3/1/2022

speaker
Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Purple Innovation's fourth quarter 2021 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Cody McAllister of ICR. Please go ahead.

speaker
Cody McAllister

Thank you for joining Purple Innovation's fourth quarter 2021 earnings call. A copy of our earnings press release is available on the investor relations section of Purple's website at www.purple.com. I would like to remind you that certain statements we will make in this presentation are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect Purple Innovation's judgment and analysis only as of today, and actual results may differ materially from current expectations based on the number of factors affecting the company's business. Accordingly, You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. For a more thorough discussion of the risks and uncertainties associated with the forward-looking statements to be made in this conference call webcast, we refer you to the disclaimer statements included in our fourth quarter 2021 earnings release, which was furnished to the SEC today on form 8K, as well as our filing with the SEC reference in that disclaimer. We do not undertake any obligation to update or alter any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information future events, or otherwise. Today's presentation will include reference to non-GAAP financial measures, such as EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income, and adjusted earnings per share. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures is available within the earnings release, which can be found on our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Rob Demartini, Purple Innovation's Chief Executive Officer.

speaker
Rob Demartini

Thank you, Cody, and thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. I'm glad to be here speaking with you in my new capacity as permanent CEO, and I look forward to meeting many of you in the months ahead. I started with Purple two months ago, and from the moment I engaged with the board to discuss this role, I've been impressed and excited to work with this brand and this company as we endeavor to bring comfort technology to the world, building from a foundation where we first went and sleep in North America. The market fundamentals are there, and Purple has a growing portfolio of both intellectual property and know-how with which to profitably extend its share gains. As a way of background, I've been fortunate over my career to work for and lead some great businesses that I believe have prepared me well for the challenges Purple faces today and to capitalize on the opportunities that we have going forward. I spent my first 20 years of my career at Procter & Gamble in sales and general management roles. I then had the chance to work with Jim Kiltz at Gillette and lead North America business during its turnaround and subsequent growth. More recently, I spent 12 years as CEO running New Balance, where the leadership team globalized a predominantly wholesale North American brand and moved it into the omni-channel world. During my time at New Balance, we grew from $1.5 billion to over $4.2 billion. I then took the last two and a half years to pursue a passion project leading USA Cycling. I fully believe my experiences have prepared me to help Get Purple growing again in a healthy and sustainable way. I have confidence and conviction in this business, and I believe in the strategy we laid out in the long-term plans that have been shared with you previously. This company has strong intellectual property, demonstrable product differentiation in a category populated with a lot of Me Too technology, and we have clearly shown we can capture the attention of consumers. We have a well-developed e-commerce business, an owned retail format with attractive economics that is clearly establishing our brand in the minds of consumers. and a developing wholesale business that can reach many consumers who do not see online as a primary purchase channel. I feel fortunate to have had the experience building all three of these channels in past leadership roles. At New Balance, where our talented team tripled the business in 12 years, the key drivers of profitable growth were very similar to the opportunities I see here at Purple. Executional excellence. Brand development, channel development, and product innovation were the keys to that growth, and they're the keys to our growth here at Purple as well. I know what it takes to build great relationships with our channel partners and our end consumers, and I know how to create programs that grow strong results for our partners and our brand. While at New Balance we've built over 3,000 retail stores in 40 countries and went from zero e-commerce business to an e-commerce business that represented more than 20% of our mix. Innovation has been core to our ethos at Purple and success with our customers. While I'm not able to share specifics today, I can say that we will continue to be a leader in comfort innovation, focusing on sleep and other categories that help our consumers lead healthy lifestyles. Based on the learnings from my first 60 days, there are a handful of immediate opportunities we are addressing. I'm still evaluating other areas of the business and will be making additional decisions over the coming months. But for now, I've identified four key