Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call

5/8/2024

spk09: Good afternoon and welcome to the Sopernos Pharmaceuticals first quarter 2024 financial results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. Instructions will follow at that time. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Peter Bozzo of ICR Westwick, investor relations representatives, Supernas Pharmaceuticals. You may now begin.
spk04: Thank you, Mark. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for Supernas Pharmaceuticals' first quarter 2024 financial results conference call. Today, after the close of the market, the company issued a press release announcing these results. On the call with me today are Sopernos' Chief Executive Officer, Jack Katar, and Chief Financial Officer, Tim Deck. Today's call is being made available via the investor relations section of the company's website at ir.sopernos.com. During the course of this call, management may make certain forward-looking statements regarding future events and the company's future performance. These forward-looking statements reflect Supervisor's current perspective on existing trends and information. Any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, including those noted in the risk factor section of the company's latest SEC file. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in these forward-looking statements. For the benefit of those who may be listening to the replay, this call is being held and recorded on May 8, 2024. Since then, the company may have made additional announcements related to the topics discussed. Please reference the company's most recent press releases and current filings with the SEC. So far, it has declined any obligation to update these form-making statements, except as required by applicable securities laws. I will now turn the call over to Jack.
spk05: Thank you, Peter. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for taking the time to join us on today's call. Following a productive year in 2023 in which we successfully minimized the impact of the Trochendi XR loss of exclusivity and positioned the company to mitigate the potential impact from the first genetic on Xtellar XR, We have continued to execute on our long-term growth strategy and have delivered another quarter with double-digit growth in total revenues, excluding Trochendi XR and Oxtel XR. Driving this growth is Calvary's strong performance with 31% growth in prescriptions, as reported by IQVIA, and 75% growth in net sales. Prescriptions reach an all-time quarterly high of 176,503, and net sales were at $45 million. Growth in net sales in the first quarter of 2024 benefited from both prescription growth and gross-to-net improvement compared to the same period last year. Gross-to-net during the first quarter of this year was well within our target range of 50% to 55%. which is encouraging for the first quarter, considering the typical beginning of year pressure from high deductibles and insurance resets that are seen across the pharmaceutical industry. For the remainder of 2024, we expect gross net for Calgary to remain in the range of 50 to 55% with fluctuations that you would typically expect on a quarterly basis. During the first quarter, Calgary further expanded its base of prescribers, ending the quarter with approximately 27,138, up from 25,938 in the fourth quarter of 2023. Descriptions from adult patients now account for approximately 32% of Calgary's total descriptions. Switching now to our Parkinson's franchise, we saw increased pressure on our brands in the first quarter, with higher Medicare rebates, patient out-of-pocket costs, and the closing of the patient assistance funds to new and existing patients. These dynamics contributed to increased gross-to-net deductions for our brands, leading, for example, to lower growth of 2% on net sales of GoCoveri compared to the same period in 2023. During the quarter, we also saw a significant 42% increase in sample distribution by physicians to patients. This increase in sample usage allowed many patients to stay on recovery while waiting to hit their maximum out-of-pocket costs. We have already seen a bounce back in the recovery business in the second quarter as we believe patients started transitioning from their samples to refilling their prescriptions. Switching to our legacy products, Oxtel XR net sales for first quarter 2024 were 26.9 compared to 28.9 million in the first quarter of last year. We expect the introduction of the first genetic of Oxtel XR in September 2024. For Tricandi XR, first quarter net sales were 16 million, down by 54% from the same quarter last year. With expected further erosion in Trukendi XR and the entry of an Oxtelar XR genetic later this year, we continue to anticipate combined net sales of Trukendi XR and Oxtelar XR in 2024 to be in the range of 125 to 135 million. Regarding SBN 830, as we disclosed in April, the FDA issued a complete response letter in response to the company's NDA indicating