Thryv Holdings, Inc.

Q4 2021 Earnings Conference Call

3/10/2022

speaker
Operator
Good morning. My name is Emma, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Thrive Q4 and full year 2021 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press the star one. Thank you. Cameron Lessard, you may begin your conference.
speaker
Emma
Good morning, and thank you for joining us on today's call to discuss Thrive's fourth quarter and full year 2021 financial results. With me on today's call are Joe Walsh, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Paul Rouse, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that shortly before today's call, we issued a press release announcing our fourth quarter and full year 2021 financial results. We also published a Q4 earnings supplement on our website. I would like to remind listeners that some of the comments made on today's call and some of the responses to your questions may contain forward-looking statements about the operations and future results of the company. These statements are subject to the risks and uncertainties described in the company's earnings release and other filings with SEC. Thrive has no obligation to update the information presented on the call. Also on today's call, Our speakers will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe will provide useful information for investors. Reconciliation of those measures to GAAP will be posted on our investor relations website at investor.thrive.com. With that introduction, I would like to turn the call over to Joe Walsh. Joe?
speaker
Joe Walsh
Thank you, Cameron, and thank you all for joining us on the call today. I'm pleased to report we finished the year on an exceptional note, with revenue and EBITDA feeding guidance. At the beginning of 21, I outlined a growth strategy for our SaaS business and additional areas of investment needed to scale the organization. Looking back, I'm really proud of the Thrive organization and the way we executed and implemented those investments into product, into engineering, and improving the product. And the impact can be seen in the results. Let's take a minute and just jump into the headlines. We grew total SaaS revenues for the fourth quarter by 36%. And for the full year, 32%. For context, we grew revenue in the SaaS segment 1% in 20. So from 1%, we jumped to 36%. So really strong performance there. SaaS ending clients for the year, 46,000. So we ended the year with 46,000 SaaS customers, up 5%. So there's been a lot of discussion about whether or not we can grow our subs because we made such huge progress on ARPU this last year. I think in the year ahead, you're really going to see balance between ARPU growth and subscriber growth. In fact, we expect that 5% subscriber growth to accelerate to double digits in the year ahead. In a minute here, Paul will walk you through the detailed numbers, but I would like to highlight some of the progress that we've made on some of our strategic priorities. Since the beginning, I've been talking about This was the decade of SMB SaaS. The last decade was enterprises moving to the cloud. And this decade would be the decade of mom and pop and small businesses running their business on mobile devices. By the end of this decade, that'll be just standard fare. And at the beginning of the decade, for the most part, none of them were doing it. So it would be a massive transition. And that move will actually be bigger than when enterprises went to the cloud because there are so many more small businesses. And we have positioned Thrive over the last seven years in pole position to lead that gigantic transition. So this is an unstoppable mega trend that you're playing by investing in Thrive. You know, just from a macro basis, what we're seeing now is we're seeing small businesses that have been experimenting with perhaps a point solution or two or three become frustrated with logging in and out of all these things. The fact that the data doesn't share, they don't talk to each other. They've got sticky notes everywhere. They have a hard time including their employees to use these tools. And they're looking to move upmarket to something that's a more complete end-to-end client experience, an end-to-end solution. And that's where Thrive sits, in that aspirational spot. So as people sort of try a few of these little point solutions, little freemium tools, little odds and ends, and they realize that this is the way to go, I want to modernize, They sort of find their way moving up marketing to a Thrive. Thrive is quite a bit more expensive than a lot of those little point solutions that are out there, but it does so much more. It's a more powerful tool. So increasingly, I'm talking to customers. In the last couple of days, I've been doing calls into Australia, speaking to customers in Melbourne and Sydney about their experience with Thrive so far. Yesterday, I spoke to a client who had been a pretty big MailChimp user, and she has upgraded now from MailChimp. to Thrive, and she's got so much more capability to do social posting, to set up automated messages to go out to her customers. She's responding to her customers through the chat feature, and she's just really pleased with the power of Thrive, and she knows it does even more things that she hasn't accessed yet, but she's excited about the completeness of the solution. She doesn't need to keep buying other software. She's had a pretty rigorous look to figure out what to use and concluded to go with Thrive. Hearing that story more and more in the weekly customer conversations that I have, hearing people really beginning to take two or three point solutions and ditch them and go to Thrive. And I end up saving money when they make the transition and they get a lot more power and a lot more capability. So Thrive is an aspirational brand. It's nowhere near as expensive as an enterprise tool like Salesforce. It's not even as expensive as a mid-enterprise tool like HubSpot. It's more of a small business tool. but it's a complete powerful tool and it's making a big difference for a lot of small businesses. So by investing with us, you're playing in that macro trend that small businesses are going to want to go with almost like a salesforce.com type of thing that a big company would do. They're going to want to do that more complete solution that they can share with their staff and they can all communicate on that one tool. They can have a centralized inbox where all their messages flow in and it simplifies and organizes their lives where they can do estimates, invoices, billing, payments. They can use ThrivePay, save on transaction fees. They can manage social media. They can even deal with ratings and reviews, and they can nurture their customers and keep in touch with them and remind them to come back, all in one very simple tool. So we've been recognized this year for a lot of innovation. You know, the Google My Business, helping SMBs get found online. We've got a very deep integration there. So