Playtika Holding Corp.

Q4 2023 Earnings Conference Call

2/26/2024

speaker
Operator
Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Platica fourth quarter 2023 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Taley, Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance and Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
speaker
Taley
Welcome, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for the fourth quarter 2023 earnings call for Platica Holding Corp. Joining me on the call today are Robert Anticall, co-founder and CEO of Platica, and Craig Abrams, Platica's President and Chief Financial Officer. I'd like to remind you that today's discussion may contain forward-looking statements, including but not limited to the company's anticipated future revenue and operating performance. These statements and other comments are not a guarantee of future performance, but rather are subject to risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond our control. These forward-looking statements apply as of today, and you should not rely on them as representing our views in the future. We undertake no obligation to update these statements after this call. We have posted an accompanying slide deck to our investor relations website, which contains information on forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures, and we will also post our prepared remarks immediately following the call. For a more complete discussion of the risks and uncertainties, please see our filings with the FCC. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Robert.
speaker
Robert Anticall
Good morning, and thank you, everyone, for joining our call today. I would like to begin by expressing my pride in how our employees and businesses have performed over the past year. While the year had many unexpected challenges for us to navigate as a company, it was a year of successful acquisition of two studios, increasing efficiency, continuous growth into direct-to-consumer platforms, and increasing focus to our largest and growing franchise as we shifted more of our U.S. spending to our category's leading games. I'm pleased to announce that despite revenue headwinds, we outperform our guidance on revenues and credits adjusted EBITDA. Our agility in adapting and optimizing operations in this challenging market has not only enabled us to navigate obstacles, but also to surpass our expectations. In the face of these headwinds, 23 was the year of efficiency for Playtica. This transformation has empowered us to move faster and to make quicker decisions, which I believe will allow us to revamp our business and to get back to sustainable growth. Our commitment to efficiency is not just about doing more with less. It is about empowering our people to sharpen our competitive edge. This approach was critical as the mobile gaming industry continues to navigate challenges due in part to privacy updates affecting the marketing and monetization of games. I want to emphasize that despite the revenue headwinds we faced, there were bright spots throughout the quarter. Our casual games grew 2% Q over Q, and 5.5% year over year, led by growth in June journey, which grew 1.8% Q over Q, and 33.3% year over year. This success shows the strength and critical importance of our portfolio strategy, enabling us to navigate market challenges and capitalize on the opportunity for growth. As we look forward to the future, we have now positioned ourselves for critical phase of the reinvestment. We are setting in motion our new capital allocation framework, which includes initiation of dividends and intention to deploy between $600 million to $1.2 billion in M&A over the next three years. Our recent acquisition, Animal and Coins and Governor of Poker, have demonstrated consistent month-over-month growth, reinforcing our belief in growing our game portfolio through M&A. I believe mobile gaming is a pivotal point, with several trends pushing the need for consolidations. Our track record speaks for itself, with previous acquisitions driving growth and profitability since I co-founded the company over 13 years ago. In the evolving landscape of mobile gaming, I believe our commitment to M&A will retain the company to growth. Finally, I would address an important decision regarding our strategic alternative process. Our current global landscape is unpredictable. especially due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts in Israel and Ukraine. These conflicts have introduced a level of uncertainty that has impacted the process, and the board has decided to pause the evaluation of strategic alternatives.
speaker
Clark
I will now turn it over to Craig. Thank you, Robert.
speaker
Craig
As Robert mentioned, 2023 was the year of efficiency for Platica. The strategic decisions that we've made as a company over the last year have further streamlined our operations and enhanced our ability to generate free cash flow. Supported by our strong financial position, I am pleased to introduce our capital allocation framework, focusing on maximizing shareholder value and ensuring our growth is sustained. Our goal is to deploy $600 million to $1.2 billion in M&A to enhance our portfolio and leadership position. as well as return capital to shareholders. In line with this strategy, we plan to make significant investments in performance marketing for our newly acquired growth title, Animals and Coins. While this approach is expected to lead to some margin erosion in the near term, it is designed to enhance long-term revenue potential. Furthermore, we remain committed to strategically deploying incremental investments in performance marketing across selected titles within our core portfolio. Our aim here is to seize opportunities to gain market share and drive profitable growth. Our approach is grounded in a long-term vision for success, and we are confident in the strength and potential of our GAIN portfolio. Alongside our focus on M&A to drive growth and diversification, we are pleased to announce the initiation of a quarterly dividend starting in the first quarter of 2024, subject to quarterly board approval. We're the target of $150 million per year in dividends, representing an annualized yield of just over 5% based on our last four-week average share price. Beyond our dividend program, we're looking at other opportunities to enhance shareholder returns, including a share repurchase program in the future. We are committed to a balanced approach in our capital allocation strategy, aiming to invest in growth opportunities, maintain a strong and healthy balance sheet, and return capital to shareholders. Turning to our financial results. For the year, we achieved financial results above our guidance range. We generated $2.567 billion of revenue, down 1.9% year-over-year, $235 million of gap net income, compared to $275.3 million of gap net income in 2022, and $832.2 million of credit adjusted EBITDA, an increase of 3.4% year-over-year. Our credit adjusted EBITDA margin was 32.4% compared to 30.8% in 2022. We generated $436.4 million of free cash flow, an increase of 13.7% year over year. We define free cash flow as cash flow from operating activities minus capital expenditures. We spent $79.2 million in capital expenditures, which includes purchase of property and equipment, capitalization of internal use software costs, and purchase of software for internal use. In addition, we accrued for an additional $17 million of purchases of property and equipment in Q4-23 that will be paid in Q1 of 24. For the quarter, we generated $637.9 million of revenue, up 1.2% sequentially and up 1.1% year-over-year. Net income was $37.3 million, down 1.6% sequentially, and down 57.4% year over year. Credit adjusted EBITDA was $188.9 million, down 8.1% sequentially, and down 6.8% year over year. Our credit adjusted EBITDA margin was 29.6% in the quarter, compared to 32.6% in Q3 and 32.1% in Q4 last year. We generated $161.6 million in revenue from our direct-to-consumer platforms, up 0.4% sequentially and up 7.6% year-over-year. Our direct-to-consumer business now makes up 25.3% of our overall revenues. Last year, we added Solitaire Grand Harvest and June's Journey to our web store, and this year we'll be adding both titles to additional D2C platforms starting in the second quarter. Turning now to our business results for the quarter. Revenue across our casual themed games grew 2% sequentially and 5.5% year-over-year. Year-over-year growth in June's Journey, Solitaire Grand Harvest, and Redecor was offset by weakness in other casual titles, such as Best Beans and Borg Kings. We also benefited from a full quarter's contribution of Animals and Coins, where we are pleased to see consecutive months of sequential growth in the quarter. Bingo Blitz revenue was $150.3 million, up 0.4% sequentially and down 3.1% year-over-year. We are pleased to see a positive shift in financial performance for Bingo as the studio improves sequentially quarter-over-quarter, following a few quarters of sequential decline. The team launched several new projects in the quarter that contributed to the positive performance. such as a new daily layer chase, addition of rolling purchase offers, and a redesign of the core collection experience in the game, which helps strengthen the social experience. June's Journey revenue was $77.6 million, up 1.8% sequentially, and up 33.3% year-over-year. June's Journey became our third highest grossing gain by revenue in the past quarter. June's Journey is the highest-grossing hidden object game worldwide and recently surpassed the $1 billion lifetime revenue mark. Our dedication to a player-focused philosophy has elevated June's Journey to the forefront of the story-driven casual gaming genre. By providing a deeply engaging narrative within the expansion universe of June, the game offers a captivating experience for our players. Throughout its evolution, we have regularly rolled out new features and expansions, ensuring that there is something for everyone. Fans in the narrative can explore further with additional side stories, social gamers can collaborate with their club members on solving mysteries, and those in search of a challenge can test their skills in competitive events. We have an unwavering commitment to our players and the June's Journey community, and we look forward to continuing to enrich their gaming experience for years to come.
