8/1/2024

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Northwest Pipe Company's second quarter 2024 earnings call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star and then one using a touch-tone telephone. To withdraw your questions, you may press star and two. Please also note today's event is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the floor over to Scott Montross, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Good morning, and welcome to Northwest Pipe Company's second quarter 2024 earnings conference call. My name is Scott Montross, and I am President and CEO of the company. I'm joined today by Aaron Wilkins, our Chief Financial Officer. By now, all of you should have access to our earnings press release, which was issued yesterday, July 31st, 2024, at approximately 4 p.m. Eastern Time. This call is being webcast, and it is available for replay. As we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that statements made on this call regarding our expectations for the future are forward-looking statements, and actual results could differ materially. Please refer to our most recent Form 10-K, for the year ended December 31st, 2023 in our other SEC filings for a discussion of such risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Thank you all for joining us today. I'll begin with a review of our second quarter performance and outlook for 2024. Erin will then walk you through our financials in greater detail. We delivered strong second quarter results led by growth in our steel pressure pipe business and the residential side of our precast business. Our consolidated net sales increased 11.3% year over year to 129.5 million, the strongest quarterly level we have seen since early 2013. Our profitability significantly improved. And when coupled with the effective working capital management, helped drive strong cash flow during the quarter. To further break down our segment level results, revenue from our SPP segment totaled $89.5 million, an increase of 15.9% year-over-year in the highest quarterly revenue reported in our history. Our performance primarily reflected higher production levels due to changes in project timing, which were reflective of the strong pipeline of bidding opportunities that we saw in the first half of the year. Our SPP team has continued to do an excellent job executing on bids and projects, securing a number of new project wins in the second quarter and improving our backlog, while at the same time generating record revenue and strong free cash flow. Our SPP backlog, including confirmed orders as of June 30th, was $348 million, an improvement from $337 million as of March 31, 2024, and up from $343 million at June 30, 2023. Our second quarter performance was partially offset by lower realized selling prices due to production mix in the quarter. Steel prices steadily declined throughout the course of the second quarter, but appear to be reaching the bottom and are stabilizing in the $650 a ton range. Lead times stand at about three to four weeks. Now turning to our precast segment. Precast revenue increased by 2.2% year-over-year to $40 million, primarily due to continued strength on the residential side of our business at Geneva, which resulted in strong production and shipment levels and further improvement to our order book. However, reduced shipments on the non-residential construction-related portion of our precast business at Park offset much of this strength, primarily due to various severe weather events we experienced in Texas throughout the quarter. These events led to significant disruptions in our production, shipping, and order intake at all three Park facilities, which we estimate had an approximate $4.3 million negative impact on our precast sales during the quarter. In addition, The current interest rate environment continues to create persistent headwinds on the commercial non-residential side of our business. On the pricing side, both the residential and non-residential precast businesses saw better pricing dynamics in the second quarter following the implementation of multiple price increases. As of June 30th, our order book improved to $62 million from $52 million as of March 31st, 2024, and $58 million as of June 30, 2023. Our consolidated gross profit for the second quarter increased 14.8% year-over-year to $25.8 million, a new consolidated gross profit record for the company, resulting in gross margins of 19.9% up from 19.3% in the second quarter of 2023. Our SPP gross margin of 19% was strong, increasing by approximately 270 basis points over the prior year period and 120 basis points over the prior quarter, primarily due to higher production volume, which improved our overhead absorption, as well as changes in product mix and significant strength that we saw in the second quarter bidding activity. Our precast gross margin of 22.1% was down compared to the 25.3% in the second quarter of 2023, primarily as a result of the severe weather-related impacts on our production and shipping days, which reduced our second quarter revenue at the park facilities and resulted in reduced overhead absorption. However, the margins on the residential construction site at Geneva strengthened