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spk07: Good day and welcome to Sandy Spring Bank Corp. Earnings Conference Call and Webcast for the fourth quarter of 2020. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal conference specialist pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be opportunity to ask questions. Please note that this event is being recorded. Now I'd like to turn the conference over to Mr. Daniel Schreider, President and CEO. Please go ahead.
spk06: Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. I appreciate you joining us for our conference call to discuss Sandy Spring Bancorp's performance for the fourth quarter of 2020. Today, we'll also bring you up to date on our response to an impact from the COVID-19 pandemic. This is Dan Schreider, and I'm joined here by my colleagues Phil Mantua, Chief Financial Officer, and Aaron Caslow, General Counsel for Sandy Spring Bancorp. Today's call is open to all investors, analysts, and the media. There will be a live webcast of today's call, and a replay will be available on our website later today. But before we get started covering highlights from the quarter and taking your questions, Aaron will give the customary safe harbor statement.
spk03: Thank you, Dan. Good afternoon, everyone. Sandy Spring Bancorp will make forward-looking statements in this webcast that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements include statements of goals, intentions, earnings, and other expectations, estimates of risks and future costs and benefits, assessments of expected credit losses, assessments of market risk, and statements of the ability to achieve financial and other goals. These forward-looking statements are subject to significant uncertainties because they are based upon or affected by management's estimates and projections of future interest rates, market behavior, other economic conditions, future laws and regulations, and a variety of other matters, including the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, which by their very nature are subject to significant uncertainties. Because of these uncertainties, Sandy Spring Bancorp's actual future results may differ materially from those indicated. In addition, the company's past results of operations do not necessarily indicate its future results.
spk06: Thank you, Aaron. Welcome, everyone, and Happy New Year to everyone on the line. We certainly hope that you're faring well and remaining healthy during this season of time. I'm pleased to be here today to talk through our fourth quarter performance and our annual results. While weathering the global pandemic was a challenge for everyone in 2020, Our company did so while completing the integrations of Revere Bank and Rembert Pendleton Jackson, as well as helping our clients through this unprecedented crisis. We demonstrated great resilience, and it shows in the record quarter we announced this morning. We built on our momentum from the third quarter, and we finished the year strong. Today I will review the financials and our ongoing response to the COVID-19 pandemic, and I'll recap some of the company highlights from the year. Later in the call, Phil and I will also walk you through the supplemental materials we issued this morning and provide more color on our credit quality, our provision expense, and allowance. As you read in the press release, today we reported record net income of $56.7 million or $1.19 per diluted common share for the fourth quarter of 2020. The current quarter's result compares to net income of $28.5 million or $0.80 per diluted common share for the fourth quarter of 2019 and net income of $44.6 million or $0.94 per diluted common share for the third quarter of 2020. Our operating earnings continue to improve, reporting $48.2 million or $1.02 common share in the fourth quarter compared to $30.4 million or $0.85 per diluted common share in the fourth quarter of 2019 and $45.8 million or $0.97 per diluted common share for the third quarter of 2020. These numbers exclude the impact of the provision for credit losses, the effects of the Paycheck Protection Program, as well as M&A expenses. The provision for credit losses this quarter was a credit of $4.5 million. compared to a charge of seven million in the linked quarter. This change is primarily the result of a change in the most recent economic forecasts. Specifically, the projections for business bankruptcies decreased due to the positive impact of governmental relief programs for individuals and small businesses. Bill will cover this in more detail when we review the supplemental materials. Total assets grew by 48% to 12.8 billion, compared to 8.6 billion in the fourth quarter of 2019. This growth was primarily driven by the Revere Bank acquisition and our PPP participation. During the past year, loans and deposits grew by 55 and 56% respectively, and we originated $1.1 billion in commercial business loans through the PPP program. Total loans at year end were $10.4 billion compared to $6.7 billion at the end of 2019. And excluding PPP loans, total loans grew by 39% to $9.3 billion at December 31, 2020, compared to the prior year quarter. As previously stated, the acquisition of Revere drove the majority of the increase in loans. Commercial loans grew 52%, or $2.6 billion, excluding PPP, and consumer loan growth during the year was 11%. While loans grew modestly compared to the third quarter of 2020, Total commercial loans expanded by 2% on a linked quarter basis. New commercial production for the fourth quarter was very strong at over $500 million in new originations, up 8% compared to the pre-pandemic production in the fourth quarter of 2019. Over the past year, deposit growth was 56%. As non-interest-bearing deposits experienced growth of 76%. and interest-bearing deposits grew 47%. This growth, again, primarily driven by the Revere acquisition and to a lesser extent, the PPP program. Non-interest income for the current quarter increased by 68% or 13 million compared to the prior year quarter as a result of a 248% increase in income from mortgage banking activities and growth of 28% in wealth management income. The growth of these two categories more than compensated for the decline in service fee income compared to the prior year quarter. On the mortgage front, historically low lending rates drove mortgage origination activity and an increase in mortgage banking income of $10.3 million during the current quarter compared to the prior year quarter. Of note, mortgage originations for the year set a company record and exceeded $2 billion. Within our mortgage production, 57% represented refinance activity, 33% were purchase money transactions, and the remaining 10% were construction firm originations, which by their very nature are new home acquisitions. While we expect mortgage banking income to remain a significant part of our fee-based revenue in 2021, we don't expect