5/9/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Unicure first quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there'll be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To answer your question, press star 11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your speaker for today, Chiara Russo, Senior Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Chiara Russo
Senior Director of Investor Relations

Thank you. Good morning, and thank you for joining us for Unicare's inaugural quarterly earnings call. Earlier this morning, Unicare released its financial results for the first quarter of 2025. The press release is available on the Investors in Media section of our website at unicure.com, and our 10Q will be filed with the SEC later today. Joining me on the call this morning are Matt Capusa, Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Walid Abisab, Chief Medical Officer, and Christian Klemp, our Chief Financial Officer. After our formal remarks, we'll open up the call for Q&A. Please know that we'll be making forward-looking statements during this investor call. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements. They are based on management's beliefs and assumptions, and on information available to management only as of the date of this conference call. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements for many reasons, including, without limitations, the factors described in UNICUR's most recent SEC filings. Given these risks, you should not put undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, and we assume no obligation to update these statements, even if new information becomes available in the future. Now, let me introduce Matt Cavista, Unicare's CEO.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Kiara, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our call today. I'm very pleased to share with you our first quarter 2025 financial results and provide an update on the progress of our four clinical stage gene therapy programs. As we continue to advance our pipeline and drive AMT 130 closer to a planned BLA submission, we are commencing quarterly earnings calls to provide regular updates on our progress. I'm joined today by Dr. Waleed Abisab, our Chief Medical Officer, and Christian Klent, our Chief Financial Officer, who each provide updates on their respective areas. I'd like to begin by reflecting on what has been a truly remarkable last 12 months for Unicure. and why we believe 2025 has the potential to be a transformational year for the company, with multiple important value-driving milestones ahead. Last July, we presented compelling two-year data from our Huntington's program, demonstrating AMT 130's potential to meaningfully slow disease progression. Then in November, we announced alignment with the FDA on key elements of an accelerated approval pathway, which include the use of a natural history external control and CUHDRS as a registrational intermediate clinical endpoint. In 2025, we continue to make strong progress with AMT130. In April, the FDA granted breakthrough therapy designation, underscoring both the urgent need in Huntington's disease and the strength of our clinical data. In recent weeks, we've had multiple productive interactions with the FDA focused on preparing for a planned BLA submission, and we look forward to providing a detailed regulatory update later this quarter after we receive formal meeting minutes. We're also making good progress towards initiating CNC process validation, another important step in support of the planned BLA submission. In addition to the strong progress made with our Huntington's program, We've also expanded our clinical pipeline with the initiation of three additional clinical studies in refractory temporal lobe epilepsy, or TLE, Fabry disease, and SOD1 ALS. In the quarter, we continue to advance enrollment in both our Fabry and SOD1 ALS studies, and we look forward to presenting initial Fabry data in the second half of 2025. We've completed enrollment of the first two dose cohorts in our SOD1 ALS trial, and currently have several patients screening for our TLE clinical study. We also expect to share preliminary results from the first patient dose in the TLE study at an upcoming scientific meeting later this month. Lastly, Unicure continues to be in a strong financial position with more than $400 million of cash on hand as of March 31st. Last year, we significantly reduced our cash burn with the divestiture of our GMP manufacturing facility, and organizational restructuring. We further strengthened our balance sheet with the completion of a targeted $80 million follow-on offering earlier this year. Together, these actions provide us the financial flexibility to advance our pipeline, including the planned BLA submission and launch of AMT 130, and support key data readouts from our other clinical programs. Overall, I'm incredibly proud of the progress our team made in the first quarter. We delivered on our key objectives and remain on track to meet the strategic goals outlined for 2025. Our continued focus and disciplined execution positioned us well for what we expect will be a transformative year for Unicure. I'll now turn the call over to Waleed to provide a more detailed clinical update. Waleed?

