Twist Bioscience Corporation

Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call

8/2/2024

speaker
Operator
Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to TWiST Bioscience Fiscal 2024 Third Quarter Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automatic message advising your hand is raised. Please note that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to send a conference call over to Angela Bitting, SVP of Corporate Affairs. Please go ahead.
speaker
Angela Bitting
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. I would like to thank all of you for joining us today for TWiST Bioscience's conference call to review our fiscal 2024 Third Quarter Financial Results and Business Progress. We issued our financial results release before market and the release is available at our website at .twistbioscience.com. With me on today's caller, Dr. Emily Laprousse, CEO and co-founder of TWiST, and Adam Laponas, CFO of TWiST. Dr. Patrick Finn, President and COO of TWiST will join us for the Q&A. Today we will discuss our business progress, financial and operational performance, as well as growth opportunities. We will open up the call for questions. We ask that you limit your questions to only one and then re-queue as a courtesy to others on the call. This call is being recorded and the audio portion will be archived in the investor section of our website and will be available for two weeks. During today's presentation, we will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the US Federal Securities Laws. Forward-looking statements generally relate to future events or future financial or operating performance. Our expectations and beliefs regarding these matters may not materialize and actual results in financial periods are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. These risks include those set forth in the press release we issued earlier today, as well as those more fully described in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based on information available to us as of the date hereof, and we just claim any obligation to update any forward-looking statements except as required by law. We'll also discuss adjusted EBITDA, which is the financial measure that does not conform with the generally accepted accounting principles. Information may be calculated differently than similar non-GAAP data presented by other companies. When reported, a reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures will be included in our earnings documents, which can be found at our investor relations website at .twistbioscience.com. With that, I'll now turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder, Dr. Emily Laprouce.
speaker
Emily Laprouce
Thank you, Angela, and good morning, everyone. I am pleased to report another record-breaking quarter of revenue growth for TWIST. This quarter, we surpassed our revenue, margin, and cash-bund targets by employing disciplined execution and operational excellence. We have been diligent in our pursuit to serve our customers, introducing differentiated products that build on our proprietary technology and leveraging our unique competitive advantage to position the company for profitable growth. For our third quarter, we increased revenue 28% -over-year to $81.5 million, with others coming at $85.3 million. The strong quarter was driven by growth in our synthetic biology product line, including X-ray gene, along with robust growth in NGS. We reported a .3% growth margin for the quarter, an increase of approximately 900 basis points versus .4% for the same period last year. For SYNBIO, revenue increased to $33 million, with orders of $33.8 million. SYNBIO revenue grew 27% -over-year and 11% sequentially. We see growing interest and engagement for our X-ray genes product line, which together with our expanding portfolio of high-quality differentiated product built on our X-ray infrastructure, continues to drive new customer growth and make new accounts. Our X-ray genes provide a differentiated and important offering for our customers and potential customers. With this offering, we ship kernel genes in five days at a reasonable cost. And we manufacture and ship all X-ray genes from our site just outside of Portland, Oregon in the US, where we make all of our SYNBIO products, with the exception of DNA laboratories, which are made in our South San Francisco site. Importantly, we continue to launch new products that build off of our X-ray genes portfolio and infrastructure. In May, we launch multiplex gene fragments with direct synthesis of DNA up to 500 base pairs. These direct synthesis lengths, along with pooling of fragments, enable our customers to pursue myriad applications. Some examples include encoding entire viable regions for antibody discovery and encoding entire functional domains of proteins for enzyme engineering, both of which are very useful for parallel screening of AI or ML-generated sequences. In addition, two important applications of the 500 base pair lengths enable customers to encode mRNA sequences for personalized therapy or encode multiple guide RNA sequences within a single fragment for complex CRISPR screens. These are just four examples of diverse applications for these innovative products that showcase how we augment our processes continuously to drive innovation and new products while expanding our infrastructure capacity. Also building onto the X-RES workflow, in July, we introduced X-RES antibodies, both FORTRUO and HEC-293, the two most commonly used cell lines for the antibody discovery and optimization cycle. Multiplex gene fragments and X-RES antibodies illustrate the benefit of making all of our DNA on the X-RES timeline, as we do not need to cut the line for particular customers. In addition to growth for our existing portfolio of products, including X-RES genes, we will continue to add products that leverage our rapid manufacturing. These products will target areas of the life science market that we do not serve today and have the potential to expand our share of wallet with existing customers, as well as open up new market opportunities. X-RES genes continue to perform well, showing ongoing sequential growth that contributes not only to revenue and growth margin expansion, but also a key driver for our overall increasing net new customers. As we indicated at the time of launch, our long-term intent is to convert gene makers into gene buyers, as well as convert customers from competitors. We expect our market share and the category as a whole to continue to grow as we expand our X-RES offerings. Moving forward, because we continue to add more and more products building on the X-RES infrastructure, we will report all X-RES product revenue in our overall symbiotic