mortgage production to remain at the current levels. As a result of the first quarter acquisition of RPJ, wealth management income increased 1.8 million compared to the same quarter of the previous year. We concluded the year with yet another company milestone of wealth assets under management in excess of 5.2 billion. On the margin side, the net interest margin was 3.38 for the fourth quarter of 2020 compared to the same 3.38 for that same quarter of 2019 and 3.24 for the third quarter of 2020. Excluding the impact of the amortization of fair value marks derived from acquisitions, the current quarter's net interest margin would have been 3.31% compared to 334 for the fourth quarter of 2019 and 318 for the third quarter of 2020. We're really pleased to see the current quarter expansion and broader stability in the core margin as we're actively managing down the cost of funds by allowing higher price time deposits to run off diligently pricing our local in-market transaction products, and funding our remaining needs with the most cost-effective wholesale sources available. These actions have resulted in our cost of interest bearing liabilities being reduced from 77 basis points to 63 basis points, and the cost of interest bearing deposits from 57 basis points to 39 basis points, all on a linked quarter basis. We also chose to eliminate the negative carry related to maintaining an excess cash position by repaying the remaining 254 million of PPPLF funds. Non-interest expense for the fourth quarter of 2020 increased 15.6 million, or 34%, compared to the prior year quarter, primarily as a result of the operational cost of Revere and RPJ acquisitions, increased compensation expense related to staffing increases, and incentive compensation, in addition to an increase in FDIC insurance and the amortization of intangible assets. Other expense in the current quarter contained one notable item related to the establishment of a contingent liability of $1.6 million to reserve against unfunded commitments as required by the company's adoption of CECL. The non-GAAP efficiency ratio was 45.09 for the current quarter compared to 51.98 for the fourth quarter of 2019 and 45.27 for the third quarter of 2020. The decrease in the efficiency ratio, which reflects an increase in efficiency from the fourth quarter of last year to the current year, was a result of the $47.2 million growth in non-GAAP revenue outpacing the $15.4 million growth in non-GAAP non-interest expense. As we look ahead, we continue to manage this expense to revenue metric to a targeted range of 48% to 50% and anticipate 2021 efficiency levels to settle into this range as we expect mortgage revenues to eventually decline from current levels and operating expenses to be comparable to current levels, absent the notable other expense item I mentioned a moment ago. We will also look to invest in the people and technologies needed for future growth and success while identifying opportunities for greater efficiency. On the credit side, non-performing loans, the total loans increased 111 basis points compared to, two 111 basis points compared to 62 basis points at December 31st, 2019, and 72 basis points to the length third quarter. Non-performing loans totaled 115 and a half million compared to 41.3 million at December 31st, 2019, and 74.7 million at September 30, 2020. The year-over-year growth in non-performers was driven by three major components, loans placed in non-accrual status, acquired revere non-accrual loans, and loans previously accounted for as purchase credit impaired loans that have been designated as non-accrual loans as a result of the company's adoption of the accounting standard for expected credit losses at the beginning of the year. Loans placed on non-accrual during the current quarter amounted to $54.7 million compared to $5.4 million for the prior year quarter and $900,000 for the third quarter of 2020. These loans relate primarily to a limited number of large borrowing relationships within the hospitality sector. These large relationships are collateral dependent and require no individual reserves due to sufficient values of the underlying collateral. The company recorded net charge-offs of half a million for the fourth quarter of 2020, compared to net charge of a half a million and 200,000 for the fourth quarter of 2019 and the third quarter of 2020, respectively. The allowance for credit losses was 165.4 million, or 1.59% of outstanding loans, and 143% of non-performing loans, compared to 170.3 million, or 1.65% of outstanding loans, and 228% of non-performing loans at the linked quarter. Tangible common equity increased to a billion dollars or 8.46% of tangible assets at December 31st compared to 782.3 million or 9.46% at December 31, 2019 as a result of the equity issuance in the Revere acquisition. The year-over-year change in tangible common equity also reflects The effects of the repurchase of $50 million of common stock and the increase in intangible assets and goodwill associated with the two acquisitions we completed in 2020. Excluding the impact of PPP from tangible assets at December 31st, the tangible common equity ratio would be 9.25%. At December 30, 2020, the company had a total risk-based capital ratio of 13.93%. a common equity tier one risk-based capital ratio of 10.58%, a tier one risk-based capital ratio, again, 10.58%, and a tier one leverage ratio of 8.92%. At this point, I'd like to turn to the supplemental information we issued this morning. On slide two, you can see that loans with payment accommodations, or some folks refer to those as deferrals, As of December 31st, total 217 million, resulting in 2% of our loan portfolio receiving accommodations. On slide three, we have detailed specific industry information, which we've updated and shared in the past three quarters. Outstanding balances for each segment and the loans and payment accommodations are as of December 31st. And on slide four, we've included an update on our PPP efforts as of January 11th. We began accepting forgiveness applications this quarter, and 70% of loans over $150,000 have been invited to apply for forgiveness. And all of the applications that have been submitted to the SBA have received 100% forgiveness. As we noted in our press release today, we temporarily paused invitations to our forgiveness portal pending updates to the PPP program. We also took a pause in order to focus our efforts on preparing to accept applications for first and second draw loans once the program resumes. We expect to invite the remainder of our PPP borrowers, including those with loans of $150,000 or less, to submit their forgiveness applications within the next few weeks. And on the origination side, we began accepting applications for the latest round of PPP loans, both first and second draw loans, on Tuesday afternoon. And now I'll turn it over to Phil to talk through CECL and our capital position.