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Thank you, Matt. Good morning and good afternoon, everyone. During the first quarter of 2025, we made meaningful progress across our pipeline of clinical stage gene therapies. Let me start with AMT130. AMT130 for the treatment of Huntington's disease has made significant gains over the last 12 months, beginning in May of last year with the granting of the regenerative medicine advanced therapy, or RMAT designation by the FDA, the first for Huntington's disease. In July, we announced positive long-term follow-up data on AMT130, supporting dose-dependent slowing of Huntington's disease progression. In November, we successfully aligned with the FDA on key elements for an accelerated approval pathway, including the use of the composite unified Huntington's disease rating scale, or CUHCRS, a functional measure as an intermediate clinical endpoint. In February of this year, we completed enrollment of all 12 patients in the third cohort of the Phase 1-2 trial, and I will be reviewing the short-term safety data with you in just a moment. In April, AMT-130 was granted breakthrough therapy designation by the FDA, further underscoring the potential promise of this program and the urgent need for disease-modifying treatments for this devastating condition. Most importantly, We believe our interactions with the FDA in both the first and second quarters of this year have been productive. We expect to provide a more comprehensive regulatory update, including guidance on the planned BLA submission later this quarter, and additional clinical data in the third quarter of this year. Now I'd like to move on to cohort three. Based on our experiences from cohort one and two, which did not include prophylactic immunosuppression, We believe AMT-130 is generally safe and well-tolerated at both doses. Cohort 3, which completed enrollment in February, was designed to evaluate the impact of prophylactic immunosuppression regimen consisting of dexamethasone, sirolimus, and rituximab. This cohort includes 12 patients, blinded and randomized to receive either the high or low dose of AMT-130. Key observations from Core 3 are as follows. AMT130 continues to be generally well-tolerated at both doses with no treatment-related serious adverse events reported. There were three serious adverse events related to immunosuppression which were observed, mania, MRSA infection from an abrasion, and fever, all of which resolved fully with standard of care interventions. Perioperative changes in CSF-NFL were consistent with previously reported observations, reinforcing their association with the surgical procedure. Based on these results, we believe a short two-week course of steroids represents an appropriate and optimized immunosuppression strategy to accompany AMT130. We view this as a favorable outcome and plan to review this data with external advisors in the near future. Importantly, we do not anticipate any impact on the potential timing of a BLA submission. Moving on to mesial temporal lobe epilepsy, the team remains focused on driving patient enrollment in the Phase I-II trial of AMT-260. Following the implementation of FDA-cleared protocol amendments to broaden eligibility, the trial now has 12 active clinical sites with more expected to be activated throughout the year. We plan to present a case study for the first dose patients, including initial safety and exploratory efficacy data, at the Epilepsy Therapies and Diagnostics Development Symposium on Thursday, May 29th. In Fabry disease, we announced a favorable safety review by the Independent Data Monitoring Committee and have now treated a total of four patients in the Phase 1-2 study. We expect to share initial patient data in the second half of this year. Similarly, in the Phase 1-2 study of AMT162 and SOD1 ALS, following the review of the initial safety data, the IDMCA recommended proceeding with enrollment in the second cohort. The team has now completed enrollment in the second cohort and expects to initiate enrollment in the third cohort in the third quarter of this year. Now, I will turn the call over to Christian for a financial update.

