logo

PicS N.V.

Q12026

6/2/2026

speaker
André Cazoto
Strategy, M&A, and Investor Relations Officer

Good evening, everyone, and welcome to the PicPay earnings conference call for the first quarter of 2026. I'm André Cazoto, PicPay's Strategy, M&A, and Investor Relations Officer. Today, I'm joined by Eduardo Chedi, our CEO, Rodrigo Couto, our CFO, Danilo Cáfaro, Vice President of Consumer Banking, and our Investor Relations and Strategy teams. We will begin with a short presentation highlighting our quarterly results, followed by a live Q&A with our management team. Please note that this presentation may contain forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures. Please refer to the disclaimer on screen and in our earnings materials available on our Investor Relations website for additional information. This call is being recorded and a replay will be available on our website shortly after the call. Before I hand the call over to our CEO, Eduard Chedi, I would like to briefly highlight the strength of our execution. As you can see on the next slide, we deliver results above the guidance we presented across all key metrics for the first quarter of 2026. Our total credit portfolio reached R$28 billion, 5.8% above our guidance of R$26.5 billion, driven by a better than expected performance on our private payroll loans, which continue to gain traction during the quarter. Our cost of risk, On the revenue side, our managerial revenues, which exclude derivative revenues and hedge accounting effects, reached R$3.2 billion. Net interest income came in at 1.7 billion reais, surpassing 20% net interest margin for the quarter. And gross profit reached 1.1 billion reais, with both delivering slightly above guidance. Looking at our profitability metrics, IFRS earnings before taxes came in at 222 million reais, 3.1% above the guidance, and the IFRS net income reached 152 million reais. 8.4% above the guidance of 140 million. On adjusted basis, which excludes stock-based compensation expenses, adjusted EBT reached 248 million reais, 5.7% above the guidance of 235 million, and our adjusted net income came at 169 million reais, 9.3% above the guidance of 155 million. These results reinforce our strong execution and our ability to consistently grow with profitability. With that, I will now turn the call over to Eduardo Chegin.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

