speaker
Dennis Geiger
Analyst at UBS

You're listening to Dave & Buster's Live.

speaker
Operator
Host

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Dave & Buster's third quarter 2024 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star, then two. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Corey Hatton, Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer. Please go ahead.

speaker
Corey Hatton
Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer

Thank you, Operator, and welcome to everyone on the line. Joining me on today's call are Kevin Sheehan, our Chair of the Board and Interim Chief Executive Officer, and Darren Harper, our Chief Financial Officer. After our prepared remarks, we will be happy to take your questions. This call is being recorded on behalf of Dave & Buster's Entertainment Incorporated and is copyrighted. Before we begin the discussion on our company's third quarter 2024 results, I'd like to call your attention to the fact that in our prepared remarks and responses to questions, certain items may be discussed which are not entirely based on historical fact. Any of these items should be considered forward-looking statements relating to future events within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those anticipated. Information on these risk factors and uncertainties have been published in our filings with the SEC, which are available on our website. In addition, Our remarks today will include references to financial measures that are not defined under generally accepted accounting principles. Investors should review the reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP measure contained in our earnings released this afternoon. And with that, I would like to turn the call over to Kevin.

speaker
Kevin Sheehan
Chairman of the Board and Interim CEO

Thanks, Corey. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining our call today. As communicated in our press release, Chris Morris, our CEO, has resigned to pursue other interests, and I'm assuming the role as chairman of the board and interim CEO. I want to assure you that despite Chris's departure, there will be a strong and seamless continuation under my interim executive leadership. I've done this before for Dave & Buster's from the fall of 2021 until Chris started in the middle of 2022. And I am excited to work with this management team. The same plan which we initially unveiled to you at our investor day in June of 2023, and have been hard at work as a team to execute on ever since, will remain our focus. We are working with Hydric & Struggles, a global executive search firm, to identify the future permanent CEO of this great company. On behalf of the whole entire board, I would like to extend a thank you to Chris for the significant amount of energy he dedicated to leading this company over the past two and a half years, and we wish him all the very best in his future endeavors. Now I'll turn the call over to Darren to walk you through the results for the third quarter. Darren.