areas that need our focus. The first area is what I'll call executional excellence. On a broad level, we have overbuilt capacity and overhead across much of the company. To this point, we made the right and difficult decision to right-size our labor force in February. We were mindful to retain personnel in all critical roles and I'm confident that the work that needs to be done will be accomplished more effectively with our new staffing levels. We intend to manage our labor force based on better visibility into our near-term growth. In terms of capacity, the company invested in opening a second plant last year providing the opportunity to double our production over time. While the need for increased production in the near term hasn't materialized as expected, it has created some inefficiencies until we grow into our production footprint. Having the two plants up and running does provide benefits. We need to focus more intently on our operational excellence, which will allow more effective and efficient capacity utilization delivering higher product quality and enhanced returns on the capacity investments we've made. Moving on to margins, over the past handful of quarters, input costs have been rising and progressively pressuring margins. In response, we've taken pricing action across the portfolio of products, including at the start of this year. Aside from rising input costs, we've experienced general erosion of gross margins as we've grown and expanded our operations. Now that we've been able to build our capacity ahead of our demand, we have the opportunity to slow down to go fast and strengthen our foundation. We're working on raw material costs by negotiating better prices with key suppliers, designing to value and ensuring that every investment we make in our product is valued by our consumers. We're also focusing aggressively on our operational costs including potential manufacturing efficiencies with significant expected annual savings and balancing our manufacturing across the two plants. This will enable us to reduce cost cross-country shipments. By the end of 2022, we believe we can return to gross margins to roughly the levels we achieved in 2020 with additional significant opportunities in 2023. Second, I'm focused on brand elevation and marketing. With marketing, our focus is to build a winning brand position that can deliver 20% market share of the premium mattress category. In just five years, Purple has gone from essentially zero market share to approximately 11% of the premium mattress category, despite being significantly underrepresented at brick and mortar retail. That tells us there's tremendous white space opportunity for the brand and we'll be refining enhancing our marketing campaigns and tactics to reach a broader audience and drive increased customer engagement. The third focus area is developing and expanding our three distinct channels are differentiated science based product with superior consumer benefits has sold through well in our existing wholesale accounts. with still a long runway for growth and improved execution on that front. I'm very familiar with brand building via brick and mortar, how they operate, and how to succeed selling through these channels. We'll continue to build our team and our systems and develop a more robust go-to-market strategy to meaningfully expand both our wholesale presence and our brand execution that is required for success for Purple and our partners. My fourth area of focus is product innovation. Purple was built on innovation and intellectual property that drive products which improve our consumers' comfort and sleep. We continue to have a strong IP portfolio and have the potential to bring exciting, innovative products to market in our current categories and eventually expand to adjacent categories. To get there, we're focusing on strengthening our R&D disciplines and go to market process. There's some next generation products in our innovation pipeline that I'm excited for the company to bring to market in the next 12 to 18 months. We've already taken actions to right size the organization, improve margins via both pricing and efficiency, and we're working to re-energize the branding and marketing that Purple needs to grow in the premium segments of our market. The benefit of some of these actions will positively impact the profitability and growth trajectory of our company, while the improvements from others will take more time. 2022 will be a year of quarter-on-quarter improvements, with the first quarter as an inflection point in our revenue trajectory and most heavily burdened by the combination of growth investments and carryover items from 2021. By Q4 of 22, we expect to have our financial metrics back to where we had originally anticipated for 2021. While execution and overall results should have been much better in 2021, I've been impressed with the team, the company culture, and the differentiated products we bring to our customers. I believe all the makings of a great brand are here, and I'm confident in the long-term growth plan on a slightly modified timeline. With hard work and smart choices, Purple can build on our position as a leader in the premium mattress category, setting the foundation for profitable growth globally and into adjacent markets. I'll now turn over the call to Bennett Nussbaum, our CFO, who will review the financials in more detail. Bennett?

