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spk14: The conference will begin shortly.
spk01: Good day, and welcome to the Progress Software Corporation Q4 2022 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising that your hand is raised. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Mr. Mike Michique, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
spk05: Okay, great. Thank you, Sherry. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us for Progress Software's fourth fiscal quarter 2022 financial results conference call. With us today is Yogesh Gupta, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Anthony Folger, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started, I'd like to remind you that during this call, we will discuss our outlook for future financial operating performance, corporate strategies, product plans, cost initiatives, a proposed acquisition of MarkLogic, and other information that might be considered forward-looking. This forward-looking information represents Progress Software's outlook and guidance only as of today and is subject to risks and uncertainties. For a description of the factors that may affect our results, please refer to the sections captioned Risk Factors in our most recent form 10-K and subsequent 10-Qs. Progress Software assumes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements included in this call, whether a result of new developments or otherwise. Additionally on this call, all the financial figures we discuss are non-GAAP measures unless otherwise indicated. You can find a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable gap numbers in our financial results press release, which was issued after the market closed today. This document contains the full details of our financial results for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2022, and I recommend you reference it for specific details. We have also prepared a presentation that contains supplemental data for our fourth quarter 2022 results, providing highlights and additional financial metrics. Both the earnings release and the supplemental presentation are available in the investor relations section of our website at investors.progress.com. As Cherie said, today's call will be recorded in its entirety, and it will also be available via replay on the investor relations section of our website. So with that out of the way, let me turn it over to Yogesh.
spk11: Thank you, Mike. Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us on our call today. We're happy to be back with you to talk about the results of our fourth quarter and full year fiscal 22, and to look ahead to fiscal year 23. And we're excited that we can provide you with much more detail about our pending acquisition of MarkLogic. Anthony will discuss the financial results from FY22, provide guidance for FY23, and he'll also walk us through the financial benefits, impact, and timing of the MarkLogic deal. It's a lot to cover, so let's jump right in. Fiscal 22 was another outstanding and eventful year for Progress, during which we saw steady demand for virtually every product in every geography and exceptional execution from all of our teams in the field throughout the year. Our ongoing efforts to invest in our products and in customer success continue to bear fruit and led to exceptionally high net retention rates of over 101%. we saw customers expand their use and recommit to our products across the board. In FY22, many of our large Chef, OpenEdge, and DataDirect customers significantly increased their annual spend with us. Our DevTools products continue to see best-in-class retention rates, and products such as Sitefinity Cloud and MoveIt Cloud saw many new wins around the globe. Operationally, we fully integrated Kemp and folded the business into our existing sales, support, engineering, and customer success platforms as planned. Our workhorse products, OpenEdge and DataDirect, continue to perform solidly above plan, along with Sitefinity, DevTools, Chef, Loadmaster, and Flowmon, as customers continue to rely on our portfolio to run their mission-critical applications and manage their digital transformation efforts. All of this resulted in our finishing the fourth quarter on a very positive note, most notably with ARR coming in at $497 million, up 3.5% year over year. As you know, we consistently beat estimates and raise guidance this year with strong revenues, world-class operating margins, and increasing earnings while maintaining a solid balance sheet. We navigated the tough and rapidly changing economic environment following the outbreak of war in Ukraine, a brief but dramatic resurgence of COVID, the onset of rapid inflation, and we overcame significant FX headwinds. We managed our cost structure very effectively in FY22. We sold our headquarters and were able to shed the associated burdens of owning real estate. Our employees love our flexible work-from-anywhere models. and our lease space in Burlington, which we inherited from Ipswich, is working perfectly as our new headquarters. We also continue to manage our variable expenses well throughout the year, even as we reunited more employees and customers in person, in some cases for the first time since March of 2020. And even more importantly, we maintained high employee engagement and retention rates throughout the year well above the industry