versus the year-ago period. Next, I would like to provide an update on our capital allocation priorities. Our primary strategic focus remains on growing the business through a combination of organic precast product spread strategy and future M&A opportunities. Beginning with product spread, traction has continued on level one of this strategy by building out capacity utilization at our Texas-based precast plants to maximize overall efficiencies and production volume. Year to date, we have continued to make solid progress despite the weather-related headwinds at PARC. by bidding on $30 million worth of projects outside of Texas and booking approximately $5 million worth of orders outside of Texas. In regard to level two of our strategy to produce park products at our existing Northwest Pike plants, year-to-date at Geneva we have completed production on 15 projects and we are currently in production on six more projects with an additional 10 projects pending. Once the park precast products are more comfortably established at the Utah locations, we plan to expand our level two product spread to additional geographic locations over the next couple of years. Following organic growth, repaying the debt we incurred to finance the 2021 acquisition of Park USA, as well as financing the current growth of the SPP business in related working capital, remains very high on our list of priorities to ensure that we are well positioned to pursue further precast related growth opportunities. In regard to our M&A strategy, we are actively evaluating various opportunities in the precast related space that would help increase our manufacturing capabilities and product portfolio, maximize production efficiencies, and expand our geographic reach. The precast space continues to be an attractive area of expansion for us despite the near-term headwinds we've encountered resulting from the current interest rate environment. As previously noted, we are looking for high-quality, well-run businesses that are accretive to our earnings and that possess a strong potential for organic growth, enhanced margins, and consistent positive cash flow generation. Next, we may opt to be opportunistic in repurchasing shares of our common stock while we continue to evaluate accretive M&A opportunities. During the second quarter, we repurchased approximately 18,000 shares of our common stock for a total of $0.6 million. And since the initial authorization of our share repurchase in November of 2023, we bought back a total of 174,000 shares for $5.1 million as of July 31st. Before I conclude, I'd like to summarize our outlook for the third quarter of 2024. In our steel pressure pipe business, we anticipate both our revenue and gross margins to be relatively in line to down modestly from the record second quarter we just delivered, primarily related to a mix of projects that we have booked and their overall impact on production volume. We also expect backlog to remain high by historical standards, given the volume of expected SPP bidding in the second half of 2024 that is currently expected to be slightly larger than the first half. We remain encouraged by the amount of activity we are seeing on our current and upcoming water transmission projects, which can be found detailed in our investor presentation on the investor relations portion of our website. In our precast business, following a slow first half of the year, we're expecting a stronger third quarter with improvements in both revenue and margins, positioning us for a strong second half of the year. We continue to believe in the strength of the precast business in the mid to long term, given the significant amount of pent-up demand specifically for residential housing, a growing need for infrastructure spending in the U.S. in our growing market position. In summary, we are very pleased with our results, which reflect the attainment of two new quarterly records despite the various challenges we encountered. Our performance continues to be supported by a significantly stronger bidding environment in 2024 that is anticipated to remain elevated throughout the balance of the year. I'd like to express my gratitude to our teams in the field for their continued strong execution and for prioritizing safety in everything that they do. Additionally, our results continue to be bolstered by the diversification strategy we began deploying in 2020 with our entry into the precast space. In comparison to the SPP business, the precast businesses are more transactional, in nature, which creates an overall faster cash conversion cycle and helps balance out our business, especially during periods of variability in the SPP market. Looking ahead, our priorities remain on one, maintaining a safe workplace where our employees are proud to work, two, persistently focusing on margin over volume, three, continuing to implement cost reductions and efficiencies at all levels of the company, four, continuing to identify strategic opportunities to grow the company, and five, in the absence of M&A opportunities, returning values to our shareholders through opportunistic share repurchases. I will now turn the call over to Aaron, who will walk through our financial results in greater detail.