speaker
Multiplex
numbers, primarily for competitive reasons. Moving to NGF, we posted another
speaker
Emily Laprouce
very strong quarter as revenue grew to $43.4 million, an increase of 31% year over year, and $46.7 million in orders. Strength in the quarter came primarily from clinical customers, many of whom are in the liquid biopsy and rare disease spaces. Moving forward, we see continued strength in these areas, as well as several additional avenues of growth. Starting with minimal residual diseases, or MRD, our products generate minimal revenue today. However, we expect revenue to expand a bit in 2025, with more substantial growth beyond 2025, similar to what we have seen with growth coming from liquid biopsy customers in the last years. In MRD, we provide three workflow offerings for customers, with the ability to adapt to three distinct types of customer assays. When our customers pursue low-pass whole genome sequencing for the assay, we offer a unique CFDNA library prep kit that extracts more rare mutations when to also elaborate perhaps a competitive advantage for this application. Second, customers developing tumor-agnostic assays use TWIST to build a customized target enrichment panel of genes and variants related to a particular type of cancer that applies to all samples. This is similar to the custom target enrichment panels we provide for liquid biopsy customers. Third, customers developing tumor-informed workflow, where an assay test for individualized mutations can leverage TWIST MRD 500 panels, where we incorporate up to 500 different mutations for an individualized assay at the same speed and cost as a handful of probes produced by our competitors. In fact, some customers want many more than 500 mutations, and we have the ability to scale into multiple thousands of variants to meet their need. Importantly, this third avenue shines a light on TWIST's ability to partner with our customers to deliver personalized and customized panels rapidly and at scale. Beyond that, we see growth coming from our RNA-seq workflow. We differentiate our RNA products on key benefits, including the elimination of bias through whole RNA transcription and cellulose-prime bias poly-A transcription. Our RNA solution offers the potential to capture fusions and gene expression that could be missed by other workflows. In addition, it effectively generates results from degraded samples, and our simplified and efficient workflows allow customers to save time and run more samples on the sequencer in a cost-effective manner. We also see customers expanding beyond our original flagship NGS offering of target enrichment to include our differentiated laboratory prep, BIDs, BUSSR, UADI, UMI, BARCOS, and more, when placing orders, expanding our share of wallet while supporting better results for our customers. For BioFarma, revenue increased to $5.1 million, with orders of $4.9 million. We continue to deliver on programs for our partners across a spectrum of offerings. A few weeks ago, we announced that the first patient has been dosed in pure biologic clinical study of PBA0405, a fully human IgG1 antibody discovered using TWiST BioFarma solutions synthetic antibody phage list elaborates. This advancement of PBA0405 into human studies validates the potential of our synthetic antibody laboratories to be used to discover antibody candidates for how to treat cancer indications. We expect at least one of our partners to initiate human studies within the next year. Additionally, during the quarter, we announced a key publication detailing data for adenosine A2A antibody, which is available for out licensing. We continue to work diligently to increase revenue and orders for BioFarma, and in this fragmented market, we know our offering resonates. In addition, the BioFarmers Solutions Group provides a spectrum of products and services that fit strategically with our synthetic bio products line. We do believe the revenue ramp will take time, and we will continue to analyze and manage the overall business to ensure this group continues to provide value. For data storage, we remain focused on technology development and enablement of the Terabyte Century Archive workflow for early access before the end of Canada 2025. Progress continues, and we see this area of our business as a valuable asset with optionality at multiple points of development. Turning to operations, we reported a gross margin of 43.3%, exceeding our guidance, and a significant increase of approximately 900 basis points over the same quarter last year. Increased revenue growth, the majority of margin growth, and included contribution from Express Genes, as well as NGS mix. I'd like to note that while we expect fluctuation in any given core, due to mix and other adjustments, more than 75% of the revenue growth year over year drop to gross profit for the third quarter of fiscal 2024. On average, we expect to continue to see 75 to 80% of revenue growth drop to gross profit moving forward. Looking ahead, we will continue to focus on margin improvement initiatives, including continuous process improvements, supply chain optimization, operational excellence, and insourcing. We remain on track to improve our margin-based several percentage points with a path to a gross margin north of 50% by the end of fiscal 2025. With that, I'll turn it over to Adam to discuss our financials.