Thank you, André. Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our second earnings call. I'm pleased to report that we delivered another strong quarter, beating our guidance across every single metric we track. Let me walk you through the highlights. We delivered solid results in the operational metrics. Total accounts reached 68.6 million, up 11% year over year, and 2% quarter over quarter, continuing to expand at a steady pace. Quarterly active clients grew to 44.3 million. Consolidated TPV came in at 156 billion reais, 31% above the prior year. N.V. N.V. N.V. N.V. Total cash-in was 125.4 billion reais in the quarter, growing 22% versus a year ago. On a sequential basis, the 10% decline mirrors the typical Q1 pattern relative to Q4's elevated activity. Consumer deposits grew to 30.8 billion reais, up 46% year-over-year and 70% higher than last quarter, reinforcing the trust and principality trends we have been building. And active insurance policies reached 10.2 million, 78% ahead of Q1 last year and 13% above Q4, as our insurance vertical continues to scale at a rapid clip. Turning to financials. Net revenues reached 3.5 billion reais, a 70% increase year over year, and 17% higher than last quarter. Excluding derivatives and hedge accounting, managerial revenues were 3.2 billion, up 60% versus the prior year, and 9% sequentially. Average revenue per active client grew to 80.7 reais in the quarter. N.V. Gross profit came in at 1.1 billion reais, representing a 44% year-over-year gain and an 8% step up from the prior quarter. On efficiency, cost to serve was 20.3 reais per active client, up 9% from a year ago, but down 1% versus Q4, showing that scale benefits are kicking in. For context, Revenue per client expanded 55% year-over-year, while cost to serve grew just 9%. That's the leverage embedded in this model. Adjusted earnings before taxes reached R248 million, more than tripling year-over-year with a 224% increase and advancing 3% sequentially, despite the seasonally lower activity typical of first quarters. This demonstrates the consistency of our earnings trajectory. Adjusted net income was 169 million, nearly doubling with 92% year-over-year growth. The 10% sequential decline is entirely attributable to normal Q1 seasonality following a strong fourth quarter. As you can see, our revenue diversification continues to evolve. We now have a significantly more diversified and resilient revenue mix N.V. 69% of our revenues are now driven by no or low credit risk streams. That's up from 63% just 12 months ago. So we're growing net revenues 70% year over year while building a fundamentally more resilient business. Looking at the three revenue engines individually. Secure credit revenues reached 820 million reais, up 272% compared to a year ago, and 41% higher than Q4, fueled by the rapid ramp-up of our payroll loan portfolio. Unsecured credit revenues came in at 1.1 billion, a 44% year-over-year expansion, and 10% above last quarter, growing at a measured pace as we deliberately shift the mix toward collateralized products. N.V. On returns, adjusted net income grew 92% year-over-year to R$169 million. The 10% sequential decline reflects normal Q1 seasonality. Quarterly annualized adjusted ROE was 15.5% compared to 24.4% last quarter. The sequential compression is fully explained by the expanded equity base from our IPO capital raise. As we deploy these proceeds into our high-returning credit portfolio, we expect ROE to trend back above 20% within the next couple of quarters. Now moving to credit. PickPay card TPV was R$17.4 billion. 41% higher year over year with a modest 1% sequential decline reflecting typical first quarter seasonality rather than any change in engagement trends. Consumer loans origination reached $4.5 billion, more than doubling year over year at 119% growth and edging up 2% from Q4. Holding essentially flat against a seasonally strong fourth quarter demonstrates the strength of our origination engine. Total credit portfolio reached R$28 billion, 116% above the prior year and 17% above last quarter. The consumer book represents 93% of the total, with SMBs and others comprising the remaining 7%. Beyond the numbers, we advanced several strategic initiatives in the quarter. On PicPayCard, we launched Skip Purchases. a feature that allows cardholders to pause a monthly payment without penalties, improving their cash flow management and deepening engagement with the product. On small and medium businesses, new business accounts openings grew from 60,000 per month in Q4 to 80,000 in Q1, a 33% sequential increase. We also rolled out supply chain finance, enabling businesses to anticipate receivables and improve their cash cycles. In its first quarter, the product generated 693 million reais in origination. We also announced a strategic partnership with TIM, one of Brazil's largest telecom operators, Structured as a two-way distribution agreement, PicPay will offer Teams telecom plans within our app, while Teams will offer PicPay accounts and credit products to its large customer base. The partnership is expected to reduce our customer acquisition costs by activating new users through Teams' existing infrastructure while driving higher engagement for both platforms. On the cover acquisition, we reached an important milestone. CADE, the Brazilian Antitrust Agency, approved the transaction on May 28th without restrictions. We're now awaiting final clearance from SUSEPI, the insurance regulator, as well as from the central bank to close the deal. Finally, on brand. In the quarter, we launched a new brand positioning. PicPay, your next bank. It marks PicPay's evolution from a payment platform to a full-service digital bank, building trust and daily relevance while preserving the simplicity and innovation that set us apart. The campaign has already generated 1.2 billion impressions and over 75 million views, achieving 81% brand favorability, nearly double the 44% average in the financial services category. This is a strategic investment in long-term principality, and the initial data confirms it's working. Now, I will hand it over to Danilo Caffaro, our Consumer Banking Vice President.