that the review cycle for the application is complete but that the application is not ready for approval in its present form the company will announce the timing for its resubmission after meeting with the fda later this month we are committed to parkinson's patients who need this potential new treatment option and to bringing spna 30 to the marketplace Moving on to our emerging CNS pipeline of novel product candidates, we have exciting catalysts coming up in the next 12 months. Regarding SPNA20, the company expects to provide data from its Phase IIb study in adults with treatment-resistant depression in the first half of 2025. The Phase IIb study recently achieved more than 50% enrollment of the total 268 targeted number of patients. The Phase 2 Open Label Study is currently enrolling and targeting a total of about 50 patients with major depressive disorder. Regarding the Phase 2A study of SPN817 for treatment-resistant seizures, the company now expects to report interim data from approximately 40 patients, greater than the one-half of total randomized patients originally targeted. As such, we plan to hold a conference call on May 23rd to report these interim data. This study is examining the safety, tolerability, and efficacy of SPN817 as a junket therapy in adult patients with treatment-resistant seizures. Topline results for the full study are expected in the second half of 2024. In addition, we plan to initiate a phase one single-dose study of SPN443 in healthy adults following submission of an investigational new drug application. SPN443 is our new stimulant-like product candidate for ADHD and other CNS disorders. Finally, we remain active in corporate development, looking for strategic opportunities to further strengthen our future growth and leadership position in CNS. With that, I will now turn the call over to Tim.
spk06: Thank you, Jack. Good afternoon, everyone. As I review our first quarter 2024 results, please refer to today's press release and 10Q that was filed earlier today. Total revenue for the first quarter of 2024 was $143.6 million compared to $153.8 million in the prior year quarter. Total revenue in the first quarter of 2024 was comprised of net product sales of $138.4 million and royalty and licensing revenues of $5.2 million. The $2.2 million decrease in net product sales was primarily due to a $20.8 million decline in net product sales of Trekendi XR and Oxteller XR, partially offset by a $19.3 million increase in net product sales of Calgary. Excluding net product sales of Tritendi XR and Oxfeller XR in both periods, total revenues for the first quarter of 2024 increased 12% compared to the prior year quarter. For the first quarter of 2024, combined R&D and SG&A expenses were $111.4 million as compared to $106.8 million for the prior year quarter. The increase was primarily due to R&D spend associated with the clinical programs for SBN 817 and SBN 820 as we continue to progress our pipeline. Operating loss on a gap basis for the first quarter of 2024 was 3.2 million as compared to an operating earnings of 5.2 million for the prior year period. Income tax expense in the first quarter of 2024 was $119,000, as compared to an income tax benefit of $7.9 million for the same period in 2023. Gap net earnings was $124,000 for the first quarter of 2024, or earnings per diluted share of zero cents, compared to gap net earnings of $16.9 million, or earnings per diluted share of 29 cents. in the prior year quarter. On a non-GAAP basis, which excludes amortization intangibles, share-based compensation, contingent consideration, and depreciation, adjusted operating earnings for the first quarter of 2024 was $22.3 million compared to $30.5 million in the same quarter of the prior year. As of March 31, 2024, the company had approximately $309.4 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, compared to $271.5 million as of December 31, 2023. The increase was primarily due to cash generated from operations. The company continues to have a strong balance sheet with significant financial flexibility for potential M&A or other value-creating opportunities. Now turning to guidance. For full year 2024, the company reiterates its financial guidance for total revenue, combined R&D and SG&A expenses, and non-GAAP operating earnings. As such, we expect total revenues to range from $580 million to $620 million, comprised of net product sales, royalties, and licensing revenues. For the full year 2024, we expect combined R&D and SG&A expenses to range from $430 million to $460 million, reflecting increased level of R&D spend as our pipeline progresses. Overall, we expect full year 2024 GAAP operating loss in the range of $30 million to break even, and non-GAAP operating earnings to range from $80 million to $110 million. Please refer to the earnings press release issued prior to this call that identifies the various ranges of reconciling items between GAAP and non-GAAP. With that, I will now turn the call back to the operator for Q&A.