speaker
Adam
Thank you, Emily. Revenue for the second quarter increased to 81.5 million, growth of 28% year over year, and approximately 8% sequentially. Orders were 85.3 million, an increase of 34% year over year. While we received blanket purchase orders, as we do every quarter, we saw order patterns in line with historical trends. As Emily said, gross margin came in higher than expected at .3% for the third quarter of fiscal 2024. During the third quarter, we shipped approximately 2,300 customers. We ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments of approximately 289.4 million, a reduction of $4 million versus the 293.3 million balance as of March 31st, 2024. Taking a deeper dive into revenue. Symbioid revenue increased to $33 million, growing 27% year over year, with orders increasing to 33.8 million. We shipped 212,000 genes in the quarter. Synthetic genes revenue, which includes both clonal genes, gene fragments, and IgG, increased to approximately 24.9 million, growth of approximately 29% year over year. Within the Symbioid umbrella, Olegopool revenue increased to 4.2 million, and DNA Libraries revenue increased to 3.8 million, year over year growth of 12% and 34%, respectively. NGS revenue for the third quarter grew to approximately 43.4 million, compared to 33.2 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2023, an increase of 31% year over year. For the quarter, revenue from our top 10 NGS customers accounted for approximately 39% of NGS revenue. Orders increased to 46.7 million, which we anticipate sets the stage for further NGS growth. We served 570 NGS customers in the quarter, with 141 having adopted our products. For BioPharma, revenue was 5.1 million, with orders of 4.9 million. We had 61 active programs as of the end of June, 2024, and we started 43 new programs during the quarter. In the third quarter, we took an impairment charge of approximately $45 million, as we revisited the long-term growth forecast for BioPharma, and we believe the outlook shifted from our original view. We continued to mature as a business development team, and just as our commercial teams for Symbio and NGS took time to accelerate, we are finding that the BioPharma team is taking time to reform at the expected level.
speaker
Multiplex
Looking at revenue by industry.
speaker
Adam
Healthcare revenue rose 26% to 42.8 million for the third quarter of 2024, compared to 34 million in the same period of fiscal 2023, reflecting the increased uptake of our products by Pharma, Biotech, and diagnostic companies. Industrial chemical revenue rose 38% to 23.2 million in the third quarter, up from 16.8 million in the same period of fiscal 2023. Strong growth year over year. Academic revenue rose 20% to 14.9 million for the third quarter of 2024, up from 12.4 million in the same period of fiscal
speaker
Multiplex
2022. Looking geographically. America's
speaker
Adam
revenue increased to approximately 51.4 million in the third quarter, compared to 39 million in the same period of fiscal 2023. Growth of 32% year over year. NIA revenue rose to 23.6 million in the third quarter, versus 19.1 million in the same period of fiscal 2023. Growth of 24% year over year. APAC revenue increased to 6.5 million in the third quarter, compared to 5.7 million in the same period of fiscal 2023. Growth of 15% year over year. China revenue was 1.8 million, a small percentage of our total revenue for the quarter. Our gross margin for the third quarter increased to 43.3%. We saw strength from express genes revenue, lifting margin offset by a contracted SIEM bio customer. We received a large order with their discounted terms in Q3. Of note, we expect this customer to take a step back in the fiscal 2024 fourth quarter, and we have factored this into our SIEM bio guidance. Our NGS offerings continue to have strong gross margin performance, and as we said last quarter, we do expect to continue to see puts and takes in our gross margin based on contracted customer mix, where margin fluctuates based on the individual customer orders in the given quarter. While we expect quarterly volatility, on average, we expect 75 to 80% of revenue to drop the gross profit for the foreseeable future as we continue our margin initiatives, the primary focus across the executive team and throughout the company. In total, operating expenses for the third quarter were 170.4 million, which includes the $45 million non-cash impairment charge, compared with 124.5 million in the same period of 2023. On a non-GAAP basics, excluding stock based compensation and the Q3 FY24 impairment charge, operating expenses were 111.7 million, compared with 110.3 million in the same period of 2023. Breaking this down, cost of revenue has increased to 46.2 million in the third quarter of 2024, compared with 41.8 million in the same period of fiscal 2023, primarily due to higher product volume, as well as increased depreciation and amortization expense, mostly due to prior year capital investments for the new manufacturing facility in Wilson-Valorie. R&D decreased to 22.5 million, compared with 24.5 million in the same period of fiscal 2023, primarily