7/25/2025

speaker
Brieca
Conference Moderator

Thank you all for attending. I'd like to welcome you all to the Ocean First Financial Corp Q225 earnings call. My name is Brika and I will be your moderator for today. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. I would now like to pass the conference over to your host, Alfred Goon, Investor Relations at Ocean First. Thank you. You may proceed.

speaker
Alfred Goon
SVP of Corporate Development and Investor Relations

Thank you, Brieca. Good morning and welcome to the Ocean First second quarter 2025 earnings call. I am Alfred Goon, SVP of Corporate Development and Investor Relations. Before we kick off the call, we'd like to remind everyone that our quarterly earnings release and related earnings supplement can be found on the company website, oceanfirst.com. Our remarks today may contain forward-looking statements and may refer to non-GAAP financial measures. All participants should refer to our SEC filings, including those found on forms, a.k.a. 10Q and 10K, for complete discussion of forward-looking statements and any factors that can cause actual results to differ from those statements. Thank you, and now I will turn the call over to Christopher Moore, Chairman and CEO.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

Thank you, Alfred. Good morning, and thank you to all who have been able to join our second quarter of 2025 earnings conference call. This morning, I'm joined by our President, Joe LaBelle, and our Chief Financial Officer, Pat Barrett. We appreciate your interest in our performance and this opportunity to discuss our results with you. This morning, we'll provide brief remarks about the financial and operating performance for the quarter and some color regarding the outlook for our business. We may refer to the slides filed in connection with the earnings release throughout the call. After our discussion, we look forward to taking your questions. We reported our financial results for the second quarter, which included earnings per share of 28 cents on a fully diluted gap basis and 31 cents on a core basis. Before I walk through a few items, a summary of how we see the quarter may be helpful. This was an investment quarter as we added C&I Bankers, launched the Premier Bank, opened a commercial banking office in Melville, New York, and opened a new full-service branch in Perth Amboy, New Jersey, all of which increased expenses as we expected and as we had guided last quarter. Revenue growth has been on a strongly positive track, and we expect that to continue. while absolute expenses remain flat with some potential to decrease over time. As a result, we view the quarter as a trough in EPS that will build from this point as the organic growth momentum continues. We expect this progress to continue while credit performance remains among the best in our peer group. In terms of performance indicators, we were pleased to report a third consecutive quarter of growth in net interest income, which grew by $1 million, and continued stability in our net interest margin, which expanded by one basis point. Importantly, the loan growth in the quarter came late in June, so the quarterly results don't fully reflect the earnings power of the balance sheet, which is better positioned for additional improvements to net interest income in the third quarter. Total loans for the quarter increased $60 million, representing a 2% annualized growth rate, driven by strong originations of $716 million, The quarter also included strong growth in commercial and industrial loans, which increased 8 percent for the quarter, reflecting our focus in this segment. Operating expenses for the quarter were $71 million, in line with our expectations and previous guidance. Operating expenses included nearly a full quarter of the run rate from our recent commercial banking hiring efforts and the launch of the premier bank group. These additional bankers have been immediately productive. Joe will provide a detailed update on these initiatives in a moment. Asset quality remained very strong, as total loans classified as special mention and substandard decreased 3% to $145 million, or just 1.4% of total loans. Classified loan levels remained well below our long-term average and are substantially lower than our peer group. The quarterly provision was primarily driven by net charge-offs of $2.2 million, and by a mixed shift as commercial and industrial loans increased, while commercial real estate loans decreased slightly. Capital levels remained robust, with an estimated common equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 11% and tangible book value per share of $19.34. The quarter included a $17 million of share repurchases, or 1 million shares at a weighted average cost of $17.17, and the redemption of $57 million of preferred stock. With the existing share repurchase authorization nearly completed, On July 15th, the company authorized an additional 3 million shares available to be repurchased. This will allow us to remain flexible with our capital deployment. This week also, the Board also approved a quarterly cash dividend of 20 cents per common share. This is the company's 113th consecutive quarterly cash dividend. Finally, we're very pleased with our progress growing the commercial bank, which is on track for a strong third quarter. The commercial pipeline of $791 million is a record high, but we're seeing meaningful lending opportunities and early success gathering deposits. We expect an increase in net interest income in the third quarter and continued improvement to margins in the second half of the year. At this point, I'll turn the call over to Joe for additional color on the business.