speaker
Danilo Cáfaro
Vice President of Consumer Banking

Thank you, Eduardo. In this next slide, we can see that we continue to execute on our strategy, gaining market share of major credit products by gaining share of wallet of our clients. As of first quarter 26, we reached 4.93% market share for private payroll loans, coming from 0.2%, 2.76% market share of personal loans, coming from 2%, and 1.53% market share of credit card TPV, and 1.08% of credit card portfolio, coming from 1.18% and 0.77% respectively. On the next slide, we have the breakdown of our portfolio growth for the consumer business. We reached 26.1 billion reais in the first quarter of 26. It represents a 3.6 billion growth from fourth quarter 25, already after a one-off public payroll portfolio sale. As you can see, we continue to grow our portfolio, 91% of the total growth, on lower risk products and more mature cohorts, meaning Clients that already have built credit behavior with us. Last but not least, the following slides take a deeper look at our private payroll loans operations. We continue to believe in the massive opportunity of private payroll loans, and we have seen strong evolution since the product launch in April 2025. From the very beginning, we have been operating this product very tightly, following our prudent underwriting strategy. Early on, as operational issues affected first payment default in the initial cohort, we decided to slow down origination in the following months. As the product matured and we gained more confidence in its performance, we increased origination quarter over quarter. This shows our ability to respond quickly to changing market conditions. We still do not have the quarter fully closed given the product's 30-day grace period plus an additional 30 days for payroll processing. Delinquency rates, represented here by the over 30 days metric, have also improved month after month. Important to mention that origination, FPDs, and over 30 for third quarter 2025 cohorts are reflecting a more conservative underwriting strategy. On the following slide, we continue to see very healthy unit economics in private payroll loans. With lifetime NEMALs around 30%, lifetime ROEs consistently above 100%, and FPDs stable at high single-digit levels. While FPDs remain stable and within a controllable range, our strategy is not centered on minimizing this metric at any cost, but rather on optimizing risk-adjusted returns. N.V. N.V. Our current pricing model does not yet incorporate the potential upside from collateral enhancements, such as FGTS balances and severance package proceeds, which should become effective throughout the year and help reduce cost of risk, particularly in higher risk segments. Now, I will hand it over to Rodrigo Couto, our CFO. Thank you.

speaker
Rodrigo Couto
CFO

Now, I will walk you through our financial performance. On page 22, we see the familiar pattern of revenue growth several times higher than expense growth, leading to an improvement of three percentage points in our efficiency ratio relative to the fourth quarter. This means that our operating leverage continues to deliver impact, even in a quarter in which revenues are seasonally weaker. AI is already having an impact, as our headcount has been flat since October 25, and the projected 10% increase during 2026 will not materialize. We expect AI to be a major booster of our operational leverage, which should be even more powerful going forward. On the right-hand side of the page, we see that our ROE for the first quarter was 15.5%, as our average equity increased by more than 40% from the incorporation of the IPO proceeds. ROE will go back up towards the 20s in the next couple of quarters as we gradually deploy the IPO proceeds. On the next slide, we present the expansion of our financial margin. Our net interest income, margin from credit products, and margin from credit products after losses all grew between 17% and 19% relative to the fourth quarter, while our net interest margin rose back above 20% to 20.7%. The main driver of the margin expansion was a credit portfolio growth of 17%, which we will detail on the next slide. That interest margin rose to 20.7% due to an increase in the share of credit over total interest earning assets. On the next slide, looking at the credit portfolio, we reached approximately $28 billion in total credit, growing 17% quarter-over-quarter and sustaining a triple-digit growth rate year-over-year. The main driver of our credit growth continues to be the private payroll loan product, which has been performing within our expectations, as Danilo explained. When we look at the composition of our credit portfolio growth, we see that collateralized products corresponded to 69% of the portfolio expansion, which is similar with the 70% figure observed in the last quarter. As a result, the proportion of the portfolio that is collateralized continued to rapidly increase, reaching 54%. On the next page, number 25, we present a classification of our portfolio by stages and the coverage of each stage. The composition of the portfolio by stages did not change significantly, and the coverages of stages 2 and 3 rose, resulting in a 1.9 percentage point increase in the coverage of stages 2 plus 3 of 63.9%. Moving on to the next slide, we see that Stage 2 formation rose slightly to 5.8%, which is typical of the first quarter due to seasonality. When compared to the first quarter of 2025, Stage 2 formation was 1.3 percentage points lower. Stage 3 formation normalized to 3.9% after the spike observed in Q4, which was caused by a change in methodology. To finalize the presentation on credit metrics, on the next slide, we see that the ongoing loss absorption ratio rose slightly and that the cost of risk remained stable at 3.7%, while total portfolio coverage increased to 13.9%. For Q2, we expect the cost of risk to be between 3.7 and 3.9%. Moving on to funding on slide 28, you see that our funding base grew 8% quarter-on-quarter, while the cost of funding remained largely flat at around 94% of CDI. We continue to execute our diversified funding strategy, notably with the structuring of our second FGTS, for which we raised 1.25 billion reais last month. We will continue to mobilize different sources of funding, as well as to strengthen our own deposit distribution capabilities to finance the rapid growth of our credit portfolio. Finally, we present on the next slide our common equity capital. With incorporation of the IPO proceeds, approximately 2 billion reais, our common equity tier 1 ratio reached 16.7%, with approximately 500 million reais corresponding to 2 percentage points of the ratio held at our holding company in the Netherlands. With that, I'll turn back the call to Adar Deshadi for his final remarks.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