spk09: Thank you. At this time, we will conduct the question and answer session. To ask a question, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please stand by while we compile our Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Andrew with Jefferies. Go ahead, Andrew.
spk07: Hey, thanks. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. So congrats on the progress, too. First one is on Calvary. We're one month into Q2. Would you expect a acceleration in TRX scripts this quarter, or should the quarter-by-quarter growth be relatively similar to what we saw in Q1, and then Q3 is when we see the real acceleration? And I'm just curious, have you guys been impacted by the change healthcare cybersecurity attack as well?
spk05: Yeah, hi, Andrew. If you look at the first quarter of 2024, sequentially versus, you know, the fourth quarter of last year. Prescriptions grew by about 2%, if I'm not mistaken, 2%, 2.5%. We're already seeing in the second quarter, if you look, sequential growth quarter to date, the second quarter versus the first quarter, sequential growth is about 11% or 10%. So to answer your question, yes, it looks like it is starting to pick up. The Q1 kind of phenomena, you know, which typically, you know, mellows down a lot of activity and so forth and insurance issues and so forth. So we're looking at acceleration in the second quarter already. Certainly with the back to school season, we expect that to be healthier. I mean, that remains to be seen clearly as to how strong the back to school season third quarter versus second quarter or third quarter versus the year before. Regarding the second question, the answer is no. We were not impacted by the changed healthcare issue. We had other providers that could step in and continue to provide service for our customers.
spk07: Okay. And then on SPN 817, later this month we'll have the interim data set. How much follow-up data should we be expecting on all 40 patients? And maybe talk to us what kind of seizure freedom rates existing epilepsy drugs show and whether you think 817 can surpass or be higher than those rates?
spk05: Yeah, I mean, the first question as far as how much more data follow-up, I mean, as we said in our press release, we're going to report my remarks, we're going to report on somewhere around 40 patients. We still have a few patients still in the study, so in the second half of this year when we report the full study, we will have a handful of more patients to report on, so we can finalize all the full data set to report on. Regarding the second question as far as seizure freedom rates, and there are so many different definitions that people use regarding seizure freedom. But I mean, typically, I'll give you one example on Oxtelrexor. If I remember some of the data we had at one point, around 11% seizure freedom, which was very solid, you know, for a product. For example, Oxtelrexor. There are so many agents out there with a whole host of ranges of seizure freedom. clearly anything above the 10% typically is a good number, especially for those who are refractory patients. And in this space, 33% to 40% of patients are refractory. So it depends on are you getting seizure freedom within one patient population. If you're taking a patient from those who are refractory and you're turning them to be seizure free, that is incredible, even if it's 5%. But if you're taking people who are from the beginning, started getting, you know, treated with epilepsy drug, and then you turn them seizure-free early on in their disease, and they had not progressed as badly, that probably is not as impressive. So there's a lot of variety of how people measure them and in what patient population.
spk07: Got it, got it. And then last quick question is this bigger picture. In general, how much firepower do you guys think you have in terms of BD or M&A? Thank you.
spk05: In a very simplistic way, I mean, we could probably do transactions in the 500 to a billion. It could get higher if we use equity. So it all depends on the situation itself as far as the, you know, acquisition candidate, what profile that company has. Does that company come with assets that generate significant cash flows? Then you're able to leverage against these cash flows, and maybe it will allow you to go to a bigger size transaction. And if it is transformative kind of transaction, then equity could become part of the mix as well for, you know, paying for that acquisition. I think 500 to 1 to 2 billion is a fair range. I know it's a wide range, but it all depends on the situation we're dealing with.
spk07: Makes sense. Thank you again.
spk09: One moment for our next question. And our next question comes from David with Piper Sandler. Go ahead, David.