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Kevin, and good afternoon, everyone. During the quarter, we continued to make progress towards our long-term strategic goals. We opened three new stores, which are on track to generate strong cash on cash returns, as we have demonstrated throughout our history. We completed 11 new fully programmed remodels and are on track to have 44 completed by the end of fiscal 2024. Our fully programmed remodels continue to outperform the rest of the store base, and we are excited for the opportunity these remodels give us to drive traffic sales and EBITDA. Additionally, we saw strong year-over-year growth in our special events business and remain optimistic about the prospects for our event business in the upcoming peak holiday event season following the rollout of our new banquet menu and the investments we've made in our in-store sales managers. Despite this progress, our financial results for this third quarter, which is our historically lowest seasonal volume quarter of the year, were negatively impacted as compared to the prior year by a material fiscal calendar mismatch, adverse weather across many important regions, and disruption to certain stores in our comp set as they underwent remodel construction. Our new domestic store openings have consistently performed in line with or above expectations and historically high ROIs. In the third quarter, we opened two new Dave & Buster stores in Barbersville, West Virginia, and Lombard, Illinois, and one new main event in Grand Rapids, Michigan. Quarter to date for Q4, we opened one new Dave & Buster store in Clarksville, Tennessee, bringing us to a grand total of 10 new stores opened year to date. With one new store in our pipeline slipping into 2025, we expect to open to four additional stores, three Dave & Buster's and one main event, and the balance of this fiscal year. On the international franchise development front, we expect to have our first store open in Bengaluru, India by the end of this fiscal year, and five total international stores in the next 12 months with our respective franchise partners across the globe. So now let's step through a brief progress update on each of our six key organic growth initiatives. First, marketing optimization. As we've said in the past, we believe there's an opportunity to drive top line by improving the effectiveness of our marketing. We benefit from the highest brand awareness in the industry. We also know from our strong NTF scores that when customers come to our stores, they have an experience that they are very happy with. What we have been most focused on is ensuring that we have creative that effectively communicates the breadth, quality, and value of our offerings, and that we deliver those messages to the right people at the right time. During the quarter, we fully onboarded a new marketing agency. And since then, we have done comprehensive testing, as well as a review of our media strategy, including our media mix, our digital marketing, analytics capabilities, and customer targeting, as well as our spend levels. Through this work, we have discovered various opportunities to improve the effectiveness of our media strategy, including, amongst other things, implementing capabilities to better track and optimize the return on our digital marketing spend, as well as ensuring that we are spending dollars during the periods when they have the greatest impact. On the promotional side, we have recently revamped and relaunched Dave & Buster's beloved eat and play combo, which aims to communicate and demonstrate value and drive attach across the full breadth at Dave & Buster's offerings. Additionally, we recently did a soft launch test of a winter pass, which is aimed to drive loyalty, visit frequency, and food and beverage attach while providing a significant amount of value at three attractive pricing tiers. We like what we have seen from the past since the launch of the test at 36 Dave & Buster stores and are moving quickly to roll out the offering system-wide. Our loyalty database now has over seven million members This is quite valuable as our loyalty members visit two and a half times more often and spend more with us over the course of their visits. In recent months, we have brought on additional internal and external resources to help us optimize our loyalty program and we believe significant opportunity exists to both continue to grow our loyalty database as well as further improve the value the customers get out of the program and the value we get from the customers in our database. Overall, we believe the improvements we have continued to make in our creative, our media spend, our promotional calendar, and our loyalty program position us to unlock material growth. Second, strategic games pricing. Our strategic games pricing initiative continues to show significant upside. As a reminder, prior to this year, the company had not increased chip prices in more than 25 years. Given the macro environment and after the results of our testing, we cautiously rolled out higher games pricing across the country, while still ensuring that we have the appropriate promotional offerings at the appropriate time to communicate and demonstrate the compelling value we offer our guests. We are excited about the capabilities that we have been able to unlock over the last several months as our enhanced game system allows for granular store-level price adjustments based on increasingly real-time performance data. We are also excited about a number of strategic investments we are planning for midway in the coming months, which should only further enhance the value proposition we provide to our guests. We have a number of new games set to launch in advance of spring 2025, including the Human Crane, which will be installed in the majority of Dave & Buster stores, and which is adding tangible excitement in the Dallas and Miami stores we have tested it in. Games will always be what we are known for and the key differentiator to our business. We look forward to innovating on our offering and using this to solidify our leadership position in the out-of-home entertainment space. Third, improved food and beverage. As a reminder, our food and beverage segment presents another opportunity to boost revenue and EBITDA by enhancing quality and service and returning customer engagement to historical levels with its attachment to games. Earlier this year, our new service model improved efficiency and the guest experience, which were supported by iterations of our revamped menu. Consequently, our guest satisfaction scores are continuing to show positive signs up six points in the third quarter versus the prior year. August also saw the launch of our Phase 4 menu, concentrating on beverage innovation and special events. These Phase 4 enhancements drove encouraging improvements in F&B revenue, number of F&B checks, and F&B attach rate. We have come a long way and are now in a very compelling spot with our overall F&B offering. Fourth, remodels. We completed the remodel of 11 additional Dave & Buster stores in the third quarter and continue to expect to complete 44 total remodels by the end of fiscal 2024. As a reminder, when we started this remodel initiative, we tested a number of different prototypes to see which could drive the highest returns. The conclusion of our initial effort was that the remodels that had the broadest offering, which we refer to as fully programmed, which combined a new and modernized dining