Stratasys, Ltd.

Q3 2022 Earnings Conference Call

11/10/2022

spk10: Good day and welcome to today's conference call to discuss Stratasys' third quarter 2022 financial results. My name is Donna and I'm your operator for today's call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone requires assistance during the event, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. I'd now like to turn the call over to Yonah Lloyd, Chief Communications Officer and Vice President of Investor Relations for Stratasys. Thank you, Mr. Lloyd. Please go ahead.
spk09: Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us to discuss our 2022 third quarter financial results. On the call with us today are our CEO, Dr. Yoav Zaif, and our CFO, Eitan Zamir. I would like to remind you that access to today's call, including the slide presentation, is available online at the web address provided in our press release. In addition, a replay of today's call, including access to the slide presentation, will also be available and can be accessed through the Investor Relations section of our website. Please note that some of the information you will hear during our discussion today will consist of forward-looking statements including, without limitation, those regarding our expectations as to our future revenue, gross margin, operating expenses, taxes, and other future financial performance, and our expectations for our business outlook. All statements that speak to future performance, events, expectations, or results are forward-looking statements. Actual results or trends could differ materially from our forecast. For risks that could cause actual results to be materially different from those set forth in forward-looking statements, please refer to the risk factors discussed or referenced in Stratasys' annual report on Form 20F for the 2021 year. Please also refer to our operating and financial review and prospects for 2021 and for the third quarter of 2022 which are included as Item 5 of our annual report on Form 20F for 2021 and in Exhibit 99.2 to the report on Form 6K that we are furnishing to the SEC today, respectively. Please also see the press release that announces our earnings for the third quarter of 2022, which is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to a separate report on Form 6K that we are furnishing to the SEC today. Our reports on Form 6K that we furnish to the SEC on a quarterly basis and throughout the year provide updated current information regarding our operating results and material developments concerning our company. Stratasys assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements or information which speak as of their respective dates. As in previous quarters, today's call will include GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. The non-GAAP financial measures should be read in combination with our GAAP metrics to evaluate our performance. Non-gap-to-gap reconciliations are provided in tables in our slide presentation and today's press release. I will now turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Yoav Zaif. Yoav?
spk14: Thank you, Yonah. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. Our results this quarter demonstrate the ongoing solid business performance and fiscal health of strategies. We delivered our highest third quarter revenue in seven years, as well as five consecutive quarters of positive earnings, demonstrating our unique capabilities to generate profitable growth. And we believe we can continue generating sustained operating profitability for the foreseeable future, assuming no further material deterioration of the broader economic environment. It is a compelling time to be a leader in 3D printing. In fact, many of the challenges facing our target industry today are the same factors that ultimately justify accelerating the transition from traditional to additive manufacturing. These include the ability to adapt rapidly and cost-effectively to logistics bottlenecks, higher transportation costs, new sustainability requirements, and faster product innovation times. Stratasys continues to expand our customer reach across our technologies and our vision of the future of additive manufacturing is more robust than ever. We continue to have strong engagement with both our installed base and new customers for our leading FDM and PolyJet offerings, as well as our three newer technologies. However, the opportunities that we have also come with some obstacles in the current macro space. Customers are facing challenges today that are impacting their purchasing behavior. The market has slowed. resulting in longer sales cycles and occasional deferrals of orders. To that point, we remain laser-focused on controlling what we can to be best positioned to effectively execute sustained profitable growth. Importantly, we have a broad, global, diverse set of offerings across a multitude of systems and materials. The steady contributions from our organic technologies and the incremental revenues from our new technologies enable us to deliver consistent growth with improving margins. We also enhance our results through a relentless focus on cost. We are tightly managing our cost structure as evidenced by the ongoing improved efficiency in our OPEX spending. reflected in the year-over-year 130 basis point improvement this quarter in OPEX as a percentage of revenue. We expect to continue finding efficiencies in the business to further demonstrate the resiliency of our model. As a reminder, our main OEM business is to deliver polymer-based 3D printing solutions through hardware, materials, software, and services, with a focus on shifting more of our revenues from prototyping to manufacturing. Revenue in our OEM business this quarter was up approximately 10% year-over-year at constant currency. Overall, revenues were up 7.8%, excluding divestitures and on a constant currency basis. driven by our highest third-quarter system revenue in six years, which grew 18.9% adjusted for FX and divestiture, compared to the third quarter of 2021. We believe that the contribution from our new technologies, SAS, P3, and NEO, has more than doubled our addressable market and opened up new use cases and opportunities to replace traditional manufacturing across verticals. We are expanding and improving our line of FDM systems and materials, as well as starting to see the positive progress on P3 and SAF, our more recently launched mass production solutions. FDM delivered solid growth this quarter and is still the largest technology in 3D printing today. A recent proof point of the continued demand for FDM is a repeat sale this third quarter to a global automotive OEM for