even though it's software, it's not advertising, Because it's so SEO friendly, it works so well with Google My Business, it's actually helping our customers get more leads, get more customers, which is an unexpected benefit, not necessarily the way we position it. We've launched the verticalized platforms with enhanced CRM, so Thrive Home, Thrive Legal, Thrive Health. We're beginning to really customize product that once you come in and you tell us you're a roofer, you tell us you're a plumber, you tell us you're a lawyer, You know, we begin to configure everything very quickly around what you are. So it feels very bespoke for you. And that's really helped with client satisfaction. And you can see it in the engagement right through the numbers. It's amazing. We've launched a lot of free online tools to just help businesses with lots of simple things, creating invoices, different, just different, simple things. And that's been a theater pool driving new customers to our website, driving new leads in. of a free content marketing play that's very powerful we've really focused also on faster implementation and getting people to value very quickly that has been challenging but an amazing result that our team has done and that's just shortening up the time from when you realize you want to do this when you're getting value from the software and we're seeing that in higher engagement and lower churn right through we've had some external recognition this year g2 crowd Capterra and the appealing awards recognized the Thrive product as number one in a number of categories or placed very highly. Really external recognition about what a consumer grade, easy to adopt, easy to use tool this is. How fast time the value is, how good value for money is. And I would invite any of the listeners here to go to these review sites and read the reviews on Thrive. They're outstanding. And we've made such incredible progress here in this process. Thrive Pay did north of $60 million in payment volume and has now become the most popular choice of all the payment tools that are available. And we're sort of Switzerland. We operate with everybody. We interoperate with everybody. So you can bring whatever tool you're using when you come on to Thrive, but lots of people then switch to Thrive Pay along the way to save on fees, to do a lot of small business friendly elements to it that allow you to set up recurring payments and appointments and classes and lots of things that we've custom built for the clients that we actually serve. So interestingly, 70% of our clients coming in now are new to the company. And I know we talk a lot about hunting in the zoo, working with our standing base, and that's still producing about a third of all of our customers. But there's a subtle nuance here. And that's because we've made so much progress with client satisfaction, engagement, and usage, we're now getting loads of referrals from those clients. So they're actually ringing up their business advisor and saying, I want you to talk to my friend. He needs help like this. And so that's really driving that sort of referral, driving a lot of the growth that we're seeing. A third or so of our customers are coming from our new channels. You know, the actual inbound marketing and some of those other new areas that we've spoken some about. And as I mentioned earlier, we're seeing subscriber growth accelerate now as we sort of outrun the lower priced offerings we had a few years ago. Retention. You know, we're seeing right now season churn is 1.5%. 1.5% season churn. So if we're really proud of that, we think that's sort of world's best when you're dealing with very small businesses. Our season net dollar retention is now 94%, which is strongly better than the prior year, and we're continuing to see progress there. It's not a straight line because of different anomalies in the customer set, but we've been asked many times, do you think you can get to 100% net dollar retention? And we really do. We don't think it's a one-quarter or two-quarter journey. We think it'll take a little while because we are dealing with very small businesses, but we have lots of additional product offerings coming on our product roadmap that will continue to propel that net dollar retention and customer ARPU increases. So we are highly confident that this is a 100 cents on a dollar type return. I'd like to just talk about engagement for a minute. Time in the app, year on year is up. User frequency is up. Clients using multiple features is up. That CRM, inbox, schedule, or social post sales module are all up. App downloads and installs have doubled I'd like to turn now to an update on our census acquisition. We now call this Thrive Australia. The focus with census in this first half a year or so was to really focus on client engagement, getting customers bedded down, getting them using the product, getting them happy with the product. And we have hundreds and hundreds of customers that are dishing out referrals now and happy about the onboarding experience and the difference that we're making in their business. And I think it bodes well. It kind of gives us a broad, clean foundation to really accelerate growth. I think one of the things you'll see if you watch 22 is you'll see the census acquisition really come on stream as a source of subscriber ads and revenue growth. So really excited about that. Finally, I'd like to talk about a small acquisition that we made recently. We acquired a company called Vivial Holdings. Vivio is a marketing services company that publishes directories. It was sort of the last bit of the telephone company Yellow Pages ecosystem that we needed to fill in, that we needed to cover. And it brings us Hawaii, Alaska, Rochester, Cincinnati, some markets that the prior companies that we acquired did not cover. While we do have some customers in those areas, we didn't have much customer density there. So this brings us 25,000 digital clients that we can now penetrate with our SaaS offering. It sort of expands the zoo, if you will. We paid $21 million. We used available cash to fund the acquisition. We didn't borrow or go out and do anything big here. Very simple deal. And in terms of, you know, the discipline that we always talk about when we make this type of acquisition, we've said that we would be approximately two times EBITDA on a post-Synergy basis, and this one is true to that as well. As I mentioned, it just closed in January. So integration process is getting cranked up and underway. We're getting everything set up so that they can begin to offer the Thrive solution to their customer base. And that will actually begin to flatter our numbers as this year unfolds. So really excited about the progress that we're making in the business. This Vivio acquisition synergistically fits perfectly onto the Thrive platform here in the US. So I'm really, really pleased about that and I'm anxious to turn this over to Paul Rouse and then give you a run through the financials. So, Paul.