Well, we're issuing guidance for the second quarter of 2026, excluding any covert contribution. We expect the total credit portfolio to reach approximately R$31 billion, 11% growth quarter over quarter. Quarterly cost of risk should remain within the 3.7% to 3.9% range, consistent with the levels we've delivered this quarter. Managerial revenues are expected at approximately 3.6 billion reais, a 13% sequential increase. Net interest income should reach approximately 1.9 billion reais, up 12% from Q1. On profitability, we expect gross profit of approximately 1.15 billion reais, 5% above the score. IFRS earnings before taxes are expected at approximately 265 million reais, 19% higher sequentially. On an adjusted basis, we expect earnings before taxes of approximately 285 million, a 15% step up from Q1. IFRS net income is expected at approximately 235 million reais, A 55% sequential increase. Adjusted net income should reach approximately 245,045,000 above this first quarter. As you can see, across the board, sequential acceleration in every profitability metric, reinforcing the trajectory we've outlined today. Before we open to Q&A, I'd like to reinforce an important point regarding our credit strategy and the recent discussions around asset quality. At PicPay, we do not manage the business with the objective of simply minimizing NPLs at any cost. Our approach has always been centered around risk-adjusted profitability, supported by a very disciplined underwriting framework and a structurally low-cost-to-serve model. N.V. N.V. N.V. N.V. N.V. And this is where the strength of our ecosystem becomes a key differentiator. Because our digital wallet is deeply transactional, we are able to leverage proprietary behavioral data and real-time engagement signals that provide a much more accurate understanding of customer risk than traditional market benchmarks alone. On top of that, we layer in data obtained through open banking, which is non-proprietary but highly complementary. N.V. N.V. N.V. Although some market credit indicators suggest some deterioration, a closer look at PicPay's portfolio, which is more resilient by design, reassures us about our risk-adjusted return policy and our ability to meet projections for the 2026 unchanged. Okay, now we're ready to move into the Q&A session. Please, operator, take over.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. We are going to start the question and answer section for investors and analysts. If you like to ask a question, please click on raise hand. If your question has already been answered, you can leave the queue by clicking on put hand down. Our first question is from Gustavo Schroeder with Citi.

speaker
Gustavo Schroeder
Analyst, Citi

Hi, guys. Hi, Shadi, Azoto, Diogo. and team. Congrats on the numbers in line with slightly above the guidance for the first Q. So, decent trends. Congrats. I have two questions. The first one is we saw good trends in the state 2 plus 3 formation, but we saw an increase in NPLs, 90-day NPLs. So, if you could clarify this, mathematical or this mismatch between numerator and denominator, I think that would be great, right? Because usually when we see the strong credit growth, denominator grows faster than the numerator and offsetting this pressure. So I think that it would be welcome if you give some color or clarify this increase in 90-day NPLs. And my second question is regarding the guidance for the second quarter. You are guiding for 3 billion reais growth in or 3 billion reais additional loan book, right, quarter on quarter. It is slightly below the growth you present in the first quarter. But we know that the first quarter usually would have this seasonal effect, so it was lower long growth. I was expecting an acceleration in a sequential base in this long growth. If you could explain us if there are some, let's say, conservative strategy here or what is behind this number. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thanks Gustavo.

speaker
Rodrigo Couto
CFO

I will pick up the question on NPLs. The ratios are fundamentally different, right? When NPLs and NPL coverage, let's talk about NPL first. It's simply based past due, right? So it's, first of all, it only takes into account one form of the curation. And it also is highly sensitive to the write-off policy of each bank, for the levels are very hard to compare. We've said all along that our NPL ratios would continue to grow as our portfolio matures and would end up somewhere in the low teens. And this is what we expect to see going forward. The way we look at our credit performance and our coverage is in the proportion of stages, which is fairly stable, and also in the coverage of each stage, with which we are comfortable. So while NPLs will continue to rise, they're really not reflecting the dynamics because they're very, again, limited in terms of their risk sensitivity, and also highly subject to not only the write-off policies, but also the renegotiation policies It's very hard to use N.V.L.s as a metric to manage a business, and that's why we manage in terms of cost of risk, loss absorption, and proportion information of each of the stages as well as our coverage.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