more of our industrial manufacturing-grade F900 system. Furthermore, to fund additional growth, we ended the quarter with a strong balance sheet that includes no debt. This continues to support our growth through organic investments as well as accretive acquisition opportunities that we uncover, including early-stage but highly compelling technology-driven businesses that we believe will contribute to our growth by leveraging our infrastructure. Now, let me turn to some of the exciting achievements and milestones reached since the end of the first half of 2022. We believe that a comprehensive materials offering that competes with and even improves on traditional manufacturing is key for taking 3D printing into true production applications. We are very excited to update you about our progress on this materials journey across all of our technologies. In August, we agreed to acquire Covestro's additive manufacturing materials business, which includes R&D facilities and activities, global development and sales teams across Europe, the US, China, a portfolio of 60 additive manufacturing materials, and an extensive IP portfolio with hundreds of patents and patent spending. Covestro is an example of a business we believe can thrive as it leverages our infrastructure and relationships. It has been an important part of our third-party materials ecosystem, as we are already a distributor of their Somos resins that are available for use in our Neo and OriginOne 3D printers. Adding this business to the Stratasys portfolio provides us ability to offer more complete solutions to customers, accelerate next-generation materials development, and expand our already differentiated materials offerings in stereolithography, DLP resins, and powders. Closing remains on track for the end of the first quarter of 2023 and is expected to be immediately accretive. For FDM, We announced availability of 13 new validated materials in our OpenAM software. This includes several materials from Covestro and partners like Victrex and Chemia. It also includes several existing materials now available in new colors. For materials like Ultem 9085 thermoplastic, this is Significant because it makes it easier for our customers to use 3D printed production parts in more customer-facing applications where aesthetics matters, such as in commercial aircraft and trained car interiors. These 13 materials represent a tremendous acceleration in the pace of new materials innovation for FDM, opening up new applications far faster than ever before. We also introduced two new validated industrial materials for the Origin-1 printer in the quarter. P3 Stretch 475 is a new resin from our partners Henkel Loctite that adds a softer elastomer to our portfolio, which our customers have requested For example, we have a large automotive customer that has been using the material for end-use door seals. In addition, we introduced P3 Deflect 120, which is our first validated material from Evonik. P3 Deflect 120 is designed to stay strong at high temperatures, ideal for applications like molds in manufacturing. We are also excited to have reached a key milestone in the dental industry, which is the largest manufacturing target market in 3D printing today in terms of the amount of materials consumed. And it continues to grow. I'm happy to share that Stratasys has recently received FDA 510K approval of a new revolutionary resin for our J5 dentages that we believe will be a disruptive growth driver for us in the dentures industry. 3D printing of dentures is particularly exciting, as it is only in its ground floor stage. It is a $5 billion addressable market today and growing, and we plan to take a meaningful share over time. We are currently working with several leading industry partners to prepare for its commercialization and look forward to officially launching the solution at LMT Lab Day in Chicago at the end of this coming February. This is a great example of how we are extending the PolyJet end market universe and believe that it has a promising future for non-prototype end-use parts in medical, dental, and fashion applications. In addition to this strategic initiative, we invested in one company and acquired another that will enhance our capabilities in the area of artificial intelligence for 3D printing. Both reflect our strategic plan to incubate innovative technologies by bringing them under our umbrella, cultivating their advancement and positioning them to contribute to our overall long-term growth. And both will be available to our customer in 2023. First, we invested $10 million out of $15 million raised by MedTech startup Axial3D. Axial3D's AI-powered, cloud-based 3D printing platform enables healthcare providers to easily segment CT and MRI scans for anatomic models at a fraction of the cost and time of other solutions. 3D printed models created with our digital anatomy and J5 MediJet systems are used for pre-surgical planning in many leading hospitals. To improve surgery success rates, and patient recovery time. We are now working with Axial 3D on a joint offering that we believe will remove barriers to entry for the majority of hospitals in many of our key markets, allowing our solution to truly become a standard part of patient care. We look forward to sharing more at the upcoming RSNA trade show later this year. Second, we acquired Riven, a closed-loop software company for additive manufacturing. We know Riven well, having watched them grow as one of our connectivity partners. Their cloud-based solution will be fully integrated into our GrabCat additive manufacturing platform. Riven's technology helps customers quickly inspect, diagnose, and automatically correct deviations between CAD files and actual printed parts within a closed-loop additive manufacturing process. This means every step in the process is interconnected from inspection to diagnosis to correction. The latest version in testing uses artificial intelligence to actually predict and pre-adjust model changes in advance. The result is more accurate production runs in much less time, weeks or even months of potential improvement, and at a lower cost, key areas of focus for the manufacturing industry. These are just two examples of companies joining our platform that we believe will help drive our innovation vision forward. To sum up, we are laying meaningful foundations for further growth, and we are proud of the expansion of our capabilities this quarter through new technologies and materials that will drive our industry leadership for the long term. I will now turn the call over to our CFO, Eitan Zamil, to share the financial results and update our outlook for the rest of 2022. Eitan?