speaker
Cameron
Thank you, Joe. Let's turn to our fourth quarter and full year 2021 financial results. I'll first cover our U.S. business segment, starting with SAS. Fourth quarter, U.S. SAS revenue was $47.1 million, an increase of 35% year over year. For the full year, SAS revenue was $170.5 million, an increase of 31% year over year and ahead of our guidance. When adding the contribution of revenue from Thrive International, SAS revenue increased 36% year over year in the quarter and 32% year over year for the full year. Fourth quarter U.S. SAS EBITDA loss was $6.7 million, and within our expected guidance range. For the full year, US SAS EBITDA loss was $14 million, representing a negative EBITDA margin of 8%. Total SAS ARPU was $351 for the fourth quarter, an increase of 20% year-over-year. Total SAS clients ended at 46,000 for the fourth quarter, an increase of 5%. year over year. Fourth quarter season SAS churn was 1.5%, a 60 basis point improvement year over year, and a 20 basis point improvement sequentially. Season net dollar retention reached 94% for the quarter, a 400 basis point improvement year over year. As a reminder, season churn and season net dollar retention represents clients that have been with us for over one year. Moving over to U.S. Marketing Services, fourth quarter revenue was $153.5 million. As we discussed on prior calls, there is lumpiness in the print publication schedule. We expected lower revenues associated with fewer print publications. For the full year, U.S. Marketing Services revenue was $797.5 million, a decrease of 19% year-over-year and ahead of our guidance. Fourth quarter U.S. marketing services EBITDA margin was 26.5%. For the full year, U.S. marketing services EBITDA margin was 40%, representing a 330 basis point improvement when compared to our prior year. The improvement in margin is due to a shift in higher margin offerings within our marketing services product mix. Fourth quarter, U.S. marketing services billings were $181 million, a decrease of 22% year-over-year and consistent with previous quarters. Full year, U.S. marketing services billings were $797 million, a decrease of 21% year-over-year. As is consistent with previous calls, we are providing billings and additional operational metrics to give our investors better insight into our operational performance. The billings data will show a very consistent and steady decline in our marketing services segment, which is shown to be lumpier on an accounting basis given the 15-month lifecycle of our print directories. This is provided in our fourth quarter investor supplement available on our investor relations website. Moving on to Thrive International. Fourth quarter Thrive International revenue was 60 million in Australian dollars and ahead of our guidance. On a reported basis, given the effect of FX rates, Thrive International revenue was 43.8 million US dollars. Thrive International fourth quarter EBITDA margin was 28.5%. For the full year, Thrive International EBITDA margin was 31.8%. On a performer basis, And backing out acquisition accounting adjustments, EBITDA margins would have been 38% for 2021. Turning now to profitability for the consolidated business. Fourth quarter adjusted gross margin was 66.1% for the consolidated business, a 160 basis point improvement year over year. For the full year, adjusted gross margin was 68.2%. 130 basis point improvement year over year. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was $46.5 million, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19%. For the full year, adjusted EBITDA was $350.5 million, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 31%. Finally, On capital allocation, we repaid $17.5 million of our new term loan in the fourth quarter, which brings a cumulative new term loan repayment to $158 million since the refinance associated with our census holdings acquisition in March. Our leverage ratio for the fourth quarter, in accordance with our credit facility, is 1.4 times our net debt to EBITDA. In addition to the progress we made on our long-term debt, we have made significant progress in reducing our pension liability over the course of 2021. Our pension liability has been reduced by $51 million, and our funded status improved 600 basis points to 76%. We will continue to evaluate our net pension obligations each quarter. Let's talk about guidance for 2022. As an update, we will continue to report each segment, SaaS, marketing services, and Thrive International. However, going forward, we will provide outlook for total SaaS and total marketing services, which includes both domestic and international operations. This should be helpful in modeling the business. Okay, now let's talk about our outlook for 2022. For the full year, 2022, we expect total SAS revenue in the range of $206 to $208 million, representing growth of 20% to 22% year-over-year, and an EBITDA loss in the range of $21 to $25 million. For the full year 2022, we expect total marketing services revenue in the range of $870 to $890 million, and EBITDA in the range of 305 to 312 million dollars, representing an EBITDA margin of 35 percent. We expect Australia to contribute approximately 160 to 165 million dollars in revenue and expect an average FX rate for Australia of 73 cents to the U.S. dollar. As Joe alluded to earlier, we closed the Vivio transaction in January. We expect Vivio to contribute approximately $70 to $75 million on a full year basis and will represent a headwind of approximately 200 basis points to total marketing services EBITDA in 2022. Consistent with previous calls, we will provide quarterly ranges for marketing services revenue for the remainder of the year. which can be found in our fourth quarter investor supplement materials on our website. We provide these figures because sales canvas process allows for strong visibility into future revenues and because print publication timing is not generally consistent quarter to quarter. Now I'll turn the call back over to Joe.
speaker
Joe
Thank you, Paul.
speaker
Joe Walsh
So as you can see, we're really proud of 21. We made a lot of key investments that paid off beautifully during 21, and that growth carries through to 22, and we'll benefit mightily from the stance that our board has authorized to be more on a growth footing as we go into 22. I think we can deliver durable, fast growth. The investments in engineering, product, international expansion, and go-to-market are driving growth on more and more vectors. We're hitting on more and more cylinders as we move forward here. And I think we're doing a really good job of balancing the tension between delivering profitability and staying on top of this unstoppable trend that I've been describing today. You know, we're very familiar with kind of the rule of 40. And you will know that this business in the second quarter of 2020 was delivering in the teens EBITDA margins. So it's really a fairly recent choice that we've made to step on the gas and accelerate that investment. So our path back to profitability is crystal clear. We can just sort of let up a little bit on how fast we're investing in that international expansion and some of the engineering things that we're doing and return to profitability and delivering 20% of the EBITDA line and 20% growth is not our reach at all for us. We've chosen to really stay on top of this because we see this unstoppable trend that we really feel that we can ride. So the path to profitability, is crystal clear for the company. We've got an investor day coming up in early April. Registration materials are on our website. This event will be focused on the long term. We're going to be looking at the decade of SMB SaaS, talking about how Thrive will lead small businesses in the US and around the world onto the Thrive platform and then have interconnectivity with lots of other tools and functions that are out there so that you can really live in your thrive and run, run a small business, reach in your pocket, manage your business from your pocket. And we think that that is where the marketplace is going. And we're out in front of it. We're in pole position to lead that. We're also going to talk about our marketing services business and how it evolves over the balance of the decade and how the interplay between the two companies work. Make no mistake, these two businesses belong together. They're benefiting mightily by being together. So we'll talk about that and lay out our strategy and our thinking. So with that, let me turn it back to the operator.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your first question today comes from the line of Arjun Bhatia with William Blair. Your line is now open.
