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Operator
Newmark second quarter 2023 earnings call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Mr. Jason McGruder, head of investor relations. Please go ahead, sir.
Jason McGruder
Thank you, operator, and good morning. Newmark issued its second quarter 2023 financial results press release and presentation this morning. Unless otherwise stated, the results provided on today's call compare only the three months ended June 30th, 2023 with the year earlier period. except as otherwise specified, we will be referring to results only on a non-GAAP basis, which include terms such as adjusted earnings and adjusted EBITDA. Please refer to the section of today's press release for complete and or updated definition of any non-GAAP terms, reconciliation of these items to corresponding GAAP results, and how, when, and why management uses them. You can find more information with respect to our GAAP and non-GAAP results on our website. In today's press release, the supplemental Excel tables, and the presentation. Unless otherwise stated, any figures discussed today with respect to cash flow from operations refer to the net cash provided by operating activities excluding loan origination and sales, as well as the impact of the 2021 equity event. Cash from the business is this same cash flow metric excluding employee loans for producers and new hires. The outlook discussed today assumes no additional share purchases, material acquisitions, or meaningful changes And the company's stock price, our expectations are subject to change. And based on various macroeconomic, social, political and other factors, none of our long term targets or goals beyond 2023 should be considered formal guidance. Also, I remind you that information on this call about our business that are not historical facts are forward looking statements within the section. 27 a of the Securities Act of 1933 as amended section 21 E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties. Except as required by law, Newmark undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. For complete discussion of additional risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results, differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, see Newmark Security Exchange Commission filings, including but not limited to the risk factors in our most recent Form 10-K, Form 10-Q, or Form 8-K filings, which are incorporated by reference. Now I'm happy to turn the call over to our host, Barry Gossin, Chief Executive Officer of Newmark.
Barry Gossin
Good morning and thank you for joining us. Despite the industry-wide headwinds, I have never been more excited about our future. We are on the cusp of a new market. The complex dynamics of a dramatically higher interest rates and shifting capital sources across both debt and equity requires a higher level of ingenuity and talent to provide different and creative solutions in this new world. Given the investments we have made, We are uniquely positioned to capitalize in this changing landscape. Market dynamics have changed. The criteria for incumbent lenders is shifting, which is creating a challenging environment for borrowers. The demand and requirement for equity is increasing, and the providers of equity are changing. Our sophisticated market professionals are required to solve the complex problems facing the real estate ownership market. We are the platform of choice for the best and brightest professionals who can develop and execute solutions on behalf of our clients. This is why we are winning an even larger percentage of the most important assignments in the real estate services business. For example, the FDIC recently announced a sale process for approximately $18.5 billion of loans by Numark, representing a portion of the approximately $60 billion signature loan portfolio we're handling. We served as a lead advisor to Blackstone's B-REIT on the recently announced agreement to sell their $2.2 billion self-storage portfolio to public storage. Numer originated a $947 million Freddie Mac loan on Park La Brea, the largest single asset multifamily financing in the U.S. since 2019. We arranged the recapitalization of a life science building in Boston, one of the largest single building transactions in the U.S. this year. Newmark currently has well over $100 billion of equity and debt mandates. Please remember, Newmark is a real estate services provider. We do not own or invest in real estate. As interest rates stabilize, capital markets activity will begin to rebound towards the end of the year, and we expect there will be a robust back half of 2024. The resurgence of our higher margin capital markets business combined with our strong leasing recurring revenue businesses, and the investments we have made in expanding our platform will drive significant revenue and earnings growth. Additionally, a world-class debt platform will drive outsized growth over the intermediate term given the record $1.9 trillion of debt maturities through 2025. With the sharp increase in interest rates and cap rates and the pullback in lending by banks and other traditional lenders We believe a large and growing percentage of investors and owners will need to find alternative solutions. Goldman Sachs recently estimated that real estate-focused private