due to the reduction in headcount, as well as a decrease in outside services and lab supplies. FG&A was 56.8 million for the third quarter, compared with 46.1 million in the same period of fiscal 2023. The increase is driven largely by stock based compensation and bonus accruals that the business is performing above forecast this time. Non-cash impairment charges on biopharma, non-tangibles and other assets were $45 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2024. Operating expenses included approximately $6 million for data storage. Stock based compensation for the quarter was approximately 13.7 million. Appreciation and amortization were 8.3 million for the quarter. For the third quarter of fiscal 2024, adjusted EBITDA was a loss of approximately $22 million, an improvement of $8 million versus the third quarter of fiscal 2023, and an improvement of $5 million versus the second quarter of fiscal 2024. We ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents and short-term investment of approximately $289.4 million, a reduction of $4 million versus the $293 million balance as of March 31st. Our strong cash position was driven by continued strong operational performance, as well as one-time gains for improvements in accounts receivable collection and other working capital improvements as we continue to evolve our GNA capability. Cash flow from operating activities continues to improve and we are driving the break even. For the nine months ended June 30th, 2024, net cash used in operating activities was $48.8 million compared to $121.8 million through the equivalent nine month period in 2020. Turning to guidance, for fiscal 2024, we now expect total revenue to increase by 8.5 million at the midpoint of the range to approximately $310 to $311 million, anticipated growth of approximately 27% -over-year. Increase in bio revenue of approximately $121 million up from previous guidance of $118 to $121 million, the anticipated -over-year growth of 23%. NGS revenue of 169 to 170 million, an increase of six to seven million across the range and anticipated growth of 36 to 37% -over-year. Bio-pharma revenue of approximately $20 million consistent with prior guidance. We expect the gross margin to be at the high end of the range and approximately 42% for the new. Our expected loss from operations before taxes in the range of $227 to $230 million, including the $45 million impairment change. Excluding the impairment charge, loss from operations before taxes and expected to be in the range, 182 to 185 million on a non-GAAP basis. A slight decrease from our previous guidance, 183 to 188 million. CAPEX is projected to be approximately 13 million for fiscal 2024, a decrease of $2 million from prior guidance. We project ending cash of more than $255 million at the end of fiscal 2024. For the fourth quarter, we expect overall revenue of approximately 82 to 83 million, an increase from previous guidance of $77 to $80 million. Gross margin for the fourth quarter of approximately 44% at the high end of the range of previous guidance of 43 to 44%. Adjusted EBITDA loss of $20 million. And we expect gross margin for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 to be 50%. We've been working on capacity planning, and we believe that between the manufacturing facilities we have today, the revenue capacity of these facilities can go significantly above the previous estimate of 500 million in revenue. With sustaining levels of capital investment, we believe the capacity for our sites in Oregon and California can deliver over 700 million of revenue per year in the future. This is a very exciting time to be a part of the growth of the company. We'll continue to march toward adjusted EBITDA break even while serving our customers every single day. With that, I'll turn the call back to Emily.
speaker
Emily Laprouce
Thank you, Adam. As we are now in the final quarter of our fiscal year, the momentum continues to grow. We are often asked by investors why our thin bioenergy as for groups continue to outperform when others in the space show little to no growth. It begins with our unique platform for writing DNA on the silicon chip. Our team leverages this platform to generate innovative products that meet customer needs. Our platform and products pair very well with our customer prowess, bringing pricing and quality along with the expanding portfolio of product and services. Well, these are key to our success. It's truly our twisters who turn our vision to improve health and sustainability into a reality. Our strong financial performance quarter after quarter coupled with our expanding portfolio of product and services positions us well for sustained growth and value creation. Looking ahead, we're excited about the vast potential of our proprietary technology and the transformative impact it is already having across multiple industries. We will continue to drive towards adjusted EBITDA break even pursuing profitable growth paths to capitalize on the immense opportunities presented by a proprietary silicon-based synthesis capability. With that, let's open up the call for questions. Operator?