Okay, so this is Shadid now. Going back to your second question, I think that we actually remain very positive on credit origination and on credit overall. I'd say that it's much more a conservative guidance than a conservative, let's say, way of doing business. If I could take you through what we believe on the macro credit scenario as well as on big pay's, let's say, ability to navigate there. I see that talking about the macro. Yes, the central bank data shows a gradual deterioration on delinquency, but at the same time, household debt service ratios remain stable, and the labor market is providing a strong floor. If we take a look at Brazil, it's at a record low 5.8% unemployment rate, with real aggregate wages growing 6.5% year-over-year, which, in total, it means that families in Brazil have 22.9 billion reais of additional real income in circulation, and that acts as a buffer. Also, if you look at job creation, it remains concentrated in the lower income brackets, this segment, which is typically more sensitive to income shocks, right? As long as unemployment holds at the same levels, we don't see a systemic risk of mass delinquency in lower ticket credit. In summary, our baseline, any credit quality deterioration is likely to be gradual and not systemic, and this is very consistent with a controlled accommodation cycle without disruption. And looking at big pay, it's fully consistent with the guidance we have provided. Looking at our own positioning within this market environment, we believe that we are really well positioned for a more challenging backdrop. We have deliberately built a more diversified rival mix, as we explained in the call. Sixty-nine percent of our revenues now come from low or low credit risk streams, which translates into a more resilient business itself, where only 31 percent is exposed to unsecured credit. And if you look at our credit underwriting strategy, it delivered a total credit portfolio which is 54 percent secure and only 46 percent unsecured. And QO numbers show that 90%, 91% actually, of new volumes are coming from lower-risk loans and mature credit card cohorts. And this is by design. I mean, over the past several quarters, we have been intentionally rotating the portfolio towards secure products and seasoned unsecure vintages with proven performance. On top of that, which gives us an additional layer of protection. I would say that our playbook allows us to adapt quickly to the changing scenarios. The riskier the product, the higher the spread, the shorter the duration, and the lower the leverage relative to income. And this is a framework which is not reactive. It's embedded in how we originate every day. To summarize, I mean, we've built a diversified revenues model in deliberately resilient portfolio mix. And we've been very, let's say, strict and disciplined on the origination. So I believe we are well positioned to navigate this cycle.

speaker
André Cazoto
Strategy, M&A, and Investor Relations Officer

Just one additional comment here. For the consumer loan book, we're expecting the origination to be pretty much flattish with the four quarter. So we're expecting to originate close to 3.5 billion reais, okay? That's our expectation of the consumer banking. We also have some SMB credit portfolio rolling off. So that's probably something that is impacting, let's say, the total credit portfolio figure that we share in our guidance.

speaker
Gustavo Schroeder
Analyst, Citi

All right, guys. Clear, very clear. Just a follow-up on my first question regarding NPL. So what is the write-off policy? Is it 360 days, 540 days? What is the write-off policy? It's 360 days. That's okay. Both cards and loans.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

All right. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

The next question is from Mario Pierre with Bank of America.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Hey, guys. Good evening.

speaker
Mario Pierre
Analyst, Bank of America

Thanks for taking my question. Let me ask two questions as well. I want to focus on the private payroll loan. I don't know if when you said that the NPL should be in low teams. Did I understand that correctly? Yes.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

And the whole portfolio. Yeah, for the whole portfolio. For the whole portfolio. Uh-huh. But go ahead, Mario. We'll wait until you finish, and then we'll answer.

speaker
Mario Pierre
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. And you showed right on slide 17 that your market share in private payroll loans has gone from zero to almost 5%. in one year, what do you think is making you so successful in this product? What are you doing different from the other players? Also, you talked about this collateral enhancements, right? Especially related to FGTS. We've been waiting for that and it appears to be delayed. What is delaying that? When do you think those collaterals are going to be effective? And what do you see in terms of interest rates that you are charging on this product? Clearly, right, this is not a uniform product. If you are doing a private payroll to someone who works in a small company for a short period of time, you're going to charge a higher rate than for someone who has a longer term, more mature job. But Can you tell us the direction of rates that you're charging in this product? And then, like, my second question is unrelated to this. It's related to Cover. Like you said, you got all the approvals, expecting now Suzepi to approve the transaction. Just remind us again, what is the expectation for net income from Cover on a full year basis? Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Hi, Mario.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