speaker
Cody

Thank you, Rob, and welcome aboard. Through the extraordinary impact COVID had on consumer behavior, I'm going to provide certain comparisons to the fourth quarter and full year 2019 in addition to 2020 to provide sufficient context. For the three months ended December 31st, 2021, net revenue was $186.4 million, up 7.2%, compared to the $173.9 million in the prior year period. By channel, wholesale revenue increased 35.9%, And DTC revenue decreased 4%. As our wholesale business was favorably impacted by wholesale partner expansion, DTC net revenues declined due to lower e-commerce revenue, partially offset by growth in purple retail showroom revenue driven by the additional 19 showrooms we ended the quarter with compared to a year ago. Compared to the more normal 2019 period, net revenue was up by 50%, with wholesale revenue up 48.7%, and DTC revenue up 50.7%. Gross profit dollars were $64.7 million during the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to $82 million during the same period in 2020, with gross margin at 34.7%, versus 47.2% in the fourth quarter of 2020 and 47.7% in the fourth quarter of 2019. The decrease in gross margin from the prior year can be attributed primarily to higher material labor and freight costs and a higher proportion of wholesale channel revenue, which carries a lower gross margin than revenue from the DTC channel. Wholesale net revenues comprised approximately 36% of net revenue for the quarter compared with approximately 28% in the same quarter last year and 36% in the same quarter two years ago. Operating expenses were 51.4% of net revenue in the fourth quarter of 2021 versus 42.9% in the prior year period and 45.4% in 2019. The increase in operating expenses as a percent of net revenue compared with the prior year period was driven primarily by higher advertising costs due in part to higher advertising rates, an increase in showroom related expenses associated with our continued showroom expansion, and an increase in legal and professional fees, and an increase in personnel costs related to planned growth of our workforce. For the current year quarter, Marketing and sales expenses as a percentage of net revenue was 40.9% compared to 34.9% a year ago and 38.6% two years ago. This increase primarily reflected rising advertising rates in 2021, along with increased expenses and marketing costs due to continued product and channel expansion. net loss for the quarter was $21.8 million compared to a net loss of $73.5 million in the year-ago period and a net loss of $26.2 million two years ago. As disclosed last year based on the SEC statement dated April 12, 2021 regarding warrants issued by SPACs, we determined that our outstanding warrants should be accounted for as liabilities and recorded at fair value on the date of the transaction and subsequently remeasured to fair value at each reporting date. For the three months ended December 31, 2019, we recognize the non-cash loss of $26.9 million associated with the change in fair value warrant liabilities. For the three months ended December 31, 2021 and 2020, the company recognized a non-cash gain of $4.7 million and a non-cash expense of $87.5 million, respectively, associated with the change in fair value of warrant liabilities. On an adjusted basis, net loss in the fourth quarter of 2021 was $23.9 million, or 35 cents per diluted share, based on an adjusted weighted average diluted share count of 67.5 million compared to adjusted debt income of five million or seven cents per diluted share based on an adjusted weighted average diluted share count of 68.6 million in the prior year period. Adjusted debt income for the fourth quarter of 2019 was 1.2 million dollars or two cents per diluted share on an adjusted weighted average share count of 55.5 million. Adjusted debt income has been adjusted to reflect an estimated effective income tax rate of 25.4% for the current year period compared to 25.6% for 2020 and 2019. EBITDA for the quarter was negative $20 million compared to negative $79.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020 and negative $22.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2019. Adjusted EBITDA, which excludes certain non-cash and other items we do not consider in the evaluation of our ongoing performance, and as detailed in today's earnings release, was negative $23.4 million compared to positive EBITDA of $12.2 million in the same quarter last year and positive EBITDA of $5.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2019. Now to our full year results. For the 12 months ended December 31, 2021, net revenue was $726.2 million, up 12%, compared to $648.5 million in the prior year period. Full year net revenue growth overall was negatively affected by the production issues we experienced in the second and third quarters of 2021, as our ability to manufacture and deliver our products to both DTC and wholesale customers was interrupted. Compared to the more normal 2019 period, net revenue is up by 69.5% from $428.4 million. By channel, wholesale net revenue grew 54.5% as our wholesale business was favorably impacted by wholesale door expansion, coupled with wholesale partner doors being open all of 2021, while the prior year was negatively impacted by the pandemic and temporary shutdown of wholesale partner operations. DTC net revenue declined 2.3% year-over-year, primarily due to decreased e-commerce demand, partially offset by growth in purple retail showroom revenue driven by the addition of 19 showrooms in 2021. On a two-year basis, wholesale revenue increased 54.5% and DTC revenue increased 78.8%. Gross profit dollars were 295 million in 2021 compared to 305.1 million in 2020, with gross margin at 40.6% versus 47% in 2020 and 44.1% in 2019. The decrease in gross profit over the prior year was primarily attributable to higher material, labor, and freight costs, the unfavorable impact of inefficiencies realized as a result of the production issues, and a higher proportion of wholesale channel revenue, which carries a lower gross margin than revenue from the e-commerce channel. Wholesale net revenues comprised approximately 35% of net revenue for the year, compared with approximately 25% last year and 38% two years ago. Operating expenses were 43.8% of net revenue in 2021 versus 36.1% in the prior year and 40.3% in 2019. The increase in operating expenses as a percent of net revenue compared with the prior year period was