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, simply press star 1-1 again. Please stand by while we compile the canner roster. And our first question coming from the line of Matthew Sykes with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
speaker
Matthew Sykes
Hi, this is Evian for Matt. Congrats on the strong quarter. For me, first question, what are you seeing in NGS market overall? We've seen from peers they've noted weakness in the market, but given your strength, are you taking share? And then what has feedback from customers been?
speaker
Emily Laprouce
Yeah, thank you. It's a great question. Like you noted, it's a great quarter. We are definitely taking share. I think we've been very focused in our technology development to focus on first application, first and then moving to other. And a big bet that we did around the time of the IPO actually was our focus on methylation and liquid biopsy. And right now we're seeing the fruit of that investment where in some ways it is a bit over exposed in a good way to liquid biopsy. And as a very dominating technology, the market is growing. We're benefiting from that. And we're very excited that we're trying to do the same thing in other markets. We've launched a RNA-seq portfolio that is a slow ramping. We mentioned our MRD focus. As I mentioned in my remarks, we don't expect MRD to be a big revenue contributor here. However, similarly to liquid biopsy, as we gain customer now, we gain pilots, and as they ramp, we see it as a future opportunity for growth. So very excited about NGS. I think, again, it's a combination of the commercial strategy we've chosen as well as a very strong technology that really brings value to our customers and we're being rewarded for it.
speaker
Matthew Sykes
Great, and then given your strong growth and expressions, have you been able to unlock the gene makers market at this point or is it still mostly growth stemming from market share gains among players that were already outsourcing?
speaker
Emily Laprouce
Yes, right now it's still mostly buyers that we're converting. However, we're seeing the beginning of conversion. The product does what it says on the tube. There's excitement with customers. We are seeing consecutive growth. And so at the same time, we said it will take some time. It's a very long tail, but we are very, very pleased with the performance of Express Gene and the Express infrastructure, which enables us to launch new product at the same time.
speaker
Matt Leroux
Great, thank you.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Stephen Muck with TD Cowan, your line is open.
speaker
Stephen Muck
Oh, great, thanks. Congrats on the quarter and thanks for the questions. So a couple questions on Express Genes. So now that you have another quarter of market data, can you give us a sense for the customer acceptance of the dynamic pricing model and how close you are to optimizing the pricing algorithm to maximize margins? And then second part of the question, can you give us a sense of the push by larger accounts wanting to trade a fixed pricing in a subscription like manner versus this dynamic pricing?
speaker
Emily Laprouce
I think you want to take that question.
speaker
spk10
Yes, absolutely, Steve, thanks for the question. The team continues to execute well, the product is doing exactly what it says in the label, which is giving us tremendous confidence taking that forward. And the value proposition is resonating across all segments. And so we continue to see good adoption and that's captured by obviously sequential growth in the organization. And we do continue to see the trade of volume for committed price. So that does continue, it's still very early since launching the product. And this is a product that is a platform for us and it's gonna be quarter by quarter execution. Again, we continue to see it with sequential growth and that will continue to execute into the opportunity. So customers continue to adopt more shots on goal at the price point we have with the scale that we have is very, very compelling.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Matt Leroux with Will and Blair, Yelena Soppen.
speaker
Matt Leroux
Hi, good morning. Obviously a couple quarters in the express team, but Emily, you alluded to some newer express products including most recently Express Antibodies on Chill Line. I'm just saying it would be early days there, but in terms of what you're hearing from customers on an express type offering for other, obviously more complex products, we'd just be kind of curious to get any early take and any metrics you're tracking around success of those launches.