Going back to the private payroll loans, I think that our performance, as you said, has been pretty solid, and I think it's, at the end of the day, it's the result of several factors. I mean, we were the second company to be accredited in this product, and we entered very early. As we identified operational deficiencies in the system, We adapted quickly and developed some proprietary workarounds on those deficiencies. Our underwriting model has evolved significantly since the beginning. On top of that, I'd say that our digital distribution capabilities also played an important role with around 70% of all origination being done in-app. And from the beginning, I think that we maintained focus and conviction in the product's potential, which gave us a meaningful, let's say, and quicker learning curve, which we're taking into advantage. So I think it's a mix. of many things that we did and also driven by a lot of focus and the belief that this would unlock a meaningful opportunity for us. When you talk about, we said that FPDs, in our case, is around 9%. And this has been steady throughout quite a few, let's say, vintages now. So we are, let's say, we're pretty confident on the product, and we're getting more confident as time goes by. At the same time, you asked about, yeah, there is an upside. N.V. N.V. N.V. N.V. N.V. N.V. N.V.

speaker
Mario Pierre
Analyst, Bank of America

When you talked about the low-teens NPLs, are you talking specifically for private payroll, or are you talking about for the entire loan book?

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

The entire loan book, well, that's over time when we stabilize the portfolio, right?

speaker
Mario Pierre
Analyst, Bank of America

So just to be clear, you had an NPL ratio of 8.9% this quarter. 7.2% previous quarter, and you expect this to normalize around low teens.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

That's correct, Mario.

speaker
Mario Pierre
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

And then on cover? The expected net income, that was your question, right?

speaker
Mario Pierre
Analyst, Bank of America

Correct, correct.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

Yeah, I mean, Maio, we could talk about what we expected last year. As we still didn't have full clearance and approval, I cannot be, I mean, I don't have access to how they're performing this year. What I can share with you is that with the products that we distribute from them, We're performing pretty well. So we should expect that from their total portfolio, but I'm talking mainly from my own perspective. And so I cannot be precise now, but hopefully in a few weeks, as soon as Suzette, the insurance regulator, approves and central bank also will be able to actually give you much more visibility on what we expect for the full year.

speaker
Mario Pierre
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

The next question is from . Hey, guys. Can you hear me? Yeah.

speaker
Vinny
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

Great results here, really strong first quarter. Congrats from our end at Mizuho. I have one question. I mean, I caught some of the comments you mentioned about AI and how accretive the initiatives are to margin. Can you maybe elaborate a little bit on what you're doing in AI specifically and what the opportunities that you see down the road? And congrats again.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Hi, Vinny over here. We've been using AI and LLM models since the beginning of 2023. Our first use case was around customer service. And we continue to adopt AI heavily on our entire value chain, actually. From customer service to credit, engineering, marketing, and so on. We currently have our own version of OpenClaw, running on a multi-LLM stack. with most of our employees using on a weekly basis. Of course, it's still early days, but we are already seeing significant performance improvements on AI first teams. And as we mentioned in the release, this is one of the factors that enables us to continue growth, to grow the business while keeping the headcount flat since October 2025. And we believe that it will be a major boost of our operating leverage for the upcoming boards.

speaker
Vinny
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

Great. Thank you, and congrats again.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

The next question is from Ricardo Botpigo with BTG Pactual.

speaker
Ricardo Botpigo
Analyst, BTG Pactual

Hi, everyone, and thank you for the opportunity of making questions. Most of my questions were already answered, so I have just one here. If you could provide an update on the new Desenrola program, giving a bit more color on how the program has been evolving and how important you feel that this program could be to mitigate any potential delinquency risk, depending on how the macro unfolds. Thank you very much.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

Thanks. We see it positively, and we actually entered early on, so we're quick to begin. The program originations are responding well. We already have converted about 10% of the potential that we believe we can do that. And then we have the collateral for 50% of the renegotiated value granted by the federal government fund. So I'd say that in terms of final, let's say, impact, it's definitely an upside, but I wouldn't say that it's relevant for the full year results. although we remain positive on it and we've been originating quite well.

