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10/30/2025
Welcome to the Sun Country Airlines third quarter 2025 earnings call. My name is Marvin, and I'll be your operator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is pre-recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Chris Allen, Director of Investor Relations. Mr. Allen, you may begin.
Thank you. I'm joined today by Jude Bricker, our Chief Executive Officer, Tork Zubek, Chief Financial Officer, and a group of others to help answer questions. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that during this call, the company may make certain statements that constitute forward-looking statements. Our remarks today may include forward-looking statements that are based on management's current beliefs, expectations, and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially. We encourage you to review the risk factors and cautionary statements outlined in our earnings release and our most recent SEC filing. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. You can find our third quarter 2025 earnings press release on the investor relations portion of our website at ir.slankcountry.com. With that said, I would now like to turn the call over to Jude.
Thanks, Chris. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. Our diversified business model is unique in the airline industry, as demonstrated by our 13 consecutive profitable quarters. Due to the predictability of our charter and cargo businesses, we're able to deliver the most flexible scheduled service capacity in the industry. The combination of our scheduled flexibility and low fixed cost model allows us to respond to both predictable leisure demand fluctuations and exogenous industry shocks. We believe, due to our structural advantages, we'll be able to reliably deliver industry-leading profitability throughout all cycles. As discussed on Prior calls in 2025, Sun Country is focused on cargo expansion as we execute on the planned growth of the cargo fleet to 20 aircraft. Today, all 20 aircraft are in operation. Our third quarter cargo revenue for September is up 60% year on year, and we expect it to move to over 75% by December based on the current schedule. Consistent with our plans, cargo growth has displaced some scheduled service flying. The year-on-year cuts in scheduled service were largest in 3Q and will be focused on recovering those levels in the next several quarters. I expect to be able to show positive year-on-year scheduled service growth by 3Q26. For me, the most positive news in the quarter was the inflection in scheduled service TRASM. 3Q TRASM was up 1.6%, however, for September it was up over 7%. Currently, we expect 4Q TRASM to be up over 6%, with 1Q 2026 advances even stronger. Our revenue strength is across all regions of our network. And based on our current industry selling schedules, I don't see any reason that those trends shouldn't continue. I continue to expect to achieve $300 million of run rate EBITDA after the second quarter of 2027 operating the fleet we currently have on our balance sheet. The timing of full implementation may be delayed by many factors, some beyond our control. The aircraft that we lease out will be re-delivered through the end of next year, and we project that utilization will continue to increase as we train crews to increase block hours. Another positive in 3Q was charter production. We had an all-time record volume while also growing revenue per block hour by 4% year-on-year. In the backdrop of strong demand for charters, we're able to allocate surplus capacity into this segment. This helps offset some of the underflying of scheduled service. Our ability to flex capacity between charter and scheduled service continues to be a competitive advantage, especially in this environment. Finally, and perhaps most important for our long-term success, we continue to execute a safe and reliable network with 3Q controllable completion factor of 99.3%. Operations as varied as ours are difficult. It's a team sport. I continue to be impressed by all our employees that make it happen for our customers every day. With that, I'll turn it over to Tor.
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