speaker
Emily Laprouce
Yeah, no, thank you for the question. For us, the express product has always been an infrastructure play. We make now clonal genes in five days and we always ask the questions to our customers, hey, what do you do with the genes? And some customers use it as crystal tools, some they use it to express AGGs, some they use it to make mRNA for personalized genes. And we're always looking for ways to add value and we've had an ITG product line for a while, which was well received and at the same time was relatively slow compared to what customers could do themselves. And so when we launched the express gene, we always knew that we will shortly thereafter launch an express ITG because that is what our customers will do and we've heard from many of them that they'd rather have someone else do that work than themselves. And so it's a great opportunity for the customers to free up some of their resources to do other things, like the testing of ITG and it's a great thing for us to leverage our infrastructure, to do more, get more wallet share and be able to grow our revenue. And in addition to launching the express ITG, we've also launched a show expression. Up until now, all of our expression was done in hack slides, hey, hack cell, sorry, and a lot of our customers were telling us that show will be well received and so we keep increasing what we call the flavor of DNA or protein that we sell and that really is one of the key things that is enabling us to just reach into more applications that are happening in the life science and be able to enable the customers to offload to us more of their work so that they can focus on the testing.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Now next question coming from the line of Luke Sargut with Barclays, Helena Sulfan.
speaker
Luke Sargut
Great, thanks. I just wanted to touch on the blanket orders and how those kind of progress in the quarter. If you guys can quantify how many you had and then it's kind of a more long term or medium term question is as you progress on these blanket orders, can you give us an idea of what the conversion rate for the company is? From your legacy order book is and the fear is that you could have the conversion of the absolute dollar come in faster than the overall order book growing and this could lead to an air pocket. So just kind of walk us through the different dynamics that you guys are seeing on the blankets.
speaker
Adam
Hey Luke, this is Adam. Thank you for the question, happy to talk through it. So just kind of taking a step back, what occurred earlier this year, obviously we're extremely excited. We've always had blanket purchase orders in the business and we're extremely excited to see that continue to evolve. In Q2 fiscal for us, I call it the January effect, we did see that step up in blanket purchase orders. I've articulated it roughly an extra $10 million blanket purchase orders versus the normal run rate of the business. We saw here in fiscal Q3 was a much more return to normal in terms of it being a normal historical trend of blanket purchase orders. So a step back from what we saw in that January effect, which to be fair, I expect the January effect to continue in years forward, because it really just shows that customers are committing to twist long-term. In terms of conversion disorders, it's not a matter of so much as if, we're seeing the conversion rates now at extremely high numbers, it's a matter of timing. And so one of the things that we talk about, our reps aren't incentivized for orders, they're incentivized mainly in revenue. So what we see is this is really a lead generation capability and a customer support opportunity. What we really wanna do is get the first blanket purchase order and complete it and go to the next one. It's really that more of a signal of a long-term commitment. So we don't see any risk of a revenue air pocket. We've seen the sequential growth every quarter in 2024, and we expect that to continue in perpetuity. No, but thanks for the question.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Vijay Kumar with Evercore SI, Ilan is open.
speaker
Vijay Kumar
Hey guys, congratulations on the nice print here. Just one on the Q4 and sort of jumping off into FISCLA 25 kind of questions. Adam, you mentioned blanket orders for normal CRIM levels in third quarter. Does it imply we need to be a little bit more prudent on Q4 and sort of relate to that, and streets modeling about 20% family growth for FISCLA 25. Your comps get harder. Some of your peers have spoken about macro being a little bit tougher and markets being below trend. Any preliminary thoughts on whether the street needs to be a little bit more prudent about the 20% growth for FISCLA 25? Thank you.
speaker
Adam
Hi Vijay, thanks for the question. And no, it's definitely something we're talking a lot about right now internally as we're building our plans for 25. But let's talk about 2024. I know we just gave the print on the foliar guidance and the Q4 guidance. We have a step up across the range in terms of our guides to the quarter. We're expecting sequential growth across the business, Q3 to Q4. So I think the strength continues and the momentum continues as we're ending out our fiscal year. I'm not gonna give a lot of color on 25. We're still working through the plans. What I can say, when we are feeling very confident about the business, we expect to see sequential growth continue in the business. And really what it comes down to, as Emily was talking to, it's the dynamic of we expect to continue to take share. And where we see low to mid single digit category growth in certain areas, and we're significantly exceeding that. We don't expect a trend decrease in terms of our sequential growth. We expect that to continue. Obviously we'll give more color as we get into fiscal 25 and we'll sit down in November. But thanks for the question.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Sungjin Nam with Scorcher Bank, QLN is open.