speaker
Ricardo Botpigo
Analyst, BTG Pactual

No, that's pretty clear. And if I may do a follow-up here, you mentioned that you are seeing that the commitment to that payment has been more or less stable in recent months, but there is overall a concern that disposable income could be N.V. N.V.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

we are expecting some increasing delinquency for the market overall. As I said before, we don't see anything that is sudden, so it's probably a very gradual thing. If you look at our own portfolio and our, let's say, ability to, let's say, navigate that backdrop, I'm going back to the diversified revenue mix as well as a more secure credit portfolio. And if you look at how we're growing the credit portfolio, we're mainly growing that through low-risk loans, mainly collateralized, as well as mature credit card cohorts. So, we don't, I mean, we expect a reasonable stability both on the credit risk as well as on stage 3 formation, let's say around 4%.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Perfect. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

The next question is from Craig Norr with FT Partners.

speaker
Craig Norr
Analyst, FT Partners

Hi, thanks for taking the questions. Good to hear from you, Eduardo and Andre. Wanted to ask again about the private payroll loans. You know, I wanted to understand the positioning you think this product is taking with the consumer. Is this, do you think, muting growth in credit card in any way? And also, do you think that the private payroll loans are a better path to principality versus, say, the credit card. So trying to understand how this changes the relationship with the consumer in terms of ongoing product usage.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

So I think that the first half of your question, we see lots of people who are, let's say, out of the credit market taking that product. So somehow it's additional. If you look at the big pay case specifically, I'd say that it's taken, let's say, share from personal loans instead of credit cards. And I think that one of the key aspects in our case is the ability to actually distribute that product digitally. If you compare our distribution with what we've been hearing from the average of the market, we've been able to distribute more in-app than most of the other players. It just shows that, I mean, the engagement with the app is basically important to N.V. N.V. N.V. N.V. So it's not only a factor of the direct benefits from the product, but the overall, let's say, driver of engagement and adoption of other products.

speaker
André Cazoto
Strategy, M&A, and Investor Relations Officer

Correct. Just to complement here, currently around 70% to 75% of all private payroll and origination is already done through our app. So basically this is helping to increase the cross-selling of additional products like insurance And, of course, this is going to be extremely helpful in terms of, let's say, creating better engagement and faster , customer base.

speaker
Craig Norr
Analyst, FT Partners

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

The next question comes from Dan Parley with RBC.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Hey, guys. Good evening. Two quick ones here.

speaker
Dan Parley
Analyst, RBC

The commentary around AI and headcount growth not materializing now because you've got all these efficiency gains. I'm wondering, one, are you planning on leaning in on those cost savings into marketing or kind of higher risk private payroll opportunities that you talked about? And then secondly, the net interest income growth guidance at 12%. versus the 5% gross profit growth. I'm just assuming that that is a function of your kind of mix shift such that your credit loss allowance is just stepping up in that period of time. Thanks.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

First part of your question. Definitely, I mean, we're living in on AI. Besides that, Daniel already mentioned that we've been running headcounts flat since October. But if you even got only the, let's say, the avoided hiring that we have on the customer service platform, in the last two years, we avoided hiring an additional 3,000 new customer service reps. So it's not only about having it flat, but also avoiding some meaningful new hires. On your point of, yeah, part of those efficiency gains will be deployed on growth, and part will be converted into growth. Better margins. But, yes, we definitely plan to invest some of that additional, let's say, productivity.

speaker
Dan Parley
Analyst, RBC

That's great. And then on the net interest income guidance versus gross profit growth guidance, is that a function of just a step up in your credit loss allowances that you've got going into the next quarter, or is there something else that I'm just not –

speaker
Rodrigo Couto
CFO

No, that's correct. We do expect our credit loss analysis to be a little higher than our income growth, you know, all within the dynamics of the portfolio within the, let's say, our risk return parameters. But, yes, we do expect it to be a little higher.

speaker
Dan Parley
Analyst, RBC

Great. Thank you so much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

The next question is from Neha Agarwala with HSEC.