speaker
Aaron Wilkins
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Scott, and good morning, everyone. I'll begin with an overview of our second quarter profitability. Consolidated net income for the second quarter was $8.6 million, or $0.86 per alluded share. compared to $7.4 million or $0.74 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2023. Consolidated net sales increased 11.3% to $129.5 million compared to $116.4 million in the year-ago quarter. Steel pressure pipe segment sales increased 15.9% to a record $89.5 million compared to $77.3 million in the second quarter of 2023. As Scott highlighted, SPP sales exceeded our expectations, driven by a 56% increase in tons produced, resulting primarily from improved market demand and changes in project timing, which was partially offset by a 26% decrease in selling price per ton, primarily due to lower raw material costs coupled with changes in product mix. Precast segment sales increased 2.2% to $40 million compared to $39.1 million in the second quarter of 2023 due to a 30% increase in volume shipped partially offset by a 22% decrease in selling prices stemming from changes in product mix. Our Geneva business continued to benefit from higher shipment volumes in the second quarter on strong demand, while our Park business was slower due to headwinds in the commercial construction market in Texas as a result of the interest rate environment, as well as weather delays. As a reminder, the products we manufacture are unique, therefore shipment volumes in the case of Precast production volumes in the case of steel pressure pipe and the corresponding average sales prices for both segments do not always provide comparable metrics between periods as they are highly dependent on the composition of each segment's product mix. Consolidated gross profit increased 14.8% to 25.8 million or 19.9% of sales compared to 22.5 million or 19.3% of sales in the second quarter of 2023. Our second quarter represented a record consolidated gross profit for the company. Steel pressure pipe gross profit increased 35.1% to 17 million, or 19% of segment sales, compared to gross profit of 12.6 million, or 16.3% of segment sales in the second quarter of 2023, primarily due to higher volume and changes in product mix. Precast gross profit decreased 10.9% to 8.8 million, or 22.1% of precast sales, from 9.9 million, or 25.3% of segment sales in the second quarter of 2023, primarily due to changes in product mix. Despite strengthening residential infrastructure demand, particularly in Utah, we saw continued margin compression for the precast segment during the second quarter due to continued headwinds in the commercial infrastructure markets, coupled with shipment delays at PARC. Selling general and administrative expenses increased 10.7% to $12.2 million, or 9.4% of sales, compared to $11 million in the second quarter of 2023, or 9.5% of sales. The increase was primarily due to higher incentive compensation expense. Our non-cash incentive compensation expense in the second quarter of 2024 was $1.6 million, compared to $1.3 million in the year-ago quarter. For the full year of 2024, we now expect our consolidated selling general administrative expenses to be in the range of approximately $46 to $48 million. Appreciation and amortization expense in the second quarter of 2024 was $4.7 million compared to $3.9 million in the year-ago quarter. We expect appreciation and amortization expense to be between $19 and $20 million for the full year of 2024. Interest expense increased to $1.8 million from $1.2 million in the second quarter of 2023 due primarily to the increase in average daily borrowings and, to a lesser extent, a higher average interest rate. For the full year of 2024, we expect interest expense to be approximately $6 million. Our second quarter income tax expense was $2.9 million, resulting in an effective income tax rate of 25.5%. compared to $2.7 million in the prior year quarter, or an effective income tax rate of 26.5%. Our tax rates for the second quarters of 2024 and 2023 were impacted by non-deductible permanent differences. We continue to expect our tax rate for the full year of 2024 to be within the range of 25 to 27%. Now I will transition to our financial condition. Net cash provided by Operant Activities was $22.3 million in the second quarter of 2024, compared to $1.2 million in the second quarter of 2023, primarily due to changes in working capital and higher profitability. Enhanced cash flow generation remains a key focus of our business as it is critical to the execution of our growth strategy and delivering greater value to our shareholders. While we had anticipated working capital pressures for the steel pressure pipe business in the first half of the year, The actual working capital position at June 30th was less than expected attributable to an increase in contract liabilities stemming from our ability to bill early for certain large projects. This more than offset the higher than anticipated SPP production levels achieved during the quarter. We continue to expect our cash flows to improve in the second half of the year, with free cash flow anticipated to range between $19 and $25 million for the full year 2024. Our capital expenditures totaled $6.1 million in the second quarter of 2024, compared to $4 million in the prior year quarter. We anticipate completion of the new concrete pipe project in Salt Lake City in the next three months, which, after successful commissioning, is expected to improve production yields and efficiencies on the reinforced concrete pipe and manholes we produce and sell out of that facility. We continue to anticipate our total CapEx to be in the range of $19 to $22 million for the full year 2024. As of June 30, 2024, we had $75.9 million of outstanding borrowings on our credit facility, leaving approximately $47 million in additional borrowing capacity on our credit line. In summary, we are extremely pleased with our record quarterly gross profit and overall improved financial performance, including our cash flows, which are all a testament to our team's focus, dedication, and execution. Our ability to adapt to market conditions is evident in our financial achievements and our strategic initiatives have positioned us well for future growth and continued success through the balance of this year and beyond. Thank you to all of our employees for the continued commitment to safety and exemplary execution, as well as to our shareholders for their continued support and confidence in Northwest Pipe Company. I will now turn it over to the operator to begin the question and answer session.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we'll begin the question and answer session. Once again, to ask a question, please press star and then one using a touch-tone telephone. To withdraw your questions, you may press star and two. If you are using a speakerphone, we do ask that you please pick up the handset prior to pressing the keys to ensure the best sound quality. Once again, that is star and then one to join the question queue.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll pause momentarily to assemble the roster. And our first question today comes from Julio Romero from Sedoti. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Julio Romero
Analyst, Sedoti & Co