speaker
Christian Klemp
Chief Financial Officer

Christian? Thank you, Hamid. I'll start off by sharing financial highlights of the first quarter of 2025. Please refer to the earnings press release issued this morning and our quarterly filing for additional details. Revenue for the first quarter was $1.6 million compared to $8.5 million in the same period of 2024. The decrease of $6.9 million in revenue was mainly from a decrease of $3.3 million of collaboration revenue and a decrease of $4 million in contract manufacturing revenue. Following the divestment of the Lexington facility in July 2024, revenue from contract manufacturing is recorded net cost within other expenses. Cost of contract manufacturing revenues were nil in the first quarter compared to $9.1 million for the same period in 2024. Again, Following the divestment of the Lexington facility in July 2024, cost of contract manufacturing is recorded net of revenue within other expenses. Research and development expenses were $36.1 million in the quarter compared to $40.7 million during the same period in 2024. The majority of the cost reduction was related to a decrease in employee-related expenses and facility expenses. This was partially offset by a $5.8 million increase in external program spend, primarily related to the submission of a BLA for our hunting program. Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $10.9 million in the quarter, compared to $13.9 million during the same period in 2024. The decrease was, again, primarily due to a reduction of employee-related expenses. Cash, cash equivalents, and investment securities totaled $409 million as of March 31st, 2025, compared to $367.5 million as of December 31st, 2024. The increase is primarily related to the net proceeds of $80.5 million from a first quarter full-on offering. This strong balance sheet provides Unicure with the resources clinical, and operational strategy, including the planned U.S. launch of AMT-130. We expect cash, cash equivalents, and investment securities will be sufficient to fund operations into the second half of 2027. I'll now turn the call back over to Matt.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks for that update, Christian. As you've heard today, we believe 2025 will be a transformative year for Unit Europe. We continue to advance a robust pipeline of gene therapies and expect to present data from all of our clinical programs over the next 12 months. We look forward to continuing our productive engagement with the FDA on AMT-130 and expect to update you on our recent interactions, including the expected timing of a BLA submission later this quarter once we receive formal meeting minutes. In addition, we expect to share new data in the third quarter from our ongoing Phase 1-2 study to further support the planned BLA submission. We're extremely excited about the opportunities ahead of Unicure and remain focused on delivering innovative therapies that can improve the lives of the patients we serve. We look forward to keeping you updated on our continued progress. With that, we will open the call to take questions from our research analysts. Operator, please proceed.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1-1 on your telephone. You'll hear the automatic message devising your hand is raised. We also ask that you limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Please wait for your name and company to be announced before proceeding with your question. One moment. And our first question will come from the line of Luca Issa of RBC. Your line is open. Oh, great.

speaker
Luca Issa
Research Analyst, RBC

Thanks so much for taking my question and congrats on all the progress. Maybe one for either Matt or Waleed on the new CBER head. Obviously, Ultragenyx is a company with a long history in rare disease. It's on record saying that Dr. Prasad may not be the right guy for the job. I guess two questions. One, would you agree with Ultragenyx? And two, maybe bigger picture, how confident are you that all the productive conversations that you have had so far with CBER on Huntington will not be flipped upside down by the new leadership. I much appreciate it.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. Yeah, thanks, Luca. First, let me just state that, honestly, I very much look forward to working with Dr. Prasad and really do appreciate his public service. The reality is that no matter who's the director of CBER, we believe strongly in our data. And we believe in the end that this is going to carry the day. I also want to point out something really important in terms of the reliance on surrogate biomarkers, which has been something that I think has come up over the last couple of days. You have to keep in mind that this is not our approach with AMT 130. We're going to be seeking accelerated approval based on three plus years of clinical outcomes and utilizing a clinical measure as a primary endpoint. So honestly, I believe that this is a key differentiator for AM 2130, and I remain really encouraged about our path forward.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Got it. Thanks so much. Thank you. One moment for the next question. And the next question will be coming from the line of Debit Jadapuhe of Guggenheim. Your line is open.

speaker
Debit Jadapuhe
Research Analyst, Guggenheim

Hey, good morning. Thanks for indulging me on two questions. The number one question How confident are you on the three-year follow-up data on the DUHDRS, and what would you consider as a good outcome? And I have a follow-up.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Wally, do you want to answer that one?

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Sure. As you know, we've been monitoring these patients for a long time. We have not been doing any additional analyses on the data. but it's very clear what we submitted to the FDA included data two years from these patients, but we also have some other patients on the low dose that have been treated even much longer than that. We have no indication at all that we lose any of the efficacy over time. As a result, we believe that the dose-dependent reduction in CUHCRS that we observed at the two-year data will be maintained when we evaluate the three-year data. So we feel very confident about our results going forward.

speaker
Debit Jadapuhe
Research Analyst, Guggenheim

Got it. Appreciate that. And the last question, will the third quarter update include propensity math scoring based on the agreed upon SAP, or will that analysis be withheld for the BLS submission only? Thank you, and congrats.