room, sports bar, and game room with new and easily substitutable entertainment offerings like electronic shuffleboard, electronic darts, and the arena. Our immersive experience drove the highest ROI. We are encouraged that, in aggregate, our fully programmed remodels continue to demonstrate improved top-line performance. It is also important to note that we are still in the early stages of this effort, and we expect to see additional benefits as we progress on our remodel journey. Our rollout plan underscores our commitment to transforming the Dave & Buster's experience across our entire system, and by the end of this fiscal year, all new stores will look and feel like the fully programmed prototype, which will give us a holistic portfolio of fresh stores upon program completion. Fifth, special events. Our special events business continued to perform well into third quarter, up mid-single digits to the prior year. This bodes well for the fourth quarter, as our special events business historically has a significantly higher percentage of sales over the prime holiday season than other periods of the year. Our marketing is now more appropriately supporting special events by utilizing paid media, digital channels, and in-store experiences with bounce backs that drive cross-selling. We are also exploring offline media tests to expand reach. We are seeing encouraging signs of the strength with customer deposits for group events up low double digits versus this time last year, which has been supported by advancements in our online group booking engine. The addition of on-premise sales manager into our stores is proving highly effective with our increasingly hands-on approach of enhanced training for the special events teams. While we feel comfortable at the current level of labor investments in our special events business, the outperformance thus far of stores with dedicated sales managers indicates continued upside to expand the program to additional stores in 2025, should we achieve our internal targets this quarter. Finally, technology enablement. Our significant IT enhancements throughout the year have updated connectivity and server infrastructure, which was foundational in supporting our gaming ecosystem, remodels, kitchen enhancements, loyalty program and new service model, all of which will allow us to better integrate new property level insights into strategic analysis and enhance guest satisfaction and engagement. On the cost management front, we remain rigorous about finding ways to further optimize our cost structure at the store level and G&A level of our P&L when we are encouraged by the results achieved this year that will allow us to grow margins as our various top line initiatives take hold in the coming quarters. The investments we are making in store-level IT infrastructure and service center systems are enhancing our team members' productivity, which will unlock continuous improvement and allow us to scale the portfolio in ways that don't require a significant amount of additional resources in the years ahead. Most importantly, we aim to improve margins and reduce costs while simultaneously enhancing the guest experience, a challenging but rewarding achievement. Okay, turning to some additional financial detail. In our third quarter of fiscal 2024, comparable store sales decreased 7.7% on a like-for-like calendar basis versus the prior period. During the quarter, we generated revenue of $453 million, net loss of $33 million, or 84 cents per diluted share, adjusted net loss of $17 million, or 45 cents per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA of 68 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.1%. Reconciliations of all non-GAAP financial measures can be found in today's press release. As a reminder, the third quarter is the lowest seasonal quarter from both the volume and EBITDA margin perspective, and as a result, a decline in same-store sales has an outsized impact on year-over-year changes in adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin than in any other quarter of our fiscal year. As you know, we do not typically provide guidance. However, given the significant calendar shifts, as well as the lack of comparability of a 52-week fiscal year lapping a 53-week fiscal year in the prior year, amongst other factors, we felt it appropriate at this time to give our perspective on where we expect the year to end up. Based on what we are seeing in walk-in sales trends, as well as our forward bookings on the special events side, we expect fiscal 2024 adjusted EBITDA to be within a range of $505 million and $515 million. In the quarter, we opportunistically refinanced a portion of our debt to extend maturities, minimize interest costs, and increase liquidity. We raised the new $700 million term loan due in 2031 We redeemed the remaining outstanding $440 million principal amount of our senior notes that were due in 2025. We paid down $200 million of existing term loan principal due in 2029. And we upsized the capacity of our revolving credit facility by $150 million to $650 million and extended its maturity for a fresh five years to 2029. I'd like to thank our bank partners for the consistent support and flawless execution in this important transaction, which solidifies our balance sheet for the long term as we continue to invest in our business. It also reemphasizes the confidence our financial partners have in our go-forward plan. We had a $7 million operating cash outflow during the third quarter, ending the quarter with a cash balance of $9 million. for total liquidity of $546 million when combined with the $537 million available on our upsized $650 million revolving credit facility net of outstanding letters of credit. We closed on an additional sale leaseback transaction for the real estate of one Dave & Buster store with an institutional real estate partner, generating $28.5 million in proceeds. Coupled with the sale-leaseback transaction we closed in the second quarter, this takes our year-to-date proceeds to nearly $75 million, and we have four owned and operating real estate assets today, with one more wholly owned property scheduled to open later this fiscal year. We find these types of transactions attractive to allow us to replenish our capital for further investment into the business and be methodical in how and when we decide to monetize our existing and growing pipeline of real property assets. Turning to capital spending, we invested a total of $131 million in capital additions during the quarter, of which over 90% was considered growth capex. During the quarter, due to our belief in the significant value we see in our shares at current levels, we repurchased 28 million of shares, bringing total repurchases year-to-date to 88 million, representing 2 million shares or 5.1% of the company's outstanding shares as of the end of fiscal 23. We still have $112 million remaining on our board-approved share repurchase authorization to opportunistically repurchase our shares. With our expected healthy free cash flow into the future, we will work closely with our board to evaluate our new store growth, remodel program, other accretive growth investments, and share repurchase opportunities to drive maximum shareholder value. Now, Kevin and I would be happy to answer any questions you might have. Kevin can address any topics related to the board or management changes, and I can take those related to our business performance. So, operator, please open the line for questions.