speaker
Robert
Now over to our social casino themed games.
speaker
Craig
Social casino themed game revenue was down 0.2% sequentially. and down 4.6% year over year. Sequential performance benefited from a full quarter's contribution from our newly acquired Yuta Studio. Slotomania revenue was $136.9 million, down 3.6% sequentially and down 8.3% year over year. Despite maintaining its position as the number one game in the slot genre, it's important for us to acknowledge that some of our peers have gained share at our expense. This shift can be partially attributed to our own strategic decision to reallocate some of our performance marketing dollars towards other opportunities in our portfolio. While this was a calculated move aimed at diversifying our growth avenues and enhancing our overall position on the market, it has contributed to the market share loss of Slotomania. We recognize the importance of Slotomania to our portfolio and its role in driving consistent revenue margins, and we plan to increase our user acquisition spending this year for Slotomania. This revenue mix shift from declines in a higher margin title like Slotomania to revenue growth from our casual games, including animals and coins, will have an impact on our margins this year. I will reiterate that 2024 will be a year of reinvestment for Playtika, and we look forward to sharing our progress in the coming quarters. Turning to marketing. Our recent launch of several celebrity-studied campaigns underscores our leadership in leveraging partnerships to amplify our games appeal. Historically, we have embraced offline campaigns as a key component of our marketing strategy, consistently demonstrating our ability to engage audiences through high-profile partnerships. In the past quarter, we introduced campaigns featuring Sarah Jessica Parker for Solitaire Grand Harvest, Jason Alexander for World Series of Poker, and continued our partnership with Drew Barrymore for Mingle Blitz and Ty Pennington for Caesars Casino. These initiatives underscore our commitment to providing our players with an engaging and immersive playing experience. Alongside our celebrity endorsements, we are also launching the New Year New Slotomania campaign to celebrate in-game redesigns and new features within Slotomania. Turning now to specific line items in our P&L for the fourth quarter. Cost of revenue decreased 0.2% year-over-year and operating expenses increased 4.8% year-over-year. R&D decreased 14.9% year-over-year. The decline in R&D was driven by lower headcount and savings from lower discretionary spending across the company. Sales and marketing was up 24.6% year-over-year. The increase was driven primarily by investments that we made in animals and coins in Governor Poker 3. We also had slightly more performance marketing spend this quarter versus the prior year in our organic portfolio due to timing of some of our performance marketing campaigns. G&A expenses increased by 2.5% year over year. As of December 31st, we had approximately $1 billion in cash and cash equivalents. Looking at our operational metrics, average DPU increased 2.3% sequentially and decreased 2.2% year over year. Average DAU increased 2.4% sequentially and decreased 2.3% year over year. ARPDAU was 80 cents in the quarter, a decrease of 1.2% sequentially, and an increase of 2.6% year-over-year. Turning now to our guidance and financial outlook for 2024. We expect to deliver full-year revenue between $2.52 billion and $2.62 billion. As we selectively ramp up our performance marketing spending for our portfolio, we expect credit adjusted EBITDA between $730 million and $770 million. We expect to deploy $110 to $115 million in capital expenditures, which includes $17 million in accrued capital expenditures from Q4 23 that will be paid in fiscal year 2024. As we conclude our prepared remarks, I want to emphasize the journey we've embarked on the past few years. Our focus has been on streamlining our operations, enhancing our agility, and positioning ourselves as a resilient force and acquirer of best-in-class assets in the mobile gaming industry. This strategic refinement has enabled us to pivot towards a period of reinvestment in our core business and execute on M&A opportunities. Simultaneously, we remain focused on generating strong free cash flows Our financial discipline ensures that we maintain the ability to return capital to our shareholders through ongoing quarterly dividends alongside pursuing growth opportunities for the portfolio.
speaker
Robert
Thank you for your continued trust and support, and we'll now take your questions.
speaker
Operator
As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 1 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 1 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster.
speaker
spk23
Our first question comes from the line of Aaron Lee with Macquarie.
speaker
Operator
Aaron, your line is now open.
speaker
Aaron
Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my question, guys. Appreciate all the colors so far. I wanted to start by digging into guidance for a bit. So, obviously, your guidance are basically flat and then lower EBITDA and margins. Can you just help us understand, is that delta in EBITDA all from the incremental marketing for your recent acquisition? And, you know, what do you have baked into those figures just in terms of marketing for the rest of their portfolio, what you're assuming returns from those investments, and any general impact from macro or geopolitical events? Thanks.
speaker
Craig
Sure. Thanks for the question, Aaron. So as we take a step back and we look at the industry more broadly, obviously the changes in the advertising world has affected how people purchase media as well as investing in new games. I think for us, there's two things going on. One, there's a need for us to spend more on some of our legacy titles as well as our acquired titles. And two, there's a mix shift going on where we've seen growth in the casual titles and declines in the casino-themed titles. And the casino-themed titles have a higher margin and some of them have a higher percentage direct-to-consumer as well. And so as we look at that flow through, there's impact there as well as an increase in marketing for the organic titles as well as the newly acquired titles.
speaker
Aaron
Gotcha. Okay. And then on the M&A target you guys put out there, can you put any guardrails around that for us in terms of how you're thinking about the sizes of acquisitions and what areas we'll be targeting? And do you expect that to be more front-end loaded or back-end loaded? Thank you.
speaker
Craig
Sure. So I think for us, we've always been opportunistic. I think we've communicated in the past the right cadence is probably one to two transactions a year, depending on what's available in the marketplace. We do see this environment as one that is a great setup for consolidation, the maturing of the market, the difficulty a lot of the smaller companies have with the advertising market. And so we think we're well positioned. We have a billion dollars in cash. We have a $600 million credit facility. The target that we gave really looks at around 50% of our cash being used for M&A and the other 50% being used for capital return, and we think this is a very balanced approach to grow the portfolio as well as return capital to our shareholders.
speaker
spk07
Okay, got it. Thank you very much.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Colin Sebastian with Baird.
speaker
Colin Sebastian
Thanks, and good morning, good evening. I think you mentioned expanding the number of DDC platforms you're utilizing this year. So first off, just curious if you could expand maybe on what those are and what you're anticipating from those platforms. And then as a follow-up on the M&A, I guess what are you seeing in the market that gives you visibility to spend to that level on consolidation? Are there specific trends or specific studios that you're observing that gives you that visibility or something else? Thank you.
speaker
Robert Anticall
Hey, thanks for the question. So, regarding the D2C platform, as we always said in the few other calls before, we are growing this, we have a target. One important thing, changing the focus of profitability become, you know, in the last few quarters become harder, so we are now going to focus more on our D2C platform. We're going to bring more of the games And for us, it's going to be one of our main targets. You know, Platica was the first company in the industry that started with the D2C. For us, it was always an advantage. We see it right now as a big advantage. It gives us a lot of flexibility about things that we are doing. So, again, this is one of our main focuses. And, by the way, regarding your question about M&As, Again, having a D2C platform is giving us big advantage of acquiring companies, acquiring games to make their profitability much better with the D2C platform. Regarding the target, as Craig said before, we are opportunistic and we are looking at all around the market. We're speaking to all the players. We know everything that's happening from the small games that started two months ago to the big games that are running already 12 years. And as we did last year, two good acquisitions, this is our target for this year. And we are very optimistic about it. Thank you.