speaker
Neha Agarwala
Analyst, HSEC

Hi, thank you for taking my question. Just a quick one. You mentioned that the NPLs will be in the low teen levels. And given that your book is almost 70% secured, and why should we continue to see a pickup in NPLs? Why not maybe a pickup for a quarter or two because of the private payroll and then an easing as the economy improves and rates decline? If you can split for us how much of the increase in the NPL ratio and the cost of risk is driven by the strong growth in the private payroll, that will help us understand what is the core dynamic for your remaining part of the portfolio. Thank you so much.

speaker
Rodrigo Couto
CFO

So the increase in the NPL ratio is basically a catch-up of things that are already in our stage three, right? So if you look at our N.P.L. was 8.9. The 8.9 will end the year in the low teens. The 12.7 will end the year in the mid teens. So if you want to see what's going to happen with N.P.L., just look at What's happening with the share of Phase 3, which is ultimately a better metric because it captures other forms of increasing risk that are not captured in the NPL 90 days. The levels we see of NPLs in the share of Phase 3, again, are highly influenced by our write-off policy, which is our 360 days. And, you know, there are players in the market that do 270. There are players in the market that do 120. And that results in very different levels of NPLs. Ultimately, also, as we find more opportunities to grow in private payrolls, the NPLs for that profit will also increase, or the credit losses will increase, or the revenues will increase by at least double. And ultimately, we're going to make more money, have higher returns. So, you know, just taking, let's say, a credit loss metric without looking at what's happening in revenues doesn't tell the whole story. And the way we manage is by looking at both things in conjunction.

speaker
André Cazoto
Strategy, M&A, and Investor Relations Officer

And pretty much, let's say, keeping our, let's say, guidelines in terms of loss absorption ratios that should be between,

speaker
Neha Agarwala
Analyst, HSEC

I mean, I understand that NIMAL is a more relevant parameter than just looking at what's happening with the cost of risk. But what is a bit confusing is that given that majority of your book is secured, when I look at other players who have a similar composition, Their NPLs are not at similar levels. So I just wanted to understand why your NPL. And I understand the stage fee is higher, so the natural progression will be you expect that the NPL for the book will be in low teens by the end of the year. So we have a progression throughout the year. But I just wanted to understand why these levels of NPLs. Are you seeing a much worse asset quality in the in the private payroll than what the system is seeing, or is there any other pockets where you're seeing more pressures for your clients?

speaker
Rodrigo Couto
CFO

Yeah. Comparisons of levels of MPLs are very difficult to make, especially in the Brazilian market where write-up policies are pretty different. So it's hard to compare the levels. And what's driving the increase in the NPL ratio. It is partly a maturation of the private payroll loans, but they're not the big contributors here. It's the insecure portfolio that is responsible for the majority of the NPLs and of the share of stage three. But again, I think going back to the comment that was made in another question that our gross profit grows by less or that interest income You'll see already in the second quarter our NPLs close to where they should be and closer to our Stage 3 proportion, and then they change only slightly throughout the rest of the year.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

And, Neha, just complementing here, if we look at a product by product and cohort by cohort analysis, We're not seeing any great deterioration on any of those pockets. It's just a compounded effect of many different things. It's the credit portfolio mix. It's also the fact that, yes, the private payroll loan is a secure product, but it's not a No risk product. It's a low-risk product. So as we keep growing the portfolio, there is going to be some delinquency there as well. But in every sense, a much more secure product than the unsecured ones.

speaker
Neha Agarwala
Analyst, HSEC

Understood. And in terms of loan makes, probably looking at 75% secured by year-end, given the growth that you're having in the prior payroll.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

No, that shouldn't be the case, because we still grow quite well, especially on credit cards, which are not secured. I mean, it's definitely going to increase from 54, but definitely not going to be around 70.

speaker
Neha Agarwala
Analyst, HSEC

Okay. Okay, perfect.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you so much. The question and answer section is over. We would like to hand the floor back to Mr. Eduardo Chedid for the company's final remarks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thanks a lot for being here with us again.

speaker
Eduardo Chedi
CEO

I think that we've delivered a strong first quarter. As you will see, guidance for the second quarter means that we remain positive, and I'd say that the main message here is that we hold the high conviction on delivering four-year results. That said, I'd just like to thank you guys and we'll see you guys in the next earning calls.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-