speaker
Joe LaBelle
President

Thanks, Chris. I'll start with loan originations for the quarter, which totaled $760 million, including $426 million from the commercial bank inclusive of $232 million of CNI originations. For the second consecutive quarter, the commercial pipeline has doubled and, as Chris noted, is a record high for the company. This momentum is directly attributed to our investment in talented commercial banking hires who continue to add diversity in size and geography to the pipeline. At this point, we've completed the majority of our commercial banking hires for the year, with 13 C&I bankers and 36 premier bankers hired in 2025. Turning to our residential business, activity has increased on the link quarter basis, but our markets continue to remain impacted by uneven loan demand, volatility in rates, and limited inventory. The second quarter is typically our low point in deposit balances for the year, as government balances decline and seasonal shore businesses consume cash in preparation for the summer. Deposit balances excluding brokered CDs decreased approximately 1% compared to the link quarter, but increased by $117 million compared to the same period in 2024. The addition of our new premier banking teams, all of which we onboarded in April, have contributed to the bank in short order. As of June 30, these teams brought in $115 million in deposits across more than 670 accounts, representing nearly 200 new customer relationships. Approximately 20% of those balances are in non-interest-bearing DDA, and the overall weighted average cost of those deposits was 2.7%. As these relationships begin to transition to ocean first, we expect a percentage of DDA to increase, as many of these accounts are not yet fully operational as of quarter end. These bankers are on pace to achieve our 2025 target of nearly $500 million in deposits by year-end, while also contributing to the commercial loan pipeline. We are very pleased with their results thus far. Lastly, non-interest income increased 5% to $11.8 million during the quarter. After excluding non-core and non-recurring items, non-interest income was down 1% compared to the prior quarter, due to lower swap activity largely offset by gain on sale. With that, I'll turn over the call to Pat to review the remaining areas for the quarter.

speaker
Pat Barrett
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Joe. Good morning to everyone on the call. As Chris noted, both net interest income and margin grew in the quarter, with loan yields increasing four basis points and total deposit costs remaining flat. Average interest-earning assets declined during the quarter, reflecting modest declines in the securities portfolio while average loan balances only increased slightly due to larger payoffs early in the quarter and higher originations late in the quarter. We expect positive expansion in both net interest income and margin in the back half of the year based on period imbalances and pipelines. Asset quality remained very strong with non-performing loans to total loans at 33 basis points and non-performing assets to total assets at 31 basis points. Delinquency levels continued to remain at the low end of historical levels, and criticized and classified loans declined. Debt charge-offs for the quarter were largely driven by two commercial credits totaling $1.6 million and just over $400,000 from a small sale of non-performing residential loans. Overall, credit quality continued to perform in line with our strong historical experience and remains among the best in our peer group. Credit reserves were stable, with provision expense only addressing charge-offs, growth, and a mixed shift in loans. Turning to non-interest expenses, they increased about $7 million to $71.5 million, driven by increased comp expenses, professional fees, and other operating expenses. The increase in compensation expense was driven by the recent commercial banking hires, while professional fees included $1.6 million of non-recurring recruiting fees related to these hires. Other operating expenses reflected some volatility across a number of minor categories and are expected to revert back to historical levels. Looking ahead, we expect our quarterly operating expense run rate to remain stable in the $71 to $72 million per quarter range, with normalizing professional fees being offset by a full quarterly run rate of compensation and occupancy for the recent addition of banking teams. And as Chris noted, capital levels remained robust and included 1 million shares repurchased at a weighted average cost of $17.16 per share. And while we reloaded our repurchase plan by 3 million shares, we expect capital priorities will focus on supporting expected loan growth in the near term and will reserve any share repurchases for periods of market volatility. Finally, a word on taxes. We expect our effective tax rate, which was 24% in the second quarter, to remain in the 23 to 25% range, absent any changes in policy. At this point, we'll begin the question and answer portion of the call.

speaker
Brieca
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. And if you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If for any reason you would like to remove that question, you can do so by pressing star followed by two. And again, to ask a question, please press star one. And as a reminder, if you are using a speakerphone, please remember to pick up your handset before asking a question. The first question we have from the phone lines comes from Daniel Tamayo with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

speaker
Daniel Tamayo
Analyst, Raymond James

Thank you. Good morning, guys. um, maybe to start just on the deposit side, uh, you know, curious, uh, you, you got a lot going on, right? You, you got the new hires, you added 115 million. I think you said, Joe, um, including, uh, some, some DDA there, uh, the same time that the overall funding costs are starting to stabilize. So as, as this, um, you know, shift continues to happen with the deposits coming on from the new hires. If we could pull rate cuts out of this for a second, do you think you can reduce funding costs going forward? And how much of that is, like, further out, like, next year or the year after type of thought? And how much is more near term?

