2/22/2023

speaker
Operator

Good day, everyone. My name is Rob, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Sabra fourth quarter 2022 earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press the star one. I would now like to turn the call over to Lucas Hartwich, Senior Vice President, Finance. Please go ahead, Mr. Hartwich.

speaker
Rob

Thank you, and good morning. Before we begin, I want to remind you that we will be making forward-looking statements in our comments and in response to your questions concerning our expectations regarding our future financial position and results of operations, including our expectations regarding our tenants and operators and our expectations regarding our acquisition, disposition, and investment plans. These forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, including the risks listed in our Form 10-K for the year end of December 31, 2022, as well as in our earnings press release included as Exhibit 99.1 to the Form 8-K we furnished to the SEC yesterday. We undertake no obligation to update our forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances And you should not assume later in the quarter that the comments we make today are still valid. In addition, references will be made during this call to non-GAAP financial results. Investors are encouraged to review these non-GAAP financial measures as well as the explanation and reconciliation of these measures to the comparable GAAP results included on the financials page of the investor section of our website at sovereignhealth.com. Our 410 earnings release and supplement can also be accessed in the investor section of our website. And with that, let me turn the call over to Rick Matros, CEO, President, and Chair of Sabra Healthcare REIT.

speaker
Rick Matros

Thanks, Lucas, and good day, everybody. Thanks for joining us. We appreciate it. First, I just want to comment on our asset recycling program. We've got a couple of transactions that we're hoping to close over the next couple of months or so. And that'll pretty much be the end of the program. After that, we'll continue to have dispositions, but it's more ordinary course of business dispositions. So we're looking forward to that. Just a quick comment on the North American transition. As we put out earlier, that transition closed effective Tuesday. February 1st as we anticipated. The operations held up really well throughout the period prior to the transition and continue to do so. In addition to the improvement in credit quality that we get from replacing North American with Ensign, I did want to point out that for Avenir, it will strengthen their portfolio as well. The four facilities that Avenir is picking up or has picked up in Washington State densifies its key market for them, which is allowing them to enter into managed care contracts that should help both occupancy and revenue overall in that particular market. Next, there's been a lot of talk about PLRs recently, and I just wanted to remind everybody that Sabra got a PLR in February of 2020, right before the pandemic hit. And that came shortly after we converted the holiday portfolio from triple net to managed, allowing us to not have holiday in the right data structure. At one point, we had some internal discussions about whether we wanted to do anything else relevant to management, because at the time, there was a lot of, it was an unsure environment relative to what Fortress was going to do with the portfolio. But after Atria wound up taking over the portfolio, we decided that we would just keep That is an optionality for us going forward. We've been really pleased with what H-REIT has done with the portfolio and happy to collaborate with them operationally. As I said, this provides some optionality for us going forward, but we don't anticipate doing anything different with it at this time. Moving on to the operating environment, occupancy held steady over the holidays. with some skilled operators up and some slightly down. So overall, a better outcome than we anticipated. We've had very little impact, if any, from flu, RSV, or COVID. So that's been helpful as well. Our sequential quarterly performance on the skilled space showed improved occupancy and skilled mix. Labor pressures persist, but has slowly been improving. But that's still going to take quite some time. Our sequential occupancy for our senior housing triple net portfolio was up materially by 240 basis points and over the fourth quarter moved up very nicely as well. Not quite at that pace, but at a pretty healthy clip. We currently don't have any discussions ongoing with any tenants relative to lease restructurings. Our coverage in our skilled portfolio is down primarily due to the quarter dropping off, having lower labor costs than the one coming on. So we anticipated that, and I think most everybody else did as well. Our skilled nursing exposure is now down to 58%. That's 1% higher than our all-time low. It will continue to drop this year, resulting in the most diversified by asset class the Sabra portfolio has ever been. We don't anticipate at any point that it would drop below 50% because we still anticipate doing skilled nursing acquisitions, but we like being in a different place relative to the level of diversification in our portfolio. Our investment pipeline is lighter than historical. We're starting to see some skilled opportunities and continue to see behavioral opportunities. The bulk of what we're seeing continues to be senior housing. As everybody knows, the PHE expired or is expiring effective May 11th. There's no real impact. Skilling in place has become negligible as acuity is normalized post-COVID breakouts. That's not to say that we wouldn't like that to stay in place, but it just doesn't seem to be in the cards at this particular point in time. The FMAP increase of 6.2% is no longer attached to the PHE and is unaffected by the May 11th date. We're not issuing guidance, and it appears that there's some consternation about the fact that we are still not issuing guidance, but we issued guidance in 21, and we see some of it appears that it's just particularly when you have a managed portfolio, really impossible to project the velocity of recovery, and until we have a little bit more clarity there, We just don't want to be in a position where we put the number out and then we have to change it again, which is what we see happening throughout. So Mike will talk a little bit more about that in his talking points. And hopefully at some point this year we will be able to put guidance out. Generally speaking, we expect a relatively quiet year as our asset classes continue to recover. And we do expect, based on all the initiatives we've embarked on, the... the asset sales that we've done, the transitions that we've talked about, and the general recovery of the managed portfolio, all to result in nice earnings growth for us as we look at 2024. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Talia.