speaker
Arjun Bhatia
Perfect. Thank you for taking my questions. Joe, you mentioned, and I saw the slide deck in the presentation about all the awards you received for your SaaS platform in 2021. There's G2, Captera, many others. I'm curious what role you're seeing that playing in just building brand awareness for Thrive's SaaS solutions. And then for the new customers that you are attracting to the platform, do you have a sense for how much of that is competitive consolidation, meaning they're using a SaaS solution already and they want a more full platform that they're getting with Thrive versus a greenfield opportunity where customers are adopting real software solutions for the first time.
speaker
Joe
Thanks, Arjun. It's kind of a mix.
speaker
Joe Walsh
I'm starting with the second part of your question. We're still every day bringing a lot of unclouded into the cloud for the first time. You know, these tend to be a lot of our service-based customers, you know, maybe people who, you know, are very skilled at their craft or their industry but didn't have super high educational attainment and, you know, maybe weren't, you know, weren't thinking about modernizing and our business advisor working with them on their advertising, their marketing services stuff, has been suggesting that they solve some of their business problems using Drive software, perhaps for a couple of years, and they're moving over. And so a lot of times we're introducing people to the potential of what's possible in the cloud. And I would say that's still the majority of customer acquisitions. But increasingly, we are finding people who have started to use a point solution, particularly the ones that come in through our websites. Your first question was, does winning these awards help us at all? And what we're seeing as a company is very strong growth in our organic traffic coming into our website. And that's people hearing about us in the market. That's people maybe looking at the reviews. It's people that are beginning to source something like this. and it's nice because you're not out advertising to get them. They're just sort of coming to you organically, which is really nice. One other area I just want to highlight that I don't know that a lot of our investors have thought about, because we sometimes talk about serving our standing accounts as hunting in the zoo, calling on our friends. There's one piece that is just really impressive to me, and it just keeps growing, and that's the amount of new business. that's coming from that base, meaning they're referring their friends to us. So the guy's out on his Saturday morning golf group and his buddy's complaining about how difficult social media is and how he's struggling to try to figure out digital or electronic payments or whatever. And they're strolling down the fairway and the guy says, well, I'm using Thrive. I should introduce you to my business advisor who could help you with that. And we're getting about a third of all of our business coming in. It's coming in from that referral out of that base. And it's growing. It's growing really nicely. So I think just to sum up to answer your question, the awards are just a telltale piece of the reputation that's growing around Thrive. And I think you asked how many people are coming from other software solutions. That was a tiny, tiny trickle. You know, a year ago, we're seeing it a little bit more now where people have experimented with a point solution and are now moving up to a more complete kind of small business enterprise-wide thing, sort of like a little Salesforce.com, but for a small business where they're able to do a lot of things under one login. And they can share information. login credentials or provide a login credential to their staff, and they can all communicate and see the same details about their customers. So, yeah, I think the awards are helping. Awesome.
speaker
Arjun Bhatia
That's very helpful. And then just one follow-up for me on the SAS guidance. It seems like The numbers imply there's going to be a pickup in net revenue added in the back half of the year, or at least in the last three quarters of the year. I'm curious, are you seeing international and Australia and Vivio start to layer in in the back half of the year? Are there other drivers that we should be thinking about that will come after Q1 in the SaaS business that we should consider when we're thinking about how the year unfolds?
speaker
Joe Walsh
Yeah, you're leading the witness. That's exactly, you got it exactly right. Australia is really beginning to hit stride. You know, we were very careful to make sure that we, you know, got high engagement and happy, good users, you know, established there last year. And we're beginning to really accelerate now the growth there. And we're hunting at a very big zoo. It's a large customer base there. We have a The company that we bought, Census, was more than 100 years old, an iconic brand and a trusted company within that market. So it allowed us to become big and important there right away. So we wanted to really tread lightly and be absolutely sure that everything worked and worked well in that market. And so, yes, we anticipate that accelerating through the year. We're seeing it as we speak. I was looking at this morning's sales report from from the overnight there in Australia, another really good day yesterday. It's accelerating nicely. So that's one piece. Vivio, we only just acquired. So, you know, any benefit we get from that will be in the second half as we, you know, get everything wired up, get everybody trained and get going on that. So that'll be a lift in the second half. And you're, I think, aware that, you know, we've been building a franchise multi-location product, you know, hub for franchise. And we've been building out that functionality. And for two years, we couldn't go to franchise shows. And that's really, you know, the heart and soul of the franchise business is going to these big, you know, franchise shows and conferences. There was one weekend before last in San Diego. And we were there. And we were there with a booth, and we were there in spades. We were meeting lots of people. And that business is really beginning to develop now that it's come back online in person. And we've got a pretty big – a pretty big reputation within franchise. I just, on Monday, was checking in with a 48-location franchise company that joined us last year. And he's got very clear plans to grow his franchise operation to 100 locations over the next couple of years. And after an exhaustive search, they looked at a dozen different platforms. They selected Thrive. as their sort of operating system that they're going to use. And this guy couldn't be any more happy with the onboarding process and the service he's been getting. And he and I discussed a couple of things that, you know, that he's got suggestions that, you know, we're working on for him. And he was really happy with how that's going. And what's exciting about that is that these franchises typically sign up for three-year contracts with us. And they escalate on their own. I mean, talk about NDR. I mean, this guy, if he realizes his plan, is going to more than double the size of his relationship with us over that period of time. So that's been a big part. So in terms of kind of growth vectors, you threw out a couple of them. Those are going really, really well. And we've also been innovating our local sales channel. We've extended the life of our print directories out a little further, which has created even more selling time for our local sales force. We've been introducing some other innovations in how we sell and how we work for the productivity on a per BA basis, per business advisor basis. It's been steadily rising. So as we implement the balance of that plan, we see that continuing to accelerate through the year. So really, you know, I wish everything would happen instantly, but it kind of takes time when you're developing some of these things. And we see them continuing to grow through the year. So thanks for that question.