driven primarily by higher advertising costs due in part to higher advertising rates, an increase in showroom-related expenses associated with our continued showroom expansion, an increase in legal and professional fees, and an increase in personnel costs related to planned growth of our workforce. Marketing and sales expense as a percentage of net revenue was 33% compared to 20% a year ago and 33.1% two years ago. This increase reflected an increase in advertising costs due in part to higher advertising rates in 2021, increased marketing costs related primarily to planned expansion of our workforce, increases in showroom related expenses associated with our continued showroom expansion, coupled with slightly elevated wholesale related marketing and selling costs. For full year 2021, We reported operating loss of $23.4 million compared to operating income of $71.2 million in 2020 and operating income of $16.2 million in 2019. Net income in 2021 was $3.9 million compared to a net loss of $229.8 million in 2020 and a net loss of $30.9 million two years ago. As disclosed last year, based on the SEC statement dated April 12, 2021, regarding warrants issued by SPACs, we determined that our outstanding warrant should be accounted for as liabilities and recorded at fair value on the date of the transaction, and subsequently remeasured to fair value at each reporting date. For the 12 months ended December 31, 2021, we recognized a non-cash gain of $24.1 million associated with the change in fair value of warrant liabilities. Net income in 2020 and 2019 included a $300.1 million non-cash expense and a $35.3 million non-cash expense associated with the change in fair value of warrant liabilities, respectively. On an adjusted basis, net loss in 2021 was $13.1 million or 19 cents per diluted share based on an adjusted weighted average diluted share count of 67.3 million compared to adjusted net income of $49.5 million or 78 cents per diluted share based on an adjusted weighted average diluted share count of 63.6 million in the prior year. Adjusted net income for 2019 was $15.9 million, or 29 cents per diluted share, and an adjusted weighted average share count of 55 million. Adjusted net income has been adjusted to reflect the estimated effective income tax rate of 25.4% for the current year period compared to 25.6% for 2020 and 2019. EBITDA for the year was $14.2 million compared to a net loss of $260.9 million in 2020 and a net loss of $21.6 million in 2019. Adjusted EBITDA, which excludes certain non-cash and other items we do not consider in the evaluation of our ongoing performance and is detailed in today's earnings release, was $11 million compared to $88.1 million last year and $33.4 million in 2019. Moving to our balance sheet, as of December 31, 2021, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $91.6 million, compared with $123 million at December 31, 2020. The decrease was driven primarily by ongoing investments in our business. that included building out our new manufacturing facility in Georgia that became fully operational in 2021, enhancing our manufacturing and safety capabilities at our manufacturing facility in Utah, and continued opening of new purple retail showrooms during 2021. Additionally, inventories increased and were an overall use of cash on a year-over-year basis. That inventory is totaling $98.7 million at December 31, 2021, compared with $65.7 million at December 31, 2020, with finished goods making up the majority of that inventory increase as production levels increased throughout the year. Finally, I do want to point out that we recently finalized an amendment to our credit facility, the details of which can be found in our 10-K. The key takeaways from the amendment are a 2022 principal prepayment of $2.5 million, an increase in the interest rate until certain conditions are met, a temporary covenant waiver period during which the net leverage ratio and fixed charge coverage ratios will not be tested through the second quarter of 2022, and a modification of these two ratio definitions and thresholds. A temporary requirement that we maintain minimum monthly liquidity levels with mandatory prepayments of the revolving loan if cash exceeds $25 million. New reporting requirements. Temporary limitations on certain capital expenditures. A temporary lease encumbrance test for opening additional showrooms beyond the 28 additional showrooms currently planned for opening in 2022. Additional negative covenants that will extend into 2023. Turning to guidance, while challenges persist, we remain confident in the foundation that has been built and the progress we have already begun to make on Rob's focus areas. We expect 2022 to be a year of building momentum, but not without a tough start in the first quarter. However, we believe we will be able to return to a more normal level of execution and profitability as the year progresses with sequential improvements each quarter. Based on our current plans, we expect full year 2022 revenue to be in the range of $790 million to $830 billion, an increase of 8% to 14% over 2021. as we begin to more fully capture the demand shift underway in the industry from e-commerce back to brick and mortar. For the year, we expect adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $26 million to $33 million, a significant improvement over 2021 driven by the combination of top-line growth, increased leverage as we right-size our operation and gain further efficiencies, and improving gross margins as the year progresses. For the first quarter of 2022, we are forecasting revenue to be in the range of $125 to $135 million, with an adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $20 to $26 million. Our first quarter loss is similar to our fourth quarter on much lower sales volumes, reflecting the early progress we've made reducing expenses and the shift in consumer traffic back more heavily to brick and mortar retail, where our presence and ability to capture demand currently is less developed. Based on our adjusted EBITDA outlook and planned uses of cash in the first quarter, including approximately $12 to $15 million in capex, which is primarily for showroom expansion, a reduction in accounts payable coming out of the elevated spend levels in quarter four, and advanced payments for loan principle, we expect liquidity at the end of quarter one to be between 15 and 22 million dollars. I'll now turn it back to Rob. Rob?