spk09: Thank you, Dan. Good afternoon, everyone. I'm going to pick up on slide number five in the supplemental deck, where we have a waterfall representation of our allowance bill, the first for all of the year 2020, which is broken down into components that reflect the bill during the year. As you can see, the change over the course of the full year was primarily driven by two significant components, the change in economic forecast and the impact of our Revere acquisition on the required reserve. Although not illustrated here, you may recall that the majority of both of those impacts was incurred during the second quarter of the year. On the following slide, slide six, we have a similar presentation of the fourth quarter. On this chart, we can see the predominant factor driving reserve release and the provision credit for this particular quarter is the expected year-over-year change in business bankruptcies, which is one of our key economic factors. This change in expectation, which as Dan already mentioned earlier, was impacted primarily by the anticipation of the additional stimulus that has now been announced at the time the forecast was developed, and which therefore was more than enough to overshadow our other changes in our qualitative factors and our other economic factors as well, including the projected unemployment rate. All of our key macroeconomic variables are outlined on the next slide, number seven. Our CECL methodology continues to use a Moody's baseline forecast, which for the fourth quarter was a version released by Moody's on December 21st. This baseline forecast integrates the effects of COVID-19 and includes the projected levels of unemployment for our local market that in this forecast peaks at 6.6% during the year and then ultimately recovers to a level of 4.7% by the end of 2022. Slightly higher than that that was projected in the prior third quarter forecast. In determining our reasonable and supportable forecast period, we continue to use a two-year time horizon in the current quarter to reflect that there's less uncertainty in a long-term outlook here at this time. And similar to our approach taken throughout the year, We continue to not take into consideration any potential mitigating factors based on what could be perceived as a positive outcome or impact of government programs such as PPP, et cetera. And we continue to feel very comfortable with taking this conservative stance. Slide eight provides you some additional granularity related to our reserve from a portfolio view. where you can see the most significant amount of reserve by dollar amount is attributed to the commercial business portfolio, where the total reserve is $46.8 million, or 2.0% of outstandings, but did decline significantly based on the previously mentioned change in the projection of business bankruptcies. We should note that that 2.06% of reserve reflected here includes PPP loans in the balance, although there is no reserve required on those loans. As illustrated in the footnote at the bottom of the slide, when adjusting the balance to exclude PPP loans outstanding, the reserve on our commercial business segment would be 3.87% and our total reserve would be 1.77% of total loans. Finally, on slide nine is a trend of our pertinent capital ratios with some brief explanations regarding the treatment of certain items and their impact on the resulting ratios. Included in those comments is an adjusted tangible equity to tangible asset ratio to reflect the impact of PPP loans on the current measure, as Dan mentioned earlier in his comments. We continue to feel confident about our capital position as all of our metrics either held steady or improved slightly as a result of the strength of our earnings during this quarter. We also recently updated our capital stress test where we have constructed a baseline and severe forecast scenario utilizing the same Moody's baseline forecast incorporated in our seasonal calculations and a COVID-based S4 economy in the severe case. Having done so, we continue to be confident that we have the capital to carry us through the remaining portion of this ongoing situation. And with that, Dan, I'll turn it back over to you. Thanks, Phil.