speaker
spk07
Hi, thanks for asking the question and congrats on the quarter. Just following up on an earlier question, for your next in sequencing, our NGS business obviously doing well there. But given that there's been kind of capital spending constraints across the NGS players, you know, delays in some large scale projects, et cetera, I'm just kind of curious if you're starting to see any growth in your business, have not your business, the funnel at all. And then just, you know, quick follow up after that, you know, in terms of your, for the liquid biopsy based business, if you're continuing to see a lot of smaller early stage players also in the market, or do you feel the market has kind of stabilized to kind of the, you know, the large players?
speaker
spk10
Thanks for the questions, Patty here. I think what we're seeing is really the power of our platform in the market segment. I think when budgets are tough, twist value resonates even stronger than anybody else out there and it really is about maximizing the use of your, your sequencing platforms. I think that's what we truly enable. And so therefore I think that's allowed us to execute a well into the opportunity. I think in the second part, just continuing to talk about scale and opportunity to work with new customers, I think it's a feature that's often overlooked in our platform. It scales in many, many directions. The R&D scientists, they can quickly do work to develop new product, new panels, and then we'll be there with the customers as the new panel or new product scales up towards them, their manufacturing or their future goals. So we like our position and yes, although the market's tough, there's always opportunity to execute into. And when you partner that with excellence in commercial execution for every touch point for the customer, then we continue to be optimistic and confident going forward.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Now next question coming from the line of Subbu Nampi with Guggenheim Security, Sila Nusseltman.
speaker
Sila Nusseltman
Hey guys, thank you for taking my question. Realizing book to bill is an intra quarter metric. If I have this right, sin bio book to bill decrease from 1.5 to 1.0. Is this just seasonality, something else or the large order you mentioned, if it's related to China softness and which segment is China revenue most concentrated in?
speaker
Adam
Thank you.
speaker
Multiplex
Adam, thank you. Yes, and so thank
speaker
Adam
you for the question. I'm excited to take it. In terms of book to bill, you know, that seasonality of orders that we talked about from the I'll call it the January effect is real. So you're going to see some noise coming there, particularly on the sin bio side of the business. Cause that's where most of that step up in blanket purchase orders occurred. So we'd expect that seasonality to continue every year. In terms of China business, and you'll see this in our queue from last quarter, and you'll see it again when we put the print out this quarter. It's less than $2 million or revenue recorder for us in China. It's relatively stable. Obviously there's a lot of folks doing headwinds, but when it's, you know, low to mid single digits of percent of the business, it's not something we're terribly concerned about. We do see an opportunity long-term, but it's, we aren't seeing significant effects with headwinds. I will say most of our business in China, it is spread across both sides of sin bio and NGS, but there's definitely, there's definitely propensity towards the NGS
speaker
Multiplex
side. But thanks for the question.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. And our next question coming from the line up, Linnead Silda with Learing Partners, Yelena Sopin.
speaker
Linnead Silda
Yeah, hi, Emily and team. Thanks for taking my questions. You know, I appreciate the comments that you have on, on the overall growth with express genes that's in sin bio. You're building more products on top of that. And your guide, but you know, when we look at your guide, it does imply a step down in the fourth quarter for sin bio. You talked about blanket purchase orders last quarter in sin bio and there was, you know, a significant pickup in those orders last quarter. So, I mean, I hear some of the comments are on that, that it is more going to be more normalized. So just sort of trying to understand given that backdrop, why are these blanket purchase orders or the order momentum stepping down so quickly in the quarter? Is there a different pattern you're seeing from the customers or competitive response in the market?
speaker
Adam
No, I think this is Adam, I'm happy to take the question here. And I think we mentioned it on the pre-record, but really the dynamic we're seeing this quarter, particularly when we go into Q4, is one particular contracted customer had a pretty significant set of orders, volume in Q2 and Q3, that customer is taking a step down in Q4, it's factored into my guide. And for me, I just don't wanna get over my skis on any particular quarter. So we're factoring that in. We're seeing sequential growth across the business, from customers we're seeing a step up in the total number of customers ordering each quarter. We're also seeing a step up quarter on quarter in the SEMBIO business, in terms of the revenue excluding that one customer. So we're feeling pretty good about it. But obviously given the nature of our base, there will be customers that have challenges and we're here to support them, but
speaker
Multiplex
it's not gonna affect the overall group.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. And our next question coming from Delilah. Tom Pearson with their DLN itself in.