spk02: Thanks. So just have a couple. First, on Calgary, so you seem like you're doing nicely in terms of getting to the gross to net target in the low to mid 50s. I guess just given where it already is in 1Q, given that it's seasonally tougher, is it possible that the gross to net could dip further? below 50% as the year progresses. Just wanted you to talk to that if you can. Then secondly, on SPN830, can you elaborate on the issue in the CRL, or maybe not issue, but what was raised in the CRL regarding the master file for the infusion device? Is there anything that you've learned since the CRL is you've interfaced with the manufacturer that you can share with us. So that's number two. And then lastly, on 817, can you just remind us of the path forward beyond this Phase 2A? I believe the Phase 2B is in the works, so talk to the design of that study. Thanks.
spk05: Yeah, sure. First question on Calgary and the gross net. The reason we said, you know, for the full year, we remain to target 50 to 55% is because quarter to quarter, you're absolutely right. Typically, gross net improves. And if in the first quarter we had a little bit better or we are in a good place to start with, there is nothing but to improve from here. The only caveat to this, sometimes we see quarter to quarter fluctuations, some of which are unexpected or unknown, like a high return or something, you know, that could come in. That's the only thing we're trying to be guarded against here. Everything else being equal, let me put it this way, yes, there is a potential that we may end the year on the shorter end or the lower end of that branch, if that makes sense. As far as SBN 830, I mean, as we, when we announced the CRL, we did mention there are a couple areas, you know, one around the quality and one around the master file. which we're learning more and more now as we're having discussions directly with the manufacturer around that. We think these are areas that can be addressed, and we already secured a meeting with the FDA later this month, so we're really moving pretty fast, as fast as we can, to hopefully address all these issues, and wanted to make sure also there are no new issues that pop up later on. So we're trying to make sure we have everything we need before resubmission, and that's why we would like to have that meeting first before we communicate any timeline for the resubmission. And then the last question on 817, just as a reminder, you know, the current study we're reporting on, which is the interim data, is on an open-label exploratory study where we looked at several types of seizures, we looked at so many different doses, and it was meant to help us learn as time goes on as the study continues to enroll help us in designing the phase 2b study which typically would be our next step so clearly that is the next natural step you know after the phase 2a open label study and we will share the details with you guys on may 23rd
spk02: And if I may just sneak in a follow-up on 830, there was also the other issue raised was on product quality, and I believe you said that you submitted that data to the FDA. Is it possible to elaborate on what was meant by product quality?
spk05: Yeah, I mean, I don't want to get into all the details. It's regarding these. formulation itself. So it's not a device issue. So that's when we say product quality, it was more related to the product, the formulation, the apomorphine solution, so to speak. That's as far as we can share at this point. And yes, we have submitted some data at that time that the FDA didn't have the time to review or didn't review. So clearly the meeting, the upcoming meeting will be very important for us to clarify do they need anything else on top of that or whatever we submitted could be sufficient. So that's really the purpose of that meeting.
spk09: Okay. I'll leave it there. Thank you. Thank you. Please stand by for our next question.
spk08: And our next question comes from Stacy with TD Cowan.
spk09: Go ahead, Stacy.
spk01: Hey, congratulations on the quarter, and thanks so much for taking our questions. So we do have a few follow-ups. Just one more on Calgary. That strong net pricing that we're seeing in Q1, what's driving that? Is it higher doses because more adult patients are being added? Is it the price increase? Is it still kind of that pulling back the copay assistance program? And then as we look forward, as we consider these kind of growth net fluctuations, that you kind of alluded to. Are you going to be making investments as we think about back to school season this year? Just quarter to quarter, should we expect a more stable net price for the year? That's the first question. And then the second question is going to be on SPN 817. Sounds like enrollment went a bit faster than expectations. So can you just broadly talk about study demand among the patients? And then just set expectations. What do you expect will be competitive seizure reductions to move forward? understanding this is an open label and you're going to give this data in late May, but just curious the decision to move into late May and help set expectations for the street. Thank you.