speaker
Avenir

Thank you, Rick. Let me turn first to the results of our managed senior housing portfolio, including our joint venture investments in Canada, and then to an update on our investment activity in behavioral health. Our wholly owned managed senior housing portfolio continued its recovery throughout 2022 with revenue increasing through a combination of materially higher rev pour and growing occupancy. As operators have worked diligently to recruit, hire, and retain staff and reduce agency to pre-pandemic levels and even zero, expenses have plateaued and began to decline, allowing for cash net operating income to grow significantly and margins to decline. The headline numbers for the wholly owned managed portfolio on the same store basis excluding government stimulus are as follows. Occupancy for the fourth quarter of 2022 excluding non-stabilized assets was 81.8%, driven by a 2.4% percentage point increase in our assisted living communities over the prior quarter. Comparing fourth quarter 2022 to fourth quarter 2021, occupancy increased 5.9 percentage points in our assisted living communities and 90 basis points in our independent living communities. Rent for the fourth quarter excluding non-stabilized assets was 6,608 in our assisted living portfolio, a 5.3 percentage point increase over the prior quarter and an 8.9 percentage point increase over fourth quarter 2021, driven largely by the October 1st annual rate increases in our enlivened portfolio. REVs for the period excluding non-stabilized assets was 2,751 in our independent living communities, a 1.6% increase over the prior quarter, and a 6.6% increase over fourth quarter 2021. We anticipate that rate increases in 2023 will be in the same 5% to 10% range as those seen in 2022. Excluding government stimulus funds, cash NOI for the quarter was 22.9% higher than the prior quarter. Similarly, cash NOI margin in the fourth quarter grew to 26.9% from 22.7% in the prior quarter and 20% in the fourth quarter of 2021, as top-line increases in active expense management impacted the bottom line. Senior housing operators continue to drive revenue to offset materially higher costs by raising rates and focusing on more efficient customer acquisition. The investment in digital marketing that began during the pandemic has continued to produce better qualified leads with more move-ins than other sources. Move-in rates are above pre-pandemic levels, while move-out levels seem to have stabilized. With expenses under greater control, our wholly owned managed portfolio had nearly 50% growth in cash NOI in the fourth quarter of 2022 compared with the same quarter in 2021. If we compare the fourth quarter same-store revenue, occupancy, and REPRO results of our wholly owned managed portfolio by country, excluding government stimulus, our Canadian assets have outperformed our U.S. communities relative to the fourth quarter of 2021. In those same periods, occupancy in our Canadian portfolio rebounded by 7.2% with revenue growing 19% compared to our U.S. portfolio, which saw occupancy growth of 1% and revenue growth of 10%. However, expenses in the Canadian portfolio rose 14% in that period while staying flat in the U.S. Both portfolios saw significant growth in cash NOI with our domestic portfolio outpacing our Canadian portfolio by combining significant cost controls with high REVPOR growth. Sabra's unconsolidated joint ventures in Canada now include 15 communities in Ontario, Saskatchewan, and Quebec. Our 50-50 joint venture with Siena Senior Living, which includes 12 properties, has performed well since closing mid-year 2022 with occupancy and revenue continuing to rise steadily. As part of the effort to significantly cut agency spending, we incurred additional employee costs in the fourth quarter of $200,000, that's US dollars at share, to hire, incentivize, and retain employees at those communities. We share this to illustrate that availability and cost of labor in the early post-pandemic economy is not limited to the US market. Turning to our behavioral health portfolio, at the end of the fourth quarter, SOPR's investment in behavioral health included 17 properties and two mortgages with a total investment of $784 million at the end of the fourth quarter. We intend to invest an additional $53 million of capital to complete the conversion of six of these properties and an additional identified property, all of which have been leased to operators. During the fourth quarter, we entered into a lease on one of these properties with an experienced operator that is new to Sabra. As part of our ongoing initiative to recycle assets, we continue to review opportunities to convert more of our properties into higher-yielding assets that will deliver the types of care needed most in their communities. And with that, I will turn the call over to Michael Costa, Sabra's Chief Financial Officer.