speaker
Operator
Host

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star, then 1 on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then 2. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question is from Jake Bartlett with Truist Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jake Bartlett
Analyst at Truist Securities

Great. Thank you for taking the question. You know, Kevin, I wanted to start with Chris's departure and, you know, really how we should think about the plan that Chris was so, you know, critical in putting together. He's left, but the plan remains. You know, how confident should we be that the plan, you know, stays as is? Or, you know, as you look for a new replacement, a new CEO, you know, what do you look for in terms of attributes that might, you know, change the plan going forward? A second part of that question is what has not gone right in your mind? So what needs to be course corrected in terms of kind of what's been executed so far? And I have a couple follow-ups.

speaker
Kevin Sheehan
Chairman of the Board and Interim CEO

Sure. Hey, when you listen to Darren's commentary on each of those initiatives, you can't help but get excited because there's a lot of progress going on here behind the scenes and, you know, I'm excited about that. So the board and the whole management team, just as a way of background, worked very closely with Chris in devising the original plan. And the plan was clearly defined all the underlying initiatives that we have a tremendous amount of confidence in and will continue to execute against. And I would just say in this intervening period, a lot of my time will be focused square on that and making sure that We show tangible progress on each of these initiatives and drive things to a move forward so that we can show you some success in each of these. There's a lot of value in these and we want to make sure we communicate that to you guys along the way. Now, the only wild card is the consumer environment has been somewhat conflicting this year But we have a significant amount of optimism that things are progressing forward in a very encouraging way. And from here, our search to identify a very capable, permanent CEO that shares this vision is critical. And it will be obvious to the right candidate that these are the things that will move the meter forward. And as far as the successor CEO, you can take this out of the textbook. It's really important. We're looking for someone with a clear lead in strategic vision, operational execution, getting things accomplished, and financial performance of the company. We have to watch everything as we go through the balance sheet, the income statement, the cash flow, and make sure the capital allocation is right. This role demands a forward-thinking leader who can integrate the dining and the entertainment experiences into a cohesive, scalable, and profitable business model while fostering the innovation that Darren was talking to you about with so many of the things that we're working on, which should translate into strong guest satisfaction and brand loyalty. They will need to be an individual who can drive these critical initiatives forward. As I said, we need to show you guys the progress that we're making day by day or quarter by quarter, as the case may be. But there's a lot of – I just went through a series of meetings. There's a lot of very excited team members here, and I think it's going to be a very encouraging fourth quarter and 2025. Thank you.

speaker
Jake Bartlett
Analyst at Truist Securities

Great, thank you. And a follow up, it was very helpful to get that guidance for the year on EBITDA. I think it's important for us to understand how sales is driving that. So I'm hoping you can give us a little more detail. I know it's not typical. But on the quarter to date, November, how it's trended, trying to understand, you know, you gave us a range for EBITDA. You know, how does that correspond in terms of sales? And, you know, how confident are you in an acceleration in the same sort of sales in the fourth quarter or perhaps not?