speaker
Colin Sebastian
That's helpful. Thanks. Maybe one quick follow-up on D2C. Is your... Is your goal for the percent of bookings or revenues coming from DTC channels, has that changed at all recently, or do you have the same target out there?
speaker
Robert Anticall
No, it's not changing. As we said, it's not changed. But, you know, the market is changing, and it's not everything like it was before today. I think 30%, this is where we are looking to be. This is our target. We believe we will get to this target. And after we achieve 30%, we can speak about the next target.
speaker
spk20
Okay. Thanks, Robert.
speaker
Robert Anticall
Sure.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Omar Dessouki with Bank of America. Hi.
speaker
Omar Dasuki
Thanks so much for taking the question. So, first of all, just a quick housekeeping question. When you said 50% of your cash to M&A, the other 50% to capital return, are you referring to the cash on the balance sheet or the free cash flow, or which metric specifically are you referring to?
speaker
Craig
Free cash flow. In terms of ongoing free cash flow, that's our target.
speaker
Omar Dasuki
Got it. Okay. When you say capital return, obviously a couple of ways you could do that. Just wondering why you decided to initiate a dividend rather than reduce debt or start the buyback. That's the second question. And then I have one follow up on your M&A targets.
speaker
Craig
We looked at a balanced approach of both investing in M&A as well as dividends and exploring buybacks. And so I think it's a balanced mix. And that's where we came out.
speaker
Omar Dasuki
Understood. Got it. Great. And so the explanation of kind of how much capital you could deploy, super helpful. Could you give us some more sense of maybe what some of your investment metrics might be? For example, things like cash on cash return for your investments, payback period, things like that, just so we can get a sense of, as you go through these acquisitions, what we should expect for your financial performance down the road as these incremental acquisitions layer in.
speaker
Craig
I think we've been focused historically on acquiring assets that attract the EBITDA multiples and leveraging our operational expertise and know-how to help expand that EBITDA over time. And as we do that, the effect of multiple comes down. and look to do accretive transactions that are creating value. And so I think every transaction, depending on the segment of the market it operates in as well as what stage it is in its maturity, will have different goals and objectives. But obviously the underlying goal is creation of equity value.
speaker
spk03
Understood. Thanks a lot. Appreciate it.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Brian Fitzgerald with Wells Fargo.
speaker
Brian Fitzgerald
Thanks, guys. A couple quick ones. Wondering if you give any sense for how the two recently acquired titles, Governor of Poker 3, Animals and Coins, performed in 4Q or maybe help us size the top line contribution from those two?
speaker
Craig
Yeah, so as we noted in the prepared remarks, we saw consecutive growth throughout the fourth quarter, which is very encouraging. We're very pleased with the initial results from both of those acquisitions. In terms of the contributions, those are in our 10K, which has just been filed. I don't have the exact number in front of me right now.
speaker
Brian Fitzgerald
Okay, appreciate it. And then maybe as a follow-up to the D2C questions, curious to hear your thoughts on on Apple's recent concessions on app store fees, DMA implementation, and is that impacting or maybe accelerating your focus on D2C? Or no, we've always been focused on D2C. It's a known strategy. But any reads on, hey, what Apple's and DMA are metering through your thought process?
speaker
Robert Anticall
So thanks for the question. So this is really early to say. It only started a few weeks ago. We are still learning. We're still trying to understand exactly the benefits, how to work with this. It's not changing the strategy that we had in the past and we have right now with the D2C platform. It's not a connection to each other. But again, it's a very interesting move of Apple. I think in a few weeks, a few months, we will know exactly how it's going to benefit the company and in which way. Thanks.
speaker
Robert
Great. Thanks, Robert. Thanks, Greg.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Our next question will come from the line of Drew Crum with Stifel.
speaker
spk09
Okay, thanks. Hey, guys. Craig, just to go back to your earlier comments on credit adjusted EBITDA this year, do you see 2024 as a trough for the business or is there further downside beyond this year given some of the puts and takes you referenced?
speaker
Craig
Yeah, I think obviously this year is a year of reinvestment in the portfolio. I think we're hopeful that we can stabilize the casino-themed titles and continue to grow The casual titles, you know, the incentive and compensation plan does end in 24, and so there should be a net benefit from that ending going into 25. But we are not giving guidance beyond 24 at this stage.
speaker
spk09
Okay, fair enough. And then just a housekeeping item. Anything contemplated in your revenue guidance range for 2024 in terms of M&A, you know, that $600 million to $1.2 billion?
speaker
Craig
Yeah, M&A is, future M&A is not included in our guide.
speaker
Clark
Is not. Got it. Okay. Thanks.
speaker
spk23
Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Doug Kreutz with TD Cowan.
speaker
Doug Kreutz
Hey, thank you. Several quarters ago, you guys made the decision to pause internal game development because you, you know, set a tough, tough, tough market conditions making it hard to launch new games in the last few quarters we've seen some of your competitors launch some very successful new games so just wondered if you revisited that decision you know what your feeling is on new game development at this point thank you so thanks for the question first we are really happy to see even our competitors launching good games because it's still saying that the market is good so for me every
speaker
Robert Anticall
Everything that's happening, I'm always trying to see what is the benefit for us and what is the benefit for the market. So first, it's saying that the market is healthy. Second, we never had a good history of developing new games. It's not a secret. It's not dependent if the environment is good or bad. It's never been our DNA. Yes, we tried. We tried many things as a company, as a big company that's always trying, but it's never been our DNA. Our DNA was always M&As, and we did very well with M&As in the last 10 years. And I'm not saying that we're not going to have any kind of experience with new gains, but it's not the main focus. And our main focus, again, is M&As. This is where we are looking, and I believe we're going to do one or two deals. I hope even better than the deal that we did last year that was a really good deal. That's it. Thanks.
speaker
spk12
Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Clark Lampin with BTIG.
speaker
Clark Lampin
Thanks. I got a question. I want to come back to, I guess, the plan to increase performance marketing spend next year. Craig, could you give us a little bit more color around, I guess, sort of why now? If you look at, I guess, your advertising spend for the last couple of years, it's been pretty consistent. after a step up that we saw in 21, both in aggregate and as a percentage of revenue. And I'm curious if there's something that you saw with your spend maybe in the back half of the year where it started to perform better or you're reallocating the mix. You know, if the budget is growing, is it shifting in a new way or should we imagine that this is going to be mostly, you know, sort of offline television campaigns or any, I guess, incremental color you could provide would be helpful.
speaker
Craig
Yeah, sure. So obviously the biggest driver is Animal Insulin Coins, which is a title that we acquired last year and are ramping up growth there. I think in terms of what we called out in the prepared remarks, we are looking at investing more in Slotomania. That is a competitive market where competitors are fighting for market share. And so we saw the need to invest more there. And then in terms of strategically, we have selected other titles that we look to invest in to support growth. So I think, you know, the biggest change in terms of year over year is clearly to support the acquired titles. Got it.
speaker
Clark Lampin
And from our seat, we and investors, I guess, as we're trying to measure the ROI on that spend going forward, should it be, if you guys are successful with the incremental allocation, will it be primarily driving stronger inorganic growth? Or is there another way that we should try to evaluate that on a go forward basis?
speaker
Craig
We consider that part of our organic growth, and it's a part of operating our organic portfolio. I think we make changes based on the marketplace where we see opportunities, we invest more, and where we don't have the returns that justify those, we pull back. I don't think there's more specificity that we can provide on this call, unfortunately. Okay.