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Yeah, thank you. Yeah, so the plan is to essentially agree with the FDA and finalize the statistical analysis plan before we lock the database and analyze the data. And at that point, we will be sharing the top-down results of these data. As you know, we have to be careful the degree to which we share from the data because the data would have been not yet reviewed by the FDA, but it will be the analysis that we would have agreed to with the FDA.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. One moment for the next question. And the next question will come from the line of Paul Matias of Stifel, your line is open.

speaker
Paul Matias
Research Analyst, Stifel

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I appreciate it. As it relates to the SAP and the different sort of permutations there, I was wondering if you can kind of walk through your approach to this recent meeting. You know, what are the different things you suggested? So that's one. Two, you know, Matt and Willie, we talked at a conference earlier this year as it relates to the pros and cons of three-year versus two-year national history comparisons with survivorship bias and things like that. So maybe you can just kind of give us an update. on where your head is at. And then three, just in terms of waiting for the meeting minutes, I understand that that's the best practice. But are you waiting for the minutes to make sure you fully understand how the meeting went down and that you want to clarify things? Or is this more good housekeeping to not get in front of the FDA? Thanks so much.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I'll just answer the last one. And then in terms of the approach to the meeting or two versus three years, I'll give that to Waleed. This is good housekeeping, this is just an appropriate thing to do best practice is to make sure you have the complete written responses so that it's it's really that simple and then on the approach to the meeting and two verse three years while we wanted to address those.

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

I mean, look, this is this has been an ongoing study. We have people who have been also treated for up to four years. The overwhelming majority of patients would have three year data and and, you know, the, the, the assessment is to look at the totality of the data. So we must look at the most relevant data sets and that's the three year because that's where the majority of patients are. Of course, we will be looking at the two years. We will be providing the four-year data, but the primary analysis will be based on the three-year data. And the reason for this is that you want to be able to continue to see the promising effects that we've seen at two years are continuing to be manifested at three years and beyond, and so we cannot just look at the earlier part and ignore where the majority of the data are. That's really simply what this is about.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. And our next question will be coming from the line of Patrick Truccio of HC Wainwright. Your line is open.

speaker
Patrick Truccio

Thanks. Good morning. Just a clarification on, now that you've held the Type B meetings on both CMC and the SAP for AMT 130, would you anticipate any additional regulatory interactions ahead of the BLA filing? And then separately, Regarding the Cohort 3 update, I'm wondering if you can elaborate on the three immunosuppression-related SAUs reported in Cohort 3, and what changes, if any, were made to the protocols or perioperative management?

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I mean, I'll address maybe the first question. You know, we'll talk about the path forward when we provide a regulatory update, but I think, as we stated in the prepared remarks, We've had very constructive interactions with the FDA. We've previously gotten very clear feedback. We obviously look forward to providing the regulatory update, and we feel very encouraged about our path forward. Waleed, do you want to address the cohort three?

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Yeah, sure. So maybe I can take a step back a little bit and kind of you know, summarize why we did this. So, starting with this, that we believe that AMT-130 is generally safe and well-tolerated based on our experience in cohorts one and two. In that context, there was no perioperative immunosuppression. And what we saw, that was some edema and CNS inflammation from the infusion, particularly at the high dose, which manifested within several days of the procedure. But all of these serious adverse events resolved with either supportive therapy in two out of those four cases, and the other two resolved after a short course of steroid therapy. Now, in Core 3, we set out to evaluate the effects of a triple regimen, as I said, including steroids, rituximab, and serolimus. And we have not observed any drug-related adverse events attributable to EMT130. We have observed three serious adverse events related to immunosuppression. Mania, which is a well-known adverse event of prolonged corticosteroid therapy, and infection and fever, which probably are related to the triple regimen of immunosuppression. And all of these events fully resolved with standard care interventions. So, overall, you know, we have to some degree answered our question. We were quite, we believe we have a good outcome here. We think the optimal way going forward is most likely going to be a short two-week course of corticosteroids that would be given perioperatively with AMT-130. We will be double-checking these and discussing with our external advisors. But if you ask me today my opinion, that would be my advice going forward.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Perfect. Thanks so much. Sure. Thank you. And our next question will be coming from the line of Joseph Schwartz of Leary Partners. Your line is open.

speaker
Jenny (on behalf of Joe Schwartz)
Research Analyst, Leary Partners

Hi, this is Jenny on for Joe. Thank you for taking our questions. Just another 1 on facade. We've heard some strong and somewhat contradictory opinions about patient advocacy advocacy groups from him. We've heard him say that the patient voice is probably the most important 1 at the table. But then we've also heard him express concerns about these groups that take funding from pharmaceutical companies, especially if they've been vocal about lowering regulatory standards for approval. And Huntington's, we're aware of the Huntington's Disease Society of America. What kind of relationship do you have with them? Do you know if they've interacted with the FDA? And also, would just love to hear your thoughts about the HG community in general, since we know at least some of them were kind of hesitant about expediting development after Tom and Erson ran a plan. Thank you.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Well, Lee, do you want to address that?