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Yeah. Hey, Darren. Yeah. We felt like given the... You know, you're correct. We typically don't give guidance, but given the 53-week and the prior year calendar shifts and some other factors, we just thought it would be helpful to provide, you know, what we believe is a conservative level setting. And so regarding sales assumptions, I think the best way to think about it is if we assume that Q4 is performed similarly to Q3, maybe with some modest improvements. And this is based on what we're seeing in walk-in trends and forward bookings. That kind of gives you some directions for how we thought about that EBITDA guide. As we've articulated, we're working on a number of things, hard at work at a number of initiatives. we are optimistic in the near and medium term contribution that those are going to have. But we wanted to present what we thought was a fairly conservative guide and just help investors cut through some of the noise and some of the comparability challenges.

speaker
Jake Bartlett
Analyst at Truist Securities

Okay, and just last question just on that point. It sounds like you've talked about higher bookings, considerably higher or at least deposits. I believe your deferred revenue is down year-over-year. Maybe just to kind of help us understand how we should read in terms of deferred revenue. But in the context of that, you mentioned, I think you're talking about kind of signature sales roughly being the same as they were in the fourth quarter as they were in the third. But if you have those special events, big part of the business, you're seeing some good movement there. Why would we expect that? Is there something or maybe has walking decelerated or something? Is there an offset that you're seeing that would make us feel like the special events was not going to be driving an improvement?

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, no, no, I would not look at it that way at all. What I'd say right now is where we are quarter to date, The preponderance of the quarter is yet ahead of us. We still have 75% of our quarter between now and the end of Q4. And so with holiday shifts from where we are quarter to date and with all of our special events predominantly happening over the next two to three weeks, We feel very confident about where those are going, but we didn't want to overextend and demonstrate any additional sort of walk-in guidance. We feel very good about what we have to offer going into Q4. Again, I'd say I would look at this guidance as a very conservative view just to help really level set and make sure people know at least generally how to approach Q4, just given Q4 in the prior year had a 53rd week and just some other year-over-year noise. I'd say we're looking at this very conservatively. and are optimistic that we're going to have a strong Q4.

speaker
Jake Bartlett
Analyst at Truist Securities

Thank you very much. I really appreciate it.

speaker
Operator
Host

The next question is from Andy Barish with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andy Barish
Analyst at Jefferies

Hey, guys. And, yep, welcome back, Kevin. We've done the calls for a little while. Hey, Dan. Just on the on the calendar shift benefit within that guidance, again, without having to parse it too much, I'm assuming the negative impact of the third quarter flips around in the fourth quarter. And I know it doesn't fully offset an extra week. But can you give us some sense of sort of the, or at least what's what's going on with that, that shift in the 4Q?

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I think when you look at the impact in Q3, and there's a table in the earnings release that provides some color there if you haven't had a chance to digest that. The benefit in Q4 is going to be half of that or less, so certainly would not look at that as... It is hardly going to offset the 53rd week. The 53rd week had, you know, a $39 million impact in the prior year. And this fiscal week shifts, you know, maybe circa $5 million favorable impact in Q4. So I hope that provides some context. Yeah, very helpful.

speaker
Andy Barish
Analyst at Jefferies

And then just um maybe nitpicking here but obviously important as you move into 25 um you you didn't kind of give a you know sales increase in the fully programmed remodels and you know prior to now i think you guys have kind of said hey we need and are seeing a double digit in you know increase to justify the returns, uh, you know, on a, let's say a three and a half million dollar investment. So is there anything that you're seeing, you know, that that's not generating similar types of returns or are you just kind of, you know, being a little bit more conservative right now? I think that's, you know, that's an important area just to, to kind of, um, you know, help parse out here.