...environment for the second half for steel pressure pipe is expected to be slightly better than the first half. Can you maybe talk to your confidence that that steel pressure pipe segment strength can be sustained? And then secondly, How long can we expect that to kind of sustain itself?

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Hey, Julio, you were kind of cut out at the beginning. I don't know if we missed the first part of your question. But as to the question on the second half, I mean, obviously we've looked at these things and we know what's bidding in the second half of this year, and it's slightly larger than what's bid in the first half of this year. So obviously the steel pressure pipe market continues to be very strong. And we're just now starting to see the IIJA money start to trickle in a little bit and start to bolster some of these things. Like there's an eastern New Mexico rural water district project that's got a bunch of the IIJA funding on it. And we don't really expect the mass of the IIJA funding really to hit until like late 2025 or 26. So this is quite a period in front of us of strength. that we're seeing in the steel pressure pipe site. So I'm going to let you, I'm going to pause there for a second and let you ask another question because we missed the first part of what you said.

speaker
Julio Romero
Analyst, Sedoti & Co

Yeah, I'm sorry about that. I'm sorry if I'm cutting in and out. My question was just really focused and you kind of hit on it. It's just, it sounds like, you know, second half 24 for steel pressure is expected to be better. And it sounds like the long-term IIJA drivers are certainly in place. I'm just trying to think about like the medium term, like 2025, sustainability of SPP? Because I know in the past it's been a volatile segment from a profit standpoint. Just help us think about the medium-term sustainability of the story.

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

One of the things that's different about this business now than we've seen longer term is there was a significant amount of consolidation in the business. And even when you look at how 2023 turned out, 2023 was a relatively... I guess, small year bidding-wise and production-wise in the steel pressure pipe business. And even with that, we were still able to generate a halfway decent gross margin level and profitability level. Well, we're seeing a market that's over 40% larger in 2024, and you're starting to see what the results of a market that's that big has on steel pressure pipes. One, overhead absorption. Two, the bidding pressure on every job because there's so much more bidding is not as great. So it also allows the pricing and margins to continue to elevate up. And we don't expect that to change in the midterm. We expect to go into 2025 with a strong backlog. the way we have the last few years, and kind of glide right into that timeframe with the IIJA funding really starts to push up the demand in the business. So we're not really concerned at this point of any violent fluctuations in steel pressure pipe. But even with that, with the consolidation that's happened in the business, even when we have small markets like we had in 2023, It's still not nearly as volatile as what we saw back in 2015, 16, and 17 when there were five major players in the market. Now there's three major players in the market, and it's consolidated down to a decent level. So I think that's kind of changed the landscape for probably the longer term, Julio.

speaker
Julio Romero
Analyst, Sedoti & Co

Understood. I appreciate you guys providing the context there. Last one, if I could. You know, you called out that 4.3 million negative impact from sales on the precast side due to the weather impact, I believe. Does that get realized in 3Q? Is that incremental? Just how should we think about that?

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

I think you're going to see the pickup in Q3 with precast. Although, what I will say about Q3, if you remember, the Hurricane Burrell hit the Houston area, which has our largest Park USA plant in it. In the beginning of July, that park plant was down for about a week because there was no power in Houston. 2.5 million people were out of power. But I think that you'll see the third quarter coming in stronger. The weather is still iffy down there. They're getting so much rain. But the order book is starting to grow. I think the confidence in the non-residential business is starting to come back, especially when you look at the – The Dodge Momentum Index, which is something that we follow, if you look at that, I mean, the index is up at 7% higher in June of 24 than it was in 2023. And the commercial piece is up about 25% from year-ago levels. The institutional is off a little bit. That's mainly schools, hospitals, and things like that, forward-facing or public-facing things. which we don't see a significant amount of impact on that with our public-facing stuff, which is the steel pressure pipe side, because of the IIJA funding. So I think there's a lot of good things going on, and I think that the precast business, after what we would consider to be a slow start in the first half of the year, kind of picks up steam as we get into the second part of the year. And what I would say about our precast business is that, The business that's the residential piece, which was what everyone was worried about, right, because of the interest rate environment and those things, is really booming. The business in Geneva, the Geneva locations, is very, very strong. The order book is very, very strong, similar to what we saw in 2022 on the precast side, but with higher revenues. So I think we're expecting a really big year on the precast side and a much better second half of the year than we saw in the first because along with the residential piece that's still booming, especially in the Utah market, we're seeing the commercial side starting to come back. We've just had some bumps in the roads because of the weather issues in Texas.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Very helpful. I'll pass it along. Thanks very much. Thanks, Julio.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Brent Thielman from DA Davidson. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Brent Thielman
Analyst, DA Davidson