speaker
Clark Lampin
Okay, that's helpful. And then just one quick one and I'll get out of the way. If we think about, I guess, this sort of broader capital allocation framework, you guys talked about, I guess, sort of market and geopolitical factors that, you know, sort of led you to move away from your strategic review. If we assume that some of those other factors are also weighing on competitors of yours and the market doesn't end up, I guess, as fluid or you don't see the M&A opportunities that you hope for accruing, is the sort of pool of free cash flow fungible in any way? If we were thinking about that sort of previous 50-50 split, if the pipeline isn't maybe as robust and you can't execute on some of the things that you would like, would you consider from one year to the next tilting more of that cash flow allocation towards capital return? Thank you.
speaker
Craig
Yeah. So, Clark, I would try and disaggregate that. I think there's three separate concepts going on there. I think the first is is the decision that was made to pause strategic alternatives. And it was cited that there was geopolitical factors tied to that decision. Separately is the M&A environment, which for us, most of the acquisition targets we look at are, there's some in Israel, but also outside of Israel. And we have not seen that necessarily impacting our ability to go out and do diligence and explore opportunities for transactions. And the third concept is capital allocation, which I believe is pretty independent of the first one. And the second one, 50% of capital allocation is dedicated to M&A, and the other 50% is to capital returns, both dividends and exploring the idea of buybacks. And so I don't think that they're necessarily tied there. Obviously, folks that operate in those regions, some have been impacted and obviously have had to make adjustments, as we have. to ensure operations are not affected.
speaker
Clark
Thank you.
speaker
spk23
Our next question will come from the line of Eric Sheridan with Goldman Sachs.
speaker
Eric Sheridan
Thanks so much. Maybe a two-parter following up on Clark's question. First, in terms of what you've learned as the volatile over the last couple of years. What are the key learnings in terms of driving incremental ROI that you're taking out of the 2022-23 period that informs your marketing strategies going into 24 and beyond? And then looking into 24 and beyond, how should we be thinking about elements that could increase ROI like scale as you execute on the M&A strategy, AI becoming a larger component of marketing overall or other elements that could sort of amplify ROI over the medium to long term. Thanks so much.
speaker
Clark
Hi, it's Nir Korchak, Platica CMO. So first and foremost, we need to understand that we have a very wide range of different games. And for each game, obviously, we build a tailor-made marketing strategy. So when we look at the market, we need to understand also the competition and also what we want to achieve for the long term. So What we are basically trying to understand, sometimes the ecosystem is changing, as you mentioned before, the competition become a bit tougher and we need to spend a bit more in different strategy. So always we adjust our strategy towards area where we believe that for the long term we will provide the best ROI. So that's for the first part of the question. The second part, what we are basically doing for leveraging technology and AI. So it really depends on the different sources and of course what's going on in the platform. So at the end of the day, what we are trying to achieve, we are trying to create a very diverse portfolio with diverse sources so that we will not rely on any specific source. And we are trying to push the one with the highest ROI, obviously, and see over there whether we can leverage technology and improve our results. So that's our strategy. And, of course, Taylor made it for each one of the games differently.
speaker
Clark
Thank you.
speaker
spk23
Our next question will come from the line of Matthew Cost with Morgan Stanley.
speaker
Matthew Cost
Hi, everybody. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe I'll start just by asking about what you're seeing in the broader mobile gaming market because we have seen some steps up in consumer confidence over the past couple of months. I'm wondering if you're seeing any change in consumer behavior either late last year or into this year. particularly because as you lean into marketing, you're also expecting revenue roughly flat year on year. So do you expect to be outperforming a down market in line with a flat market? How should we think about what that guidance means relative to the broader backdrop? And then I have one follow-up. Thank you.
speaker
Craig
Sure. So I do believe the macroeconomic environment has been tricky over the last few years, but I think it's we've really seen titles that are able to execute on the roadmaps are successful and grow. And if you look at our casual portfolios of five and a half percent last year, and if you look at, you know, where we've struggled, it's been some of the more competitive categories like with the slot theme games. And so I think, you know, I think some of that is not necessarily based on what's happening more broadly in the environment, but I think been more affected by changes in the advertising ecosystem, uh, which affects the ROI of, of acquired traffic. And so I think that, It's probably been the biggest impact to the mobile game industry rather than consumer discretionary spending. We've always thought that mobile gaming is one of the more resilient areas within the economic environment. And so I think it's really more based on what's happening in the ad environment than the macroeconomic environment at this stage.
speaker
Matthew Cost
Okay, thank you. So there was, obviously, I think you noted it very, very well in the prepared remarks about a step up in marketing in the fourth quarter. You've historically seen kind of an opportunity in the first quarter every year to lean into marketing. Should we expect that same seasonality where there's like a meaningful, sequential step up in your marketing spend in the first quarter this year?
speaker
Clark
So hi, it's Nir again. So obviously, we are well familiar with the seasonality around the marketing, and I believe that you saw what we did at the end of the year. We launched five new campaigns basically at the end of the year and trying to start the year strong. Obviously, I cannot elaborate about the results of the campaign, but we are very bullish about our strategy and how we see things forward. Thank you. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Jason Bazinet with Citi.
speaker
Jason Bazinet
Thanks. I just had a question about these ad changes that I think you're referring to Android and Apple. Maybe you could just unpack it a bit for us, because when I look at your revenues, they're sort of flat. Your ad outlays are sort of flat. Like it's not obvious that these changes have sort of diminished your financials. And yet you guys are talking about it as if it might be sort of it has been a big change and it's going to be a big change. So do you mind just sort of fleshing that out a bit?
speaker
Craig
Sure. So I think we're referencing it as we look at guidance for 2024, um, as we're making incremental investments. Um, and I think we've always been, um, you know, very transparent with the trends that we've seen in the marketplace and how it's, uh, how it's impacting us. And so I think this is, this is no different, um, you know, ramping up spending animal and coins impacts margins. And I think as for the rest of the portfolio, you know, we saw the need for selected titles to continue to ramp up investment. And so that combined with some of the mixed shift has impacted our guidance for next year.
speaker
spk22
But I think in terms of historically, we've been very good at leveraging offline campaigns and doing a variety of different things to ensure that we're able to navigate a changing environment.
speaker
Jason Bazinet
Okay. And if you had to parse the sort of decision on your part to sort of lean into animals and coins and spend more in marketing as opposed to the Android Apple changes that are happening in the ecosystem. Is there a way to parse that out in terms of the impact on your EBITDA guidance for next year?
speaker
spk22
Yeah, there is not.
speaker
Jason Bazinet
Okay.
speaker
Clark
Thank you.
speaker
spk23
Our next question will come from the line of Eric Handler with Roth MKM.
speaker
Eric Handler
Good morning.
speaker
spk17
Thanks for the question. Craig wanted to talk about, you know, when you look at your fourth quarter results relative to consensus, you had a nice top line B, but EBITDA was just in line. And I'm curious, was that a reflex? Obviously, marketing dollars was the big reason for that. But what type of how fast are you getting a return? off of your advertising? Do you see an instant lift or does it take one quarter, two quarters? How should we think about that?
speaker
Craig
Sure. So, you know, you are correct in that we leaned into marketing to invest in the fourth quarter, but again, came out above consensus on both revenue and EBITDA. I think, so we look to make return investments in a variety of games. They all have different payback periods. Obviously, some of the newer, fresher titles can have payback periods. In a matter of months, some of the legacy titles can take over a year, depending on the title. So I think we have our own targets. It's different by title, by platform, by jurisdiction, and we invest towards those targets.