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, great question. What I'd say is our fully programmed remodels, our phase one remodels, which were the initial, call it proof of concept remodels, we are still seeing double digit growth in those locations. So we remain very pleased with how they're performing. The balance of the fully programmed remodels are seen mid to high single digit growth. What I'd say that we've learned is when we saw the success of those first remodels, we went into, hey, let's aggressively push these out. As we've done that, going through any of these programs, as you're probably aware, you pick up a lot of learnings along the way where you need to tweak things, where you need to modify. And so what we've learned is that there's opportunity for us to learn from how we roll out those initial four. You know, there's a lot of dedicated effort. There was plus-up marketing. There was additional training that when we started getting more aggressive at the rollout, we realized that those are really critical elements to really getting the best returns out of these. With that being said, we've had a lot of learnings and we are now making some changes to how we're messaging these. The awareness of the remodel is very critical. As we look at our phase three fully programmed remodels, we are going back and plussing up our marketing and messaging to more reflect what those first four were like and focusing on some of those areas that we really excelled at on those first four. We think that's really important as we move forward with this remodel program. So I think that's, so still like our returns, we think we can optimize those returns even more and we have a pathway that we think is the correct one to do that.

speaker
Andy Barish
Analyst at Jefferies

Okay, helpful. And then just finally, I know, you know, things are in flux and the, you know, the annual budget's probably being worked on, but there's some discussion of 60, you know, fully programmed remodels for fiscal year. Can you comment on that at this point, or would you rather hold off?

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I'd say we're still very committed to obviously getting the 44 done this year, and we're continuing to work with our board on what that cadence looks like for FY25. If we chose to, we could do 60 next year. I think we might take a little bit more judicious of an approach just to make sure that we can focus on delivering the right marketing, the right ops execution with it. But we're still very excited about this program. And I think next time we get together, we'll provide some more color on the quantum of remodels. But needless to say, it's still a very key initiative, and we're just working through what that right cadence looks like for 25. Okay.

speaker
Todd Brooks
Analyst at Benchmark Company

Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Host

The next question is from Sharon Zaxia with William Blair. Please go ahead.

speaker
Sharon Zaxia
Analyst at William Blair

Hi, thanks for taking the question. I guess I wanted to ask about the brand and kind of your research with your core customers on where the relevancy is of the brand at this point, where you think that can improve. And then on the remodels, I would be interested in hearing about the utilization of the social base.

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, sure. So, you know, the first question is, For both the brands, in terms of relevancy, we've done a lot of extensive consumer research over the last couple of years or so. Our consumers love our brands. And some of the most compelling feedback that we've gotten, which has influenced this remodel program and some of our other initiatives, is relevancy in terms of that entertainment innovation. The entertainment side is the key driver for the occasion for our guests, which is why it's important for us to deliver on that in the midway through incremental innovation from an entertainment side. So it's remarkably consistent over the years that our product offering has high appeal. And so we're very much aligning our strategy with that. In terms of your second question, in terms of the utilization of the social bays and the arenas, I think we see some differences on a store-by-store basis with our remodels. Our locations are not prototypical. It's a snowflake. They're all different. The placement of the social bays and the arenas in each one is a little bit different, but the number of social bays and arenas as well can differ. And that leads to different usage. And so we're continuing to learn how to further engage our guests with this new platform because it's a new form of entertainment for us. But we think we're just scratching the surface, quite frankly, even in our fully programmed locations that are performing incredibly well. We just think we're scratching the surface on the guest usage and awareness and traffic driving ability of these new forms of entertainment that we've put in place. So we think we can drive more and we've got the teams focused on that a lot from a training, from a staffing, from a pricing. from a length of gameplay to drive even more utilization.

speaker
Operator
Host

The next question is from Andrew Stelzik with BMO. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andrew Stelzik
Analyst at BMO

Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions. My first one, I know that you continue to talk about the strong returns you get on the new stores, but I guess just as kind of you're implementing all these things and doing the remodels and going down the path of repositioning the business. Is there any thought to pulling back on the store opening space temporarily to focus on the core for a period of time and kind of get the comps in the right place, improve the cash flow profile? I know you talked about kind of getting with the board to talk about capital allocation priorities. So I'm just wondering if there's any consideration to that.