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Sure. Thanks, Matt. We've been having a very long history working with CHDI and a number of other patient advocacy organizations working in Huntington's disease. Honestly, we would not be here today, not us, not other ones in the field, if there was no deep commitment from the patients, from the patient advocates, and also from all the experts. generate these very elaborate and very sophisticated natural history that really gave us the understanding of the course of the disease, regardless of the stage of hunting the disease, so that we can truly compare our trials to that. So without them, honestly, we will not be here today. These patient organizations, I find them to be extremely balanced. They work with all organizations, they work with regulators, they work with various pharma and biotech companies, and they make their data available to be used in a scientifically valid manner. I have never seen them favor one group versus the other. I think they're really well respected. And actually, last year in the late October or early November timeframe, there was a very important meeting that was held by the FDA. that invited the patient's organization and heard from a number of them. I think that speaks to the respect that they have for them and their really equitable balance in the way they conduct themselves. So I really feel very fortunate that we have that relationship with them. I don't feel them to be biased at all. And honestly, without them, we would not be here today. Not us and not other companies that you've seen recently who have used the natural history data.

speaker
Jenny (on behalf of Joe Schwartz)
Research Analyst, Leary Partners

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. One moment. Our next question will be coming from the line of Sylvan Richter of Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

speaker
Lydia
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, this is Lydia. I'm from Sylvan. Thanks so much for taking our questions and congrats on all the progress. Maybe just on the third cohort of AMT 130, do you plan to include these data in the potential BLA filing, even though I think you've noted you don't believe they'll be necessary for the filing? Thanks so much.

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Yeah, thank you, Matt. I assume I'm responding to this, so I'm going to go. Yeah, thank you for this question. Yes, of course, at the time of submitting the BLA, all data from all the patients that we have for as long as we have them as of the cutoff will be included in the data. So as such, the 12 patients we will be part of the totality of the data for the FDA to review.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thanks so much. Thank you. Next question will be coming from the line of Joseph Throme of TD Cowan. Your line is open. Hi there. Good morning.

speaker
Joseph Throme
Research Analyst, TD Cowan

Thank you for taking my question and addressing the progress. Just to clarify, what's the latest data set that the FDA has seen in terms of the data cut versus what's been publicly released? And have they seen any of that cohort three data with the updated immunosuppression regimen? And maybe just to be clear, the two-week immunosuppression with steroid that you're suggesting, is this identical to what the initial patients received in the study?

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

So Matt, I'll take those two as well. So the data set that we shared with you back in July of 2024 last year included 21 patients who had crossed the two-year time point. That was based on a data cut of March of 2024. When we met with the FDA in November, that is the most recent data that we shared with them, which was based on the June data. of last year cut, which included three more patients at the high dose. So in total, they saw data from 24 patients at two years, 12 at the high dose, and 12 at the low dose. There has been no additional data shared with them since then, since our meetings with them regarding SAP and the Natural History Protocol and CMC were about those specific topics without any review of data. So they did not see any additional data. They did not see any data from cohort three. Regarding the two-week steroids, so for first course one and two, there were no systematic perioperative immunosuppression given, including steroids. So this will be the first time that we would be using this regimen. The reason why we're choosing it is because two weeks of steroids is very commonly used in neurosurgical procedures. Two weeks of steroid therapy is also the adverse event profile of that immunosuppression is well understood and considered to be very low. So, you know, that's why we're choosing it going forward.

speaker
Unknown Speaker
Participant

Great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Sure. Thank you. And our next question will be coming from the line of Ellie Merle of UBS. Your line is open.

speaker
Ellie Merle
Analyst, UBS

Hey guys, thanks for taking the question. I'm just curious if you can update us on the latest in terms of this CMC work and specifically how long you think the CMC requirements will take in order to complete, in order to be ready for filing. Since I think in the past you've said the timing of the filing would be more driven by when you'd be able to complete the CMC requirements. And then just a second question, just in terms of the selection of the natural history comparator, and the composition of that. I guess after you met with the FDA and discussed the STAP plan, how confident are you that the natural history will look similar to the natural history that you've used before and when you presented the data?

speaker
Unknown Speaker
Participant

So just in terms of the composition of that, thanks. Oh, okay.