speaker
Rick

Thanks, Talia. For the fourth quarter of 2022, we recognized normalized SFO per share of 37 cents and normalized AFFO per share of 37 cents. Compared to the third quarter of 2022, normalized SFO per share increased one cent and normalized AFFO per share increased two cents, primarily due to increased triple net NOI due to the timing of rents from leases accounted for on a cash basis, which we highlighted on last quarter's call. This accounted for a little over one cent of additional normalized SFO and normalized ASFO per share this quarter that is not expected to reoccur. In addition, normalized SFO and normalized ASFO per share were higher this quarter as a result of increased NOI from our senior housing managed portfolio. These increases were partially offset by lower NOI from the enlivened joint venture and higher interest and G&A costs. Normalized SFO and normalized ASFO for this quarter included $1.2 million of excess rents paid by Genesis pursuant to the memorandums of understanding entered into in 2017 when we began the disposition of a majority of our Genesis exposure. As we noted last quarter, these rents had a burn-off period of just over four years from the date the properties were sold and are now reaching the end of that burn-off period. We expect the amount of excess Genesis rents we recognize in earnings to decrease to $1.1 million in the first quarter of 2023 and decline to approximately $200,000 per quarter for each of the five quarters after that. When the excess rent amount steps down in the second quarter of this year, we expect it to result in a reduction to our quarterly earnings run rate of just under one cent per share. During the quarter, we successfully completed the transition of the portfolio formerly leased to North American Healthcare to Ensign and Avemere. As noted on last quarter's call, the earnings impact from this transition is expected to result in a reduction to our quarterly earnings run rate of just under one cent per share. As of December 31st, 2022, less than 5% of our NOI is below one times EBITDARM coverage, which is in line with previous quarters. Also, as of December 31st, 2022, our annualized cash NOI was $456.2 million, and our SNF exposure represented 58.1% of our annualized cash NOI, down 190 basis points from the third quarter and down 330 basis points from a year ago. We expect this percentage to continue moving lower throughout 2023 as a result of our recently completed SNF sales and further earnings recovery in our senior housing managed portfolio. G&A costs for the quarter totaled $10.9 million compared to $9.7 million in the third quarter of 2022. The majority of this increase is due to adjusting our estimates for compensation that is based on 2022 annual performance. Cash G&A for the quarter was $8.8 million compared to $7.6 million in the third quarter. After factoring in the adjustment in estimates that I noted, cash G&A is basically flat sequentially. Now turning to the balance sheet. On January 4, 2023, we amended and restated our credit facility, improving our debt maturity profile while keeping capacity and pricing consistent with our prior credit facility. As a result, we have no material debt maturities until 2026. Shortly after amending and restating our credit facility, we entered into a series of current and forward-starting interest rate swap agreements that cover the entire five-year duration of the term loans under our credit facility. Because of these hedging activities, our term loans, totaling $540.7 million, will have an average fixed rate of approximately 4% over the next five years, providing us with significant cost certainty and eliminating any long-term exposure to floating rate debt. The earnings benefit of this proactive approach to managing our interest expense is meaningful, as our annual interest expense would be over $12 million higher if our term loan debt remained floating at today's rates. We are in compliance with all of our debt covenants and our liquidity as of December 31st, 2022, totaled $852 million, consisting of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $49 million and available borrowings of $803 million under our revolving credit facility. Subsequent to December 31st, we received approximately $159 million of gross proceeds from the sale of assets and repayments, and the net proceeds were used to repay borrowings under our revolving credit facility. further increasing our liquidity. These asset sales and repayments are expected to reduce our quarterly earnings run rate by approximately one cent per share. As of December 31st, 2022, and pro forma for the investment and disposition activity subsequent to December 31st, our leverage was 5.38 times, a sequential decrease of 0.12 times. We expect our leverage to further improve in future quarters As a result of continued recovery in our senior housing managed portfolio and from any potential future asset sales, we continue to focus on strengthening our balance sheet and portfolio without having to access the capital markets until the cost is more favorable, and we are well-positioned to do just that. On February 1, 2023, our board director declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share of common stock. The dividend will be paid on February 28, 2023 to common stockholders of record as of the close of business on February 13, 2023. The dividend represents a payout of 81% of our normalized ASO per share of $0.37. Lastly, as Rick noted, we did not issue guidance this quarter. We continue to closely monitor the operational recovery of our portfolio, and we are encouraged by the progress we continue to see on the occupancy and cost side. With that said, labor pressures and operating headwinds still remain, and visibility is limited to when these factors will normalize in a way that would allow us to confidently estimate our earnings over the next several quarters. However, when you aggregate the various moving pieces I highlighted earlier and assuming all else remains equal, the run rate for fourth quarter normalized ASO per share would be between three to four cents lower than the reported number. And with that, we'll open up the lines for Q&A.