speaker
Arjun Bhatia
Perfect. Thank you, Joe, and great job on the quarter.
speaker
Joe
Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Scott Berg with Needham. Your line is now open.
speaker
Scott Berg
Hi, everyone. Congrats on the good quarter. I guess two questions for me. Let's start off with the year ahead here, Joe. You talked about your SaaS subscriber growth up 5% in the fourth quarter and expecting it to increase to a double-digit level here in calendar 22, how much of that kind of increase or shift do you think is related from some of the smaller marketing, excuse me, smaller SaaS customers, you know, that churn starting to kind of peak and get in the background versus your increase in sales and marketing efforts over the last year, you know, just driving that net new customer, you know, increase higher?
speaker
Joe Walsh
I think there's some of each. I mean, as many of you are aware, We now, several years ago at this point, experimented with a lighter version of Thrive offering at a lower price point with a kind of sign up, buy it yourself motion online. And it did bring us a bunch of customers, but it also brought us unengaged customers and churn we didn't want. And we just really came to the conclusion that's not where we want to be in the market. It would be like selling an iPhone for you know, 200 bucks. We just didn't want to do that. This is an aspirational product. It's by far the highest quality product in the market. You know, it's the iPhone Pro in the market. It's a really, really high-end, high-quality product. So we decided to just nip that in the bud after that experiment. And we took it out, and it's been out for now for quite a while. But the bulge of customers that it brought us took a while to kind of turn off. And we have been in the prior couple of years kind of running on a treadmill where we would add a $349 subscriber and lose three of the $99 a month guys. And we were probably a little bit ahead on money, but it looked like we were going backwards in terms of subscribers. And so that's mostly done now. And so part of what you're seeing in the subscriber acceleration is It's just we're not running on that treadmill anymore. You know, I'm not saying they're on a handful still rolling off, but for the most part, that's out of the numbers. So that's a piece of it. And that's a piece of, you know, why in the second half of the year you saw it getting stronger and stronger. And then the other piece is, as you say, we have been, you know, building a more robust, dedicated sales motion around this product. And I know I said it a minute ago, but I want to give props to our very large local sales force. They have really innovated and really figured out how to, uh, increase productivity on a per business advisor basis. Very steadily. I mean, year over year, almost quarter over quarter, they've been expanding their, um, sales throughput and that's continuing to happen. And the innovation in the marketing services business, we've extended the life of our print directories. Um, the, uh, they used to be 15-month publications. They're now 18-month publications. And that extra time gives a lot of open real estate, we call it kind of opportunity zones, for our reps to really focus more on the SaaS products. So between that and the other innovations that they've done, we're getting more productivity there. So we're quite confident that you will see a desirable blend of subscriber growth and ARPU expansion this year. We were asked more times than I can count last year, well, we see that you're expanding ARPU, we see your revenues growing very nicely, but we're worried that it's coming from the same size base and you can't sustain that. And we, of course, realize that and are working very hard here in the US to grow our subscriber base. In addition to that, we're expanding internationally. We're obviously In Australia, we've just entered Canada, and we have designs on additional markets, and there's a lot of investment going into building international because those markets need Thrive as well.
speaker
Scott Berg
Super helpful there, Joe. And then from a follow-up question perspective is on Thrive Pay. I believe you've had the product in the market a little bit more than a year now. How should we think about the traction in the product? Obviously, you have more customers that are using it than when it first got launched. But if we think about, I don't know, ticket sizes or frequency of use on a per customer basis, any other details around some of the maybe underlying trends or traction in that solution that you're seeing that might be helpful to us? Thank you.
speaker
Joe Walsh
Sure. Yeah. It's continuing to just melt up in a relatively steady way. You know, as we, I think, talked about before, it's not, these are not like buy a pack of gum and some cigarettes kind of transactions. These are more kind of $400 a month transactions on average. So these are people, you know, getting a deposit for a kitchen remodel and they're running $1,500 or $2,000 through it or a plumber coming out to pop a new hot water heater in for you and you paying overdrive pay. It's that kind of stuff. These are good-sized transactions. And we're seeing the number of transactions steadily and slowly rise, and we're seeing the number of merchants signed up and actively using it steadily rise. The one area that has been a little more treacherous and we've gone a little more slowly with is ThrivePay premium, meaning you can go get ThrivePay in the App Store, either, you know, Google Play or iPhone App Store and download it and sign up and begin to use it. We've had to go really slowly and really carefully there, you know, just to avoid any kind of fraud or any kind of problems. And that's been, we kind of thought before we started into it that we would be able to really ramp that quickly. And we've decided and we've ended up realizing that It needs to ramp a little more slowly, but it is ramping. And in rough terms, the volume that we saw in 21 coming over the transom on ThrivePay, in very broad strokes, will double at least going into 22, just based on the trends that we're seeing. And the gradual but steady uptake of ThrivePay Premium, which we think is a little bit of a Trojan horse to help us meet new customers, that will eventually buy the broader Thrive solution. So Thrive Pay is a big, big positive for us and something that we're really excited about. We don't make very much on the revenue. I don't want to get you excited that, you know, if there's 100 plus million in revenue, what does that pencil out to? We're really doing it as a convenience for our customers, as a lock-in. You know, when your software is paying you, you don't tend to churn.
speaker
Joe
You just don't.