Hey, thanks. Good morning, Scott, Aaron. Good morning. Hey, Scott. It sounds like precast visibility much improved into the second half of the year, and it sounds like you think margins should improve from here. Is that principally just because of increased contributions from Park, and if that's okay, can you help us recall what the differential in margins is at Park versus Geneva?

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Yeah, I think it will be to some extent from increased contribution from Park, but we've already had several price increases on the Geneva side of the business with the precast infrastructure stuff. and the amount of order book continues to go up, the Geneva margins are improving and the park margins are improving. So it's on both sides of it. And then when you get to the park piece, that's going to be a bigger piece of the picture as we start moving forward when we get back on level ground from the weather stuff and from some of the earlier interest rate impact on the environment, I think. That's what pushes them up, but it's both of it. It's increases in both of their margins and the park side becoming a bigger piece of it. And ultimately, when you look at the precast for earlier in the year, the first part of the year, you see that the selling price was down, but that's because you're looking at Geneva being a much larger piece of the business and you're looking at products that are shipping into the market that have good margins but aren't as high a cost or revenue as what the park products are. So all that mixed together, Brent, I think you're going to see a strong second half of the year in precast.

speaker
Brent Thielman
Analyst, DA Davidson

Okay. And then, Scott, the RCP plant in Geneva, I think it's close to the finish line. Yep. Is that a, you know, structural change potentially to their margins, or is that more of a capacity-add play?

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

It's both. I think the biggest thing about the exact 2,500 that we're putting in in Salt Lake City is versus the current facility that we have there, which takes about 12 or 13 people to run it, the exact 2,500 is going to take about five or six people to run it. So you're going to have a better conversion cost profile on that and should very well lead to higher margins on that and a higher level of production capability. So that's the double-edged sword, right? You've got higher margins because you've got a better cost, and then you've got better overhead absorption because you have more production capabilities there. So I think it's both of those things that's going to create an upward movement in those margins as long as the market stays like it is. And certainly we're not seeing really any change that we're expecting in the near future in the precast market.

speaker
Brent Thielman
Analyst, DA Davidson

And understanding on SPP, you're going to have quarter-to-quarter variability in margins for mix or whatever. But, you know, with this environment that you're characterizing, got, I mean, it sounds pretty healthy here from at least the next couple of years. As you sort of think of the margins from an annual trajectory, you think there's obviously some opportunity to continue to improve on them in the forthcoming years. I'm not asking for quarter to quarter, but this market tightens up. Presumably there's a trajectory higher over the next few years. Is that fair?

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Absolutely. And, Brendan, as we've talked about in the past, I think one of the keys in the steel pressure pipe business is backlog, which we've had historically high backlog now for the last few years and multiple strong years of bidding in a row. And I would characterize 2024 as a pretty decent-sized bidding year. But I think what we see going forward with IIJA funding are even bigger years. So ultimately when you start getting to those things multiple years in a row, you start seeing gross margin levels that start with a 2 on the steel pressure pipe side versus, you know, 16, 17, 18. And, you know, where we are now is 19% in the second quarter. So we're starting to kind of get into that territory at this point. But then, like you said, you have fluctuations within quarters and, One of the things about the third quarter is that it's hard for me to sit here and predict two record quarters in a row, but we do expect the third quarter to be a pretty strong quarter for steel pressure pipe. So I think we've got a strong backlog, and we've got upward momentum on the gross margins as we move forward just because of the strength of the market over the next few years.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Okay. Very good. Thanks, Scott. Thanks, Aaron. Absolutely.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Ted Jackson from Northland Securities. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Ted Jackson
Analyst, Northland Securities

Thank you very much. And I want to begin with not just congratulating you on the quarter, which was fabulous, but also... You know, the execution in terms of, you know, the work on, you know, controlling working capital and cash flow. It's something you set forth as a strategy for the management team, and you can see it in the results. And, you know, it's great to see. So congrats on that, too. Thanks, Jed. In terms of my questions, a lot of them have been hit, but I'm going to circle around to a few. And one is just regarding precast and ParkUSA. if I'm understanding what you're saying, is the business that did not happen during the second quarter because of weather we should see in the third quarter, and so we should see a good uptick in your precast sales in third quarter. Is that a little bit, you know, because it's kind of a timing issue, kind of a pig in the python, and we should see a say, not that fourth quarter is weak, but a stronger third quarter than fourth quarter because you're picking up volume that really should have happened in the second quarter?

