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Natera, Inc.
2/26/2026
Welcome to Natera's 2025 fourth quarter financial results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following management's prepared remarks, we will hold a Q&A session. To ask a question at that time, please press star followed by one on your touchtone phone. If anyone has difficulty hearing the conference, please press star zero for operator assistance. As a reminder, this call is being recorded today, February 26, 2026. I would now like to turn the conference over to Michael Brophy, Chief Financial Officer. Michael, please go ahead.
Thanks, operator. Good afternoon. Thank you for joining our conference call to discuss the results of our fourth quarter of 2025. On the line, I'm joined by Steve Chapman, our CEO, Solomon Moskovitz, President, Clinical Diagnostics, Alex Alessian, General Manager of Oncology, and our Chief Medical Officer, and John Sesko, President, Chief Business Officer. Today's conference call is being broadcast live via webcast. We will be referring to a slide presentation that has been posted to investor.notterra.com. A replay of the call will also be posted to our IR site as soon as it's available. Starting on slide two, during the course of this conference call, we will be making forward-looking statements regarding future events and our anticipated future performance, such as our operational and financial outlook and projections, our assumptions for that outlook, market size, partnerships, clinical studies, and expected results, opportunities and strategies, and expectations for various current and future products, including product capabilities, expected release dates, reimbursement coverage, and related effects on our financial and operating results. We caution you that such statements reflect our best judgment based on factors currently known to us, and that actual events or results could differ materially. Please refer to the documents we file from time to time with the SEC, including our most recent Form 10-K or 10-Q, and the Form 8-K filed with today's press release. Those documents identify important risks and other factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from those contained in or suggested by the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements made during the call are being made as of today, February 26, 2026. If this call is replayed or reviewed after today, the information presented during the call may not contain current or accurate information. The tariff disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. We will provide guidance on today's call, but will not provide any further guidance or updates on our performance during the quarter unless we do so in a public forum. We will quote a number of numeric or growth changes as we discuss our financial performance. And unless otherwise noted, each such reference represents a year-on-year comparison. And now I'd like to turn the call over to Steve. Steve?
Great. Thanks, Mike. Let's get to the highlights on the next slide. We had a fantastic quarter. We processed about 924,000 tests and set another record for MRD clinical unit growth with 225,000 tests processed in Q4. MRD clinical units grew about 56% compared to Q4 2024. We generated roughly $666 million in revenue in the quarter, which is about $6 million ahead of our preannounce in January and represents approximately 40% revenue growth over Q4 of 2024. We were very pleased to generate a gross margin of 66.9% in the quarter, which wasn't part of our preannounce and was well ahead of our expectations. All of that progress led us to generate over $107 million in cash flow in 2025 even as we double down on growth investments throughout the course of the year. We're off to a great start so far in 2026, and we are excited to initiate our guide for the year. We expect to generate between 2.62 billion, 2.7 billion in revenues, gross margins between 63 and 65%, holding SG&A stable while we make targeted investments in R&D, with the expectation that we generate another strong cash flow year in 2026. Mike will spend a lot more time on this topic later in the call. We've had a lot of exciting news since the JPM conference in January, including publishing the outstanding performance of our latitude tissue-free MRD test, which has now been submitted to Moldex, and launching the 21 gene fetal focus single gene NIPT test. Data on fetal focus was just awarded an oral plenary presentation at the Society of Maternal Fetal Medicine Conference, the only single gene NIPT to earn that honor. It's worth reflecting for a moment on the progress we made in 2025. We had a transformative year financially with 40% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth and significant gross margin expansion, while at the same time continuing to invest in our future. In a few years, when we look back on it, I think the key investments we made in our commercial channels, product launches, and clinical studies will prove to be engines for continued growth. You can see here on the page just a few of the product highlights. We significantly expanded our MRD product portfolio by launching the genome version of Signatera and the Latitude MRD test, both of which complement Signatera beautifully. We delivered the strongest year yet for Signatera data generation, highlighted by the Invigor 011 publication in the New England Journal. Then at the end of the year, we welcomed foresight diagnostics to the fold, which gives us the phased variant technology, which unlocks the next level of ultra sensitivity is already paying dividends as we'll discuss today. We also advanced organ health and women's health with significant investments in products like fetal focus and key studies like the randomized ACEs EMD trial in organ transplant. Okay, let's get into some of the business trends on the next slide. I want to jump straight to MRD clinical unit volume. Q4 represented yet another record growth quarter. Based on our internal data, we estimate that more than 50% of oncologists in the United States ordered a signatory test in the quarter, which just shows you the extent to which MRD is rapidly becoming a part of the standard of care for many cancer patients. Physicians continue to show a desire to adopt MRD broadly in their practice, which plays to our strengths, given the breadth and quality of our data. We're off to a great start so far in Q1. The next slide shows revenues, which was another area of significant outperformance this quarter. As I mentioned, we came in about 6 million ahead of the preannounce on very strong overall volume growth and another quarter of sequential improvement in ASPs. We had an excellent oncology quarter and continued to see strength in women's health and organ health. Signatura ASPs stepped up to roughly 1,225 in Q4. We had about 60 million in true-ups this quarter, consistent with our preannounce, as cash collections continues to accelerate, and we posted another record for DSOs at 47 days compared to 68 days just in Q4 of 2024. The next slide shows our gross margin traction over time, and we had excellent margin execution in Q4. Top-line gross margins were a record, as I mentioned, at 66.9%, and we had about 3% of that as benefit from the revenue true-ups. Stripping out the true-ups, we posted a record organic gross margin quarter at 63.7%. Along with strong ASPs, we had a very lean COGS quarter in Q4, which drove significant organic step-up of 240 basis points just compared to the third quarter. Looking into 2026 and beyond, We've got a strong set of margin expansion opportunities, and we think the cash collection trend continues to bode well for ASPs into 2026. To further improve ASPs, we've submitted for much broader Medicare reimbursement for Cigna Terra. As a reminder, a portion of the tests that we performed today are indications that aren't yet covered by Medicare, but where we submitted for coverage. We have a good track record of getting coverage given the quality of our data, so this could be an opportunity. We are also starting to see commercial payers come on, given the breadth of progress that's been made on the biomarker stage. In addition, we are increasingly seeing opportunities to deploy AI-enabled workflows to help ensure that we get reimbursed for covered services. Mike will spend a little more time on this in his section. We have several COGS opportunities underway as well that will hit throughout the year, including both lab workflow opportunities and also deployment of AI to reduce many routine manual steps. All in, we're in a good position for margin expansion going forward. Okay, with that, let me turn it over to Solomon to discuss more details.
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