speaker
spk18
Great. Thank you very much.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Hello. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. music music Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Platica fourth quarter 2023 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Taley, Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance and Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
speaker
Taley
Welcome, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for the fourth quarter 2023 earnings call for Platica Holding Corp. Joining me on the call today are Robert Anticall, co-founder and CEO of Platica, and Craig Abrams, Platica's President and Chief Financial Officer. I'd like to remind you that today's discussion may contain forward-looking statements, including but not limited to the company's anticipated future revenue and operating performance. These statements and other comments are not a guarantee of future performance, but rather are subject to risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond our control. These forward-looking statements apply as of today, and you should not rely on them as representing our views in the future. We undertake no obligation to update these statements after this call. We have posted an accompanying slide deck to our investor relations website, which contains information on forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures, and we will also post our prepared remarks immediately following the call. For a more complete discussion of the risks and uncertainties, please see our filings with the FCC. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Robert.
speaker
Robert Anticall
Good morning, and thank you, everyone, for joining our call today. I would like to begin by expressing my pride in how our employees and businesses have performed over the past year. While the year had many unexpected challenges for us to navigate as a company, it was a year of successful acquisition of two studios, increasing efficiency, continuous growth into direct-to-consumer platforms, and increasing focus to our largest and growing franchise as we shifted more of our U.S. spending to our category's leading games. I'm pleased to announce that despite revenue headwinds, we outperformed our guidance on revenues and credits adjusted EBITDA. Our agility in adapting and optimizing operations in this challenging market has not only enabled us to navigate obstacles, but also to surpass our expectations. In the face of these headwinds, 23 was the year of efficiency for Playtica. This transformation has empowered us to move faster and to make quicker decisions, which I believe will allow us to revamp our business and to get back to sustainable growth. Our commitment to efficiency is not just about doing more with less. It is about empowering our people to sharpen our competitive edge. This approach was critical as the mobile gaming industry continues to navigate challenges due in part to privacy updates affecting the marketing and monetization of games. I want to emphasize that despite the revenue headwinds we faced, there were bright spots throughout the quarter. Our casual games grew 2% Q over Q and 5.5% year over year, led by growth in June journey, which grew 1.8% Q over Q and 33.3% year over year. This success shows the strength and critical importance of our portfolio strategy, enabling us to navigate market challenges and capitalize on the opportunity for growth. As we look forward to the future, we have now positioned ourselves for critical phase of the reinvestment. We are setting in motion our new capital allocation framework, which includes initiation of dividends and intention to deploy between $600 million to $1.2 billion in M&A over the next three years. Our recent acquisition, Animal & Coins and Governor of Poker, have demonstrated consistent month-over-month growth, reinforcing our belief in growing our game portfolio through M&A. I believe mobile gaming is a pivotal point, with several trends pushing the need for consolidation. Our track record speaks for itself, with previous acquisitions driving growth and profitability since I co-founded the company over 13 years ago. In the evolving landscape of mobile gaming, I believe our commitment to M&A will retain the company to growth. Finally, I would address an important decision regarding our strategic alternative process. Our current global landscape is unpredictable. especially due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts in Israel and Ukraine. These conflicts have introduced a level of uncertainty that has impacted the process, and the board has decided to pause the evaluation of strategic alternatives.
speaker
Clark
I will now turn it over to Craig. Thank you, Robert.
speaker
Craig
As Robert mentioned, 2023 was the year of efficiency for Platica. The strategic decisions that we've made as a company over the last year have further streamlined our operations and enhanced our ability to generate free cash flow. Supported by our strong financial position, I am pleased to introduce our capital allocation framework, focusing on maximizing shareholder value and ensuring our growth is sustained. Our goal is to deploy $600 million to $1.2 billion in M&A to enhance our portfolio and leadership position. as well as return capital to shareholders. In line with this strategy, we plan to make significant investments in performance marketing for our newly acquired growth title, Animals and Coins. While this approach is expected to lead to some margin erosion in the near term, it is designed to enhance long-term revenue potential. Furthermore, we remain committed to strategically deploying incremental investments in performance marketing across selected titles within our core portfolio. Our aim here is to seize opportunities to gain market share and drive profitable growth. Our approach is grounded in a long-term vision for success, and we are confident in the strength and potential of our game portfolio. Alongside our focus on M&A to drive growth and diversification, we are pleased to announce the initiation of a quarterly dividend starting in the first quarter of 2024, subject to quarterly board approval. We're the target of $150 million per year in dividends, representing an annualized yield of just over 5% based on our last four-week average share price. Beyond our dividend program, we're looking at other opportunities to enhance shareholder returns, including a share repurchase program in the future. We are committed to a balanced approach in our capital allocation strategy, aiming to invest in growth opportunities, maintain a strong and healthy balance sheet, and return capital to shareholders. Turning to our financial results. For the year, we achieved financial results above our guidance range. We generated $2.567 billion of revenue, down 1.9% year-over-year, $235 million of gap net income, compared to $275.3 million of gap net income in 2022, and $832.2 million of credit adjusted EBITDA, an increase of 3.4% year-over-year. Our credit adjusted EBITDA margin was 32.4% compared to 30.8% in 2022. We generated $436.4 million of free cash flow, an increase of 13.7% year over year. We define free cash flow as cash flow from operating activities minus capital expenditures. We spent $79.2 million in capital expenditures, which includes purchase of property and equipment, capitalization of internal use software costs, and purchase of software for internal use. In addition, we accrued for an additional $17 million of purchases of property and equipment in Q4 23 that will be paid in Q1 of 24. For the quarter, we generated $637.9 million of revenue, up 1.2% sequentially and up 1.1% year-over-year. Net income was $37.3 million, down 1.6% sequentially, and down 57.4% year over year. Credit adjusted EBITDA was $188.9 million, down 8.1% sequentially, and down 6.8% year over year. Our credit adjusted EBITDA margin was 29.6% in the quarter, compared to 32.6% in Q3 and 32.1% in Q4 last year. We generated $161.6 million in revenue from our direct-to-consumer platforms, up 0.4% sequentially and up 7.6% year-over-year. Our direct-to-consumer business now makes up 25.3% of our overall revenues. Last year, we added Solitaire Grand Harvest and June's Journey to our web store, and this year, we'll be adding both titles to additional D2C platforms starting in the second quarter. Turning now to our business results for the quarter. Revenue across our casual themed games grew 2% sequentially and 5.5% year-over-year. Year-over-year growth in June's Journey, Solitaire Grand Harvest, and Redecor was offset by weakness in other casual titles, such as Best Beans and Borg Kings. We also benefited from a full quarter's contribution of Animals and Coins, where we are pleased to see consecutive months of sequential growth in the quarter. Bingo Blitz revenue was $150.3 million, up 0.4% sequentially and down 3.1% year-over-year. We are pleased to see a positive shift in financial performance for Bingo as the studio improved sequentially quarter-over-quarter following a few quarters of sequential decline. The team launched several new projects in the quarter that contributed to the positive performance. such as a new daily layer chase, addition of rolling purchase offers, and a redesign of the core collection experience in the game, which helps strengthen the social experience. June's Journey revenue was $77.6 million, up 1.8% sequentially, and up 33.3% year-over-year. June's Journey became our third highest grossing gain by revenue in the past quarter. June's Journey is the highest-grossing hidden object game worldwide and recently surpassed the $1 billion lifetime revenue mark. Our dedication to a player-focused philosophy has elevated June's Journey to the forefront of the story-driven casual gaming genre. By providing a deeply engaging narrative within the expansion universe of June, the game offers a captivating experience for our players. Throughout its evolution, we have regularly rolled out new features and expansions, ensuring that there is something for everyone. Fans in the narrative can explore further with additional side stories, social gamers can collaborate with their club members on solving mysteries, and those in search of a challenge can test their skills in competitive events. We have an unwavering commitment to our players and the June's Journey community, and we look forward to continuing to enrich their gaming experience for years to come.