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

Certainly an opportunity to mix shifts. To reduce it a little bit, I think absent rate cut, I wouldn't see a lot of movement in the near term. The CDs we have rolling over in Q3, I think, have a funded average rate of about 3.8%. So there's a little bit of opportunity there, not a lot, and it's not a lot of maturity, so it's not going to drive a big change in the mix. But, you know, as the premier banking teams come on, Joe noted, you know, they're going to have slightly higher levels of DDA. But also outside the premier bank, the CNI growth has been very strong, and the accounts that they bring along are going to tend to be far better priced than kind of market rate accounts that you'd raise.

speaker
Joe LaBelle
President

I think the only thing I'd add is, you know, historically the second quarter is the weakest quarter for us. Government seasonality, tax payments, all those kinds of things are on the come, and we have a lot of the operational businesses utilizing cash. So 3Q, 4Q should be better.

speaker
Daniel Tamayo
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. And I guess bigger picture, kind of same theme, but on the margin, you know, stable to slightly up in the third quarter, maybe if there was a rate cut, it would have been stable or slightly down. But I'm just trying to think about the trajectory of the margin longer term, you know, obviously up, but your thoughts on kind of how quickly that translates into margin expansion as we get into the out quarters here.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

We have slow and steady process where it's going to just come up maybe a few basis points a quarter. We think we're within striking distance of that 3%, which is important to us. Unclear whether we would get there by year end, but we're on the path to get there and cross over that. So I think it's going to spend a little bit on mix shifts and how many dollars people have in different account types, but it's certainly improving. And in the loan side, you know, as we grow loans, The mix of the loans we grow will also be important, and the weighted average coupon. You saw the weighted average coupon in the pipeline came down a little bit, quarter over quarter. That just reflects more CNI deals, which tend to be priced in the short end of the curve, so they tend to have lower nominal rates, but they're adjustable loans, which is good.

speaker
Brieca
Conference Moderator

Thank you.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

The operator moved to the next section, please.

speaker
Brieca
Conference Moderator

We have another question from Tim with KBW.

speaker
Tim
Analyst, KBW

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. The first one I have is just a quick clarification on the outlook for stable non-interest income. What's the base for that? Is that the adjusted number or reported?

speaker
Pat Barrett
Chief Financial Officer

Sorry, I didn't. It's Pat. Could you say the first part of that question one more time?

speaker
Tim
Analyst, KBW

What is the base we should be using for the guidance for stable non-interest income?

speaker
Pat Barrett
Chief Financial Officer

Gap is the best base to use. They're almost the same at this point for this quarter. So if you're looking at margin 291 versus 290. Even the non-interest income. Oh, I'm sorry, for the non-interest income. Fee income. TAB, Mark McIntyre, use the gap gap and stable.

speaker
Tim
Analyst, KBW

TAB, Mark McIntyre, Okay, so like that 12 million number. yeah. TAB, Mark McIntyre, Okay um. And then can you guys, you guys talked about it a little bit last quarter, but can you provide a little bit more details on kind of what was the expense lift from the new hires you made in Premier Bank and how did that impact the earnings this quarter? And I think we're now a more stable run rate going forward, right? You know, any plans for new hires over the rest of the year?

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

No plans for new hires. If you think about it in EPS terms, the additional expenses in Q2 probably hit us about six cents in EPS. And then that will now reverse and we'll start pulling out of that.

speaker
Pat Barrett
Chief Financial Officer

And just to kind of simplify from a geography perspective, as we get the full quarter impact, because a lot of these hires didn't start until late in April, expect our comp expense will drift up a bit higher. So call it go from 40 million run rate to 42 million run rate. But professional fees will come down. by two million because we won't have all the hiring costs. So net, we should be flat on OPEX. Although I would add, we're not relaxing on expenses. We have a number of things that we're looking at and we actually do think there are opportunities for us in absolute terms to gain some additional expense efficiencies. We're just not guiding to that right now.

speaker
Tim
Analyst, KBW

Okay. And then the last question I have is you guys have been pretty decent capital levels here. Can you update us on your thoughts about, you know, your approach to M&A, how much of a priority that is relative to dividend and charity purchases?