spk13: Thank you, Yoav, and good morning, everyone. We achieved solid results against an increasingly challenging backdrop in the quarter. And as you have shared, growth within our OEM business was even stronger, up almost 10% on a constant currency, as compared to the third quarter of 2021. We are particularly proud of the improvement in OPEX as a percent of revenues, which shows the progress that we are making on driving efficiencies across the platform. In general, our results demonstrate the resilience our diversified offering provides. Now let me dive deeper into the numbers. For the third quarter, consolidated revenue of $162.2 million was up 2%, and revenue adjusted for the vestiges and at constant currency was up 7.8%, from the prior year period. Product revenue in the third quarter rose by 3% to $112.1 million compared to the same period last year, or by 10.5% excluding divestitures and on constant currency basis. Within product revenue, system revenue grew by 7.7% to $56.3 million compared to the same period last year. and increased by 18.9% excluding divestitures and on a constant currency basis. Consumable revenue declined by 1.4% to 55.8 million compared to the same period last year, but grew by 3.4% excluding divestitures and on a constant currency basis. Aside from FX and Makeable, consumable spending was impacted by the general slowdown in the market, especially for materials used for prototyping. Additionally, there is a natural lag time between hardware purchases and consumables. And given the lower hardware sales for the five years prior to 2021, it takes time for our install base to drive sales back to the level before that time period. The good news is Now that hardware sales have been growing again, we expect consumables to grow steadily beginning next quarter and beyond. Service revenue was $50.1 million, down 0.1% as compared to the same period last year, and up by 2.1%, excluding the investitures on a constant currency basis. Within service revenue, customer support revenue grew 4.7% compared to the same period last year and increased by 9% on a constant currency basis. Now turning to gross margins. Gap gross margin was 43.6% for the quarter compared to 42.9% for the same period last year. Non-gap gross margin was 48.5% for the quarter compared to 48.2% for the same period last year. Growth margins benefited from operational efficiencies and the divestment of maker board during the quarter, partially offset by the FX impact. Gap operating expenses were 86.4 million compared to 90.1 million during the same period last year. Non-gap operating expenses were 74.2 million compared to $74.9 million during the same period last year. Non-GAAP operating expenses were 45.8% of revenue for the quarter, compared to 47.1% for the same period last year, as we continue to focus on operational efficiency improvement. Last quarter, we noted that the incremental revenue came with an implied cost of only 25%, and improvement from 35% in the Q1 period. This quarter, we are pleased to note an improved efficiency of our model, where the additional operating expenses were actually negative instead of the historical range in the mid to high 40%, clearly a driver of the improved margin profile. Regarding our consolidated earnings, Gap operating loss for the quarter was $15.6 million, compared to a loss of $21.9 million for the same period last year. Non-gap operating income for the quarter was $4.5 million, compared to $1.8 million for the same period last year. The increase reflects our business scalability and improved operational efficiency, which once again resulted in gross margin growth and lower operating expenses. Gap net income for the quarter was $18.7 million, or $0.28 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $18.1 million, or $0.28 per diluted share, for the same period last year. Gap net income included a $39.1 million gain from the deconsolidation of Makeable. Non-GAAP net income for the quarter was $3.3 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $0.05 million, or $0.01 per diluted share, in the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA of $9.9 million compared to $7.8 million in the same period last year reflected our improved profitability levels. We used 18.4 million of cash in our operations during the third quarter, compared to generating 3 million of cash from operations in the same quarter last year. The use of cash was primarily driven by deliberately increased inventory purchases. We ended the quarter with 349 million in cash, cash equivalent, and short-term deposits, compared to 441.5 million at the end of the second quarter of 2022. During the quarter, we used cash to make investment in companies that we believe will help further advance our strategic goals. Our balance sheet and cash generation profile remain strong, and we are well-funded and well-positioned to capitalize on value-enhancing market opportunities as they are identified. Now let me turn to our outlook for 2022. I would note that our guidance now excludes any further contributions from Makeable, as the merger with Ultimaker is now closed. As Yoav described earlier, market conditions have become more challenging since our last update, and currency exchange rates continue to pressure the business. We believe this challenging backdrop will continue. for the balance of the year and well into next, primarily affecting our prototyping business. The impacts include delayed purchases of systems and materials, longer sales cycle, and overall inflationary and recessionary concerns reflected in buyers' behavior. Given our year-to-date results and current visibility of our end market, we are updating our full year revenue guidance as follows. Our previous guidance was provided before the makeable divestiture closed. Makeable divestiture reduces our guidance by $17 million, bringing us to $658 million to $668 million. In addition to makeable divestiture, we're further updating our guidance to 648 million to 652 million, as we are impacted by delays in purchasing activities by our customers and continuing FX challenges. The new guidance represents approximately 10% full-year growth over 2021 after adjusting for the makeable divestiture. From a gross margin perspective, we continue to expect full year 2022 to be flat to slightly higher as compared to 2021. As a reminder, we expect our margins to get back over 50% once the current macro headwinds pass. In 2022, we now expect our operating expenses to be approximately 5 to 10 million higher than 2021. This improvement from previous guidance is primarily due to the impact of the makeable divestiture and improved OPEX efficiency. We continue to expect non-GAAP operating margins to be slightly above 2% for the full year. Longer term, we expect non-GAAP operating margins to achieve double digits as our growth plan unfolds. We now anticipate a GAAP net loss of 48 to 39 million. or $0.72 to $0.59 per diluted share, and non-get net income to $6 to $8 million or $0.09 to $0.12 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be in the range of $34 million to $37 million, down from $38 to $41 million. Capital expenditures are now expected to range between 15 to 20 million, down from 20 to 25 million. We're encouraged by the level of engagement with our customers and remain confident in our growth potential. And we will continue to monitor global issues that can have an impact. With that, let me turn the call back over to Yoav for closing remarks. Yoav?
spk14: Thank you, Eitan. The challenges our customers and our business face today in many ways highlight the benefits of additive manufacturing going forward, resulting in confidence for the years ahead even as we navigate the current environment. With our robust balance sheet, we continue to invest in an expanded portfolio of hardware, materials, and software solutions that should allow us to meaningfully increase our set of applications to capture a wider range of customers as the relevance and adoption of 3D printing grows and we drive additive manufacturing to scale. I want to thank our global team for rising to the challenge and helping drive continued profitability as our business continues to grow. The relentless focus on execution and investment for growth and ongoing profitability today is expected to drive out performance and create long-term shareholder value. With that, let's open it up for questions. Operator?
