Precipio, Inc.

Q4 2022 Earnings Conference Call

4/3/2023

spk00: Welcome to the Precipio Shareholder 2022 fourth quarter and year-end shareholder update conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. Please note that the conference is being recorded. Statements made during this call contain forward-looking statements about our business. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements as these statements are based upon our current expectations, forecasts and assumptions, and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. These statements may be identified by words such as may, will, should, could, expect, intend, plan, anticipate, believe, estimate, predict, potential, forecast, continue, or the negative of these terms or other words or terms of similar meaning. Risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those set forth in any forward-looking statement include, but are not limited to, the matters listed under risk factors in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 30, 2022, which was on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, as well as other risks detailed in our subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These reports are available at www.sec.gov. Statements and information, including forward-looking statements, speak only to the date they are provided unless an earlier date is indicated, and we do not undertake any obligation to publicly update any statements or information, including forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except as required by law. Now, please let me hand the call over to Elon Daniele, Precipio CEO.
spk01: Thank you, MJ, and good afternoon. Thank you for joining our call for this year-end show. First of all, please accept my apologies for my voice. I was a little bit under the weather over the weekend, and now I'm recovering, but my throat is lagging. So I'm going to try to make this call short and to the point. By now, most of you have hopefully had an opportunity to glance at our 2022 annual filing. While we've shown some growth in our numbers with approximately 10% on the pathology side and 50% on the product side, it's obviously not what we were hoping for. Earlier this year, our team spent quite a bit of time conducting self-reflection sessions to understand and analyze the results and identify an action plan for what we need to do to achieve better results in 2023. I think the recent press releases have already shown us that we're on the right track. We believe that 2023 is going to be a very different year than 2022. And I'd like to share with you some of the reasons for this. Let me begin with the pathology business. As we close 2022, the pathology business still makes up the vast majority of our revenue while we build the product division. But the pathology business is also the core, the heart and soul of the vision of our company, which is to battle the problem of misdiagnosis. However, we didn't meet our goal. As a result, changes have been made within the commercial team, which we expect will result in a significant improvement to those numbers. In fact, already as initial evidence of that, we recently finished March with a record number of cases in the company's history and exceeded $1 million in cash collections in the same month. So we believe we're on the right track going forward. Keep in mind that the goal for the pathology division is to serve as an engine for the development of future products. Therefore, rather than building a huge lab with a huge sales team and tremendous operation, we're focused on building a high-class boutique operation for our customers that is financially sustainable while generating the patient samples we need in order to continue to develop our existing products, such as IV cell and heme screen, as well as future products. That breakeven number for financial self-sustainability is around 14 million. We ended 2022 with a run rate of about 9 million. By the end of Q2, with the addition of some major customers, we expect to exceed a run rate of 11 million, well on our way to meet our goal of financial sustainability. AI cash flow breakeven for the pathology division. We've restructured our team and created a tiered incentive program that attracts and rewards our high performers. Now let's move to the product division. Last year, we established our product line with Eamescreen and went out to the market. We realized that penetrating labs, particularly after COVID, is not a simple task. Building a direct sales force is expensive, cumbersome, and takes time to see the fruits of that investment. Fortunately, in the middle of 2022, we were approached by Thermo Fisher and subsequently signed a pivotal distribution agreement with them to market heme screens. For those of you who don't know who Thermo Fisher is, I view them as the equivalent of Amazon for the laboratory world. There's virtually no laboratory in the US, or indeed anywhere in the world, that doesn't buy products from Thermo Fisher. They have a massive sales force with both the depth of expertise and the breadth of reach necessary to successfully access any lab that is a target for HeemScreen. The agreement with them was signed in Q3, and we officially launched in Q4 of last year. The launch included a formal training session with their leadership team, followed by ongoing work with their team to educate them on the benefits of HeemScreen, customer targeting, and market penetration. You may have seen that in January of this year, HeemScreen was recognized by the Fisher team and won the award for the best new product for 2023. As a result of our efforts, we've seen significant increase in the pipeline of prospective customers that are now engaging with us for the purchase and setup of HeemScreen. The relationship with Thermo Fisher is in addition to another major healthcare distributor, which for the agreement with them remains unnamed, but is proven to be a formidable partner to us in leveraging their sales force to introduce HeemScreen to their customer base. The combined power of these two sales forces equals over 250 reps and supporting staff that have access to virtually every potential customer in the U.S. The benefit of this is that Precipio now has access to this sales force