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Yeah, I would say, Ted, that we are expecting a stronger third quarter. And like I said, the Geneva business is really, really strong, but the park business just is starting to begin to pick up. I mean, we lost For example, in Houston, nine production days in the second quarter. In Ferris, we lost four production days and we lost one in San Antonio, but we also lost shipping days. We lost probably half of the shipping days in the month at Houston and Ferris because of how bad the weather was, but it also affected order placement because People couldn't get into work because of the flooding, and the power was out. So it may be a little bit more back-end loaded this year, like you said, just because the orders are now starting to get placed and filling up the order books. And you can kind of see some of that in our order book for the end of the second quarter because we were at over $60 million in orders for the order book and precast again. And that's both sides of the business starting to pick up. But Park is just now starting to pick back up again.

speaker
Ted Jackson
Analyst, Northland Securities

So some of these weather issues, you might not clear it all in the third quarter. We could see some of it kind of trail into the fourth quarter as well.

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Yeah, maybe not. If I were to guess at this point, Ted, I would say that the fourth quarter, as far as like Geneva, because all of a sudden it starts to get cold in Utah. Yeah. and starts to snow, so it slows down the contractors getting in the field and doing the installs and things like that. But in Texas, I think you're going to have the issues from this weather stuff, you're going to have a little bit of pent-up demand on orders that didn't get placed, so we may end up seeing a fourth quarter that's a little bit larger than we normally do.

speaker
Ted Jackson
Analyst, Northland Securities

Okay. Shifting over to the SPP business, and you did bring it up, steel pricing has come down significantly quite a bit. And, you know, the fact that you're putting up the revenue numbers that you're putting up, you know, says how strong your business is. And the fact that you're looking for third quarter, it's called second half of the year, to remain strong. And, you know, given how your business works, my sense would be that, you know, the average price of steel for you in the second half of 24 would be lower than the first half of 24. Again, it gets to the strength. When I think about steel pricing, where do you think it's going to play out as we roll through 2025? Do you think we're going to stay in that kind of $600 to $700 per ton range and you know what I'm saying? And I mean, cause it's, it's not really about the bottom line. It's really just kind of about the top line with you guys. Cause you know, it's, it's kind of a pass through for you anyway, but you know what I mean? Like, you know, like when I think about my model and such, you know, kind of what is, what's been your kind of pricing deck for the, as you guys manage your business?

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Well, we've over the last, well, I'd say, you know, three or four years that the steel price fluctuate a lot. And, And we've continued to be on an upward trajectory on revenue for steel pressure pipe. So, you know, we've seen it back in 2020 down into the below $500 a ton. And back in, you know, in 2022, it was $1,200 a ton and then dropped to $690 a ton by the end of the year. And so it's the same thing. It's just kind of fluctuating around. The one thing I would say our expectations are as we go forward – that it's going to probably revolve around a mean that's probably between $800 and $850 a ton as we go forward. But you're going to see highs and lows. And like, for example, now, you know, we've seen the steel price go down for the last several weeks, and it seems to have bottomed out at about $650 a ton. And this week in the market, the price has started to move back up a little bit again. So it's kind of an interesting way that this thing cycles now because once the steel guys start getting below about $700 a ton, they start having a little bit more difficult time making money, and ultimately they start taking off production capacity and so on and so forth. So I think you're going to still see it revolving around that $800 to $850 a ton number, Ted, as we go forward into the future. Okay.

speaker
Ted Jackson
Analyst, Northland Securities

Um, and then sticking on steel, you know, I mean, I know you're not going to give me the exact, but can you give me a sense, uh, what percentage of your cogs was, um, you know, steel for the quarter?

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Uh, I think we're right now, we're probably around 30% ish. Okay.

speaker
Ted Jackson
Analyst, Northland Securities

And then, um, just kind of, you know, keeping over on this side of the thing, this of the world, and you did actually say it, you know, the, um, You're having, you know, a better bidding environment. Better bidding environment means better margins. So, you know, it's fair to assume that implicit within the guidance that you're bringing for the second half of the year, we should expect to see the margin structure for SPP to be similar to what we just saw in the second quarter.