spk10: Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad at this time. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. We do ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow up. Again, that's star one to register questions at this time. The first question today is coming from Shannon Cross of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.
spk12: Thank you very much. I was wondering if you can just provide some more color on what your customers are saying in terms of both geographic as well as the size and vertical of customers, in terms of the selling of purchases, but also where people are looking at investing, how customers are thinking about 23 budgets in terms of capex, maybe timing of deferred purchases. Do they expect that will come back fairly quickly, or is this a long-time deferred decision just whatever you can do to sort of frame the current outlook from a customer perspective. And then I have a follow-up. Thank you.
spk14: Hey, Shannon. Thank you for the question. Well, we are optimistic. It's a challenging time, but the good side of challenging times is that it crystallizes differentiation. And in those times, The guys or the players that we shine are those that have those long-term relationships with strong install base and are part of the daily activities of the customers, but also the part of their long-term plans. And in that sense, we're in a great position because we have direct discussion with our customers. There are long-term plans. Yes, there are delays. there is an economic global slowdown, no doubt. But it's not that they are going back and saying, sorry, we are not interested. It's just about the pace of adoption, but it exists. We have great examples from this quarter, like what we mentioned, the auto player, the automotive player OEM deal. It's a major deal, which is a continuation for a long-term plan. So long-term plans are exactly as we envisioned them, with some delays. In terms of geography, I would say automotive is doing well. Aerospace is gaining some traction, but in a slower pace. Education is doing very well. Defense is doing very well, government. And also the whole medical, dental is doing quite well. Of course, there are impacts there. We see some impact there as well. But they are doing well in terms of geography. You know, surprisingly, Europe is doing well, despite the fact that it's in the middle of a war and a lot of pressure on the effects. But in terms of real results, Europe is doing well, also the U.S. But in all geographies, we see those, I would say, increasing or longer sales cycles.
spk12: Great. It sounds like you're probably gaining some share in Europe. Can you talk a bit more about the gross margin, what the drivers are? You know, there are obviously many puts and takes between pricing and mix and commodity costs and all of that. If you could talk both on product as well as materials and maybe lay out a bit more about, you know, how you think gross margin will trend. Thank you.
spk13: Hi, Shannon. Thanks for the great questions. Starting with the results, as you probably saw, we improved our growth margin from Q3 2021, which was 48.2 to 48.5, which is really a great success in terms of everything that is going on in the world. This improvement This trend, we believe, is sustainable. Again, we cannot speak about the macro, and we cannot expect exactly how things will go globally. But as far as it's concerned with us managing our business, managing our operational efficiencies, increasing revenue, which naturally helps to improve growth margins, all these aspects that are within our control, these are things that... We're very focused, and you can see the results this quarter. Another thing to add, as we've discussed in previous calls, we've increased deliberately, increased our inventories. That helps us to better balance the shipment fee to air and some other aspects that impact growth margin, and it impacts our calls in a positive way, so we can better manage The logistics and the shipments and that's something that we've been doing in the last few quarters and also this quarter and that's reflected in the in the good growth margin results and we continue the trend this trend to We plan this trend to continue also taking into account the investment another element is the divestment of maker bus which positively impact our growth margin levels
spk10: Great. Thank you so much. Thank you. The next question is coming from Greg Palm of Craig Hallam. Please go ahead.
spk01: Yeah, thanks for taking the questions here. I guess just, you know, kind of following up on the last thinking there, I'm just trying to figure out what your actual visibility, you know, levels are. Obviously, the last, you know, couple weeks of a of a quarter or of a year end are especially important for the business. And so I guess what I'm trying to figure out is, is the, you know, the reduction in guidance specifically a byproduct of, you know, some bigger projects that you think are going to get pushed out? Or is it just the expectation that you might not get the same magnitude of a budget flush this year than you would have in previous years?
spk14: I agree. Thank you. We are in a good shape in terms of visibility. Stratasys is a very well-organized company and we are running a forecast and quite accurate one and models and we are in good shape. The last few weeks of the quarter, it's all about unexpected delays. So this is the situation. So we have a longer sales cycle. We have a certain amount of delays because some of our customers are saying, okay, it's okay, but I'll take it next quarter. So we, you know, we backed it all in to our models, and we decided that we better be in a safer mode and adjust our plans, and also in order also to balance our inventory, to make sure that we are learning quarter by quarter, but by this... I would say, longer sales cycles. And therefore, we adjusted the guidance. We don't see that the demand is moving. We just see a longer sales cycle. So it's relatively a small adjustment, as you can see, which when you calculate it, it's this uncertainty level that can happen at the end of the quarter in terms But if you take the overall guidance change that we have implemented, it was 7.5% of our sales. So it's really small adjustment.
spk01: Yep, understood. And I guess kind of looking forward, if we assume that this environment stays the same or potentially worsens, I guess what kind of levers do you have internally to sustain this, you know, level of profitability? And I guess under a more challenging macro, are you still comfortable with your double-digit operating margin target looking out a couple years, or is there a risk that that gets pushed?
spk14: Yes. Okay, go ahead, Nathan.