speaker
Operator

At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of Michael Griffin from Citi. Your line is open.

speaker
Michael Griffin

Hello. This is Avery Tyrus. I'm from Michael Griffin. My first question is on just the labor environment. I mean, what are your expectations around labor in the CIF portfolio, and any additional color you can provide on what your operators are seeing on the ground?

speaker
Rick Matros

Yeah, look, it's still a slog. It's certainly better than it was, and it continues to show some improvement, but it's really slow. I think the thing that the operators are most looking forward to to help them out on the labor side is a very positive expected market basket on Medicare come October 1st. But before that, and obviously this depends on the state you're in, but we expect to see in July and August better than historical Medicaid rates. As you may know, there's a cost-to-core process in each state, and there's a lag time before the actual costs get reflected in new rates. And this summer, we'll start seeing that reflected, really, for the first time. Next summer, they'll really be reflected even more, but we do expect some outsized Medicaid rates this summer. So that's going to help the operators quite a bit. But other than that, you know, it's impossible to project, you know,

speaker
spk04

sort of the pace of this thing getting any better.

speaker
Michael Griffin

That's helpful. Thank you. My follow-up question is a little bit on the transaction market. What are you seeing in the transaction market in terms of investor appetite for skilled assets? I know the capital recycling program is largely complete, but what are your thoughts?

speaker
spk04

And any additional color there would be helpful.

speaker
spk03

I'll take that.

speaker
Avenir

The limiting factor is the availability and cost of bridge to HUD financing above all else. So the interest is there. And I think we'll continue to see a queue of deals with various sellers. But it's all taking longer because debt is tougher to procure at the levels and the amounts that people were easily able to obtain six months ago. That's really the challenge. It's taking, I think, longer for various buyers to get their deals done, and that applies to all the sellers out there, and there are many.