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

Our primary focus is on the organic growth plan and producing the earnings momentum we think that we need to show. And I think we're also very mindful of where our shares trade relative to book value. There are not very many opportunities that would make sense for our shareholders with the valuation of our shares today. So that's kind of how we think about things.

speaker
Tim
Analyst, KBW

Great. Thank you, guys.

speaker
Brieca
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Dave Bishops from Hefty Group.

speaker
Dave Bishops
Analyst, Hefty Group

Hey, good morning, gentlemen. Question. Good to catch up. I think you said in the preamble the deposits thus far from the Premier team, maybe 20% DDAs, seeing that ramping up. Do you see the weighted average rate going below the average for the entire bank over time and pushing that appreciatively lower as you onboard more of these accounts?

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

So, yeah, so right now it's in the 260 range it's been holding, and we've seen additional growth since the end of the quarter. The bank-wide cost of deposits is closer to 2 percent. I think we'll get down to kind of match the bank, maybe a little bit better than the bank, but our expectation is that, you know, 30 percent or so will be noninterest-bearing. The rest is going to be some version of market, maybe not, you know, the highest rate you have to pay, but something. I think it's going to be very efficient funding, but we don't expect it to be free funding. Think of it kind of gravitating towards the cost of deposits for the rest of the bank, but being able to grow at a much faster clip. We've got a great deposit cost, but we haven't been growing as quickly. We want to match the growth rates we need to fund the balance sheet.

speaker
Dave Bishops
Analyst, Hefty Group

Got it. And any – I know it's still early in the – The life cycle here, but any, you know, new line of sight on potential loans emanating from that segment.

speaker
Joe LaBelle
President

Actually, they were pretty bullish on the opportunity there. Obviously with the Premier Bank, the expectation is deposit focused, but we've already driven some significant activity that you're seeing in the pipe already, and I expect that to continue to grow over time. So we're we're very pleased with the activity on that end of the spectrum as well.

speaker
Dave Bishops
Analyst, Hefty Group

And Joe, sticking maybe with loans on the commercial side, just curious where you're seeing sort of the best opportunity, either geographically or, you know, within that CNI segment, any, you know, specific verticals that are driving the majority of growth your way when it's, you know, a pretty tough environment to grow CNI in this market?

speaker
Joe LaBelle
President

Yeah, and Dave, we're pretty thoughtful about, obviously, what we're seeing in markets, but The good news is, from a geographic perspective, we're seeing it all over the footprint, which I truly appreciate. It's not being driven by one area. But we've seen good continued momentum in our North Virginia market and government contracting. But I have also seen some really good activity in our home markets, which have been a little quiet. So that's good to see as well. We've seen some equipment finance. I wouldn't go as far as to say there's any real concentration in vertical, in any vertical. But when you hire the people we've hired, some of that is the fact that they're bringing relationships that they've built over 15, 20 years to us. So even though the environment's difficult, we're taking market share from others.

speaker
Dave Bishops
Analyst, Hefty Group

Got it. Then maybe housekeeping, Adam, on the sub debt, if there's any update there in terms of the thinking of reception and retirement.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

Watching that market carefully, it gets more efficient teams every quarter. So we don't feel a burning need to have to address that immediately. We have the option to address it in either pieces or potentially doing new issuance. The recent issuances in the last few weeks have looked pretty promising. So we think about it often. And when we think that opportunity is right, we might refinance it or we might look to kind of pay down a little bit with earnings over time. We like having the optionality or watching the markets and could go in either direction over the next quarter.

speaker
Daniel Tamayo
Analyst, Raymond James

Great, thanks. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Brieca
Conference Moderator

The next question comes from Manuel Davis with DA Davidson. Please go ahead.

speaker
Manuel Davis
Analyst, DA Davidson

Hey, good morning. Good morning. Is the 3Q loan growth guide, how sustainable is that? And how much is that based on what you've seen so far this quarter and what's expected by the year end? And how much give is there in that projection?