spk13: Go ahead. Hi, Greg. So our long-term plan that we've discussed also in previous calls, we stand behind it. We believe that we created the right infrastructure to get to the over 50% gross margin and double-digit operating profit in the mid to long term. Doubling our addressable market that we've discussed in previous calls by the addition of the new technologies And everything else that we've discussed and we'll discuss today, that gives us a lot of confidence on the ability to get to that result. With respect to profitability, naturally it is impacted by the revenue growth, but there is a lot on management and on building the right business model that, as you can see in the last few quarters, that works. We managed to... to remain or to increase our profitability level. Even in a challenging environment, even with everything that is going on, you can see that this is the fifth consecutive quarter with profit and the profit actually increased compared to the last few quarters. So that's something that is, a lot of it is within our control and our focus.
spk07: Okay, makes sense. Appreciate the help. Best of luck. Thanks.
spk10: Thank you. The next question is coming from Troy Jensen of Lake Street Capital. Please go ahead.
spk04: Hey, gentlemen. First off, congrats on good results here in a tough environment. Maybe starting with you, you're very welcome. I guess I got a couple questions on Covestra. So as you know, a lot of your competitors use DSM Somos resins in their printers, and I don't think there's too many case studies of Competitors system companies using other system companies materials, so I just love to know you know your conviction whether or not you can kind of Maintain all of the DSM so most revenues that are going through your competitors business models Thank you for all it's a great Opportunity to share our vision about material one of the most important obstacles in our journey toward manufacturing manufacturing
spk14: is all about material. Materials today are not efficient, not in terms of mainly in terms of variety, but also in terms of the profile of the material to replace real manufacturing. And here we are in a journey to transform it. And Covestro is a super important growth engines for us for the future, both in SAF, actually in three technologies, in SAF, in DLP, and in Caldwell, because they have unique talent, know-how, and patents that we will leverage with our new technology. So this is the big picture. Now to your question. Of course, we checked it from all possible angles, and we are going to grow this business, and there is I would even share with you that it's not that there is a retaliation from the customers. On the contrary, the moment strategists acquire it and we have more attention and more knowledge into additive manufacturing, they approach me proactively and want to look for collaboration and doing things together for the long term. So we're in good shape there. And you will see that our infrastructure, we leverage Coventro both on the material side but also on the hardware side because it's also a driver for hardware.
spk04: All right, perfect. Good luck with that. So my follow-up, on the new products, I'm always focused on Origin and H350. I guess my checks always indicate that Origin is really doing extremely well for you guys. H350 may be a little bit more complex sale. I just want to get your thoughts on how those two products are meeting your expectations.
spk14: We are like you, monitoring it on a daily basis. Good traction on both. There is a need in the market for those technologies, which is basic. And we have good technologies with very clear competitive edge in both of them. Both technologies are ramping up according to plan. Of course, the ramp-up of Origin is faster, very impressive, and faster than SAF because of the nature of the technology. It's a technology that is easier to use when known in the industry, where the high-speed sintering, the powder, the new powder, the future of powder, It's something quite new in our business, and we make sure that the ramp-up of staff, which meets our expectations and plans, is a big success. So we ensure that the adoption is being done in the right way, and our customers are successful. So we control it, and it's going well.
spk04: Keep up the good work, gentlemen.
spk10: Thank you. The next question is coming from Brian Drab of William Blair. Please go ahead.
spk03: Hi, this is Tyler Hooten. I'm for Brian. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Just want to start off with the usage rate of your manufacturing machines. And I know obviously there's macro headwinds that would play into this, but as the hardware, as your install base picks up and you get more usage out of these manufacturing machines. Does that give you any more visibility into your gross margin target of 50%? And then I'll have a follow-up.
spk14: I can answer it. Tyler, thank you for the question. We are monitoring the utilization of our system through the connectivity, mainly through GraphCAD. And we have a good, by the way, it's a great data set for us to understand what's going on in the market. We are not sharing it, but I can give the high-level direction. In terms of the high-level direction, prototyping is more sensitive, at least what we are seeing. Prototyping is more sensitive to slowdown in terms of utilization. Manufacturing is less sensitive. in terms of consumption of consumables, manufacturing, because it's an ongoing operation, consumed in our what we call unit economic model between three to five times than a prototyping machine. So it's really a transformation in terms of our industry, and of course it has impact on the gross margin and let Ethan share it.
spk13: Yeah, the utilization of manufacturing materials will definitely have a positive impact on our gross margin. We expect to see this more in the coming quarters and years as manufacturing and production becomes more and more towards manufacturing. And as we said in the past, When manufacturing percentage of our total revenue will grow, that will have a positive impact on our gross margin.
spk03: Okay. Thank you for that. And, yeah, you had nice even sequential improvement in gross margin. I was just wondering if you could quantify kind of what the macro headwinds were from inflation and supply chain disruptions, the headwind going towards gross margin. Thank you.
spk13: Sure. So high level, as we mentioned, the net impact is a growth of from 48.2 to 48.5 year over year. But to your point, there were more significant trends. One is higher revenue had a positive impact on our growth margin. We increased prices over the year from Q3 2021 over the last year that had a positive impact on our gross margin. On the other hand, the cost and logistics had a negative impact of roughly 200 basis points, give or take. We also had the positive impact of the exclusion of MakerBot. It was only one month, only the month of September since the deal closed at the end of August, but that had a slightly positive impact on our gross margin. items that impacted the growth margin trend.