speaker
spk04

That's very helpful. Thank you. That's all for me.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from a line of Juan Sanabria from BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.

speaker
Juan Sanabria

Hi, good morning. Just a follow-up question or a question for Michael, I should say, with regards to you kind of gave a run rate. So I was hoping you could maybe break the major pieces that you kind of went over at the very end of your prepared remarks just to get a better sense of how we should think about the model going forward.

speaker
Rick

Hey, Juan. Yeah, so, I mean, the major pieces are, like I said in the prepared remarks, we had cash basis rents. There was a tiny difference, which I talked about on the third quarter call, where we received some rents from tenants on the cash basis in the fourth quarter that should have come into the third quarter. So that, you know, brought third quarter down lower than it should have been. It brought fourth quarter up higher than it should have been. So just to normalize for that, it's a little over a penny per share per quarter. You also have the sales, all the dispositions we completed throughout the fourth quarter and subsequent to the fourth quarter. That's going to be another one penny per share reduction. And then you have a combination of the North American transition as well as starting in the second quarter, you have the Genesis excess rent stepping down.

speaker
Rich

You can put that all together, and that's how I come up with a three to four cent reduction in run rates.

speaker
spk04

Thanks.

speaker
Juan Sanabria

And then just on the dispositions transitions, what is left dollar-wise to sell and or to transition there that's left? You guys have done a lot here in the fourth and early to 23 to start the year, but just curious the quantum of what's contemplated to be that's left at this point.

speaker
Rick Matros

So we haven't disclosed what we have left. The only thing I will say is that what's left is substantially less than what we just disclosed that we got done post year end.

speaker
spk04

Okay. Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Vikram Malhotra from Mizuho.

speaker
Operator

Your line is open.

speaker
spk07

Thanks for taking the questions. Maybe just to start off, can you clarify, you had some comments on collections. I just want to make sure, is there a number you can give us in terms of rent collections in the quarter? And then is there any percent of the tenant, the skilled nursing tenant base that is on that partial paid in the quarter?

speaker
Rick

Yeah. So, I mean, in terms of rent collection, that's been pretty steady as it has been throughout the pandemic, you know, in the high 90 percentile range. And the hard part about using that number, Vikram, is that because we have a percentage of our portfolio, call it 5 to 6 percent, that's on the cash basis, where the amounts we receive every month vary. It's It's going to jump around a little bit, but again, it's a small percentage of our portfolio that has remained consistent.

speaker
spk07

Okay, so there are no new tenants that kind of were partial paying in the quarter?

speaker
Rick

We did not put any tenants on cash basis this quarter.

speaker
spk07

Okay. And then just to clarify, so the ASFO run rate, given the 3 to 4 cents that you mentioned, I think you reported, if I'm not wrong, 34 cents or 37 cents and adjusted 34, is, you know, without you redeploying the proceeds you have for new acquisitions, is the right run rate somewhere in the low 30s? Is it like 31 in that range?

speaker
Rick

Well, our normalized number is 37 cents. So I think you would take that and, you know, make those adjustments as you deem fit.

speaker
spk07

Okay. And then just last one, any broader comments you can give on a potential mandate around minimum staffing and even anecdotally what you've heard from a federal perspective, any specific states you would call out and what the impact theoretically could be on operator financial health. Thank you.

speaker
Rick Matros

It's really impossible to say now. Those discussions are still ongoing and there isn't a whole lot of specificity to them. The lobbying effort on the part of the trade association and operators is really twofold. One, anything that you're going to do needs to be paid for, and certainly those discussions have occurred with CMS, who seems to acknowledge that that would be important. I don't want to speak for them, but that was kind of our take on that. But the other is, Why would you put a mandate in place when there simply aren't nurses out there? There was one state, I believe it was Missouri, but I might be off on that, and this is very recent, that did come out with a staffing mandate. However, they worked with the industry, and the industry actually in that state was supportive of it, because the mandate itself, number one, was reasonable. Number two, there were incentives for being able to meet the mandate, and there were qualifications around the effort being made to procure new staff. So in other words, if there were staffing shortages, but operators were able to demonstrate to the regulators that they've made real good faith efforts and had that documented, that they wouldn't be penalized for it. So as a result of that, in that state, it got operator support. So, you know, there are ways of making this work, but it would have to be, I think, along those kind of lines. But at this point, we have no idea where it's going to fall.