averages we consider employee retention to be critical to our success because retaining employees builds institutional knowledge and is much more cost effective we have continued to create and nurture a culture geared towards teamwork respect for all accountability trust and innovation which is why progress continues to win awards year after year in the US and abroad as one of the best companies to work for. We're very proud of the success we've had in hiding and retaining a great team. And I believe it shows directly on both the top and the bottom lines of our business. So all in all, we're very pleased with the fourth quarter and full year 22. I couldn't be more proud of our team or more grateful to our customers and partners. We culminated calendar 2022 by finalizing the terms to acquire MarkLogic, allowing us to kick off 2023 by announcing the signing of a definitive agreement for our largest acquisition yet on January the 3rd. When we announced our total growth strategy in 2019, we made a pledge to shareholders that we would be disciplined, patient, and extremely selective in how we deployed our capital. We have kept that promise and our criteria and commitment have not changed, even as the market and the environment around us has. We believe the M&A market will continue to evolve and that our ability to compete will increase as we keep adding infrastructure software acquisitions that create meaningful shareholder returns and generate durable cash flows, making progress, the acquirer of choice, for target company employees, customers, and sellers. As we said on the call announcing the MarkLogic deal two weeks ago, we think that this acquisition hits the target on every metric, from the ability to create synergies that provide strong recurring revenues, margins, cash flows, and earnings, to a great cultural and technology fit. We look forward to serving MarkLogic's impressive customer list of over 300 companies once the deal closes. From a technology perspective, MarkLogic's multi-model data platform and its capabilities for data integration and semantic analysis of structured and unstructured data will allow progress to deepen our data offerings and enable customers to consume data grounded in superior analytics informed search, and fact-based intelligence. MarkLogic products will also extend data capabilities for our data direct customers from structured data integration to natively manipulating, storing, and managing non-relational data such as graph data, triples, and other unstructured data, as well as gleaning insights by performing semantic metadata analysis and applying AI capabilities to all types of data. Now let's talk a little bit about our FY23 expectations, including the expected impact of MarkLogic. We expect demand for our products to remain steady in FY23 and our ARR to continue to grow modestly. Once MarkLogic is fully integrated, progress will scale to over $700 million in revenue. Speaking of MarkLogic's financial impact, which Anthony will explain in more detail in a minute, We expect MarkLogic to add approximately $75 million in annual recurring revenue with high retention rates, over $100 million to the top line on a full year basis, and expect operating margins to improve as we integrate its sales, go-to-market, engineering, and support functions into the Progress platform. It is important to note a few things regarding the timing of the deal and the seasonality of the MarkLogic business. We currently anticipate closing the acquisition in early February and expect MarkLogic to be accretive starting with the first full quarter of our ownership. More importantly, MarkLogic has a January fiscal year end and about one third of its revenue is recorded in December and January. Because MarkLogic's two biggest revenue months would have occurred just before the acquisition closes, and our fiscal year ends in November, we will only be able to benefit from about two-thirds of their annual revenue in our fiscal year 23. And we'll only see the full year's impact on revenue in FY24. The deal closing in February also gives us only a few weeks of contribution in our Q123. As you will see in our guidance from Anthony, we expect the integration and synergies from this acquisition to take place through FY23 with the first full year of revenue and margin impact coming next year. Speaking of M&A more broadly, our total growth strategy is playing out as planned. We're sticking to our disciplined approach, finding great companies and adding great customers, employees, and products to our portfolio. Our capital structure and ability to finance new transactions is in excellent shape. We're selective, we're patient, and we're ready to find the next good deal. We're also executing our integration playbook well once we make acquisitions. We learn from each acquisition and continually incorporate better strategies and tactics. And we use our significant corporate development experience as well as our ability to walk away from transactions that don't fit our model to seek out good deals in a challenging M&A landscape. Most of all, we remain committed to our goal of providing strong returns to shareholders and allocating our capital in the most efficient and productive manner. And as you can see, as good as fiscal 22 was, we're even more excited for fiscal 23. With that, I'll turn it over to Anthony to go over the numbers. Anthony?