spk03: Okay. Thank you for all that, and good luck going forward.
spk10: Thank you. The next question is coming from Paul Chung of JPMorgan. Please go ahead.
spk06: Hi. Thanks for taking my question. So just on the OpEx side, you had a minimal bump this year. Can you talk about kind of the opex discipline you're driving here and you know as we think about kind of pace of opex growth maybe as a percentage of revenues next year um you know what what do you think we should expect and what range and what are some of the efficiencies you're gonna you know kind of focus on next year thank you um maybe i'll start with the meat to longer term uh opex at a percentage as we plan
spk13: And this is, in a sense, pure math, but there is a detailed plan to get there. So the pure math, if we plan to reach double-digit operating income within the next few years, and we plan to get 50% plus gross margin, that means that OPEX will have to go to the 40 level and maybe a little bit even lower, right? But that's a journey, and it's a step-by-step improving continue to improving our scalability, if you will look on the last four, five, six quarters of OPEX as a percentage of revenue, you will see a continuing improvement. So, you know, half a percent or maybe up to 1% every quarter improvement, the improvement of OPEX as a percentage of revenue, down to a level of 45.8% that you see this quarter. This journey will continue. It will take a few years to get to the 40 levels, but we believe that we will continue to see improvement as we continue in our journey and as the business scales.
spk06: Great. That's super helpful. And then just to follow up on the consumables purchases, can you kind of quantify how below trend they are and how are the teams looking to kind of drive consumables higher in the coming quarters and into 23. And, you know, you mentioned the benefits of kind of strong system sales over the years, over the last couple years. So how does that kind of play in? And, you know, talk about the initial successes you're seeing with the expansion of consumables and, you know, what materials are seeing nice momentum and your expectations for kind of a gross margin uplift as well. Thank you.
spk14: Thank you for the question. We are optimistic about our consumable offering, and it will be a driver, one of the drivers, which will increase our gross margin over time, and we'll make sure that we are a company with above 50% gross margin and 10% operating income. So this is an essential part in our five-year plan. In terms of the way we look at consumables, There is the long-term and the short-term. In the short-term, we have challenges because of the slowdown and because of, as I shared, the impact on prototyping. Most of the main reasons for the results of the consumer volume Q3 were the effects, which has an impact of around 5.1 million only in this quarter. some supply chain drawbacks, challenges, both in production and supply chain, and the makeable divestiture. But we are coming back to growth in Q4, and that's the short term. Now I'll take it to the long term. It is one of our growth drivers. That's why we are investing in Covestro. That's why we have an open material. We are leading the industry with our open material license Hybrid models, this is why we just introduced now 13 new materials in FDM that usually will take us between three to four years, and we did it in one shot, just here for Foamnext. High-end materials for manufacturing. And on top of it, there is this long-term impact, we call it the life cycle impact. What do we mean by the life cycle impact? This is the in and out of consumption of materials in this pool. Look at it like the baby boomers that were born in 45 and then in 2010 they went to pension and then you have a decline in their consumption. because they went and started their pension period or retirement period. Same here. You need to make sure that new hardware is getting in when all the other is going out. We are very optimistic because the model is working, and we will see growth going forward. But, of course, the pool was not being filled enough during the weak times of 2019 and 2020, especially the COVID times. But we are optimistic. Consumable is essential for us, and it will drive our gross margin higher. On top of this, we are, and that's one of the reasons of Covestro, but not the only one, we are going to be disruptive with our material. And a good example is our denture material. We are coming with a solution that will disrupt the market. We disrupt the market because it will have properties that does not exist today in this market.
spk06: Great, thank you so much.
spk10: Thank you. The next question is coming from Wamsi Mohan of Bank of America. Please go ahead.
spk05: Yes, thank you so much. I know you're not providing an outlook here for 2023, but just given what your comments were about you know, demand trajectory and macro caution and some customer deferrals. I was just thinking, is it reasonable to assume at this point in time normal seasonality for the first quarter off of your fourth quarter guidance, or should we be anticipating something that's, you know, either better than seasonal or worse than seasonal? And I have a follow-up question.
spk13: Thank you, Vamsi. It's a bit too early to speak about Q1 2023 and the entire year of 2023. I can say that we're very confident about our ability to grow, but we should be mindful of the situation in the global markets and the macroeconomics. So providing a detailed forecast for 2023 will be too early for that. But I think it's important to note we truly believe that with our diversified portfolio and the technologies that we have, we have the ability to grow in 2023. It's only a matter of being more mindful of the situation, the uncertainty that is currently in the world. And the profitability, in addition to the revenue growth, the profitability, this is something that is more within our control. We believe that we should be able to to sustain profitability and even improve it based on the model that we built.
spk05: Okay, thank you for that. As my follow-up, the cash on your balance sheet, and I know you have a very strong liquidity position, but the cash went down about 93 million. Can you talk about what all items bridge that because you've had divestitures and acquisitions in the quarter and obviously you're operating at elevated inventory levels. Can you just walk us through what are the moving pieces that got you to that cash level? And as we think about cash burn rate potentially in a weaker demand environment, how should we think about the quarterly run rate of cash burn as well? Thank you.