speaker
Robert
Now over to our social casino themed games.
speaker
Craig
Social casino themed game revenue was down 0.2% sequentially. and down 4.6% year over year. Sequential performance benefited from a full quarter's contribution from our newly acquired Yuta Studio. Slotomania revenue was $136.9 million, down 3.6% sequentially and down 8.3% year over year. Despite maintaining its position as the number one game in the slot genre, it's important for us to acknowledge that some of our peers have gained share at our expense. This shift can be partially attributed to our own strategic decision to reallocate some of our performance marketing dollars towards other opportunities in our portfolio. While this was a calculated move aimed at diversifying our growth avenues and enhancing our overall position on the market, it has contributed to the market share loss of Slotomania. We recognize the importance of Slotomania to our portfolio and its role in driving consistent revenue margins, and we plan to increase our user acquisition spending this year for Slotomania. This revenue mix shift from declines in a higher margin title like Slotomania to revenue growth from our casual games, including animals and coins, will have an impact on our margins this year. I will reiterate that 2024 will be a year of reinvestment for Playtika, and we look forward to sharing our progress in the coming quarters. Turning to marketing. Our recent launch of several celebrity-studied campaigns underscores our leadership in leveraging partnerships to amplify our games appeal. Historically, we've embraced offline campaigns as a key component of our marketing strategy, consistently demonstrating our ability to engage audiences through high-profile partnerships. In the past quarter, we introduced campaigns featuring Sarah Jessica Parker for Solitaire Grand Harvest, Jason Alexander for World Series of Poker, and continued our partnership with Drew Barrymore for Mingle Blitz and Ty Pennington for Caesars Casino. These initiatives underscore our commitment to providing our players with an engaging and immersive playing experience. Alongside our celebrity endorsements, we are also launching the New Year New Slotomania campaign to celebrate in-game redesigns and new features within Slotomania. Turning now to specific line items in our P&L for the fourth quarter. Cost of revenue decreased 0.2% year-over-year, and operating expenses increased 4.8% year-over-year. R&D decreased 14.9% year-over-year. The decline in R&D was driven by lower headcount and savings from lower discretionary spending across the company. Sales and marketing was up 24.6% year-over-year. The increase was driven primarily by investments that we made in animals and coins in Governor Poker 3. We also had slightly more performance marketing spend this quarter versus the prior year in our organic portfolio due to timing of some of our performance marketing campaigns. G&A expenses increased by 2.5% year over year. As of December 31st, we had approximately $1 billion in cash and cash equivalents. Looking at our operational metrics, average DPU increased 2.3% sequentially and decreased 2.2% year over year. Average DAU increased 2.4% sequentially and decreased 2.3% year over year. ARPDAU was 80 cents in the quarter, a decrease of 1.2% sequentially, and an increase of 2.6% year-over-year. Turning now to our guidance and financial outlook for 2024, we expect to deliver full-year revenue between $2.52 billion and $2.62 billion. As we selectively ramp up our performance marketing spending for our portfolio, We expect credit adjusted EBITDA between $730 million and $770 million. We expect to deploy $110 to $115 million in capital expenditures, which includes $17 million in accrued capital expenditures from Q4 23 that will be paid in fiscal year 2024. As we conclude our prepared remarks, I want to emphasize the journey we've embarked on the past few years. Our focus has been on streamlining our operations, enhancing our agility, and positioning ourselves as a resilient force and acquirer of best-in-class assets in the mobile gaming industry. This strategic refinement has enabled us to pivot towards a period of reinvestment in our core business and execute on M&A opportunities. Simultaneously, we remain focused on generating strong free cash flows Our financial discipline ensures that we maintain the ability to return capital to our shareholders through ongoing quarterly dividends alongside pursuing growth opportunities for the portfolio.
speaker
Robert
Thank you for your continued trust and support, and we'll now take your questions.
speaker
Operator
As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 1 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 1 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Aaron Lee with Macquarie. Aaron, your line is now open.
speaker
Aaron
Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my question, guys. Appreciate all the colors so far. Just wanted to start by digging into guidance for a bit. So obviously your guidance revs are basically flat and then lower EBITDA and margins. Can you just help us understand, is that delta in EBITDA all from the incremental marketing for your recent acquisition. And what do you have baked into those figures just in terms of marketing for the rest of their portfolio, what you're assuming returns from those investments, and any general impact from macro or geopolitical events? Thanks.
speaker
Craig
Sure. Thanks for the question, Aaron. So as we take a step back and we look at the industry more broadly, obviously the changes in the advertising world has affected how people purchase media as well as investing in new games. I think for us, there's two things going on. One, there's a need for us to spend more on some of our legacy titles as well as our acquired titles. And two, there's a mix shift going on where we've seen growth in the casual titles and declines in the casino-themed titles. And the casino-themed titles have a higher margin and some of them have a higher percentage direct-to-consumer as well. And so as we look at that flow-through, there's impact there as well as an increase in marketing for the organic titles as well as the newly acquired titles.
speaker
Aaron
Gotcha. Okay. And then on the M&A target you guys put out there, can you put any guardrails around that for us in terms of how you're thinking about you know, the sizes of acquisitions and what areas we'll be targeting? And do you expect that to be more front-end loaded or back-end loaded? Thank you.
speaker
Craig
Sure. So I think for us, we've always been opportunistic. I think we've communicated in the past the right cadence is probably one to two transactions a year, depending on what's available in the marketplace. We do see this environment as one that is a great setup for consolidation. The maturing of the market, the difficulty, a lot of the smaller companies have with the advertising market. And so we think we're well positioned. We have a billion dollars in cash. We have a $600 million credit facility. The target that we gave really looks at around 50% of our cash being used for M&A and the other 50% being used for capital return. And we think this is a very balanced approach to grow the portfolio as well as return capital to our shareholders.
speaker
spk07
Okay, got it. Thank you very much.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Colin Sebastian with Baird.
speaker
Colin Sebastian
Thanks, and good morning, good evening. I think you mentioned expanding the number of DDC platforms you're utilizing this year. So first off, just curious if you could expand maybe on what those are and what you're anticipating from those platforms. And then as a follow up on the M&A, I guess, what are you seeing in the market that gives you visibility to spend that to that level on consolidation? Are there specific trends or specific studios that you're observing that gives you that visibility or something else? Thank you.
speaker
Robert Anticall
Hey, thanks for the question. So regarding the D2C platform, As we always said in the few other calls before, we are growing this, we have a target. One important thing, changing the focus of profitability become, you know, in the last few quarters become harder. So we are now going to focus more on our D2C platform. We're going to bring more of the games. And for us, it's going to be one of our main targets. You know, Platica was the first company in the industry that started with the D2C. For us, it was always advantage. We see it right now as a big advantage. It gives us a lot of flexibility about things that we are doing. So again, this is one of our main focus. And by the way, regarding your question about M&As, again, having a D2C platform is giving us big advantage of acquiring companies acquiring games to make their profitability much better with the D2C platform. Regarding the targets, as Craig said before, we are opportunistic and we are looking at all around the market. We're speaking to all the players. We know everything that's happening from the small games that are starting two months ago to the big games that are running already 12 years. And as we did last year, two good acquisitions, this is our target for this year, and we are very optimistic about it. Thank you.
