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Nova Ltd.

Q22025

8/7/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Welcome to the Nova Limited Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal the conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star, then 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star, then 2. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Mircea Goll, CEO of MSIR. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mircea Goll
CEO, MSIR

Thank you, operator, and good day, everyone. I would like to welcome all of you to Nova's Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. With us on the line today are Gabby Weissman, President and CEO, and Guy Kisner, CFO. Before we begin, I would like to remind our listeners that certain information provided on this call may contain forward-looking statements, and the Safe Harbor statement outlined in today's earnings release also pertains to this call. If you have not received a copy of the release, please view it in the investor relations section of the company's website. Gabby will begin the call with the business update, followed by Guy with an overview of the financials. We will then open the call for the question and answer session. I will now turn the call over to Gabby Weissman, Nova's President and CEO. Gabby, please go ahead.

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

Thank you, Miri, and thank you all for joining us today. I will start the call by summarizing our second quarter performance highlights. Following my commentary, Guy Kisner, Nova's Chief Financial Officer, will review the quarterly financial results in detail. Nova delivered another record quarter with revenue at the top end of our guidance and profitability that exceeded guidance. Our quarterly revenue grew 3% sequentially and 40% year over year. This performance was driven by multiple revenue streams with record revenue of our chemical metrology division and service business. Our product portfolio and value proposition, which support technological transitions and improvements in yield and productivity, resulted in record results in the logic foundry and advanced packaging segments. In the first half of 2025, our revenue grew 45% compared to the same period last year, fueled by logic capacity build-out across advanced and mature nodes, DRAM and advanced packaging capacity increases, driven by higher metrology intensity. We continue to invest in expanding our business and market share, building on growing technological complexity of our customers' processes. Nova's ability to thrive in a rapidly evolving industry is rooted in a resilient and diversified business model. Our multiple revenue streams are designed to balance fluctuations and sustain growth. This foundation is strengthened by long-standing customer partnerships, agile operations, and the steadfast commitment of our teams. Together, these elements position us to capitalize on emerging opportunities, navigate challenges effectively, and execute on our long-term strategic vision with confidence. AI is a secular growth engine, driving an increasing demand for a variety of highly efficient devices, resulting in more sophisticated designs and manufacturing processes, which in turn drive investment in advanced nodes, packaging, and related metrology. Larger die sizes, greater design diversity, and yield requirements are accelerating development cycles and creating a need for advanced metrology at additional steps. Moreover, there is a demand for advanced packaging solutions specifically designed to accommodate and process wafers of various forms and shapes. All of these translate into demand for more metrology capabilities and create new opportunities. Nova's recent performance offers compelling validation of the alignment of our strategic direction with the market. The strengths and relevance of our portfolio are increasingly evident as we continue to deliver solutions that not only align with customer priorities, but also anticipate their future needs. This reinforces our position as a trusted partner in enabling their success and ours in a shifting industry landscape. More specifically, for the June quarter, there are four areas I want to highlight today. Nova is in a pole position to take advantage of the industry's shift to -all-around architecture. We are already working with the four leading customers who are implementing this process. Notably this quarter, we recognized revenue from a -all-around customer that adopted multiple Nova platforms across the entire portfolio with additional solutions currently under evaluation. This quarter's record performance in advanced packaging has further reinforced our standing in this rapidly expanding segment, with our chemical metrology division performing exceptionally well. In addition, our optical metrology portfolio for advanced packaging, which has expanded to include Nova's synthronics platforms, supports evolving customer needs and captures the increasing demand in this critical segment. To round out key market segments, Nova is also well positioned in the memory market, particularly in DRAM and high bandwidth memory. Our leadership in chemical metrology continues to expand, supported by record results in high bandwidth memory and a recent win at a leading memory manufacturer, which expanded our market share in front-end chemical metrology for interconnect applications. In optical metrology, a leading memory manufacturer has adopted the Nova synthronics platform for key applications in high bandwidth memory. This recent acceptance is the result of the solution's unique ability to address major challenges such as high warpage, non-symmetric shapes, and different surface conditions. On the materials metrology front, we recently introduced the active charge compensation feature on the Nova VeraFlex platform for 3D NAND applications. This innovative solution further enhances accuracy in X-ray metrology by effectively addressing photoelectron-induced charge distortion, enabling precise analysis of critical memory cell components such as nitrogen. With shipments to two leading memory manufacturers this quarter, we believe that active charge compensation will further accelerate the adoption of the VeraFlex platform in advanced 3D NAND manufacturing. Finally, our service business continues to act as a growth driver for us, with 10 consecutive quarters of revenue increase and yet another quarterly record. Service revenue grew 7% sequentially and 31% -over-year. An important driver of this performance is value-added services, which focus on productivity improvements in our install-based and adding capabilities to address new applications. In summary, our teams demonstrated effective execution and delivered consistently strong results in all segments, markets, and regions. Our near-term guidance remains solid and we continue to focus on investing in our portfolio, which proves to be well matched with our customers' expectations and technology inflections. Most importantly, we are fully aligned and committed to executing our strategic plan, which continues to guide our long-term priorities and investments. In October, Guy and I will attend Semicon West and we'll be available for in-person meetings. I invite you to reach out to our IR contacts to schedule a meeting. We look forward to having meaningful conversations with you. Now, for some more details on our financials, let me hand over the call to Guy.