credit funds will triple their share of U.S. commercial real estate originations to 30% between 2022 and 2027. We expect a significant portion of debt maturities to be resolved not only through refinancings, which will help our mortgage, brokerage, and origination businesses, but through more complex and sophisticated restructurings and recapitalizations. This process has already begun, with Newmark arranging several equity joint ventures and recaps for our clients thus far in 2023. With many other mandates in the pipeline, and we expect a growing number of owners and investors to turn to our best-in-class professionals for innovative financing solutions. We anticipate assisting private credit funds and other institutional investors to acquire a significant portion of the loans sold by banks and other lenders. U.S. real estate loan sales volumes were up by over 400% for the first four months of 2023 compared to the 2015 to 2019 average. And we anticipate a significant percentage of the over $3 trillion of outstanding non-GSE commercial mortgages that will become distressed. We therefore expect banks and other lenders to sell an ever-increasing portion of their loans over the next few years. As a clear leader in loan sales, Newmark will generate a dramatic growth from this counter-cyclical business, which partially offsets and replaces near-term declines in the sale of buildings. Growth in distressed loans and assets will lead to other opportunities for Newmark across its service line. In addition, we expect to continue to outperform the market in leasing, due to the investments we have made in industrial and retail brokerage, which augment our already strong office leasing business. We're starting to see increased tenant demand in the office markets, led by ongoing return to office plans. With that, I'm happy to turn the call over to our CFO, Mike Rispoli.
Mike Rispoli
Thank you, Barry, and good morning. Newmark's second quarter results were in line with our previously stated expectations. Total revenues were $585.8 million, down 22.4% year-on-year and up 12.5% sequentially. The year-over-year change was mainly due to a 63% reduction in overall U.S. investment sales and a 52% decline in industry-wide originations. Our leasing revenues were down only 4.3% year-on-year, but grew 5.3% sequentially. We continue to benefit from our investments in industrial and retail, which represent nearly 50% of our year-to-date leasing volumes. Our servicing and other related fees grew 19.4%, and we also generated organic growth of 9.7% in GCS fees. our fees for management services, servicing, and other increased by 7.4% year over year and 16.2% sequentially. Total expenses of $507.9 million were down 11.5%. The decrease in compensation expenses reflect lower variable compensation that correlates with commission-based revenues, partially offset by expenses related to acquired companies and the addition of revenue-generating professionals. The increase in non-compensation expenses was due to acquisitions and higher warehouse interest expense, the latter of which is offset by higher interest income recorded as revenue and tied to the growth of Newmark's GSE FHA business. We remain ahead of schedule with respect to our $50 million annualized fixed cost savings target and expect to realize at least $35 million during 2023, of which $25 million will be realized in the second half of the year. Moving to earnings. Adjusted EBITDA was $72.9 million versus $159.5 million. Our EPS was 18 cents compared with 46 cents. Our fully diluted weighted average share count declined by 1.2% to $245 million. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with $164.4 million of cash and cash equivalents and $774.1 million of total corporate debt. In July, we used cash from the redemption of a joint venture to repay $100 million of our revolving credit facility. Taking this repayment into account, our net leverage ratio was 1.4 times. Moving to Outlook. We continue to expect full-year 2023 revenues and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.5 billion and $425 million and to generate $300 to $350 million of cash from the business. We have included a slide in our investor deck which lays out in more detail our expectations for this year, and why we believe revenues and earnings will exceed peak 2021 levels once markets normalize. Excluding additional hires and acquisitions, over time, we expect our revenues to grow to nearly $3 billion and adjusted EBITDA to be approximately $620 million, both of which would exceed our best ever 2021 results. While our 2023 outlook for adjusted EBITDA is 29% lower compared with 2021, Newmark's stock has declined over 60% since then, or by more than double. We believe our incredibly strong growth prospects and low valuation make Newmark a compelling investment opportunity. And with that, I would like to open the call for questions. Operator?
Operator
Yes, sir. Thank you. And if you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star 1 on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Once again, that is star 1 if you would like to ask a question. And we'll now take a question from Jade Ramani with KBW. Hi.
KBW
This is actually Jason Sabchon. I'm from Jade. So there seems to be a steady stream of producers that are leaving their current firms to join Newmark.