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, it's a great question. At this moment, we would say no for a couple of reasons. Number one, we get phenomenal returns on our new store openings. And this is our standard size of the store, our smaller locations as we go into smaller markets. In existing or new markets, continuing just to get really, really great returns. Secondly, all the things that we're focused on right now, all the initiatives that we just walked through, while it's frustrating in this environment to not see the impact of all these green shoots poke through the macro environment, we are highly committed and highly confident that we're focused on all the right initiatives. And when that works in conjunction with our remodel program, with the right marketing messaging, the right innovation, the right ops execution, you know, we believe we're going to start seeing the results of that. So, you know, I think if you start having questions on that core strategy, that could lead you to allocate capital away from new stores. But we're not close to that right now and remain very confident in that.

speaker
Andrew Stelzik
Analyst at BMO

Okay. And then my other question is about the marketing optimization, which I think if I go back to the original Investor Day deck was identified as the biggest revenue and EBITDA opportunity amongst all the things that you guys had identified. And it sounds like we're kind of still a work in progress towards that. So from here, I guess, what's the pathway? When do we start to see that full expression of the marketing optimization really flow through and start to realize the benefits of that? How far away are we from that driver really playing out?

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, it's a great question. And I think we would say, admittedly, that has been one of the more challenging areas to address, I think, for a number of reasons. But we remain very optimistic that there is a lot to untap there. So what I'd say is that there has been a lot of learnings, particularly when we look at the condition of just the underlying infrastructure, the availability of actionable data, our analytics capability. That takes a while to build, and I think we probably underestimated the amount of work that went into doing that. Once you get that foundation laid and then you partner and we brought in a new agency, there was a number of things that we have learned and identified that we are now really starting to focus on. A few examples of that is media mix. We shifted from a media mix that had a good blend of linear offline and online, we really shifted to a 90% digital, 10% offline. And while that shift to digital was the right move, we likely overcorrected by completely eliminating TV entirety from our mix. We've been doing some tests in terms of linear. We've recently added some back to really drive top of the funnel awareness, which we believe is showing some really positive signs. How we allocated some of our spend across locations, we've learned that we weren't allocating that as smartly as we could. Kind of going back to my comment on remodels, we don't believe we were appropriately messaging all the great things that we had. And so we are looking at that balance shift between awareness and relevance. We're taking our latest round of fully programming remodels and heavying up on our spend there and starting to get some good some good returns, how we're setting the stage in terms of how we know if our digital spend is appropriately driving. Are we targeting that guest properly? And are they coming into our center after being delivered an impression? How we have looked at our loyalty program. and how we're shifting that. That being said, there's a lot here. There's a lot to unlock for us. I think we may have overcorrected in some areas. Setting that foundation took a little bit longer than we thought. But our confidence and optimism about what that strategy can unlock, we continue to be very passionate about. So I know I said a lot, but hopefully that provides some color that's helpful for you.

speaker
Operator
Host

The next question is from Dennis Geiger with UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Dennis Geiger
Analyst at UBS

Great. Thank you. I'm curious if you guys could talk at all about the Friendswood location, sort of just the latest update there as it relates to year two. And then if anything else to share on those remodels, I know it's early days for many of them, but just on the trajectory of the performance following the initial open, are they generally, especially phase one, are they generally tracking in line with or perhaps better than your expectations. Just how that's generally looked, if there's anything notable to call out there.