spk05: Thanks, Yogesh. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining our call. As I'm sure you heard in Yogesh's remarks, we're very pleased with our performance in the fourth quarter and the full fiscal year of 2022, and we're also delighted to have signed a definitive agreement to acquire March logic, which met all our M&A criteria, and provides a larger scale opportunity for significant value creation. Turning to the numbers, we'll start on the top line with ARR, which we believe provides the best view into our underlying performance. As a reminder, our calculation of ARR is presented on a pro forma basis to include the results of acquired businesses in all periods presented, and in constant currency with all periods presented at our current year budgeted exchange rates. ARR at the end of Q4 was $497 million, representing approximately 3.5% organic growth on a year-over-year constant currency basis. The growth in ARR was driven by multiple products, including OpenEdge, DataDirect, Sitefinity, Chef, DevTools, and File Transfer. A consistent trend that continues to fuel our ARR growth is strong net retention with rates remaining at a record high in Q4, again, exceeding 101%. Revenue for the quarter was $159.2 million and represents 11% growth over the prior year, reflecting an incremental contribution from Kemp, which we acquired in Q4 of 2021, coupled with strong sales of our open edge data direct Sitefinity dev tools and file transfer products. It's also worth highlighting that on a constant currency basis, our year over year revenue growth for the fourth quarter increased from 11% to 15%. For the full year, revenue of $610.6 million represents 10% growth compared to 2021. This year-over-year growth is comprised of a full-year revenue contribution from Kemp and growth across multiple other product lines, most notably OpenEdge, DataDirect, and DevTools. Again, worth highlighting is the impact of exchange rates, because revenue growth for the full year at constant currency would have increased from 10% to 12.5%, an approximately $17 million headwind from foreign exchange for the year. With customer retention rates remaining consistently strong throughout 2022, and with a strong demand environment fueling growth across our portfolio, we're thrilled with our top-line results for the year. Turning to expenses, total costs and operating expenses were $97 million for the quarter, up 6% over the year-ago quarter, and $369 million for the full year, up 12% compared to the full year 2021. For the quarter and the full year, the increase in costs and operating expenses was driven by an increase in our cost base resulting from the acquisition of Kemp. Operating income for the quarter was $62 million for an operating margin of 39% compared to $52 million or 36% in the year-ago quarter. For the full year, operating income was $242 million for an operating margin of 40% compared to $229 million or 41% in 2021. Earnings per share were $1.12 for the quarter, an improvement of 20 cents compared to the year-ago quarter. And for the full year, earnings per share was $4.13, an increase of 26 cents compared to 2021. Moving on now to a few balance sheet and cash flow items. We ended the year with $252 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, and approximately $300 million in untapped capacity under our revolving line of credit for total liquidity of $552 million. In addition, we had a debt balance of $628 million, which is comprised of our term loan in the amount of $268 million and $360 million in convertible notes. DSO for the quarter was 62 days compared to 60 days in the fourth quarter of 2021. The increase in DSO was driven by the timing of billings, with much of our billings overperformance coming very late in the quarter. Deferred revenue was $282 million at the end of the fourth quarter, up $30 million from a year ago, a reflection of our strong year-over-year top-line performance. Adjusted free cash flow was $37 million for the quarter and $189 million for the full year. We repurchased $1.5 million worth of stock during the fourth quarter, bringing our total for the year to $77 million. As a result, at the end of Q4, we had $78 million remaining under our current share repurchase authorization. But as you've no doubt seen in today's press release, we've increased the amount available by $150 million, or a total of $228 million now available under our plan. Now I'd like to turn to our outlook for Q1 in the full year 2023. When considering our outlook, it's important to keep in mind the following. First, 2022 was a year of top line growth in constant currency across many of our product lines. In 2023, we expect stability in the demand environment for our products, and as a result, our top line guidance range reflects a relatively flat top line for our non-MarkLogic product lines. Next, our expectations for MarkLogic and MarkLogic's contribution to 2023 are driven off an assumption that the deal will close during February of 2023, thereby contributing less than 10 months of MarkLogic activity. Once integrated, we expect MarkLogic to contribute more than $100 million to our offline annual fee. It's important to understand that MarkLogic has a revenue model described by current base works and agreements, which can result in an uneven recognition of revenue. It's also very important to understand that MarkLogic has a January 31st fiscal year end, and functionality in the business results in roughly one-third of all MarkLogic activity being booked in December and January of any given year. Because of We expect MarkLogic to contribute approximately $70 million of revenue to our fiscal 2023 and to deliver a operating margin of approximately 25 cents. As previously mentioned, we expect the integration of MarkLogic to continue throughout 2023. Therefore, we expect to recognize cost synergies gradually during the year and to exit the year with a trading margin of more than 40%. We anticipate drawing on our revolving line of credit to finance a portion of the MarkLogic purchase price. And while our platform net leverage levels are expected to remain modest, increased interest rates will impact our borrowing costs. resulting