speaker
Joe LaBelle
President

I think we feel pretty confident given the pipeline that we have and I think the continued pipeline growth. I think, Manny, the real challenge for anybody else is what are you going to see at the other end? We've seen payoffs abate since early in the quarter and especially in Q1, which is a positive. I can't predict what could occur in the future. But in terms of what we're originating, who's originating it, where it's in our footprint, we're pretty confident we're going to continue to drive that momentum forward. So on that end of it, I think you can be as confident as you can be. So I think that's probably a fair assessment.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

I would add, you know, in our conversations with our clients, they're reporting to us that business conditions are good for them. They've got building backlogs. They've got plenty of work, plenty of opportunity. We're seeing them increasingly, you know, lean in and make investments. So I know kind of those macro headlines are concern over the economy. We have not seen that reflected in the comments from our customers to date, but that could change. You know, we live in a volatile world. But for now, our clients are thinking pretty positively to doing projects. We've got good visibility. And a lot of these hires we made, they're going to produce opportunities for us for years to come. Typically, a commercial banker could be anywhere between 18 months and three years to reach their full potential. So I think this is a sustainable growth rate.

speaker
Manuel Davis
Analyst, DA Davidson

I appreciate that. It looks like if you look at what you're bringing in, from the commercial deposit teams, what you have in the loan pipeline, there's like a marginal NIM close to 4% plus. What keeps you from growing the NIM or expanding the NIM even faster?

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

I think it's just the pace at which there's net additions to the balance sheet. So there is a scenario, Manny, under which if we're growing and compounding this growth and there are rate cuts, TAB, Mark McIntyre:" You can see a faster expansion and we just don't want to until we've seen that for a few quarters we don't want to get ahead of ourselves.

speaker
Manuel Davis
Analyst, DA Davidson

TAB, Mark McIntyre:" It shifting topics, a little bit, it seems like the team is largely in place at the moment. TAB, Mark McIntyre:" Maybe for this year, is there any shift in the hiring focus any expansion and geographies at the moment. TAB, Mark McIntyre:" across the premier bank or even in CNI.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

No new geographies. We're very happy. We have enough geography that gives us the appropriate concentration balance because we don't want to have too much of anything in any one market. So we think we've got that covered, and our markets are exceptionally deep. We operate in the strongest banking markets in the country. We essentially think that the hiring is done for this year. But if a great banker comes available to us next month, we're going to hire the great banker because that's good for the company. But I would assume that the hiring is done for this year. As we get through year end, look through our performance in Q3, Q4, heading into Q1, we will consider what the appropriate growth rate is for 26 based on how we're performing with the teams we've hired thus far. So for now, that's why I think Pat guided to a flat to possibly even reduce the operating expense level over time. So we'll keep you guys updated on our plans in that regard.

speaker
Manuel Davis
Analyst, DA Davidson

I appreciate the commentary. Thank you. I'll step back into the queue.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Brieca
Conference Moderator

Thank you. We now have Christopher Marinat with JMS. Your line is open, Christopher.

speaker
Christopher Marinat
Analyst, JMS

Hey, good morning, Chris and Joe and team wanted to ask a little bit about the kind of big picture on deposits on the premier bank. And given the strong quarter you just had, I mean, is there the potential to kind of rethink that upper number over time? Not thinking the next quarter, of course, but just curious if the 500 million can be bigger as next year in the future come into focus.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

We've been make a qualitative comment, not a quantitative comment. We're really pleased with the relationships we're being introduced to with their customers, trust in coming over to us, joining the bank. You know, Joe mentioned hundreds of accounts, a couple hundred relationships. They've really done what we would have expected to do. And this is, you know, only the first eight weeks or so that they were on board. It does take a little while to get oriented in any new place. You have to kind of find the restroom and work through policies and all that kind of stuff. Very pleased with the quality of the conversations we're having. I think it'd be premature to reset a different guidance level. Let's see how we go through the end of the year. Joe, any comment you'd add on the conversations you've had? Both Joe and I have been out and met a lot of these new customers, and I really appreciate the quality of the folks you're bringing over.

speaker
Joe LaBelle
President

I think the only thing I'd add for Chris is that we have provided some guidance toward multiple years out, and we fully expect, obviously, that we'll continue to grow these balances into bigger dollars in 26 and 27.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

And that was a pretty wide guidance, I think. So we could outperform on the top end, but we're only in this a couple months, so I want to kind of build some momentum and have a track record before we adjust anything.

speaker
Christopher Marinat
Analyst, JMS

Now, understood. And I see the multi-year aspirational goals. I just was curious how we go from this $500 million to even the $2 billion in 2027. But we'll continue to let that play out. So thank you for the color, both of you. Any comments on just sort of overall credit quality as it pertains to the, I guess, longer-term interest in trying to grow the reserve just in general? Is that still a possibility for you as these scenarios have played out?