speaker
spk07

Okay, thanks for the color.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Rich Anderson from SMBC. Your line is open.

speaker
Rich Anderson

Thanks. Good morning out there. I think it was said that you're expecting rate growth of 5 to 10 percent in your senior housing portfolio. Does that hold true in where it shows up in your portfolio? So whether it's the joint venture with TPG or your managed, wholly managed assets or even your triple net. Is it all that in that 5% to 10% range or is it more or less in some of those buckets?

speaker
Avenir

I can say affirmatively for our managed portfolio that that's the case. And even more narrowly, all the operators within our wholly owned same store numbers. That's very much the case because that is actually where that information comes from. I think that's a reasonable range for the rest of the portfolio as well.

speaker
Rich Anderson

Okay. Do you have any concerns around the country about future nursing strikes? We've had some of that going on in New York. you know, in the conventional, you know, acute care hospital system. But is that something, you know, when you think about unionization of nursing around the country that you're keeping an eye on and it has, you know, keeps you up at night to a degree?

speaker
Rick Matros

Well, it definitely doesn't keep me up at night. But I would say the answer is no. One, those strikes happen typically in states that are pretty fully unionized and not just in our space but in other spaces. And we don't have a whole lot of exposure in states that are sort of a more militant union environment. So, no, it really doesn't concern us. In the state of California, unions are strong in the north, not so strong in the south. But of our entire California portfolio, we have three facilities that are unionized. Okay.

speaker
Rich Anderson

Last for me is I know you're going to kind of keep it quiet or however you put it this year and sort of get your portfolio back into shape and return to growth next year. To what degree are you missing by taking that path? Is there anything going on transaction-wise that if you were a little bit more active you could actually get more stuff done or is this a convenient time to be quiet because There's not a whole lot going on anyway, so it kind of works out for you timing-wise.

speaker
Rick Matros

Yeah, no, it's a fair question. We did actually a lot of transactions last year. It was a really healthy year for us, and a lot of those transactions are operations that are also improving and recovering over the course of the pandemic that are going to be accretive to earnings next year. This year, I think there are a couple of factors. One, the activity is kind of light out there. The debt markets change things. And it's how you talked about on the skill version comment So it's just it's light in terms of opportunity and secondly You know cost of capital is an issue and you know, we don't think until you all in the investment community believe that the industry really recovered or it's gotten a lot closer and You know, we think most everybody's going to trade relatively sideways. And so we want to be cognizant of that as well. And if we didn't, but again, it's all because we feel really good about where we're going to be next year based on all the activity that we've done. And as we've said on past calls, Rich, for us, a lot of the focus of the pandemic has been to better position Sabra to grow as we come out of the pandemic. And I think between all of the initiatives with the transitions and the asset recycling, all the balance sheet improvements made in the new credit facility, and the overall quality of the portfolio improving as a result of all these activities, I just think we're going to be a much stronger lead coming out of the pandemic.

speaker
Rich

Okay. Sounds good. Thanks, Rick. Thanks, everyone. Yeah, thanks, Rich.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from a line of Joshua Dennerlein from Bank of America. Your line is open. Hey, guys.

speaker
Joshua Dennerlein

Thanks for the time. I guess I just wanted to follow up on a comment you mentioned in your opening remarks, Rick, about guidance. It sounded like you might issue it later this year. I guess what are you waiting to see as far as reinstating it? I'm just kind of curious, given your comment.