in interest expense of roughly 20 cents per share associated with the MarkLogic Revolver drawdown and another increase in interest expense of 11 cents per share on our existing Term Loan A. The final point I'd like to highlight relates to Section 174 of the U.S. Tax Code and its anticipated impact on our 2023 cash flows. As most of you are probably aware, Section 174 of the Code was introduced in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, and it's effective for progress beginning in fiscal 2023. Section 174 requires us to capitalize certain R&D expenses for tax purposes, which previously would have been expensed as incurred. Although we don't expect any meaningful change in our effective tax rate, we do expect to make $15.2 million of cash tax payments in 2023, specifically associated with the capitalization requirements of Section 174, unless it's again deferred, repealed, or otherwise modified. With that, for the first quarter 2023, we expect revenue between $157 and $161 million, This includes less than one month of a contribution from MarkLogic. We also expect earnings per share of between $1.04 and $1.08. For the full year 2023, we expect revenue of between $675 and $685 million, representing 11 to 12% growth over 2022. We anticipate an operating margin for the year of approximately 38% with a headwind from the MarkLogic integration, which will improve through the course of the year, as I've previously mentioned. We're projecting adjusted free cash flow of between $175 and $185 million, which includes the $15.2 million in incremental tax payments associated with Section 174 of the U.S. Tax Code. And we expect earnings per share to be between $4.09 and $4.17. Again, this range reflects the previously mentioned negative impact from increasing interest rates of 11 cents per share on our existing credit facilities and 20 cents per share on the facilities we anticipate tapping into for the MarkLogic acquisition. Our guidance for the full year earnings per share assumes a tax rate of 20 to 21%, the repurchase of $30 million in progress shares, and approximately 44.4 million shares outstanding. Our share buyback activity in 2023 is meant to address dilution from our equity plans. And while we believe that share buybacks and dividends can provide shareholders with a good return, Our M&A track record over the past three years has delivered superior returns for our shareholders, and for that reason, disciplined accretive M&A continues to be the top capital allocation priority of our total growth strategy. In closing, I'd like to reiterate that we're thrilled with our Q4 performance, the announced acquisition of MarkLogic, and our outlook for 2023. As Yogesh outlined, we believe we're well-positioned operationally and financially to continue executing our total growth strategy to create meaningful value for our shareholders. With that, I'd like to open the call for questions. Hey, Sheree, it's Mike. And everybody I know, Anthony's audio was breaking up while he was giving the MarkLogic guidance. Sheree, if it's okay with you, Anthony, do you mind reading the part again that I sent? It's in your chat, and also it's the paragraph that begins, next, our expectations for MarkLogic, and it ends with the paragraph where the last words are the comments about the term loan aid.
spk03: Yeah, sure.
spk05: And which one was that one, Mike? Yeah, so we're going to start again and just go through the MarkLogic guidance with the paragraph that starts next, our expectations for MarkLogic and MarkLogic's contributions, and then go right to the end where we talk about Term Loan A. Yeah. Okay. All right. So I will go with take two. And next, our expectations for MarkLogic and MarkLogic's contribution to 2023 are driven off an assumption that the deal will close during February 2023, thereby contributing less than 10 months of MarkLogic activity. Once integrated, we expect MarkLogic to contribute more than $100 million to our top line annually. It's important to understand that MarkLogic has a revenue model driven by term-based license agreements, which can result in uneven recognition of revenue. It's also very important to understand that MarkLogic has a January 31st fiscal year end and seasonality in the business results in roughly one-third of all MarkLogic activity being booked in December and January of any given year. Because of this seasonality, we expect MarkLogic to contribute approximately $70 million of revenue to our fiscal 2023 and to deliver an operating margin of approximately 25%. As previously mentioned, we expect the integration of MarkLogic to continue throughout 2023. Therefore, we expect to recognize cost synergies gradually during the year and to exit the year with an operating margin from MarkLogic of more than 40%. We anticipate drawing on our revolving line of credit to finance a portion of the MarkLogic purchase price, and while our pro forma net leverage levels are expected to remain modest, increased interest rates will impact our borrowing costs, resulting in interest expense of roughly 20 cents per share associated with the MarkLogic revolver drawdown, and another increase in interest expense of 11 cents per share on our existing term loan A. Hopefully that one was a lot more clear. It was. Thank you, Anthony. Sorry to throw that on you at the last second. Now, I think if you guys are good, Anthony and Yogesh, we can open up the Q&A. Sounds good.
spk01: Thank you, gentlemen. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. Due to time restraints, we ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up question. You may then return to the queue. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. And today's first question will come from the line of Pendulum Bora with JP Morgan. Your line is open.
spk10: Hey, thank you guys for taking the question. One question for Anthony first on mock logic. The seasonality that you're talking about with one-third bookings in, I think you said December and January, how does the rest of the year flow? Is it very minimal in Q1 and kind of goes through the year?
spk03: Yeah, and Pendulum, are you talking from a revenue perspective or just overall on the business?