spk06: Before we move to take your questions, I'd like to cover a few other updates from the release and highlights from the year. As we also shared in the press release, we intend to close three branches in the second quarter of 2021. These branches include two in Northern Virginia and one in Montgomery County, Maryland, Client accounts will be consolidated into nearby locations, and these closures are a result of our continued analysis of branch utilization, client needs, and the proximity of our many locations. As it relates to our ongoing response to COVID-19, the health and safety of our people and communities remain our priority, and the majority of our workforce continues to work remotely. Clients are served at branches primarily through drive-through facilities, and we do have limited lobby access. And over the summer, Sandy Spring Bank Foundation donated $600,000 to support COVID-19 response efforts at a dozen local hospitals serving the greater Washington region. We're proud of all that we've done and continue to do to support our people and communities throughout these uncertain times. We hope that we'll be able to welcome back our people to our offices at some point in 2021. But for now, we remain in phase one of our return to work plan. And as we've done all year, we'll continue to evaluate this ongoing situation and we'll adapt as needed and able. Despite the many obstacles caused by the pandemic, I also want to note that we've continued to grow the company and welcome new people to our team. Our efforts to recruit, hire, and onboard new employees have remained steady, hiring more than 150 new employees since we transitioned to a remote environment in March. While I've had an opportunity to meet many of our new colleagues through virtual orientations, we're all eager to meet everyone face-to-face and personally welcome them to our company. And thanks to our remarkable employees, our company also earned numerous recognitions throughout the year, including being named a top workplace by both the Washington Post and Baltimore Sun, earning a spot on American Banker's Best Banks to Work For list for the first time, ranking the top bank in Maryland and one of America's best in-state banks by Forbes, being certified as a great place to work by the Great Place to Work Institute, and ranking the number one among mid-sized companies for employee volunteerism in the Washington Business Journal. We're especially honored by the workplace recognitions because they are a direct result of our employee feedback about our company and our culture. In closing, I cannot understate the dedication and resilience our employees have shown this past year. While this remote and socially distanced environment is far from our ideal, our team continues to find new and creative ways to serve our clients and continue to move Sandy Spring Bank forward. So to all of our employees, a big thank you. And, operator, that concludes our general comments for today. We'll now move to questions.
spk07: I'll begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press farther than one on your touch-tone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To draw your question, please press star, then two. At this time, we'll pause momentarily to assemble the roster. First question is from Casey Whitman of Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.
spk10: Hey, good afternoon.
spk06: Hi, Casey. Hi, Casey.
spk10: Hey, so... I appreciate the clarity on the other expense line, so I guess I'd ask the same question as I look at fees. Anything unusual going on in the other fee line this quarter that we should think about, or is this a pretty good run rate?
spk09: Yeah, Casey, this is Phil. There were a couple, you know, a couple areas where we had a little bit heightened activity relative to extension or commitment fees, prepayment fees alike. But the biggest thing that was in this quarter was we had a pretty significant amount of swap fee income of about $900,000. Now we think we'll continue to have some activity in that area, but I don't know that we would continue to forecast that particular line item at that level quarter in and quarter out. But otherwise, I think by and large the fee levels The other fee levels here are around, you know, probably in a pretty reasonable place. And, you know, you could probably take that swap fee income and maybe cut it in half or whatever and think about it that way on a quarter by quarter basis. And on the expense side, as Dan mentioned, absolutely one notable item related to the kind of contingent liability for the unfunded commitments, which, by the way, we will look at every quarter and make determinations as to whether that reserve might need to move in one direction or the other. I think, you know, from a run rate standpoint, an overall expense number in that $60 million range a quarter is something that would probably be a good way to look at it going forward.
spk10: That makes sense. And I'm assuming that that run rate sort of factors in any sort of cost savings you might have for the branch closures that you already announced.
spk09: Yeah, I mean, I think as it relates to everything that's to be recognized or absorbed relative to the Revere transaction, I think we're pretty much there at this point from a cost-save integration standpoint, as well as, by the way, any more merger-related expenses. I think we're pretty well... Shut that down by the end of the year You know and so I think that that would be That that would be accurate and on the cost safe side related to the branch closures. They're not Expected to happen until a little bit later in the year so in the current for 21 um that savings might might be i don't know three four hundred thousand dollars more on a run rate basis it's probably you know a million a million two full year understood thanks uh i guess i appreciate also your comment or your commentary around the mortgage outlook but maybe um
spk10: just some help as to what happened this quarter. Can you just give us a little more detail on the underlying trends this quarter? What was the split between purchase and refi, and how did the gain on sale margin fare? Certainly, mortgage held up even better than I would have thought this quarter, so maybe just some help in terms of what you were seeing this quarter.
spk06: Yeah, Casey, I referred probably a little bit earlier in my comments in terms of the split between production, once I pull my note back out here again, in terms of purchase money activity versus refi.
spk09: Yeah, Casey, I have it here. On a production basis, it's about 60% of all production in the quarter was refi. Probably the other 20, probably about 30 other, 30% of it was was purchased and then the remainder was the construction type lending that you know we do. Of that production, about 84% of it was then labeled to be sold or was sold during the quarter. And our overall net gain on that sale by margin was about 278 basis points, which is probably about 60 to 70 basis points greater than it was in the prior quarter. Although that mix that I mentioned was comparable in the third quarter, there was just more of it here by about $50 million of total production in the fourth quarter as opposed to the third. And I think that the difference from probably how we viewed it when we talked about this in the third quarter was that we didn't have the expectation that that level of business was going to be maintained, much less grow, into the fourth quarter. If nothing else, just by virtue of historic cycles and things along those lines, but obviously it did. So we'll probably hear saying, as I think we have alluded to in the earlier comments, And we don't expect that to occur this quarter as well. And, you know, I would... I think we still believe that that will be the case, that it should drop down from what it was in the last two quarters. But I think, you know, time will tell.
spk10: Understood. Thanks. I'll just ask... Just a quick one on the hotel book and the migration and accruals. Maybe just... some color in terms of, you know, were these, were the non-accruals previously in a deferral period? Are they deferral period? So how did that happen?