speaker
Rick Matros

It's primarily a trajectory that we actually think is predictable. on senior housing. So that's really the main thing. You know, we've seen, we experienced the inability to project in 21. We're actually, we're giving guidance and some of our peers who have chosen to give guidance where in the next quarter they have to make some changes on it. It's just really difficult. We've kind of jokingly said, but it's true, is, and for me, for all my decades in the business, You know, I've never been as wrong in terms of predicting as I've been these last three years. So we just want a little bit more certainty in terms of the rate of the velocity of recovery.

speaker
Joshua Dennerlein

Okay. Okay. Hopeful. And then you brought up the public letter ruling you received in February 2020, I think. Yeah. Just curious. why you brought that up, and does it apply to any other assets or just the holiday assets?

speaker
Rick Matros

It applies to the independent living assets in the States, which for us is primarily holiday, and I brought it up because it's gotten a lot of attention since World Tower received theirs, and so it is something that's really good to have from an optionality perspective, even if you don't want to use it the way they have this time. Also, it did allow us to put to transition holiday in a non-Ridea structure. So I just wanted to remind everybody, because the pandemic feels like it's been longer than three years, that we actually have a private letter ruling as well. And I believe that we were the first in our space to have one that had that outcome.

speaker
spk04

Okay.

speaker
Rich

No, yeah, hopefully. I think a lot of us forgot. Thank you.

speaker
spk04

Our next question comes from the line of Stephen Vallecat from Barclays. Your line is open.

speaker
Stephen Vallecat

Great. Thanks. Hello, everyone. Thanks for taking the question. So I think a lot of the operational stuff's been covered so far, but one thing just on the kind of interest expense and balance sheet, you guys renewed the extent of the credit facility in early January, closed some dispositions. Obviously, things are already improving this year. Despite those favorable developments, Among some of the health care rates that are given 23 guidance, one of the trends seems to be that interest expense headwinds for 23 have been greater than what was reflected in street consensus, at least for a few companies. So I know you're not given 23 operational guidance, but I'm wondering if you can at least just talk directionally on just where you think interest expense might shake out for 23 versus the $105 million just reported for 22, just directionally, just based on the variables that you're aware of today, just to make sure we're not missing out on them.

speaker
Rick

Sure, yeah. So, I mean, the two variables there would be any variable rate debt, pardon the pun, that we have in our portfolio. Right before we did the credit facility, all of our variable rate debt, excluding our revolver balance, was effectively fixed. We had already swaps in place, and as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we went into additional swaps and current starting and forward starting swaps to lock in that interest for the next five years. So if you look at the predominance of our debt that's outstanding, it's all fixed rate. Between our public bonds and our term loans, and we have a little bit of mortgage debt as well, it's all fixed rate. The only variability you would experience that we would experience from the debt side would be on our revolver balance, but we've paid that down significantly subsequent to year-end, and we'll continue to look to pay that down through, you know, available cash flow. There's, you know, additional sales proceeds as we generate, you know, more earnings out of our senior housing management portfolio.

speaker
Rich

That's all going to help reduce that balance down even further to then, you know, reduce whatever exposure we may have to variable rates. Okay, I got it.

speaker
Stephen Vallecat

Okay, one other kind of random question here. You talked about the PLR. Obviously, that's for independent living and, you know, kind of just for data structure overall. But I guess I'm kind of curious on, you know, if you do believe that there's a potential turnaround in the SNF sector longer term, does it make sense at some point to explore even doing, you know, There are some other REITs that are involved in that. I wonder if that's ever crossed your mind or if that's something you want to steer away from for other REITs. Just curious to get your high-level thoughts around that.

speaker
Rick Matros

Yeah, so you know how people say never say never? This is like never, ever will it happen. There's only one REIT out there that's done that. They're private, non-traded REITs. No, I think the liability is tremendous. It's different with skills. Because in the skilled nursing space, there's a national database called Nursing Home Compare. And that's where the trial attorneys go. They go into that database, and they go fishing, and they look for facilities that have had certain numbers of deficiencies or issues with the regulators. It's right there for the taking, and they can put classes around that. So whereas in senior housing, the private pay industry with no federal regulations, that doesn't exist. So to me, there's huge, huge liability risk there, and this has come up on occasion over the years and just won't do it. It's just not going to happen.