speaker
Rob Demartini

Thank you, Bennett. Since joining Purple, I've seen many positive attributes of the business that excite me about the future of the organization. First, we have a differentiated, innovative product built with proven and proprietary technologies. Our gel grid technology is the next evolution of sleep and the required proprietary in-house manufacturing process provides Purple a clear differentiation and helps create an intellectual property moat around our business. Additionally, our domestic manufacturing capabilities provide an added layer of benefit for the company as we control nearly all aspects of our finished mattress products. Second, the brand is healthy and the potential for creating even stronger demand is there. The success of our company showrooms are the clearest indicator that fundamentally things are going well. We just need to focus on getting healthier in our other channels. We continue to build market share even in the challenging fourth quarter where we increased our share in the overall mattress category by a full percentage point from the previous quarter and up nearly a full percentage point from the previous high mark in Q4 of 2020 and Q1 of 2021. Additionally, our close rate among people who are considering purchasing a Purple Mattress was at an all-time high in Q4 21, which speaks to the healthy demand for our product. Third, our profitable showroom concept is a clear bright spot for us in our retail channel. 80% of online customers say they want to lay on a mattress before purchase and our showrooms are the best way to showcase our full product line with consistent premium presentation. While simultaneously creating a North Star for our wholesale partners to look to for elevating our brand within their stores. Today we have 30 owned showrooms, 19 of those opened in 2021. In 2022, we expect to open at least 25 additional showrooms. These new stores are performing as expected, and we see a clear path to having more than 200 over time. Fourth, our network of premium wholesale partners continues to grow in both quantity and quality. In November, we announced our new agreement with Mattress Firm. Over the last three years, Purple has grown substantially, and Mattress Firm's scale and reach has helped contribute to that. We reaffirmed our partnership with Mattress Firm last fall when we signed our current contract, and I'm excited to grow that relationship to enhance both our brand and theirs. In addition, we've added over 1,000 new doors in the past two years, expanding our national presence through new relationships with Ashley Furniture, Furniture Row, Rooms to Go, and several others in the US, and Sleep Country Canada, north of the US, to just name a few of our partners. Lastly, we have a capable and motivated workforce. The passion of the people is evident. I've had the opportunity to visit our two mattress manufacturing locations, as well as our original facility that houses pillow manufacturing and our innovation center. And in each case, I've been impressed with the employees I've met on the production floor, in fulfillment, in working on new products. I fundamentally believe that winning in the marketplace is rooted in a winning culture, and I'm confident that we have the team it takes to grow our business. Our culture will be built on strong execution, individual accountability, and winning as a team. I believe these organizational strengths are a solid foundation to build upon to drive long-term shareholder value I would now like to lay out my priorities for the company. COVID shifted demand to our strongest channel, e-commerce, where we're the number one player in the industry. As such, we were well positioned to take advantage of the changing landscape and capture that swell of demand. As consumer behavior has normalized, mattress buying has shifted back towards a heavily in-store bias. We're happy that we were able to capitalize on that e-commerce swell, but also optimistic about the shift toward brick and mortar since expansion in wholesale and retail stores are a major part of our growth strategy. We're going from a strong online channel to a young brick and mortar channel, but we are gaining ground. As we think about priorities for the company, I turn back to my four focus areas, the first and foremost of which is executional excellence. As a company, we need to reestablish credibility with our stakeholders. The back half of 21 was not only difficult for us as a company, but difficult for the entire community. I imagine there are a lot of questions, especially with the recent and meaningful management changes over the last nine months. You need to be able to trust that we'll do what we say and that we're going to do and we will prove that to you over the coming quarters. Additionally, we need the right structure and staffing to achieve our goals. We've already taken actions against this priority in February when we right-sized the workforce, which brings me to my next goal, developing and maintaining a winning culture rooted in individual accountability and winning as a team. I believe teamwork and accountability will drive much better execution and performance. We've aligned the leadership team around these key objectives, and we will execute against them relentlessly to ensure we produce the results we're planning for. My highest operational priority under executional excellence is developing stronger margins. With the plan we currently have in place, we expect to exit 2022 with gross margins in the mid 40% range. This is the first step towards substantially increasing margins over the longer term through more developed strategies aimed at driving greater efficiencies through all aspects of the business, including manufacturing, supply chain, product design and development, marketing and more. My next focus area is on elevating the brand and the effectiveness of our marketing. We have the potential to become a large premium brand. Starting in January, we've been focusing energy on branding and expect to introduce new effective creative in the coming months. Additionally, channel development and product innovation are actively being worked on and we'll have more to share on these specific plans at our next earnings call. The next several months will be difficult. We're only two months into building the framework for strong operational maturity and accountability. That said, I'm confident that the steps we've already taken here early in the new year, combined with successful execution of the strategic priorities I just outlined, will position the company for solid, profitable growth starting in the second half of this year. While the team and I will continue to refine these strategies and priorities over the coming months, hopefully this provides a better look into how we're currently thinking about our strategy in the future. Let me close by thanking our employees for their hard work and dedication over the past 12 months, and especially the past two. I recognize that that change is never easy, but we're devoted to getting the company into the position that will allow us to successfully capitalize on the many long-term opportunities that lie ahead. Thank you, and at this point, I'll turn it over to the operator to take questions.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question is from Brad Thomas with KeyBank Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Brad Thomas

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. And Rob, congratulations on the permanent full-time role here as CEO. Looking forward to working with you.

speaker
Cody

Thank you, Brad.

speaker
Brad Thomas

I wanted to maybe start with kind of a bigger picture question that ties a lot of questions that we get together, which is first, just if you could share your thoughts on, you know, the margin potential for the business. Obviously, Purple greatly benefited from the environment that we were in when the pandemic first hit, leveraging a lot of its core strengths, and more recently has faced some challenges. How do you view the medium and longer term opportunity from a profitability standpoint for this business and this brand?

speaker
Rob Demartini

Brad, thanks. And some of it I definitely am still learning. But as I said in the script, that we expect to get to where we had been before by the end of the second half. And beyond that, just based on experience I've had in other businesses, both from a pricing and from a manufacturing efficiency, I don't see why we can't get well ahead of those targets in 2023. That's helpful.

speaker
Brad Thomas

And then Rob, I was hoping if you could just talk a little bit about the sales outlook for the year. And if I've done the math right, it does look like it's going to be a pretty difficult first quarter with sales down substantially. And so to get to your full year guidance, it does imply a pretty big acceleration in sales and perhaps double digit sales moving through the year. I guess, can you speak to your confidence in getting that acceleration and what you're assuming from an industry standpoint versus maybe a company specific standpoint that you're driving yourself?

speaker
Rob Demartini

Well, you know, in reading, uh, other people's releases, clearly the category is facing some short term headwinds, but you know, we are planning for quarter on quarter improvement on just about every line of the P and L and the demand is still healthy to clearly the shift away from, uh, e-commerce back to more normalized distribution. is tough on us in the short run. And I think we've got to make sure our marketing is working harder. But we're investing at healthy levels. We're getting a reasonable return. And I think there's room for improvement. So like you, we do see it's an uphill challenge, but we're confident in the plan and taking the actions to deliver that quarter-on-quarter improvement.

speaker
Brad Thomas

Gotcha. That's very helpful. Thank you so much. And I'll turn it over to some others.

speaker
Cody

Thank you, Brad.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Matt Miranda with Roth Capital. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Matt Miranda