spk10: Yeah, from a revenue perspective. I'm just trying to think how to model it next year, quarterly. Okay.
spk05: Yeah, I would say you're going to pick up, you know, what we would see in the first quarter as a contribution is going to be minimal, you know, and certainly because we closed during February, you know, end of February is our Q1. And because so much activity gets booked in December and January. So, you know, I think spreading things relatively evenly over the remaining three quarters will is pretty much a safe bet.
spk10: I see. Okay, got it. One question for Yogesh. I checked that MarkLogic's website, they were talking about an OEM partnership as well. What portion of the business is OEM related? And it seems like they have a general SI channel. And now with Kemp, I guess you have two companies with a broader SI channel. We'd love to hear what you were talking about, the plans of kind of developing that broadly across the business. Where do we stand today? Maybe help us give us an update on that. That's all from my side.
spk11: Happy to do so, Penjalim. Thank you. The OEM business is relatively small for MarkLogic. As you know that in our data direct business, the OEM business is the lion's share. That's not the case in MarkLogic. MarkLogic does have an OEM business, but rather small. The SI part is really interesting because our relationships with SI started actually also increasing with Chef. Chef was sort of the first one where SIs have been playing a very important role in winning customers and helping customers be successful. And then that further expanded with Kemper, as you rightly recalled, And then now it further helps expand that channel for us with MarkLogic. So, you know, it is to me a really important channel. As you're aware, system integrators do enormous amount of work in terms of making customers successful. Having trusted partnerships with system integrators who are well-versed with products, who have certified folks on their teams, who know the products and can do wonderful things for the customers with them, who actually have a practice around products is truly beneficial. And so we are happy that we're able to expand that relationship pendulum. And again, the opportunity in my mind is really the key opportunity is to be able to go to somebody who is an SI for a particular product and have them do some work for another product. Just as an aside, by the way, we also have, and we don't call them SIs because these guys do more than system integration work. We have a digital agency ecosystem around our site safety and the whole online presence product portfolio around building and developing and targeting and doing the online analytics for online customers. Then those digital agencies, you know, they play a big role in the success of Sitefinity as well, which includes a part of those digital agencies also have some system integration capabilities as well. So we actually are building a really solid SI ecosystem in addition to our standard, you know, go-to-market with our own business as well as the sort of the channel business, which is much more reseller-distributor, you know, two-tier channels. So we're really excited about that as well. Thank you. I'll get back in the queue.
spk01: Thank you. One moment for our next question. That will come from the line of Ray McDonough with Guggenheim Partners. Please go ahead.
spk09: Great. Thanks for taking my questions. This is Ray McDonough on for John DiPucci. Yogesh, maybe to start, you mentioned that business was strong across all business lines, and I was hoping you could parse that out a bit. Was there anything in the portfolio that was a little softer than another? You know, I'm thinking open edge is probably more stable in this environment, and maybe you're seeing more, you know, more softness or even cracks in something like Chef, perhaps. I'm just trying to get a sense for how the portfolio performed relative to each other, if that makes sense.
spk11: Yeah, so thanks for asking, Ray. Actually, you know, if you look at our business, you know, and again, you know, FX makes the business look different than really in constant currency it was. I mean, there was a significant amount of outperformance throughout the year. And it did come across pretty much the entire portfolio. When you think about whether it is a Chef or whether it is OpenEdge or whether it is DataDirect or Sitefinity and DevTools, if there's one product which I would say didn't show the same level of outperformance, it's our network management product, WhatsApp Gold. And I think that's because in 2021, there was significant tailwind in the market because of what had happened to SolarWinds at the end of 2020. And as everybody knows, 2021 was a really turbulent year for SolarWinds, and I think a lot of SolarWinds customers went looking for alternatives in 2021, which led to some additional outperformance on our part with WhatsApp Gold. I think it's back to sort of more of its regular cadence that it had before that happened. So I think that would be the only area where I would say we did not see the level of performance, really outperformance and strength that we saw across everything else.
spk09: Great. Thanks for the color. And then maybe for Anthony, as I think about you taking on more leverage for MarkLogic, how should we think about the use of capital going forward to either pay down debt and what levels are you comfortable at in terms of your net leverage if you see an attractive M&A opportunity in the next six to 12 months where you really feel like you should be pulling the trigger. Where do you think you feel comfortable bringing that leverage in light of a rising interest rate environment here?