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

I think that's going to be determined by the mix shift, Chris, over time. So as we, as the portfolio becomes, has larger composition of C&I loans and a smaller composition of CRE loans relative to each other, we would expect to carry slightly higher reserves. So it didn't turn out that it was, you know, very small growth this quarter, so that wasn't an opportunity. The mix shift didn't provide enough to see a reserve build, but I would not be surprised if you see the reserve continue to build for the next several quarters as the mix shift changes. So we think it's heading in that direction. It's just a quarter where the numbers didn't turn out that way.

speaker
Christopher Marinat
Analyst, JMS

Great. And then just last question, you know, the small improvement we saw on the criticized ratio, are there upgrades driving that? Are there other upgrades that are possible in the future? Just sort of curious on any background.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

We've got a number of things that we think may resolve in the second half of the year that would provide some upside to that. But we always get cautious for two reasons. First, we don't know the environment we're going into, and we're at an absolute, you know, fairly low level. So, as much as we might have positive resolutions, there's always situations where you may have a creditor or two that would slip, you know, into that. But nothing, we're not seeing anything in portfolio trends, risk ratings, delinquencies, There's no sign of a wider deterioration. And, you know, the composition of the loans is really important. We've stayed out of some of the segments that have higher levels of concern. So we have a relatively small multifamily book. We don't really operate in the unstabilized world. Our central business district office portfolio is very small. So, you know, I think the portfolio is structured well to not have an outsized issue. Performance indicators are good, might get a little bit better, but probably won't get a lot better because these are pretty low levels.

speaker
Christopher Marinat
Analyst, JMS

Great, Chris. Thank you all for the call today.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

Thanks, Chris. Thanks, Bruce.

speaker
Brieca
Conference Moderator

Just as a reminder, to ask any further questions, you need to press star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad. And we now have a question from Matthew Bruce of Stevens. Please go ahead.

speaker
Manuel Davis
Analyst, DA Davidson

Hey, good morning, everyone.

speaker
Dave Bishops
Analyst, Hefty Group

First, I just wanted to circle back. I think Mr. Tomeo asked about the NIM impact from each 25 basis point cut, both initially and over time. We cut out there due to the connection. I just want to make sure that was answered.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

OK. Yeah, no, thank you for that, Matt, because we didn't hear that part of the question.

speaker
Pat Barrett
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, so we're not wildly exposed to much volatility with or without Fed rate cuts. The impact for us is really more kind of in the belly of the curve, see what the two- and the five-year and the 10-year do. So there's not a dramatic dollar amount. kind of less than a penny a share on an annualized basis per 25 basis point cut from the Fed. And anything that we're talking about from a guidance perspective doesn't really contemplate anything meaningful from that, any big change in the curve, we kind of go with consensus. So I think we have a third quarter rate cut and a year-end rate cut in right now, which I think is what most people think would happen. If we got one next week, a 25 BIP cut, there might be a little timing lag, but you'd see kind of the negative on the floating rate book coming through and then the positive would come through and lower deposit costs and with maybe a one-quarter lag.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

I think as Pat points out, the longer end that matters probably be more. If there's a Fed cut and then the long end comes up, that might be more beneficial than just a cut. If there's a cut where the long end stays where it is, probably not that much of a difference.

speaker
Pat Barrett
Chief Financial Officer

Safer is always better. We're still pretty neutral right now.

speaker
Tim
Analyst, KBW

Okay.

speaker
Dave Bishops
Analyst, Hefty Group

I wanted to go back to deposits. So, you know, the incremental premier deposits came in at, I think, right around 270. The bank as a whole is at 206. So it feels like, you know, by the numbers, the incremental growth should take deposit costs higher. But you're suggesting maybe there's actually some room to reduce costs. So I'm curious, you know, the other parts of the bank, what is kind of the blended new rate of deposits, you know, and or? Are there, you know, agreements with your banking deposits that, you know, whatever rate they're getting is more or less, you know, there's some, you know, short-term elements to it. Maybe help me out there.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