Hey, guys, and congrats to Rob as well. Maybe just picking up on the questions with regard to the acceleration for the rest of the year, I guess what it implies is you guys need to do at least 25% growth for the remainder of the year, and likely it sounds like it's more back-up loaded, so probably a little bit greater in the back half of the year here. Just wanted to see if you could maybe put a finer point on, are there assumptions including incremental price action that kick in beyond the first quarter or maybe some channel inventory bill from new wholesale partners that we're assuming that kicks in later this year? Just any color on sort of what we're assuming to get to that acceleration.

speaker
Rob Demartini

Thank you, Matt. So first off on pricing, we've taken the pricing action that we believe is appropriate based on input costs. Obviously, if those were to change dramatically, we would need to reevaluate that. But today, we think we have that in a good place. We definitely have, you know, the maturing of the retail, our showrooms, 19 new ones last year that were open for less than a year, and then 25 to 28 new ones that will open this year. So that grows faster than normal, faster than the category for sure. And we have the same thing happening on wholesale partners. We've opened a number of doors last year and we'll continue to do that this year. So those two channels should grow faster. But obviously we also need to continue to make sure that the e-commerce channel grows as well. The combination of that is producing, our confidence to get to that guidance on the top line that Bennett gave you.

speaker
Matt Miranda

Okay, that's fair. And then on the gross margin improvement side, you know, thanks for the sort of more solid numbers in terms of targets in the second half. Appreciate that. But I was wondering if you could maybe just bridge us to that mid-40% exit rate that you talked about, Rob, just in the form of, you know, how much of that is coming from some of the price action that you seem to have already taken versus the efficiencies you think you can wring out of the existing footprint versus the right sizing of production. Just maybe a little bit more granularity on the gross margin improvement front and the building blocks to get to the mid-40s.

speaker
Rob Demartini

Matt, I don't have those numbers directly in front of me, but it's about half and half in the current plan from pricing and efficiency. And I honestly, as I walk the factories, I think there's meaningfully more in efficiency that is not fully in there. It obviously takes some time to take the actions to get that. But I believe the mix in the current year is about half and half coming from pricing and from better efficiency.

speaker
Matt Miranda

All right, excellent. I'll jump back into you guys. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Seth Basham with Wedbush. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Seth Basham

Thanks a lot. Good afternoon and congrats, Rob. I guess my first question is around pricing. You've mentioned that you've taken all the pricing that you need to to cover the input cost, inflation, but do you think that you may have taken pricing too high? I guess it seems like the price increases you've taken relative to other competitors we track is much higher and you think that's impacting your demand too much.

speaker
Rob Demartini

It's a good question and I want to soon have the answer for you. I don't have it today. I think it's possible, but we do believe we've got input cost covered. And I think what we've got to do, this is an adjustment for me with the lack of POS data in the category, but we've got to get better at reading that. And I don't want to, you know, we're not starting there, but clearly if that's a door we would have to open, we'd look at it. At this point, we're not there yet.

speaker
Seth Basham

Okay. Do you have any good measurement of demand elasticity and how that's performed with your price increases over the balance of the last year or so?

speaker
Rob Demartini

I don't think we're sharp enough on that that we want to be. Clearly, the prices have accelerated aggressively in the late back half of last year and then early into this year. And some of our price increases on non-mattress product have only been in market for two to three weeks, so we are reading them real time right now.

speaker
Seth Basham

Okay, guys. And then lastly, my follow-up question, I may have missed this because I joined a little bit late, but in terms of the cost cuts, I know you've cut back in a number of areas, but what are the most substantial areas that you've cut in terms of personnel, and have you taken down any manufacturing capacity that you've added over the course of the past year?

speaker
Rob Demartini

We have not taken down any manufacturing. We have paused on some of the expansion that was partially underway and we've also had to make some pretty big adjustments in our Utah factory as we balance demand of 50-50 with our new plant in Atlanta so that's probably the single hardest hit location obviously that pays us back relatively quickly because we're not shipping mattresses across the country but the Atlanta factory has seen the most growth, and the Utah factory the most pullback.

speaker
Seth Basham

Understood. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeremy Hamlin with Craig Hallam Capital Group. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Jeremy Hamlin

Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to come back to the top line guidance for the year here. So midpoint to $130 million. For Q2 to Q4 average, I think implied here is about $225 to $230 million per quarter. In terms of how we get there, what is embedded within that guidance in terms of your wholesale door count growth? What was the number that you ended with in terms of your wholesale doors? Where do you expect that to be embedded within the guidance? That's part one. And then part two is understanding what your mix assumption is for 22 of DTC business versus wholesale. Thanks.

speaker
Rob Demartini

Jeremy, let me come at it backwards, partly because I got the numbers clearer to me, that the year ends up being about 60% DTC and 40% wholesale. In that this year we have projected about Six to 700 Store door growth in the wholesale channel. And I will tell you, we are on pace to deliver that sooner than what's in the plan, but we still got a lot of work to do there on the first half of your question. Will you restate that for me again, please.

speaker
Jeremy Hamlin

Well, first I wanted to know what was the ending door count?

speaker
Brad Thomas

Yeah, door count.