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Well, I think it's going to – yeah, I think it will line up like similar to that, Ted. The one thing is, is you have differences in production rates. on the number of jobs you've taken. We've gotten... I mean, the steel pressure pipe guys have done a great job of getting a lot of work in, and these jobs fluctuate. And ultimately, a little bit of it now comes to what are the jobs, and based on the jobs that you're running in a specific time frame, what is your overall production level, and how does that fit into your overhead absorption profile? And that's what will probably cause things to fluctuate a little bit in the quarters. So... I do think, though, that we're going to remain on an upward trajectory as we go through this year. But remember, the fourth quarter is always a little bit rough on the steel pressure pipe side, too, simply because you start having weather issues where we have our steel pressure pipe plants, and then you have the quarters that have the two major holidays of the year in them. So ultimately it will fluctuate around. But I think when you look at it on a longer-term basis, From where we've come from, you know, I think that you see a year last year where we had a steel pressure pipe margin that was 14%, 15% for the average in 2023. You're going to see a year this year that probably averages out probably a couple hundred to a few hundred basis points higher than that. And if the demand continues to move like we think it's going to continue to move in the future as you get out into 2025, and the IIJA funding really starts to kick in, I think you're going to see higher production levels and ultimately margins that start with a two in steel pressure pipe.

speaker
Ted Jackson
Analyst, Northland Securities

That is exciting. I've got two more questions, and then I'm done with you. M&A Pipeline, no one's really kind of brought this up yet. I know it's an important thing. I know you guys are you know, uh, shaking the bushes, looking at opportunity. Can you give me a sense in terms of, you know, kind of what's the activity there? You know, is there anything that you think is, you know what I'm saying? Like, is there anything that's kind of, you know, we could, is there something, can we expect some action here before the end? If not the end of this year, maybe the end of next year is probably a better way to think about it.

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

You know, we're, we're always looking. I mean, we've got, we've got a couple, a couple of things that we're interested in right now that we're, we're doing a deeper dive into, um, So we are, you know, it's hard to get them done real quickly, right? So especially when you're dealing with companies that aren't public companies and you could be dealing with family businesses and things like that. So those have a tendency to drag on a little bit longer. So I would say that it is a pretty good chance that you'll see some action from us by 2025. Because we're going on three years since we did the last acquisition, and there's been a lot of integration going on and getting park up to speed and cultural stuff. And we're getting to the point now where we're getting ready to do that. And you can tell that just by the focus on cash flow and getting the credit facility paid down where we dropped it from about $90 million down to about $75 million in the end of the second quarter. So we expect that trend to continue through the end of this year and position us well to get this next thing done. But I would say that there are things that are out there, and I expect something to be imminent by 2025. Okay.

speaker
Ted Jackson
Analyst, Northland Securities

Actually, you know what? My last question is kind of not even worth asking. Again, congrats on the quarter. Super, super job. Very, very, you know, I hope you're proud of me, too. Thanks. Bye. Good.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star and 1. Our next question comes from David Wright from Henry Investment Trust. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
David Wright
Analyst, Henry Investment Trust

Good morning, Aaron. Good morning. Good morning. A great report and I'm glad to see SPP firing on all cylinders. A lot of great questions from the analysts here previously in the call. I want to ask a little larger question looking at your slide deck. where you have this chart of EPA pie chart. And would you consider water transmission pipe to fall in the category of source or distribution transmission?

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

It would be more distribution transmission.

speaker
David Wright
Analyst, Henry Investment Trust

Yeah, okay. So that's two-thirds of the pie. And they've got the 20 near heat. 20-year need at $420 billion. And then I'm looking at the funnel that you have for appropriations, and not very much of it has actually made it out into the market. And you said in the call, kind of a couple years out, okay, that you'll start to see it more in your business. And when you talk about Northwest Pipe's market share in water transmission, you put that market at $450 to $600 million, and you put your share at around half. So isn't it reasonable to think that, particularly since you don't use all of your capacity and your two competitors, I don't know how much of their capacity they use, but isn't it reasonable to think that the overall market for steel pressure pipes should be larger a few years down the road than $450 to $600 million a year?