It's just the operational way that accounts get funded, Matt. So, you know, the bankers showed up in mid-April. They begin to open accounts in probably by early, mid-May. And then there's a process on a commercial account. You have to go do all the beneficial ownership stuff, you know, paperwork filed. Then they have to go out and operationally kind of wind down wherever they're banking today and move over their cash management to checks and payment methods and all that. So as a result, the early deposits you get in tend to be rate-driven deposits. And then you've got the operating accounts, but they've got nothing in them. And then they build in their balances over time. So I think Joe had guided to maybe closer to 30% non-interest bearing over time. That would pull that $260, $270 down closer to the $206. And if we can do better than that, you might even outperform it. But we don't think it's going to drag the deposit costs up at the bank. We think over time we can kind of gather deposits about where we're priced today.

speaker
Dave Bishops
Analyst, Hefty Group

Okay, that makes much more sense. I did want to touch on securities yields, you know, down, you know, pretty sizably the last three quarters. What's going on there? And where do we start to hit stability in securities yields? Because that seems to be a headwind to the margin.

speaker
Pat Barrett
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, well, the decline, there's a couple of things that are at work there. A third of our securities book is floating rate. So as you see any movements there, you get a little bit of directional push. But then the duration's pretty short as well. So we've got reinvestment that's occurring of instruments that we entered into in a higher rate environment that are repricing out already based on the kind of belly of the curve, a little bit longer end. So those are the main drivers. There wasn't a huge mix shift in those and they still remain largely Treasury, Treasury CMOs, agency paper. So whatever the rates are on those type of instruments is what you'll see. It's really only the floating rate piece, which is our CLO book that kind of moves around with the short end of rates.

speaker
Dave Bishops
Analyst, Hefty Group

Okay. And then low-yield expansion this quarter was, I want to say, maybe four-ish basis points. In the absence of rate cuts, is that a decent rate of expansion from here?

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

I think that's a good proxy.

speaker
Dave Bishops
Analyst, Hefty Group

And then last one for me is just, you know, as you think about loan growth and the guidance, to what extent are you baking in commercial real estate payoffs? It seems to be a common theme this quarter. There's a lot of competition for paper in commercial real estate. That's all I have. Thank you.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

Matt, in terms of commercial real estate, you know, we think we do that well. And while we are focused on adding to the CNI book, we're not, you know, exiting or leaving the CRE book. We've done it well. It's performed well. We have great clients there. You know, it can be episodic on paydowns. That's the way that world works. If you have, you know, one big loan, it can make a difference. But we would hope that the CRE would remain flat. Maybe we could grow it a little bit, depending on... But we do have a strong pipeline in CRE.

speaker
Joe LaBelle
President

Yeah, we've seen a resurgence in CRE transactions. And a great example, Matt, is the largest payoff we got this quarter was a $55 million transaction, $52 million at 3.5%. So as long as I can put that money back out and I'll put it out this quarter, I'll take that trade even though I'm not theoretically growing the balance sheet on the CRE side. I do believe I'll be able to replace those payoffs in the second half of the year.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

So if you're thinking about modeling that, keeping CRE balances steady is probably a decent bet. It might go up a little bit. It might go down a little bit. But I would not expect that portfolio to be in runoff.

speaker
Dave Bishops
Analyst, Hefty Group

All right. I appreciate all that. That's all I had. Thank you.

speaker
Brieca
Conference Moderator

Thanks, Matt. Thank you. I can confirm that does conclude the question and answer session. And I would like to hand it back to Chris for some final closing comments, please.

speaker
Christopher Moore
Chairman and CEO

Thank you very much. We appreciate your time today. Apologize for the technical glitch in the call that kind of got us disconnected for a little bit. But we do appreciate your time and your support of Ocean First Financial Corp. We hope you have a great summer. If your plans bring you to the Jersey Shore, come visit us. We'll talk to you in October. Thanks very much.

speaker
Brieca
Conference Moderator

Thank you. I can all confirm that does conclude today's conference call with Ocean First Financial Corp. all may now disconnect thank you all for your participation and please enjoy the rest of your day

Disclaimer

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