spk06: Thanks. Yeah. Let me hit that. It might be helpful for obviously others on the call as well. Because the lion's share of our deferrals today are within that hotel book, $132 million deferral. of a 200 million in the overall commercial portfolio is from the hotel book. So let me break a couple things down. So total hotel portfolio is 416 million. 132 are still in a deferral. 180 million, however, that had a deferral have resumed normal payments, and 104 million of that portfolio never requested or was granted a deferral. The assets that moved into non-performing certainly were part of a deferral, but in our assessment, through our portfolio review process, this really is settled into two relationships, and the characteristics of those cause us to question the ability to perform long-term, namely the financial wherewithal of the owners and sponsors to support the properties throughout this pandemic period, so But at the same time, under a stressed liquidation scenario, did not result in any meaningful reserves being assigned to those credits. We've conducted the same type of portfolio review evaluation of the entire book. And those that are continuing within the deferral period, at this point, we feel like there is enough wherewithal to work through not only the deferral period, but beyond. I'll give you a little bit more color than maybe you're asking, but I think it's important because that is the bulk of our deferrals. Of the total portfolio, we've got a pretty diverse mix of national flags, as well as diversity in the locations throughout our market footprint, and there's no sub-market concentration there. Largest percentage of national brands is Marriott at 21%, followed by Hilton at 20%, and then it breaks down further from there. And about 81% of the book would be considered limited service properties, and those are the ones that have fared much better on a national level given lower overhead and lower occupancy required to break even, and that's the lion's share of what we have in our hotel portfolio. Only 17% of the portfolio would be considered full service hotels and 72% would be considered either mid-scale or economy properties. So all of that aims at a segment of kind of the hotel industry that is currently having a better result in terms of break even and better opportunity to emerge from the crisis with less unscathed. So we'll continue to evaluate it. Fortunately, we feel like we're in a pretty good position with about a 59% weighted average loan to value on that portfolio as a whole. And so while we have, you know, obviously likely have more credits, you know, from the overall book that struggle through the pandemic season, we feel like we're in a good, you know, good position to adequately reserved and a good position to successfully work through it.
spk10: Understood. Thanks so much for the call. and answer the questions, answers.
spk07: Thank you. The next question is from Catherine Miller, KBW. Please go ahead. Thanks. Good afternoon.
spk06: Good afternoon.
spk07: Hi, Catherine.
spk02: I wanted to see if we could talk a little bit about the margin and your outlook for this year. It looks like you had some, I guess maybe just kind of one how you're thinking about just the margin in terms of rates and where you're seeing loan yields and deposit pricing move. But then also on just the balance sheet restructuring, it looks like you had a decline in CDs and some borrowings. And if we should expect any kind of further of balance sheet remix as we move through 21. Thanks.
spk09: Yeah, Catherine, this is Phil. So I would start with, you know, kind of broad statement about the level of margin through the year. I'm anticipating that it's going to stay fairly steady to the kind of levels we finish the year with in that high 330 to 340s range, you know, on a reported basis. You know, we're starting to get away from, especially on the asset side, a lot of the the fair value impact, the fair value mark impacts to the yields, the accretive part of the yields. So I think that's starting to clear its way out of the equation, and yet we still have the dilutive effect of PPP lending for the existing PPP loans that are there, and probably now have some either replacing it or in addition to it related to second round PPP lending, which we don't know what that's gonna look like per se in terms of volumes yet at this point. But nevertheless, putting those things aside, again, I think that because of the things we've already done on the liability side, which we'll talk about here in a second, and our ability to continue to, I think, push that down a little bit further, I think that that kind of steady, stable margin position is doable throughout all of the year. On the cost side, we have continued to let high price CDs continue to run off. I think that will contribute to what's going on here, and therefore the mix of liability side should change accordingly, probably at a similar speed, although we had a pretty good block of Intermediate type of special CDs that are certainly have worked their way off the balance sheet or continuing to do so We don't have anything that we're pricing in the market today CDs or otherwise it's exceeding 30 basis points So when you think about where rates were 18 months ago or whatever more and what we would effectively replace the mat that's why I feel that that can continue to happen and We've done some borrowings from time to time as necessary, especially on a very short-term basis, but I also think that we've found that there are other ways within the deposit-based through either brokered money markets or brokered CDs, which we've used in the past, to be as less expensive or just as, you know, less expensive than doing anything, you know, through either Fed funds or home loan bank type advances. And so I think we'll just continue, as Dan said in his comments, to look for the, you know, best price advantage to augmenting with wholesale, whatever we're doing in the current markets. And then finally, I think you asked about the yields and the asset side. On the commercial loan side, just from a production standpoint here in the last quarter, last quarter's yields at the margin were probably only 15 or 20 basis points off our rolling 12-month average, which was in the low four to four, 15 to 420 range. And yet, so that'll certainly have the overall yields on the portfolio to continue to come down. But again, I think not any more so than to, you know, to the degree, like I mentioned when we started this, you know, to the point where we'll be able to keep the margin fairly constant even in the face of that.