speaker
Joe Walsh
So, but DrivePay is a big strength for us.
speaker
Joe
Great. Thanks for taking my questions. Congrats again. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Daniel Moore with CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
speaker
Daniel Moore
Good morning, Joe and Paul, and thanks for the detail and taking the questions. Maybe digging into the SAS growth guide a little bit for 22, I think you mentioned double-digit client growth. Maybe just talk a little bit more about your expectations both for R-Proof growth and client growth and what's embedded on the SAS side in Australia. If it's somewhere in the deck and I missed it, I apologize, but just trying to tease that out a little bit more. Thanks.
speaker
Joe Walsh
Yeah. I don't want people to think Australia is the same size as the United States. It's more like the same size as Texas. I mean, it's going to be an important growth driver for us this year, but it's not like a whole other U.S. coming on stream or something like that. So they're growing. They're growing nicely, and they're going to really flatter our growth because the comp for last year is so small. So it'll be very important. Back to your question about how we see ARPU and sub-growth working together, I There's a lot of momentum and a lot of reason that our food growth is going to continue to rise. I think I've mentioned before, you know, if you look at, you know, like a HubSpot that's above us in the market, they get about $11,000, you know, per subscriber per year. We're at four. You know, there's a long gap between there. We have a roadmap with additional products coming. We have an investor day coming up in April. We're going to share some of that that we believe will continue to propel ARPU up. And our current offering, even before we add anything, we see customers coming in at the entry level. There's kind of a good, better, best construct here. And they often pretty quickly upgrade themselves to higher levels of thrive. There are also many thrive add-ons that we're able to offer them. And we see people, you know, self-upgrading to those add-ons, which is pretty exciting. And then, of course, we have a monetization team who's actually teaching, coaching, showing people how to use more aspects of the software. And they tend to take a lot of orders for upgrades, too. So the general upgrade motion and momentum is very much underway and building. And, you know, the big ARPU gains that you saw over the last most recent period Part of that came from burning off those lower value ones I mentioned in the earlier part of the call. You know, maybe a $99 customer going away replaced by a $349. That's going to move your ARPU up. As I mentioned, that trend is mostly behind us. Now we're looking at more just genuine people upgrading. As you see us integrate these acquisitions, the Census acquisition, the Vivial acquisition, they had various digital product offerings, some of which we've been mapping over to our products, and we'll be doing some migration, bringing some of those customers over. And, you know, depending on how all this plays out, still early days, but that could end up adding a few subscribers that are, you know, less than the full, full rate card as we're trying to kind of offer them a migration in, you know, kind of finding a way to map them over. And so, you know, ARPU may not just go straight up in a rocket ship straight line if we add, you know, a little burst of some lower value ones or something. But these are not, we're never ever going to offer the product, you know, like we did, kind of a stripped down, lower priced version. It would be more just finite groups of people as we're integrating these products together. You know, I wouldn't be surprised if ARPU doesn't go in a perfect straight line. It might be a little bit bumpy as we swallow some of these, you know, some of these customers. But I think overall for the year, you will see a nice, you know, kind of two horse race there of subscriber growth, you know, into the double digits and ARPU continuing to move forward so that it will drive up to that 20 plus percent growth that we're guiding to.
speaker
Daniel Moore
Very helpful. I think you partially answered my next, which is just in terms of globally thinking about SaaS pricing, do you see opportunities to take pricing given that big gap between yourselves and the HubSpots of the world, or is it more likely to come through additional functionality as we move forward?
speaker
Joe Walsh
I think it's more additional functionality and and add-on sales. I will concede to you, you know, as our investors here, there is a little bit of unbundling going on in Thrive. When we started, we sort of put the kitchen sink in and made that sale. And as time is going by, there's sort of a very subtle unbundling going on. And that unbundling has the effect of driving ARPU and driving rates, even though the basic price is of the Thrive offering, $199, $349, and $499. I've been the same for quite a while. We haven't been imputing a rate up into that. One of the things we're really proud of is we think we have the world's best churn when you look at dealing in the very small business sector. We don't have any big companies at all in our base. This is all very small businesses. And our fees in turn is 1.5%, which, you know, we've never seen anything like this. We've looked and talked to everybody we possibly can. And that's been our focus is just, you know, not just serving, but literally thrilling one customer at a time. And they become now sources of referrals and are a big source of the melting up growth that we're seeing. So, you know, we... aren't anxious to take the base prices and start jacking them up, which is not to say we never would. We just, you know, I mentioned before, we're an aspirational brand in the market. We're quite a bit more expensive than a lot of these little point solutions. And the point solution providers sort of exaggerate the capabilities of what they have a lot of times and try to make it sound like, well, we're just like Thrive. We do what Thrive does. You know, even though maybe they do 1 20th or 2 20th of what thrive does and so we are conscious that it's competitive market and you know in such a uh you know with so much liquidity in the market you know you've got a lot of you know money out there financing all kinds of deals we want to make sure that we remain really competitive so um you know we're we we've decided at least up until now not to raise the base rates, but there's very strong rate coming through that unbundling and the sort of the upsell motion that you see.
speaker
Daniel Moore
Really helpful. Last, just a quick clarification. I was listening and typing, but VIVIO 70, 75 million revenue. Did I hear that correctly? And what was the projected EBITDA for 2022? and those are not included in your marketing services in EBITDA guidance, I assume. Just want to verify that. Thank you.