spk05: Regarding Calgary, and we talked about that actually several quarters, regarding what are the key drivers for Calgary to continue to grow. and to continue to really perform well and obviously continue to grow the net price at the end of the day. Clearly, higher daily doses, and we can get there through different avenues. Highly daily doses that patients are taking on a daily basis, whether it's pediatric or adult, And that is typically a function of physicians getting more and more comfortable with the medication and titrating up to the real dose that they need to use actually for the product to be very well, you know, effective in treating symptoms. And that is in line with the phase three data. And based on the phase three data, you know, we did continue to communicate to our physicians, you know, what are the target total daily dose that they should be working up to in both patient populations. So, clearly, as time goes on, we are getting there. The speed by which we get there is always, you know, it's hard to predict, obviously, because you always have new prescribers that are completely new to the product, and these new prescribers will always take it low and slow, so to speak, from a titration perspective. It also depends on how they're using it. If they're using it in combination with stimulants, sometimes they go much lower and much slower because they're adding it to the stimulants that the patient is already on. And as they try to take the stimulant off from the therapeutic regimen for that patient and adding Calvary, they will reduce the stimulant and increase the Calvary dose. So that's a function of that patient on a case-by-case basis. And then the final dynamic that will impact higher doses is clearly the adult population. As our mix of the business continues to grow in adults and becomes a bigger piece of our total franchise, on a blended basis, clearly that's going to increase the total daily dose and give us the benefit of a higher price for prescriptions. The net price in the first quarter of this year was about 255, I guess, if you divide the net sales by the quarterly prescriptions, which is down versus 267, which was the number in the fourth quarter of last year. And that's because the gross net always gets a little bit worse in the first quarter versus, you know, the previous quarter. As far as the year goes on, our investments and so forth, now at this moment we continue to push in adults. It doesn't mean we're neglecting pediatric. Absolutely not. But we continue to push in adults, especially in female adults. We've signed up some really great influencers and have partnerships with like Busy Phillips, which we announced very recently. You know, she's talking about ADHD and her experience in ADHD and her experience with Calgary as a product that has helped her tremendously. So we hope to continue the market education and encourage patients to step forward and talk about their disease, about their conditions, about the things that they struggle with every single day and let them know that there are options out there. And these options don't have to be stimulants. They don't have to be controlled substances. And they can be a very good, well-tolerated non-stimulant that can be very effective, which is the case with Calvary. And every metric we've looked at Calvary, and time goes on, we have more and more data and more evidence that the product really works. And it really works fast, and it works well with kids and with adults. So we will continue to invest in these areas. And clearly, as we get closer to the back-to-school season, will make more investments and more prioritization of resources around the back-to-school season. Regarding 817 and the profile, again, I mean, we will reveal, of course, the data on May 20, 23rd of May. I mean, clearly, you want a product that works. I mean, at the end of the day, when you look at epilepsy and the landscape, there's so many agents out there, and we've been in that space for so many years. before with Oxtelixor, Trochendixor, or even Corbatrol way back. And many patients that I referred to earlier, they become refractory, unfortunately. And they don't respond to as many medications. And these patients end up on way more than one or two drugs eventually. And therefore, you need a drug that really works and works well. And hopefully it works well so that you avoid having the patient to progress and even become refractory. I mean, clearly that's, you know, the gold standard that you're looking for is to try to treat patients early and you make them responsive to these medications. They are responsive and the progress or the worsening of their condition is delayed as time goes on. So, 817, from what we've seen so far, looks like is an effective medication, you know, from the data we shared earlier, you know, back in October on a knee day, as well as some of the patients we had in Australia way back in the early, early study. So, we hope to have a profile of a drug that actually works well, and again, in Huperzine A, given its you know, mode of action and so forth. If it does also have some pro-cognitive attributes, that would be huge. That would be huge specifically in this patient population. So we will see as the analysis, we're literally completing a lot of that analysis as we speak, given that we had a little bit more patients than we initially expected. And we'll share all that on May 23rd. Okay.