spk05: Yeah, Ray, it's a good question. And I've talked a little bit about the impact of increasing rates on the outlook for the year. But even having said that, I think with what we will draw down or what we anticipate drawing down from ArcLogic, I would expect the leverage level sort of on a pro forma basis to remain well under three. You know, I would expect that probably debt repayment will come into the calculus on capital allocation during the year. You know, we'll do a little bit of calculus on rates and other potential uses of capital, but I suspect we're going to want to pay down. um and like i said the drawdown is not so much so you know if we were to go up to say two and a half times uh leverage on a pro forma basis you'd probably see that under two um as we go into 2024 you know so i i would expect that we we start to deliver from this one pretty quickly um and you know i think we'd be comfortable up at you know to do a deal maybe up at three times net um But again, that's at a point in time to get a deal done. And similar to what we would do with a deal like MarkLogic, we'd probably look to deliver in a rate environment like this pretty quickly.
spk09: Great. That's helpful. Thanks for taking the questions.
spk01: Thank you. One moment for our next question. That will come from the line of Fatima Bulani with Citi. Please go ahead.
spk07: Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions and Happy New Year. Yogesh, I'll start with you. There was a cyber incident at the firm and I understand you're taking a couple of charges just with respect to that incident. So I'm curious if you could just expound upon that a little bit and to the extent that maybe on the margins, maybe creating a little bit more, maybe a little less stability, if you will, in terms of growth expectations for the non-market logic portfolio. And then I have a follow-up for Anthony, if I could, please.
spk11: So, you know, as you are aware, and I think as we have mentioned before, you know, the investigation into the incident is still open and ongoing. So we really can't comment on it any further other than Basically, we've said before, and we can reiterate, that we do not expect any material impact to our business, you know, operational, financial results, et cetera. You know, from a product-specific perspective, I don't see, you know, this causing a product-specific impact. Otherwise, we would have talked about it, right? So I don't think that the growth aspects of our projections for FY23 – Uh, are related to that as, as Anthony mentioned, right? The, we're expecting stable revenues this year from the base products. Um, obviously, 2020 and 2020, 2021 and 2022 saw, you know, some. Phenomenally wonderful demand for us and, and, uh. I think the overall macro is slightly different or maybe hugely different depending on what you think. And so we are being very straightforward about the fact that, yeah, we expect there to be stability in our business this year rather than significant growth. We do expect ARR to grow, by the way, Fatima, right? And we said that we do. And, you know, we'll expect it to grow modestly. And we think that our core business is truly solid across the board.
spk07: Fair enough. Anthony, just shifting gears to the cash flow, appreciate some of the commentary you shared about some of the tax and regulation changes on R&D expensing. But I wanted to ask about potentially other impacts to cash flow, inclusive of if there is a linearity or collections consideration for MarkLogic. And then just generally, I think you called out sort of back-end loaded performance. Just curious as to why you did see linearity shift to the back end of the quarter and, you know, how that should feather into our cash flow expectations, you know, considering we are in the expensing dynamic and potentially what we need to stay mindful of on MarkLogic's impact to the cash flow. And that's it for me. Thank you.
spk03: All right.
spk05: Yeah, so there's a lot there sort of packed into that question. And I guess, you know, the largest item in terms of the 23 cash flow to call out really is that $15 million in incremental cash payments that we'll make under Section 174. And, you know, like I said, that doesn't affect our rate in any meaningful way. So it really just is an acceleration of of cash out to the IRS. So that has an impact in 23. I think Mark Wojcik, for sure, when they're booking, let's say, a third of the business in December and January, that certainly will impact sort of the linearity or seasonality of cash flow. You know, we won't realize the benefit of that, I think, until we roll into next year and do our fiscal 24. But certainly along with the top line seasonality and the amount of activity that's packed into December and January, you know, we should see something similar from a cash flow standpoint. And then the last comment I think that you were sort of driving at was And our DSO was about maybe two days year over year for the fourth quarter. And we had a pretty good performance in the fourth quarter. I think from a time perspective, there was a lot that came in at the tail end of the quarter. And so that really was what that comment was meant to illustrate.
spk03: So hopefully that provides the context you were looking for.
spk14: Thank you.
spk02: Thank you. One moment for our next question.
spk01: And that will come from the line of Herschel Thacker with Oppenheimer. Your line is open.
spk06: Hey, guys. This is Herschel. I'm for Utah. Can you hear me? Yep.
spk11: Yes. Yes, we can.