while the cost structure is a variable commission base and therefore serves as a variable cost that is commensurate with revenue. This makes for a very attractive growth model. You've heard me say before that there's probably not enough money in the world that would enable us to build such a competent sales force, and I'm grateful that we have the opportunity to work with such world-class organizations. I'm even more grateful that we have a structure that is scalable and financially attractive for both parties, making it a win-win. Moving to 2023, if I had to choose one word to describe the action goal for this year, that word is conversion. You've already begun to see this in recent press releases that began in December and through Q1, showing you some of the deals that we've signed with mainstream customers and their expected financial impact. Keep in mind, that our customers become recurring revenue customers, which gives us two things. First, it provides us with an ongoing revenue stream that continues to come in as we grow the business. Second, it provides us with a high level of predictability into our operations, manufacturing, financials, and cash needs going forward. The reagent business within our field is a very attractive business to be in, and I'm sure you're well aware of other major players and their financial results. The initial customer penetration shown as the team screen is an attractive product that solves a real clinical, operational, and economic problem for the laboratories. And the initial adoption of this product seems very promising. The fact that major distributors have embraced this product is yet another market indicator of the power of this technology. What I'm trying to do is paint a picture for you, the shareholder, of what each customer means to our revenues and road back to work even. The nice thing about our business model is that as we scale up our heme screen revenues, there is virtually no incremental cost other than cost of goods. We need to hire no more sales reps as we're leveraging the sales reps of our distributors. Our support team is in place and are set to handle significant customer growth. The good news, by the way, is that we've seen that for the most part, once our customers are alive, they require very little help from us due to the simplicity of the technology. In addition, Our manufacturing capabilities are currently well in excess of production of $30 million of product annually. So for the foreseeable future, we require no further investments on the manufacturing side to support the growth. All this translates into a very attractive model for the company, where a substantial percentage of the revenue impacts the bottom line and can have a significant impact on our cash flow. As of now, given our operating expenses for both divisions, Our company projected at $8 million of product revenue alongside the 14 million for the pathology side, the business will reach break even. Our goal is to reach that number this year. And as you will see from our Q1 results, as well as the ongoing press releases, we are well on our way to achieving that goal. And all this happens because of one word, conversion. Management's entire focus is on taking our leads, introductions, and pipeline of customers forward. converted them into existing business, into revenue, into cash. This is the time where we begin to leverage our structure, where our expenses are mostly fixed, our margins are attractive, and we have a strong distribution channel so that each customer we onboard has a significant impact to the bottom line. So this is what you can expect to see from us this year, consistent, ongoing, and accelerated conversion of this pipeline into a cash. each of them serving as another building block of recurring revenue for the company. Lastly, I'd like to discuss cash flow and cash needs. As you know, we've been using the ATM facility as our periodical source to bring in capital as needed. In our analysis, this is the least dilutive option, and given our situation, is by far the best vehicle to finance the company. Any substantial capital raised would have to go through a process of filings and announcements that could prove very harmful to the share price. And so the ATM provides a nice, simple and inexpensive option that we will continue to use. For the foreseeable future, we don't have any plans to conduct any substantial capital rates. We believe that once we are cash flow positive and continue to grow into positive earnings company, then we'll be in a different situation entirely, both from a share price and market cap perspective. At that point, The opportunities to grow the business changed dramatically. But for now, we are hunkering down, focusing on one action, conversion. I apologize. I know my voice doesn't sound that way, but I'm really excited for 2023. Last year, we didn't have the commercial team we have today. We didn't have the distribution partners that we have. We didn't have the marketing, training, and development elements that we now have, ensuring that these partnerships are successful and that our team and our product is well-positioned in the markets. With a strong wing in our back from Q1, I think you're going to be very happy with the upcoming results and with our continued building of our customer base. Lastly, I want to remind you that despite all the focus around HeemScreen, our vision is not to be a single product company. HeemScreen is indeed our golden goose, and that's what's going to get us to the promised land of Castle Creek even. So for now, we're all hands on HeemScreen debt. But once we get there, we're going to unleash our talented R&D team to continue developing and bringing to market other products that have similar value and similar market opportunities, leveraging the engine that we've developed to bring these products to market in a low and scalable cost. I look forward to connecting with you again after our Q1 results are out. By then, we expect to have more news items that will demonstrate our continued growth and progress towards the financial goals for the company for 2023. Thank you, and have a nice evening.
spk00: The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

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