spk13: Thank you, Wamsi. So cash flow, the starting point, I would say that we started this journey with a significant cash balance with no debt, which is something that is one of our strengths, especially when we enter into this potential recession. That puts us in a very, very good position to continue our journey and to continue to grow. with that healthy cash position. With respect to the quarter, and maybe a little bit, you know, some of the other questions that you've raised. So with respect to the quarter, this quarter we paid for certain M&As, for certain transactions. MakerBot is the largest in this quarter we paid, and that's something that was announced in the last few quarters in certain press releases. As part of the investments, in the new business with Ultimaker. Both companies invested, Stratasys invested in this new company roughly $47 million. We also invested, as mentioned earlier on the call, in a few other businesses, which is roughly $10 to $20 million that were invested in those smaller investments. And then, obviously, we have the operating cash flow that was $18 million, and we have other smaller items that are more on the normal kind of level, capex, and so on. That's basically the bridge that gets you to the roughly $19 million that were used this quarter. But the vast majority is M&A related, which is a significant driver in our future and in our growth. With respect to the cash burn rate, I would start with a saying. If you look on the last few years, we had significant positive operating income, sorry, positive operating cash flow in both 2020 and 2021. The two years of COVID, we generated roughly 60, more than 60 million of positive operating cash flow combined, which reflects our ability or basically reflects the fact that our business generate positive cash flow. The trend that you see this quarter and for the last few quarters is something that is deliberately managed by us. It is focused on increasing inventory to put us in a better position to supply the demand. We have a few new technologies, as you know, and all together we believe that we need the right level of inventory to support the demand, to better manage our growth margins, in an optimized way. I mentioned this, I believe, as an answer to one of the questions earlier. And that's basically the way we look at this. But on a normalized quarter, our business generates operating cash flow. That's important to understand.
spk05: Okay. Thank you so much.
spk10: Thank you. The next question is coming from Ananda Baruha of Loop Capital. Please go ahead.
spk08: Yeah, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the, or I guess good afternoon for you. Good morning to us. Thanks for taking the question here. Two, if I could. Yoav, just going back to one of your earlier comments. Sounds like you think manufacturing holds up better than prototyping going through macro here. Do you think that inside of manufacturing, do you think it's consumables or equipment sales? they would hold up better inside of manufacturing. And then I just have a quick follow-up.
spk14: Thanks. Good morning, Ananda. Thank you for the question. Yes, manufacturing is less sensitive because you become more critical for your customer. And, of course, number one is consumables because they need to produce. and only then hardware. The moment they adopted the new technology, hardware is important, but still more sensitive than consumables to economic pressure. Overall, we are having a double addressable market, and we have every month, every week, a greater position in manufacturing. That's what makes us so resilient. And we are optimistic because we see that our customers are willing to explore and to take this journey with us.
spk08: Yeah, that's helpful. I mean, it's actually going to be interesting. Well, I won't go into the diatribe, but it will be interesting to see, you know, sort of the contribution from the newer technologies can can allow you to grow through 23 if macro really, uh, is persistent. So I think we're all looking forward to finding that out with you. Um, just a quick follow up is on services revenue. How is that? So if, if macro becomes, you know, very persistent as we go through 23, uh, how, how sticky is that customer support? Like what's really the driver? It's sort of at this 50 million level a quarter. Is this the right way to think about it regardless of what happens with macro? Just context there, and that's it for me. Thanks a lot.
spk14: Thank you, Ananda. Remember, in our model, materials and service are lagging after hardware, and the most important driver to value our performance is hardware. if you don't have the box or the machine at the customer place, you will not consume materials and you will not pay for service. A very simple equation. And when you look at it, the fact that we transformed the ratio of hardware within our sales, and you see quarter over quarter over quarter for the last 10 quarters, we are increasing the sales of hardware, means that we have good quick service. Because service is being driven by hardware. That's the bottom line. That's the model.
spk08: And if equipment takes a little bit of a hit for a few quarters from macro in 2023, what you just said would seem to suggest the install base of the hardware could still support current service levels, current support levels. Would that be accurate?
spk14: Pretty accurate. It's not the margin of the drivers, it's the install base. It's the overall hardware in the pool.
spk08: Understood. Awesome. Thanks a lot. Appreciate it.
spk10: Thank you. The next question is coming from Jim Rashudi of Needham & Company. Please go ahead.
spk02: Thank you. Hello, Johan and Etan. I wanted to... Go back to a comment you made about consumables, if I heard you correctly, growing in Q4. What I'm trying to do is reconcile that comment with what you're suggesting, I think, is continued challenging demand in prototyping. Are you anticipating just an acceleration in manufacturing-related consumables revenue? Or maybe is pricing playing a role in this?
spk13: Thank you, Jim, for the question. It's a process, and it's not, you know, one or two quarters. We look at this more holistically. We look at this, we look on the next quarter, but also, you know, into 2023. When we think about the new technologies, and you have related to this earlier about the lag period and the model, what we call the baby boom model, that we believe is very similar here, that's something that will take few more quarters to be reflected on our financials. That's one of the growth engines or the reason we believe that Consumable will grow in the next quarter, starting Q4. We do raise prices. I mentioned this earlier. We did this a few times during the last year, and we'll continue to do that. So that's another element. Taking into account the Covetro, acquisition, that's something that will have a significant impact on our consumables and on our business. As you have mentioned, not only the business that was acquired, but also the existing business and the other technologies that can benefit from that acquisition. When we take all these into account, we have confidence about our ability to grow consumables. It might be a small or a limited growth in Q4, but as we enter into 2023, we believe that you'll be able to see it more significantly as consumable growth.