spk02: Great. Really helpful, colorful. Thank you. And anyone follow up is just on share buybacks. You've got a authorization outstanding, when do you think you'll be ready to be more active in buybacks?
spk06: Catherine, Dan, we always want to have the authorization in place, which is the essence of the timing there. So there's no specific timeframe that we would engage in share buybacks, probably more on times when we think there's opportunity based on weakness in shares.
spk02: So given the move in the stock, do you feel like that authorization is just more opportunistic if the stock price pulls back from current levels versus a strategy to try to get the buyback complete by year-end just as a use of capital?
spk06: Yeah, no, I think it's probably more of an opportunistic approach.
spk02: Okay, great. And what that may look like this year.
spk06: I'm sorry, we lost you there for a second. Katherine, do you mind repeating that one?
spk02: Yes, I was just going to sneak in one more just because we're talking about capital. In terms of M&A, now that we've got Revere closed, how are you thinking about your activity and acquisitions in the near term?
spk06: Yeah, good question. We're having some issue with the line cutting out and in a little bit, so thanks for repeating that. You know, as it relates to our longer-term growth strategy, M&A will continue to be a part of what we do, both bank and non-bank fee-based businesses. But at this point, there's nothing to report at this time, and unlikely that there would be anything in 2021. Great. Thanks so much.
spk02: Thank you.
spk07: Thank you. Our next question is from Steve Comrie of G-Research. Please go ahead.
spk05: Hey, guys. Happy New Year.
spk07: Happy New Year, Steve.
spk05: I wonder if we could go back to the hotel book for a second. I don't want to belabor this too much, but wondering if you guys could give us any color on sort of these two credits that were moved to non-accrual and how like cash flows and occupancy have trended and if you guys have seen any improvement or declination there.
spk06: Yeah, I don't have the details to share in those specific credit relationships. But what I will say is that I guess the unique aspects that drove them into the non-performing category is many of our hotel relationships, even those that have moved into some form of accommodation, have been on the heels of the sponsors or the guarantors stepping up and providing some type of enhancement to the credit you know, through other resources that they may have. In this particular case, these situations were unique relative to the other in terms of the ability of sponsors to kind of step in and support during a time when occupancy was not sufficient to break even. And so, you know, in the different other aspects of the remaining portfolio, We're seeing where, you know, most of our limited service hotels are, you know, that break even can be achieved in the, you know, 30 to 50% occupancy range at the loaned values that we're sitting, and most are close to achieving that if not having achieved that. So, you know, really, not that we're not going to continue to manage that book and assess each relationship, but But these couple of relationships, you know, had characteristics that were clearly weaker, not necessarily based upon the brand or the sub-market, but the individual operator itself.
spk05: Okay. Okay, that's definitely helpful. Maybe moving on to wealth management, another good fee quarter. Is this a good run rate to look at for 2021 absent, you know, big market moves?
spk06: Yeah, in terms of revenue from the wealth management space, yeah, I would think so. Those are all three of our legs of that stool, which is two RIAs as well as the trust division of the bank are kind of contributing equally to the overall assets under management, you know, pretty close, and they're all operating very well. So I would expect that's a good run rate.
spk05: Okay, very good. Maybe one more for me. With regard to the branch closures, I was wondering if you guys could give maybe a little more color around the decision process for these specific branches and whether or not COVID or the shutdown changed the thinking on these branches and kind of put that in context of the rest of Sandy Springs Branch Network. Thanks.
spk06: Yes. Steve, that's a good question. We have an ongoing kind of branch rationalization or optimization kind of effort ongoing. And I would say in these cases, we've also, like a lot of banks have, learned a good bit about client behavior through 2020 and the pandemic season. But that clearly, in our case, marries up with our evaluation of when leases come due and when those opportunities, based on client behavior and proximity to other locations, would allow us to to downsize, and those were kind of the two drivers here in these branches. And we'll continue to have those evaluations as we go forward. It may not always result in a declining number of branches, but it will open up the opportunity for us to put resources in maybe parts of our market where we don't have a location, and so it's not just about reducing branches, but making sure we're in the right places.
spk05: Okay. Thank you. That's it for me.
spk07: Thanks. Thanks, Steve. Thank you. Next question from Mark Hughes of Lafayette Investments. Please go ahead.
spk01: Good afternoon. I hope you all are well.
spk06: Thanks, Mark. Good afternoon.
spk01: I had a short-term question, but I think it was covered pretty well by a couple of the previous people. So I thought I might ask a long-term question that you might think is kind of a tough question, but I think it's a fair question. And that is, I was recently looking at the 2002 annual report for you all, and the reason I picked that year was that's the first year that your stock traded at the price it's currently trading at today. And I look at what happened since then, and you've made a number of acquisitions. The bank's about five or six times the size it was back then. You've added some fee-based businesses. Your geographic expansion seems sensible. You haven't gone and opened branches in Ohio or Tennessee or something. In short, it seems like you've executed the small bank playbook pretty well. And yet, at the end of the day, we sit here as shareholders, and you all are all large shareholders – in the same place we were way back then. So my question to you all is, and I realize your share price is similar to many other smaller banks, and this is not to put anything on you. So my question as a shareholder is, what changes going forward, what would make Sandy Spring and small banks in general more attractive or lead to better returns going forward than what we've seen for almost two decades now. And I realize part of it is banks traded at higher valuations back then versus now. And maybe where we trade today is just where we're always going to be. But can you just give some big picture, long-term thoughts around what changes the equation in terms of how shareholders get rewarded and why the investment community might look at banks in a different light that they've been looking at for quite some time now.