spk06: Great. Thanks for taking the question. So I guess you've talked about previously how there are parts of the portfolio that kind of operate in these price competitive markets where you're a bit careful on conducting price increases. And then there are other parts where you'll be a bit more proactive. Can you just describe where you think Mark logic fits within that spectrum and how we should be thinking about price increases for that business going forward? And then as you look at the renewal pipeline for 2023, how are you thinking about price increases there?
spk11: Yeah, absolutely, Herschel. Happy to do that. So Herschel, you know, again, MarkLogic has, by and large, a business that, as Anthony mentioned, is multi-year term licenses that renew, you know, let's say three years at a time or somewhere in that range. And so you end up with, again, only about a third of the business coming up for renewal in any given year. So that's point number one. Point number two, based on what we know and our due diligence, not every one of their contracts has the ability to have meaningful price increases in it. As you know, they have a significant government business and there are limits to how much you can do in terms of price changes with the government, federal government contracts. So, you know, it is, again, it is, I would say, Given the fact that it is only about three quarters of the business in terms of three fiscal quarters, given the fact that it's only about 70 or even slightly less than 70% of the overall business and the one-third of the business doesn't come in in FY23, and given the fact that only about a third of the business will be up for renewal, I don't think it is a very large number. I would say maybe on an annualized basis, it would be about 20% of their revenue for MarkLogic, where I think there's an opportunity to do some price increases. The product is very strong and it's excellent. So I think in those cases, we may be able to do some reasonable price increases. Again, the goal, Herschel, for us is customer retention matters more than the actual price increases. So that's how philosophy has always been. And we will continue to focus on that. Going back to the rest of our portfolio, again, oh gosh, about, I keep going back to this, right? That, you know, more than a third of the business, of the core business, pre-MarketLogic business that Progress has is such that it's, you know, OEMed or it is, you know, based on sort of royalties or revenue sharing, et cetera. So those things, there are really no price increases that are in our control. Where there is price increase opportunity, obviously, across two-thirds of the portfolio, as you yourself said, right? There are some products that are extremely competitive markets where we don't see much either, so much opportunity either. So that leaves probably about half our business. And in about half our business, maybe somewhat less, of our original business, again, we're looking at, you know, sort of three-year revenue, three-year renewal cycles. So, you know, you can do the math yourself and you end up with, again, less than sort of 20% of our overall revenue can have some price increases. So overall, by the way, Arshal, you know, price increases are not a big, big component of our business stability. Our business stability is primarily driven by the fact that we have very, very high and increasing, by the way, right, growth retention rates. Every single acquisition we do or we have done so far, we have increased the growth retention rate and thereby increased the net dollar retention rate as well. And so to me, that's sort of what drives the stability in the business.
spk06: Got it. Thank you. You're welcome.
spk01: And one moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Anja Soderstrom with Sidoti. Your line is open.
spk13: Hi, thank you for taking my questions. A lot of my questions have been addressed already. But I'm just curious, after sort of beating your guidance throughout the year, you're coming in at the lower end, was anything in the first quarter that sort of surprised you?
spk14: Not really.
spk11: We had a solid fourth quarter. We were within our guidance for revenue. We were above our guidance for EPS. I think, Anya, we had a solid quarter. I do think that we executed well. Again, Anthony, I don't know if you have something you want to add.
spk05: Yeah, I would just say that we Coming into the fourth quarter, we probably left our range on the top line a little wider than we might otherwise. And the reason for that was because we were just whipsawed on foreign exchange rates last year like a lot of companies were. And so there was a bit of uncertainty going into the fourth quarter about how that would all land. So the range might have been a little bit wider than expected. would have ordinarily been the case, but to Yogesh's point, otherwise it was, you know, from our perspective, just all across the board.
spk12: Okay. Thank you. And I'm just also curious for the marked logic with the term-based licenses. How long are the duration of those?
spk14: Are those one-year contracts or?
spk03: A lot of multi-year.
spk05: So, I'd say, yeah, a lot of three-year contracts. some longer than that. But by and large, we end up with a lot of multi-year term-based license deals.
spk12: Okay. Thank you. That was all for me.
spk01: Thank you. One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Brent Thill with Jefferies. Your line is open.
spk08: Hi, guys. It's Antonio on for Brent here. Thanks for taking the question. You know, about 20% of your revenue is invested back in R&D. And I was just wondering if you could talk a little bit about where those investment dollars are going, anything that you guys are working on now, and then maybe some key points you'd like to highlight for us.
