have today? And has that changed over time over the course of the last several years or so?
spk08: So I would say we have some data, which I'm just flipping to. Let's see. I just want to make sure. We can dig that up. But on balance, I would say the businesses have gotten modestly larger. I think all else equal, we take comfort in larger businesses. And I think as we talked about on the call a little bit today, we've seen the private unit tranche penetrate deeper into the upper middle market. And a lot of those deals are in our sweet spots. And so we've been participating there. And so that will modestly increase the average EBITDA of our borrower. But we still cover the, you know, the waterfront from, you know, call it 20 or so million of EBITDA, 100 plus million of revenue on the low end, you know, all the way up to multi-hundred million dollar EBITDA borrowers on the higher end.
spk04: Okay. Thanks. I appreciate that. That's all for me.
spk08: Yeah, you're welcome. Thank you.
spk03: Our next question comes from Bryce Rowe with Huvdy Group. You may now go ahead.
spk06: Great. Thanks. Good morning. Just wanted to, I guess, ask about a – morning. Wanted to ask about the comment that Shiraz made. Obviously, just a small $55 million tranche of unsecured notes comes due here in 22. There are a couple more there in 23. And it sounds like you've obviously been keeping an eye on the unsecured notes market. You know, want to get a feel for, you know, how you feel about, you know, shifting possibly from, you know, that unsecured position into, you know, more one of the secured facilities given maybe where, you know, rates are looking today, spreads on that type of instrument. may have moved up a little bit, or at least the base rate may have moved up a little bit. So just any thoughts around how you think about these upcoming maturities and, you know, whether you're comfortable going with a higher level of secured versus unsecured?
spk08: I mean, I'll take a crack at it. I don't think we would expect to materially change the mix. We really do like the flexibility provided by the unsecured capital. So that roughly 50-50 mix that we have, you know, it may move by plus or minus 5%, but we're not going to wake up and be 70% secured one day and 30% unsecured. So we're constantly evaluating the trade-offs between flexibility and cost, and we think, you know, both markets are very open to us right now, and it's just, you know, marginal cost versus marginal flexibility. But unless the cost got incredibly prohibitive, I think we will maintain flexibility
spk06: uh roughly the ratios where we're running with uh today okay that's that's great robin and maybe just a question about the competitive environment you all have stayed active and you you typically do um in terms of uh new activity and being offset by some of the some of the repayments in the sales have you have you seen any shift in in pricing whether tighter or wider um Didn't necessarily sound like it, but just curious what you've kind of seen here in the early part of 22, if there's been any shift in spreads or pricing.
spk02: No, we haven't seen any material changes. I would say it feels kind of largely in equilibrium at the moment. You know, John talked about just the general market environment where we're seeing really high quality deals in the sectors that we know and like. And those deals definitely do remain competitive, but we've seen largely pretty consistent spreads in the last couple of quarters, I think largely due to just the equilibrium kind of more broadly in the market.
spk08: Yeah, the only thing I'll add to that, I think the interesting question will be over the course of the year, if and as LIBOR so far gets materially above one, one and a half, it starts getting to two, maybe even low twos early next year, you know, are people ultimately absolute return or are they spread? And it's a mix, I think. So my guess is you'll see some of that total return given back in spread compression, but not nearly all of it. But again, that I think is the interesting dynamic and one we haven't really lived through in a long time. So we'll have to see.
spk06: Yeah, for sure. It will be interesting to see how rates and especially the shorter end, plays out this year. Appreciate the comments. Talk to you all soon. Thanks.
spk08: Yeah, great. Thank you.
spk03: Again, if you have a question, please press star then 1. There are no further questions. This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Rob Hamley for any closing remarks.
spk08: Great, thank you. And thanks, everyone. As always, appreciate the time and attention and the support. As you know, we're always here to answer questions directly and look forward to speaking to everyone again, if not over the course of the quarter, next quarter. Thank you. Have a great day.
spk03: The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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