speaker
Colin Sebastian
That's helpful. Thanks. Maybe one quick follow-up on D2C. Is your goal for the percent of bookings or revenues coming from D2C channels, has that changed at all recently, or do you have the same target out there?
speaker
Robert Anticall
No, it's not changing. As we said, it's not changed. But, you know, the market is changing. And it's not everything like it was before. It's today. I think 30%, this is where we are looking to be. This is our target. We believe we will get to this target. And after we achieve 30%, we can speak about the next target.
speaker
spk20
Okay. Thanks, Robert.
speaker
Robert Anticall
Sure.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Omar Dasuki with Bank of America.
speaker
Omar Dasuki
Hi, thanks so much for taking the question. So first of all, just a quick housekeeping question. When you said 50% of your cash to M&A, the other 50% to capital return, are you referring to the cash on the balance sheet or the free cash flow, or which metric specifically are you referring to?
speaker
Craig
Free cash flow in terms of ongoing free cash flow. That's our target.
speaker
Omar Dasuki
Got it. Okay. And, um, when you say capital return, obviously a couple of ways you could do that. I'm just wondering why you decided to initiate a dividend rather than, um, you know, reduce debt, you know, or, or start the buyback. Um, that's the second question. And then I have one follow up on your MNA targets.
speaker
Craig
we looked at a balanced approach of both investing in M and a, as well as dividends and exploring buybacks. And so I think it's a, it's a balanced mix. Um, and that's where, uh, that's where we came out.
speaker
Omar Dasuki
Understood. Got it. Great. And so the, um, um, the explanation of kind of how much capital you could deploy, uh, super helpful, Could you give us some more sense of maybe what some of your investment metrics might be? For example, things like cash on cash return for your investments, payback period, things like that, just so we can get a sense of as you go through these acquisitions, what we should expect for your financial performance down the road as these incremental acquisitions layer in.
speaker
Craig
I think we've been focused historically on acquiring assets that attract the EBITDA multiples and leveraging our operational expertise and know-how to help expand that EBITDA over time. And as we do that, the effect of multiple comes down and look to do accretive transactions that are creating value. And so I think every transaction, depending on the segment of the market it operates in, as well as what stage it is in its maturity, We'll have different goals and objectives, but obviously the underlying goal is creation of equity value.
speaker
Omar Dasuki
Understood.
speaker
spk03
Thanks a lot. Appreciate it.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Brian Fitzgerald with Wells Fargo.
speaker
Brian Fitzgerald
Thanks, guys. A couple quick ones. Wondering if you give us any sense for how the two recently acquired titles, Governor of Poker 3, Animals and Coins performed in 4Q or maybe help us size the top line contribution from those two?
speaker
Craig
Yes, as we noted in the prepared remarks, we saw consecutive growth throughout the fourth quarter, which is very encouraging. We're very pleased with the initial results from both of those acquisitions. In terms of the contributions, those are in our 10-K, which has just been filed. I don't have the exact number in Fermi right now.
speaker
Brian Fitzgerald
Okay, appreciate it. And then maybe as a follow-up to the D2C questions, curious to hear your thoughts on Apple's recent concessions on App Store fees, DMA implementation, and is that kind of – is that – impacting or maybe accelerating your focus on D2C or no, we've always been focused on D2C. It's a known strategy, but any reads on, hey, what apples and DMA are metering through your thought process?
speaker
Robert Anticall
So thanks for the question. So this is really early to say. It only started a few weeks ago. We are still learning. We're still trying to understand exactly the benefits, how to work with this, It's not changing the strategy that we had in the past and we have right now with the D2C platform. It's not connected to each other. But again, it's a very interesting move of Apple. And I think in a few weeks, a few months, we will know exactly how it's going to benefit the company and in which way. Thanks.
speaker
Robert
Great. Thanks, Robert. Thanks, Greg.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Our next question will come from the line of Drew Crum with Stiefel.
speaker
spk09
Okay, thanks. Hey, guys. Craig, just to go back to your earlier comments on credit adjusted EBITDA this year, do you see 2024 as a trough for the business, or is there a further downside beyond this year, given some of the puts and takes you referenced?
speaker
Craig
Yeah, I think obviously this year is a year of reinvestment in the portfolio. I think we're hopeful that we can stabilize the casino-themed titles and continue to grow the casual titles. The incentive and compensation plan does end in 2024, and so there should be a net benefit from that ending going into 2025. But we are not giving guidance beyond 2024 at this stage.
speaker
spk09
Okay, fair enough. And then just a housekeeping item. Anything contemplated in your revenue guidance range for 2024 in terms of M&A, you know, that's $600 million to $1.2 billion?
speaker
Craig
Yeah, M&A is, future M&A is not included in our data. Is not. Got it.
speaker
spk10
Okay.
speaker
Craig
Thanks.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Our next question will come from the line of Doug Kreutz with TD Cowan.
speaker
Doug Kreutz
Hey, thank you. Several quarters ago, you guys made the decision to pause internal game development because you said tough market conditions, making it hard to launch new games. In the last few quarters, we've seen some of your competitors launch some very successful new games. So just wondered if you revisited that decision, what your feeling is on new game development at this point. Thank you.
speaker
Robert Anticall
So thanks for the question. First, we are really happy to see even our competitors launching good games because it's still saying that the market is good. So for me, everything that's happening, I always try to see what is the benefit for us and what is the benefit for the market. So first, it's saying that the market is healthy. Second, we never had a good history of developing new games. It's not a secret. It's not to depend if the environment is good or bad. It's never been our DNA. Yes, we tried. We tried many things as a company, as a big company that's always trying, but it's never been our DNA. Our DNA was always M&A's, and we did very well with M&A's in the last 10 years. I'm not saying that we're not going to have any kind of experience with new games, but it's not the main focus. Our main focus again is M&A. This is where we are looking. I believe we're going to do one or two deals. I hope even better than the deal that we did last year that was a really good deal. That's it. Thanks.
speaker
spk12
Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Clark Lampin with BTIG.
speaker
Clark Lampin
Thanks. I got a question. I want to come back to, I guess, the plan to increase performance marketing spend next year. Craig, could you give us a little bit more color around, I guess, sort of why now? If you look at, I guess, your advertising spend for the last couple of years, it's been pretty consistent after a step up that we saw in 21, both in aggregate and as a percentage of revenue. And I'm curious if there's something that you saw with your spend maybe in the back half of the year where it started to perform better, or you're reallocating the mix, you know, if the budget is growing, is it shifting in a new way? Or should we imagine that this is going to be mostly, you know, sort of offline television campaigns or any, I guess, incremental color you could provide would be helpful.
speaker
Craig
Yeah, sure. So, so obviously the biggest driver is, is animal insulin coins, which is a title that we acquired last year and are ramping up growth there. I think in terms of, you know, what we called out in the prepared remarks, uh, we are looking at investing more in slot of mania. That is a competitive market, um, where, you know, competitors are fighting for market share. And so we saw the need to invest more there. Um, and then in terms of, you know, strategically, we, we have selected other titles that we look to invest in, uh, to support growth. So I think, um, you know, the biggest change in terms of year over year is, is clearly to support the acquired titles. Got it.
speaker
Clark Lampin
And from our seat, we and investors, I guess, as we're trying to measure the ROI on that spend going forward, should it be, if you guys are successful with the incremental allocation, will it be primarily driving stronger inorganic growth, or is there another way that we should try to evaluate that on a go-forward basis?
speaker
Craig
No, I mean, we consider that part of our organic growth, and it's a part of the operating our organic portfolio. So I don't... you know, I think we, we make changes based on the marketplace where we see opportunities, we invest more and where we don't have the returns that justify those we pull back. So I don't think there's more specificity that we can provide on this call. Okay.