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Especially with the IIJA-funded stuff, David, for sure. That's what our expectation is. Yeah, so ultimately, you know, we had a pretty good capacity utilization in the second quarter. I think we were about 74% of practical capacity there. It's steel pressure pipes. So we still have a lot more that we can do, right? So ultimately, if that market's there and it's going to boom like we think it's going to boom, I think you'll see some pretty good results on the steel pressure pipe side.

speaker
David Wright
Analyst, Henry Investment Trust

Right, right, right. So, I mean, you talk about good bidding years and, you know, average bidding years, but it seems to me that the bidding years should just get better and better. Yes. And larger. Right. So, you know, even though, and your margins are better, so even though you're pursuing precast, if this growth in water transmission pipe, you know, happens, it's still going to be a big part of the company in the years ahead. Oh, yeah. And so I think it's great. You've got the footprint. You've got the capacity. You've got the reputation in the market. just keep on doing a great job.

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Thanks, David. Appreciate that. We, uh, we've got some big years in front of us. And as you mentioned, and we have the, the funnel up on the screen, really not much of that IJA money has come to the, to the market at this point. Um, and we're just starting to see it. And, and in some of the jobs, I mean, there's some, the job in California, the sites reservoir job, which is, you know, the, uh, The source will be source, but there's other big reservoir jobs that are going on. We just saw a thing come out about the state of Texas where the SWIFT fund, the State Water Infrastructure Fund in Texas, just allocated $3 billion to some additional projects. And one of those projects was a Brasport water supply project. which is a – that project alone is going to get about $750 million. But that's an off-channel reservoir project to basically triple the capacity of storage down there, and they're going to have to transmit that. Then there's another big project going on down there in Corpus Christi that's a seawater desalinization project plant that's going in for just over half a billion dollars. So there's all kinds of stuff out there on the horizon right now that really makes – Some of the pain that we've gone through in the past years, like 15, 16, and 17, you know, it starts to relieve some of those memories a little bit. And I'd say really since 2019, steel pressure pipe business has been on a relatively decent pace. Even with a slow year in 2023 in bidding and production, we still managed to put together a pretty good year based on, you know, us being one of the big consolidators in the market. So I think that's kind of changed the dynamics here, and big years are going to get really big. But you'll have periods of time that will slow down. It's just how the projects are sequenced and bid and when they get produced. But we see a pretty good upward trend over the next really through about 2028 right now on projects and steel pressure pipe because of this IIJA funding.

speaker
David Wright
Analyst, Henry Investment Trust

Well, you're pretty close to half a billion dollars in revenue. I mean, maybe you'll not quite make it this year, but, you know, I mean, that's really significant. So, again, congratulations. Great work.

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Thanks, David.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Appreciate it. Thanks, David.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And, ladies and gentlemen, at this time, and showing no additional questions, I'd like to turn the floor back over to Scott Montross for any closing remarks.

speaker
Scott Montross
President and CEO

Just a few key takeaways before closing. One, I think the expectations for the bidding in 2024 are pretty much coming to pass, and the second half is still very strong. So we're expecting the steel pressure pipe business to have a very strong year this year. Same thing with the precast. I mean, after a slow first quarter because of some of the headwinds with weather and some of the issues related to the interest rate environment, we're expecting the second half to be significantly stronger overall. And, you know, a couple things to mention. It's in our growth strategy, you know, part of that was centered around stabilizing our steel pressure pipe business. And when you look at where we are now versus where we were in 2017, you know, our revenues have more than doubled. And with adding the precast side of the business to this, you know, the company has more than tripled. over the last time frame. So, ultimately, the things that we're doing on the growth of the company are working. And, you know, we continue to be on the track for acquisitions and organic growth on the precast side, not only from product spread, but potentially doing precasts at some of our different plants. And I think longer term, we're in a great spot to be well positioned from these infrastructure projects due to the increasing population, and we're in a great spot going well into the future. I think the biggest takeaway is the business diversification strategy that we've implemented is working. Even with a big part of our business being severely impacted by weather in the second quarter, we were able to put together a fairly decent quarter from our perspective. And, you know, imagine you can do the numbers and see what it would have looked like without the weather impact. and what it should look like going forward. So ultimately these things are working, and we really appreciate today your attention and the time you take to be on our call and look forward to speaking with you in the November timeframe. So thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, with that, we'll be concluding today's conference call and presentation. We do thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.

Disclaimer

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