speaker
Rich

Sorry, I appreciate that, Tyler.

speaker
Rick Matros

Yeah, sure. And the other thing I want to just point out, it wasn't Missouri that has the state mandate that the industry supported. It was the state of Virginia.

speaker
spk04

So I just wanted to clarify that. Your next question comes from a line of Teo Ocasana from Credit Suisse.

speaker
Operator

Your line is open.

speaker
Tyler

Oh, yes. Good morning out there. I just want a clarification on the enlivened JV. I think, Mike, you made commentary that the JV had less contributions to your bottom line this quarter than last quarter, which, again, seemed contrary to what was happening in your wholly owned portfolio. So can we just talk a little bit about kind of the outlook for the Unlivened JV and maybe any updates on talks with TPJ about a potential sale?

speaker
Rick Matros

So the sale process is ongoing, and you're right about the trends there are counter to what we're seeing elsewhere in the portfolio, which we've seen some really great gains on the AL side. And the issue really is, you know, for anybody that's ever taken a company through a sales process, the creep of uncertainty and sort of a and it's a very big distraction for management. In this case, the sale process was supposed to start after Labor Day of 2021, which is why we had to make the announcement on our second quarter call of 21 that the sale was going to happen, and we had to address it in terms of the write-down as well. So then they decided not to start the sale process. at that point in time. So you've had 18 months now where this thing is hung over the head of the portfolio, and it's created problems. There's been a lot of attrition, and it's been a big distraction for the management team, and I give the management team there a lot of credit for essentially being able to sort of hold steady through this whole process. But it is being marketed now, and, you know, From our perspective, we don't expect much, and that's kind of it.

speaker
Rick

Yeah, and Tyler, the only thing I would add to that in addition to what Rick said on the operating performance, if you recall, that's a pretty highly levered portfolio, so debt service costs have been eating away at AFFO as well.

speaker
Tyler

Gotcha. Okay, that's helpful. Yeah, and just... I mean, is this occupancy down? Is occupancy continuing to kind of trend down versus the rest of your portfolio that's improving? Just give us a sense of what's happening.

speaker
Rick Matros

It's just flat. It's just flat. It's not going up. It's not going down. That's why I said they're basically holding serve, and I give them credit for that, given everything that they've gone through. But the other thing I want to remind everybody that relative to the support payments that have been ongoing for the operating company, we don't contribute anything to those.

speaker
spk04

None of that comes from Sabra. Okay, that's helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

And again, if you would like to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of John Palowski from Green Street. Your line is open.

speaker
John Palowski

Thanks. Maybe just a follow-up to that last question. Assuming the credit markets remain challenging, Rick, would you expect or do you expect to have to invest additional capital in a live-inch AV if TPG can't find a seller or a buyer?

speaker
Rick Matros

No, we don't have that expectation. We've made that clear to TPG as well. So we haven't been investing anything and we don't intend to invest anything. The debt is non-recourse to us.

speaker
spk04

We actually could just walk if we think that's the right thing to do.

speaker
John Palowski

Okay, understood. I have one for you, Talia. With respect to your mortgage loans and preferred equity investments, can you give me a sense for how well covered the debt service costs are today, and if you're becoming incrementally more concerned about just credit behind any of the properties?

speaker
Avenir

There's only one loan that's really more substantial, and that is our loan to RCA, which is collateralized by six assets. And their operations are improving, so we're not really concerned. Those are core assets to their operations. and be there on the upswing from an occupancy and EBITDA and coverage perspective.

speaker
spk03

So, we have a degree of confidence there.

speaker
John Palowski

Okay. And on the preferred equity side, any concerns there?

speaker
spk03

No. That's a pretty small amount of money at this point. So, no.

speaker
Rick Matros

Well, thanks, everybody, for their participation today. We appreciate it. We are available, as always, for any follow-up, and have a great day. Thank you.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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