Jason Sabchon
What do you think is driving that? Well, we're a good place for high-earning brokers to work.
Barry Gossin
We're a talent-based business. We provide the infrastructure, resources, the research. It's just a good place to work. Plus, we've Plus, the best brokers want to be where the other best brokers are. And as we continue to get momentum, hiring the best and the brightest, other best and brightest brokers want to be here.
Jason Sabchon
Got it. Got it. Thank you.
KBW
And for my next question, are there any areas of the business where you have sizable offering gaps that you could specifically point to?
Jason Sabchon
Well, we do have white space that we're expanding into.
Barry Gossin
We're expanding internationally. We bought three companies in the UK and we're adding people as well. We have the rest of Europe, which we have a plan to expand there. And we have other, you know, there are specific markets where we have some white space in various verticals that we're already in and it's an opportunity for us to grow. So, you know, there are many opportunities for us to grow. We can grow significantly in the United States and even more significantly around the globe.
KBW
Got it. Thank you. And as a follow-up to that, I guess what M&A, if any, what M&A opportunities are you targeting and what size deals do you think you consider?
Barry Gossin
Well, we generally like bolt-ons and tuck-ins. We're not looking at any significantly large transactions because of the nature of friction when you merge two people with a significant amount of overlap. So it's worked really well to target really with a laser focus on the things that we might be weak at and where we need additional help and support. And so we've been able to do that. And we're going into markets and we're adding where we need talent.
Mike Rispoli
We also have a lot of opportunities to grow in businesses that don't require capital. So examples of that would be property management, where it's the same clients that we do capital markets business with. We have an opportunity to expand our tenant rep business. our GCS business. These are things that as we work better together and as we put our infrastructure better together over time, you'll just see our management businesses continue to grow because it's really just more of what we do well and doing more for our clients to help them manage their assets better.
Jason Sabchon
Great. Thank you for taking my questions. Thank you.
Operator
We'll now take our next question from Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler.
Alexander Goldfarb
Hey, good morning. Morning. So two questions here. The first is very, it definitely feels like the mood in real estate is better than earlier this year. You know, it seems like people are realizing that we're not going to have this wave of, you know, keys being thrown back to everyone. And it does seem like The markets are finding a footing, yet still seems like there's a lot to go through, especially one, office leasing still remains slow. Two, on the lending side, people are having to readjust to the new marks. But that said, there seems to be a lot of equity capital, especially coming out of Japan. So when you put it all together, do you see that more of these loans and especially the stuff that you guys want to get involved in restructuring, Do you think that will truly come to fruition, or is your view that this pent-up equity capital and the fact that people just realize that they need to blend and extend on their own, that some of that distressed opportunity that you're hoping to tap into doesn't materialize because sort of the market takes care of it in normal course?
Barry Gossin
There's still going to be enormous amount of equity requirements. The banks are going to try to – do a different level of coverage. If interest rates go up 300 basis points, in theory, there's a 20%, 25% reduction in value. And if you want to retain a 65% loan to value, you're going to provide less debt financing. So as these loans come due, people are going to need more equity if they want to blend and extend. They're not only going to need debt, which will be temporary from their existing lenders. But they're also going to need new sources of capital, new sources of debt. And, you know, some of it will be given back. Some of the keys will be given back. But I think the banks, you know, as they learned in 2009 to a great degree that eventually if they're allowed to make money back in the spreads, they'll hold on to the real estate. But they're going to work with the existing borrowers. And that's a good place for us to be. You'll still need more capital. The lenders will eventually get out. There will be new lenders taking their place. And there will be new opportunities once cap rates stabilize and once interest rates actually normalize to a specific level. You know, as soon as you think it's coming back and the Fed raises 25 basis points and another 25 basis points, everyone just, it shuts down for a moment until it's going to settle in. So we know it's going to stop, and I think it's very shortly. And once you have certainty in the debt and equity markets, you can start trading again.