speaker
Jeremy Hamlin

That's right. I'm sorry, 2,700 or 2,800? Is there a number there?

speaker
spk05

Last year.

speaker
Rob Demartini

Yeah. Sorry, I'm trying to get some notes here because I don't have all these off the top of my head. But I believe we ended the year at about 2,600 to 2,700. I can verify that. And, you know, some of those included a pullback early this year in some of our retailers where the doors were not working. And then we're adding a net of between 600 and 700 in 2022.

speaker
Jeremy Hamlin

Okay. So if we add, you know, 600 to 700 doors, you know, is the thought here that you're going to get increased number of slots in each door? or that your door productivity is going to be significantly better. That definitely took a little bit of a step back versus where you were in 2019 and 21. So just any additional color there. Thanks so much.

speaker
Rob Demartini

So we had one significant retailer where we pulled out a meaningful number of stores in the $2 to $2.50 range. And that was happening late last year and early this year. The new stores, as I said, about 600 to 700 in the year. And I'm still trying to get my hands around door productivity on slots. And I think we've got to get much more maturity in our wholesale business in total to be looking at door productivity. I referenced in my earlier comments about wholesale experience that I've had. And I think about it, if I'm not working harder than other choices for that retailer, we're not going to be able to hang on to the slots. So I think instead of measuring distribution as a single count, I want to measure the productivity of distribution, and we are working on that right now. Doors matter, slots matter, but most importantly, our contribution to our wholesale partner's customer or their performance is what matters the most. We should end the year at about 3,000 stores. maybe a little bit above it, but that includes cleaning up doors that weren't working for us or them and getting more contribution to our partners that we have.

speaker
Jeremy Hamlin

Okay, and then just as a follow-up, you know, so in terms of making those doors more productive for both you and your partners, does that mean that your advertising spend, which you know, I think had been quoted several times that it was down versus what it would have been because of the production issues. Is that expected to jump this year? And if so, by what percentage? And thanks, that's the last one. I'll hop out.

speaker
Rob Demartini

All right, Jeremy. So we've done some work to make our advertising investment more productive. That was done late in Q4, and we're encouraged by the early signs. Our advertising investment year on year is relatively level, so it hasn't gone down. I think the real issue is, you know, making sure we're working with our big wholesale partners to present the product better, make our advertising work harder for them, and ensure that whatever slots they give us are profitable for them and for us. And that's just a degree of, kind of next steps in maturity in what I said before was a very young wholesale business.

speaker
Jeremy Hamlin

Thanks so much, guys. Welcome, Rob, and best wishes.

speaker
Operator

Thank you, Jeremy. Thank you. Our next question is from Alec Legg with B. Reilly. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Jeremy

Hi. Thanks for taking our question. My question was just on the split between DDC and wholesale. You mentioned a 60-40 expectation this year. Is that your new baseline expectations going forward and essentially increasing your wholesale mix or shouldn't be expected to longer term revert back to 65, 35 or even 70, 30?

speaker
Rob Demartini

Yeah, I don't think it does revert back. I think we've got to get all three channels growing. You know, channel development is one of the single biggest priorities I'm focusing on. And I do think you'll see it continue to move towards showrooms and wholesale at a higher rate than DTC, simply because as I'm learning this category, it seems like four out of five consumers want to experience the product at retail, and we've got to make sure that our product is available for them to do that. So, you know, 70-30, I don't think we go back to that level.

speaker
Jeremy

Thanks. And then my follow-up is just on your liquidity and cash balance at the end of this first quarter. You've mentioned, I think, $15 million to $22 million. What, remind us, what was the delta between the ending of fiscal year 21 and then getting to that 15 to 22 mil at the end of this first quarter?

speaker
Cody

We ended at about 91 million, and the major drivers in that reduction include the net EBITDA net loss for the quarter, $12 to $15 million in capital, We had enhanced spending and advertising in some other areas, so our payables will go down. In addition, our new amendment requires that we prepay the year's principal, prepay it, which is about $2.5 million. And then with our prior owners, we had a TRA that required about $6 million of cash in the first quarter.

speaker
Jeremy

Thanks, and then I don't know if I misinterpreted or misread, but in the new credit amendment, any excess cash on the balance sheet over $25 million, does it have to go back to that credit facility?

speaker
Cody

It could swept against the revolver, but it's still available to us.

speaker
spk00

I see. As part of the revolver.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Keith Hughes with Truist. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Matt Miranda

Thank you. You mentioned earlier some stores you stepped away from in the last couple months. Can you give any idea how much that's contributing to this, what's going to be their 30% sales climb at the midpoint of your contract?

speaker
Rob Demartini

I heard the first half of the question, not the second.

speaker
Matt Miranda

Yeah, let me just ask it all again. You had talked about 250, I think, stores that you were going to be exiting. How much, how big a role did that move play in your guidance, which calls for about 30% decline in revenue year over year?

speaker
Rob Demartini

It really involved two different customers, but, you know, by definition, they were not very productive stores for us or the partner. So it's not a big part of the volume equation and it gets netted out by growth of either more slots in existing doors and more doors in total.