speaker
Clark Lampin
Okay. That's helpful. And then, um, just one quick one and I'll get out of the way. If we think about, I guess, this sort of broader capital allocation framework, you guys talked about, I guess, sort of market and geopolitical factors that, you know, sort of led you to move away from your, um, strategic review. If we assume that some of those other factors are also weighing on competitors of yours and the market doesn't end up, I guess, as fluid or you don't see the M&A opportunities that you hope for accruing, is the sort of pool of free cash flow fungible in any way? If we were thinking about that sort of previous 50-50 split, if the pipeline isn't maybe as robust and you can't execute on some of the things that you would like, would you consider from one year to the next tilting more of that cash flow allocation towards capital return? Thank you.
speaker
Craig
Yeah. So Clark, I would try and disaggregate that. I think there's three separate concepts going on there. I think the first is the decision that was made to pause strategic alternatives. And it was cited that there was geopolitical factors that tied to that decision. Separately is the M&A environment, which for us, most of the acquisition targets we look at are, there's some in Israel, but also outside of Israel. And we have not seen that necessarily impacting our ability to go out in due diligence and explore opportunities for transactions. And the third concept is capital allocation. which I believe is pretty independent of the first one. And the second one, 50% of capital allocation is dedicated to M&A, and the other 50% is to capital returns, both dividends and exploring the idea of buybacks. And so I don't think that they're necessarily tied there. Obviously, folks that operate in those regions, some have been impacted and obviously have had to make adjustments, as we have, to ensure operations are not affected. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Eric Sheridan with Goldman Sachs.
speaker
Eric Sheridan
Thanks so much. Maybe a two-parter following up on Clark's question. First, in terms of what you've learned as the marketing environment has become volatile over the last couple of years, what are the key learnings in terms of driving incremental ROI that you're taking out of the 2022-23 period that informs your your marketing strategies going into 24 and beyond. And then looking into 24 and beyond, how should we be thinking about elements that could increase ROI, like scale as you execute on the M&A strategy, AI becoming a larger component of marketing overall, or other elements that could sort of amplify ROI over the medium to long term? Thanks so much.
speaker
Clark
Hi, it's Nir Korchak, Platica CMO. First and foremost, we need to understand that we have a very wide range of different games. For each game, obviously, we build a tailor-made marketing strategy. When we look at the market, we need to understand also the competition and also what we want to achieve for the long term. What we are basically trying to understand, sometimes the ecosystem is changing. As you mentioned before, the competition becomes a bit tougher and we need to spend a bit more in different strategy. Always, we adjust our strategy. towards area where we believe that for the long term we will provide the best ROI. So that's for the first part of the question. The second part, what we are basically doing for leveraging technology and AI. So it really depends on the different sources and of course what's going on in the platform. So at the end of the day, what we are trying to achieve, we are trying to create a very diverse portfolio with diverse sources so that we will not rely on any specific source. And we are trying to push the one with the highest ROI, obviously, and see over there whether we can leverage technology and improve our results. So that's our strategy and of course we are tailor-made for each one of the games differently.
speaker
Eric Sheridan
Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Our next question will come from the line of Matthew Cost with Morgan Stanley.
speaker
Matthew Cost
Hi everybody, thanks for taking the question. Maybe I'll start just by asking about what you're seeing in the broader mobile gaming market. because we have seen some steps up in consumer confidence over the past couple of months. I'm wondering if you're seeing any change in consumer behavior either late last year or into this year, particularly because as you lean into marketing, you're also expecting revenue roughly flat year on year. So do you expect to be outperforming a down market in line with a flat market? How should we think about what that guidance means relative to the broader backdrop? And then I have one follow-up. Thank you.
speaker
Craig
Sure. I do believe the macroeconomic environment has been tricky over the last few years, but I think we've really seen titles that are able to execute on their roadmaps are successful and grow. If you look at our casual portfolio, it was up 5.5% last year. If you look at where we've struggled, it's been some of the more competitive categories, like with the slot-themed games. I think some of that is not necessarily based on what's happening more broadly in the environment, but I think we've been more affected by changes in the advertising ecosystem, which affects the ROI of acquired traffic. And so I think that has probably been the biggest impact to the mobile game industry rather than consumer discretionary spending. We've always thought that mobile gaming is one of the more resilient areas within the economic environment. And so I think it's really more based on what's happening in the ad environment than the macroeconomic environment at this stage.
speaker
Matthew Cost
Okay, thank you. And then, so there was, obviously, I think you noted it very, very well in the prepared remarks about a step up in marketing in the fourth quarter. You've historically seen kind of an opportunity in the first quarter every year to lean into marketing. Should we expect that same seasonality where there's like a meaningful sequential step up in your marketing spend in the first quarter this year?
speaker
Clark
Hi, it's Nir again. Obviously, we are well familiar with the seasonality around the marketing, and I believe that you saw what we did at the end of the year. We launched five new campaigns basically at the end of the year and trying to start the year strong. Obviously, I cannot elaborate about the results of the campaign, but we are very bullish about our strategy and how we see things forward. Thank you. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Jason Bazinet with Citi.
speaker
Jason Bazinet
Thanks. I just had a question about these ad changes that I think that you're referring to Android and Apple. Maybe, maybe you could just unpack it a bit for us because when I look at your revenues, they're sort of flat, your ad outlays are sort of flat. Like it's not obvious that these changes have sort of diminished your financials and yet you guys are talking about it as if it might be sort of, it has been a big change and it's going to be a big change. So do you mind just sort of fleshing that out a bit?
speaker
Craig
Sure. So I think we're referencing it as we look at guidance for 2024 as we're making incremental investments. And I think we've always been, you know, very transparent with the trends that we've seen in the marketplace and how it's impacting us. And so I think this is no different, you know, ramping up spending animal and coins impacts margins. And I think as for the rest of the portfolio, um, you know, we saw the need for selected titles to continue to ramp up investment. Um, and so that combined with some of the mix shift has impacted our guidance for next year.
speaker
spk22
But I think in terms of, uh, historically we've been very good at leveraging offline campaigns and doing a variety of different things to ensure that we're able to navigate a changing environment.
speaker
Jason Bazinet
Okay. And if you had to parse the sort of decision on your part to sort of lean into animals and coins and spend more in marketing as opposed to the Android, Apple changes that are happening in the ecosystem, is there a way to parse that out in terms of the impact on your EBITDA guidance for next year?
speaker
spk22
Yeah, there's not.
speaker
Jason Bazinet
Okay. Thank you.
speaker
spk23
Our next question will come from the line of Eric Handler with Roth MKM.
speaker
Eric Handler
Good morning.
speaker
spk17
Thanks for the question. Craig, I wonder if you could talk about, you know, when you look at your fourth quarter results relative to consensus, you had a nice top line B, but EBITDA was just in line. And I'm curious, was that a reflex? Obviously, you know, marketing dollars was the big reason for that. what type of, how fast are you getting a return off of your advertising? Do you see an instant lift or does it take one quarter, two quarters? How, how should we think about that?
speaker
Craig
Sure. So, you know, we, you are correct in that we leaned into marketing to invest, um, in the fourth quarter. Um, but again, came out above consensus on both revenue and EBITDA. I think, So we look to make investments in a variety of games. They all have different payback periods. Obviously, some of the newer, fresher titles can have payback periods in a matter of months. Some of the legacy titles can take over a year, depending on the title. So I think we have our own targets. It's different by title, by platform, by jurisdiction. And we invest towards those targets.
speaker
spk18
Great. Thank you very much.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

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