speaker
Tom Pearson
Hey, everyone, congrats on Solid Print and thanks for taking my questions. Maybe just one from me. Given the guide for the adjusted EBITDA loss of about 20 million here in the fiscal fourth quarter, can you just give us some sense to think about how we should be thinking of adjusted EBITDA loss in fiscal 2025? Would you expect quarterly improvements off that $20 million figure and just help us think about pacing on the adjusted EBITDA trajectory?
speaker
Adam
This is Adam, thanks for the question. And now we're very laser focused on our North Star the path to profitability. And it's been for me about six months in the chair. Now it's really important as an organization that we're focused on our three key priorities, drive and growth margin and ensuring that we have that path to profitability without needing to ever go back to the market for a future equity race. That's been kind of the standing mantra and the charge of the organization. We've been looking at the $20 million adjusted EBITDA loss as an important marker in Q4. We don't see that as a stopping point, but really a jumping off point for continued sequential improvements as we move forward. Again, I mentioned earlier in the call, we'll spend more time talking about the 2025 guide, but I expect that path to profit focus and that the organizational energy to continue to just be laser focused on that moving forward. So more to come as we get together at the end of the
speaker
Multiplex
year.
speaker
Adam
Thanks.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Tom DeBorsi from Newfound Research, here on the Southwind.
speaker
Tom DeBorsi
Hi, thanks for taking the question. Just gonna combine the two questions here. The first one is on biosphere. And we've heard from both academic and pharma customers that, can you hear me? I'm sorry, I'm getting that. We
speaker
Emily Laprouce
can hear you.
speaker
Tom DeBorsi
Okay, sorry. We've heard from academic and pharma customers that there is concern about moving proprietary products for synthesis into China. And so whether that's a tailwind for you being based in the United States. And the second question is just on CapEx of 30 billion. And just, is this approximately the level of basis CapEx that you would expect going forward? Thank you.
speaker
Emily Laprouce
I'll take the first question. I'll let Adam answer the CapEx question. On the ICCU, we've expressed in the past that, yes, it's probably a geopolitical headwind for our competitors that are not building DNA in the US. At the same time, it is hard to predict an act of Congress. So our view is that we will win on the merits, our products and on the ones for speed, scale, quality, price, added features, and so on. The entire user experience. So our view is that we will take market share and we will win. And it is possible that by ICCU, headwinds for our competitors will accelerate the timeline. We are ready for it. And at the same time, we are very strongly focused on execution and providing the best user experience to our customers. Adam, you want to take
speaker
Adam
the CapEx question? Absolutely, no. And Tom, thanks for the question. Yeah, we are seeing a pretty light year in CapEx this year so far. I think we're running just north of $3 million year to date. I do see a potential step up beyond the 13 in 2025 and beyond. But the modest amount of, I think we guided the beginning of this year closer to 20. Those kinds of numbers wouldn't surprise me. That being said, we currently have about 30 to 35 million a year in depreciation today. I don't expect that to increase. I expect that to be roughly holding the record for stepping down as we move forward over the long haul.
speaker
Emily Laprouce
Thank you, Adam. And to add to my previous answer, just a quick clarification that BioSecure is actually not focused on DNA synthesis. It's focused on genetic analysis and bioprocessing. There was a letter from the CEDEC Committee in China to ask the FBI to investigate some of our Chinese competitors. So there is some geopolitical headwinds, but to be clear, DNA synthesis itself is not part of BioSecure at this point.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. And I'm showing no further questions in the queue. At this time, I will now turn the callback over to Dr. Emily Rappert for any closing remarks.
speaker
Emily Laprouce
In closing, we are very confident in the continued impact and growth opportunities that are situated from our proprietary DNA synthesis platform. Our growing customer base, our increasing revenue profile, our defining product portfolio, and of course, our exceptional employees positively move the needle for our
speaker
Multiplex
customers
speaker
Emily Laprouce
across
speaker
Multiplex
multiple industries. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, that's all for today. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

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