speaker
Guy Kisner
CFO, Nova

Thanks, Gabi. Good day, everyone, and thank you for joining our 2025 Second Quarter Conference Call. I will begin by reviewing our second quarter financial achievements and then provide guidance for the third quarter. Total revenues in the second quarter of 2025 reached a record level of $220 million, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of record-breaking results. This performance reflects the growth of 3% -over-quarter and 40% -over-year. Product revenue distribution was approximately 75% from logic and foundry and 25% from EMILY. Product revenues included four customers and four territories, which contributed each 10% or more to product revenues, highlighting the company's well-balanced and diversified reach across markets and customers. In the second quarter, blended gross margins were 58% on a gap basis and 60% on a non-gap basis, in the upper end of our target model range of 57% to 60%. The high gross margin in the quarter was attributed to a product mix weighted towards higher margin offerings. As expected, operating expenses increased to $61.6 million on a gap basis and $56.9 million on a non-gap basis. Operating margins in the second quarter reached 30% on a gap basis and 34% on a non-gap basis, surpassing the upper range of our target model of 28% to 33%. This excellent result was driven by a healthy quarterly gross margin and the company's robust operational model. The effective tax rate in the second quarter was approximately 15.5%. Earning per share in the second quarter on a gap basis were $2.14 per diluted share, and earning per share on a non-gap basis were $2.20 per diluted share. Exceeding the high end of our second quarter guidance, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of record-breaking performance, this achievement underscores the effectiveness of our business strategy and the increasing value our solutions deliver to customers and stakeholders alike. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the second quarter with $856 million in cash, cash equivalent, bank deposit, and multiple securities. Our free cash flow for second quarter reached $43 million. An additional $4.7 million was paid in connection with the acquisition of Centronics as part of the final purchase price adjustment. Next, I'd like to outline our guidance for the third quarter of 2025. We currently expect revenue for the quarter to be between $215 million and $227 million. Gap earning per diluted share to range from $1.77 to $1.97. Non-gap earning per diluted share to range from $2.02 to $2.22. At the midpoint of our third quarter estimates, we anticipate the following. Gross margins of approximately 57% on a gap basis and approximately 59% on a non-gap basis. Operating expenses on a gap basis to increase to approximately $63 million. Operating expenses on a non-gap basis to increase to approximately $57.5 million. Financial income on a non-gap basis to remain similar to that of the second quarter. Effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 16%. Before I conclude my remarks, I would like to note the following. NOVA's first half 2025 revenues increased more than 45% over the comparable half of 2024. Outperforming WFC growth forecast. The company's solid guidance for the third quarter of the year positions NOVA to continue outperforming on a -over-year basis throughout the rest of 2025. In addition, in our last earning call, we shared our expectation that the newly implemented tariffs could reduce gross margins by approximately 30 to 50 basis points. Based on the latest updates and improved visibility, we now estimate the impact will be closer to 20 basis points. A more favorable outcome than initially anticipated. With that, we will be pleased to take your questions. Operator?

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star, then 1 on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star, then 2. The first question we have is from Atif Malik of SETI. Please go ahead.

speaker
Atif Malik
Analyst, SETI

Hi, thank you for taking my questions. First question for Gabby. Gabby, you highlighted GATE all around as a major shift for you guys. Some of your peers saw their Taiwan sales decline sequentially in the June quarter, but the Japan sales go up. I was just curious with respect to your aggregate all around sales, how did they fare in the June quarter and what kind of trajectory you see in the second half for aggregate all around wafer starts or sales across multiple regions? And then I have a follow-up for Guy.