speaker
Joe Walsh
Yeah, well, as we said, we paid $21 million for it. We've been honest about that, upfront about that. And we told you that, you know, we like to bring these acquisitions in on a two-time post-Synergy basis. For 2022, you don't get a full year of the deal because we bought it at the end of January. So it's sort of like 11, well, so it's not perfect math. Otherwise you could take, you know, kind of 10 or 10.5 divided into your 21 and you'd be all done. It's more like kind of eight or nine that it'll be for the year because it's, you know, it's just sort of a partial year. But, and yes, you had the revenue, right? We think it'll bring us,
speaker
Joe
I forget the precise number, but right around there, 70, 75 million of revenue this year. All right, that's helpful. I'll follow up with any others. Thank you. Okay, thanks.
speaker
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Zach Cummins with B. Reilly Securities. Your line is now open.
speaker
Zach Cummins
Hi, good morning, Paul and Joe. Thanks for taking my questions and congrats on the solid end of the year. Joe, can you talk a little bit more about some of the planned SaaS investments that you're making this year? I mean, obviously continuing to still lean into the momentum that you're seeing on that side of the business.
speaker
Joe Walsh
Yes. One of the things that you'll notice if you really study the numbers is it's a little front loaded the way we made the investment. We're really putting a lot into engineering and product and trying to get some of these things done quickly and early, some of the integrations that we've come up with that make the product much easier to adopt and use. You know, you meet a customer and he says, well, I'm on this point solution, and you're able to say, oh, no problem, we integrate with that. You know, it really, really makes the conversation flow from there because I don't know if you know this, but small businesses hate data entry. They don't want to do any data entry. So when they hear that the two, tools just connect through an API and integrate, it makes adoption snap. So that's been really good. So it is a little front loaded. We also, I'm not going to make any secret of it, we are working hard at international expansion at the moment. And so there's some engineering things that we need to do. There's GDPR compliance that we need to do. There's a lot of things that we're working on that we kind of front loaded a little bit into the year. So I think most of you are aware that this is a fully scaled, already profitable SaaS company. We have just made a recent choice to step up investment that's pushed it into a small EBITDA loss, which is no big whoop because we're making 300 plus million on the other side of the house. It's just a choice. So we have, even if you look at this year, by the time you get to the back half of the year, you know, losses in the final quarters will be very small because We kind of front-loaded it. So basically, those are the areas. Product and engineering, international, a little bit on go-to-market. There were some things we needed to set up and to do that we kind of pulled into the front part of the year so we could get the benefit the whole year.
speaker
Joe
That's your answer.
speaker
Zach Cummins
Understood. That's helpful. And nice to see the strong SaaS guidance, especially in the current market environment, comping a pretty tough year from 2021. But just given the current environment with some of the inflation numbers, have you seen this impacting any of your customers in terms of sentiment or willingness to spend in the current environment?
speaker
Joe
Look, sales are very good at the moment.
speaker
Joe Walsh
You know, I've just, you know, First thing I do every morning is I get up and look at the volumes from the prior day, which I get early in the morning. I've already gone through them today, and we had another really great day yesterday. So we're building momentum beautifully. But I talk to customers every week. It's a part of my week every week to just have a free-flowing chat with our customers. And I never stop. Most of my other executives do the same thing, just trying to stay really close to our customers. And we spend time talking to our business advisors about what they're hearing and what they're seeing. We're not getting this from reports. These are live conversations we're having with people. And I hear gas prices being brought up by a lot of people that have trucks on the road because they're sort of freaking out at the rate they're going up. And one only needs to turn on the news and see that they're going to stay up for a while. And so that's got people just grousing and uncomfortable. Supply chain issues have caused a lot of the contractors to just try to get a sub-zero refrigerator right now. It's like an 11-month wait or something like that, or any kind of other fancy or custom thing. It's just really tough to get things through the supply chain, and that's something that we constantly hear. The great resignation we hear a lot about. People have a tough time right now keeping their staff and are having a tough time attracting you know, attracting employees. And so, you know, we hear a lot about that. What we don't hear, curiously, is people complaining that they don't have enough work. You know, they're getting jobs, they're getting calls, they're getting sales. It's more fulfilling it, you know, that's the hard part. They feel a bit of a squeeze. So I would say in my little survey, which is ever ongoing, talking to these local businesses, you know, small business sentiment is medium at the moment. It's not terrible, but it's certainly not great. It's not as good as it was at points over the last year. We took all that into account when we guided the way we guided. We take very, very seriously the promises that we make to our investors. This is not my first public company experience. Paul and I spend a lot of time making sure that we can you know, fully deliver on the commitments that we make. So, yeah, we took all that into account when we set guidance where we did.
speaker
Joe
Understood. That's helpful.
speaker
Zach Cummins
And, Paul, for my last question, in terms of capital allocation, how are you thinking about free cash flow generation and potentially using that excess cash for either debt pay down versus additional M&A?
speaker
spk11
You know, we get this question just about every call. You know, right now we're focused on paying down the debt as rapidly as possible. You know, if we happen to come across another vivial where it's very attractive, will we consider that? Absolutely. But at the moment, you know, we're going to be focused on debt repayment.
speaker
Joe
I understand. That's helpful. Well, thanks for taking my questions and best of luck in the quarter ahead.
speaker
Joe Walsh
Hey, if you don't mind, I'd like to just expand on that just a little bit. I think it might be helpful for the broader audience. I want to be clear that acquisitions are not our plan. We feel like we can accomplish the entire mission here without acquisitions. We have an organic plan to grow around the world and build our SaaS business. I would describe acquisitions for us as more opportunistic. If we can get him in Paul's strike zone, which Paul is cheap, by the way, if we can get him in his strike zone, then we do it. And, you know, we had actually been talking with Vivial about this combination for six years. Six years. And they just finally decided that it made sense to do it at a price that we could do it. So, you know, we have such conversations going on all the time. We're pretty active out there. But I just want to be clear, don't take this away that they're a roll-up or that they're going to just make one acquisition after the next. You know, it's been a year since we made an acquisition, you know, a census, and it might be a year or more before we make another one. We're not spending all of our time looking at deals. We're planning to grow our business organically. We have the engineering talent to develop our software the way we want, and we – You know, we feel confident that we can expand and we've figured out how to do that without acquisition.