speaker
Matt Miranda

Okay, let me ask one final one here. We talked a lot about a lot of different channel things in the call here today. I guess just in general, it appears that the whole brand has lost momentum over the last three quarters, irrespective of what channel it's coming from. Now, you talked about some new product launches. It sounds like those were in 23. What do you think would be the drivers to get the brand moving in the right direction in a short period of time here?

speaker
Rob Demartini

Yeah, Keith, and I'm sorry, I'm going to edit a little bit your statement, but our showroom demand has been very strong, and our wholesale demand has been, I'll call it, solid. DTC is where we have struggled a bit more, and it goes right back to my priority about re-energizing the brand. As we've moved up in price, we've taken on new consumers, and I don't think our marketing effort has kept track or has kept pace with that shift in kind of demo and psychographic consumer targets. So that's why that's the second priority on my list, and we have to prove it to you. I understand that. But we expect to have some new creative in the market by mid-second quarter at the latest.

speaker
Matt Miranda

Okay. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Curtis Nagel with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
spk05

Terrific. Thanks for taking my questions. So first one, and then I have a follow-up, is on comments you made. It sounds like you're backing the prior team's long-term growth plans. Do you still think you can hit that targeted, I think, what was it, $2 to $2.5 billion in three to four years despite a much lower revenue base? And I guess why? And The second question was, still trying to work out the gross margin math, right? So we have much larger wholesale penetration land, right, for the year. I think there's like a thousand-bit difference between wholesale and TTC. So I understand that things are in place here, or you're putting in place things to improve some of the operational efficiency, but is that not a big continual headwind? So, yeah, I guess how do we get to that mid-40s gross margin at the end of the year with that wholesale headwind in the business?

speaker
Rob Demartini

All right. Kurt, if I could, I'll take them backwards, but I'll answer both questions. The shift from is one of the first things I talked about with the board when I looked at the long-range plans before I joined. The shift to wholesale under normal, under normal is the wrong word, under mature development would clearly be dilutive. I think this company has been chasing demand for so long that I believe we can offset that by greater efficiencies in the operation. So while the straight shift is dilutive, there is enough opportunity in manufacturing and marketing effectiveness and to some degree in pricing and product construction that I believe we can offset it. That really flows directly to the long-range plan. And while I'm not experienced enough yet to project for you the timing, you know, when I think about the progress this company's had in the premium side of the category, with mostly an e-commerce only approach. And, you know, as I said before, we're an 11 share of the premium category. There's plenty of headroom. Now, I've also learned pretty quickly, this is a very competitive category. So I don't take any of my competitors lightly. But is the room there for us to be a two to two and a half billion dollar company? Absolutely. Absolutely. And we got to go earn it. Nobody's going to give us a single SharePoint, but it's here to be had if we execute well. Okay. Thank you.

speaker
spk00

Thank you, Kurt.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our last question comes from Atul Mahaswari with UBS. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Atul Mahaswari

Good evening. Thanks a lot for taking my question. I have a two-parter, but I'm going to ask the guidance question first. So just going back to the revenue guidance and the implications that you have in the guidance, that calls for a pretty sharp acceleration later in the year. Is this contingent on industry demand improving, or do you believe you can achieve this outlook, even if the industry demands remain pretty consistent with where it is right now?

speaker
Rob Demartini

Atul, it's a good question. And, you know, we built these plans, and then... on the basis of the strategic choices and better execution. Clearly, the headwinds of the last month or so haven't made that any easier, but we are confident in those numbers. So I do think it's us executing better inside the category as opposed to the category giving us much of a tailwind.

speaker
Atul Mahaswari

Got it. And then as my follow-up, Rob, just based on the due diligence that you've done over the past two months since you were here, What were the primary reasons that Purple's revenues didn't accelerate even after the production issues were fixed later in the third quarter and marketing was ramped up in the fourth quarter? So what caused the, what was the holdback?

speaker
Rob Demartini

Atul, I don't think I'm in a great position to talk about what happened six months ago. I just, you know, I've just been running companies long enough to know that situational decisions are what they are, and it's hard for me to look at it. I do think that as demand shifted back towards wholesale, we were not as mature there as we wanted to be, and our showroom footprint is still quite small. So we just were poorly positioned to maintain those peaks that were driven by store closures and stimulus checks. You know, whether that's the right answer or not, I'm not going to project it. It's just what I've observed so far. And at the same time, I see that if we mature our channel development strategies well, then there's plenty of room for this brand to grow going well into the future.

speaker
Atul Mahaswari

Got it. Good luck. Thank you for that, and good luck with this year.

speaker
Rob Demartini

Thank you, Atul.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the floor back over to Rob Demartini for any closing comments.

speaker
Rob Demartini

Well, thank you. I want to reiterate my confidence in both the fundamentals of this company and our ability to pull together as a team to get back on track. Purple's future has a lot of potential, and with our focus on executional excellence, elevating the brand, channel development, and product innovation, I know we can get there. Thank you to our community of employees, customers, and partners, and investors for your patience during this transition period. I'm excited to be here with you, and I look forward to building a strong future together. Thank you all very much.

speaker
Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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