spk06: That's a good question, Mark. This is Dan, and perhaps Phil may have some thoughts to offer in addition to mine. I think probably more than ever, given the competitive nature of banking and client behavior in terms of what's important to them in a banking relationship, scale and operating leverage are going to be of critical importance going forward. You probably remember for us a kind of a inflection point was probably the third quarter of 2016 when we finally moved away from kind of always being in that low 60% efficiency ratio on a non-GAAP basis to beginning a process of having that move south and think that's you know and so it's a combination of of having having scale which also you know provides for a little better operating leverage and and the ability to invest in future technologies that would have us compete favorably with you know with some of the larger institutions but the the other multiples seem to be what the multiples are and so you know our long-term focus is which will, like I said earlier, will likely conclude additional growth is not for growth's sake, but the ability to drive earnings on an EPS basis, double digit over the course of time, which we think is going to be the driver for shareholder value. That's going to be important for it to play out for us over the course of time. Phil, I don't know if you have anything to add.
spk09: No, I don't know that I have really a whole lot, if anything, to add to it other than to just recognize, I think as Mark you did, that is a really tough question to try to respond to for a lot of reasons. I think we try to focus predominantly on where we sit within the industry we're in. and try to evaluate just how well we're performing against those that we compete with or are peers of ours on a relative basis. But what makes it hard is your question about how on an absolute basis you look over a period of time and the absolute numbers for us and maybe for the industry at large have not changed dramatically. And I don't know how to address that aspect of it because I guess that's in the in the realm of how the broader market just views banking in general. And I just don't know how to address that aspect of it.
spk01: Well, just to follow up then, is there anything completely out of the box that you're thinking about maybe that isn't in the traditional small bank playbook? I'm violating the lawyer's code of never asking a question you don't know the answer to because I don't have the answer to this one. Is there some direction you can go that maybe is non-traditional that you're thinking about? And these are hard questions to ask too in the middle of a pandemic. I get that because you're doing everything you can to maintain your current book in as good a shape as you can. So this may not be the time to be thinking outside the box, but is there anything in the industry that people are thinking about in terms of non-traditional businesses to get into or fee businesses maybe that can be increased that you aren't doing right now?
spk06: Mark, I would tell you that when we think about our focus, I'm not going to answer your question directly, because I think we're always evaluating ways in which we can complement our business to serve our clients, whether that be in traditional ways or non-traditional fee-based ways. You know, when we look at ourselves today sitting here in one of the best markets in the country, you know, we've got a company that's got the scale and sophistication to move up market in where we can handle commercial enterprises, whether it's in lending and treasury management and wealth management. And that's really where we're putting our resources is to, you know, do more of what we do better than our competition now that we have greater scale and the ability to do that. We believe, and I think our people do, that we are really one of a kind in this marketplace, and we just want to focus on taking advantage of that and building franchise value over time. But to your point, I guess your point around share price, it's about driving earnings growth. And for us, it's about growing organically and then adding in ways that it makes sense for us to do just that over time.
spk09: Yeah, Mark, the only thing I would add to it is, and not so much to the part of your question about what we could do that would be unique or whatever, but I think our our outlook towards, you know, Our strategic view towards having as much of a diversified stream of revenue as we can potentially have is a part of that, the answer to that, which is to continue to strive for that to be, to have our revenues be as diversified as they can. And part of that would most likely ultimately come from something that might be different or unique from what we've done for, you know, 150 years or whatever it might be. I think some of it lies in that, but I couldn't point you to something specific that would pop out that would lead the way on that as much as just striving for having that revenue stream be as diverse as possible.
spk01: Well, the part of it that makes it tough for me is that I think you're doing things well. You talked about your efficiency ratio coming down. It's been remarkable what you've done there. I don't ask the question because I think you're doing something wrong, but I ask it because I think you're doing mostly what is right. And, you know, it's kind of beside myself as trying to think of what's going to change this when there aren't obvious areas that need improvement.
spk09: Well, we appreciate that. Yeah. Because we feel the same way a lot of times, too.
spk01: Well, thank you very much. I wish you luck for the current year.
spk07: Thank you, Mark. Thanks, Mark. Thank you. Next question is from Brody Preston of Stevens, Inc. Please go ahead.
spk08: Good afternoon, everyone.
spk07: Hey, Brody.
spk08: Hey, Brody. I just want to follow up on the mortgage, the 60-40 refi. Is that similar to your historical mix previously, or was it more purchase-heavy in the past?