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

Definitely. Thank you so much, Atif, for the question. Overall, we are currently positioned well across all four GATE all around customers, and we are very excited about this opportunity. We also mentioned that we have a plan to reach an aggregate of $500 million from GATE all around revenue until the end of 2026, and we are on track to achieve that. We saw a strong demand in the first half of this year, and we see stability in the second half from GATE all around. So overall, we are very encouraged by that and by the momentum that GATE all around continues to provide us.

speaker
Atif Malik
Analyst, SETI

Great. And then, Guy, the gross margins were strong, 60% versus 58%, and you talked about the product mix. If you can just provide more color, are the record chemicals business driving the upside of the gross margins, and was there any tariff impact to the 60% number for the June quarter?

speaker
Guy Kisner
CFO, Nova

So the tariffs impact were marginal. The stronger results for the first half, as I mentioned, was driven by product mix. Not necessary the contribution for a chemical metrology, but it's a specific mix of a variety of our offering that drove this exceptional gross margin results. Great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question we have is from Vivek Arya of Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Michael D'Amoni
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Hi, this is Michael D'Amoni on from Bank of America. Thanks so much for taking our questions. I wanted to start on Centronics. Could you talk about the momentum you've received in the business so far this year, and more specifically, how much did it contribute to growth in June and how much is it contributing in September? Essentially, what I'm trying to parse out is how much of your business is growing, if you'd be able to offer that. Thank you.

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

So thank you for the question, Michael. We're very encouraged by the integration of Centronics into our business, and we are investing in ensuring the go-to markets in which we concluded the transition into Nova, whereas most of our sales are currently direct as part of our global business group. We see very encouraging signs of adopting the Centronics portfolio with multiple customers and the expansion to various territories. So overall, we are very optimistic and very bullish about the growth and the potential creative addition of Centronics to our business.

speaker
Michael D'Amoni
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Got it. Thank you. And on Get All Around, one of your larger IBM customers is pretty meaningfully cut down their capex for next year. I know you just mentioned that you're still on track to complete your 500 million sales for Get All Around by next year. So could you just help us unpack maybe how impactful that customer was to achieving that goal? And if more broadly, you see any changes in the roadmap there with them or in any customers that maybe give us a little more pause into next year. Thank you.

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

Thank you for the question. So overall, I think that the exposure we have and the strong positioning across all four Get All Around customers provides us the ground for confidence in our ability to achieve the overall growth and revenue that we forecast from Get All Around. We're well on track with that and we believe that next year is going to be even stronger than this year in that respect.

speaker
Michael D'Amoni
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Great. Thank you. And if I could just ask one more quick question. You've talked about in the past this laptop app strategy that will especially help drive growth in your materials metrology segment where you're sole source. Where are we in the strategy? If you take a step back, would you say this is something that's more impactful to growth in the next few years? Will it take longer to play out? Are there certain milestones in terms of customer roadmap inflections that we should be looking for to see when this part of the business really inflects? Just how should we measure progress in that part of the strategy?

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

So it's an excellent question and I will divide it into a few areas which relate to our material metrology portfolio and the LAMP2FAB strategy. So first with regards to XPS, our key efforts are on driving additional value for this tool in order to expand the adoption and increase the number of tools per FAB. And part of my speech earlier related to another addition of active charge compensation which is intended to open up a new area of applications for us, especially in 3D NAND. And we continue in terms of our roadmap to invest in adding value, improving cost of ownership in order to continue and do so. And we're very pleased with the traction that we see in the adoption of XPS and XRF across FABs. With regards to the new tools such as the inline SIMs, the Metreon and the Raman, the Ellipson, so we spoke about the additional key evaluations that we embarked on at the beginning of this year that we expect to turn into revenue. So we're very pleased with the two very strategic evaluations for us and we're well on track to achieve that. And with regards to the Ellipson, we already see repeated orders with very encouraging indications from multiple customers, including a leading gate all around customer with potential for multiple tools. So overall, I think that we have a very robust plan in terms of lab to FAB focusing of course on material metrology, which is certain around adoption of the well positioned XPS and introduction and expansion of the footprint of the Metreon and Ellipson, which are positioned especially for advanced nodes.

speaker
Michael D'Amoni
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Great. Thank you so much for the helpful color.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. The next question we have is from Blaine Curtis of Jeffreese. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ezra Wiener
Analyst, Jefferies

Hi, Ezra Wiener. I'm from Blaine. Thanks for taking my questions. Just kind of want to start. A lot of your peers are seeing a lot of strength in China. Can you talk a little bit about your geographic mix and what you're seeing there and what you think that will do into next year? And then secondly, in terms of HBM, I know it's not a big piece of your business, but you did mention strength there, which is also not exactly what we're seeing it here. So can you talk about what's driving that strength?