spk01: Understood. Thank you so much.
spk09: Thank you. Please stand by for our next question.
spk00: And our next question comes from Annabelle with Stifel.
spk09: Go ahead, Annabelle.
spk03: Hi, this is Jack on for Annabelle. Thanks for taking our question. So I know you've mentioned previously that about 30% of Calvary patients are treatment naive and the other 70% are switches from existing therapies. Are there any differences in the responses that these two patient populations have to Calvary when it comes to things like speed of effect onset? Essentially trying to ask here, is there a better onboarding strategy or do both populations perform identically once they initiate Calvary?
spk05: Not really. I mean, it's pretty remarkable the consistency of the feedback we get from the field on whether the patient, first of all, is pediatric or is adult or where the patient has come from to the Calvary franchise. as far as the efficacy of Calgary. It works fast, as I mentioned earlier. I mean, between a week to two weeks, depending on whether you need to titrate. If you have an older patient, you know, like an adolescent or you have an adult, obviously you have to titrate. And whether, you know, the physician is titrating as on the label or they're titrating a little bit slower just because they choose to do that, right? But nevertheless, patients feel and they start seeing the improvements, you know, during the titration and during, you know, and fairly the onset of action is fairly quick. Actually, in some of the survey results that we have seen over time since we launched this product, physicians who use Calvary and have used Catera for many years, they tell you Calvary works within a week to two weeks. And on an average, Fratera is at least four or five weeks. I mean, even in the, you know, they've known it themselves and they see it and given the experience they've had with Fratera. So we know that the product is working really well, regardless of whether you switch or you are completely in a year, you know, new patients who got on Calvary from the beginning.
spk03: Got it. And then just kind of to ask one more, speaking about physician feedback, So I know that you're looking at Calvary in the comorbid mood symptoms more formally in the phase four, and we're going to see that data eventually. But in the meantime, have you heard any anecdotal real-world reports from physicians, maybe not involved in the trial, about how Calvary might be performing in these kind of patient populations?
spk05: Yeah, we actually first started hearing about it, interestingly, even way back when we were doing the studies from some investigators. who at that time, again, anecdotally, you know, this was nothing like formal data collection or anything, anecdotally telling us, you know, we see, and they're blinded even on top of it, so we don't know whether the patient they're talking about is taking Calvary or taking placebo at that time, but they were telling us it looks like the patient is not just getting better because they can pay more attention or focus or whatever. They're just feeling better overall in general. So it's more about the whole mood of the patient, the whole well-being of the patient, not just focused attention or impulsivity or hyperactivity or anything specific to ADHD. And we would have these investigators sometimes say, you know, do you know why do you have an idea? again not knowing what that patient who whoever they are referring to we don't even know they could be on placebo but not knowing it clearly we would tell them what the background of the molecule is being an antidepressant and so forth and then of course they say ah okay and the molecule works on serotonin and so forth so then they really you know speculate of course in their mind that yes maybe that's why it is working better across different mood disorders that these patients may have, because we know ADHD does come with a lot of comorbidity, things like anxiety, depression, bipolar, you know, other mood disorders. And clearly, it looks like, again, anecdotally, that probably it was helping across different areas, not just ADHD.
spk00: Great. Very helpful. Thank you. Thank you.
spk09: This concludes our question and answer session. I would now like to turn it back over to Jack for closing remarks.
spk05: Thank you. In concluding our call this afternoon, we remain focused on first driving the long-term growth of the company by continuing to drive significant growth with Calgary, and together with recovery and the rest of the portfolio, generate strong cash flows, allowing us to continue our investments in our pipeline. And second, progressing our innovative R&D portfolio of differentiated first-in-class molecules that have several exciting and upcoming clinical milestones and catalysts. Thanks for joining us this afternoon. We look forward to updating you on our next call.
spk09: Thank you, everybody, for your participation in today's conference call. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

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