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

I'm going to be answering both questions. So this is Walid again. So the CMC, you know, there are a series of, you know, well-agreed and thought-through plans for this. We will be sharing with you, you know, the overall timeline for BLA submission when we provide the regulatory update at the end of the year. All of this is not new to us. Excuse me. As we've said before, we're leveraging the significant experience we have with hemogenics. We're manufacturing MT130 in the same place by generally the same people. And a lot of this has been leveraged in discussing with the FDA. So we'll provide more granular information on this. when we provide the regulatory update in the second quarter. On the selection of natural history, I think we've discussed that we're evaluating a number of natural histories. We've had that discussion with the FDA. We will be updating you again as part of that regulatory update as to where we landed on this. I do not anticipate for this to have any significant difference on what we have been reporting so far. or at least last time we reported it to you back in July of last year. So, I think we're still going in the same direction. I don't expect any difference in the outcome. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thanks. Thank you. Our next question will be coming from the line of of . Your line is open.

speaker
Unknown Analyst
Participant

Hello. Yeah, hi. Hi. Yeah, sorry, I didn't hear who the whose name was announced. Sorry. Yeah. So a couple of questions from us. Between the CMC meeting and your recent meeting with the FDA, were there any changes in the key personnel? And secondly, you know, given the new CBER director, Are you, I know it's early, are you thinking that, have your thoughts on developing your current pipeline change in any way? And just wanted to make sure. So it's the three year data that will be used for AMT 130 filing, is that right?

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Thanks. Okay, very good. Matt, are you back on?

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

I think we're back on, yeah. Yeah, so I think you've asked a few questions here. So the first one was around the CMC and the personnel that we've interacted with at the FDA. We've had no material impact on anybody that is part of the review team that we've obviously can see. You know, there's some public record of people that have resigned. There's been at least 30 people that have been involved in our various interactions, and there's been no material changes that we're aware of. Just in terms of your second question about the other pipeline programs, we continue to be very encouraged about the programs that we have. We're going to be generating data across those programs over the course of the next six to 12 months, and we're very excited to do that. and obviously are hoping that we're able to determine a path forward and to establish a clinical proof of concept. And then just in terms of the two to three year data, I think as Waleed mentioned, we'll provide, we'll obviously provide a more detailed update when we provide our regulatory update. I think what Waleed is pointing out is that in the third quarter we're going to have 27 patients at two years and 24 patients at three years. So no matter what we look at, it's going to be very important that the totality of the data continue to reflect the trends that we continue to see, both at two years and three years.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. Thank you. And our next question will be coming from the line of Susan Van Vortensen of VLK. Thank you. Your line is open.

speaker
Suzanne Van Vortensen
Analyst, VLK

Hi, team. This is Suzanne from Kempen. Thanks for taking my questions. I know the focus is very much on the data and the BLA, but can you elaborate a bit on your preliminary thinking on the commercial plans and the rollout, the focus on centers, what you consider key target groups, et cetera? And secondly, can you share your current thinking on a potential filing in Europe and or thoughts on the partnership ex-US. Thank you.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Okay. So, we will talk in more detail going forward about the commercial strategy. What I can tell you is we're very excited about the potential here in Huntington's. Obviously, there's no disease modifying treatments that are available for these patients. And we believe that being able to demonstrate meaningful slowing of disease progression would be a transformational leap forward for this community. Just in terms of prevalence, it's probably one of the largest genetically defined diseases. And we honestly believe that we have a very good shot at being not only first to market, but best in class. So we're really excited about that. We're right now focused on regulatory interactions with the United States, and now that we've established an accelerated path forward, we'll be engaging with regulators in Europe, and we'll talk more about that. We are preparing for commercialization. As I said, we're very excited about this opportunity, no doubt strategic. are excited about this opportunity as well. This is a needle moving area for both large biotechs and large pharma companies. So there's certainly a lot of strategic interest in Huntington's. And in the end, we're always going to do what's in the best interest of our shareholders.