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

Thank you for those questions. So I'll start with HBM and I'll relate in general to advanced packaging, which is a growing market for us with the continued momentum. Last year it was about 15% of our business and this year we expect a higher percentage. It's a new market for us. So HBM is growing and in general, it's about a third of our advanced packaging business. With regards to the second question relating to China. So earlier this year, we said that China will be flat or slightly lower. We now expect the nominal value to be moderately higher year over year, whereas revenue is slightly skewed toward the first half. Percentage wise, China is forecasted to decrease year over year because of the higher investments in advanced nodes.

speaker
Ezra Wiener
Analyst, Jefferies

Got it. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question we have is from Matthew Pristo of Cantor. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matthew Pristo
Analyst, Cantor

Thanks for taking the questions guys. I guess to start, in your dimensional metrology business, can you offer an update on the competitive landscape there and any potential changes in share dynamics or adoption trends over the last three months? Thank

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

you, Matthew. So with regards to dimensional metrology, we have two key product lines, the integrated metrology and the standalone OCD. In terms of the competitive landscape, there is not much change in that respect. We have one key competitor on the integrated metrology and we're competing with two on the standalone OCD. With regards to integrated metrology, we continue to lead and we saw strong momentum and results in the second quarter of the year. And we believe that that leadership will be maintained. With regards to standalone OCD, we are extremely encouraged by the market share gains that we see in the market. We have a unique technology and value proposition which drives our market share both in the front end and the advanced nodes as well as in the advanced packaging. And we believe that there are good grounds to see a continued expansion of that business for us.

speaker
Matthew Pristo
Analyst, Cantor

Perfect, thank you. And then maybe specific to Ellipson and Metreon, how are you guys thinking about revenue contributions from these systems in 2025 and potential for growth there in 2026? Maybe how has that outlook changed over the last three months as well? Thank you.

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

So Ellipson and Metreon are well on track in terms of our business plan. We are seeing both being adopted by advanced node manufacturers. We're targeting both memory and logic with these tools and we have a very strong focus on the evaluations which will result in becoming a process tool of record. And then of course the proliferation in lines in which those advanced nodes become high volume. So we see growth, growth year over year. Obviously this is something that we need to focus on, especially in becoming these process tool of records for those customers. And then of course with the proliferation of high volume, we expect the relative part of that business in Nova to grow.

speaker
Matthew Pristo
Analyst, Cantor

Thanks very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question we have is from Charles Chi of Needham and Company. Please go ahead.

speaker
Charles Chi
Analyst, Needham & Company

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. Gabby and Guy, maybe the first one. You reaffirmed that 500 million cumulative get all around revenue from last year to next year. Can you give us a sense of where you are for this year in terms of the progress towards that 500 million? Are you like 40% there, 45% there, probably not 50% there, but that kind of give us some sense of where you are tracking towards that goal, let's say by the end of this year. Thank you.

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

Thank you, Charles. So first of all, we relate to the fact that 26 is going to be stronger than 25, which is in turn stronger than 24. This is a natural evolution of investments in get all around. So this is still the case and we see that we are well on track in terms of this year with the get all around revenue.

speaker
Charles Chi
Analyst, Needham & Company

Do you have any chance you can give us a little bit of quantitative color? I mean, we don't need it precise, but do you want to see if it can give us some better sense about the way you are tracking towards this year?

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

I still don't have those final numbers. I guess that this color could be provided better around the end of this year.

speaker
Charles Chi
Analyst, Needham & Company

Thank you. Look forward to that. Maybe a next question. Thanks for the China color you provided. Obviously, numbers have been going up for you guys. You guys did a good job. But relative to 90 days ago, 180 days ago, let's say relative to the beginning of the year, demand environment definitely is improving a little bit further. But if I may, between China versus the ex-China demand environment, where have you seen a greater upside so far? The reason why I asked this is some of your US peers were more or less saying, yeah, the ex-China outlook is more or less similar to what they saw at the beginning of the year. But China has shown good enough good amount of upside so far. Is that something you guys are seeing similarly or you actually have a little bit different dynamics there? Thank you.

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

Thank you. We do have different dynamics. It's very difficult to relate to peers as we're acting in different segments and we have different product portfolio. What I can say is that the resilience we see is due to the fact that we have now three different divisions, the chemical, the material, the dimensional. They're all acting differently and have their own dynamics. Plus the new addition of Centronics that gives us a stronger footprint in packaging and advanced packaging. So I would say in general that we see different dynamics to result in revenue streams that may be different than other peers in the industry.

speaker
spk04

So it feels like a more or less similar upside, ex-China versus China.

speaker
spk00

Yeah.

speaker
spk04

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, one final reminder. If you would like to ask a question, you may press star and then one to join the queue. We will pause for a moment to see if we have any further questions. At this time, it seems we have no further questions and that concludes the Q&A session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Gabby Weisman, Novus President and CEO, for closing remarks.

speaker
Gabby Weissman
President and CEO, Nova

Thank you. Thank you, Operator, and thank you all for joining our call today.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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