spk11: Yeah. So, you know, Antonio, as we've said before, right, that our, you know, we have a tremendous emphasis on customer retention. And so the question becomes, you know, what can you do to drive net dollar retention of your customers and, you know, retain them and expand business with them and continue to grow with them? And so we actually basically spend and invest more in R&D to make sure that our products stay ahead of the curve. And this is across the board, right? This is across our portfolio to make sure that our customers stay with us because it's much, much easier, much, much cheaper for us to retain customers that way than to win new ones. And so, and of course, we spend significantly less, again, relatively speaking, on sales and marketing, which is why if you look at our overall operating margins, they are truly our world class, right? A company our size and scale in the software industry just doesn't have the percentage operating margin that we do and the kind of cash flow generation that we do. So I think that You know, to me, it becomes, and to us, it becomes very much a question of where do you put in your dollars for the best return on shareholders? And we believe that investing in the product side is much better than trying to not invest in the product side and then try to clean up with all the other efforts that would be needed. And so that's where we invest. And we continue to look for, you know, the right level of investment to continue to make sure that our products are leading edge. And it really is across our entire portfolio.
spk08: Awesome. Thanks for that. And maybe one quick follow-up or more of a clarification. I know you mentioned Kemp in your opening remarks, but where are we with that acquisition? I know you have to integrate Kemp and Flomon together. Are we done with that, or is there a little more work to be done?
spk11: No, no, no. Yeah, I mean, we are done integrating KEMP. I think I might have said that in the opening remarks as well. Our integration of the KEMP business, both the products, KEMP and Flomon products, and the business is complete. You know, they are a key part of our infrastructure management portfolio, and they have been integrated on our platform. And, you know, we're now looking forward to, you know, closing the MarkLogic deal and beginning that integration.
spk08: Awesome. Well, thank you, guys, and good luck on integrating. Thank you so much.
spk01: Thank you. One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Itai Kidron with Oppenheimer. Your line is open.
spk04: Hey, guys. I just want to follow up on a couple financial things, Anthony. First, on MarkLogic, can you talk about how you're going to incorporate them In ARR, since they're so lumpy, what is the financial exercise you'll do to normalize that into an ARR number?
spk05: Yeah, sure, Itai. You know, I think we would expect that once the deal closes and we get to Q1, we would incorporate all of the ARR, so we would effectively be able to provide both forms of coverage as if we had owned the business from the beginning. So, you know, we will look to treat it exactly the way we do it with all of our other products. And as Joe Gatz mentioned, you know, we are expecting roughly $5 million of AR from the business. And, you know, we do expect to continue to see that growth. But, you know, I think when it comes to the $2 million,
spk11: Let me try to repeat what Anthony was saying just to see if you can hear it this time around. Basically, as you know, when we close the deal, then in the first reporting period, which will be at the end of Q1, we basically take the historic ARR of that business and we do a pro forma cross the history and current. And we, you know, use that going forward. For, of course, for multi-year term licenses, we analyze those. Obviously, the, you know, maintenance becomes or any other recurring revenue is annualized, of course. So, what we would expect to do is we would expect about $75 million increase to show in the ARR once the deal closes. And then, you know, we expect ARR from MarkLogic to continue to grow. You know, they have seen a steady growth in their ARR over the last three years, and we expect that trend to continue.
spk04: Okay. And then last one for me, on the revenue guide for the year, you know, when I take out MarkLogic from this exercise, and I assume that your guidance for 2023 includes already The 675 to 685, does that include or does not include MarkLogic, just to be clear? It includes in that number. Includes. So if you exclude your comments on MarkLogic from that number, you're basically guarding a shortfall of about $20 million, roughly plus minus on the year. Can you talk about, break that down a little bit more as to the components of that and What is your underlying macro assumption that you've taken into account in your guide?
spk05: No, we're actually guiding, Itai, if you were to take out 70, I think you'd be showing, and also if you factor in, say, I think 1.2 million in exchange rates that we mentioned, you'd be showing a little bit of growth at the midpoint. I mean, it would be slight, but growing a little bit. And I think from a macro perspective, that's you know, sort of leads to the consistency we talked about in terms of what we're seeing in the demand environment. Okay. Very good.
spk04: Thank you.
spk01: Thank you. I'm showing no further questions in the queue at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to Mr. Yogesh Gupta for closing remarks.
spk11: Well, thank you again, everyone, for joining for this call, and we look forward to speaking to you again soon. Thank you, and have a good night.
spk01: Thank you all for participating this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
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