Alexander Goldfarb
Okay. And then the second question is on your investments, the acquisitions of different teams and such. A number of years ago, I think pre-COVID, you guys restructured the amortization of the equity issuance that you gave to people for purposes of the P&L. So instead of all the shares vesting at, you know, day one and the brokers getting that coupon along the way, I think you staggered it. So it was like a four-year vest. So I'm guessing now, you know, we're sort of all the way into all four years vesting, you know, every year. So as you guys buy new teams and, you know, you know, prepare for the up cycle that, you know, hopefully is coming. How do you ensure or what are you looking at doing such that, you know, this time around there's more of a direct correlation from the top line growth to the bottom line, whereas before there was, you know, there was definitely some dilution that was going on?
Mike Rispoli
Yeah, so we have a stated target to keep our share count growth within 2% year over year. And this year, on a weighted average basis, we expect to be flat from where we are today. So, you know, we have a plan. We know we can manage it to the 2%. And we're watching it all the time.
Jason Sabchon
So we expect to be able to manage within that expectation. Thank you.
Operator
And as a final reminder, that is star 1 if you would like to ask a question. We'll now take our next question from Patrick O'Shaughnessy with Raymond James.
Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Hey, good morning. Your earnings release called out customer wins in property and facilities management. Are these wins more on the property owner's side or the occupier's side, and are they generally competitive wins?
Barry Gossin
They're both. I mean, we're winning on the property management side, and we're winning on the facility side as well. We generally win facilities where it's matched up with opportunities to make, to earn money and other aspects of the business. We don't generally do pure play facility management assignments.
Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Got it. And how do we think about the margin implications of growing the property and facilities management business? Certainly growing faster than the commission side of things, if you continue to grow that part of your business at a faster rate, does that weigh on the company's overall margin profile?
Barry Gossin
Our opportunity for margin, the incremental margin for every dollar in capital markets is 50 cents. When the market normalizes, we are going to have a disproportionate amount of high margin increase in our earnings. capital markets so we have a lot of opportunity a lot of a lot of growth in that area property management is a relatively reasonably good margin business facility management is a lower margin business but unless it usually comes with other aspects of the business leasing tenant rep and other kinds of businesses in that corporations need consulting workplace project management. So that's why I say when it's a pure facility management play, it's a very low margin. If it's a facility management opportunity with a significant amount of brokerage business, that's where we play. Companies hire us when they want a much more bespoke, innovative, creative, solution-driven representation when it's a pure commodity, facility management on a global, on a fully integrated basis where they're just looking to outsource it completely, that that is not where we are best suited to be hired.
Mike Rispoli
Yeah, I would add to that. As we continue to get better operationally, more operationally efficient, we'll continue to take costs out of the business, some of the fixed costs. And our expectations are that we can keep margin flat to grow it over time. even given the mixed changes.
Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Got it. That's helpful. Thank you. Can you provide the revenue contribution from Gerald Eve in the second quarter?
Mike Rispoli
I think what we've announced is it's around $110 to $120 million U.S. dollars on an annual basis. And a large majority of their business is recurring. So it comes in somewhat evenly. They do have some businesses that are more transactional. For example, they have a really great industrial capital markets business in the UK, which we have a great opportunity to grow over time. So, but generally comes in evenly throughout the year.
Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Got it. Thank you. And then last for me, you guys do have the senior notes that are coming due in the fourth quarter. Curious about your current expectations in terms of timing of refinancing that and what coupon you might have to pay.
Mike Rispoli
We expect to refinance it well in advance of the maturity. And if you just look at five-year treasuries from when we initially did the transaction until now, I think they're up 140 basis points or so. Spreads have probably widened a bit. So the rate will be higher, but nothing that we can't handle within our financial situation.
Jason Sabchon
Okay, great. Thank you.
Operator
And that will conclude our question and answer session for today. I'd like to hand the conference back over to our presenters for any additional or closing comments.
Jason Sabchon
I want to thank everybody for joining us today, and I look forward to updating you in the next quarter. Thanks.
Operator
And once again, that does conclude today's conference. We thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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