speaker
Unknown Speaker
Participant

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

One moment for the next question. And the next question is coming from the line of Sammy Corwin of William Blair. Your line is open.

speaker
Sammy Corwin
Research Analyst, William Blair

Hey there. Thanks for taking my questions and congrats on the progress. I guess as you kind of think about the longer-term strategy for AMT-130, how are you thinking about potentially evaluating it in patients with earlier stage or later stage disease? And then I was also curious if you could give us, provide any color, I guess, on the number of physicians in the U.S. who would be capable of performing the administration necessary for AMT-130. Thank you.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Waleed, do you want to answer that?

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

So right now, as you know, in this first trial, we evaluated patients who are early manifest because we believe that this is the best chance to maximize the functions, to preserve as much functions as possible. but also at the same time that we need to have enough time to evaluate them to see whether there is an impact on the course of disease. If you take people much earlier, at a pre-symptomatic stage, then it's gonna take you much, much longer to be able to show evidence of stopping or slowing disease progression. As we now move forward with this, of course, there will be great interest to try and figure out whether you can intervene earlier or later. And those are really early stages right now that we need to be discussing those with the regulators to see what would be the best path going forward. There's no good reason to believe that you should be excluding patients depending on their stage of the disease. At the same time, we need to be able to generate data to convince us that actually those people are set to benefit from it. So I know I'm not giving you a real answer, but this is really early days in our thinking about it, and we need to engage with the regulators to have a much better idea about how we would be approaching for both patients, those who are earlier and pre-symptomatic, and what would be the endpoint in that case and how long we should treat them, and those who are maybe further advanced. There, I would imagine the limitation would be about being able to reach the deep structures of the brain where we need to inject our therapy in a safe manner. In other words, if there's not enough not significant atrophy that happens, such that we will be a bit unsafe to be able to get there. But that usually is a discussion that the neurosurgeon will be able to have. So I know it's not a very clean question to answer to your question, but this is our thinking as of today. Was there something else? I'm sorry, I might have missed another piece of your question.

speaker
Sammy Corwin
Research Analyst, William Blair

Yes, yes. How many physicians in the U.S. could be capable of performing the administration procedure?

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Right, so when we looked at this, there are upwards of 50 sites who can do this. And really, this is not a very complicated procedure. I mean, this is something that has been used right now for administering, you know, chemotherapy using sort of essentially a guided administration intraparenchymally in the brain using a frame. This is used commonly by neurosurgeons. They should be, it's not very complicated. So essentially, in our case, we need to have centers that essentially can do that, but also will have access to an MRI because, as you know, we do this To maximize the chances that we don't cut corners, this is a one and done, so we need to make sure that whoever's getting that therapy is getting the most out of it, so we're not navigating blind. We'll do it under MRI guidance. We will look exactly where we're injecting, and the neurosurgeon can adjust the course and make sure that the structures are appropriately filled. So those are really the two conditions. But when we look, there's plenty of centers in the U.S. I said more than 50 that can do it. And yeah, I think that's my answer to your question.

speaker
Sammy Corwin
Research Analyst, William Blair

That's good.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thanks. Thank you. And the next question will be coming from the line of Janhazu of Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

speaker
Janhazu
Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Great. Thanks for taking our questions and for the very helpful call. So maybe a couple of follow-up questions on topics already discussed. On the Lancet follow-up for the data in the filing package and also the control arm. On the Lancet follow-up, I think based on what I heard, it's maybe a discussion between two or three year or that might be the range. I just wanted to ask, could you confirm this is not going to be an even longer follow-up than a three-year follow-up for the filing? And on the external control, it sounds like there shouldn't be much surprise compared with what you have been thinking or what you have reported, but just wanted to confirm that in terms of the natural history study that you are looking forward to using is the same track HD and that study and not a different study like enroll HD or perhaps it doesn't matter. Please help with those questions. Thanks.