spk02: Thank you. My follow-up is just on that 13 million of customer-related delays. How much of that was in Q3 versus Q4? And when you describe them as delays, the presumption is that these orders will come back in the next one to two quarters. Is that the case, or is there the risk that these longer sales cycles result in rolling delays as we think about the business over the next quarter or so.
spk13: Right. So, Jim, maybe as a starter, I would say that the $13 million that you related to, ethics is also part of it. So the headwinds that we see on the ethics side are higher than the one that were known three months ago, last time we spoke. So that's one of the elements within the $13 million. That's one comment. Second, that reduction reflects the uncertainty that currently exists in the market. This is the estimate that we put into our Q4 guidance. But it's hard to say exactly how much it will actually be. However, we do consider this as a delay. So it may be pushed. into Q1 2023 does at least our expectation.
spk02: Got it. Thank you.
spk10: Thank you. The next question is coming from Noelle Diltz of FIFO. Please go ahead.
spk11: Hi. Thanks. A lot of my questions have been answered, so I just have one, but it's kind of multi-part. So, one, I was hoping you could just expand on how you're thinking about acquisitions in the weaker macro environment? Are you a little bit more cautious given the economic headwinds, or do you think you might maybe accelerate some M&A just given that there may be assets out there that are attractively priced? I guess the second part of this is just it feels like we're in a period where, given where the group is trading, you could see some consolidation, whether that's you know, across kind of the public companies or feels similar to what we saw with Nikon and SLM. So if you could just give me some thoughts on how you're thinking about the potential for consolidation, that would be great. Thank you.
spk14: Thank you. Thanks for the question. We are in a great position in terms of our balance sheet to be the consolidator of this industry. Two main reasons. One is the balance of position, but the other one is that in tough times and in microeconomic challenges or slowdown, it's also an opportunity. It's an opportunity because it's differentiating the strong player with strong infrastructure that can stand the wind versus others that have more challenges. And I think that's a good opportunity just to share three factors that will make sure that we are the one that will capture the additive manufacturing opportunity in mass production. Because we are in the best position, both financially, in terms of the infrastructure, in terms of the offering. And I want to relate to three very important factors. One is our foundations as a company. The second one is the fact that we have the most resilient business as reflected in our profitability within the industry. And the third one is the promising future that we have and the leading position in attractive use cases. I'll go one by one because it has implication to our position as a consolidator. The first one is the foundation. We are laser focused. We are going for polymer manufacturing, and we focus on the largest profit pool in this industry. We differentiate the technologies. We don't have even one machine that is a commodity, which is very unique. And it is reflected in our gross margin, because if you are not differentiated, you have low gross margin. This is the name of the game. The other things in our fundamental is those five leading technologies with clear competitive edge put us in a position in front of the customer where we are not selling a machine. We are solving the customer problem because we are agnostic between technologies. We can offer our customer what he really needs to be successful. The third thing in our foundation is the full solution of hardware, software, material services with clear synergies across them. Because if you are with strategies, you are using the same software. You are using the same materials. You have the same application engineer that you are facing. It's quite significant advantage. And we do it for use cases. Those are our growth engine. We have very strong growth engine where we focus on manufacturing use cases Supported by the best go-to market in our industry in terms of the network and the largest installed base that is happy to work with us and to have repeated sales. But we cannot do it if we wouldn't have a resilient business model, practically the most resilient business model in our industry, because we are having continuous growth all over. geographies, verticals, technologies, and we are driving this with hardware, which will carry software, which will carry material, and which will carry service with it. We have the leading gross margin, as I said before. That's resiliency, because it means that we have resources to invest, and it's a reflection of our customers appreciation to our value proposition. They are willing to pay. That's why we have this high gross margin. When you are with limited differentiation, you will have lower gross margin. And that's what we see around us. And last but not least in terms of the resiliency of our business model is the fact that we are the most diversified company, both in terms of geographies, technologies, customers. by definition do not have customers where we have high dependency. We don't have any material dependency on two or three or five customers, which puts us in a very good position in hard economic times. And then the third factor is about our promising future. We build a foundation, we have a resilient model, and then when you go out there and build your future, It's all about focusing on the most attractive use case. We have the broadest polymer manufacturing offering for use cases in automotive and aerospace, like jigs and fixtures, with proven results. We have now, we built it over the last three years, the most extensive offering in technologies and disruptive one in dental, and you will see it in the near future, like the denture solution that we are going to launch. We have a unique position in medical and the material really differentiate us because we will have already the largest material portfolio in polymer manufacturing with this hybrid model that will secure our growth modeling for many years. Combine this with a unique software offering and mainly with a team that has a spirit and culture which is above and beyond, otherwise we wouldn't be able to cope with those challenges. And that put us in a situation where I believe we will be the first additive manufacturing company that will pass the $1 billion scale milestone, I call it, with a 50% and above gross margin and 10% operating income. So that puts us back to your question in a great position to consolidate the industry.
spk11: Great points. Thank you very much.
spk10: Thank you. At this time, I'd like to turn the floor back over to management for any additional or closing comments.
spk14: Thank you for joining us. Looking forward to updating you again next quarter.
spk10: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This concludes today's event. You may disconnect your line to log off the webcast at this time and enjoy the rest of your day.
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