spk06: Yeah, Brody, we transitioned over the course of the last couple years from being more of a boutique shop that did a lot more construction perma as a percentage of overall production and would take advantage of kind of the reified waves as they came, but probably not nearly as effective on the purchase transaction piece. And so we put a lot of effort and resources in terms of originators that have done just a tremendous job of driving driving the percentage of our production from purchase money up. And I think that's gonna help us as an expectation of perhaps rates moving in the opposite direction and slowing down that mortgage production will still capture a good piece of that purchase money business. So we're definitely making inroads on the purchase money percentage.
spk07: Thank you. Again, if you have a question, please press star, then 1. Next question is for Eric Zwick, Bennington Scattergood. Please go ahead.
spk04: Good afternoon, guys. Hey, Eric. Hey, Eric. I've got a couple of questions just trying to think about how average earning assets might kind of shape up throughout the year. And I guess first I'll start on the PPP loans, and I appreciate all the commentary you've given in terms of – the updates on the size and reopening the portal at this point and inviting customers to apply for forgiveness. I guess at this point, there's a little less than 1.1 billion of those outstanding. What are your expectations for what percentage of those will be forgiven? And then just the timing, I guess, how many quarters does that potentially take is kind of the first part of my question.
spk09: Eric, this is Phil. So I think that we've been running our estimates assuming about 80% of the existing 1.1 billion in PPP outstandings would be given forgiveness. And we're probably now having pushback given the things that Dan mentioned earlier about the forgiveness portal, et cetera, and some of the client behavior on trying to accomplish forgiveness, thinking that that's going to be end of this quarter, end of the early part of the second quarter. So probably the months of, you know, February, March, April, as opposed to as much of it in the first quarter here, having already more than halfway through the month of January and having very little activity in that regard. So I think that's the way we're evaluating the current book of PPP loans and the way we'd leave the balance sheet.
spk04: That's helpful. Thank you. And then I guess in terms of the recent kind of reauthorization and opening that up again for funding, I guess. Are you seeing much demand there, and how do you potentially think about the size of a new round of PPP entering the balance sheet?
spk06: Yeah, you know, Eric, it's tough to predict the amount of activity, but I'll give you our experience in less than 48 hours since we opened the portal. We've had over 1,000 applications. So there's clearly demand there. But the average size of those requests heretofore has been on the smaller side relative to the first wave and could likely get smaller as additional applications come in. But tough to predict exactly what this second round is gonna yield in terms of overall outstandings. Tough to estimate at this point. I mean, we clearly do not expect it to, you know, come near what we did the first time. But could it be half of that much? It's possible. But we just don't know at this point. It's too early.
spk04: That's helpful. I appreciate the early commentary there. And then I guess switching toward, you know, away from that, that will certainly, you know, be a headwind to the net growth or net balances for the year. Thinking on the organic side, just any commentary you've got from, I guess, thinking about commercial loans, where the pipeline stands today and how you would think about organic growth in the commercial portfolio in 2021?
spk06: Yeah, good question. You know, it is tough to adequately articulate the lift that the PPP process requires on the team, and that's both those that are helping clients as relationship managers and all the way through through the system so it is really right now all hands on deck for these next few weeks as we work through this next round of origination so what I say that because I think it's going to it's going to dampen first quarter organic production just due to the PPP program but our outlook for the year is you know kind of mid single-digit commercial growth as we think forward. We may outperform that but that's kind of the way we're thinking and that's really based upon the heavy lift of both originations and the forgiveness process on PPP as well as just the economic demand.
spk04: That's helpful again. And then I guess just in terms of the pipeline, have you seen any material change in the pipeline given the kind of success we had in late fourth quarter with vaccines coming online and some improvement in economic forecasts or still kind of steady as she goes there?
spk06: Yeah, I would not say there's been a significant lift in pipelines since vaccine. I mean, we're very encouraged with, you know, the half a billion dollars of commercial production in the fourth quarter. Fourth quarter is normally very strong, but when you consider that level during the pandemic, I think it's as much an indication of the attractiveness of doing business with Sandy Spring Bank from borrowers that are with other organizations or particularly larger institutions. And I think despite a slower economic environment, I think we'll win our fair share of opportunities, folks that want a real relationship with a local player. But going into the first quarter, I think pipeline's probably a little softer, which is typical from a seasonal standpoint.
spk04: Got it. And then this last one for me is kind of a housekeeping item just in terms of modeling. Probably for Phil, is 24% still a good rate to use for the effective tax rate looking into 2021?
spk09: Yeah, certainly absent of anything that Mr. Biden might do to us during the course of the year. But And anything they decide in that regard, obviously beyond the president, would probably not hit us during 21. So we're using the 24 to 24.5% effective rate is probably a good one to go with at this point.
spk04: Excellent. Well, thanks, guys, so much for taking my questions today.
spk07: No problem. Thank you. This concludes our question and answer session. Now I'd like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Daniel Schreider. Please go ahead.
spk06: Thank you, and thanks, everyone, for your questions and the discussion. Very helpful, and hopefully helpful for you. We welcome your feedback on these calls, so please email your comments to ir.sandyspringbank.com. Thanks again for participating, and have a great afternoon.
spk07: Conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
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