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Yeah, so Friendswood and we, I think, mentioned on the last call that began lapping its remodel from the prior year. And we continue to be pleased with its performance. Obviously, on a year-over-year basis, that has moderated, now that it's lapping, now that we're green over green. But we continue to be pleased with where that's settled in. Look, I think with any of these remodeled programs, it's not a linear view of the world where some There's some variance to how these things perform. Overall, we're continuing to see that strong growth and aren't seeing anything there that has led us to believe that it's a just a short-term burst that the guests are uninterested in. That's not what we're seeing at all. So we feel really good about that. Did you have another part to your question that I didn't address?

speaker
Dennis Geiger
Analyst at UBS

No, that's great. I appreciate that. Just the second unrelated question, if I could. Just in looking back at 3Q, thank you, in looking back at 3Q and you guys called out some of the the pressures, you know, some weather and different things, and clearly the macro. Just curious if any other notable observations are, you know, are the macro pressures still generally impacting visit patterns, spending patterns in a generally similar way? Again, if you kind of cut through some of the noise maybe on some of the call-ups that you mentioned, any kind of notable changes in those behaviors, visits, spending, et cetera, better, worse, generally similar? Thank you.

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, look, I'd say that macro environment, you know, at best just, you know, continues to be that headwind. You know, as mentioned previously, particularly that low-end consumer is really where we're feeling that decline to the extent that, you know, their spend, you know, is – is down twice as much as the other income quintiles. We're continuing to see that pressure on the consumer. Overall, from a trend perspective, I wouldn't say there's anything terribly meaningful from a trend change. From a regional performance perspective, we're seeing similar trend performance there. So I think it's just a little bit more of the same from a macro perspective from Q2 heading into Q3.

speaker
Operator
Host

The next question is from Todd Brooks with the Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

speaker
Todd Brooks
Analyst at Benchmark Company

Hey, thanks for taking my questions. First question, just following up on Dennis' question. Darren, if you look at kind of some of the pressures that you called out in the third quarter between the calendar, whether the remodels, can you size maybe what the bucket of that pressure meant from a same-store sales drag? And then on the remodel portion of that drag, are the remodels taking longer than expected? Or was it bigger than expected drag versus what you thought going into the quarter?

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so from a weather and remodel construction impact, we estimate about 50 to 100 basis points of pressure on our comps of down 7-7. And that comp of down 7-7 is on a like-for-like basis, so that ignores the noise from the calendar shift. So that's the biggest... That's the biggest call out in terms of the same store sales performance. And again, then you've got the macro impact. And then again, a lot of what I kind of walk through, particularly from a marketing perspective, in terms of the opportunities that we've identified after bringing in a new agency partner, Those changes and improvements and enhancements that we're making are gonna be into Q4, heading into Q1, so it's difficult to know what kind of impacts that sort of unoptimized sort of marketing had, but I'd say you know, heading into these ensuing periods, we feel good about what we're able to do to help sort of fight some of these macro headwinds.

speaker
Operator
Host

The next question is from Brian Beccaro with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

speaker
Brian Beccaro
Analyst at Raymond James

Thanks. Darren, you touched on it a little bit earlier, but your review of the advertising and the shift away from linear TV in recent years, I'm curious just how much of a role you think that's played in the company's negative comp performance, if there's a way to kind of frame that high level.

speaker
Darren Harper
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I can't speculate on what that impact might be. You just don't know a lot of times when you've had a brand that was very heavy linear to now You know, guardrail to guardrail goes very heavy digital, which, again, I think that shift was generally the right. But I think we're now trying to say, like, do we need to balance this better? And some of our testing is telling us, yeah, we need to balance that better because we might be missing a lot of that top of the funnel, you know, which the brand is focused on, notwithstanding having very high brand awareness. So I can't speculate on what that impact will be. I think that the biggest test will be as we rebalance it, we'll see what our performance looks like moving forward. And we feel like there's a lot of opportunity there.

speaker
Operator
Host

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Kevin Sheehan for any closing remarks.

speaker
Kevin Sheehan
Chairman of the Board and Interim CEO

Hey, thank you, Operator, and thank all of you for joining. We look forward to speaking with you again soon, and in the meantime, happy holidays from our families to yours. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Host

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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