speaker
Joe
So if you hear us talking about an acquisition, it'll be because it hit our very disciplined strike zones.
speaker
Paul
from about 15% or so sometime back, if I recall that right. So if we can speak to the mix of that growth as a percentage and a little more granularity in terms of partners, resellers, franchisees, et cetera, channels, inbound marketing and referrals, that would be great.
speaker
Joe Walsh
Yeah. I don't know that I have lots of really specific details for you. I don't know, Paul, if you or Cameron or any of the guys there I mean, I can speak directionally to what we're doing, but I don't know that I can parse that into specific little pieces for you. You know, I mentioned earlier, our franchise motion is building beautifully. And they have already signed up, you know, in 22 more than they did in 21. I mean, they're rocking. And, you know, as I said, we kind of finally let them out of their, you know, home offices to get out and see people. And it's made a really, really big difference. And yes, our partner and affiliate network is building and we're seeing that. We have a lot of optimism about that. And I've talked about this before. Our inbound motion is just really boring. Sorry, inbound team, if you're listening. It's just one foot in front of the other. Every quarter, we add a few more leads to the top of the funnel. Every quarter, we add a few more SDRs and people who talk to them. And every quarter, we close a few more. It's really, really boring, which is one step at a time. And you might say, well, Joe, why don't you go faster? And that's because it would get inefficient really quickly if you went faster. We kind of can't outrun our supply lines. We can't outrun the rate at which we're growing organic traffic because you have to have a really strong mix of organic traffic into the lead flow or your cost of acquisition to lifetime value start getting out of whack. And, you know, that's the reason we just don't just go straight up with this thing because we would be like a lot of other software companies that we've seen that, you know, every new dollar of revenue costs them a dollar, which seems like madness to us. So we are allowing that to bubble up at a rate that we feel comfortable with And I would say the blend between those three things is really a nice blend. And each has slightly different economics, but overall they fit beautifully into our plan.
speaker
Paul
Got it. Got it. Thanks a lot, Joe. Really helpful. And one quick one for Paul, maybe. I think you talked about the strategic investments and go-to-market in the deck and the call. So in the context of the medium-term EBITDA margin target just set out towards like low-mid teens, what timeline should we be thinking of as of now, just your color there?
speaker
Joe
I'm sorry, you want more clarity on what?
speaker
Paul
On the timelines around the medium term, maybe the margin target that you set out in the analyst day, like just some rough ballpark timelines.
speaker
Joe Walsh
I think, Paul, he's drilling in on the sad piece of it, when we're going to allow it to pop back to profitability. And I'll let you talk to him, and I don't mean to trample on you. I just want to be clear to the group here. It's just a choice that we make. We sit in a room with our board and we decide what we want to invest. If we were to decide that we wanted EBITDA profitability, within a quarter or two, we could be back delivering in the teens EBITDA margin. This is the underlying Thrive software business is currently fully scaled and fully profitable. We're just taking advantage of The fact that we make so much money on the marketing services side and we have a lot of flexibility in our capital allocation and debt structure to choose to take $25 or $26 million and put it on international expansion and faster growth for that. We're not diluting our shareholders by raising new equity. We're not doing round A, round B, round C. We're not doing any of that stuff. This is just us deciding that. to benefit from these two attached businesses. And if for any reason we decided that, you know what, it's very important that we run this at a breakeven or a profit, we could just slow down a little bit how fast we're pushing the international envelope or how fast we're pushing the product roadmap and allow that profitability to come through. So I wanna be clear, it's a choice. Right now we haven't constructed a plan that says we're going to switch to more of a profit footing. We're kind of taking it one year at a time with our board. And our board was really very, very happy with what we were able to do last year. They gave us a very modest little investment, and we turned that into an ROI, a return on investment that was extraordinary. to the point where during the year they were going, well, could you invest more? And we put a little bit more in. And that was the backdrop for 22. We're keeping losses at about the same level as last year as a percentage. It's a little bit more as absolute dollars because the company is bigger. But I just want to be clear. This is not a money-losing business that we could find a way to get a tourniquet on. These are considered investments one of the times that we're making on a profitable business so paul i didn't mean to trample on your answer but uh if you have more to add you can i just i wanted to make sure it was clear about that no thanks joe that definitely makes sense uh appreciate appreciate the color and yeah great water again thanks thank you
speaker
Operator
This concludes our Q&A as well as our conference for today. Thank you all for attending.
speaker
Joe Walsh
I'm just going to make a wrap-up comment or two, and then we'll break away here. So we believe that this is the decade of SMB SaaS. We think that last decade, enterprises moved to the cloud, and small businesses kept doing things the way they had in the past. This decade, we think SMBs will move to the cloud. By the end of the decade, We think it'll be standard operating procedure to reach in your pocket, punch a button, see your Thrive pop up, and look at the details of the customer you're about to meet with. Any documents that have been shared, what their last payment was, what they bought last time, who the decision makers are. It'll all be right there, touch a button in your pocket. And we think that that's where the market's going. And we're working to keep up with that adoption curve. We think it's an unstoppable trend that It's going to happen with or without Thrive. We happen to be leading it. We're in pole position to capitalize on it. But the choice that our board has made to step up investment a little bit is to stay on the front edge of that wave. And we think that's a good decision. We're excited about it. We think that there's durable growth available for this company for more than a decade looking out just in the market adoption of tools that we offer. We see a clear path back to profitability. anytime we make that choice. So thank you very much everybody for listening to the call.
speaker
Operator
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-