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Sure. On the first question, we have already discussed this last November with the FDA and agreed that the data cutoff of end of June of this year, 2025, will be the data cutoff, and we will use the totality of the data to support a BLA submission. At that time, we will have, as Matt said, 27 patients with two years of follow-up, 24 patients with three years of follow-up, Eight patients with four years and actually one patient with five years. But the totality of the data will be received. The primary analysis will be done on the three-year data because that's where the majority of the patients that is going to generate meaningful understanding of the rate of progression of the disease. Regarding external control, also we communicated that last time when we met with the FDA, we were asked to evaluate systematically all the available natural history protocols. And EnrollHD is one of the largest ones. Track and PredictHD we've used previously because they control the straddle volume. But now we've gone through this and systematically evaluated this. We've had discussions with the FDA and agreed on the one that we will be using as a primary. This will be part of our feedback to you when we provide the regulatory feedback. Again, I think you also answered your question in the question itself. We said it doesn't matter. Honestly, I don't think it does matter that much between those. The results between enroll, track, and predict in terms of the course of the disease provided that you do appropriate matching to your patient population generates virtually the same rate of decline that you see. Incidentally, if I may, you have seen probably recently data from PTC where they've used external control compared to a natural history. In that case, it was enrolled HD. They looked at the rate of decline in COHCRS after two years, and it came out at 1.1 If you recall, that's very close to the data that we shared with you last year in July where we used track and predict and we came out to virtually the same number. So that should give you and us confidence that in general, if you do the appropriate matching of your patient population, you're gonna end up in the same place after two years or in our case, three years.

speaker
Janhazu
Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Yes, indeed, that is what we saw. So thank you for clarifying all of that. Maybe as a quick follow-up, would the team care to share your view on PTC's data and their drug as a potential competitive consideration? Thanks.

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Well, perhaps Matt can speak about the competitive piece of it. From a scientific point of view, I do not think it's appropriate for us to comment on a competitor's data, especially when we don't see the full data set. It's not in a scientific presentation or a peer-reviewed publication. It's very difficult to do that, and I don't think it's appropriate for us to comment on that. Turn it over to you, Matt.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, well, I mean, I would just focus on our data I think our data that we presented last year showed an approximately 80% slowing of disease progression based on the composite UHDRS. We're very comfortable with our bioavailability of our drug because we can see real-time the filling of the structures when it's administered, and we're also very comfortable with our our target, right, which not only suppresses the full-length meat and Huntington protein, but also the short, highly toxic exon 1 fragment, which certainly provides differentiation. So, I mean, we're focused on our data, really encouraged by it, and also believe that our administration and our target makes us potentially best in class.

speaker
Janhazu
Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Got it. Thanks and congrats on the progress.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1-1 on your telephone. One moment for the next question. And the next question will be coming from the line of David Jitchapahe of Guggenheim. And it's a follow-up. There you go. Your line is up.

speaker
Debit Jadapuhe
Research Analyst, Guggenheim

Hey, thanks for letting me back in again. Just another follow-up for me. Has there been a discussion on what a future confirmatory study could look like, or would you not need one since CUSDRS is not a surrogate endpoint?

speaker
Dr. Walid Abisab
Chief Medical Officer

Well, We have discussed with the FDA back in November last year, and we actually at the time, we had a proposal in place. The FDA said we're not prepared to discuss what would the confirmatory study would look like until we have a chance to review the data that you submit to us as part of the BLA submission that we agreed to. So, at this point, the agency is not ready to discuss this. Our interpretation is that, you know, it can be as optimistic as maybe more longer-term data from this study, maybe looking at total functional capacity data from our study at a longer time point, maybe adding another cohort to our study or a completely new independent study, but it would not be placebo-controlled in our opinion. But again, to some degree, this is Speculation on our part because the agency did not want to discuss that. What we know for sure is that this will not be or it's not expected based on what the agency has told us so far to have to be completed and done and about to start or halfway conducted before we can file for BLA for accelerated approval. So we don't think it's going to slow us down at all. And that was clear from our interaction with the FDA.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

At this time, I'm not showing any more questions in the queue, and I'll turn the call back to Matt Capusta for closing remarks. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matt Capusa
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you very much, operator. Really appreciate everybody dialing into the call. Look forward to providing additional updates very shortly. Thank you so much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Moderator

This does conclude today's conference call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

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